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Private savings and COVID-19 in Sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲的私人储蓄与COVID-19
IF 4.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101363
Boileau Loko , Nelie Nembot , Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro
The paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on private savings and economic activity in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using data for at least 13 SSA economies, we find that private saving rates have not increased during COVID-19 in SSA, a finding that contrasts with other regions in the world. Instead, COVID-19 mortality in our estimations is significantly associated with a decline in private savings and economic growth in SSA. Robustness checks and analyses of household surveys during the pandemic validate and explore some of the underlying drivers of those results. The paper further confirms real per capita economic growth as a key determinant of private savings in the region since 1983.
本文调查了2019冠状病毒病对撒哈拉以南非洲地区私人储蓄和经济活动的影响。我们利用至少13个SSA经济体的数据发现,在2019冠状病毒病期间,SSA的私人储蓄率没有增加,这一发现与世界其他地区形成了对比。相反,在我们的估计中,COVID-19死亡率与SSA的私人储蓄下降和经济增长显著相关。大流行期间对住户调查的稳健性检查和分析验证并探讨了这些结果的一些潜在驱动因素。论文进一步证实,自1983年以来,实际人均经济增长是该地区私人储蓄的关键决定因素。
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引用次数: 0
Social disclosure, business groups and firm risk 社会披露、企业集团与企业风险
IF 4.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101364
Dhanushika Samarawickrama, Pallab Kumar Biswas, Helen Roberts
Using a sample of 5718 BSE-listed firm-year observations from 2008 to 2021, we find that increased CSR disclosure (CSRDS) is negatively associated with firm risk. However, the risk-reducing effect of CSRDS is less pronounced in business group firms, with a stronger attenuation in companies managed by affiliated CEOs. Additional analyses indicate that enhanced CSRDS, particularly after the enforcement of mandatory CSR regulations, significantly reduces total and idiosyncratic risk. These findings highlight how mandatory regulatory compliance mitigates specific components of firm risk and offer policymakers, practitioners, and investors insights to navigate risk management within the governance structures of a developing market.
利用2008年至2021年5718家在bse上市公司的年度观察样本,我们发现企业社会责任披露(CSRDS)的增加与企业风险呈负相关。然而,CSRDS降低风险的效果在商业集团公司中不太明显,在关联ceo管理的公司中衰减更强。其他分析表明,加强企业社会责任制度,特别是在强制性企业社会责任法规实施后,显著降低了总风险和特殊风险。这些发现突出了强制性法规遵从如何减轻公司风险的特定组成部分,并为政策制定者、从业者和投资者提供了在发展中市场的治理结构中进行风险管理的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Investment under anticorruption: Evidence from the high-profile anticorruption campaign in Vietnam 反腐败下的投资:来自越南高调反腐运动的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101360
Huy Viet Hoang , Khanh Hoang , Viet Hoang , Cuong Nguyen
Given Vietnam's current anticorruption campaign and its distinctive context of decentralized governance and public sector dominance, this paper investigates how anticorruption efforts affect corporate investment behaviour during 2006 and 2019. Using a novel text-based measure of anticorruption and comprehensive firm-level datasets, we uncover a consistent pattern that firms tend to delay investments in response to heightened uncertainty triggered by anticorruption activities. This strategic hesitation reflects a rational response to avoid potential regulatory and political uncertainty, and holds across a wide range of robustness checks, including alternative model specifications, variable definitions, and advanced estimation techniques such as system GMM and entropy balancing. Our findings also reveal that anticorruption campaigns significantly reduce informal business costs—particularly bribery, thus highlighting institutional improvements and a more transparent business environment. Notably, while public sector investment efficiency improves under the campaign, private firms show no significant efficiency gains, underscoring the asymmetry in how reforms affect different ownership structures. By bridging institutional reform with corporate finance, the study offers new insights into the channels through which anticorruption influences firm decision-making, governance, and political strategy. This research fills a critical gap in the literature, demonstrating that anticorruption is not merely a legal or ethical issue, but a transformative force in corporate investment dynamics.
鉴于越南当前的反腐败运动及其分散治理和公共部门主导的独特背景,本文研究了2006年至2019年期间反腐败努力如何影响企业投资行为。我们使用一种新的基于文本的反腐败测量方法和全面的企业层面数据集,发现了一种一致的模式,即企业倾向于延迟投资,以应对反腐败活动引发的不确定性加剧。这种战略性犹豫反映了一种理性的反应,以避免潜在的监管和政治不确定性,并跨越了广泛的鲁棒性检查,包括替代模型规范、变量定义和高级估计技术,如系统GMM和熵平衡。我们的研究结果还表明,反腐败运动显著降低了非正式商业成本——尤其是贿赂成本,从而凸显了制度的改善和更透明的商业环境。值得注意的是,尽管公共部门的投资效率在这场运动中有所提高,但私营企业的效率却没有显著提高,这突显了改革对不同所有制结构影响的不对称性。通过将制度改革与公司融资联系起来,该研究为反腐败影响企业决策、治理和政治战略的渠道提供了新的见解。这项研究填补了文献中的一个关键空白,表明反腐败不仅仅是一个法律或道德问题,而是企业投资动态的变革力量。
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引用次数: 0
Digital credit scoring and household consumption: Evidence from Sesame Credit in China 数字信用评分与家庭消费:来自中国芝麻信用的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101372
Jie Li , Wenwen Zhou , Xiaohong Li , Yu Wu
This study investigates the welfare-enhancing effects of digital personal credit scoring systems, with a particular focus on household consumption. Utilizing the latest nationally representative microdata from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) for 2021 and 2023, our empirical analysis demonstrates that Sesame Credit – Ant Group's digital credit product - exerts a statistically significant positive effect on household consumption expenditure. This stimulative effect is particularly observed in developmental and hedonic consumption. Mechanism analysis reveal that this impact operates primarily through improved credit accessibility and the relief of liquidity constraints. Furthermore, our results suggest that vulnerable households benefit more from Sesame Credit.
