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The short-term effects of visa restrictions on migrants’ legal status and well-being: A difference-in-differences approach on Venezuelan displacement 签证限制对移民法律地位和福祉的短期影响:委内瑞拉流离失所者的差异分析法
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106709

Most countries across the globe introduce visa restrictions to regulate immigration, yet little is known about their effect on migrants’ decision to migrate and their well-being. I study the mass displacement of Venezuelan nationals, and through a difference-in-differences research design, I compare the effectiveness of introducing visa restrictions in reducing overall migration flows in certain countries across South America. I use a data set of 85,000 migrants and refugees − mostly Venezuelans − surveyed by the UNHCR. Findings suggest that visa restrictions increased the likelihood of irregular entry and irregular visa status for migrants while also leading to changes in their priorities. Unexpectedly, I do not find evidence of increased violence suffered by migrants who switch towards irregular entry channels in specific countries. This research contributes to the academic and policy debate on the effectiveness of visa restrictions on migratory flows, as well the literature on the effects of migration policies on migrants’ well-being.

全球大多数国家都引入了签证限制措施来管理移民,但人们对这些措施对移民的移民决定及其福祉的影响却知之甚少。我研究了委内瑞拉国民的大规模流离失所问题,并通过差异研究设计,比较了在南美洲某些国家实行签证限制对减少整体移民潮的效果。我使用了联合国难民署调查的 85,000 名移民和难民(大部分是委内瑞拉人)的数据集。调查结果表明,签证限制增加了移民非正常入境和非正常签证身份的可能性,同时也导致了他们优先考虑事项的改变。出乎意料的是,我并没有发现在特定国家转而采用非正常入境渠道的移民所遭受的暴力有所增加的证据。本研究为有关签证限制对移民流动的有效性的学术和政策辩论,以及有关移民政策对移民福祉的影响的文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Geography, development, and power: Parliament leaders and local clientelism 地理、发展与权力:议会领袖与地方裙带关系
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106706

While formal institutions are considered rather stable in Western countries, the same cannot be said of those in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). In LAC, these institutions are superseded by nonformalized but deeply embedded practices—especially of political favoritism. Accordingly, this paper explores how members of parliament in LAC favor their birth regions by providing clientelistic goods and services to their constituents. The paper shows that the development of subnational regions is affected by their proximity to parliament leaders’ birthplaces. We collect data on 366 political leaders’ birth locations over 1992–2016 and construct a panel of approximately 183,000 subnational micro–regions across 45 LAC countries/autonomous territories. Our results show that incumbent parliament leaders favor regions near their birthplaces, as measured by night light emissions and World Bank aid. This favoritism is enabled by the patterns of formal institutional weakness, and de jure plus de facto influence given to the parliament by the particularly unstable constitutions of LAC countries.

在西方国家,正规机构被认为是相当稳定的,但在拉丁美洲和加勒比地区(LAC)却并非如此。在拉丁美洲和加勒比地区,这些机构被非正规化但根深蒂固的做法所取代,尤其是政治偏袒。因此,本文探讨了拉加地区的议员如何通过向选民提供 "贿赂 "商品和服务来偏袒其出生地区。本文表明,国家以下各级地区的发展受到其与议会领导人出生地距离的影响。我们收集了 1992-2016 年间 366 位政治领导人出生地的数据,并构建了一个包含 45 个拉丁美洲和加勒比国家/自治区约 183,000 个次国家微观地区的面板。我们的研究结果表明,现任议会领导人偏爱其出生地附近的地区,这是以夜间光排放和世界银行援助来衡量的。这种偏好得益于正式制度的薄弱模式,以及拉加地区国家特别不稳定的宪法赋予议会的法律上和事实上的影响力。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of temporary rural migration: A study in northern Bangladesh 农村临时移民模式:孟加拉国北部研究
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106718

Migration from rural to urban areas is common in many low- and middle-income countries. However, temporary migration from rural to other rural areas also occurs and is not yet well understood. Here, we conceptualize what drives rural people to migrate temporarily to other rural areas, rather than to urban areas where wages are usually higher. This question is analysed with qualitative data collected through group discussions and in-depth interviews with randomly selected households in northern rural Bangladesh, where temporary migration is widely observed. The data reveal that temporary migration is common especially among poor agriculture-dependent households with farm labour and family demographic constraints that prevent longer-term migration. Many temporary migrants prefer rural over urban destinations, influenced by their limited skills, social networks, negative perceptions of cities, and the comparative income-cost ratios between destinations. Our findings suggest that the notion of temporary migration in low- and middle-income countries being primarily a rural-to-urban move needs to be re-evaluated.

