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The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Restaurant Resilience: Lessons, Generalizations, and Ideas for Future Research COVID-19大流行对餐厅恢复力的影响:教训,概括和未来研究的想法
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0293
Kate Karniouchina, Kumar R. Sarangee, Carol Theokary, Raoul V. Kübler
Pandemics cause business disruptions that have serious implications for the design and delivery of services, leading to adverse performance consequences for services industries. Focusing on the restaurant industry, the authors present a conceptual framework of restaurants’ resilience during a pandemic that is grounded in existing services and strategy research, secondary and qualitative sources, and insights obtained from social media data. This framework is tested via an empirical analysis of the Yelp COVID-19 data set. Several interesting trends in consumer preferences are identified including a rapid shift toward third-party app delivery models. Surprisingly, the analysis shows that partnering with third-party app delivery services before COVID improved firms’ resilience, whereas during the pandemic, these partnerships have a negative impact on restaurant survival. Furthermore, the study documents some important differences between the drivers of restaurant survival before versus during the pandemic, highlighting critical changes in consumer preferences that may shape the industry in the future.
大流行病造成业务中断,对服务的设计和提供产生严重影响,对服务行业的业绩造成不利影响。作者以餐饮业为重点,提出了一个基于现有服务和战略研究、二手和定性来源以及从社交媒体数据中获得的见解的餐馆在大流行期间恢复力的概念框架。通过对Yelp COVID-19数据集的实证分析,对该框架进行了测试。我们发现了消费者偏好的几个有趣趋势,包括向第三方应用交付模式的快速转变。令人惊讶的是,分析表明,在COVID之前与第三方应用程序交付服务合作提高了公司的抵御能力,而在大流行期间,这些合作关系对餐厅的生存产生了负面影响。此外,该研究还记录了疫情前和疫情期间餐馆生存驱动因素之间的一些重要差异,突出了消费者偏好的重大变化,这些变化可能会影响未来的行业。
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引用次数: 7
Dynamic Rebalancing Strategy in Free-Float Bicycle Sharing Systems: Orbit Queues and Two-Sided Matching 自由浮动共享单车系统的动态再平衡策略:轨道队列与双边匹配
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-26 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0287
Zhi Pei, Xu Dai, Tianzong Yu, Lu Zhao, Qiaochu He
In populous metropolitan areas, the free-floating bicycle-sharing system (FFBSS) acts as an innovative urban mobility as a service, which provides an ease-of-use feature and extra flexibility in contrast to the traditional shared bicycles with docks. In consideration of customer behaviors, such as abandonment and retrial, which occur in FFBSS, a redistribution strategy for shared bicycles among different user-density locations is presented with an aim to diminish the total operational cost while enhancing the overall service level. To formulate the user and multitype shared bicycle–arrival patterns as nonhomogeneous queues, our results provide a tractable analytical paradigm for a time-varying balancing strategy for FFBSS. The bicycle variation at each virtual zone after each redistribution is determined via a nonstationary queueing model, in which the service time, patience time, and research delay are all subject to general distribution. Then, the bicycle-deployment strategy is evaluated with respect to average queueing length and abandonment rate during a normal workday based on a tailored nonhomogeneous probabilistic matching queue. To verify the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of the proposed bicycle-redistribution strategy, multiple simulation runs are conducted with respect to various times of the day. It shows that the resulting optimal rebalancing strategy is batch-based in synchrony with the time heterogeneity in the traffic demand. Furthermore, several managerial insights are provided to shed light on the rule of thumb in practical FFBSS redistribution coordination.
