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Ethnic wealth inequality in England and Wales, 1858–2018 英格兰和威尔士的种族财富不平等,1858-2018 年
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101617
Neil Cummins

Using surnames from the universe of death and wealth-at-death records in England and Wales, from 1858 to 2018, I document the emergence of a modern ethnic wealth gradient. Historically, Non-British ethnicities have average wealth 2–5 times that of the English. However, this premium has decreased over the 20th century. By 1980, non-British ethnicities have no advantage over the British. However, this masks considerable heterogeneity within the non-British ethnicity group. Europeans typically die significantly richer than the English whereas the Pakistani and Swedish die significantly poorer. Some groups always have lower wealth. The Irish, have wealth around 50% of the average English throughout. Surprisingly, the most egalitarian measure of wealth is representation within the top 1%. Most ethnicities have an equal, or greater, representation in the top 1% than the English, 1980–1992. Despite large differences in average wealth between ethnicities, the vast majority of variation, 97.5% is between individuals.

利用英格兰和威尔士从 1858 年到 2018 年的死亡和死亡财富记录中的姓氏,我记录了现代种族财富梯度的出现。从历史上看,非英国族裔的平均财富是英国人的 2-5 倍。然而,这种溢价在 20 世纪有所下降。到 1980 年,非英国人种族与英国人相比已没有优势。然而,这掩盖了非英国族裔群体内部存在的相当大的异质性。欧洲人通常比英国人富得多,而巴基斯坦人和瑞典人则比英国人穷得多。有些群体的财富总是较低。爱尔兰人的财富约为英国人平均财富的 50%。令人惊讶的是,最平等的财富衡量标准是前 1%的代表。1980-1992 年间,大多数种族在前 1%中的代表性与英国人相当,甚至更高。尽管不同种族之间的平均财富存在巨大差异,但绝大多数差异(97.5%)发生在个人之间。
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引用次数: 0
Income inequality in Eastern Europe: Bulgaria and Czechoslovakia in the twentieth century 东欧的收入不平等:二十世纪的保加利亚和捷克斯洛伐克
IF 2.3 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101594
Stefan Nikolić , Filip Novokmet , Piotr Paweł Larysz

This article provides novel estimates of long-term income inequality in Bulgaria and Czech Lands/Czechoslovakia in the twentieth century. Relying on newly-constructed datasets and the social tables approach, we measure inequality between salient social strata. We find that Czechoslovakia was significantly more unequal than Bulgaria before 1945. Inequality converged to similarly low levels under socialism. Decomposition analysis by social classes reveals that different levels of inequality in the first half of the century were principally driven by higher within social-class inequality in Czechoslovakia, owing to a more stratified industrial society; whereas a low dispersion within the dominant agricultural sector held down the within social-class component in Bulgaria. A dramatic fall in total inequality after 1945 was a result of the social revolution that encompassed the virtual disappearance of between social-class inequality and a marked reduction in within social-class inequality. Our findings point to the critical role of institutional and political factors in driving inequality in Eastern Europe throughout the twentieth century.