在许多低收入和中等收入国家,从农村向城市地区迁移是常见现象。然而,从农村向其他农村地区的临时迁移也时有发生,但人们对这种现象还不甚了解。在此,我们将从概念上探讨是什么促使农村人口临时迁移到其他农村地区,而不是工资通常较高的城市地区。我们通过小组讨论和深入采访随机抽取的孟加拉国北部农村家庭,对这一问题进行了定性分析。数据显示,临时移民现象在以农业为生的贫困家庭中尤为普遍,这些家庭的农业劳动力和家庭人口限制因素阻碍了长期移民。受技能有限、社会网络、对城市的负面看法以及目的地之间的收入成本比较等因素的影响,许多临时移民更愿意选择农村而非城市作为目的地。我们的研究结果表明,低收入和中等收入国家的临时移民主要是从农村到城市的迁移这一概念需要重新评估。
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引用次数: 0
After displacement: Coal mining, development, and inequality in the Thar desert of Pakistan 流离失所之后:巴基斯坦塔尔沙漠的煤矿开采、发展与不平等
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106624
Mustafa Khan , Vikram Das

This paper will examine the resettlement process initiated under the Thar Coal Project, located in the arid Thar desert region in southern Pakistan, which is likely to cause the displacement of at least ten villages, many of whom are inhabited by marginalized Hindu Dalit and pastoralist tribal populations. We will focus on those displaced villagers who have been resettled in New Sehnri Dars village and those who have lost land in Bhawa Jo Tar village, taking an ethnographic approach. Large scale development induced displacement and resettlement (DiDR) has occurred in Pakistan, but it has been subject to limited scholarship. Individuals being displaced by large scale infrastructure projects, referred by some as ‘development refugees,’ face material losses leading to impoverishment. The paper here focuses on the recovery and reconstruction of the displaced population and how they have been rebuilding their livelihoods and communities after getting forcibly relocated, beginning from 2017 onwards. We argue that some aspects of DiDR may contribute to positive outcomes resulting in accumulation of sociocultural and educational capital for the traditionally marginalized groups. The displacement literature from the Global South, focuses on forms of coercive control, administered by institutional structures that generated and normalised state led bureaucratic violence, leading to the disempowering of those displaced by infrastructural development. The voices from Senhri Dars and Bhawa Jo Tar in Pakistan give us a different picture of the relationship between infrastructural development and displacement, showing how—quite counter-intuitively—a situation defined by force and coercion can become in a limited way a process that enables agency and empowerment. This paper will provide fresh insight into DiDR in the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, a region that has had very limited scholarship on this issue.

本文将探讨位于巴基斯坦南部干旱的塔尔沙漠地区的塔尔煤炭项目启动的重新安置进程,该进程可能导致至少十个村庄流离失所,其中许多村庄居住着边缘化的印度教达利特人和游牧部落居民。我们将采用人种学方法,重点关注那些被重新安置在新塞纳里达尔斯村的流离失所村民和失去巴瓦乔塔尔村土地的村民。巴基斯坦已经出现了大规模的因发展而导致的流离失所和重新安置(DiDR)现象,但对这一现象的研究却十分有限。因大规模基础设施项目而流离失所的人被一些人称为 "发展难民",他们面临着物质损失,导致贫困化。本文重点关注流离失所者的恢复和重建,以及他们自 2017 年起被迫搬迁后如何重建生计和社区。我们认为,"灾后重建 "的某些方面可能有助于取得积极成果,为传统上被边缘化的群体积累社会文化和教育资本。来自全球南部的流离失所文献侧重于强制控制的形式,这些形式由产生国家主导的官僚暴力并使之正常化的体制结构管理,导致因基础设施发展而流离失所的人丧失权力。来自巴基斯坦 Senhri Dars 和 Bhawa Jo Tar 的声音让我们对基础设施发展与流离失所之间的关系有了不同的认识,展示了--完全违背直觉的--由武力和胁迫定义的情况是如何以一种有限的方式成为一个能够促进能动性和赋权的过程的。这篇论文将为巴基斯坦伊斯兰共和国的减灾工作提供新的视角,该地区在这一问题上的学术研究非常有限。
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引用次数: 0
Marginals within the marginalised: Exploring the changes in occupational pattern among Adivasi women in the context of land alienation in India 边缘人中的边缘人:探索印度土地异化背景下阿迪瓦西妇女职业模式的变化
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106715
John Kujur , Udaya S Mishra , S. Irudaya Rajan , Hrushikesh Mallick

