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Juvenile fatalities in law enforcement encounters 执法过程中的青少年死亡事故
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102292
Scott E. Culhane, Jessie L. Wiser
The use of deadly force by police is not typically associated with juveniles. However, a small percentage of cases do result in their deaths. Utilizing nationwide databases of fatalities involving law enforcement, 224 juvenile deaths were examined over a ten-year period. The majority of deaths were male and minorities. Most cases involved a weapon or the appearance of a weapon, with more than half of the youths having a firearm at the time of their death. Cases were mixed with respect to the suspect's “ flight status,” as many youths were not fleeing at the time of the incident. The circumstances of the deaths were examined for the neighborhood characteristics, such as educational attainment, youth poverty, juvenile population, and racial homogeneity of the area, as well as the situational factors involved at the time of the incident. The most predictive variable in all models was the percentage of Whites only population of the area. Analyses of these deaths shed light on the interactions police have with juveniles. Policy recommendations are included to reduce hostile police and juvenile interactions.
警察使用致命武力通常与青少年无关。然而,有一小部分案件确实导致了他们的死亡。利用全国范围内涉及执法人员死亡事件的数据库,对十年间 224 起青少年死亡事件进行了研究。大多数死亡者为男性和少数民族。大多数案件涉及武器或武器的外观,半数以上的青少年在死亡时持有枪支。在犯罪嫌疑人的 "逃跑状态 "方面,案件的情况参差不齐,因为许多青少年在案发时并没有逃跑。在研究死亡情况时,我们考虑了邻近地区的特征,如教育程度、青少年贫困状况、青少年人口、该地区的种族同质性,以及事发时所涉及的情景因素。在所有模型中,最具预测性的变量是该地区的白人人口比例。对这些死亡事件的分析揭示了警察与青少年之间的互动。其中包括减少警察与青少年之间敌对互动的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Where are the guns? 枪在哪里?
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102289
David B. Johnson , Joshua J. Robinson , Daniel C. Semenza , Alexi Thompson
We test the effectiveness of several common gun prevalence proxy variables against what are arguably the best measures of gun prevalence: firearm sales and concealed carry permits. With a comprehensive count of gun sales and concealed carry permits (by county and year) in the states of Pennsylvania and Massachusetts, we make two main observations: First, gun sales/concealed carry permits are positively correlated with federal firearm licenses (gun dealers) per mile. Second, gun sales/concealed carry permits are not significantly positively correlated with federal firearm licenses per capita or the proportion of gun suicides to total suicides. We then discuss why this occurs and the limitations of using legal gun sales as a gun prevalence measure. Last, we show how the competing measures differ in terms of their associations with gun homicide. We find our preferred measure to have a strong positive association with gun homicides while many others do not. Consequently, we advise researchers to use gun dealers as a measure of gun prevalence and specifically in a way that considers markets bleeding over arbitrary lines (e.g., county, city, or neighborhood). This will especially be the case if one is interested in small geographic areas.
我们测试了几种常见的枪支流行替代变量对枪支流行的有效性,这些变量可以说是枪支流行的最佳衡量标准:枪支销售和隐蔽持枪许可证。通过对宾夕法尼亚州和马萨诸塞州的枪支销售和隐蔽持枪许可证(按县和年份)进行全面统计,我们得出了两个主要观察结果:首先,枪支销售/隐蔽持枪许可与每英里的联邦枪支执照(枪支经销商)呈正相关。其次,枪支销售/隐蔽携带许可证与人均联邦枪支执照或枪支自杀占自杀总数的比例没有明显的正相关关系。然后,我们讨论了出现这种情况的原因,以及使用合法枪支销售作为枪支流行率衡量标准的局限性。最后,我们展示了这些相互竞争的衡量标准与枪支凶杀案的关联有何不同。我们发现,我们首选的衡量标准与枪支凶杀案有很强的正相关性,而许多其他衡量标准则没有。因此,我们建议研究人员使用枪支经销商作为衡量枪支流行程度的标准,特别是要考虑到市场的任意界限(如县、市或社区)。如果研究人员对较小的地理区域感兴趣,情况尤其如此。
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引用次数: 0
The efficacy of ‘modular dosage’ in prison-based psychological interventions to reduce recidivism: A state-wide naturalistic study of convicted people in Australian prisons 监狱心理干预中的 "模块剂量 "对减少累犯的功效:一项针对澳大利亚监狱中已决犯的全州自然研究
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102294
Marlee Bower , Mark V.A. Howard , Lexine A. Stapinski , Michael F. Doyle , Nicola C. Newton , Emma L. Barrett

