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Ambition, meet reality: The European Union’s actorness in the Indo-Pacific 雄心壮志,面对现实:欧盟在印太地区的角色
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231191275
Gorana Grgić
The European Union is undergoing a major transformation as it strives to be perceived as a credible geopolitical actor, along with being an economic and normative superpower. Its ‘Strategy for Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific’ is symptomatic of this change as it far surpasses strategic outlooks it has for other developing regions. This article builds on the actorness literature as it examines the nature of the European Union’s growing ambitions in the Indo-Pacific. It focuses on the economic, security, and normative aspects of the Strategy, and it identifies the tensions, opportunities and challenges in its vision and implementation. The article concludes by arguing that although there are opportunities for greater engagement with the region, they have grown more complicated given the war in Ukraine. Moreover, much will also depend on recalibrating the European Union’s relationship with China, as well as finding the most effective way to leverage the affordances of transatlantic cooperation.
欧盟(eu)正在经历一场重大转型,它努力被视为一个可信的地缘政治参与者,同时成为一个经济和规范的超级大国。其“印太合作战略”是这种变化的征兆,因为它远远超过了对其他发展中地区的战略展望。本文以演员文学为基础,探讨了欧盟在印度-太平洋地区日益增长的野心的本质。它侧重于该战略的经济、安全和规范方面,并确定了其愿景和实施中的紧张局势、机遇和挑战。文章的结论是,尽管与该地区有更多接触的机会,但鉴于乌克兰战争,这些机会变得更加复杂。此外,这在很大程度上还取决于重新调整欧盟与中国的关系,以及找到最有效的方式来利用跨大西洋合作的优势。
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic and the electoral performance of governing parties in electoral democracies COVID-19大流行与选举民主国家执政党的选举表现
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231195612
Yen-Pin Su, Ekaterina R Rashkova
The COVID-19 pandemic has had tremendous impacts on political, economic and social developments across the globe. Although some studies show that voters tend to hold incumbent parties accountable for managing the pandemic, the results of others suggest that the rally-round-the-flag strategy might be at plan. We contend that voters tend to hold the incumbent party accountable, even during an exogenous shock, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. We hypothesize that more stringent government responses to tackle the pandemic and more COVID-19 casualties tend to decrease the electoral support for incumbent parties. Using original data from 67 national elections in 56 electoral democracies from mid-March 2020 to May 2022, the empirical results support our hypothesis.
新冠肺炎疫情给全球政治、经济、社会发展带来巨大影响。尽管一些研究表明,选民倾向于要求现任政党对管理大流行负责,但其他研究结果表明,团结一致的战略可能正在计划中。我们认为,即使在2019冠状病毒病大流行等外部冲击期间,选民也倾向于让现任政党承担责任。我们假设,政府更严格地应对疫情和更多的COVID-19伤亡,往往会降低现任政党的选举支持率。利用2020年3月中旬至2022年5月56个选举民主国家67次全国选举的原始数据,实证结果支持了我们的假设。
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引用次数: 0
The public legitimacy of elite athletes’ political activism: German survey evidence 精英运动员政治激进主义的公众合法性:德国调查证据
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231186973
Henk Erik Meier, Markus Gerke, Swantje Müller, Michael Mutz
Athletes have again started to take a visible stance on various political and social issues, which has stirred fierce controversies. Existing research has a strong US bias, and, to extend the range of research, we conducted a German survey on the perceived legitimacy of athletes’ political activism. The evidence suggests that the US debate cannot simply be transferred to other political and cultural contexts. The German respondents did not generally disapprove of athletes employing sporting venues as political stages. However, they are primarily willing to accept political activism in cases where the claims made are congruent with their political beliefs and with hegemonic political values. The perceived legitimacy of more controversial forms of athletes’ political activism depends on political ideology, political activism and political tolerance. For international sport governing bodies, the results indicate a dilemma: western audiences approve of athletes’ political activism, which is congruent with their own political values, but seem unwilling to accept activism making other claims.
