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Adoption behavioural intention of robots in last mile food delivery: The importance of environmental friendliness and moderating impacts of privacy and security concerns 最后一英里送餐机器人的采用行为意向:环境友好的重要性以及隐私和安全问题的调节作用
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101146
Masoumeh Zibarzani , Rabab Ali Abumalloh , Mehrbakhsh Nilashi

The use of autonomous delivery robots (ADRs) in last-mile delivery, as an emerging innovation, could have drastic implications for businesses and customers. This study adapts and extends the UTAUT2 (Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology) model to investigate the determinants of acceptance for autonomous food delivery robots. We examine the impacts of privacy and security concerns on the relationship between social influence and adoption behaviour. In addition, the relationship between environmental friendliness and behavioural intention toward adoption is examined. These factors are fairly unexplored in previous studies in the context of food ADRs. In doing so, the study collected 590 online responses from potential customers using a random sampling technique. The results showed that both moderation effects of privacy concerns and security concerns are supported and both variables deteriorated the social influence of adoption. In addition, the negative relationship between contactless delivery and the adoption of ADRs was confirmed in this study. Furthermore, the results confirmed the positive impact of environmental friendliness on the adoption of food ADRs. The findings offer valuable insights into the effective deployment strategies of ADRs in food delivery.

自主送餐机器人(ADR)作为一种新兴的创新技术,在最后一英里配送中的使用可能会对企业和客户产生重大影响。本研究调整并扩展了UTAUT2(技术接受与使用统一理论)模型,以调查自主送餐机器人接受度的决定因素。我们研究了隐私和安全问题对社会影响和采用行为之间关系的影响。此外,我们还研究了环境友好与采用行为意向之间的关系。这些因素在以往有关食品 ADR 的研究中都没有涉及。为此,研究采用随机抽样技术从潜在客户那里收集了 590 份在线回复。结果显示,隐私担忧和安全担忧的调节效应都得到了支持,而且这两个变量都恶化了采纳的社会影响。此外,本研究还证实了非接触式交付与采用 ADR 之间的负相关关系。此外,研究结果还证实了环境友好性对采用食品 ADR 的积极影响。研究结果为在食品配送中有效部署 ADRs 提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Towards sustainable logistics in Turkey: A bi-objective approach to green intermodal freight transportation enhanced by machine learning 实现土耳其的可持续物流:利用机器学习增强绿色多式联运的双目标方法
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101145
Fatma Talya Temizceri , Selin Soner Kara

Transportation is a critical contributor to carbon emissions, with road transportation playing a dominant role due to its dense network and versatility. However, the overreliance on road transportation has led to congestion, impacting reliability. As international trade grows, the demand for sustainable logistics practices intensifies. Intermodal transportation systems have emerged as a promising solution, harnessing different modes to reduce emissions and environmental impact while optimizing costs. It is important to underscore the significance of mode combinations in achieving environmental goals, aligning with the broader concept of environmental sustainability that encompasses economic and social dimensions. This article contributes to this evolving landscape by presenting a bi-objective intermodal transportation problem focusing on carbon emission reduction. Leveraging machine learning algorithms, including multiple linear regression, support vector regression, decision tree, and random forest, we predict transportation-based CO2 emissions, offering environmentally friendly logistics plans. Our research responds to the call for green intermodal transportation, addresses financial incentives, emphasizes profit maximization, and reflects the growing influence of government policies. This paper outlines our methodology, presents a real-world case study, and offers computational results, underscoring the significance of sustainable intermodal transportation in the context of global climate goals and government initiatives.

交通是造成碳排放的一个重要因素,而公路运输因其密集的网络和多功能性而发挥着主导作用。然而,过度依赖公路运输导致交通拥堵,影响了可靠性。随着国际贸易的增长,对可持续物流实践的需求也在增加。多式联运系统作为一种有前途的解决方案应运而生,它利用不同的运输方式来减少排放和对环境的影响,同时优化成本。必须强调模式组合在实现环境目标方面的重要意义,这与包含经济和社会层面的更广泛的环境可持续发展概念是一致的。本文提出了一个以碳减排为重点的双目标多式联运问题,为这一不断发展的格局做出了贡献。利用机器学习算法(包括多元线性回归、支持向量回归、决策树和随机森林),我们预测了基于运输的二氧化碳排放量,并提供了环保型物流计划。我们的研究响应了绿色多式联运的号召,解决了财务激励问题,强调了利润最大化,并反映了政府政策日益增长的影响力。本文概述了我们的研究方法,介绍了一个实际案例研究,并提供了计算结果,强调了在全球气候目标和政府倡议背景下可持续多式联运的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
An exploration of adjusted flight operations affecting passenger load factors in the post-pandemic recovery 对影响大流行病后恢复期客座率的调整后航班运行的探讨
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101144
Hsing-Chung Chu