Background

Criminal reoffending rates post-release from custody pose significant societal and economic challenges, with up to half of the world's released prisoners reoffending within two years. While psychological interventions based on the Risk-Needs-Responsivity model aim to address this issue, recent research highlights their inefficacy. The ‘EQUIPS’ suite of programs delivers innovative modular-style dosage to meet individual assessed needs and risk of offending, on a large scale in Australia. This study explores the impact of modular dosage in EQUIPS programs on reducing serious reoffending in the 12-months post-release.

Methods

This study employs logistic regression to understand the dose-response relationship in 4345 participations who were referred to EQUIPS during their first incarceration episode (2015–2018). These analyses assess the effects of completing 0 vs. 1 program and 1 vs. 2 programs, addressing potential self-selection bias through inverse probability weighting.

Results

Completing 1 vs. 0 program was associated with a 24 % decrease in serious reoffending within the first-year post-release. However, this effect was no longer observed in sensitivity analyses when including participants who did not complete treatment. Completing 2 vs. 1 program was not associated with additional reduction in recidivism.

Conclusion

Increasing modular dosage of EQUIPS programs did not reduce recidivism in the 12-months post-release from custody, compared to a single program. The benefits of one compared to no programs were only observed when analyses were restricted to the 56 % of participants who completed all treatment sessions. Emphasising tailored treatment intensity and content, along with responsivity, may yield more meaningful reductions in recidivism.
背景刑满释放后的重新犯罪率给社会和经济带来了巨大挑战,全球多达一半的刑满释放人员在两年内重新犯罪。虽然基于 "风险-需求-反应 "模型的心理干预措施旨在解决这一问题,但近期的研究突出表明这些措施效果不佳。在澳大利亚,"EQUIPS "计划套件提供了创新的模块式剂量,以满足个人的评估需求和犯罪风险。本研究探讨了 EQUIPS 计划中的模块化剂量对减少释放后 12 个月内严重重新犯罪的影响。本研究采用逻辑回归法了解 4345 名在首次监禁期间(2015-2018 年)被转至 EQUIPS 的参与者的剂量反应关系。这些分析评估了完成 0 个项目与 1 个项目以及 1 个项目与 2 个项目的效果,并通过反概率加权解决了潜在的自我选择偏差。然而,在进行敏感性分析时,如果将未完成治疗的参与者包括在内,则不再观察到这种效应。结论与单一项目相比,增加 EQUIPS 项目的模块化剂量并不能减少释放后 12 个月内的再犯罪率。只有在对 56% 完成所有治疗课程的参与者进行分析时,才会发现只实施一项课程比不实施任何课程更有益处。强调量身定制的治疗强度和内容以及响应性,可能会更有意义地减少累犯。
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引用次数: 0
Reassessing the process-based model: Do procedural justice and police legitimacy lead to reporting neighborhood problems to the police over time? 重新评估基于程序的模式:随着时间的推移,程序正义和警察合法性是否会导致向警方报告邻里问题?
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102290
Kiseong Kuen

Objective

The process-based model, which emphasizes enhancing procedural justice and police legitimacy, is regarded as a key approach to fostering community members' cooperation with police. Despite its prominence, research on how these perceptions influence actual cooperative behaviors remains scarce, particularly in the context of longitudinal data. This study aims to address these gaps.

