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TRADE POLITICS IS LOCAL POLITICS : SUBNATIONAL INTERESTS AND COMMERCIAL POLICY IN ARGENTINA 贸易政治是地方政治:阿根廷的次国家利益和商业政策
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000100006
Anthony Pezzola
Although it is generally thought that larger industries have greater political influence, by directly measuring the subnational importance of industries, this article suggests that it is the importance of industries within political jurisdictions, not their absolute size, that determines their domestic political leverage. Through the evaluation of Argentina’s deviations from Mercosur’s common external tariff and from intra-regional free trade, this study evidences that subnational economic interests directly influence Argentina’s trade policies. For both large and small industries, their relative importance within the provinces that they inhabit provides the political clout necessary to gain preferential trade policy outcomes.
虽然人们普遍认为,较大的产业具有更大的政治影响力,但通过直接衡量产业的次国家重要性,本文表明,决定其国内政治影响力的是政治管辖范围内的产业的重要性,而不是其绝对规模。通过对阿根廷偏离南方共同市场共同对外关税和区域内自由贸易的评估,本研究证明了地方经济利益直接影响阿根廷的贸易政策。无论对大小产业而言,它们在所在省份的相对重要性,都提供了获得优惠贸易政策结果所需的政治影响力。
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引用次数: 2
WHAT EXPLAINS VOTER TURNOUT IN LATIN AMERICA?: A TEST OF THE EFFECT OF CITIZENS' ATTITUDES TOWARDS THE ELECTORAL PROCESS 如何解释拉丁美洲的选民投票率?对公民对选举过程态度影响的测试
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-05-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000100004
Agustina Haime
Los estudios sobre la participacion electoral a nivel individual en America Latina son es-casos. Este articulo busca contribuir a esta literatura. Especificamente, el presente estudio evalua el vinculo entre la confianza de los ciudadanos en el proceso electoral y su participa-cion en elecciones presidenciales a partir de datos de encuestas llevadas a cabo en 19 paises de America Latina desde el ano 2004 hasta el 2014. Mediante el uso de modelos logisticos, se demuestra que la confianza en las elecciones tiene un efecto positivo y significativo en la participacion electoral en toda la region y que la magnitud de este efecto depende de la existencia de leyes de voto obligatorio.
在拉丁美洲,个人选举参与的研究就是一个很好的例子。本文旨在对这一文献作出贡献。本研究的目的是评估公民对选举过程的信心与他们参与总统选举之间的关系,基于2004年至2014年在19个拉丁美洲国家进行的调查数据。通过logistic模型的使用,表明选举信任对整个地区的选举参与有积极和显著的影响,这种影响的大小取决于是否存在强制性投票法。
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引用次数: 8
Ritual, Folk Competitions, Mining and Stigmatization as “Poor” in Indigenous Northern Peru: A Perspective from Contemporary Quechua-Speaking Cañarenses 仪式、民间竞赛、采矿与秘鲁北部原住民“贫穷”的污名化:当代克丘亚语视角Cañarenses
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-12 DOI: 10.4067/s0718-090x2017000300767
Juan Javier Rivera Andía
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引用次数: 1
México 2016: el declive de la confianza institucional 墨西哥2016:机构信任的下降
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000200493
Francisco Cantú, Verónica Hoyo
Mexico finished 2016 in worse shape than it started: not only did national indicators worsen, mainly in terms of violence and social unrest, but the country also faced an increasingly hostile international climate characterized by a volatile economy with low oil prices, a depreciating peso, and the victory of Donald Trump in the US presidential elections. Consequently, the year ended with presidential approval ratings at an all-time low, widespread and unchecked corruption, and increasing concerns about the government’s legitimacy and the future of democracy in Mexico.