运动员们再次开始在各种政治和社会问题上表明自己的立场,这引发了激烈的争议。现有的研究有强烈的美国偏见,为了扩大研究范围,我们对德国运动员政治激进主义的合法性进行了一项调查。有证据表明,美国的辩论不能简单地转移到其他政治和文化背景中。德国受访者普遍不反对运动员利用体育场馆作为政治舞台。然而,如果所提出的主张与他们的政治信仰和霸权政治价值观一致,他们主要愿意接受政治行动主义。更有争议的运动员政治激进主义形式的合法性取决于政治意识形态、政治激进主义和政治宽容。对于国际体育管理机构来说,调查结果表明了一个两难境地:西方观众认可运动员的政治激进主义,这与他们自己的政治价值观是一致的,但似乎不愿接受提出其他主张的激进主义。
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引用次数: 1
Germany and the Indo-Pacific in an age of superpower competition 在超级大国竞争的时代,德国和印度太平洋
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231190094
Rafał Ulatowski
The world is multipolar once again and superpower competition is back, concentrated this time in the Indo-Pacific region. In 2020, Germany published its Indo-Pacific ‘guidelines’, which lead to three questions: why does Germany engage in the region? How does Germany shape its Indo-Pacific policy? What is the importance of Germany’s engagement in the region, for Germany itself and for regional powers? By exploring economic, security and normative elements, this articles advances three arguments. Firstly, Germany’s engagement in the region is due to the ever-growing strategic and economic importance of the Indo-Pacific. Secondly, Germany attempts to build constructive relations with all the region’s powers, China included, but increasingly prioritizes democracies which share the same values as Germany. Thirdly, because the area of superpower competition has shifted from Europe to the ‘distant’ (from Germany’s perspective) Indo-Pacific, Germany can follow a restrained foreign policy and focus on its economic interests.
世界再次走向多极,超级大国的竞争又回来了,这次主要集中在印太地区。2020年,德国发布了印太“指导方针”,这引出了三个问题:德国为什么参与该地区?德国如何塑造其印太政策?对德国自身和地区大国来说,德国参与该地区事务的重要性是什么?本文通过对经济、安全和规范因素的探讨,提出了三个论点。首先,德国在该地区的参与是由于印度-太平洋地区日益增长的战略和经济重要性。其次,德国试图与包括中国在内的所有地区大国建立建设性关系,但越来越多地优先考虑与德国拥有相同价值观的民主国家。第三,由于超级大国竞争的区域已经从欧洲转移到“遥远的”(从德国的角度来看)印度太平洋,德国可以遵循克制的外交政策,专注于其经济利益。
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引用次数: 0
Multidimensional poverty and conflict events in Nigeria over time 尼日利亚长期以来的多维贫困和冲突事件
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231177441
Ricardo Nogales, Christian Oldiges
We analyse the relationship between multidimensional poverty trends and changing dynamics of conflict in Nigeria in 2008–2018. We take a wide notion of poverty going beyond purely monetary hardships and considering simultaneously experienced non-monetary deprivations. Focusing on poverty experienced by people living in conflict affected areas, post conflict-areas and peaceful areas helps us understand how well-being changes with conflict, and how conflict may alter previous trends of poverty reduction. We pay particular attention to address the changing nature of conflict within zones and across neighbouring states. For this, we compare the poverty–conflict nexus across bordering regions in a spatial regression framework. We find that conflict arises not necessarily in the poorest Nigerian states, but in some of the relatively better-off states. Furthermore, we find that although levels of the Multidimensional Poverty Index decreased between 2008 and 2013, conflict may have played a major role in halting these trends, if not reverting them.
我们分析了2008-2018年尼日利亚多维贫困趋势与不断变化的冲突动态之间的关系。我们对贫穷有一个广泛的概念,超越了纯粹的金钱困难,同时考虑到经历过的非金钱剥夺。关注生活在受冲突影响地区、冲突后地区和和平地区的人们所经历的贫困,有助于我们了解福祉如何随着冲突而变化,以及冲突如何改变以前的减贫趋势。我们特别关注解决地区内和邻国之间不断变化的冲突性质。为此,我们在空间回归框架中比较了边境地区的贫困冲突关系。我们发现,冲突并不一定发生在尼日利亚最贫穷的州,也发生在一些相对富裕的州。此外,我们发现,尽管多维贫困指数水平在2008年至2013年期间有所下降,但冲突可能在阻止这些趋势方面发挥了重要作用,如果不是使其逆转的话。
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引用次数: 2
Changing responses to a frozen conflict: The Republic of Cyprus soft balancing vis-à-vis Turkey 对冻结冲突不断变化的反应:塞浦路斯共和国对-à-vis土耳其的软平衡
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231177443
Oya Dursun-Özkanca
Tensions are on the rise in the Eastern Mediterranean, calling for a careful understanding of the motivations behind the foreign policies of small and large states in the region. This article explores the motivations behind the Republic of Cyprus and Turkey’s foreign policies and their implications for conflict dynamics, illustrating the complex relationship between soft balancing and the prospects for conflict resolution, considering the spatial dynamics of multi-party conflicts. It argues that the Republic of Cyprus’ and Turkey’s changing responses influenced the very conflict itself, by pulling in more actors and thereby expanding its spatial scope. This topic has implications for the study of frozen conflicts, transatlantic security, and peace and stability in the Eastern Mediterranean region and beyond.