This paper explores factors that affected the passenger load factors (PLF) in post-pandemic international flights from Taiwan to leading travel destinations, including Asia (Japan, China, Vietnam, South Korea, Thailand, and Hong Kong) and the Americas (the United States and Canada). Monthly data for outbound flights from 43 airlines were collected between January 2022 and May 2023. A hybrid model combining latent class clustering analysis with multinomial logit models was developed to identify unobserved heterogeneity in variables affecting the PLF. In addition to investigating the impact of factors such as flight frequencies, flight length, aircraft sizes, airline types, alliance members, jet fuel prices, seasonality, travel restrictions, and public health events, findings also revealed other significant impacts on the PLF including arranging connecting flights for transfer at the airport, offering promotional fares, and policy of free baggage allowances using the piece concept. Furthermore, a comparison of flight operations in pre- and post-pandemic found changes in adjusting operating strategies, including legacy airlines using narrow-body aircraft for short-haul flights and offering airfare promotions on long-haul flights are more likely to increase the PLF in the post-COVID-19 recovery phase.

本文探讨了疫情过后台湾飞往亚洲(日本、中国、越南、韩国、泰国和香港)和美洲(美国和加拿大)等主要旅游目的地的国际航班客座率(PLF)的影响因素。收集了 43 家航空公司 2022 年 1 月至 2023 年 5 月期间出境航班的月度数据。我们建立了一个将潜类聚类分析与多叉 Logit 模型相结合的混合模型,以识别影响 PLF 的变量中未观察到的异质性。除了研究航班频率、航班长度、飞机大小、航空公司类型、联盟成员、航油价格、季节性、旅行限制和公共卫生事件等因素的影响外,研究结果还揭示了其他对 PLF 有重大影响的因素,包括安排在机场转机的中转航班、提供促销票价和使用件数概念的免费行李限额政策。此外,通过比较大流行前后的航班运营情况发现,调整运营策略的变化,包括传统航空公司在短途航班上使用窄体飞机和在长途航班上提供促销机票,更有可能在后 COVID-19 恢复阶段提高 PLF。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation on the development of urban low-carbon passenger transportation structure in Tianjin 天津城市低碳客运结构发展评价
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101142
Fuqiang Lu, Haojun Hao, Hualing Bi

This paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation system for urban low-carbon passenger transportation development based on the VPOSR model. First, the game theory combination G1 and CRITIC-entropy weight methods are used to obtain the indicator weights. Secondly, the TOPSIS method was combined to calculate and get the comprehensive value index for 2007–2021 and select the data of Tianjin from 2017 to 2021 to analyze the composite value index of the guideline level. Finally, the obstacle factors hindering the invention of low-carbon transportation in different periods are identified, and Tianjin is taken as an example for analysis and corresponding countermeasures. The results show that Tianjin's urban low-carbon passenger transportation structure improved significantly from 2007 to 2021, and the comprehensive value index increased from 0.357 to 0.558, but still at the intermediate level. The number of new energy vehicles is a key influencing factor for optimizing urban passenger transport structure in Tianjin.

本文基于 VPOSR 模型构建了城市低碳客运发展综合评价体系。首先,利用博弈论组合 G1 和 CRITIC-熵权法得到指标权重。其次,结合TOPSIS法计算得到2007-2021年的综合价值指数,并选取天津市2017-2021年的数据对指导线水平的综合价值指数进行分析。最后,找出不同时期阻碍低碳交通发明的障碍因素,并以天津为例进行分析,提出相应对策。结果表明,从2007年到2021年,天津城市低碳客运结构明显改善,综合价值指数从0.357上升到0.558,但仍处于中等水平。新能源汽车数量是优化天津城市客运结构的关键影响因素。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the ports of potential: Measuring competitiveness in emerging south Asian maritime port clusters 揭开潜力港口的面纱:衡量南亚新兴海运港口集群的竞争力
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101132
Kapil Gupta, Gyan Prakash