本文对二十世纪保加利亚和捷克/捷克斯洛伐克的长期收入不平等进行了新的估算。依靠新构建的数据集和社会表格方法,我们衡量了突出社会阶层之间的不平等。我们发现,1945 年前捷克斯洛伐克的不平等程度明显高于保加利亚。在社会主义制度下,不平等趋于类似的低水平。按社会阶层进行的分解分析表明,本世纪上半叶不同程度的不平等主要是由捷克斯洛伐克较高的社会阶层内部不平等造成的,这是由于工业社会的分层程度较高;而在保加利亚,占主导地位的农业部门内部的低分散性抑制了社会阶层内部的不平等。1945 年后,由于社会革命,社会阶层之间的不平等几乎消失,社会阶层内部的不平等显著减少,导致总体不平等急剧下降。我们的研究结果表明,在整个 20 世纪,制度和政治因素在推动东欧的不平等方面发挥了关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Labor coercion, fiscal modernization, and state capacity: Evidence from colonial Indonesia 劳动胁迫、财政现代化和国家能力:殖民时期印度尼西亚的证据
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101632
Mark Hup
What explains the emergence of centralized fiscal institutions and information-intensive monetary taxation? This is the first study to estimate the effect of state capacity expansion on labor coercion as taxation, a practice known as corvée labor. To do so, I construct a new database covering eighteen Indonesian residencies over thirty-two years (1874–1905) during the period of Dutch colonial rule. I document the wide use of corvée labor and find that national-level policy centralized state finances by gradually replacing corvée with a head tax. At the same time, a residency-level panel data analysis shows that local state capacity expansion, primarily indigenous officials working as agents for the state, slowed the movement away from corvée. These estimates are supported by an IV strategy that uses effective distance to the capital as an instrument for local state capacity. The relationship between state capacity expansion and fiscal modernization therefore depends on what part of the state is expanding and whether interests across types of taxation differ within the state bureaucracy. Opposing interests of different state actors can be key in understanding fiscal modernization and public labor coercion.
中央集权财政机构和信息密集型货币税收的出现原因何在?这是第一项估算国家能力扩张对作为税收的劳动胁迫(一种被称为 corvée labor 的做法)的影响的研究。为此,我构建了一个新的数据库,涵盖荷兰殖民统治时期 32 年(1874-1905 年)内的 18 个印尼居民点。我记录了徭役的广泛使用,并发现国家层面的政策通过逐步用人头税取代徭役来集中国家财政。同时,居住地层面的面板数据分析显示,地方国家能力的扩张(主要是作为国家代理人的土著官员)减缓了徭役的消失。利用与首都的有效距离作为地方国家能力的工具的 IV 策略支持了这些估计。因此,国家能力扩张与财政现代化之间的关系取决于国家的哪一部分在扩张,以及国家官僚机构内部不同税收类型之间的利益是否存在差异。不同国家行为者的利益对立可能是理解财政现代化和公共劳动胁迫的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Bank failures and economic activity: Evidence from the progressive era 银行倒闭与经济活动:进步时代的证据
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101616
Marco del Angel , Gary Richardson , Michael Gou

During the Progressive Era (1900–29), economic growth was rapid but volatile. Boom and busts witnessed the formation and failure of tens of thousands of firms and thousands of banks. This essay uses new data and methods to identify causal links between failures of banks and bankruptcies of firms. Our analysis indicates that bank failures triggered bankruptcies of firms that depended upon banks for ongoing access to commercial credit. Firms that did not depend upon banks for credit did not fail in appreciably larger numbers after banks failed.

在进步时代(1900-29 年),经济增长迅速,但也动荡不安。繁荣与萧条见证了数以万计的公司和数千家银行的成立与倒闭。本文使用新的数据和方法来确定银行倒闭与企业破产之间的因果关系。我们的分析表明,银行倒闭引发了依赖银行持续获得商业信贷的企业破产。不依赖银行信贷的企业在银行倒闭后倒闭的数量并没有明显增加。
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引用次数: 0
Transportation, decentralization, and path dependence: How did the old tramway shape Shanghai, China? 交通、分散化和路径依赖:老式有轨电车如何塑造了中国上海?
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101619
Mingxi Li

This article studies the short- and long-run economic consequences of the now-extinct Shanghai tramway. Tramway was the primary mode of transportation in Shanghai between 1908 and the 1930s, continuing to operate until 1975. With the geolocation of the tramway lines on both historical cadastral maps and current Google maps, the article finds that after the arrival of the tramway, land lots close to the tramway lines experienced a larger increase in land value relative to those far away from the tramway lines, and that the reduction in transportation costs led to a flattening land value gradient with respect to distance from the central business district (CBD). It also finds that the tramway still influences the current pattern of urban land value, even nearly fifty years after the removal of the last tramway track. Such persistent influence can be largely explained by the follow-on amenities near the tramway lines. The evidence found in this article suggests that the tramway in Shanghai promoted decentralization by enhancing accessibility to the CBD from distant locations in its heyday, and influences modern behaviors through the mutually reinforced private and public coordination of economic activities.