This study examines the changes in occupational patterns and addresses the problem of transitioning from paid activities to unpaid activities among Adivasi women in the context of land alienation. We use data sources, viz. the 50th and 68th rounds of Employment and Unemployment Survey, the Periodic Labour Force Survey (2022–23) and the Time Use Survey (2019) of the NSSO. We apply simple descriptive statistics, binary and multinomial logistic regression models to derive reasonable inferences. The study reveals that between 1993–94 and 2011–12, Adivasi women’s labour force participation has declined more when compared to women from other social groups. However, between 2011–12 and 2023–24, their participation has increased which can be attributed to increase in their participation in unpaid family labour and own account works. The study deduces that landholding size determines their participation in the labour market, and quality of occupations. Larger landholding size is an enabling factor which enhances the propensity of Adivasi women to take up better-paid occupations, while lower landholding size increases the risk of taking up either employment in precarious occupations or unpaid domestic duties. The findings reinforce the argument that landholdings play a crucial role among Adivasis in maintaining the relative egalitarian values in their society. Finally, this study suggests measures to improve the LFPR of Adivasi women and the quality of their employment.

本研究探讨了职业模式的变化,并解决了阿迪瓦西妇女在土地让渡背景下从有偿活动过渡到无偿活动的问题。我们使用的数据来源包括第 50 轮和第 68 轮就业和失业调查、定期劳动力调查(2022-23 年)以及国家社会保险局的时间使用调查(2019 年)。我们运用简单的描述性统计、二元和多项式逻辑回归模型得出合理的推论。研究显示,在 1993-94 年至 2011-12 年期间,与其他社会群体的妇女相比,阿迪瓦西妇女的劳动力参与率下降幅度更大。然而,在 2011-12 年至 2023-24 年期间,她们的劳动力参与率有所上升,这可能是由于她们更多地参与了无报酬的家庭劳动和自营工作。研究推断,土地占有规模决定了她们在劳动力市场的参与程度和职业质量。土地保有量越大,阿迪瓦西妇女越倾向于从事报酬较高的职业,而土地保有量越小,她们从事不稳定职业或无报酬家务劳动的风险就越大。研究结果强化了这一论点,即在阿迪瓦西人中,土地保有量在维持其社会中相对平等的价值观方面发挥着至关重要的作用。最后,本研究提出了提高阿迪瓦西族妇女的长效劳动生产率及其就业质量的措施。
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引用次数: 0
Chronicle of a disaster foretold: The politics of restoring Lake Urmia (Iran) 灾难预言纪事:修复乌尔米耶湖的政治(伊朗)
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106713
S. Jalal Mirnezami , François Molle , Soroush Talebi Eskandari

Like many of the world’s large-scale terminal lakes, the Urmia saltwater lake in northwestern Iran is undergoing a process of desiccation. The anticipated economic, social, environmental and health consequences of this are daunting. We set out to examine the policies that have been designed in response to the lake crisis in the past twenty years. We focus on the set of measures proposed by the Urmia Lake Restoration Program (ULRP) and explain why their impact on water savings are overstated while the potentially most effective measures are abandoned. We then discuss the various social, institutional and political factors that have led to this state of affairs. Identifying and understanding the array of political and other factors that combine not only to impede appropriate remedial measures but also to fuel the overexploitation of water are essential to our comprehension of how to avert unsustainable water futures.

与世界上许多大型终端湖泊一样,伊朗西北部的乌尔米耶咸水湖正在经历一个干涸的过程。预计由此带来的经济、社会、环境和健康后果将十分严峻。我们着手研究过去二十年中为应对湖泊危机而制定的政策。我们重点关注了乌尔米耶湖恢复计划(ULRP)提出的一系列措施,并解释了为什么这些措施对节水的影响被夸大,而潜在的最有效措施却被放弃。然后,我们讨论了导致这种状况的各种社会、制度和政治因素。确定并理解一系列政治和其他因素,这些因素不仅阻碍了适当的补救措施,而且助长了水资源的过度开发,这对我们理解如何避免水资源不可持续的未来至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a segregated homeland: How internal displacement in a remittance-receiving region affects transnational migrants’ development practices 发展被隔离的家园:汇款接收地区的国内流离失所问题如何影响跨国移民的发展实践
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106694
Sanderien Verstappen