墨西哥2016年的情况比年初更糟:不仅国家指标恶化(主要体现在暴力和社会动荡方面),而且该国还面临着日益敌对的国际环境,其特点是经济动荡、油价低迷、比索贬值,以及唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)在美国总统大选中获胜。结果,这一年结束时,总统支持率降至历史最低点,腐败现象普遍且不受控制,人们越来越担心政府的合法性和墨西哥民主的未来。
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引用次数: 1
Guatemala: the fight for accountability and the rule of law 危地马拉:为问责制和法治而战
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000200471
Kevin Pallister
Guatemala’s political system has been shaken by corruption scandals over the past two years. In large part, the country’s political system has been consumed by efforts to fight impunity for corruption and human rights abuses. In 2015 voters elected Jimmy Morales to the presidency on an anti-corruption platform, hopeful for change from a political outsider. Throughout 2016 some advances were achieved in the fight against corruption, and prosecutors won several high-profile convictions for human rights violations that occurred during the country’s civil war. But organized criminal networks continued to operate in the country, posing serious challenges to the rule of law, and both the Morales administration and the new Congress displayed some of the same shortcomings as previous governments.
过去两年,危地马拉的政治体系因腐败丑闻而动摇。在很大程度上,该国的政治体系一直在努力打击腐败和侵犯人权行为的有罪不罚现象。2015年,选民选举吉米·莫拉莱斯(Jimmy Morales)为总统,以反腐败为纲领,希望从一个政治局外人那里得到改变。整个2016年,在打击腐败方面取得了一些进展,检察官因该国内战期间发生的侵犯人权行为赢得了几项备受瞩目的定罪。但是,有组织的犯罪网络继续在该国运作,对法治构成严重挑战,莫拉莱斯政府和新国会都表现出与前政府相同的一些缺点。
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引用次数: 4
Ecuador: una década de correísmo 厄瓜多尔:十年的correismo·全球之声
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000200413
Carlos Meléndez, Paolo Moncagatta
In many respects, 2016 was a complex year for Ecuador. On the economic front, the country officially fell into recession. The earthquake that took place in April exacerbated the economic emergency. In the political realm, presidential approval declined due to the recession. In this context, the electoral campaign for the succession of Rafael Correa started: pro-government forces considered several options for their presidential bid and the opposition did not forge a united candidacy. Considering the imminent presidential change, some initial assessments of Correa’s tenure were anticipated. This article highlights Ecuadorian hyper-presidentialism —both in its institutional design and in its authoritarian practice— as well as the deterioration of the quality of democracy and its legitimacy.
在许多方面,2016年对厄瓜多尔来说都是复杂的一年。在经济方面,该国正式陷入衰退。4月份发生的地震加剧了经济危机。在政治领域,由于经济衰退,总统支持率下降。在这种背景下,拉斐尔·科雷亚(Rafael Correa)的竞选活动开始了:亲政府力量考虑了几个总统竞选方案,反对派没有形成一个统一的候选人。考虑到即将发生的总统换届,对科雷亚任期的一些初步评估是意料之中的。这篇文章强调了厄瓜多尔的超级总统主义,包括其制度设计和专制实践,以及民主质量和合法性的恶化。
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引用次数: 15
Uruguay 2016: mayorías parlamentarias en jaque y desafíos de revisión para sostener el modelo 乌拉圭2016年:议会多数席位受到质疑,修订挑战以维持这一模式
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000200589
Juan Bogliaccini, Rosario Queirolo
Este articulo analiza los eventos politicos, economicos, sociales y de economia politica ocurridos en Uruguay durante 2016, proveyendo un conjunto de informacion relevante y consistente con anteriores numeros de este anuario. El 2016 es un ano clave en la politica uruguaya dado que una serie de eventos de caracter politico y economico ponen en tension al gobernante Frente Amplio, tal vez por primera vez desde que esta en el gobierno. En primer lugar, el Frente Amplio pierde la mayoria parlamentaria en la camara de diputados, lo que plantea un escenario completamente nuevo para el gobierno. En segundo lugar, el deficit fiscal alcanza un 4% del PIB a diciembre de 2016, siendo el mayor deficit en mas de dos decadas. Esto plantea un desafio tanto para el gobierno, como para la propia fuerza de izquierda, en terminos de acuerdos sobre el programa de gobierno. En tercer lugar, el presidente Vazquez recibe durante 2016 mas desaprobaciones a su gestion que aprobaciones, algo inedito desde 2005. En cuarto lugar, el fuerte desprestigio sufrido por la figura del vicepresidente Sendic acrecienta las tensiones politicas dentro de la coalicion gobernante. Estamos ante el fin de una luna de miel de dos lustros del Frente Amplio (FA).
