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Exploring the factors that differentiate individual and group offenders in cyber-dependent crime 探讨网络依赖犯罪中个体罪犯与群体罪犯的区别因素
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102522
L.M.J. Bekkers , T.J. Holt , E.R. Leukfeldt
Not much is known about the characteristics of solo offenders relative to group offenders engaged in cyber-dependent crime. This cross-sectional survey study utilized a general population sample of 1240 Dutch young people. Respondents completed a battery of validated measurements that measured lifetime offending behaviors and screened for risk factors. Multinominal regression models were estimated to explore the factors that differentiate solo offenders from group offenders engaged in low-tech and high-tech forms of cybercrime. Analyses revealed that solo offenders showed a different profile than those who offend together with others, and that correlates were particularly dependent on the level of technical sophistication of crimes. Low-tech solo offenders seemed to act more opportunistically, whereas high-tech solo offenders had programming skills and higher levels of self-control. Findings imply that co-offending in cyber-dependent crime may be more of an instrumental choice for offenders who have insufficient capabilities to offend alone.
与网络依赖犯罪的群体罪犯相比,人们对单独犯罪者的特征知之甚少。这项横断面调查研究利用了1240名荷兰年轻人的一般人群样本。受访者完成了一系列有效的测量,测量了终身犯罪行为并筛选了风险因素。运用多项回归模型探讨了个体犯罪分子与群体犯罪分子在低技术和高技术网络犯罪中的差异因素。分析显示,单独犯罪的人与与他人一起犯罪的人表现出不同的特征,这种相关性尤其取决于犯罪的技术复杂程度。技术含量低的单独犯罪者似乎表现得更投机,而技术含量高的单独犯罪者则有编程技能和更高的自制力。研究结果表明,对于那些单独犯罪能力不足的罪犯来说,网络依赖性犯罪中的共同犯罪可能更多是一种工具性的选择。
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引用次数: 0
The empirical clustering of crimes 犯罪的经验聚类
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102526
Alora McCarthy , Haomin Chen , Bryanna Fox , Edelyn Verona
Despite wide use among researchers and law enforcement, crime classification structures have received little empirical study to validate their theoretical models. Specifically, few studies have examined the empirical structure of crime categories across a large range of offenses to examine adherence to traditional classification systems (e.g., violent vs. non-violent; crimes against persons, property, and society). This study first identified how crimes clustered together empirically in a sample of Florida jail inmates (Aim 1; N = 832, 68% men, 72% White, 83% non-Hispanic) and then tested the replicability of that grouping in a second sample of justice-involved individuals in Illinois (Aim 2; N = 794, 62% men, 51% Black, 96% non-Hispanic). The psychological and behavioral correlates of the factors were then explored (Aim 3). Results from exploratory factor analysis in Sample 1 and exploratory structural equation modeling in Sample 2 indicated a 4-factor structure best fit the data, supporting and expanding the Uniform Crime Report/National Incident-Based Reporting System 3-factor model (i.e., crimes against persons, property, and society). Property and societal crime factors were highly replicable across samples; two factors related to violent crimes were present in both samples but differed in their composition, suggesting the need for more research to understand violent crime heterogeneity. Correlations between the crime factors and external criteria indicated mixed support for the construct coherence of the factors. Most consistently, all crime factors were related to callous unemotional, impulsive, and aggressive traits across samples, suggesting that these characteristics offer little discriminatory ability in understanding criminal behavior.
