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Generalized regression neuronal networks to predict the value of numismatic assets. Evidence for the walking liberty half dollar 广义回归神经网络在货币资产价值预测中的应用。行走自由半美元的证据
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100167
Antonio Carlos Alcázar-Blanco , Jessica Paule-Vianez , Miguel Prado-Román , José Luis Coca-Pérez

Unstable fluctuations in financial markets caused by the 2008 financial crisis and currently by the Covid-19 crisis have generated greater concern among investors regarding their capital protection. In view of this situation, the consideration of alternative investments has taken a relevant position to protect their wealth and obtain profits. Due to the relevance of these investments in these times, this study proposes using artificial intelligence to predict the value of alternative investments, specifically the numismatic asset the Walking Liberty Half Dollar. To achieve this objective, the use of Generalized Regression Neural Networks has been proposed over a sample 25 coins of the Walking Liberty Half Dollar with several qualities valued in the period 2000-2019. Two models were proposed, one for the entire selected sample and the other one for each type of coin depending on its year of minting. Thus, it has been found that the model proposed for the entire sample has a success rate of between 86.12% and 97% while the approach for each type of coin obtained success rates that even reach 100%. The variables that have the greatest influence within the model are the state of conservation of the coin, its age, and its exclusivity. In this way, these results provide fundamental information to investors to understand the behaviour of these assets, and to be able to formulate more profitable investment portfolios, especially in times of great economic instability.

2008年金融危机和当前新冠肺炎疫情引发的金融市场不稳定波动,加大了投资者对资本保护的关注。鉴于这种情况,另类投资的考虑已经采取了相应的立场,以保护自己的财富和获取利润。由于这些投资在这些时代的相关性,本研究建议使用人工智能来预测替代投资的价值,特别是货币资产步行自由半美元。为了实现这一目标,我们建议对行走自由半美元的25枚硬币样本使用广义回归神经网络,这些硬币在2000年至2019年期间具有几种品质。提出了两种模型,一种适用于整个选定的样本,另一种适用于每一种硬币,取决于其铸造年份。因此,我们发现,针对整个样本所提出的模型的成功率在86.12% - 97%之间,而针对每种硬币所提出的方法的成功率甚至达到100%。在模型中影响最大的变量是硬币的保存状态、年龄和排他性。通过这种方式,这些结果为投资者了解这些资产的行为提供了基本信息,并能够制定更有利可图的投资组合,特别是在经济极不稳定的时期。
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引用次数: 4
Humanist algorithms for COVID-19 vaccines' distribution and its impact on business economics in the post-pandemic future COVID-19疫苗分配的人本主义算法及其对大流行后未来商业经济的影响
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100173
Jaime Gil-Aluja , Jaime Gil-Lafuente , Martyna Nowak

As the world is fighting against the continuous spread of the COVID-Sars-2 virus and the consequences the pandemic has brought about on economic, political and societal levels, the emergence of the vaccination programs seems to be the biggest hope for a quick return to, popularly called, the “new normal”.

As it is not feasible to vaccinate at the same time the whole population, the states, provinces and cities had arranged – though, admittedly, taking into consideration limited numbers of criteria - homogenous groups of citizens, who, labelled as “risk groups”, have been chosen as those who will be receiving the vaccination before others, adding to the already existing feelings of chaos and shortage.

We want to address the issue that despite the access to the expertise and knowledge of intradisciplinary committees, we still do not have a satisfactory answer regarding the further steps for the vaccination programs. We believe it is due to the persistence of the binary way of reasoning, with its tendency to overlook the complexity of the issue and emphasize objectivity while neglecting the subjective factors that cannot be easily quantified.

For that very reason, we propose the application of the theories of uncertainty with the support of the fuzzy subset theory, which will result in the creation of the humanist algorithms of clustering of populations, allotment of different kinds of vaccine for diverse persons in the groups and, finally, ranking for the priority of vaccination. This approach will allow designing a vaccination model to that will allow to maintain, to the highest possible level, the principles of ethics, morale and solidarity, and efficiency and effectiveness.