Maritime clusters play a crucial role in the economic development of countries, encompassing seaports, maritime businesses, universities, and government agencies. South Asia, although lacking established maritime clusters, exhibits potential for the emergence of such clusters in its seaports. Evaluating the competitiveness of these emerging maritime port clusters is vital as it directly impacts their performance and future potential as world-class maritime clusters. However, no previous attempts have been made to measure the competitiveness of these emerging port clusters. This pioneering study addresses this gap by assessing the level of competitiveness in the emerging South Asian maritime port clusters. The research develops a competitive index using the Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) approach, identifying key factors that enhance cluster competitiveness and evaluating the competence of each port cluster across these factors. The findings indicate that Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust (JNPT) near Mumbai ranks as the top-indexed port cluster, followed by the cluster of Colombo and Male. This study provides a comprehensive assessment tool, identifies strengths and weaknesses, and provides actionable policy implications to enhance the competitiveness of maritime port clusters in South Asia and serves as a foundation for future research and policymaking in this field.

海运集群在国家经济发展中发挥着至关重要的作用,它包括海港、海运企业、大学和政府机构。南亚虽然缺乏成熟的海运集群,但在其海港中却显示出出现此类集群的潜力。评估这些新兴海运港口集群的竞争力至关重要,因为这直接影响到它们作为世界级海运集群的表现和未来潜力。然而,以前从未尝试过衡量这些新兴港口集群的竞争力。这项开创性的研究通过评估南亚新兴海运港口集群的竞争力水平,填补了这一空白。研究采用多属性效用理论(MAUT)方法制定了竞争指数,确定了增强集群竞争力的关键因素,并评估了每个港口集群在这些因素方面的能力。研究结果表明,孟买附近的贾瓦哈拉尔-尼赫鲁港口信托公司(JNPT)是指数最高的港口集群,其次是科伦坡和马累港口集群。这项研究提供了一个全面的评估工具,确定了优势和劣势,并为提高南亚海运港口集群的竞争力提供了可操作的政策影响,为该领域未来的研究和决策奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Coupling coordination analysis between railway transport accessibility and tourism economic connection during 2010–2019: A case study of the Yangtze River Delta 2010-2019 年铁路运输通达性与旅游经济联系的耦合协调分析:长江三角洲案例研究
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101134
Sudan Zhuang , Nan Xia , Xing Gao , Xin Zhao , Jiale Liang , Ziyu Wang , Manchun Li

The rapid development of the railway transport network and the improvement of transport accessibility (TA) have the potential to facilitate the regional tourism industries and tourism economic connection (TEC). Quantifying the mutual interaction between TA and TEC is crucial for promoting coordinated and sustainable development. Our study focused on 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region. By utilizing train schedule data from the 12306.cn website and statistics for 2010 and 2019, the weighted average travel time for each city was calculated to represent the regional railway TA. The modified gravity model incorporating average travel distances was then introduced to estimate the intensity of TEC between cities. Finally, a coupling coordination model was constructed to quantify the coupling correlation degree (CCD) between railway TA and TEC. The comparison results for 2019 and 2010 revealed an improved TA and its overall equilibrium in the YRD region, with a “core-periphery” pattern. The trend towards a spatially networked intensity of regional TEC became noticeable, with key railways as the axes. The CCD between regional railway TA and TEC showed an overall upward trend, where about 87% of cities improved at least one CCD grade. The regional spatial imbalances decreased but still existed, where southern and eastern cities were more coordinated. The reliability of proposed methods was also confirmed by correlations with socioeconomic indicators and population flow data. This study can provide fundamental support for the coordinated development of regional tourism and transport system, and integrated development strategy of the YRD region.

铁路交通网络的快速发展和交通可达性(TA)的改善有可能促进区域旅游业和旅游经济联系(TEC)。量化TA与TEC之间的相互影响对于促进协调和可持续发展至关重要。我们的研究聚焦于长三角地区的 41 个城市。通过利用 12306.cn 网站的列车时刻表数据以及 2010 年和 2019 年的统计数据,计算出每个城市的加权平均旅行时间,以代表区域铁路旅行时间。然后,引入包含平均旅行距离的修正重力模型来估算城市间 TEC 的强度。最后,构建耦合协调模型,量化铁路旅行时间与 TEC 之间的耦合相关度(CCD)。2019 年和 2010 年的对比结果显示,长三角地区的铁路交通流量有所改善,总体上趋于平衡,呈现出 "核心-外围 "的格局。以主要铁路为轴线,区域技术经济中心的空间网络化强度趋势明显。区域铁路 TA 与 TEC 之间的 CCD 呈整体上升趋势,约 87% 的城市至少提高了一个 CCD 等级。区域空间不平衡现象有所减少,但仍然存在,其中南部和东部城市更加协调。与社会经济指标和人口流动数据的相关性也证实了所建议方法的可靠性。本研究可为区域旅游和交通系统的协调发展以及长三角地区的综合发展战略提供基础支持。
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引用次数: 0
Urban-rural gap induced by high-speed rail: 35 years of evidence from Japan1 高速铁路引发的城乡差距:日本 35 年来的证据1
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101131
Sunbin Yoo , Junya Kumagai , Shunsuke Managi