Data/methods

Multilevel logistic regression modeling was applied to three waves of survey data, primarily collected from crime hot spots in Baltimore City, Maryland, to examine the longitudinal impacts of procedural justice and police legitimacy on the likelihood of reporting neighborhood problems to the police. KHB mediation analysis was used to assess the indirect effect of procedural justice on reporting behavior through legitimacy.

Results

The findings provide limited support for the process-based model, revealing that while police legitimacy significantly influenced reporting behavior, there was no evidence of either a direct or indirect effect of procedural justice on reporting neighborhood problems to the police.

Conclusions/implications

These results question the widely held belief that improvements in procedural justice will lead to public cooperation with law enforcement. Thus, if the goal is to foster long-term cooperation from community members, police strategies may need to extend beyond simply integrating procedural justice principles.

目标基于程序的模式强调加强程序正义和警察的合法性,被认为是促进社区成员与警察合作的关键方法。尽管这种模式很受重视,但有关这些观念如何影响实际合作行为的研究仍然很少,尤其是在纵向数据方面。本研究旨在填补这些空白。数据/方法对主要从马里兰州巴尔的摩市犯罪热点地区收集的三波调查数据进行了多层次逻辑回归建模,以研究程序正义和警察合法性对向警方报告邻里问题的可能性的纵向影响。结果研究结果为基于程序的模型提供了有限的支持,揭示出虽然警察的合法性对报案行为有显著影响,但没有证据表明程序正义对向警方报告邻里问题有直接或间接的影响。结论/意义这些结果对人们普遍认为程序正义的改善将导致公众与执法部门的合作这一观点提出了质疑。因此,如果要实现促进社区成员长期合作的目标,警方的策略可能不仅仅是整合程序正义原则那么简单。
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引用次数: 0
Size isn't everything: Understanding the relationship between police workforce and crime problems 规模并不代表一切:了解警察队伍与犯罪问题之间的关系
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102291
Eon Kim , Kate Bowers , Dan Birks , Shane D. Johnson
If and how policing affects crime has long been studied. On the relationship between police force size and crime, different authors come to different conclusions. This study examines the relationship between police resourcing, including workforce size, structure and stability over time using data for 42 police forces in the UK over a 13-year period.
We construct two novel panel datasets. The first comprises measures of police workforce Size, Structure and Stability. The second provides measures of both crime frequency and crime severity. Issues of endogeneity make the modelling of the police-crime association complicated. Consequently, we analyse the data using a panel vector autoregression (PVAR) model which is capable of forecasting a temporal sequence of the interdependencies between police-crime relationships.
Changes in total police personnel play an important role in reducing both crime frequency and severity, but the findings are more nuanced than this. Results highlight that the structure and stability of police organisations are important although these impacts are not always the same for crime volume and crime severity. We find that increases in frontline (non-sworn) support staff are associated with reductions in crime, while turnover rates of police staff are associated with increases in crime. In contrast, changes to the number of sworn police officers do not appear to be a good predictor of crime volume.
The findings suggest that investment in frontline support staff and the development of strategies to retain skills and knowledge by reducing staff turnover may be efficient approaches for Police Forces to maximise the impact on crime of their workforce in resource-pressed policing settings. While previous research has found that police force size has a limited effect on crime, our findings indicate that more nuanced measurements of police resourcing are necessary to understand how police impact upon crime risk. The idea of police forces using basic officer-to-population ratios to make staffing decisions appears outdated and over-simplistic.
长期以来,人们一直在研究警务是否以及如何影响犯罪。关于警力规模与犯罪之间的关系,不同的作者得出了不同的结论。本研究利用英国 42 支警队 13 年间的数据,研究了警力资源配置(包括警力规模、结构和稳定性)之间的关系。第一个数据集包括警察队伍的规模、结构和稳定性。第二个数据集提供了犯罪频率和犯罪严重程度的衡量指标。内生性问题使得警察与犯罪的关联建模变得复杂。因此,我们使用面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型对数据进行分析,该模型能够预测警察与犯罪之间相互依存关系的时间序列。研究结果突出表明,警察组织的结构和稳定性非常重要,尽管这些因素对犯罪数量和犯罪严重程度的影响并不总是相同。我们发现,前线(非军警)辅助人员的增加与犯罪率的下降有关,而警务人员的更替率与犯罪率的上升有关。研究结果表明,在警力资源紧张的情况下,对一线辅助人员进行投资并制定通过降低人员流动率来保留技能和知识的策略,可能是警察部队最大限度地发挥其警力对犯罪的影响的有效方法。以往的研究发现,警力规模对犯罪的影响有限,而我们的研究结果表明,有必要对警察资源配置进行更细致的衡量,以了解警察如何影响犯罪风险。警察部队使用基本的警员与人口比例来做出人员配置决策的想法似乎已经过时,而且过于简单化。
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引用次数: 0
Willingness to change and coming home from prison 愿意改变和从监狱回家
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102283
Kyle Jordan Bares , Thomas J. Mowen , Richard Stansfield , Nathan W. Link , John H. Boman IV