随着世界正在与covid -2病毒的持续传播以及大流行对经济,政治和社会层面带来的后果作斗争,疫苗接种计划的出现似乎是迅速恢复所谓的“新常态”的最大希望。由于不可能在所有人口同时接种疫苗,各州、各省和各市安排了——虽然,不可否认,考虑到有限数量的标准——被称为“危险群体”的同质公民群体被选为先于其他人接种疫苗的群体,这加剧了已经存在的混乱和短缺的感觉。我们想要解决的问题是,尽管我们获得了跨学科委员会的专业知识和知识,但对于疫苗接种计划的进一步步骤,我们仍然没有一个令人满意的答案。我们认为,这是由于二元推理方式的持续存在,其倾向于忽视问题的复杂性,强调客观性,而忽视了不易量化的主观因素。因此,我们建议在模糊子集理论的支持下应用不确定性理论,这将导致创建以人为本的群体聚类算法,为群体中不同的人分配不同种类的疫苗,最后对疫苗接种的优先级进行排序。这一方法将有助于设计一种疫苗接种模式,使道德、士气和团结以及效率和效果的原则保持在尽可能高的水平。
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引用次数: 2
The impact of the COVID-19 crisis on consumer purchasing motivation and behavior COVID-19危机对消费者购买动机和行为的影响
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100166
Ulpiano J. Vázquez-Martínez Ph.D. , Javier Morales-Mediano , Antonio L. Leal-Rodríguez Ph.D.

The COVID-19 outbreak changed dramatically and altered the attitudes, intentions and purchasing patterns of consumers. This global crisis was particularly notable because of globalization—the interconnection of markets and countries—and its unprecedented coverage by traditional and digital media.

This research queried the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on consumers’ motivation and behavior. The present paper was based on the results of mixed methods —qualitative and quantitative analyses—conducted in more than 55 countries and collectively engaging 1,015 participants. The studies were performed by the end of March 2020, at which time the pandemic was at its first peak, allowing data to be collected in real time, recording the actual behaviors of consumers and not simply what they could recall after the fact.

As a result of the COVID-19 crisis, many changes took place in consumer behavior related to products, channels, and motivations. These changes proved to be more related to consumers’ perceptions of the crisis than to its practical effects. Several managerial and theoretical implications are provided, as well as compelling future research avenues.

新冠肺炎疫情发生了巨大变化,改变了消费者的态度、意图和购买模式。由于全球化——市场和国家的相互联系——以及传统和数字媒体对其前所未有的报道,这场全球危机尤为引人注目。这项研究质疑了COVID-19危机对消费者动机和行为的影响。本文基于在超过55个国家进行的1015名参与者参与的混合方法(定性和定量分析)的结果。这些研究是在2020年3月底之前进行的,当时疫情正处于第一个高峰期,因此可以实时收集数据,记录消费者的实际行为,而不仅仅是他们事后能回忆起什么。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,消费者行为在产品、渠道、动机等方面发生了许多变化。事实证明,这些变化更多地与消费者对危机的看法有关,而不是与危机的实际影响有关。提供了一些管理和理论意义,以及引人注目的未来研究途径。
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引用次数: 54
Covid-19 vaccines: A model of acceptance behavior in the healthcare sector Covid-19疫苗:医疗保健部门接受行为模型
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100171
Jorge Pelegrín-Borondo , Mario Arias-Oliva , Ala Ali Almahameed , Miguel Prado Román

The emergence of Covid-19 has affected all aspects of human life across the globe. Lockdowns everywhere are having dramatic social and economic consequences. No therapy has yet been approved, and vaccines are a priority potential tool to control the pandemic and its impacts. Multiple vaccines are in the last stage of the development process, but part of the population is not willing to get vaccinated for Covid-19. Several studies have examined the percentage of the population willing to get vaccinated, but few have analyzed the reasons for their decision. In this context, researching the factors influencing individuals’ intention to use a potential Covid-19 vaccine will be important to public health strategies. This paper analyzes these factors with an adapted Cognitive-Affective-Normative (CAN) model. Perceived vaccine efficacy is used as a cognitive variable, fear of the vaccine and fear of Covid-19 are used as affective variables, and social influence is used as the normative variable. The proposed model strongly explains the intention to use the Covid-19 vaccine (R2 = 0.81). The results show that vaccine efficacy will be the most important determinant of Covid-19 vaccine acceptance, followed by social influence. The findings can be very helpful for public health policies aimed at achieving widespread vaccination, a must for vaccine success.

