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Law Production in Multiparty Presidentialism: Veto Player Theory and its Application to Korea 多党制总统制的法律产生:否决者理论及其在韩国的应用
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-20 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.32
Woojin Moon
Abstract In this article, I offer a theory of lawmaking in multiparty presidential systems with different legislative institutions. I present a model that combines Krehbiel's pivotal politics theory with Tsebelis's veto players theory. This model simplifies various institutional veto players into the de facto veto players. I analyze the model to explain how the government type (unified versus divided governments), the legislative rules (majoritarian versus supermajoritarian rules), and the party system (two-party versus multiparty systems) affect legislative productivity. I apply the theoretical results obtained to solve the puzzle about the nondifferential legislative performance between unified and divided governments in the National Assembly. I test a hypothesis stating that the distance between the ideological positions of the agenda-setter and the de facto veto players has a negative effect on the proportion of controversial bills enacted between the 16th and the early 21st National Assemblies.
本文提出了一种具有不同立法机构的多党制总统制下的立法理论。我提出了一个模型,它结合了克雷比尔的关键政治理论和塞贝利斯的否决者理论。该模型将各种制度上的否决主体简化为事实上的否决主体。我分析这个模型是为了解释政府类型(统一政府与分裂政府)、立法规则(多数主义与超多数主义规则)和政党制度(两党制与多党制)如何影响立法生产力。本文将所得的理论结果应用于解决国会中统一政府与分裂政府之间的非差异立法绩效难题。我测试了一个假设,即议程制定者和实际否决权者的思想立场之间的距离对第16届至第21届国会初期制定的争议法案的比例产生了负面影响。
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引用次数: 0
What Exactly is it that the Taiwan Greens Want? Extracting “Taiwan Subjectivity” from the Liberty Times Newspaper 台湾绿党到底想要什么?从《自由时报》看“台湾主体性”
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-20 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.37
Daniel C. Lynch, Cody Wai-kwok Yau
Abstract One source of the idea that Taiwan independence would be politically desirable is belief in the concept of “Taiwan subjectivity,” which indicates that Taiwan is not an appendage of China but instead an autonomous actor charting its own course – or trying to do so in the face of huge difficulties. The ruling (since 2016) Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) pledges fealty to the goal of ultimately realizing subjectivity but cannot aggressively pursue the agenda because of opposition from the People's Republic of China (PRC), the United States, and some in Taiwan itself. What might that agenda be? Using a Structural Topic Model, we excavate the subjectivity discourse as it developed from 2008 to 2020 in the mainstream DPP-supporting newspaper, the Liberty Times. We find fourteen topics associated with the concept, the most prevalent of which in recent years warn of threats to subjectivity's realization in the political and sociocultural spheres.
台湾独立在政治上是理想的想法的一个来源是对“台湾主体性”概念的信念,这表明台湾不是中国的附属物,而是一个自主的行动者,制定自己的路线——或者在面临巨大困难的情况下试图这样做。执政(自2016年以来)的民进党(DPP)承诺忠于最终实现主体性的目标,但由于中华人民共和国(PRC)、美国和台湾本身的一些人的反对,无法积极推行这一议程。这个议程可能是什么?本文运用结构性话题模型,挖掘民进党主流报纸《自由时报》主体性话语在2008年至2020年间的发展脉络。我们发现了与这一概念相关的14个主题,其中近年来最流行的是对主体性在政治和社会文化领域实现的威胁发出警告。
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引用次数: 0
THE EFFECTS OF FOREIGN LANGUAGE PROFICIENCY ON PUBLIC ATTITUDES: EVIDENCE FROM THE CHINESE-SPEAKING WORLD – CORRIGENDUM 外语水平对公众态度的影响:来自汉语世界的证据&更正
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-18 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.31
Yue Hu, Amy H. Liu
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引用次数: 4
THE LONG-TERM EFFECTS OF STATE REPRESSION ON POLITICAL BEHAVIOR AND ATTITUDES: EVIDENCE FROM TAIWAN 国家镇压对政治行为和态度的长期影响:来自台湾的证据
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.24
Fang-Yi Chiou, J. Hong
Abstract This article examines how violence against citizens affects their political attitudes and behavior in the long run, and how those effects vary over time. We construct and analyze a novel dataset on the victims of Taiwan's February 28 Incident, in 1947, with survey data spanning 1990 to 2017. Our empirical analysis shows that cohorts having directly or indirectly experienced the Incident are less likely to support the Kuomintang Party (KMT), the former authoritarian ruling party responsible for the Incident. They tend to disagree with the key conventional policy stand of the KMT (unification with mainland China), are more likely to self-identify as Taiwanese, and are less likely to vote for KMT presidential candidates. Taiwan's residents who were born in towns with larger number of casualties during the Incident are more likely to reject unification. Finally, the effects are found to vary over the period following democratization.
