Pub Date : 2025-07-12DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101339
Sun-ae Cho , Sangil Kim , Won-Wook Choi
This study examines the heterogeneity among controlling shareholders on corporate tax avoidance. Findings reveal that controlling shareholders are divided on tax avoidance behavior, which leads to less tax avoidance; however, they are unified in earnings management and R&D expenditure. Additional analysis shows that their divided interests are influenced by several factors, such as shareholder type, related-party transactions, family business status, Chaebol affiliation, and firm maturity. This study underscores that controlling shareholders, once considered a single entity, encompass individuals who counterbalance each other's interests; thus, reassessing their corporate governance role is necessary.
{"title":"Unified or divided? Conflicting interests of controlling shareholders in corporate tax avoidance","authors":"Sun-ae Cho , Sangil Kim , Won-Wook Choi","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101339","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101339","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the heterogeneity among controlling shareholders on corporate tax avoidance. Findings reveal that controlling shareholders are divided on tax avoidance behavior, which leads to less tax avoidance; however, they are unified in earnings management and R&D expenditure. Additional analysis shows that their divided interests are influenced by several factors, such as shareholder type, related-party transactions, family business status, Chaebol affiliation, and firm maturity. This study underscores that controlling shareholders, once considered a single entity, encompass individuals who counterbalance each other's interests; thus, reassessing their corporate governance role is necessary.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101339"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144679629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-07DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101332
Mohammadreza Hassanpour, Amineh Mahmoudzadeh, Seyed Ali Madanizadeh
This study examines how exchange rate (FX) fluctuations affect bank lending, focusing on the moderating role of liquidity. Using monthly data from Iranian banks (2007–2018), we exploit a fixed official FX rate regime to isolate extensive-margin adjustments. A 10% depreciation reduces real loan growth by 0.4 percentage points—about 30% of average monthly growth. The effect is stronger for banks with low liquidity and high non-performing loans. Local-currency and private-sector loans are most affected. The findings, which are robust to IV and GMM methods, underscore the importance of liquidity buffers in mitigating lending contractions during FX shocks and can inform macroprudential policy in emerging markets.
{"title":"Unraveling exchange rate shocks: Disentangling extensive and intensive effects on the lending channel","authors":"Mohammadreza Hassanpour, Amineh Mahmoudzadeh, Seyed Ali Madanizadeh","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101332","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101332","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines how exchange rate (FX) fluctuations affect bank lending, focusing on the moderating role of liquidity. Using monthly data from Iranian banks (2007–2018), we exploit a fixed official FX rate regime to isolate extensive-margin adjustments. A 10% depreciation reduces real loan growth by 0.4 percentage points—about 30% of average monthly growth. The effect is stronger for banks with low liquidity and high non-performing loans. Local-currency and private-sector loans are most affected. The findings, which are robust to IV and GMM methods, underscore the importance of liquidity buffers in mitigating lending contractions during FX shocks and can inform macroprudential policy in emerging markets.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101332"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144653031","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-04DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101325
Liangliang Zhang , Li Guo , Weiping Zhang , Tingting Ye , Qing Yang , Ruyan Tian
Stock market index enhancement remains a widely adopted strategy among hedge funds within China’s financial market. The underlying algorithm aims to fine-tune the weightings of individual stocks within a benchmark index, thereby enhancing the performance of the target portfolio relative to its original benchmark.
Our innovative numerical framework stands out for its generality, rapidity, and theoretical convergence to the global optimum under reasonable assumptions. It also shines in tackling high-dimensional portfolio optimization problems. Empirical results demonstrate that the stock market index enhancement strategy, as computed by our algorithm, consistently delivers stable and significant excess returns, outperforming existing benchmarks.