新冠肺炎疫情的出现影响了全球人类生活的方方面面。各地的封锁正在产生严重的社会和经济后果。目前尚未批准任何治疗方法,疫苗是控制大流行及其影响的优先潜在工具。多种疫苗正处于开发过程的最后阶段,但部分人口不愿意接种Covid-19疫苗。有几项研究调查了愿意接种疫苗的人口比例,但很少有研究分析了他们做出这一决定的原因。在这种背景下,研究影响个人使用潜在Covid-19疫苗意愿的因素对公共卫生战略将具有重要意义。本文采用自适应的认知-情感-规范(CAN)模型分析了这些因素。感知疫苗效力作为认知变量,对疫苗的恐惧和对Covid-19的恐惧作为情感变量,社会影响作为规范变量。该模型强有力地解释了使用Covid-19疫苗的意图(R2 = 0.81)。结果表明,疫苗有效性是决定疫苗接受程度的最重要因素,其次是社会影响。这些发现可能对旨在实现广泛接种疫苗的公共卫生政策非常有帮助,这是疫苗成功的必要条件。
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引用次数: 11
Excess momentum or excess inertia: Do companies adopt technologies at the right time?✰,✰✰,★,★★ 过度的动力还是过度的惯性:公司是否在正确的时间采用了技术?✰,✰✰,★★★
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100174
Anna Daviy , Elena Shakina

Drawing on the literature on organizational change, technological change, and inertia, this paper explores how the moment that companies choose to initiate a technological change relative to other companies from the same regional and industrial context influences the company's performance. In particular, we test the excess inertia and excess momentum phenomena that refer to timely and untimely technological shifts in companies. A data set comprising about 1000 of the largest Russian companies, affiliated with 19 industries, located in most of the Russian regions, for 10 years starting from 2008, is used. Applying a multi-level approach of hierarchical linear modeling, we estimated the region environment effect and the industry effect on sales and productivity. The use of moderation effects of the correspondent technology adoption with the average lag or lead from the representative company in the industry or region, could help us demonstrate what digital technologies are probably associated with the excess inertia and the excess momentum phenomena on the industry and regional level. The results reveal that the industry effect is a major determinant of firm productivity, whereas sales are mainly influenced by the region effect. Our investigation also found that companies are more likely to exhibit excess inertia rather than excess momentum.

借鉴有关组织变革、技术变革和惯性的文献,本文探讨了在同一地区和行业背景下,公司相对于其他公司选择启动技术变革的时刻如何影响公司的绩效。特别是,我们测试了过度惯性和过度动量现象,这些现象涉及公司及时和不及时的技术转变。从2008年开始的10年里,使用了一个数据集,包括大约1000家俄罗斯最大的公司,隶属于19个行业,分布在俄罗斯大部分地区。运用层次线性模型的多层次方法,分析了区域环境效应和行业效应对销售和生产率的影响。利用相应技术采用与行业或地区代表性公司的平均滞后或领先的调节效应,可以帮助我们证明哪些数字技术可能与行业和地区层面的过度惯性和过度动量现象有关。结果表明,产业效应是企业生产率的主要决定因素,而销售主要受区域效应的影响。我们的调查还发现,企业更有可能表现出过度的惰性,而不是过度的动力。
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引用次数: 2
Analysing academics’ entrepreneurial opportunities: The influence of academic self-efficacy and networks 学者创业机会分析:学术自我效能感与网络的影响
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100152
Ignacio Mira-Solves, Marina Estrada-Cruz, José María Gómez-Gras

Academic entrepreneurial opportunities are a key factor in the development of new spin-offs. This study examines the relationship between academic entrepreneurial opportunities perceived by academics and these academics’ entrepreneurial self-efficacy (ESE) to determine which dimensions of ESE (among management, innovation, marketing, risk-taking and financial control) are significantly related to these opportunities. It also analyses how industrial and entrepreneurial networks, as part of the university's entrepreneurial ecosystem, influence this relationship. A quantitative method is used to achieve this goal, developing a structural equations model and applying partial least squares technique to analyse a sample of 388 Spanish academics. The results show that the dimensions of ESE related to variables such as management, innovation and marketing have a positive and significant relationship to perception of entrepreneurial opportunities. This situation is different, however, for dimensions such as risk-taking and financial control. Moreover, the findings show that entrepreneurial and industrial networks have a significant effect on this relationship.

