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How the "Rise of Great Power" Restrains Bilateral Trade Flows: Evidence from China and its Trading Partners “大国崛起”如何抑制双边贸易流动:来自中国及其贸易伙伴的证据
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.4045816
Jing Wang, Xuan Zhou, C. Choi
Abstract:This article employs the gravity model of trade to examine how political relations have impacted international trade in the Chinese context, specifically by incorporating discussion of China's political relations with its major trading partners. Using data from China's trading partners obtained between 1990 and 2019, the article uses the generalised method of moments (GMM) and lagged vector autoregression (VAR) model to investigate whether the associated geopolitical risks appear to be temporary or enduring. Empirical results have shown that political conflicts present lagged effects (three months later) on China's exports to other countries and total trade volume with other countries, but have instantaneous effects on China's imports from other countries. Additionally, Chinese President Xi Jinping has much greater political influence on trade compared to his two predecessors (Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao). Such an increased level of power is due to a diplomatic policy shift in which the nation has moved away from "keeping a low profile" (taoguang yanghui) to focus on the "rise of great power" (daguo jueqi). The escalation of political tension between China and its major trading partners will continue to have negative impacts on trade until hegemony is fully realised.
摘要:本文采用贸易的引力模型来考察政治关系如何在中国背景下影响国际贸易,特别是通过结合对中国与其主要贸易伙伴的政治关系的讨论。利用1990年至2019年间获得的中国贸易伙伴的数据,文章使用广义矩量法(GMM)和滞后向量自回归(VAR)模型来调查相关的地缘政治风险是暂时的还是持久的。实证结果表明,政治冲突对中国对外出口和对外贸易总额具有滞后效应(三个月后),但对中国对外进口具有瞬时效应。 权力水平的提高是由于外交政策的转变,国家从“保持低调”(韬光养晦)转向了“大国崛起”(大国觉琪)。中国与其主要贸易伙伴之间政治紧张局势的升级将继续对贸易产生负面影响,直到霸权完全实现。
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引用次数: 1
Chinese Youth and the Communist Party of China: Cultivating a Loyal Generation through Ideological and Political Education 中国青年与中国共产党:通过思想政治教育培养忠诚的一代
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898342
Marina Svensson
Abstract:This article addresses the development under Xi Jinping of ideological and political education at the university level. It provides an overview of trends among youth, major policies and recent developments, and an analysis of how ideological and political education is organised at universities and incorporated into the curricula. It also argues that ideological and political education targeting youth needs to be understood within the wider context of the Communist Party of China’s (CPC) ideological work and legitimacy concerns. Xi Jinping and the CPC leadership view youth as central for both the Party’s survival and China’s future, but at the same time new values and ideals among youth are a concern which they want to counteract.
它概述了青年的趋势、主要政策和最近的发展,并分析了大学如何组织思想政治教育并将其纳入课程。它还认为,针对青年的思想政治教育需要在中国共产党意识形态工作和合法性问题的更广泛背景下理解。
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引用次数: 1
Remaking Bonds: Adaptive Party Linkage-building in Contemporary China 重塑纽带:当代中国适应性党的联系建设
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898344
Zhongyuan Wang
Abstract:The legitimacy and vitality of all political regimes require the presence of linkages between rulers and their citizens. Current scholarship has identified different modes of political linkages and focused mainly on liberal-democratic countries, neglecting studies of non-Western regimes which also construct dynamic linkages to remain responsive to citizen demands and mobilise political support. This article addresses the critical question of why and how parties that do not have to compete for power establish linkages with their citizens. China presents a crucial case in this inquiry, since the Communist Party of China (CPC) strategically diversifies and creatively upgrades linkage relationships with its citizens beyond Western-style competitive elections. With first-hand data collected from 11 fieldwork sites across eastern, middle and western China, this article examines the linkage strategies, mechanisms and tactics the CPC has employed to respond to an increasingly complex society and to serve multiple purposes. This research attempts to offer a new conceptual framework for understanding party regime resilience, provide insights into the general theory of party linkage, and to encourage comparative studies of party linkage across different regime types.