在人口稠密的大都市地区,自由浮动的共享单车系统(FFBSS)作为一种创新的城市交通服务,与传统的有码头的共享单车相比,它提供了易于使用的特点和额外的灵活性。针对FFBSS中存在的用户放弃、重审等行为,提出了共享单车在不同用户密度位置的再分配策略,以降低总运营成本,提高整体服务水平。为了将用户和多类型共享自行车到达模式表述为非同构队列,我们的研究结果为FFBSS的时变平衡策略提供了一个易于处理的分析范式。通过非平稳排队模型确定每次重新分配后每个虚拟区域的自行车变化,其中服务时间、等待时间和研究延迟均服从一般分布。然后,基于定制的非均匀概率匹配队列,对正常工作日的平均排队长度和放弃率进行了评估。为了验证所提出的自行车再分配策略的有效性和成本效益,我们在一天中的不同时间进行了多次模拟运行。结果表明,基于批处理的最优再平衡策略与交通需求的时间异质性是同步的。此外,还提供了一些管理见解,以阐明实际ffffbss再分配协调中的经验法则。
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引用次数: 2
Partner with a Third-Party Delivery Service or Not? A Prediction-and-Decision Tool for Restaurants Facing Takeout Demand Surges During a Pandemic 是否与第三方快递服务合作?大流行期间面临外卖需求激增的餐馆的预测和决策工具
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2022-01-21 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0294
Huiwen Jia, Siqian Shen, Jorge Alberto Ramírez García, Cong Shi
Amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, restaurants become more reliant on no-contact pick-up or delivery ways for serving customers. As a result, they need to make tactical planning decisions such as whether to partner with online platforms, to form their own delivery team, or both. In this paper, we develop an integrated prediction-decision model to analyze the profit of combining the two approaches and to decide the needed number of drivers under stochastic demand. We first use the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model to forecast future infected cases in a given region and then construct an autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) regression model to predict food-ordering demand. Using predicted demand samples, we formulate a stochastic integer program to optimize food delivery plans. We conduct numerical studies using COVID-19 data and food-ordering demand data collected from local restaurants in Nuevo Leon, Mexico, from April to October 2020, to show results for helping restaurants build contingency plans under rapid market changes. Our method can be used under unexpected demand surges, various infection/vaccination status, and demand patterns. Our results show that a restaurant can benefit from partnering with third-party delivery platforms when (i) the subscription fee is low, (ii) customers can flexibly decide whether to order from platforms or from restaurants directly, (iii) customers require more efficient delivery, (iv) average delivery distance is long, or (v) demand variance is high.
在新冠肺炎疫情期间,餐厅越来越依赖于非接触式取货或送餐方式为顾客服务。因此,他们需要做出战术规划决策,比如是否与在线平台合作,组建自己的交付团队,或者两者兼而有之。本文建立了一个综合预测决策模型,分析了两种方法结合的收益,并确定了在随机需求下所需的驾驶员数量。我们首先使用易感-感染-恢复(SIR)模型来预测特定地区未来的感染病例,然后构建自回归-移动平均(ARMA)回归模型来预测订餐需求。利用预测的需求样本,我们制定了一个随机整数程序来优化食品配送计划。我们利用2020年4月至10月从墨西哥新莱昂当地餐馆收集的COVID-19数据和订餐需求数据进行了数值研究,以展示帮助餐馆在快速市场变化下制定应急计划的结果。我们的方法可用于意外需求激增、各种感染/疫苗接种状态和需求模式。我们的研究结果表明,当(i)订阅费较低时,(ii)顾客可以灵活地决定是从平台订购还是直接从餐馆订购,(iii)顾客需要更高效的送货,(iv)平均送货距离较长,或(v)需求方差较大时,餐厅可以从与第三方配送平台合作中受益。
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引用次数: 5
Frontiers in Service Science: Integrating ESG Measures and Supply Chain Management: Research Opportunities in the Postpandemic Era 服务科学前沿:整合ESG措施和供应链管理:大流行后时代的研究机会
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0295
Tinglong Dai, Christopher S. Tang
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the instrumental role of supply chains in delivering economic, human, and societal value. At the same time, the pandemic has intensified interest among businesses, governments, and academics to examine environmental, social, and governance (ESG) issues. In today’s hyper-globalized economy, ESG measures are futile unless they explicitly incorporate a firm’s end-to-end operations throughout its entire supply chain. On the other hand, well-calibrated ESG measures should play a central role in guiding a firms’ day-to-day supply chain management practices. To illustrate the value of unifying ESG and end-to-end supply chain thinking, we present three supply chain cases that arose amid the COVID-19 pandemic, involving online platforms; public health supply chains; and vaccine development, manufacturing, and distribution, respectively. Drawn from these three cases, we spotlight some new research opportunities in both ESG and supply chain management.