本文考察了针对公民的暴力如何长期影响他们的政治态度和行为,以及这些影响如何随时间变化。我们构建并分析了一个关于1947年台湾二二八事件受害者的新数据集,调查数据跨越1990年至2017年。我们的实证分析显示,直接或间接经历过“台海事件”的族群,支持国民党的可能性较低,国民党是台海事件的前威权执政党。他们倾向于不同意国民党的关键传统政策立场(与中国大陆统一),更有可能自我认同为台湾人,并且不太可能投票给国民党的总统候选人。出生在事件中伤亡人数较多的城镇的台湾居民更有可能拒绝统一。最后,我们发现,在民主化之后的一段时间内,这种影响有所不同。
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引用次数: 3
JEA volume 21 issue 3 Cover and Front matter JEA第21卷第3期封面和封面问题
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.34
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引用次数: 0
JEA volume 21 issue 3 Cover and Back matter JEA第21卷第3期封面和封底
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.35
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引用次数: 0
IS JAPAN BACK? MEASURING NATIONALISM AND MILITARY ASSERTIVENESS IN ASIA'S OTHER GREAT POWER 日本回来了吗?衡量亚洲另一个大国的民族主义和军事自信
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-11-01 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.20
Jennifer M. Lind, C. Ueki
Abstract Observers of East Asia frequently claim that Japanese nationalism is on the rise, and that Tokyo is abandoning its longtime military restraint. To determine whether these trends are indeed occurring, we define and measure Japan's nationalism and military assertiveness; we measure whether they are rising relative to Japan in the past, and relative to seven other countries. Drawing from social identity theory, we distinguish between “nationalism” and a more benign “patriotism.” We find in Japan (1) strong patriotism that is stable over time, and no evidence of rising nationalism. Furthermore we find that (2) military assertiveness remains generally low, but it has risen in terms of decreased institutional constraints and peacekeeping activities. Our findings have important implications for academic debates about nationalism and Japanese security policy, and for policy debates about a nascent balancing effort against China.
东亚观察家经常声称,日本民族主义正在抬头,东京正在放弃长期以来的军事克制。为了确定这些趋势是否真的在发生,我们定义并衡量了日本的民族主义和军事自信;我们衡量它们相对于过去的日本和其他七个国家是否在上升。根据社会认同理论,我们区分了“民族主义”和更温和的“爱国主义”。我们发现在日本,强烈的爱国主义随着时间的推移而稳定,没有民族主义上升的迹象。此外,我们发现(2)军事自信总体上仍然很低,但在机构限制和维和活动减少方面有所上升。我们的研究结果对关于民族主义和日本安全政策的学术辩论,以及关于针对中国的新生平衡努力的政策辩论具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
WHO PROTESTS AND WHY: HIERARCHICAL GOVERNMENT TRUST AND PROTEST PARTICIPATION IN CHINA 谁抗议,为什么抗议:分级政府信任和中国的抗议参与
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.26
Yen-Hsin Chen, Philip Paolino, T. D. Mason
Abstract We present a theory on how trust in the central government to remedy grievances combined with a lack of trust in local government to act motivates people to participate in local protests in China. Low trust in local government combined with high trust in the central government gives people expectation that protest will not be an exercise in futility. People protest to redress injustices when they believe that such protests have a chance of producing a favorable resolution of their grievances. Utilizing individual level data from the Asian Barometer Survey Wave 4, our analysis suggests that, in contemporary China, people who have greater trust in the central government than the local government are more likely than others to report having participated in protests. In a society without meaningful elections, participating in protest is an effective strategy for attracting the attention from the upper-level authorities in hope of redressing unfavorable situations.