本研究调查了数字个人信用评分系统的福利增强效应,特别关注家庭消费。利用中国家庭金融调查(CHFS) 2021年和2023年最新的具有全国代表性的微观数据,我们的实证分析表明,蚂蚁集团的数字信贷产品芝麻信用对家庭消费支出具有统计学显著的正向影响。这种刺激作用在发展性消费和享乐性消费中尤其明显。机制分析表明,这种影响主要通过改善信贷可及性和缓解流动性约束来发挥作用。此外,我们的研究结果表明,弱势家庭从芝麻信用中受益更多。
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引用次数: 0
Does inflation targeting live up to all the hype? 通胀目标制是否如其所言?
IF 4.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101358
Taniya Ghosh, Yadavindu Ajit
This study evaluates the impact of inflation targeting (IT) on inflation levels, volatility, and persistence in 59 emerging markets from 1985 to 2019, addressing the limitations of traditional methods that ignore staggered adoption. Using methodology that accounts for staggered implementation, IT is found to significantly reduce inflation, particularly when hyperinflationary economies are excluded. However, its effects on volatility and persistence are less conclusive. While traditional models suggest initial reductions in volatility, incorporating staggered adoption reveals no lasting impact. Similarly, IT does not significantly influence inflation persistence. The findings emphasize IT’s effectiveness in lowering inflation but limited influence on other aspects.
本研究评估了通货膨胀目标制(IT)对1985年至2019年59个新兴市场的通货膨胀水平、波动性和持久性的影响,解决了传统方法忽略交错采用的局限性。使用考虑交错实施的方法,发现IT可以显著降低通货膨胀,特别是在排除恶性通货膨胀经济体的情况下。然而,其对波动性和持久性的影响则不那么具有决定性。虽然传统模型表明波动性最初会降低,但纳入错开的采用并未显示出持久的影响。同样,IT也不会显著影响通货膨胀的持续性。研究结果强调了IT在降低通胀方面的有效性,但对其他方面的影响有限。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of common ownership between banks and firms on corporate ESG performance: Evidence from China 银企共同持股对企业ESG绩效的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 4.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101345
Zhiwen Wang
This paper examines the impact and mechanisms of common ownership between banks and firms on corporate ESG performance, by using a dataset derived from the lending and equity relationship between Chinese A-share listed companies and banks from 2009 to 2023. This common ownership significantly enhances corporate ESG performance through a financing channel that increases loan size and eases financing constraints, and an information channel that reduces information asymmetry and increases external regulation. The positive effect is particularly evident among firms with lower media attention and heavily polluting industries.
本文利用2009年至2023年中国a股上市公司与银行贷款和股权关系数据集,考察了银企共同持股对企业ESG绩效的影响及其机制。这种共同所有权通过增加贷款规模和缓解融资约束的融资渠道,以及减少信息不对称和增加外部监管的信息渠道,显著提高了企业ESG绩效。这种积极影响在媒体关注度较低的公司和污染严重的行业中尤为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Media coverage of startups and venture capital investments 媒体对创业公司和风险投资的报道
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101326
Xiangyi Zhou , Fang Zheng , Sheng Xiao
Using a large sample of over 5000 startups across various industries and 524 media outlets in China between 2000 and 2016, we examine the effects of media coverage of startups on Venture Capital (VC) investment decisions and performance. To the best of our knowledge, for the first time in finance literature, we have discovered that media coverage of startups significantly affects VC investment decisions and exit performance. Specifically, such coverage, especially positive coverage, significantly increases the probability and amount of VC investments in startups. It also significantly improves the exit performance of VC investments. The significant effects of media coverage of startups on VC investments are caused by market-oriented instead of state-controlled media. We further find that VC investments in a focal startup are significantly influenced by the average media coverage of other startups in the same industry or the same city. Our results are robust to a battery of robustness tests.