摘要:所有政治制度的合法性和活力都需要统治者与其公民之间的联系。目前的学术界已经确定了不同的政治联系模式,主要关注自由民主国家,而忽视了对非西方政权的研究,这些政权也构建了动态联系,以保持对公民需求的响应并动员政治支持。这篇文章讨论了一个关键问题,即不必竞争权力的政党为什么以及如何与公民建立联系。中国在这一调查中提供了一个关键案例,因为中国共产党在西方式的竞争性选举之外,战略性地多样化并创造性地升级了与公民的联系关系。本文从中国东部、中部和西部的11个实地考察点收集了第一手数据,考察了中国共产党为应对日益复杂的社会和服务于多种目的而采取的联系策略、机制和策略。本研究试图为理解政党政权弹性提供一个新的概念框架,为政党联系的一般理论提供见解,并鼓励对不同政权类型的政党联系进行比较研究。
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引用次数: 2
China–Asean Relations January 2023 To March 2023: Important Documents 2023年1月至2023年3月:中国-东盟关系:重要文件
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898350
Ryan Ho
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引用次数: 0
Leninism for the 21st Century: Xi Jinping’s Ideological Party-building
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898339
Lance L. P. Gore
Abstract:For a long time, people outside China often forgot that China is a communist state. In many ways it was more capitalistic than some paragons of capitalism—for example, the United States and Great Britain. However, since 2012, the Communist Party of China (CPC) under General Secretary Xi Jinping’s stewardship has abruptly—seemingly—reverted to the grand tradition of communism. Ideology and politics once again take command in China. Unlike the half-hearted efforts of his predecessors Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao, Xi Jinping has given top priority to Party rectification, integrating it within his grand plan for “socialism with Chinese characteristics for a new era”. This ideological and policy turn has strained China’s relationship with liberal democracies and brought China to the brink of a new Cold War with the United States and some US allies. Arguably, it has also contributed to the drastic slowdown of the Chinese economy. Why did the CPC make such a move that appears detrimental to China’s rise?
摘要:很长一段时间以来,中国以外的人经常忘记中国是一个共产主义国家。在许多方面,它比资本主义的一些典范——例如美国和英国——更具资本主义色彩。 意识形态和政治再次在中国占据主导地位。 这种意识形态和政策的转变使中国与自由民主国家的关系紧张,并使中国与美国和一些美国盟友处于新冷战的边缘。可以说,这也导致了中国经济的急剧放缓。为什么中国共产党会做出这样一个看起来不利于中国崛起的举动?
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引用次数: 1
China–Asean Relations January 2023 to March 2023: Chronology of Events 中国与东盟关系2023年1月至2023年3月:事件年表
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898349
Ryan Ho
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引用次数: 0
When Top-down Meets Bottom-up: Understanding the Logic and Dynamics of Responsive Authoritarianism, based on Central Environmental Inspection in China 当自上而下与自下而上相遇:理解响应式威权主义的逻辑和动力,基于中国中央环境督查
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898348
Guiwu Chen, Jiaqing Huang, Hu Hu
Abstract:Whether China can address its environmental problems remains a heated debate in the literature. Illustrated with a case of industrial pollution control in Guangzhou municipality, this article examines how China under the Xi Jinping administration enhances regulatory enforcement by adopting an institution of Central Environmental Inspection (CEI). The essence of CEI represents a new enforcement mechanism of responsive authoritarianism, which combines and integrates national authority embedded within the role of the Party and political responsibility with citizen engagement in the process of policy implementation and thus ensures that local governments effectively fulfil their environmental responsibility. This suggests that although China’s Party-state system remains basically unchanged, the specific institutions, mechanisms and the roles of participants have undergone substantial change, making the system more responsive to societal demands.
