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Does firms' commitment towards CSR influence idiosyncratic volatility? Evidence from India 企业对企业社会责任的承诺会影响特殊波动率吗?来自印度的证据
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101331
Neeru Chaudhry, Priya Dhawan
Inconclusive evidence on how CSR affects idiosyncratic volatility (IVOL) is potentially because of different approaches used to measure firms' CSR performance. We use the actual amount spent on CSR activities to measure firms' CSR performance. For a sample of 20,410 firm-year observations and 2000–2021 period, we show that as firms' CSR spending increases, IVOL decreases. This relationship becomes stronger as social-and-community and employee-welfare spending increases but is insensitive to spending on environmental-protection. Cash flow volatility and financial-constraints decreases, and firm valuation improves with employee-welfare spending. It is important to integrate CSR with risk-management-strategies at the firm-level and policy-formulation at the economy-level.
关于企业社会责任如何影响特殊波动率(IVOL)的不确定证据可能是因为衡量企业社会责任绩效的方法不同。我们使用企业社会责任活动的实际花费来衡量企业的社会责任绩效。对于2000年至2021年期间的20410个公司年度观察样本,我们表明,随着公司CSR支出的增加,IVOL下降。随着社会和社区以及雇员福利支出的增加,这种关系变得更加紧密,但对环境保护支出却不敏感。现金流波动性和财务约束降低,公司估值随着员工福利支出而提高。将企业社会责任与企业层面的风险管理战略和经济层面的政策制定相结合是很重要的。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling exchange rate shocks: Disentangling extensive and intensive effects on the lending channel 解开汇率冲击:解开对贷款渠道的广泛和密集影响
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101332
Mohammadreza Hassanpour, Amineh Mahmoudzadeh, Seyed Ali Madanizadeh
This study examines how exchange rate (FX) fluctuations affect bank lending, focusing on the moderating role of liquidity. Using monthly data from Iranian banks (2007–2018), we exploit a fixed official FX rate regime to isolate extensive-margin adjustments. A 10% depreciation reduces real loan growth by 0.4 percentage points—about 30% of average monthly growth. The effect is stronger for banks with low liquidity and high non-performing loans. Local-currency and private-sector loans are most affected. The findings, which are robust to IV and GMM methods, underscore the importance of liquidity buffers in mitigating lending contractions during FX shocks and can inform macroprudential policy in emerging markets.
本研究探讨汇率(FX)波动如何影响银行贷款,重点关注流动性的调节作用。使用伊朗银行的月度数据(2007-2018),我们利用固定的官方外汇汇率制度来隔离大量保证金调整。10%的贬值会使实际贷款增长减少0.4个百分点——大约是月平均增长的30%。对于流动性低、不良贷款高的银行,这种影响更强。当地货币和私营部门贷款受到的影响最大。研究结果对IV和GMM方法具有稳定期,强调了流动性缓冲在缓解外汇冲击期间贷款收缩方面的重要性,并可为新兴市场的宏观审慎政策提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
From the core to the European periphery: Spillover effects of financial cycles 从核心到欧洲外围:金融周期的溢出效应
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101305
Lukáš Jursa , Jan Janků
We construct a comprehensive Financial Cycle Index (FCI), combining credit, credit-to-GDP, house prices, and equity prices, to examine how negative financial shocks from the Euro Area (EA) and the United States (US) transmit to peripheral European economies. Using a Bayesian Global Vector Autoregression (BGVAR) model with stochastic volatility, we find that EA shocks exert stronger effects on inflation and output, underscoring tight regional linkages. In contrast, US shocks drive more persistent declines in short-term interest rates and sharper increases in term premiums, especially in smaller open economies. Replacing the FCI with the Country-Level Index of Financial Stress (CLIFS) reveals faster, more volatile financial-cycle responses in the periphery, but with weaker and shorter-lived real-sector effects, highlighting the role of acute financial stress versus longer-term credit and asset-price dynamics. These core-to-periphery spillovers persist under de facto floating exchange rates and remain robust to macroprudential-policy controls and alternative model specifications.
我们构建了一个综合的金融周期指数(FCI),将信贷、信贷占gdp的比例、房价和股票价格结合起来,以检验来自欧元区(EA)和美国(US)的负面金融冲击如何传导到欧洲外围经济体。使用随机波动的贝叶斯全球向量自回归(BGVAR)模型,我们发现EA冲击对通货膨胀和产出的影响更大,强调了紧密的区域联系。相比之下,美国的冲击导致短期利率持续下降,期限溢价大幅上升,尤其是在较小的开放经济体。用国家层面金融压力指数(CLIFS)取代FCI可以揭示外围国家更快、更不稳定的金融周期反应,但实际部门的影响较弱、持续时间较短,突出了急性金融压力相对于长期信贷和资产价格动态的作用。这些核心到外围的溢出效应在事实上的浮动汇率下持续存在,并在宏观审慎政策控制和替代模型规范下保持强劲。
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引用次数: 0
Overseas experience and corporate innovation: Second-generation successors in family enterprises 海外经验与企业创新:家族企业第二代接班人
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101336
Yaozhi Chen , Honghong Wei
We examine the impact of overseas experiences on second-generation successors in family enterprises from a cultural learning perspective. By manually curating data, we find that these successors significantly enhance both the quantity and quality of corporate innovation. Mechanism tests indicate that overseas experiences, through cultural learning, enhance risk-taking, confidence, and reduce seniority culture, fostering innovation. Furthermore, heterogeneity tests show that while these experiences hinder innovation in company locations with strong Confucian culture, they enhance it with high social openness. The results remain robust under a series of robustness and endogeneity tests.