This article contributes to research on migration and development, in particular to the studies that seek to move beyond ahistorical approaches and those that seek to explore the long-term consequences of internal displacement. Existing studies of migration and development have arrived at numerous insights into how transnational migrants act as agents of development in remittance-receiving regions. They have less often asked the related question; namely, how migrants’ ability to enact such roles is constrained or enabled by internal migration within these regions. This article demonstrates that processes of internal displacement and residential segregation within a remittance-receiving region influence where transnational migrants can direct their resources. It investigates how the development activities of transnational migrants (including household remittances, real estate investments, and philanthropic donations) are emplaced, and how emplacements and their meanings change over time. The analysis is based on multi-sited ethnographic research in a remittance-receiving region of India, a country that has been described as the largest recipient of remittances in the world, and with overseas Indians in the UK and the USA. While the overseas members of regionally powerful Hindu groups are relatively well-positioned to cultivate a role as agents of development in their villages of origin in Gujarat, the overseas Gujarati Muslims whose relatives left or lost power in their villages have been challenged to redirect their development activities to another location in the region. Drawing recent theorizations of home in relation with critical discussions of migration and development, the article views migrants’ development activities as homemaking; as emplaced efforts to cultivate relatedness and belonging.

本文为有关移民与发展的研究做出了贡献,尤其是那些试图超越非历史研究方法的研究,以及那些试图探讨境内流离失所长期后果的研究。现有的移民与发展研究对跨国移民如何在汇款接收地区推动发展提出了许多见解。他们较少提出相关的问题,即移民扮演此类角色的能力是如何受到这些地区内部移民的限制或促成的。本文论证了汇款接收地区的内部迁移和居住隔离过程会影响跨国移民将其资源用于何处。文章调查了跨国移民的发展活动(包括家庭汇款、房地产投资和慈善捐款)是如何安置的,以及安置地点及其含义是如何随时间而变化的。分析基于对印度一个汇款接收地区的多地点人种学研究(印度被称为世界上最大的汇款接收国),以及对英国和美国海外印度人的研究。该地区强大的印度教团体的海外成员处于相对有利的地位,可以在其原籍古吉拉特邦的村庄中扮演发展推动者的角色,而其亲属离开或失去村庄权力的海外古吉拉特穆斯林则面临着将其发展活动转向该地区另一地点的挑战。文章借鉴了最近关于家园的理论以及对移民与发展的批判性讨论,将移民的发展活动视为家园建设;视为培养亲缘关系和归属感的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating food price shocks in a pandemic: Food insecurity and coping mechanisms in Burkina Faso 在大流行病中应对粮食价格冲击:布基纳法索的粮食不安全和应对机制
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106714
Shamma Adeeb Alam , Shi Xi Liu , Claus C. Pörtner

Global food prices rose substantially after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper examines the impact of rising food prices during the pandemic on food security in Burkina Faso. We aim to answer two primary questions. First, how do food price shocks affect household food insecurity? Second, what coping strategies do households adopt in response to these price shocks? Leveraging country-wide high-frequency longitudinal data, we employ household fixed effect models to examine the effects. In the absence of direct information on local food prices, we use household-reported price shocks to capture province-level price increases and show that the results are consistent with national-level price increases.

We find significant and immediate increases in food insecurity following the price shocks, and this effect persists for at least two months. The price shocks most acutely affected the poorest households. Furthermore, food insecurity increased more in rural areas than in urban areas. The higher proportion of poorer households in rural areas explains part of this difference. We find that households primarily cope with the shock by relying on increased assistance from relatives in Burkina Faso and abroad.

This study is the first to use panel data with household fixed effects to examine the repercussions of the rise in food prices during the pandemic on food insecurity in a developing country and to examine the coping mechanisms employed by households. Given that food prices are likely to remain high globally for an extended period, our findings carry implications for the broader developing world. Furthermore, given the disproportionate effect on the poorest and those living in rural areas, the findings highlight the need for policies to mitigate the negative impacts of the price shocks and enhance overall food security in countries like Burkina Faso.