学术创业机会是发展新衍生产品的关键因素。本研究考察了学者感知的学术创业机会与这些学者的创业自我效能感(ESE)之间的关系,以确定ESE的哪些维度(管理、创新、营销、冒险和财务控制)与这些机会显著相关。它还分析了工业和创业网络,作为大学创业生态系统的一部分,如何影响这种关系。为了实现这一目标,采用了定量方法,开发了一个结构方程模型,并应用偏最小二乘技术分析了388名西班牙学者的样本。结果表明,与管理、创新、营销等变量相关的ESE维度与创业机会感知呈显著正相关。然而,在风险承担和财务控制等方面,情况有所不同。此外,研究结果表明,创业网络和产业网络对这一关系有显著影响。
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引用次数: 7
How to moderate emotional exhaustion among public healthcare professionals? 如何调节公共医护人员的情绪衰竭?
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2020.100140
M. Ángeles López-Cabarcos , Analía López-Carballeira , Carlos Ferro-Soto

This paper analyzes the mediating role of employees’ emotional exhaustion between laissez-faire leadership and employees’ job attitudes (intrinsic satisfaction and turnover intention), and also the moderating role of influence at work, interactional justice and helping behaviors on employees’ feelings of emotional exhaustion. Structural equation modeling and multigroup analysis were used in a sample of 511 public healthcare professionals. The results show that emotional exhaustion partially mediates the relationships between laissez-faire leadership and both intrinsic satisfaction and turnover intention. Influence at work moderates the relationship between laissez-faire leadership and emotional exhaustion; interactional justice moderates the relationship between emotional exhaustion and intrinsic satisfaction; and extra-role behaviors moderate the relationship between emotional exhaustion and turnover intention. To date, there are few studies analyzing the mediating role of emotional exhaustion in public healthcare, and there are no studies analyzing how its negative effects can be moderated. The conclusions may help human resources managers design new strategies to prevent and mitigate emotional exhaustion and contribute healthcare employees to cope with its serious effects, encouraging a healthy environment that gives priority to workers’ well-being and service quality.

本文分析了自由放任型领导对员工工作态度(内在满意度和离职倾向)的中介作用,以及工作影响力、互动公正和帮助行为对员工情绪衰竭感受的调节作用。对511名公共卫生专业人员进行结构方程建模和多组分析。结果表明,情绪耗竭在自由放任型领导对员工内在满意度和离职倾向的影响中起部分中介作用。工作影响调节了自由放任型领导与情绪耗竭的关系;互动公正调节情绪耗竭与内在满足的关系;角色外行为调节情绪耗竭与离职倾向的关系。迄今为止,很少有研究分析情绪耗竭在公共医疗保健中的中介作用,也没有研究分析如何调节其负面影响。这些结论可以帮助人力资源管理者设计新的策略来预防和减轻情绪耗竭,并帮助医疗保健员工应对其严重影响,鼓励建立一个优先考虑员工福祉和服务质量的健康环境。
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引用次数: 11
Do firms benefit from interactions with public research organisations beyond innovation? An analysis of small firms 除了创新之外,企业是否从与公共研究机构的互动中受益?对小企业的分析
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100148
Jaider Vega-Jurado , Ana García-Granero , Liney Manjarrés-Henríquez

In this paper we argue that there is an extensive number of studies examining how firms obtain new products from their interactions with scientific agents, but other type of benefits has been overlooked. Specifically, we add to previous literature by considering not only product innovation, but also exploratory (long-term) and exploitative (short-term) results. We administer a tailored survey to firms collaborating with the Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) and data was completed with secondary sources. Results based on a sample of 756 firms suggest that firms consider all types of result as moderately important to them. Moreover, we observe that small firms report higher benefits in terms of product innovation and long-term results in contrast to large firms.

在本文中,我们认为有大量的研究考察了企业如何从与科学代理人的相互作用中获得新产品,但其他类型的利益被忽视了。具体而言,我们不仅考虑了产品创新,还考虑了探索性(长期)和剥削性(短期)结果,从而补充了之前的文献。我们对与西班牙国家研究委员会(CSIC)合作的公司进行了量身定制的调查,数据由二手来源完成。基于756家公司样本的结果表明,公司认为所有类型的结果对他们来说都是中等重要的。此外,我们观察到,与大公司相比,小企业在产品创新和长期成果方面报告的收益更高。
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引用次数: 6
A business model adoption based on tourism innovation: Applying a gratification theory to mobile applications 基于旅游创新的商业模式采用:满足理论在移动应用中的应用
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2021.100149
Pedro Palos-Sanchez , Jose Ramon Saura , Felix Velicia-Martin , Gabriel Cepeda-Carrion

The purpose of this paper is to improve understanding of Tourism Innovation by using a Uses and Gratification Theory model to investigate tourist intention to visit a city after reading other users' valuations of the destination on Mobile Applications.