2019冠状病毒病大流行凸显了供应链在实现经济、人力和社会价值方面的重要作用。与此同时,疫情加剧了企业、政府和学术界对研究环境、社会和治理(ESG)问题的兴趣。在当今高度全球化的经济中,ESG措施是徒劳的,除非它们明确地将公司在整个供应链中的端到端运营纳入其中。另一方面,精心校准的ESG指标应在指导企业日常供应链管理实践中发挥核心作用。为了说明统一ESG和端到端供应链思维的价值,我们介绍了在COVID-19大流行期间出现的三个供应链案例,涉及在线平台;公共卫生供应链;以及疫苗的研发、生产和分销。从这三个案例中,我们重点介绍了ESG和供应链管理方面的一些新的研究机会。
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引用次数: 17
Embedding Isolation, Contact Tracing, and Quarantine in Transmission Dynamics of the Coronavirus Epidemic—A Case Study of COVID-19 in Wuhan 冠状病毒传播动力学中的嵌入隔离、接触者追踪和隔离——以武汉市COVID-19为例
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-29 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0291
Miao Yu, Zhongsheng Hua
Coronaviruses have caused multiple global pandemics. As an emerging epidemic, the coronavirus disease relies on nonpharmacological interventions to control its spread. However, the specific effects of these interventions are unknown. To evaluate their effects, we extend the susceptible–latent–infectious–recovered model to include suspected cases, confirmed cases, and their contacts and to embed isolation, close contact tracing, and quarantine into transmission dynamics. The model simplifies the population into two parts: the undiscovered part (where the virus spreads freely—the extent of freedom is determined by the strength of social distancing policy) and the discovered part (where the cases are incompletely isolated or quarantined). Through the isolation of the index case (suspected or confirmed case) and the subsequent tracing and quarantine of its close contacts, the infections flow from the undiscovered part to the discovered part. In our case study, multisource data of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) in Wuhan were collected to validate the model, the parameters were calibrated based on the prediction of the actual number of infections, and then the time-varying effective reproduction number was obtained to measure the transmissibility of COVID-19 in Wuhan, revealing the timeliness and lag effect of the nonpharmacological interventions adopted there. Finally, we simulated the situation in the absence of a strict social distancing policy. Results show that the current efforts of isolation, close contact tracing, and quarantine can take the epidemic curve to the turning point, but the epidemic could be far from over; there were still 4,035 infected people, and 1,584 latent people in the undiscovered part on March 11, 2020, when the epidemic was actually over with a strict social distancing policy.
冠状病毒引发了多次全球大流行。作为一种新兴的流行病,冠状病毒病依靠非药物干预来控制其传播。然而,这些干预措施的具体效果尚不清楚。为了评估其效果,我们将易感潜伏感染恢复模型扩展到包括疑似病例、确诊病例及其接触者,并将隔离、密切接触者追踪和隔离纳入传播动力学。该模型将人口简化为两部分:未被发现的部分(病毒自由传播的程度由社会距离政策的力度决定)和已发现的部分(病例未完全隔离或隔离)。通过对指示病例(疑似或确诊病例)的隔离,以及后续对其密切接触者的追踪和隔离,使感染从未发现部位流向已发现部位。本研究通过收集武汉市新型冠状病毒SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19)的多源数据对模型进行验证,并根据实际感染人数的预测对参数进行校正,得到时变有效繁殖数,以衡量COVID-19在武汉市的传播性,揭示了在武汉市采取的非药物干预措施的时效性和滞后性。最后,我们模拟了没有严格的社交距离政策的情况。结果表明,目前采取的隔离、密切接触者追踪和隔离等措施可以使疫情曲线走向拐点,但疫情可能远未结束;2020年3月11日,在严格的社会距离政策下,疫情实际上已经结束,但仍有4035人感染,1584人潜伏在未被发现的地区。
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引用次数: 2
Call for Papers: Service Science/Stochastic Systems Joint Special Issue 征文:服务科学/随机系统联合特刊
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-23 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0297
S. Benjaafar, S. Henderson
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引用次数: 0
Linking Customization Capability with CRM Technology Adoption and Strategic Alignment 将定制能力与CRM技术采用和战略对齐联系起来
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-14 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0286
Hung-Tai Tsou
Building on contingency theory and the input–process–output model, this paper investigates the relationships between customer relationship management (CRM) technology adoption, customization capability, CRM effectiveness, and strategic alignment. By surveying senior managers of customized service projects from 288 information technology service firms in Taiwan, we find that CRM technology adoption has a positive relationship with customization capacity, which is, in turn, positively correlated with CRM effectiveness with the correlation being moderated by strategic alignment. This study suggests that CRM marketing and operational technologies can enhance CRM effectiveness via customization capability. This study also uncovers approaches to achieving enhancement.
基于权变理论和投入-过程-产出模型,本文研究了客户关系管理(CRM)技术采用、定制能力、客户关系管理有效性和战略一致性之间的关系。本研究透过调查台湾288家资讯科技服务公司的客制化专案高层管理人员,发现客制化技术采用率与客制化能力呈正相关,客制化能力与客制化效能正相关,且受策略一致性的调节。研究表明,客户关系管理营销和运营技术可以通过定制能力提升客户关系管理的有效性。这项研究还揭示了实现增强的方法。
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引用次数: 3
Optimal Pooling, Batching, and Pasteurizing of Donor Human Milk 供体母乳的最佳池化、分批和巴氏消毒
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-13 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0285
Ruichen Sun, L. Maillart, Silviya Valeva, Andrew J. Schaefer, Shaina Starks
Human breast milk provides nutritional and medicinal benefits that are important to infants, particularly those who are premature or ill. Donor human milk, collected, processed, and dispensed via milk banks, is the standard of care for infants in need whose mothers cannot provide an adequate supply of milk. In this paper, we focus on streamlining donor human milk processing at nonprofit milk banks. On days that milk is processed, milk banks thaw frozen deposits, pool together milk from multiple donors to meet nutritional specifications of predefined milk types, bottle and divide the pools into batches, and pasteurize the batches using equipment with various degrees of labor requirements. Limitations in staffing and equipment and the need to follow strict healthcare protocols require productive, expedient, and frugal pooling strategies. We formulate integer programs that optimize the batching-pasteurizing decisions and the integrated pooling-batching-pasteurizing decisions by minimizing labor and meeting target production goals. We further strengthen these formulations by establishing valid inequalities for the integrated model. Numerical results demonstrate a reduction in the optimality gap through the strengthened formulation versus the basic integer programming formulation. A case study at Mothers’ Milk Bank of North Texas demonstrates significant improvement in meeting milk type production targets and a modest reduction in labor compared with former practice. The model is in use at Mothers’ Milk Bank of North Texas and has effectively improved their production balance across different milk types.