{"title":"Stock market index enhancement via machine learning","authors":"Liangliang Zhang , Li Guo , Weiping Zhang , Tingting Ye , Qing Yang , Ruyan Tian","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101325","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101325","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Stock market index enhancement remains a widely adopted strategy among hedge funds within China’s financial market. The underlying algorithm aims to fine-tune the weightings of individual stocks within a benchmark index, thereby enhancing the performance of the target portfolio relative to its original benchmark.</div><div>Our innovative numerical framework stands out for its generality, rapidity, and theoretical convergence to the global optimum under reasonable assumptions. It also shines in tackling high-dimensional portfolio optimization problems. Empirical results demonstrate that the stock market index enhancement strategy, as computed by our algorithm, consistently delivers stable and significant excess returns, outperforming existing benchmarks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101325"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144570251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-07-03DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101337
Boakye Dankwah , Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah , Elikplimi Komla Agbloyor , Chi-Chuan Lee
Using the novel quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) approach, the present study investigates the dynamics of the spillovers and connectedness among Africa's emerging equity markets and the international equity and alternative markets under different market conditions from 2012 to 2022. More specifically, the study analyzes the shock transmission between 12 of Africa's emerging and frontier markets, 4 international equity markets, and 5 alternative emerging assets under both normal and extreme market conditions. The study finds asymmetric spillovers and connectedness among Africa's equity markets and the international markets across the different market conditions. Moreover, it identifies close symmetry in the return and volatility spillovers and connectedness under bullish and bearish market conditions. The findings also reveal that Africa's markets are more connected with conventional assets than with emerging alternative assets. Furthermore, the study observes a low degree of connectedness among Africa's equity markets across the analyzed market conditions, signifying the low level of integration of the markets. These results suggest the potential diversification benefits of the assessed markets for portfolio investors under normal market conditions but fail to evidence a hedge or safe haven for investors during bad times because the volume of the spillovers and connectedness with other assets increases as conditions become fiercer.
{"title":"Dynamic connections between Africa's emerging equity markets and global financial assets","authors":"Boakye Dankwah , Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah , Elikplimi Komla Agbloyor , Chi-Chuan Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101337","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101337","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using the novel quantile vector autoregression (QVAR) approach, the present study investigates the dynamics of the spillovers and connectedness among Africa's emerging equity markets and the international equity and alternative markets under different market conditions from 2012 to 2022. More specifically, the study analyzes the shock transmission between 12 of Africa's emerging and frontier markets, 4 international equity markets, and 5 alternative emerging assets under both normal and extreme market conditions. The study finds asymmetric spillovers and connectedness among Africa's equity markets and the international markets across the different market conditions. Moreover, it identifies close symmetry in the return and volatility spillovers and connectedness under bullish and bearish market conditions. The findings also reveal that Africa's markets are more connected with conventional assets than with emerging alternative assets. Furthermore, the study observes a low degree of connectedness among Africa's equity markets across the analyzed market conditions, signifying the low level of integration of the markets. These results suggest the potential diversification benefits of the assessed markets for portfolio investors under normal market conditions but fail to evidence a hedge or safe haven for investors during bad times because the volume of the spillovers and connectedness with other assets increases as conditions become fiercer.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101337"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144596372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-30DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101334
Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez , Jorge M. Uribe , Oscar M. Valencia , Bum Kim
The post-COVID surge in public debt has intensified the financial interdependence between sovereigns and banks in emerging market economies, where domestic financial institutions have increasingly financed government borrowing. This paper examines the interaction between sovereign and banking sector risk through two complementary empirical strategies. First, using daily data from 2005 to 2023 for Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru, we estimate risk spillovers between sovereign CDS spreads and bank stock returns at different points of the distribution. We find that spillovers are economically significant—particularly in the tails—and that two-way risk transmission persists regardless of banks' exposure to sovereign debt. Second, drawing on panel data for 111 banks across 30 countries, we study how changes in sovereign risk affect the downside market risk of banks, measured as the 5th percentile of their daily stock return distribution. Results from dynamic panel regressions reveal a strong and robust link between sovereign and bank downside risk, driven primarily by common macroeconomic shocks rather than by endogenous fragility loops. Notably, at low levels of market stress, moderate exposure to sovereign debt appears to reduce downside risk for banks. These findings underscore the importance of sound regulatory frameworks for sovereign exposure and credible fiscal policies in maintaining financial stability, particularly in emerging market contexts.