This study's purpose is to explore the factors which maximize willingness to change within people as they are released from prison. Using data from a panel of men in the Serious and Violent Offender Reentry Initiative (SVORI) study and a hybrid item response theory approach, a modified graded response model is used to estimate people's overall willingness to change. That estimate serves as the dependent variable in a series of regression models which examine which factors relate to a person's willingness to change. Results demonstrate that a variety of experiences prior to incarceration (e.g., prior employment, criminally-inclined peers) and during incarceration (e.g., religious support, family conflict) significantly relate to a person's willingness to change. Understanding the pre- and during-incarceration experiences of individuals can help inform policy and reentry programs tailored to increase the positive attitude of being willing to change and desist from crime.

本研究的目的是探讨在人们从监狱释放出来时,哪些因素能够最大限度地激发他们的改变意愿。本研究利用 "重刑犯和暴力罪犯重返社会倡议"(SVORI)研究中的一组男性数据和混合项目反应理论方法,采用修改后的分级反应模型来估计人们的总体改变意愿。该估计值在一系列回归模型中作为因变量,这些模型研究了哪些因素与人们的改变意愿有关。结果表明,入狱前(如之前的工作、有犯罪倾向的同龄人)和入狱期间(如宗教支持、家庭冲突)的各种经历与一个人的改变意愿有很大关系。了解个人入狱前和入狱期间的经历有助于为制定政策和重返社会计划提供依据,从而提高人们愿意改变和停止犯罪的积极态度。
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引用次数: 0
What makes risky facilities “risky?” A remote systematic social observation of environmental crime predictors at bars in Denver using Google street view imagery 是什么让危险设施变得 "危险"?利用谷歌街景图像对丹佛酒吧环境犯罪预测因素进行远程系统社会观察
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102288
Nathan T. Connealy, Mary Corts

Purpose

Bars have an established relationship to crime and are routinely operationalized as an important predictor of crime occurrence. However, despite this reputation, an interesting paradox exists in that most bars are not criminogenic. This study attempts to explain the variation in crime levels at bars by observing their environments over time.

Methods

Environmental features of bars in Denver were recorded using year-over-year Google Street View imagery from 2014 to 2022. Analyses then examined the presence, predictivity, and patterning of the observed environmental features to better explain the relationship between bars, bar environments, and crime over time.

Results

The results indicate that a high number of environmental features are present at bars but only a few features significantly predict crime occurrence. The variation in crime levels at bars may be best explained through specific, situational environmental features and place management tactics. Though, identifying the temporal patterning of environmental features as static or dynamic over time is critical to understanding crime occurrence at bars.

Conclusions

The results suggest that crime at bars may be attributable to unique combinations of environmental features and temporal considerations at individual bars. Explaining the variation in crime levels may require facility-by-facility nuance to better inform situational crime prevention efforts.

