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To use financial incentives or not? Insights from experiments in encouraging sanitation investments in four countries 使用还是不使用财政激励措施?从四个国家鼓励卫生投资的实验中得到的启示
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106791
Sanghmitra Gautam , Michael Gechter , Raymond P. Guiteras , Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak
We conduct a systematic re-analysis of intervention-based studies that promote hygienic latrines and evaluate via experimental methods. We impose systematic inclusion criteria to identify such studies and compile their microdata to harmonize outcome measures, covariates, and estimands across studies. We then re-analyze their data to report metrics that are consistently defined and measured across studies. We compare the relative effectiveness of different classes of interventions implemented in overlapping ways across four countries: community-level demand encouragement, sanitation subsidies, product information campaigns, and microcredit to finance product purchases. In the sample of studies meeting our inclusion criteria, interventions that offer financial benefits generally outperform information and education campaigns in increasing adoption of improved sanitation. Contrary to a policy concern about sustainability, financial incentives do not undermine usage of adopted latrines. Effects vary by share of women in the household, in both positive and negative directions, and differ little by poverty status.
我们对基于干预的研究进行了系统的再分析,这些研究旨在推广卫生厕所,并通过实验方法进行评估。我们采用系统化的纳入标准来识别此类研究,并汇编其微观数据,以统一各研究的结果测量、协变量和估计因子。然后,我们对其数据进行重新分析,以报告各研究中定义和测量一致的指标。我们比较了在四个国家以重叠方式实施的不同类别干预措施的相对效果:社区层面的需求鼓励、卫生补贴、产品信息宣传以及为产品购买提供资金的小额贷款。在符合我们纳入标准的研究样本中,在提高改良卫生设施的采用率方面,提供经济利益的干预措施普遍优于宣传和教育活动。与政策上对可持续性的担忧相反,经济激励措施并不会影响已采用厕所的使用率。干预效果因家庭中妇女所占比例的不同而异,既有积极的一面,也有消极的一面,但与贫困状况的关系不大。
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引用次数: 0
Do conditional cash transfers improve intergenerational gains in educational achievement?: Evidence from Brazil’s Bolsa Familia Program 有条件的现金转移是否能提高教育成就的代际收益?
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106852
Gabriel Cepaluni , Amanda Driscoll
Conditional cash transfer programs are designed to interrupt the intergenerational cycle of poverty by improving health and educational outcomes. We evaluate the efficacy of the world’s largest CCT program utilizing educational outcomes from the complete administrative records at the intra-family level of Brazil’s Bolsa Família program (PBF). Although we find that younger siblings subject to the Bolsa Família conditionalities outperform their older, untreated siblings in educational attainment within the same household, the overall effect size remains substantively small. We consider the educational attainment of 15–17 year old beneficiaries with siblings who were above the age of 18 at the time of family enrollment. Our findings show precisely estimated positive effects due to the large sample, indicating that the program yields minimal improvements in educational outcomes for ‘treated’ children compared to their ‘untreated’ siblings. Additionally, we find modest differences across boy and girl sibling pairs, but consistent regional effects, underscoring the importance of local public goods provision for enhancing program efficacy.
有条件现金转移项目旨在通过改善健康和教育成果来阻断贫困的代际循环。我们利用巴西 Bolsa Família 计划(PBF)家庭内部完整行政记录中的教育成果,评估了世界上最大的有条件现金转移支付计划的效果。尽管我们发现,在同一家庭中,受 Bolsa Família 计划条件限制的年幼兄弟姐妹的受教育程度优于未受教育的年长兄弟姐妹,但总体效果仍然很小。我们考虑了 15-17 岁受益人的受教育程度,他们的兄弟姐妹在加入家庭时已年满 18 岁。由于样本较大,我们的研究结果显示了精确估算的正效应,表明与 "未接受治疗 "的兄弟姐妹相比,该计划对 "接受治疗 "儿童的教育成果改善甚微。此外,我们还发现,男孩和女孩兄弟姐妹之间的差异不大,但地区效应却一致,这突出表明了当地公共产品的提供对提高计划效果的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Is the emphasis on cofinancing good for environmental multilateral funds? 强调共同出资对多边环境基金有利吗?
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106831
Matthew J. Kotchen , Andrew Vogt
International environmental and development agencies increasingly emphasize external cofinancing when selecting projects to fund. This paper considers whether the emphasis on cofinancing helps promote institutional objectives, or creates perverse and inefficient incentives. We present a model of project selection that can apply to any funding agency, but focus on environmental multilateral funds and climate change. We show that introducing cofinancing objectives to a fund that seeks to maximize its immediate environmental impact is redundant as best, and more likely counterproductive. We test implications of our model using project-level data from two of the leading environmental multilateral funds, the Global Environment Facility (GEF) and the Green Climate Fund (GCF). While tradeoffs exist between emission reductions and cofinancing, we find that they are not strong enough to imply that current cofinancing preferences are diminishing the environmental benefits that funds can claim. However, we also find that the emphasis on cofinancing in project selection is likely to be globally inefficient, as projects with greater cofinancing ratios tend to yield smaller emission reductions per gross dollar spent. This finding should sound a note of caution given the overall scarcity of financial resources available to achieve global climate goals.