尽管在研究人员和执法部门中广泛使用,但犯罪分类结构很少得到实证研究来验证其理论模型。具体来说,很少有研究在大范围的犯罪中检查犯罪类别的经验结构,以检查对传统分类系统的遵守情况(例如,暴力与非暴力;针对人身、财产和社会的犯罪)。本研究首先从经验上确定了佛罗里达州监狱囚犯样本中的犯罪是如何聚集在一起的(实验1;N = 832, 68%的男性,72%的白人,83%的非西班牙裔),然后在伊利诺伊州司法相关个体的第二个样本中测试了该分组的可重复性(实验2;N = 794, 62%的男性,51%的黑人,96%的非西班牙裔)。然后探讨了这些因素的心理和行为相关性(目的3)。样本1的探索性因子分析和样本2的探索性结构方程建模结果表明,4因素结构最适合数据,支持并扩展了统一犯罪报告/国家事件报告系统的3因素模型(即针对人身、财产和社会的犯罪)。财产和社会犯罪因素在样本中具有高度可复制性;两个样本中都存在与暴力犯罪相关的两个因素,但其组成不同,这表明需要更多的研究来了解暴力犯罪的异质性。犯罪因素与外部标准之间的相关性表明,对因素构建一致性的支持程度不一。最一致的是,所有的犯罪因素都与样本中冷酷无情、冲动和攻击性的特征有关,这表明这些特征在理解犯罪行为方面几乎没有区别。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding victimization of people held in U.S. prisons and jails: The generalizability of an opportunity framework 了解被关押在美国监狱和拘留所的人的受害:机会框架的概括性
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102519
Brandon K. Applegate , Nicola Pasquire
Despite the legal and practical obligation of correctional institutions to prevent victimization of people held in prisons and jails, relatively little research has sought to understand variation in the risk of victimization during incarceration. This characterization is particularly true in the context of detention in local jails and for property victimization. Moreover, the existing literature varies in methodology, model specification, and other features in ways that obscure our ability to determine the generalizability of explanatory models. The current study analyzes nationally representative data on multiple measures of victimization among people incarcerated in U.S. prisons and jails to assess the generalizability of an opportunity framework for understanding this phenomenon. We find that some aspects of the opportunity framework consistently predict victimization regardless of type, location, or perpetrator. Others vary in important ways. Based on our analyses, we provide suggestions for moving the study of victimization during incarceration forward.
尽管惩教机构在法律和实践上有义务防止监狱和拘留所中的人受害,但很少有研究试图了解监禁期间受害风险的变化。在当地监狱拘留和财产受害的情况下,这种定性尤其正确。此外,现有文献在方法论、模型规范和其他特征方面各不相同,这些特征模糊了我们确定解释性模型的普遍性的能力。目前的研究分析了美国监狱和拘留所中被监禁者的多种受害措施的全国代表性数据,以评估理解这一现象的机会框架的普遍性。我们发现,机会框架的某些方面始终如一地预测受害行为,无论类型、地点或犯罪者如何。其他的在重要方面有所不同。在此基础上,我们提出了推动监禁期间受害研究的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Generalized Gini coefficient, its statistical significance, and the local areas driving the global result 广义基尼系数,其统计显著性,以及局部地区驱动全球结果
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102524
Yichao Gao , Martin A. Andresen

Objectives

Review the Gini coefficient and how it has been tested for statistically significant concentrations. Discuss and implement baseline distribution for statistical testing. Identify where and how much local level change is needed to generate spatial concentrations.

Methods

Calculation of Gini coefficients with simulations to generate non-rejection envelope for seven crime types. Employ local spatial statistics, Andresen's Dissimilarity Index, to identify where local level changes are driving global changes in Gini coefficients.

Results

We show that random sampling with replacement is the most appropriate baseline data generating process for testing the statistical significance of concentrations using the Gini coefficient. We also show, consistent with previous research, that apparent concentrations may appear under randomness and that a few places with high degrees of concentration are able to generate high levels of global concentrations measured using the Gini coefficient.

Conclusions

The Gini coefficient is an excellent metric for measuring concentration. Any testing for statistically significant concentrations should employ random sampling with replacement as the data generating process. High degrees of concentrations correspond to a relatively small number of places that have more events than expected.