东地中海地区的紧张局势正在加剧,需要仔细了解该地区大小国家外交政策背后的动机。本文探讨了塞浦路斯共和国和土耳其外交政策背后的动机及其对冲突动态的影响,说明了考虑到多方冲突的空间动态,软平衡与冲突解决前景之间的复杂关系。它认为,塞浦路斯共和国和土耳其不断变化的反应影响了冲突本身,吸引了更多的行动者,从而扩大了冲突的空间范围。这一主题对研究冻结冲突、跨大西洋安全以及东地中海地区及其他地区的和平与稳定具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 4
New insights into the psychology of individuals and large groups in a world of changing conflicts 在不断变化的冲突世界中,对个人和大群体心理的新见解
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231177444
John Lord Alderdice
The character of armed conflict has changed dramatically. The use of overwhelming force no longer brings victory and success. Under what conditions do supposedly weaker conflict actors ‘outpower’ stronger actors? This article argues that, throughout human history, those most willing to engage in and sustain extreme conflict have not been rational actors but ‘devoted actors’ driven by faith in defending or advancing their non-negotiable ‘sacred values’, whether religious or secular. Bringing into dialogue insights from large group psychology, neuroscience, and epigenetics with political science, this article demonstrates how two factors can help explain apparently non-rational elements of human functioning during armed conflict: first, the biological substrate helps elucidate why and how rational actor models seem to underestimate the influence of ‘right and wrong’ in people’s behaviour; second, the complex psychology of large groups often drives people to engage in action that may not be in their own individual interests.
武装冲突的性质发生了巨大变化。使用压倒性的武力不再带来胜利和成功。在什么条件下,被认为较弱的冲突参与者会“压倒”较强的参与者?本文认为,纵观人类历史,那些最愿意参与和维持极端冲突的人并不是理性的行为者,而是“忠诚的行为者”,他们被捍卫或推进他们不可谈判的“神圣价值观”(无论是宗教的还是世俗的)的信仰所驱使。本文结合大群体心理学、神经科学和表观遗传学与政治学的对话见解,展示了两个因素如何有助于解释武装冲突中人类功能中明显的非理性因素:首先,生物基础有助于阐明理性行为者模型为何以及如何低估了“对与错”对人们行为的影响;其次,大群体的复杂心理常常驱使人们从事可能不符合他们个人利益的行动。
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引用次数: 0
Italy’s quiet pivot to the Indo-Pacific: Towards an Italian Indo-Pacific strategy 意大利悄然转向印太:走向意大利的印太战略
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231190093
G. Abbondanza
Italy is the only ‘Big Four’ European country and ‘Quint’ North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) member ostensibly uninterested in the world’s geopolitical and geoeconomic epicentre. However, a number of developments contradict the assumption that Rome overlooks the importance of the Indo-Pacific. By analysing official policies, naval deployments, new partnerships and evolving trajectories, this article reveals that Italy’s strategic engagement with the Indo-Pacific is already significant and unfolding under three broad areas: (a) economy; (b) security; and (c) norms. It then assesses the benefits and risks of this developing foreign policy, and argues that the former outweigh the latter, a condition which is conducive to the establishment of an official Italian Indo-Pacific strategy. As the first scholarly work on the Italian role in the Indo-Pacific, this research makes a novel contribution to the literature on both Italian foreign policy and the Indo-Pacific security landscape, by investigating a complementary approach to that of existing Indo-Pacific strategies.