本文分析了2016年乌拉圭发生的政治、经济、社会和政治经济事件,提供了一套与本年鉴以前版本一致的相关信息。2016年是乌拉圭政治的关键一年,一系列政治和经济事件给执政的安普利奥阵线(Amplio front)带来了压力,这可能是其执政以来的第一次。首先,广泛阵线失去了众议院的议会多数席位,这为政府带来了一个全新的局面。其次,截至2016年12月,财政赤字占gdp的4%,是20多年来最大的赤字。这对政府和左翼势力本身来说都是一个挑战,就政府计划的协议而言。第三,2016年,巴斯克斯总统收到的反对意见比批准的要多,这是自2005年以来从未有过的。第四,副总统森迪奇的声誉受到严重损害,加剧了执政联盟内部的政治紧张局势。我们即将结束与广泛阵线(FA)长达两年的蜜月期。
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引用次数: 4
Introducción al Anuario Político de América Latina 2016 2016年拉丁美洲政治年鉴简介
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000200227
Cristian Pérez Muñoz, C. Schulz
En este numero de Revista de Ciencia Politica (RCP) se publica la novena edicion del Anuario Politico de America Latina. El Anuario nacio en 2007 con el objetivo de convertirse en “testigo y documento de los hechos politicos que pautan cada ano el acontecer regional, recuperando, ademas, las principales reflexiones teoricas que dichos hechos inspiran” (Altman y Luna 2007: 4). Inicialmente inspirado en el Political Data Yearbook publicado por el European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR),1 el Anuario de RCP busca fortalecer la investigacion en ciencia politica sobre America Latina proveyendo informacion confiable y de alta calidad. El Anuario no solo recopila datos valiosos sobre variables politicas, economicas y sociales, sino tambien promueve una reflexion de coyuntura sobre lo sucedido en los paises de la region en el lapso de un ano.
本期《政治科学杂志》(RCP)出版了《拉丁美洲政治年鉴》第九版。该年鉴成立于2007年,目的是成为“指导该地区每年发生的政治事件的见证和文件,也恢复这些事件激发的主要理论反思”(Altman和Luna 2007:4). RCP年鉴最初受到欧洲政治研究联盟(ECPR)出版的《政治数据年鉴》的启发,旨在通过提供可靠和高质量的信息来加强拉丁美洲政治科学的研究。该年鉴不仅收集有关政治、经济和社会变量的有价值的数据,而且还促进对该区域各国在一年内发生的情况的反思。
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引用次数: 0
CHILE 2016: ¿EL NADIR DE LA LEGITIMIDAD DEMOCRÁTICA? 智利2016:民主合法性的最低点?
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.4067/S0718-090X2017000200305
I. Araya
This article argues that the legitimacy of the political system is currently at its lowest point since the return to democracy. Presidential approval ratings dipped to a record low in 2016. The year also saw the highest levels of electoral absenteeism and distrust in the three branches of government, and the lowest levels of identification with political parties. This low legitimacy of the political system can be attributed to cyclical —governmental mismanagement and corruption scandals— and underlying causes —interpersonal mistrust, detachment from the political activity and insulated elites—. If these trends continue, we may witness a transformation of the party system, the emergence of populist movements and leaders, and the erosion of the quality of Chilean democracy.
本文认为,政治制度的合法性目前处于回归民主以来的最低点。总统支持率在2016年跌至历史最低点。这一年,选举缺席率和对政府三个部门的不信任程度也达到最高水平,对政党的认同程度也达到最低水平。这种政治体系的低合法性可以归因于周期性的政府管理不善和腐败丑闻,以及潜在的原因——人际不信任、脱离政治活动和孤立的精英。如果这些趋势继续下去,我们可能会看到政党制度的转变,民粹主义运动和领导人的出现,以及智利民主质量的侵蚀。
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引用次数: 3
El derecho a sufragio de los menores de edad: El argumento de la capacidad política. 未成年人的选举权:政治能力的争论。
IF 1.4 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3493245
Pablo Marshall
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Revista De Ciencia Politica
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