目的回顾基尼系数,以及如何对具有统计意义的浓度进行检验。讨论并实施统计测试的基线分布。确定需要在哪里以及在多大程度上进行局部变化才能产生空间集中。方法模拟计算基尼系数,生成7种犯罪类型的非排斥包络。利用当地的空间统计数据,即安德森的不相似指数,来确定地方层面的变化在哪里推动了基尼系数的全球变化。结果使用基尼系数检验浓度的统计显著性,随机抽样替代是最合适的基线数据生成过程。我们还表明,与先前的研究一致,表面浓度可能出现在随机性下,并且少数高度浓度的地方能够产生使用基尼系数测量的高水平的全球浓度。结论基尼系数是一个很好的浓度测定指标。任何具有统计意义的浓度测试都应该采用随机抽样和替换作为数据生成过程。高度集中对应于相对较少的地方,这些地方的事件比预期的要多。
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引用次数: 0
Variation in location and type of property calls for service in New Orleans on NFL and NBA Gamedays 在NFL和NBA比赛日新奥尔良的位置和类型的物业呼叫服务的变化
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102518
Ryan Bagwell , Wanda E. Leal , Allison Kondrat , Alex R. Piquero
There is a growing body of research devoted to examining how sporting venues may alter patterns of crime in areas surrounding such facilities. Overall research indicates that sporting events may contribute to increases in crime rates, however, this varies based on several factors such as the type of crime, type of sporting event, and the location of the stadium/arena. The current study extends this line of research by implementing a time series analysis and using two clustering methods: hot spot analysis and multivariate clustering to examine property crime related calls for service on days the New Orleans Saints (NFL team) play home games at Caesar's Superdome and the New Orleans Pelicans (NBA team) play home games at Smoothie King Center over a four-year period. Results show that property calls for service increase on days with sporting events, although the effect is not statistically significant. Hot spots are stable across days, centered in tourist areas of the Central Business District and French Quarter, yet show event-specific variation. High theft clusters are located near Bourbon Street and are consistent across contexts, although clusters expand beyond Bourbon Street for both Saints and Pelicans home game days. The results illustrate how nodes, pathways, and edges contextualize the spatial clustering of property calls for service across two sporting venues. Implications and policy directions are highlighted.
越来越多的研究致力于研究体育场馆如何改变这些设施周围地区的犯罪模式。总体研究表明,体育赛事可能会导致犯罪率上升,然而,这取决于几个因素,如犯罪类型、体育赛事类型和体育场/竞技场的位置。当前的研究通过实施时间序列分析和使用两种聚类方法来扩展这条研究线:热点分析和多元聚类,以检查在四年期间新奥尔良圣徒队(NFL球队)在凯撒超级圆顶球场主场比赛和新奥尔良鹈鹕队(NBA球队)在冰沙王中心主场比赛的那些天与财产犯罪相关的服务电话。结果表明,在有体育赛事的日子,物业服务电话增加,尽管影响不显著。热点在白天是稳定的,集中在中央商务区和法国区的旅游区,但显示出特定事件的变化。高盗窃集群位于波旁街附近,并且在各种情况下都是一致的,尽管在圣徒和鹈鹕的主场比赛日,集群会扩展到波旁街以外。研究结果说明了节点、路径和边缘如何将两个体育场馆的服务需求空间集群化。强调了影响和政策方向。
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引用次数: 0
Validation of the ORAC-PCQ, an actuarial risk assessment tool for general recidivism: A psychometric analysis based on Messick's validity framework 一般再犯精算风险评估工具ORAC-PCQ的有效性:基于Messick效度框架的心理测量学分析
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102517
Guy Giguère , Patrick Lussier , Christian Bourassa
This article introduces Messick's approach to validation by examining the psychometric properties of ORAC-PCQ, an actuarial tool that has been used in the province of Quebec since 2019. The instrument replaced the LS/CMI, which was deemed too time consuming for Quebec's correctional system which deals with short-term incarceration terms (less than 2 years) and probation. The instrument maintains adherence to risk, need and responsivity principles espoused by other comparable instruments, but it is more tailored toward short-term sentences. Messick's approach to validity testing, which departs from prior psychometric tests used with actuarial assessment tools, was used to assess the psychometric qualities of the ORAC-PCQ. Empirical analyses were conducted with both the ORAC-PCQ and the LS/CMI using data from two samples each (19,349 men and 3522 women with the ORAC-PCQ and 44,077 men and 6490 women with the LS/CMI). The promising results stress the relevance of Messick's approach as a more advanced validation process by which risk assessment tool can be examined.