COVID-19 大流行开始后,全球粮食价格大幅上涨。本文探讨了大流行期间粮食价格上涨对布基纳法索粮食安全的影响。我们旨在回答两个主要问题。首先,粮食价格冲击如何影响家庭粮食不安全?第二,家庭采取了哪些应对策略来应对这些价格冲击?利用全国范围内的高频纵向数据,我们采用家庭固定效应模型来研究这些影响。在缺乏当地食品价格直接信息的情况下,我们使用家庭报告的价格冲击来捕捉省一级的价格上涨情况,并表明结果与国家一级的价格上涨情况一致。价格冲击对最贫困家庭的影响最为严重。此外,农村地区的粮食不安全程度比城市地区更高。农村地区较贫困家庭的比例较高是造成这种差异的部分原因。我们发现,家庭主要依靠布基纳法索和国外亲戚提供的更多援助来应对冲击。这项研究首次使用带有家庭固定效应的面板数据来研究大流行病期间粮食价格上涨对发展中国家粮食不安全的影响,并研究家庭采用的应对机制。鉴于全球粮食价格可能会长期居高不下,我们的研究结果对广大发展中国家具有借鉴意义。此外,鉴于对最贫困人口和生活在农村地区的人口的影响过大,研究结果突出表明,需要制定政策来减轻价格冲击的负面影响,并加强布基纳法索等国家的整体粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
Representation matters? Female legislators and women’s health in Bangladesh 代表权很重要?孟加拉国女议员与妇女健康
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106708
Obaida Shammama , Samuel Brazys

Women’s political representation has increased substantially over recent decades due to concerted efforts, including quotas, to increase female legislative representation in electoral democracies. While studies find that female leadership improves educational outcomes and the provision of public health services, we know little about the impact of women leaders on their female constituents’ health status in less developed countries. In this study, we take advantage of novel geocoded survey data in Bangladesh to employ spatial–temporal methods for investigating whether the presence of women parliamentarians improves prenatal care usage − a key maternal health indicator. Using three different identification approaches, we find evidence, contrary to our expectations, that women’s electoral representation decreases the likelihood of prenatal clinic attendance in electoral districts in Bangladesh. Reflecting on the unusual findings, we explore several factors that may contribute to the maternal health status in woman-led constituencies. Our analysis suggests that women’s electoral representation does not spontaneously improve outcomes for women’s issues. The counterintuitive findings imply that political-institutional and electoral contexts, as well as political culture, may mitigate the impact of women’s political agency on gender-sensitive development outcomes in less developed countries.

近几十年来,在包括配额制在内的共同努力下,选举民主国家的女性立法代表人数大幅增加。虽然研究发现女性领导力能改善教育成果和公共卫生服务的提供,但我们对欠发达国家女性领导力对其女性选民健康状况的影响知之甚少。在本研究中,我们利用孟加拉国的新型地理编码调查数据,采用空间-时间方法来研究女议员的存在是否会提高产前护理的使用率--这是一项关键的孕产妇健康指标。利用三种不同的识别方法,我们发现了与预期相反的证据,即在孟加拉国的选区中,女性选举代表会降低产前检查的就诊率。考虑到这一不寻常的发现,我们探讨了可能导致妇女领导的选区中孕产妇健康状况的几个因素。我们的分析表明,妇女的选举代表权并不会自发地改善妇女问题的结果。这些反直觉的发现意味着,在欠发达国家,政治体制和选举环境以及政治文化可能会减轻妇女的政治能动性对性别敏感的发展成果的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Do earthquakes increase or decrease crime? 地震会增加还是减少犯罪?
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106711
Adan Silverio-Murillo , Jose Balmori-de-la-Miyar , Fernanda Sobrino , Daniel Prudencio

Theories on the relationship between earthquakes and crime present mixed predictions. On the one hand, earthquakes improve individual cooperation, social trust, and crime reduction. On the other hand, earthquakes impact state capacity and enhance the prevalence of motivated offenders such as street gangs. This study empirically analyzes the effects of the September 2017 earthquakes in Mexico on personal crimes (assault and aggravated assault) and property crimes (vehicle theft, residential burglary, and vandalism). Using official police data, a difference-in-differences technique, and an event-study design, the results show that earthquakes increased assault by 14 percent and vandalism by 8 percent.

关于地震与犯罪之间关系的理论预测不一。一方面,地震会促进个人合作、社会信任和减少犯罪。另一方面,地震会影响国家能力,并使街头帮派等有动机的罪犯更加猖獗。本研究实证分析了 2017 年 9 月墨西哥地震对人身犯罪(袭击和严重袭击)和财产犯罪(车辆盗窃、住宅盗窃和破坏)的影响。通过使用官方警方数据、差分技术和事件研究设计,结果显示地震使人身伤害增加了 14%,破坏他人财产增加了 8%。
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引用次数: 0
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