本文从文化学习的角度考察海外经历对家族企业第二代接班人的影响。通过人工整理数据,我们发现这些后继者显著提高了企业创新的数量和质量。机制检验表明,海外经验通过文化学习,增强企业的冒险精神、自信心,减少资历文化,促进创新。此外,异质性检验表明,在儒家文化浓重的企业所在地,这些经历阻碍了创新,但在社会开放度较高的企业所在地,这些经历促进了创新。结果在一系列稳健性和内生性检验下保持稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
Global monetary policy surprises and their transmission to emerging market economies: An external VAR analysis 全球货币政策意外及其对新兴市场经济体的传导:外部VAR分析
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101333
Felipe Beltrán
This paper analyzes how monetary policy surprises in the U.S. affect emerging market economies (EMs) by focusing on the transmission through the real exchange rate (RER) and country spreads (EMBI). To do so, I disentangle U.S. interest rate movements between both a pure monetary policy shock and an information shock; while the former is constructed based on high-frequency movements of interest rates around Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements, the latter builds from employment releases. I quantify the relative impacts using a structural VAR (SVAR) model with external instruments. The results suggest that a pure monetary policy shock produces a persistent appreciation of the RER in the U.S. coupled with an increase of the EMBI, which induces contractionary effects in the real sector of EMs. In contrast, an information shock does not necessarily produce such contractionary effects in EMs. These results contribute to the literature by identifying the specific drivers behind Fed announcements and its transmission channels to EMs.
本文通过关注实际汇率(RER)和国家利差(EMBI)的传导,分析了美国货币政策意外对新兴市场经济体(EMs)的影响。为此,我将美国利率变动区分为纯粹的货币政策冲击和信息冲击;前者是基于围绕联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)公告的高频利率变动构建的,而后者是基于就业数据发布构建的。我用外部仪器的结构VAR (SVAR)模型量化了相对影响。结果表明,纯粹的货币政策冲击会导致美国RER的持续升值,同时导致EMBI的增加,从而导致新兴市场实体部门的收缩效应。相反,信息冲击未必会在新兴市场产生这种收缩效应。这些结果通过确定美联储公告背后的具体驱动因素及其向新兴市场的传导渠道,为文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Doom loops in Latin America 拉丁美洲的末日循环
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101334
Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez , Jorge M. Uribe , Oscar M. Valencia , Bum Kim
The post-COVID surge in public debt has intensified the financial interdependence between sovereigns and banks in emerging market economies, where domestic financial institutions have increasingly financed government borrowing. This paper examines the interaction between sovereign and banking sector risk through two complementary empirical strategies. First, using daily data from 2005 to 2023 for Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru, we estimate risk spillovers between sovereign CDS spreads and bank stock returns at different points of the distribution. We find that spillovers are economically significant—particularly in the tails—and that two-way risk transmission persists regardless of banks' exposure to sovereign debt. Second, drawing on panel data for 111 banks across 30 countries, we study how changes in sovereign risk affect the downside market risk of banks, measured as the 5th percentile of their daily stock return distribution. Results from dynamic panel regressions reveal a strong and robust link between sovereign and bank downside risk, driven primarily by common macroeconomic shocks rather than by endogenous fragility loops. Notably, at low levels of market stress, moderate exposure to sovereign debt appears to reduce downside risk for banks. These findings underscore the importance of sound regulatory frameworks for sovereign exposure and credible fiscal policies in maintaining financial stability, particularly in emerging market contexts.
新冠疫情后公共债务激增加剧了新兴市场经济体主权和银行之间的金融相互依存关系,这些经济体的国内金融机构越来越多地为政府借款提供融资。本文通过两种互补的实证策略考察了主权和银行业风险之间的相互作用。首先,使用巴西、智利、哥伦比亚、墨西哥和秘鲁2005年至2023年的每日数据,我们估计了主权CDS息差和银行股票收益在不同分布点之间的风险溢出效应。我们发现,溢出效应在经济上是显著的,尤其是尾部,而且无论银行对主权债务的敞口如何,双向风险传导都会持续存在。其次,利用30个国家111家银行的面板数据,我们研究了主权风险的变化如何影响银行的下行市场风险,以其每日股票收益分布的第5个百分位来衡量。动态面板回归的结果显示,主权和银行下行风险之间存在强烈而稳健的联系,主要由共同的宏观经济冲击驱动,而不是由内生脆弱性循环驱动。值得注意的是,在市场压力较低的情况下,适度的主权债务敞口似乎可以降低银行的下行风险。这些发现强调了健全的主权风险监管框架和可靠的财政政策对维护金融稳定的重要性,特别是在新兴市场背景下。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the demand for financial assets: The case of Sri Lanka 金融资产需求建模:以斯里兰卡为例
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101330
E.A. Selvanathan , Maneka Jayasinghe , Saroja Selvanathan , Brinda Viswanathan
This paper uses a portfolio allocation model to analyse the demand for household financial assets in the form of bank deposits, savings and term deposits for an emerging market, Sri Lanka, for the period 1981–2022. In contrast to previous research, findings reveal the presence of a non-linear relationship between household financial assets and share of asset allocation. The findings also suggest some degree of substitutability and complementarity between household bank investments. The findings of this study inform monetary policy decisions to encourage household savings in times of highly volatile political and economic conditions, such as civil wars and economic crises.