国际环境与发展机构在选择资助项目时越来越重视外部共同出资。本文探讨了对联合融资的重视是有助于促进机构目标的实现,还是会产生反常和低效的激励机制。我们提出了一个适用于任何资助机构的项目选择模型,但重点关注多边环境基金和气候变化。我们的研究表明,对于一个寻求最大化直接环境影响的基金来说,引入联合融资目标充其量是多余的,更有可能适得其反。我们使用两个主要多边环境基金--全球环境基金(GEF)和绿色气候基金(GCF)--的项目级数据来检验我们模型的意义。虽然减排和共同出资之间存在权衡,但我们发现,它们并没有强大到足以暗示当前的共同出资偏好正在削弱基金所能主张的环境效益。然而,我们也发现,在项目选择中强调共同出资很可能在全球范围内是低效的,因为共同出资比例越高的项目,每花费一美元的减排量往往越小。鉴于可用于实现全球气候目标的资金总体稀缺,这一发现应引起警惕。
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引用次数: 0
The impacts of armed conflict on human development: A review of the literature 武装冲突对人类发展的影响:文献综述
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106806
Paola Vesco , Ghassan Baliki , Tilman Brück , Stefan Döring , Anneli Eriksson , Hanne Fjelde , Debarati Guha-Sapir , Jonathan Hall , Carl Henrik Knutsen , Maxine R. Leis , Hannes Mueller , Christopher Rauh , Ida Rudolfsen , Ashok Swain , Alexa Timlick , Phaidon T.B. Vassiliou , Johan von Schreeb , Nina von Uexkull , Håvard Hegre
The detrimental impacts of wars on human development are well documented across research domains, from public health to micro-economics. However, these impacts are studied in compartmentalized silos, which limits a comprehensive understanding of the consequences of conflicts, hampering our ability to effectively sustain human development. This article takes a first step in addressing this gap by reviewing the literature on conflict impacts through the lens of an inter-disciplinary theoretical framework. We review the literature on the consequences of conflicts across 9 dimensions of human development: health, schooling, livelihood and income, growth and investments, political institutions, migration and displacement, socio-psychological wellbeing and capital, water access, and food security. The study focuses on both direct and indirect impacts of violence, reviews the existing evidence on how impacts on different dimensions of societal wellbeing and development may intertwine, and suggests plausible mechanisms to explain how these connections materialize. This exercise leads to the identification of critical research gaps and reveals that systematic empirical testing of how the impacts of war spread across sectors is severely lacking. By streamlining the literature on the impacts of war across multiple domains, this review represents a first step to build a common language that can overcome disciplinary silos and achieve a deeper understanding of how the effects of war reverberate across society. This multidisciplinary understanding of conflict impacts may eventually help to reconcile divergent estimates and enable forward-looking policies that minimize the costs of war.
从公共卫生到微观经济,战争对人类发展的有害影响在各个研究领域都有充分的记录。然而,对这些影响的研究是各自为政的,这限制了对冲突后果的全面了解,阻碍了我们有效维持人类发展的能力。本文从跨学科理论框架的角度回顾了有关冲突影响的文献,为弥补这一不足迈出了第一步。我们从人类发展的 9 个方面回顾了有关冲突后果的文献:健康、就学、生计和收入、增长和投资、政治体制、移民和流离失所、社会心理健康和资本、水的获取以及粮食安全。本研究重点关注暴力的直接和间接影响,审查对社会福祉和发展不同方面的影响如何相互交织的现有证据,并提出解释这些联系如何实现的合理机制。通过这项工作,我们发现了一些关键的研究空白,并揭示出严重缺乏对战争影响如何跨部门扩散的系统性实证检验。通过精简有关战争影响的跨领域文献,本综述迈出了建立共同语言的第一步,从而克服学科孤岛,更深入地了解战争影响如何在全社会产生反响。这种对冲突影响的多学科理解最终可能有助于调和不同的估计,并制定前瞻性政策,最大限度地降低战争成本。
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引用次数: 0
Gender differences in agricultural productivity: Puzzling evidence from West Africa 农业生产力中的性别差异:来自西非的令人费解的证据
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106856
Yiriyibin Bambio
Gender norms, institutional constraints, and gender disparities in regards to the access to production factors persist and undermine agricultural growth in developing countries. There is limited evidence regarding the comprehensive gender productivity gap across crops and countries after controlling for the gender disparities in access to productive resources. This study analyzes the gender gap in agricultural productivity in West Africa. We use a nationally representative data, which was collected from a large household sample size in eight countries using harmonized survey instruments. This analysis uses the recentered influence function. We also account for the crop and country specificities in West Africa. We find that female farmers have productivity advantages in pulses and disadvantages in cereals and cotton. Moreover, our results show that these gender differences are higher in Sahelian countries than in coastal countries, and decrease in cereals and increase in pulses along the productivity distribution. Furthermore, we also find that the structural component is the primary driver of the gender productivity gap, underscoring the importance of the returns on resources. Our study contributes to the literature by providing evidence that a comprehensive analysis can decipher the multidirectional gender productivity gap across crops and go beyond a usually aggregated female disadvantage. The findings are of great interest to policies and regional agricultural programs. They highlight disparities in the gender gap across subregions and show that this gap is a crop-level phenomenon, rendering the conventional farmer-level analysis insufficient. This study emphasizes the need to further elucidate the factors explaining the gender structural disadvantages in West Africa to improve agricultural productivity and gender equity and reduce poverty.