我们利用2000年至2016年间中国各行各业5000多家初创企业和524家媒体的大样本,研究了媒体对初创企业的报道对风险投资决策和绩效的影响。据我们所知,在金融文献中,我们首次发现媒体对创业公司的报道显著影响风险投资决策和退出绩效。具体来说,这样的报道,尤其是正面报道,显著增加了创业公司获得VC投资的概率和数量。这也显著提高了风险投资的退出绩效。媒体对创业公司的报道对风险投资的显著影响是由市场导向的媒体而不是国家控制的媒体造成的。我们进一步发现,焦点创业公司的风险投资显著受到同一行业或同一城市其他创业公司的平均媒体报道的影响。我们的结果经过一系列稳健性测试是稳健性的。
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引用次数: 0
Stock market index enhancement via machine learning 通过机器学习增强股票市场指数
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101325
Liangliang Zhang , Li Guo , Weiping Zhang , Tingting Ye , Qing Yang , Ruyan Tian
Stock market index enhancement remains a widely adopted strategy among hedge funds within China’s financial market. The underlying algorithm aims to fine-tune the weightings of individual stocks within a benchmark index, thereby enhancing the performance of the target portfolio relative to its original benchmark.
Our innovative numerical framework stands out for its generality, rapidity, and theoretical convergence to the global optimum under reasonable assumptions. It also shines in tackling high-dimensional portfolio optimization problems. Empirical results demonstrate that the stock market index enhancement strategy, as computed by our algorithm, consistently delivers stable and significant excess returns, outperforming existing benchmarks.
中国金融市场上的对冲基金普遍采用股票市场指数提升策略。基础算法旨在微调基准指数中个股的权重,从而提高目标投资组合相对于原始基准的表现。我们创新的数值框架以其通用性,快速性和在合理假设下的理论收敛性而突出。它在处理高维投资组合优化问题方面也很出色。实证结果表明,本文算法计算的股票市场指数增强策略持续提供稳定且显著的超额回报,优于现有基准。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic connections between Africa's emerging equity markets and global financial assets 非洲新兴股票市场与全球金融资产之间的动态联系
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101337
Boakye Dankwah , Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah , Elikplimi Komla Agbloyor , Chi-Chuan Lee
Using the novel quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) approach, the present study investigates the dynamics of the spillovers and connectedness among Africa's emerging equity markets and the international equity and alternative markets under different market conditions from 2012 to 2022. More specifically, the study analyzes the shock transmission between 12 of Africa's emerging and frontier markets, 4 international equity markets, and 5 alternative emerging assets under both normal and extreme market conditions. The study finds asymmetric spillovers and connectedness among Africa's equity markets and the international markets across the different market conditions. Moreover, it identifies close symmetry in the return and volatility spillovers and connectedness under bullish and bearish market conditions. The findings also reveal that Africa's markets are more connected with conventional assets than with emerging alternative assets. Furthermore, the study observes a low degree of connectedness among Africa's equity markets across the analyzed market conditions, signifying the low level of integration of the markets. These results suggest the potential diversification benefits of the assessed markets for portfolio investors under normal market conditions but fail to evidence a hedge or safe haven for investors during bad times because the volume of the spillovers and connectedness with other assets increases as conditions become fiercer.
本研究采用新颖的分位向量自回归(QVAR)方法,研究了2012 - 2022年不同市场条件下非洲新兴股票市场与国际股票和替代市场之间的溢出效应和连通性的动态变化。更具体地说,研究分析了在正常和极端市场条件下,非洲12个新兴和前沿市场、4个国际股票市场和5个另类新兴资产之间的冲击传导。研究发现,在不同的市场条件下,非洲股票市场与国际市场之间存在不对称的溢出效应和连通性。此外,它还确定了在看涨和看跌市场条件下,回报率和波动性溢出效应以及连通性的密切对称性。研究结果还显示,与新兴的另类资产相比,非洲市场与传统资产的联系更为紧密。此外,该研究还观察到,在分析的市场条件下,非洲股票市场之间的连通性程度较低,这表明市场的一体化程度较低。这些结果表明,在正常的市场条件下,被评估的市场对投资组合投资者具有潜在的多样化好处,但未能证明投资者在糟糕时期是对冲或避风港,因为随着环境变得更加恶劣,溢出效应的数量和与其他资产的连通性会增加。
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引用次数: 0
Kuwait Stock Exchange: A re-examination of seasonal anomalies 科威特证券交易所:季节性异常的重新检查
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101317
Humoud Alsabah , Khaled Alsabah
This study examines seasonal anomalies in Kuwait’s stock exchange market from 2012 to 2023, following the establishment of the Capital Markets Authority. Our findings reveal significant shifts in established patterns. Notably, we observe higher returns on the third and fourth trading days of the week and a substantial increase in January returns. This research contributes to understanding market behavior, emphasizing the impact of regulatory changes and market evolution on trading patterns. Additionally, our findings provide actionable insights for fund managers and investors, suggesting that aligning investment strategies with these new patterns could lead to optimized returns.
本研究考察了资本市场管理局成立后,2012年至2023年科威特证券交易所市场的季节性异常情况。我们的发现揭示了既定模式的重大转变。值得注意的是,我们在一周的第三和第四个交易日观察到更高的回报,一月份的回报大幅增加。该研究有助于理解市场行为,强调监管变化和市场演变对交易模式的影响。此外,我们的研究结果为基金经理和投资者提供了可操作的见解,表明将投资策略与这些新模式相结合可能会带来最佳回报。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Emerging Markets Review
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