本文使用投资组合配置模型来分析1981-2022年期间新兴市场斯里兰卡对银行存款、储蓄和定期存款形式的家庭金融资产的需求。与以往的研究相比,研究结果揭示了家庭金融资产与资产配置份额之间存在非线性关系。研究结果还表明,家庭银行投资之间存在一定程度的可替代性和互补性。这项研究的结果为货币政策决策提供了依据,以鼓励家庭在内战和经济危机等高度动荡的政治和经济条件下储蓄。
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引用次数: 0
Winners and Losers: The Effects of Monetary Policy on Income and Consumption Inequality 赢家和输家:货币政策对收入和消费不平等的影响
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101318
Aariya Sen , Rudra Sensarma
Recent studies have examined the impact of monetary policy on economic inequality, but have focused on advanced economies and wealth inequality. We analyse the impact of monetary policy on income and consumption inequality estimated from a household level dataset in India. We apply Sign-Restricted VAR and Local Projection models to monthly data for 2014–2023. We show that contractionary monetary policy worsens consumption inequality while reducing income inequality. We also find that while restrictive monetary policy reduces capital income inequality and wage income inequality it widens the gap between capital and wage income earners. Moreover, monetary policy exhibits asymmetric effects, suggesting trade-offs for the central bank.
最近的研究考察了货币政策对经济不平等的影响,但主要集中在发达经济体和财富不平等上。我们分析了从印度家庭层面数据集估计的货币政策对收入和消费不平等的影响。我们将Sign-Restricted VAR和Local Projection模型应用于2014-2023年的月度数据。我们表明,紧缩的货币政策在减少收入不平等的同时加剧了消费不平等。我们还发现,虽然限制性货币政策减少了资本收入不平等和工资收入不平等,但它扩大了资本和工资收入者之间的差距。此外,货币政策表现出不对称效应,表明央行需要权衡取舍。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence and corporate investment efficiency: Evidence from China 人工智能与企业投资效率:来自中国的证据
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101314
Liangcheng Wang, Yizheng Chen
Artificial intelligence technology provides new solutions to management problems and plays an important role in investment decision-making. In this study, we explore the effect of artificial intelligence on corporate investment. Using a sample from China, we find that artificial intelligence improves corporate investment efficiency by enhancing internal control and ESG performance. This finding is particularly pronounced in firms with high artificial intelligence application proficiency and without state ownership. Finally, our findings demonstrate that AI could influence corporate investment decisions, encouraging firms to engage in risky investment behaviours. Our findings have implications for firms to adopt artificial intelligence to optimise investment.
人工智能技术为管理问题提供了新的解决方案,在投资决策中发挥着重要作用。在本研究中,我们探讨了人工智能对企业投资的影响。以中国为例,我们发现人工智能通过增强内部控制和ESG绩效来提高企业投资效率。这一发现在人工智能应用熟练程度高且没有国有的公司中尤为明显。最后,我们的研究结果表明,人工智能可以影响企业的投资决策,鼓励企业从事风险投资行为。我们的研究结果对企业采用人工智能来优化投资具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Integrity atmosphere and the cost of equity: Evidence from China 诚信氛围与公平成本:来自中国的证据
IF 5.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2025.101341
Yuyang Chen , Shuyi Zhu
This study investigates how the integrity atmosphere in a firm's local area affects the firm's cost of equity. Using the Credit Demonstration City Construction program in China as a quasi-natural experiment, we find that firms headquartered in pilot cities enjoy lower equity financing costs following implementation of the program. The results can be attributed to improved information-disclosure quality, decreased agency costs, and better corporate social responsibility performance. Further analyses show that the reduction in the cost of equity is significant for firms whose monitoring environments are weak and those that operate in industries that depend heavily on equity financing.
本研究探讨企业所在地区的诚信氛围如何影响企业的股权成本。我们将中国信贷示范城市建设项目作为准自然实验,发现试点城市的企业在实施该项目后,其股权融资成本较低。这可以归因于信息披露质量的提高、代理成本的降低和企业社会责任绩效的提高。进一步的分析表明,对于监测环境薄弱的公司和在严重依赖股权融资的行业中经营的公司来说,股权成本的降低意义重大。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Emerging Markets Review
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