摘要:本文提出了一种理论,说明人们对中央政府的信任与对地方政府行动的不信任如何激励人们参与中国的地方抗议活动。对地方政府的低信任度与对中央政府的高信任度相结合,使人们期望抗议不会是徒劳的。当人们认为这样的抗议有机会对他们的不满产生有利的解决方案时,他们就会为纠正不公正而抗议。利用亚洲晴雨表调查第四波的个人层面数据,我们的分析表明,在当代中国,对中央政府比地方政府更信任的人比其他人更有可能报告参加抗议活动。在没有真正意义的选举的社会中,参与抗议是吸引上级当局关注、希望扭转不利局面的有效策略。
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引用次数: 2
PRESIDENTS AND THE CONDITIONAL CORE-SWING TARGETING OF THE NATIONAL SUBSIDY IN SOUTH KOREA, 1989–2018 1989-2018年韩国总统和有条件的核心国家补贴目标
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.22
W. Kim
Abstract In this article, I present a theory of conditional core-swing targeting that focuses on the competition for majority control in legislative elections to explain how presidents use their strong budgetary powers to manipulate the distribution of the national subsidy in South Korea. Presidents whose parties already possess a legislative majority are expected to favor core municipalities to strengthen the foundations of their majority constituency, whereas those who seek majority control are predicted to prioritize swing municipalities in an effort to cross the majority threshold. Presidents are also anticipated to respond to the electoral cycle by shifting subsidies to riskier municipalities when elections approach. Using a novel data set on national subsidy allocations that spans three decades, I find evidence in favor of the hypotheses. This article demonstrates that the beneficiaries of distributive favoritism are not fixed, and that politicians can engage in complex and varied targeting strategies to achieve their objectives.
摘要在这篇文章中,我提出了一个有条件的核心摇摆目标理论,该理论侧重于在立法选举中争夺多数控制权,以解释总统如何利用其强大的预算权力操纵韩国的国家补贴分配。政党已经拥有立法多数席位的总统预计会支持核心市镇,以加强其多数选区的基础,而那些寻求多数控制权的总统预计将优先考虑摇摆市镇,努力跨越多数席位的门槛。预计总统还将在选举临近时将补贴转移到风险较高的市政当局,以应对选举周期。使用一组跨越三十年的关于国家补贴分配的新数据,我发现了支持这些假设的证据。这篇文章表明,分配偏袒的受益者不是固定的,政治家可以采取复杂多样的目标策略来实现他们的目标。
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引用次数: 2
CAN ECONOMIC INTEGRATION REDUCE SOCIAL UNREST? EVIDENCE FROM CHINA, HONG KONG, AND MACAU 经济一体化能减少社会动荡吗?证据来自中国、香港和澳门
IF 1.3 3区 社会学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-10-22 DOI: 10.1017/jea.2021.23
Hei Chan
Abstract When dealing with autonomous regions, states may utilize Unionist Economic Integration (UEI) programs to forge a stronger sense of unionism. However, the literature has not been able to explain why UEIs work differently across regions. With the identical UEI implemented in Macau and Hong Kong, Macau seems to be firmly within Beijing's grasp, yet protests in Hong Kong are still intensive. Why is economic integration effective in appeasing some regions, but not others in the same polity? I argue that what makes UEI effective in appeasing a region is the region's economic dependence on the national center. UEIs add to the expected cost of contention, and thus high economic dependence sets that baseline to a higher degree, leading to effective appeasement with UEIs. I illustrate my argument with empirical analyses of two original datasets of protest counts and discontent with authoritarian institutions in Hong Kong, Macau, and Chinese provinces.
在处理自治区问题时,各国可以利用联合主义经济一体化(UEI)计划来打造更强烈的联合主义意识。然而,文献并不能解释为什么ui在不同地区的工作方式不同。由于澳门和香港实行了相同的UEI,澳门似乎牢牢地掌握在北京手中,但香港的抗议活动仍然很激烈。为什么经济一体化对安抚某些地区有效,但对安抚同一政体下的其他地区却无效?我认为,UEI之所以能有效地安抚一个地区,是因为该地区对国家中心的经济依赖。ui增加了竞争的预期成本,因此高经济依赖性将基线设置到更高的程度,从而导致对ui的有效安抚。我通过对两个原始数据集的实证分析来说明我的观点,这些数据集反映了香港、澳门和中国各省的抗议数量和对威权机构的不满。
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引用次数: 1
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Journal of East Asian Studies
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