目的酒吧与犯罪之间有着既定的关系,通常被视为犯罪发生的重要预测因素。然而,尽管如此,一个有趣的悖论却存在,那就是大多数酒吧并不滋生犯罪。本研究试图通过观察酒吧随时间变化的环境来解释酒吧犯罪率的变化。方法使用谷歌街景图像记录了丹佛酒吧在 2014 年至 2022 年间的环境特征。结果结果表明,酒吧存在大量环境特征,但只有少数特征能显著预测犯罪发生。酒吧犯罪率的变化可以通过具体的情景环境特征和场所管理策略得到最好的解释。尽管如此,确定环境特征的时间模式是静态的还是动态的,对于理解酒吧的犯罪发生率至关重要。要解释犯罪率的变化,可能需要逐个设施进行细致研究,以便更好地为情景犯罪预防工作提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
When and where we are: Comparing early criminal careers of organized crime offenders in Italy and the Netherlands across decades 我们在何时何地:比较意大利和荷兰有组织犯罪罪犯数十年的早期犯罪生涯
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102276
Francesco Calderoni , Tommaso Comunale , Victor van der Geest , Edward R. Kleemans

Purpose

This study examines the early criminal careers of organized crime offenders in Italy and the Netherlands and assess how these behaviors have evolved across generations. We (1) compare the early careers with the entire career in the two country samples and (2) assess the influence of generational shifts and social changes on these behaviors, particularly focusing on crime control policies.

Methods

Analyzing data on male offenders born between 1950 and 1986, we analyze criminal careers up to ages 23 and 30. Our analysis includes statistical assessments of differences between countries and among decades, employing multinomial logistic regressions to explore the associations between criminal career parameters and crime categories and the offenders' decade of birth.

Results

Significant differences were found between the Italian and Dutch samples, reflecting country-specific dynamics in organized crime involvement. Evidence suggests minimal generational shifts towards more serious offending, but notable impacts of social changes, especially in anti-drug and anti-organized crime policies, across individuals born in different decades.

Conclusions

Both the societal context (‘where we are’) and temporal influences (‘when we are’) are essential in understanding criminal careers. Changes in policies and social conditions differentially affected organized crime offenders in Italy and the Netherlands.

目的本研究考察了意大利和荷兰有组织犯罪罪犯的早期犯罪生涯,并评估了这些行为是如何跨代演变的。我们(1)比较了这两个国家样本中的早期犯罪生涯和整个犯罪生涯;(2)评估了代际更替和社会变迁对这些行为的影响,尤其关注犯罪控制政策。方法我们分析了 1950 年至 1986 年间出生的男性罪犯的数据,分析了他们 23 岁和 30 岁之前的犯罪生涯。我们的分析包括对不同国家和不同年代之间差异的统计评估,采用多项式逻辑回归法探讨犯罪生涯参数和犯罪类别与罪犯出生年代之间的关联。结果发现意大利和荷兰样本之间存在显著差异,反映了有组织犯罪参与方面的国别动态。有证据表明,在不同年代出生的个体中,向更严重犯罪的代际转变微乎其微,但社会变化,尤其是禁毒和打击有组织犯罪政策的变化,对他们产生了显著影响。政策和社会条件的变化对意大利和荷兰的有组织犯罪罪犯产生了不同的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Who is culpable in fentanyl-induced deaths? A survey vignette investigating public perceptions of drug supplier culpability 谁应对芬太尼致死负责?调查公众对毒品供应商罪责看法的小故事
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102284
Sohee Jung , Hunter M. Boehme , Peter Leasure , Lekendra Kidd , Melissa Nolan

Purpose

The fentanyl crisis has received national attention. In the current context, this study sought to assess whether public perception of criminal culpability varies by who supplies fentanyl to an individual who later dies from an overdose.

Methods

An experimental vignette of fentanyl-induced death scenarios was implemented by randomizing the relationship of the drug suppliers to the victims as well as race of both the drug supplier and victim. In total, there were eight scenarios.