{"title":"Doom loops in Latin America","authors":"Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez , Jorge M. Uribe , Oscar M. Valencia , Bum Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101334","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101334","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The post-COVID surge in public debt has intensified the financial interdependence between sovereigns and banks in emerging market economies, where domestic financial institutions have increasingly financed government borrowing. This paper examines the interaction between sovereign and banking sector risk through two complementary empirical strategies. First, using daily data from 2005 to 2023 for Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru, we estimate risk spillovers between sovereign CDS spreads and bank stock returns at different points of the distribution. We find that spillovers are economically significant—particularly in the tails—and that two-way risk transmission persists regardless of banks' exposure to sovereign debt. Second, drawing on panel data for 111 banks across 30 countries, we study how changes in sovereign risk affect the downside market risk of banks, measured as the 5th percentile of their daily stock return distribution. Results from dynamic panel regressions reveal a strong and robust link between sovereign and bank downside risk, driven primarily by common macroeconomic shocks rather than by endogenous fragility loops. Notably, at low levels of market stress, moderate exposure to sovereign debt appears to reduce downside risk for banks. These findings underscore the importance of sound regulatory frameworks for sovereign exposure and credible fiscal policies in maintaining financial stability, particularly in emerging market contexts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101334"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144535746","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-30DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101335
Weiping Li , Hanfang Zhang , Jingjing Xia
Although the impact of retail investor attention on stock market dynamics has been widely studied, its influence on firm-level strategic decisions, such as mergers and acquisitions (M&As), remains largely unexplored. This study investigates the relationship between retail attention and M&A activity using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2011 to 2022. We find that heightened retail attention can lead to CEO overconfidence due to the self-attribution bias, which in turn results in increased M&A activity. However, these attention-driven acquisitions often prove to be value-destroying, consistent with evidence in prior research that overconfident CEOs tend to make imprudent investment decisions. Furthermore, the positive association between retail attention and M&A is more pronounced in firms facing higher uncertainty but is attenuated in firms subject to stronger external monitoring. These findings underscore the substantial, yet often overlooked, impact of retail investors on corporate strategic decision-making.
{"title":"The perils of popularity: Retail investor attention and misguided M&As","authors":"Weiping Li , Hanfang Zhang , Jingjing Xia","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101335","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101335","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Although the impact of retail investor attention on stock market dynamics has been widely studied, its influence on firm-level strategic decisions, such as mergers and acquisitions (M&As), remains largely unexplored. This study investigates the relationship between retail attention and M&A activity using a sample of Chinese A-share listed firms from 2011 to 2022. We find that heightened retail attention can lead to CEO overconfidence due to the self-attribution bias, which in turn results in increased M&A activity. However, these attention-driven acquisitions often prove to be value-destroying, consistent with evidence in prior research that overconfident CEOs tend to make imprudent investment decisions. Furthermore, the positive association between retail attention and M&A is more pronounced in firms facing higher uncertainty but is attenuated in firms subject to stronger external monitoring. These findings underscore the substantial, yet often overlooked, impact of retail investors on corporate strategic decision-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101335"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-28DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101305
Lukáš Jursa , Jan Janků
We construct a comprehensive Financial Cycle Index (FCI), combining credit, credit-to-GDP, house prices, and equity prices, to examine how negative financial shocks from the Euro Area (EA) and the United States (US) transmit to peripheral European economies. Using a Bayesian Global Vector Autoregression (BGVAR) model with stochastic volatility, we find that EA shocks exert stronger effects on inflation and output, underscoring tight regional linkages. In contrast, US shocks drive more persistent declines in short-term interest rates and sharper increases in term premiums, especially in smaller open economies. Replacing the FCI with the Country-Level Index of Financial Stress (CLIFS) reveals faster, more volatile financial-cycle responses in the periphery, but with weaker and shorter-lived real-sector effects, highlighting the role of acute financial stress versus longer-term credit and asset-price dynamics. These core-to-periphery spillovers persist under de facto floating exchange rates and remain robust to macroprudential-policy controls and alternative model specifications.
{"title":"From the core to the European periphery: Spillover effects of financial cycles","authors":"Lukáš Jursa , Jan Janků","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101305","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101305","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We construct a comprehensive Financial Cycle Index (FCI), combining credit, credit-to-GDP, house prices, and equity prices, to examine how negative financial shocks from the Euro Area (EA) and the United States (US) transmit to peripheral European economies. Using a Bayesian Global Vector Autoregression (BGVAR) model with stochastic volatility, we find that EA shocks exert stronger effects on inflation and output, underscoring tight regional linkages. In contrast, US shocks drive more persistent declines in short-term interest rates and sharper increases in term premiums, especially in smaller open economies. Replacing the FCI with the Country-Level Index of Financial Stress (CLIFS) reveals faster, more volatile financial-cycle responses in the periphery, but with weaker and shorter-lived real-sector effects, highlighting the role of acute financial stress versus longer-term credit and asset-price dynamics. These core-to-periphery spillovers persist under de facto floating exchange rates and remain robust to macroprudential-policy controls and alternative model specifications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101305"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144549473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-26DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101317
Humoud Alsabah , Khaled Alsabah
This study examines seasonal anomalies in Kuwait’s stock exchange market from 2012 to 2023, following the establishment of the Capital Markets Authority. Our findings reveal significant shifts in established patterns. Notably, we observe higher returns on the third and fourth trading days of the week and a substantial increase in January returns. This research contributes to understanding market behavior, emphasizing the impact of regulatory changes and market evolution on trading patterns. Additionally, our findings provide actionable insights for fund managers and investors, suggesting that aligning investment strategies with these new patterns could lead to optimized returns.