Over the past 35 years, the development of high-speed rail (HSR) in Japan has markedly enhanced market access and altered spatial distributional dynamics, thereby transforming the socioeconomic landscape in both urban and rural areas. This study delves into the impact of improved market access on regional disparities, with a particular focus on the shifts in population and economic activity between urban centers and their surrounding peripheral regions. We examine three key hypotheses: (1) HSR influences population dynamics, potentially leading to population decline in underdeveloped areas; (2) it affects demographic patterns, particularly in rural areas; and (3) it contributes to economic disparities, enhancing urban prosperity potentially at the expense of rural regions. Our analysis reveals pronounced effects of HSR: urban areas, exemplified by Tokyo, have seen substantial socioeconomic gains including a 26.10% income rise and an 18.34% population increase. Conversely, rural regions exhibit declining economic indicators with income dropping by 6.32% and population falling by 6.83%, accompanied by aging demographics. These trends, further illuminated by night-time light (NTL) data, underscore the uneven impact of HSR. Simulations suggest the continuation of these patterns with future HSR expansions. The study highlights the need for strategic policy measures to address the growing spatial disparities induced by HSR, advocating equitable infrastructure development and sustainable urban planning.

在过去的 35 年中,日本高速铁路(HSR)的发展显著提高了市场准入,改变了空间分布动态,从而改变了城市和农村地区的社会经济面貌。本研究深入探讨了市场准入的改善对地区差距的影响,尤其关注城市中心与其周边边缘地区之间人口和经济活动的转移。我们研究了三个关键假设:(1) 高铁影响人口动态,可能导致欠发达地区人口减少;(2) 高铁影响人口模式,尤其是农村地区的人口模式;(3) 高铁导致经济差距,可能以牺牲农村地区为代价促进城市繁荣。我们的分析揭示了高铁的显著影响:以东京为例,城市地区的社会经济大幅增长,包括收入增长 26.10%,人口增长 18.34%。相反,农村地区的经济指标却在下降,收入下降了 6.32%,人口下降了 6.83%,同时还伴随着人口老龄化。夜间照明(NTL)数据进一步显示了这些趋势,凸显了高铁带来的不均衡影响。模拟结果表明,随着未来高铁的扩建,这些模式仍将继续。该研究强调,有必要采取战略性政策措施,以解决高铁造成的日益扩大的空间差异,倡导公平的基础设施发展和可持续的城市规划。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing road safety performance in Chinese provinces: A comprehensive analysis of the past decade 中国各省道路安全绩效评估:过去十年的综合分析
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101133
Liangguo Kang

The issue of road safety is a growing global concern, and evaluating performance in this area is crucial for the development of effective safety policies and the allocation of safety resources. Amidst the input-output perspective of road safety risks, this study endeavors to assess the performance of provincial road safety in China from 2012 to 2021. To achieve this goal, the research employs data envelopment analysis (DEA) and the DEA-window approach, grounded in the framework of variable/constant returns to scale (VRS/CRS) models. The results reveal that Shanghai and Tibet consistently achieved efficient scores using both the DEA-VRS and DEA-CRS methods throughout the past decade. There is a small difference of 0.028 and 0.025 between the average scores obtained from the DEA and DEA-window analysis using the VRS and CRS models, respectively. Shanghai, Tibet, and Beijing demonstrate exceptional performance in both the DEA-CRS-window and DEA-VRS-window analysis, while North China, Southwest China, Central China, and South China exhibits the significant variations in performance ranking. This study enhances the understanding of the current road safety status in China and offers valuable insights for policymakers to formulate targeted measures, aiming to continuously improve road safety performance across various provinces through benchmarking management