The Uses and Gratification Theory (U&G) model was adapted to investigate the factors which influence tourist intention to visit a city. Satisfaction and Tourism Experience were added as external variables to the U&G model. The original Convenience construct for mobile tourism applications was changed to Mobile Convenience for this study.

A survey was carried out to investigate the factors which influence tourist intention to visit a City. 261 users with different nationalities were asked about their experiences and feelings when using Runnin'City, which was the mobile tourism application used in this study. The results were analyzed with Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). All the relationships of U&G were supported, except for Information for Tourism Experience.

Self-Expression was found to be especially relevant and was moderated by Entertainment, Information and Mobile Convenience which in turn influence Satisfaction, Tourism Experience and Intention to visit a City.

The Gender and Running frequency variables were also investigated using multi-group analysis. The influence of Mobile Convenience on Satisfaction was seen to be moderated by Gender, and the relationships of Information and Entertainment on satisfaction are moderated by Running Frequency.

The results obtained with the proposed changes in the U&G model will be very useful for academics and also for designers and developers of mobile tourism apps as they show the special role played by Self-Expression and Entertainment as relevant factors for the success of a mobile tourism app.

本文的目的是通过使用和满足理论模型来调查游客在阅读其他用户在移动应用程序上对目的地的评价后访问某个城市的意愿,从而提高对旅游创新的理解。采用使用与满足理论(U&G)模型对影响游客访城意愿的因素进行了研究。在U&G模型中加入满意度和旅游体验作为外部变量。本研究将原来的移动旅游应用的便利结构改为移动便利。为了探讨影响游客访城意向的因素,我们对261名不同国籍的用户进行了问卷调查,询问他们在使用本研究中使用的移动旅游应用程序“润宁城”时的体验和感受。采用偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)对结果进行分析。除Information for Tourism Experience外,U&G的所有关系均得到支持。研究发现,自我表达与旅游满意度、旅游体验和旅游意愿的关系尤其密切,并受到娱乐、信息和移动便利的调节。采用多组分析对性别和跑步频率变量进行了调查。移动便利性对满意度的影响被性别调节,信息和娱乐对满意度的关系被运行频率调节。通过对U&G模型提出的变化所获得的结果将对学者以及移动旅游应用程序的设计师和开发人员非常有用,因为它们显示了自我表达和娱乐作为移动旅游应用程序成功的相关因素所发挥的特殊作用。
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引用次数: 36
Transient nature of the employees’ job satisfaction: The case of the IT industry in Bosnia and Herzegovina 员工工作满意度的短暂性:以波黑IT行业为例
IF 5.8 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.iedeen.2020.100141
Muamer Bezdrob , Aziz Šunje

In a time of persistent and fierce “war for talents,” which is naturally inherent to the knowledge-intensive industries, the issue of employees’ job satisfaction is of the utmost managerial significance. In that respect, this study explores certain intrinsic factors that underlie the job satisfaction concept, as well as the durability of employees’ job satisfaction. Based on the extant literature, a theoretical model of job satisfaction was designed, which was subsequently tested using the data gathered through the surveys conducted over the ten years. The results obtained by model testing show that employees’ job expectations make up that particular intrinsic factor that differentiates job satisfaction from non-satisfaction. More intriguingly, the results showed that prior job satisfaction is not a reliable predictor of later job satisfaction.

在知识密集型产业所固有的持续激烈的“人才争夺战”中,员工的工作满意度问题具有极大的管理意义。在这方面,本研究探讨了工作满意度概念背后的某些内在因素,以及员工工作满意度的持久性。在现有文献的基础上,设计了一个工作满意度的理论模型,随后使用十多年来进行的调查收集的数据对其进行了测试。模型检验的结果表明,员工的工作期望构成了区分工作满意与不满意的特定内在因素。更有趣的是,结果表明,先前的工作满意度并不能可靠地预测以后的工作满意度。
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引用次数: 13
期刊
European Research on Management and Business Economics
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