{"title":"Kuwait Stock Exchange: A re-examination of seasonal anomalies","authors":"Humoud Alsabah , Khaled Alsabah","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101317","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101317","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines seasonal anomalies in Kuwait’s stock exchange market from 2012 to 2023, following the establishment of the Capital Markets Authority. Our findings reveal significant shifts in established patterns. Notably, we observe higher returns on the third and fourth trading days of the week and a substantial increase in January returns. This research contributes to understanding market behavior, emphasizing the impact of regulatory changes and market evolution on trading patterns. Additionally, our findings provide actionable insights for fund managers and investors, suggesting that aligning investment strategies with these new patterns could lead to optimized returns.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101317"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144517006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-24DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101331
Neeru Chaudhry, Priya Dhawan
Inconclusive evidence on how CSR affects idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) is potentially because of different approaches used to measure firms' CSR performance. We use the actual amount spent on CSR activities to measure firms' CSR performance. For a sample of 20,410 firm-year observations and 2000–2021 period, we show that as firms' CSR spending increases, IVOL decreases. This relationship becomes stronger as social-and-community and employee-welfare spending increases but is insensitive to spending on environmental-protection. Cash flow volatility and financial-constraints decreases, and firm valuation improves with employee-welfare spending. It is important to integrate CSR with risk-management-strategies at the firm-level and policy-formulation at the economy-level.
{"title":"Does firms' commitment towards CSR influence idiosyncratic volatility? Evidence from India","authors":"Neeru Chaudhry, Priya Dhawan","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101331","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101331","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Inconclusive evidence on how CSR affects idiosyncratic volatility (<em>IVOL</em>) is potentially because of different approaches used to measure firms' CSR performance. We use the actual amount spent on CSR activities to measure firms' CSR performance. For a sample of 20,410 firm-year observations and 2000–2021 period, we show that as firms' CSR spending increases, <em>IVOL</em> decreases. This relationship becomes stronger as social-and-community and employee-welfare spending increases but is insensitive to spending on environmental-protection. Cash flow volatility and financial-constraints decreases, and firm valuation improves with employee-welfare spending. It is important to integrate CSR with risk-management-strategies at the firm-level and policy-formulation at the economy-level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101331"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144570252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-06-18DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101311
Chuhong Wang , Xingfei Liu , Massimiliano Tani , Yan Zhao
We examine how reducing ‘background risk’ – the unobserved uncertainty in investment settings – affects household portfolios when individuals unexpectedly gain a comprehensive safety net encompassing health insurance, pension, and other benefits. Leveraging a natural experiment from China's property rights reform and RUMiC data, we find that the reform increases household savings rates and investments in risky assets, indicating that lower background risk enables households to allocate more resources to higher-return, more productive investments. Our results underscore institutional safety nets as effective policy tools to promote risk-taking and capital accumulation in emerging economies.
{"title":"Safety nets and investment choices","authors":"Chuhong Wang , Xingfei Liu , Massimiliano Tani , Yan Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101311","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101311","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine how reducing ‘background risk’ – the unobserved uncertainty in investment settings – affects household portfolios when individuals unexpectedly gain a comprehensive safety net encompassing health insurance, pension, and other benefits. Leveraging a natural experiment from China's property rights reform and RUMiC data, we find that the reform increases household savings rates and investments in risky assets, indicating that lower background risk enables households to allocate more resources to higher-return, more productive investments. Our results underscore institutional safety nets as effective policy tools to promote risk-taking and capital accumulation in emerging economies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47886,"journal":{"name":"Emerging Markets Review","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101311"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144510658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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