道路安全问题日益受到全球关注,评估该领域的绩效对于制定有效的安全政策和分配安全资源至关重要。从道路安全风险的投入产出视角出发,本研究试图评估 2012 至 2021 年中国省级道路安全的绩效。为实现这一目标,研究采用了数据包络分析法(DEA)和 DEA 窗口法,并以可变/不变规模收益模型(VRS/CRS)为基础。研究结果表明,在过去的十年中,上海和西藏在使用 DEA-VRS 和 DEA-CRS 方法时始终取得了有效得分。使用 VRS 和 CRS 模型进行 DEA 和 DEA 窗口分析得出的平均得分分别为 0.028 和 0.025,差距很小。在 DEA-CRS 窗口分析和 DEA-VRS 窗口分析中,上海、西藏和北京都表现出优异的成绩,而华北、西南、华中和华南的成绩排名则出现了显著差异。本研究加深了对中国道路安全现状的了解,为决策者制定有针对性的措施提供了有价值的见解,旨在通过标杆管理不断提高各省的道路安全绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Increasing public transport revenue or intensifying cannibalization: The effects of introducing a new tariff option in addition to pay-per-use and flat rate options 增加公共交通收入或加剧蚕食:在按次付费和统一收费方案之外引入新的收费方案的影响
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101129
Christian Weibel, Lisa Dang, Widar von Arx

The tariff landscape within Switzerland's public transport network is characterized by limited options: the flat rate (Generalabonnement), designed to accommodate frequent customers, and the pay-per-use model (Halbtax), tailored for those who use the network infrequently. However, there is a gap in provision for medium-frequency customers, who lack an intermediary tariff option. Our study employs a combination of conjoint analysis and market simulations to assess the potential appeal of a hypothetical novel three-part tariff structure, referred to as the bonus tariff. The paper first examines customers tariff selection, probing whether choices are influenced by biases favoring either the pay-per-use or flat-rate options. Further, we calculate the significance of various tariff attributes and identify sociodemographic variables predictive of tariff preference. Attributes such as the pre-pay credit and bonus levels exhibit the highest part-worth utilities. The analysis shows that the bonus tariff would capture a significant market share. A market simulation underscores the sensitivity of the business case to factors including bonus levels and the proportion of customers transitioning from flat-rate subscriptions. The overarching outcome suggests a positive impact on revenue with the introduction of the bonus tariff. The conclusion delves into the reasons for these findings and outlines implications for tariff management strategies.

瑞士公共交通网络中的收费模式有两种:一种是统一收费模式(Generalabonnement),专为经常使用公共交通网络的乘客设计;另一种是按次付费模式(Halbtax),专为不经常使用公共交通网络的乘客设计。然而,中等使用频率的用户缺乏中间收费选择。我们的研究结合了联合分析和市场模拟,以评估一种假定的新型三段式资费结构(称为奖励资费)的潜在吸引力。本文首先研究了用户的电价选择,探讨了用户的选择是否受到偏好按次付费或统一费率选择的影响。此外,我们还计算了各种电价属性的重要性,并确定了可预测电价偏好的社会人口变量。预付费信贷和奖金水平等属性显示出最高的部分价值效用。分析表明,红利电价将占据相当大的市场份额。市场模拟强调了商业案例对奖金水平和从统一费率套餐过渡的客户比例等因素的敏感性。总体结果表明,引入奖励资费会对收入产生积极影响。结论深入探讨了得出这些结论的原因,并概述了对资费管理战略的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Government support in the European air transport sector during Covid-19: A Delphi study Covid-19 期间欧洲航空运输业的政府支持:德尔菲研究
IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101130
Tania Pantazi , Andreas Papatheodorou

Covid-19 has been a major shock for European aviation. After the general relaxation of state aid rules by the European Commission, Member States stepped in to support airlines, airports and other stakeholders in aviation. However, distribution of state resources raised significant doubts from competitors, as well as academic literature, with regard to the conditions of the aids and their effect on competition. A two-round Delphi study was employed in order to investigate the opinion of experts in European aviation, with the participation of thirty experts from airlines, airports, handling agents, government authorities and academia. The results show an overall appraisal of the European framework and its flexibility, but also desire for a greater degree of control, complaints over bureaucracy and procedural delays, as well as concern on the effects of state aid on competition in the internal aviation market.

Covid-19 对欧洲航空业是一次重大冲击。在欧盟委员会全面放宽国家援助规则后,成员国纷纷介入,为航空公司、机场和航空业的其他利益相关者提供支持。然而,国家资源的分配引起了竞争者以及学术文献对援助条件及其对竞争影响的极大质疑。为了调查欧洲航空业专家的意见,我们采用了两轮德尔菲研究法,来自航空公司、机场、装卸代理、政府当局和学术界的三十位专家参与了研究。研究结果显示了对欧洲框架及其灵活性的总体评价,但也有对更大程度控制的渴望、对官僚主义和程序延误的抱怨,以及对国家援助对内部航空市场竞争影响的担忧。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in Transportation Business and Management
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