Results

OLS regressions on a sample of 4820, found that respondents assigned a scenario where a drug dealer was the fentanyl provider (compared to a friend as the provider) were significantly more likely to support punitive action. There were no significant differences when the race of the drug provider and/or victim were randomized. Robustness checks confirmed these punitive attitudes towards drug dealers.

Conclusions

The public views drug dealers as more culpable in fentanyl overdoses. However, the race of both the drug supplier and victim did not impact perceptions of criminal culpability. During a national fentanyl epidemic, the findings have implications for public attitudes towards drug suppliers, public policy, and future research.

目的芬太尼危机受到了全国的关注。在当前背景下,本研究试图评估公众对刑事罪责的看法是否会因为谁向后来因用药过量而死亡的人提供了芬太尼而有所不同。方法通过随机调整毒品提供者与受害者的关系以及毒品提供者和受害者的种族,对芬太尼导致死亡的情景进行实验性描述。结果 在对 4820 个样本进行OLS 回归后发现,被分配到毒贩是芬太尼提供者(与朋友是提供者相比)这一情景的受访者支持惩罚性行动的可能性明显更高。如果随机分配毒品提供者和/或受害者的种族,则没有明显差异。稳健性检查证实了这些对毒贩的惩罚态度。然而,毒品提供者和受害者的种族并不影响对罪责的看法。在芬太尼在全国流行期间,这些发现对公众对毒品供应商的态度、公共政策和未来研究都有影响。
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引用次数: 0
Discretion as weakness: Exploring the relationship between correctional officers' attitudes toward discretion and attempted boundary violations 自由裁量权是弱点:探究管教人员对自由裁量权的态度与试图侵犯边界之间的关系
IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102274
Leanne Stevens , William J. Schultz , Andrew C. Patterson

Research paints discretion as a tool correctional officers (COs) use to navigate their work. Discretion helps COs gain compliance and resolve conflicts amicably, and officers sometimes use it to improve relationships with incarcerated people. However, research also suggest that COs' reliance on discretionary power may produce harmful complications, undermining institutional regulations and creating conditions for serious rule violations. Little quantitative analysis exists on how CO discretion impacts prison operations, making the broader impact of discretion unclear. To address this gap, we use open-access data collected between 2017 and 2018 (Griffin & Hepburn, 2020). We then test whether a CO's attitude toward discretion may correspond with attempts from incarcerated people to encourage boundary violations. Results show that COs with more liberal attitudes toward discretion correspond with higher odds of being approached by incarcerated people to violate boundaries. Black COs have lower odds of being approached for minor boundary violations, while women officers have higher odds of having incarcerated people try to initiate an inappropriate relationship. Findings show that liberal attitudes among COs toward discretion may encourage incarcerated people to violate the most consequential prison rules. We conclude by discussing the implications for future research.

研究表明,自由裁量权是管教人员(COs)用来指导工作的一种工具。自由裁量权有助于狱警获得服从并友好地解决冲突,有时狱警还利用自由裁量权改善与被监禁者的关系。然而,研究也表明,狱警对自由裁量权的依赖可能会产生有害的并发症,破坏制度规定,为严重违反规则创造条件。关于监狱长自由裁量权如何影响监狱运作的定量分析很少,因此自由裁量权的广泛影响并不明确。为了弥补这一不足,我们使用了 2017 年至 2018 年间收集的公开数据(Griffin & Hepburn, 2020)。然后,我们检验了监狱长对自由裁量权的态度是否与被监禁者鼓励违反边界的企图相对应。结果表明,对自由裁量权持更宽松态度的刑警,被被监禁者接触以违反边界的几率更高。黑人狱警因轻微违反界限而被接触的几率较低,而女性狱警因被监禁者试图建立不正当关系而被接触的几率较高。研究结果表明,监狱长对自由裁量权的宽松态度可能会鼓励被监禁者违反最严重的监狱规定。最后,我们将讨论未来研究的意义。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Criminal Justice
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