母乳提供的营养和药用价值对婴儿,特别是早产儿或患病婴儿非常重要。通过母乳库收集、加工和分配的捐赠母乳,是母亲无法提供足够母乳供应的有需要婴儿的标准护理。在本文中,我们专注于精简捐赠人乳处理在非营利母乳银行。在牛奶加工的日子里,奶库将冷冻的牛奶解冻,将来自多个捐赠者的牛奶汇集在一起,以满足预定义的牛奶类型的营养要求,将这些牛奶装瓶并分成批次,并使用不同程度的劳动要求的设备对批次进行巴氏消毒。人员和设备的限制以及遵循严格的医疗保健协议的需要需要高效、权宜之计和节俭的汇集策略。我们制定了整数程序,以最小化劳动力和满足目标生产目标为目标,优化分批-巴氏灭菌决策和综合池-分批-巴氏灭菌决策。我们通过建立有效的综合模型不等式进一步加强了这些公式。数值结果表明,与基本的整数规划公式相比,强化公式减小了最优性差距。北德克萨斯州母乳银行的一个案例研究表明,与以前的做法相比,在满足奶类生产目标和适度减少劳动力方面取得了重大进展。该模型在北德克萨斯州的母乳银行使用,有效地改善了不同类型母乳的生产平衡。
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引用次数: 1
Caring for an Aging Population in a Post-Pandemic World: Emerging Trends in the U.S. Older Adult Care Industry 在大流行后的世界中照顾老龄化人口:美国老年人护理行业的新趋势
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0280
Lu Kong,Kejia Hu,Matthew Walsman
This paper examines older adult care services during the outbreak of the COVID-19 global pandemic. Specifically, it investigates emerging developments initiated or augmented by the pandemic and discusses their permanency in a postpandemic world. Primary survey data are collected from both older adult care-providing organizations (supply) and individuals receiving or considering care (demand) in the United States. Qualitative support from various sources supplements the surveys. The results indicate a movement toward deinstitutional care options, which began prepandemic but intensified during the outbreak. Care organizations confirm this development, reporting more occupancy-related concerns. Findings also suggest that telehealth and digital communication tools have substantially expanded. Benefits, issues, and future projections of these trends are discussed, and some suggestions for industry reform are proposed. These results illuminate many actionable ideas for various stakeholders, including older adults, industry practitioners, and policymakers.
本文研究了COVID-19全球大流行爆发期间的老年人护理服务。具体而言,它调查了大流行引发或加强的新发展,并讨论了它们在大流行后世界中的持久性。主要调查数据收集自美国老年人护理提供组织(供应)和接受或考虑护理的个人(需求)。来自不同来源的定性支持补充了调查。结果表明,在大流行前开始朝着非机构护理选择方向发展,但在疫情爆发期间得到加强。护理组织证实了这一发展,报告了更多与占用相关的问题。调查结果还表明,远程保健和数字通信工具已大大扩大。讨论了这些趋势带来的好处、存在的问题和未来的预测,并对行业改革提出了一些建议。这些结果为各种利益相关者(包括老年人、行业从业者和政策制定者)阐明了许多可行的想法。
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引用次数: 0
Appreciation to Referees, 2021 感谢裁判,2021年
IF 2.3 4区 管理学 Q3 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1287/serv.2021.0288
Saif Benjaafar, Editor-in-Chief of Service Science, thanks the referees who have generously provided expert counsel and guidance on a voluntary basis to the journal. Without them, the journal would not be able to function. The following list acknowledges those who acted as referees for papers considered during this past calendar year.
《服务科学》主编Saif Benjaafar感谢那些慷慨地自愿为该杂志提供专家咨询和指导的审稿人。没有他们,杂志就无法运作。以下列表确认在过去日历年中担任论文评审的人员。
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引用次数: 0
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Service Science
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