意大利是欧洲“四大”国家中唯一的一个,也是北大西洋公约组织(NATO)的“昆特”成员国,表面上对世界地缘政治和地缘经济中心不感兴趣。然而,一些事态发展与罗马忽视印度太平洋重要性的假设相矛盾。通过分析官方政策、海军部署、新的伙伴关系和发展轨迹,本文揭示了意大利与印度-太平洋地区的战略接触已经很重要,并在三个广泛的领域展开:(a)经济;(b)安全;(c)规范。然后评估了这一发展中的外交政策的利益和风险,并认为前者大于后者,这一条件有利于建立意大利官方的印度-太平洋战略。作为研究意大利在印度-太平洋地区角色的第一部学术著作,本研究通过对现有印度-太平洋战略的补充方法进行研究,对意大利外交政策和印度-太平洋安全格局的文献做出了新颖的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Populist radical right-wing parties and the assault on political correctness: The impact of Vox in Spain 民粹主义激进右翼政党和对政治正确的攻击:Vox在西班牙的影响
2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/01925121231190555
Carol Galais, Juan Pérez-Rajó
The significant rise in the number of populist radical right (PRR) parties has not been accompanied by a parallel interest in the consequences that these parties may have on public opinion. The limited range of attitudes that the literature has considered so far can be broadened to include political correctness (PC), given the increasing attacks on this concept made by PRR parties. To address the effects of such attacks, we examine the Spanish case, where the presence of a new PRR party makes anti-PC messages a recent, quite exogenous stimulus. Using panel data to address potential non-recursive relationships and time-variant effects, we find that individuals are indeed more prone to lowering their levels of PC after finding Vox an attractive electoral option. Our results inform the debates on the effects that ‘cultural wars’, anti-woke and anti-PC rhetorics may have on public opinion, which could lead ultimately to harmful consequences for minority groups and social cohesion.
民粹主义激进右翼(PRR)政党数量的显著增加并没有引起人们对这些政党可能对公众舆论产生的后果的同等关注。到目前为止,文献所考虑的有限态度范围可以扩大到包括政治正确(PC),因为PRR政党对这一概念的攻击越来越多。为了解决此类攻击的影响,我们研究了西班牙的案例,在那里,一个新的PRR政党的存在使反pc信息成为最近的、相当外生的刺激。使用小组数据来解决潜在的非递归关系和时变效应,我们发现个人在发现Vox是一个有吸引力的选举选择后,确实更倾向于降低他们的PC水平。我们的研究结果为有关“文化战争”、反觉醒和反pc修辞可能对公众舆论产生的影响的辩论提供了信息,这可能最终导致对少数群体和社会凝聚力的有害后果。
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引用次数: 0
Psychological foundations and behavioral consequences of COVID-19 conspiracy theory beliefs: The Turkish case COVID-19 阴谋论信念的心理基础和行为后果:土耳其案例
IF 2.2 2区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/01925121221084625
Cengiz Erişen
This article offers a comprehensive approach to understanding pandemic-related behavior by tackling both the psychological predictors of belief in conspiracy theories about COVID-19 and their potential consequences for trust in experts and institutions, compliance behavior and vaccine acceptance. Drawing from an observational survey (n = 1028) in Turkey, this article examines: (a) the psychological precedents of believing COVID-19 conspiracy theories; (b) how trust in experts, scientists and health authorities is influential in controlling these beliefs; (c) to what extent conspiracy theory beliefs affect compliance with protective measures; and (d) who is more likely to accept vaccination. Results demonstrate that one of the potential solutions to the influence of conspiracy theory beliefs across an array of attitudes and behaviors is to establish trust in experts, scientists and health authorities.
本文通过研究相信 COVID-19 阴谋论的心理预测因素及其对专家和机构的信任、遵从行为和疫苗接受度的潜在影响,为理解与流行病相关的行为提供了一种全面的方法。本文通过在土耳其进行的一项观察性调查(n = 1028),研究了:(a) 相信 COVID-19 阴谋论的心理先兆;(b) 对专家、科学家和卫生机构的信任如何影响这些信念的控制;(c) 阴谋论信念在多大程度上影响对保护措施的遵守;以及 (d) 谁更有可能接受疫苗接种。结果表明,解决阴谋论信念对一系列态度和行为的影响的潜在办法之一是建立对专家、科学家和卫生当局的信任。
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引用次数: 0
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International Political Science Review
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