本文研究了现已消失的上海有轨电车的短期和长期经济后果。有轨电车是 1908 年至 20 世纪 30 年代上海的主要交通工具,一直运营到 1975 年。通过对历史地籍图和当前谷歌地图上有轨电车线路的地理定位,文章发现,有轨电车开通后,相对于远离有轨电车线路的地块,靠近有轨电车线路的地块的土地价值增长幅度更大,交通成本的降低导致土地价值梯度与中心商业区(CBD)的距离趋于平缓。研究还发现,即使在最后一条有轨电车轨道拆除近五十年后,有轨电车仍在影响着当前的城市土地价值模式。这种持续的影响在很大程度上可以用有轨电车线路附近的后续设施来解释。本文发现的证据表明,上海的有轨电车在其鼎盛时期通过提高从远处通往中央商务区的可达性促进了分散化,并通过经济活动的私人和公共协调的相互促进影响了现代行为。
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引用次数: 0
Speed of convergence in a Malthusian world: Weak or strong homeostasis? 马尔萨斯世界的趋同速度:弱平衡还是强平衡?
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101634
Arnaud Deseau
The Malthusian trap is a well recognized source of stagnation in per capita income prior to industrialization. However, previous studies have found mixed evidence about its exact strength. This article contributes to this ongoing debate by estimating the speed of convergence for a panel of 9 preindustrial European economies over a long period of time (14th–18th century). The analysis relies on a calibrated Malthusian model for England and β-convergence regressions. I find evidence of significant differences in the strength of the Malthusian trap between preindustrial European economies. The strongest estimated Malthusian trap is in Sweden, with a half-life of 20 years. The weakest estimated Malthusian trap is in England, with a half-life of about 230 years. This implies that some preindustrial economies were able to experience prolonged variations in their standards of living after a shock, while still being subject to Malthusian stagnation in the long run.
马尔萨斯陷阱是公认的工业化之前人均收入停滞不前的根源。然而,以往的研究对其确切强度的证据褒贬不一。本文通过估算 9 个工业化前欧洲经济体在很长一段时间(14-18 世纪)内的收敛速度,为这一持续的争论做出了贡献。分析依赖于英国的马尔萨斯校准模型和 β 趋同回归。我发现有证据表明,工业化前的欧洲经济体在马尔萨斯陷阱的强度上存在显著差异。瑞典的马尔萨斯陷阱估计强度最大,半衰期为 20 年。估计马尔萨斯陷阱最弱的是英国,半衰期约为 230 年。这意味着,一些前工业化经济体在受到冲击后,其生活水平能够经历长时间的变化,但从长远来看,仍然会出现马尔萨斯式的停滞。
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引用次数: 0
Access to kin, economic stress, and late-life mortality in North Orkney, Scotland, 1851–1911 1851-1911 年苏格兰北奥克尼的亲属关系、经济压力和晚年死亡率
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101622
Julia A. Jennings

This paper analyzes the effects of kin availability and short-term economic stress on mortality among older adults in North Orkney, Scotland in the mid-19th through early 20th century. The mortality of those aged 60+ is associated with high oatmeal prices lagged by one year, a delayed effect that may suggest that buffering mechanisms are less effective in the longer term or that relative to younger groups, older adults are better able to cope with the immediate effects of stress. Associations between mortality risk and indicators of kin availability vary by individual sociodemographic characteristics, but they are limited to close kin in both the spatial and genealogical sense. Benefits of nearby, but not coresident kin accrue only to ever-married men during times of high food prices. Coresident and nearby kin are associated with complex patterns of mortality risk, suggesting that family relationships may represent a resource in some circumstances, but a liability in others. There is limited evidence for the effects of expansive kin support for aging adults and support flows do not always favor the older generation.

本文分析了 19 世纪中叶至 20 世纪初,苏格兰北奥克尼地区亲属供应和短期经济压力对老年人死亡率的影响。60 岁以上人群的死亡率与滞后一年的燕麦片高价格有关,这种延迟效应可能表明缓冲机制在长期内效果较差,或者相对于年轻群体,老年人更有能力应对压力的直接影响。死亡风险与亲属可用性指标之间的关联因个体社会人口特征而异,但仅限于空间和家谱意义上的近亲。在高粮价时期,只有已婚男性能从近亲而非同居亲属中获益。同住亲属和近亲与复杂的死亡风险模式有关,这表明家庭关系在某些情况下可能是一种资源,但在另一些情况下则可能是一种负担。关于扩大亲属支持对老龄成年人的影响的证据有限,而且支持流并不总是有利于老一代人。
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引用次数: 0
Institutional discrimination and assimilation: Evidence from the Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882 制度性歧视与同化:来自 1882 年《排华法案》的证据
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101615
Shuo Chen , Bin Xie

The Chinese Exclusion Act of 1882 marked a pivotal moment in U.S. immigration policy, effectively prohibiting Chinese immigration while institutionalizing discrimination against Asians within American society. This study investigates the repercussions of such institutional discrimination on the assimilation process of Asian immigrants, leveraging the timing of the enactment of the Act and the regional variation in the intensity of discrimination. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that discrimination posed significant obstacles to the labor market integration of Asian immigrants during the Exclusion Era (1882–1943), and Asian immigrants responded to discriminatory practices by investing in human capital, enhancing English proficiency, and adopting Americanized names. Furthermore, the triple-difference estimates reveal that these effects are more pronounced in regions characterized by heightened discrimination against Asians.