本文通过检查ORAC-PCQ(自2019年以来在魁北克省使用的精算工具)的心理测量特性,介绍了Messick的验证方法。该工具取代了LS/CMI,对于魁北克的惩教系统来说,LS/CMI被认为过于耗时,因为魁北克的惩教系统处理的是短期监禁(不到2年)和缓刑。该文书坚持其他类似文书所支持的风险、需要和反应原则,但它更适合于短期判决。Messick的效度测试方法不同于以往使用精算评估工具进行的心理测量测试,被用于评估ORAC-PCQ的心理测量质量。对ORAC-PCQ和LS/CMI进行了实证分析,分别使用了两个样本的数据(ORAC-PCQ男性19,349人,女性3522人,LS/CMI男性44,077人,女性6490人)。这些有希望的结果强调了梅西克的方法作为一种更先进的验证过程的相关性,通过这种验证过程可以检查风险评估工具。
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引用次数: 0
The tangled history of social network analysis and gang research—A long way from Street Corner Society 社会网络分析和帮派研究的复杂历史——来自街角协会的漫漫长路
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102514
Jason Gravel , Martin Bouchard
This article traces the tangled history of social network analysis (SNA) and gang research, showing that relational thinking shaped the field since its origins –even when formal methods lagged behind. Through an analysis of classic studies, we demonstrate how early structural intuitions anticipated modern network concepts. We then synthesize modern classics and new contributions in this area of research, organizing research into six strands: 1) co-offending in the gang context, 2) policing and policy analysis, 3) territoriality and spatial dimensions of gang networks, 4) ego-networks and individual analyses of gang members, 5) group processes, organization, and composition, and 6) gang violence and conflicts. Across these strands, we highlight methodological and theoretical innovations, and policy implications of relational approaches to gangs. The history of SNA in gang research, we argue, reveals SNA as not simply a new shiny methodological toy but as a theoretical lens linking individual, group, and ecological explanations of gang behavior yielding actionable insights for prevention and intervention. Recent scholarship has cemented SNA as a critical asset to the gang scholar’s toolbox.
本文追溯了社会网络分析(SNA)和帮派研究的复杂历史,表明关系思维从一开始就塑造了这个领域——即使是在正式方法落后的时候。通过对经典研究的分析,我们论证了早期的结构直觉如何预测现代网络概念。然后,我们综合了这一研究领域的现代经典和新贡献,将研究分为六个方面:1)帮派背景下的共同犯罪,2)警务和政策分析,3)帮派网络的地域性和空间维度,4)帮派成员的自我网络和个体分析,5)群体过程、组织和组成,以及6)帮派暴力和冲突。在这些方面,我们强调了方法和理论的创新,以及关系方法对帮派的政策影响。我们认为,帮派研究中SNA的历史揭示了SNA不仅仅是一个新的闪亮的方法论玩具,而是一个理论视角,将帮派行为的个人、群体和生态解释联系起来,为预防和干预提供了可行的见解。最近的学术研究已经巩固了SNA作为帮派学者工具箱中的重要资产的地位。
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引用次数: 0
The association of gang embeddedness and sexual victimization with mental health outcomes 帮派嵌入和性受害与心理健康结果的关系
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102516
Rebekkah L. Gross, John Leverso, Brittany E. Hayes
Justice-involved girls face disproportionately high rates of trauma, sexual victimization, and mental health challenges, yet little research has explored how gang involvement compounds these risks. Using data from the Northwestern Juvenile Project (N = 416), a longitudinal study of justice-involved youth that assessed a wide range of health, social, and legal topics through structured interviews, the present study focuses on the associations between gang membership, gang embeddedness, sexual victimization, and mental health outcomes—specifically mood disorders and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD)—among justice-involved girls. Analyses pooled across Waves 2–5 and conducted with logistic regression models with clustered standard errors reveal that sexual victimization significantly increases the odds of both mood disorders and PTSD, while gang membership alone is not a significant indicator. However, deeper gang embeddedness is associated with higher odds of PTSD, and perceived gang organization is linked to increased odds of mood disorders. These findings highlight the critical role of proximal, gendered harms—particularly sexual victimization and deeper gang involvement—in shaping mental health outcomes beyond broader structural adversities. This study extends gender-focused gang research by quantifying the mental health risks tied to gang structure and depth of involvement, underscoring the need for trauma-informed, gender-responsive interventions for justice-involved girls embedded in gang environments.