摘要:中国能否解决环境问题一直是学界争论的焦点。CEI的本质代表了一种响应式威权主义的新执行机制,它将党内角色和政治责任中的国家权威与政策实施过程中的公民参与结合起来,从而确保地方政府有效履行其环境责任。这表明,虽然中国的党国体制基本保持不变,但具体的制度、机制和参与者的角色发生了实质性变化,使制度更加适应社会需求。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Propaganda and Disinformation Operations in Taiwan: A Sharp Power Perspective 中国在台湾的宣传和虚假信息操作:一个锐实力的视角
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898346
Jaw-Nian Huang
Abstract:This article constructs a theory of sharp power based on the realist view of international relations to explain how Chinese authoritarianism fosters the government’s external sharp power propaganda targeting Taiwan. The case studies examine China’s long-established financial operations and more recent disinformation operations against Taiwan to show that the propaganda has (i) created asymmetric exchanges of capital and information between China and Taiwan; (ii) mobilised local Taiwanese collaborators with both economic incentives and biased information; and (iii) promoted the viewpoint that authoritarianism is superior to democracy.
摘要:本文以现实主义国际关系观为基础,构建了一个锐实力理论来解释中国威权主义如何助长了政府针对台湾的对外锐实力宣传。案例研究考察了中国长期建立的金融操作和最近针对台湾的虚假信息操作,以表明宣传已经(i)在中国和台湾之间创造了不对称的资本和信息交换;(ii)利用经济激励和有偏见的信息动员台湾当地的合作者;(三)宣扬威权主义优于民主的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Layering Ideologies from Deng Xiaoping to Xi Jinping: Tracing Ideological Changes of the Communist Party of China Using Text Analysis
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898340
W. Shan, Yongxin Gu, Juan Chen
Abstract:This article argues that ideological changes of the Communist Party of China follow a layering model, whereby a new discourse developed by each top leader adds a fresh layer to the existing ideological system. Computerised text analysis of college materials for ideology courses from 1978 to 2018 lends support to this model, quantifying the changes over time in the prevalence of each layer in the Party’s ideology. Marxism, Maoism and Dengism have remained as the foundational and dominant components of the ideological system, even during the ascent of Xi Jinping Thought and nationalistic narratives.
摘要:本文认为,中国共产党的意识形态变化遵循一种分层模式,即每一位最高领导人的新话语为现有的意识形态体系增添了新的一层。对1978年至2018年高校意识形态课程教材的计算机文本分析支持了这一模型,量化了党的意识形态中每一层的流行程度随时间的变化。
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引用次数: 2
Contrasting Vertical Intergovernmental Interactions in Matching Fund Policy Implementation to Support Small and Medium-sized Enterprises in China 中国中小企业配套资金政策实施中的纵向政府间互动对比
IF 0.5 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-01 DOI: 10.1353/chn.2023.a898347
Conghui Cheng, Qingqing Chu, Junhua Guo
Abstract:This article uses evolutionary game theory to demonstrate a logically consistent explanation for the strategies of both superior and subordinate governments in different scenarios during the implementation of matching fund policy aimed at supporting the innovation activities of small and medium-sized enterprises. Through a case study of Shanghai, the article constructs a political interest–fiscal opportunity cost–manpower input cost model to explain the gaming behaviour of superior and subordinate governments. It further identifies a new form of project alienation in which subordinate governments conspire with enterprises to avoid providing matching funds and the causes of such alienation.
摘要:本文运用演化博弈论理论,对中小企业创新配套资金政策实施过程中不同情景下上下级政府的策略进行了逻辑一致的解释。本文以上海市为例,构建了一个政治利益-财政机会成本-人力投入成本模型来解释上下级政府的博弈行为。进一步明确了下级政府与企业合谋不提供配套资金的新型项目异化形式及其产生的原因。
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China-An International Journal
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