1882 年的《排华法案》标志着美国移民政策的关键时刻,它在有效禁止华人移民的同时,也将美国社会对亚裔的歧视制度化。本研究利用《排华法案》的颁布时间和歧视强度的地区差异,调查了这种制度性歧视对亚裔移民同化过程的影响。利用差分法,我们发现在排外时代(1882-1943 年),歧视对亚裔移民融入劳动力市场构成了重大障碍,而亚裔移民则通过投资人力资本、提高英语水平和采用美国化的姓名来应对歧视性做法。此外,三重差分估计结果显示,这些影响在对亚裔歧视加剧的地区更为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Colonial legacies and wealth inequality in Kenya 肯尼亚的殖民遗产与财富不平等
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101623
Rebecca Simson
This article discusses the evolution of Kenya's wealth distribution from the late 1950s to the present. Utilizing previously untapped probate and administration sources, it measures the share of Kenyans leaving estates at death, and maps how this wealth-owning strata has changed over time. It shows a growth in African estates after independence, and by the 1980s roughly 8 % of Kenyans left estates at death, largely a consequence of land titling and land reform. Meanwhile, European estates dwindled as settlers divested. Since the 1990s, Nairobi-based estate-holders are growing in share, reflecting the importance of urban property to the portfolios of the wealthy. Measures of top wealth shares suggest high wealth inequality in both the late colonial period and the present, but today's wealth inequality is driven by the uneven distribution of housing wealth, more so than by agricultural land. These findings illustrate how a variety of colonial legacies influenced wealth accumulation in postcolonial Kenya.
本文讨论了 20 世纪 50 年代末至今肯尼亚财富分配的演变。文章利用以前尚未开发的遗嘱检验和行政管理资料来源,测量了肯尼亚人死后留下遗产的比例,并描绘了这一财富拥有阶层随着时间的推移发生的变化。报告显示,非洲人的遗产在独立后有所增长,到 20 世纪 80 年代,大约有 8% 的肯尼亚人在死后留下了遗产,这在很大程度上是土地所有权和土地改革的结果。与此同时,欧洲人的庄园随着定居者的撤资而减少。自 20 世纪 90 年代以来,以内罗毕为基地的遗产持有者所占比例不断增加,这反映出城市房地产在富人投资组合中的重要性。对最高财富份额的衡量表明,在殖民地晚期和现在,财富不平等现象都很严重,但今天的财富不平等是由住房财富的不均衡分配造成的,而不是由农业用地造成的。这些发现说明了各种殖民遗产如何影响后殖民时期肯尼亚的财富积累。
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引用次数: 0
Family first: Defining, constructing, and applying historical patent families 家族第一:定义、构建和应用历史专利族
IF 2.6 1区 历史学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.eeh.2024.101627
David E. Andersson , Matti La Mela , Fredrik Tell
The article presents a novel method that enables the formation of historical patent families. Patent families are useful for studying the value of inventions and identifying key technologies, as they indicate geographic diffusion and higher patenting costs. The concept of patent family has not been employed in historical contexts as historical sources generally lack information about priority rights. The article provides a definition of a historical patent family, where patent families incorporate patents with the same invention core. The method is applied and evaluated by constructing Swedish patent families in 1885–1914 with historical patent data from Finland and the United States. Moreover, the article introduces the Patent Diffusion Index (PDI), which is an indicator of historical patent families which can be used to study the sequence and pace of market entry. The article exemplifies how historical patent families open novel perspectives on patent value and technology diffusion in contrast to current indicators, such as patent fees, which usually are bound to national contexts. The method is applicable to any national patent data, and patent drawings are suggested as an effective way to form historical patent families.
文章介绍了一种能够形成历史专利族的新方法。专利族对于研究发明价值和识别关键技术非常有用,因为它们表明了专利的地域扩散和较高的专利成本。由于历史资料通常缺乏优先权方面的信息,因此专利族的概念尚未在历史背景下使用。本文给出了历史专利族的定义,即专利族包括具有相同发明核心的专利。通过利用芬兰和美国的历史专利数据构建 1885-1914 年的瑞典专利族,对该方法进行了应用和评估。此外,文章还介绍了专利扩散指数(PDI),这是历史专利族的一个指标,可用于研究市场进入的顺序和速度。文章举例说明了历史专利族如何为专利价值和技术扩散开辟了新的视角,与专利费等通常受国家背景约束的现行指标形成鲜明对比。该方法适用于任何国家的专利数据,并建议将专利图纸作为形成历史专利族的有效方法。
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引用次数: 0
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Explorations in Economic History
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