参与司法的女孩面临着不成比例的高创伤率、性受害率和精神健康挑战,但很少有研究探讨帮派参与如何加剧这些风险。利用西北青少年项目(N = 416)的数据,通过结构化访谈对涉及司法的青少年进行了广泛的健康、社会和法律主题的纵向研究,本研究着重于涉及司法的女孩的帮派成员、帮派嵌入、性受害和心理健康结果(特别是情绪障碍和创伤后应激障碍(PTSD))之间的联系。对波2-5的分析和对聚类标准误差的逻辑回归模型进行的分析表明,性受害显著增加了情绪障碍和创伤后应激障碍的几率,而帮派成员本身并不是一个显著的指标。然而,更深的帮派嵌入与更高的创伤后应激障碍的几率有关,而感知到的帮派组织与情绪障碍的几率增加有关。这些发现强调了近端、性别伤害的关键作用——尤其是性受害和更深层次的帮派参与——在塑造心理健康结果方面超越了更广泛的结构性逆境。本研究通过量化与帮派结构和参与程度相关的心理健康风险,扩展了以性别为重点的帮派研究,强调需要对陷入帮派环境的涉事司法女孩采取了解创伤、注重性别平等的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Does first arrest change perceptions of arrest risk? Evidence from a matched analysis of youth in the U.S. 第一次逮捕会改变对逮捕风险的看法吗?来自对美国年轻人的匹配分析的证据
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102515
Sunmin Hong , Wenyi Wang , Sungil Han
Deterrence theory assumes that legal sanctions increase perceived certainty of arrest, thereby discouraging future offending. However, little is known about how adolescents revise their perceptions following a first arrest, particularly across gender. This study examines whether a first arrest during adolescence alters perceived risk of arrest, using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997. A 2 × 2 difference-indifferences design with propensity score matching is employed to estimate the effect of first arrest on perceived risk of arrest. Results indicate no significant change in perceived risk of arrest for the overall sample, a significant decrease among females, and no significant effect among males. These findings contribute to an expanded understanding of specific deterrence by indicating that punitive contact may, for some youth, reduce rather than strengthen deterrent beliefs. Gender-responsive and developmentally informed policies are needed to ensure that justice interventions achieve their intended effects.
威慑理论认为,法律制裁增加了逮捕的确定性,从而阻止了未来的犯罪。然而,关于青少年在第一次被捕后如何改变他们的看法,尤其是跨性别的看法,我们知之甚少。本研究利用1997年全国青年纵向调查的数据,考察了青少年第一次被捕是否会改变对被捕风险的感知。采用倾向评分匹配的2 × 2差异-无差异设计来估计首次逮捕对逮捕感知风险的影响。结果表明,总体样本的感知被捕风险没有显著变化,女性显著降低,男性无显著影响。这些发现有助于扩大对特定威慑的理解,表明惩罚性接触可能会减少而不是加强某些青少年的威慑信念。需要有促进性别平等和了解发展情况的政策,以确保司法干预达到预期效果。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of cumulative disadvantage and the liberation hypothesis in court cases involving resisting arrest 拒捕案件中的累积劣势证据与解放假说
IF 2.5 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102513
R.R. Dunlea, Pauline K. Brennan
Guided by the focal concerns perspective, liberation hypothesis, and cumulative disadvantage framework, this study assesses the extent to which Black and Hispanic men receive punitive treatment throughout prosecution and sentencing for charges of resisting arrest with violence (felony) or without violence (misdemeanor). Using a sample of more than 37,000 cases referred for resisting arrest to a large urban Florida prosecutor's office, we examine racial and gender disparities in filing, charging, conviction, and sentencing. Findings demonstrate a cumulative disadvantage for Black men in case processing throughout prosecution, with small disparities at each decision point compounding to create a large disadvantage by the point of conviction for resisting arrest. A larger disparity for Hispanic men was observed at sentencing. Consistent with the liberation hypothesis, the observed cumulative disadvantage was confined to cases involving resisting arrest without violence. Findings highlight the need to consider low-level cases and early discretionary decision points as key contributors to the inequality experienced by men of color in the legal system.
在焦点关注视角、解放假设和累积劣势框架的指导下,本研究评估了黑人和西班牙裔男性在起诉和判决过程中因暴力拒捕(重罪)或无暴力拒捕(轻罪)而受到惩罚性待遇的程度。我们以37000多起拒捕案件为样本,研究了佛罗里达州一个大城市检察官办公室在立案、指控、定罪和量刑方面的种族和性别差异。调查结果表明,在整个起诉过程中,黑人男性在案件处理过程中处于累积劣势,每个决策点上的微小差异叠加在一起,在拒捕定罪时形成了巨大的劣势。西班牙裔男性在判刑方面的差异更大。与解放假说相一致的是,观察到的累积不利条件仅限于涉及无暴力拒捕的案件。调查结果强调,有必要考虑低级别案件和早期自由裁量决定点,因为它们是有色人种男性在法律体系中经历不平等的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Criminal Justice
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