Emerging Markets Review最新文献

Using hand-collected data on CEOs' hometown connections in Chinese A-share listed companies from 2009 to 2020, we find that such connections with suppliers are negatively associated with corporate risk-taking, reflected by the risk-taking behavior of CEOs with personal preference and self-interest. It is also found that the negative relationship between CEO hometown connections and corporate risk-taking is more pronounced for firms with greater economic policy uncertainty, firms in a period of tight monetary policy, firms with fewer analysts following, and firms with local CEOs, male CEOs, or CEOs without holding shares.

The paper adds to the literature on the issue of public debt in African economies, by investigating the role foreign exchange reserves play in improving the level of indebtedness and as buffer of the negative effect of exchange rate depreciation while considering the exchange rate policy. Our results show a direct link between the level of foreign currency reserves and that of external debt in Africa. Particularly, we demonstrate that higher foreign currency reserves tend to decrease the public debt stock to GDP. This effect is even more significant when countries go through high exchange rate depreciation episodes (10% or higher). This impact, however, is not homogenous among country groups, as only countries with a floating exchange regime tend to benefit from this buffer effect compared to anchored regimes. In a time where most African economies face severe exchange rate depreciation episodes following the U.S. monetary tightening policy, central bankers and policy makers need to consider a plethora of policy issues including interventions in the FX market to mitigate depreciations and maintain a sustainable public debt stock.

We investigate whether religious site density around a firm's headquarters is related to corporate default risk in China. We find that public firms surrounded by a higher number of Buddhist and Taoist temples are associated with lower default risk. In contrast to the widely documented impact of Western religiosity on corporate behavior, our mechanism tests indicate that lower default risk related to religious site density is primarily driven by better corporate governance and not by a surge in corporate conservatism. Finally, we find that this default risk lowering effect is more pronounced when firms also possess greater political resources.

Our study aims to investigate the role of financial inclusion as a mediator in the relationship between contextual factors and entrepreneurial willingness in Africa. While previous research has emphasized the importance of improving institutional and contextual factors to foster entrepreneurship, our study adds a new dimension by highlighting the critical need for tailored financial services that can cater to the unique needs of African entrepreneurs. In light of this, we have employed a robust and comprehensive methodology, leveraging micro-level data that covers 44,129 African adults and using Instrumental Variable Probit estimation. This approach allows us to offer valuable insights into the factors driving entrepreneurship in Africa. Our results suggest financial inclusion as a crucial determinant in the relationship between contextual factors and entrepreneurship in Africa, with the usage dimension being more important than the access dimension. Our findings reveal that the impact of contextual factors on entrepreneurship in Africa is strongly influenced by financial inclusion. By acting as a mediator, financial inclusion plays a pivotal role in shaping entrepreneurial willingness. Moreover, policymakers in Africa should focus on improving the business environment, addressing key contextual determinants of entrepreneurship where most African countries face a significant deficit compared to the world's top-ranking economies. These determinants include institutional quality, infrastructure, Information and Communication Technology (ICT) adoption, health, skills, product market, labor market, and innovation capability. Our study advances the field of research in two key ways. First, it provides empirically grounded evidence on both individual and contextual factors that can stimulate entrepreneurship in Africa. Given the representativeness of our sample, the policy implications of our study are valuable, offering useful insights for international institutions and policymakers working to promote entrepreneurship in Africa. Second, in contrast to previous studies on financial inclusion that use macroeconomic data to quantify the multidimensionality of financial inclusion, our study is unique in that it constructs a financial inclusion index based on microeconomic data to quantify the financial inclusion level of each individual in our sample.

This study investigates the effect of the clarity of monetary policy statements (MPSs) on financial market volatilities by employing linguistic analysis and a panel fixed effects estimator for a newly built dataset drawn from the MPSs of 21 developing countries. Our results show that MPS clarity, measured by complexity and readability indices, negatively affects foreign exchange rate volatility, a key policy variable in developing economies, suggesting that clear central bank communication can reduce financial market volatility. Given the low literacy levels in developing countries, their central banks should make an extra effort to write statements that are easy to comprehend.

We investigate the state-varying risk taking behavior of actively managed mutual funds by considering their transaction costs in trading securities. Our tournament model equilibrium suggests that, while transaction costs are low, interim winner funds tend to hold more volatile portfolios than interim losers. However, while transaction costs are high, the interim losers may take more risk than interim winners, and such behavior is more significant in the negative risk premium state for funds. We provide robust empirical evidence of state-varying risk-taking in both U.S. and China from 2005 to 2019. The U.S. mutual fund tournaments are less influenced given the bid-ask spreads on the stock market are 20 bps lower than that in China.

Using a large panel of official bilateral loan data for 111 borrowing countries and 73 lending countries between 1985 and 2020, the paper shows that international government borrowing from bilateral sources is acyclical with respect to the business cycle of the borrower but procyclical with respect to the cycle of the lending country. This result holds in the case of loans from advanced economies and China, currently the largest supplier of official bilateral lending to the average developing country. We find this form of procyclicality most notable during contractions in origin countries and most often among middle-income recipient countries across most world regions. We also find that bilateral loans follow economic links captured through bilateral trade. The results are consistent across a battery of robustness tests.

In this paper, we conduct an empirical evaluation of currency hedging (FXH) strategies designed for Latin American investors managing portfolios of US assets with performance measured in their local currency. By analyzing the volatility and value-at-risk (VaR) of the hedged portfolio, our results reveal that FXH is inefficient in lowering portfolio risk when applied to underlying foreign risk-assets like equities and low credit quality corporate bonds. Conversely, a significant reduction in volatility is evident with FXH when the investments are in safer assets, such as high-grade government and corporate bonds.

This paper explores the impact of state antiquity (the length of established statehood) on capitalism. We argue that extractive institutions may prevail in societies with ancient roots and offer the in-depth analysis of one particular channel through which these institutions may impair economic growth: the finance-growth nexus. We propose that in countries with ancient statehood, the financial sector might be captured by powerful economic and political elites leading to a distorted finance-growth relationship. We build a model in which the equilibrium relationship between companies and banks depends on elites' entrenchment and the length of established statehood. To validate our argument, we run panel-threshold regressions on a global sample between 1975 and 2014. The results show that financial development—measured by the amount of credit—is indeed negative for growth in states with ancient institutional origins, while it is positive in relatively younger ones. Based on firm-level data, we also find that corruption in lending increases with antiquity.

This study examines how the corporate social responsibility (CSR) of multinational enterprises (MNEs) operating in Ghana is affected by home country governance and corporate governance. Using data manually collected from a sample of MNEs from 2010 to 2018, we find that (1) MNE CSR is positively affected by home country governance; and (2) the positive effect of home country governance is strengthened by the subsidiary's board independence but not by board gender diversity. Our additional analyses show that MNEs from better governed home countries are more likely to establish CSR foundations and that CSR foundations have positive impact on MNE CSR. This study contributes to the literature on MNE CSR by providing empirical evidence from Ghana, where MNEs play an increasingly important role but scholars have paid little attention to what drives corporate giants to help address the country's social issues.