在获取生产要素方面,性别规范、制度限制和性别差异持续存在,破坏了发展中国家的农业增长。在控制了获得生产资源方面的性别差异后,关于不同作物和国家之间的综合性别生产力差距的证据十分有限。本研究分析了西非农业生产率的性别差距。我们使用了具有全国代表性的数据,这些数据是使用统一的调查工具从 8 个国家的大量家庭样本中收集的。该分析使用了重定向影响函数。我们还考虑了西非作物和国家的特殊性。我们发现,女性农民在豆类作物上具有生产率优势,而在谷物和棉花上则处于劣势。此外,我们的结果表明,萨赫勒地区国家的性别差异高于沿海国家,而且在生产率分布上,谷物生产率下降,豆类生产率上升。此外,我们还发现,结构性因素是性别生产力差距的主要驱动因素,这凸显了资源回报的重要性。我们的研究为相关文献做出了贡献,提供的证据表明,综合分析可以解读不同作物间多向的性别生产力差距,并超越通常意义上的综合女性劣势。研究结果对政策和地区农业计划具有重大意义。它们突出了各次区域性别差距的差异,并表明这种差距是一种作物层面的现象,因此传统的农民层面分析是不够的。这项研究强调,有必要进一步阐明西非性别结构劣势的原因,以提高农业生产率,促进性别平等,减少贫困。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence and determinants of rural crime victimization in Tanzania 坦桑尼亚农村犯罪受害情况的证据和决定因素
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106854
Ulrike Grote , Gregor Mager , Anja Faße , Frank Neubacher , Luitfred Kissoly
Rural crime victimization, especially in form of theft, is a serious problem in rural areas in Sub Saharan Africa as it may undermine their sustainable development. Using the case of Tanzania, we investigate the evidence of crime and analyze the factors which determine victimization. Based on a panel dataset of 786 households from rural Tanzania, we find relatively high victimization rates of 37 % and 47 % in 2016 and 2018, respectively. The random-effects and pooled logit models reveal that living in a rural region with high levels of unemployment is positively correlated with the likelihood of victimization. Moreover, exposure to weather shocks such as floods is positively associated with the likelihood of being affected by crime. We conclude that rural crime victimization requires attention due to its high incidence in Tanzania. Improving job opportunities especially for the youth in rural Tanzania is expected to reduce the likelihood of victimization. Guardianship should be encouraged, especially during times of weather shocks.
在撒哈拉以南非洲的农村地区,农村犯罪受害,尤其是盗窃形式的犯罪受害,是一个严重的问题,因为它可能会破坏农村地区的可持续发展。我们以坦桑尼亚为例,调查了犯罪证据,并分析了决定受害情况的因素。基于坦桑尼亚农村地区 786 个家庭的面板数据集,我们发现 2016 年和 2018 年的受害率相对较高,分别为 37% 和 47%。随机效应和集合对数模型显示,生活在失业率较高的农村地区与受害的可能性呈正相关。此外,洪水等天气冲击也与受犯罪影响的可能性呈正相关。我们的结论是,由于坦桑尼亚农村犯罪率较高,因此需要关注农村犯罪受害问题。增加就业机会,尤其是为坦桑尼亚农村地区的年轻人增加就业机会,有望降低受害的可能性。应鼓励监护人制度,尤其是在气候冲击时期。
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引用次数: 0
How city shrinkage affect public service provision for disadvantaged groups? Evidence from China 城市萎缩如何影响为弱势群体提供的公共服务?来自中国的证据
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106823
Hongchuan Wang , Kaibo Xu
Previous research overlooks the impact of city shrinkage on disadvantaged groups. This study explores the relationship between city shrinkage and public service delivery for people with disabilities. First, principal component analysis was employed to measure the public service facility coverage index for people with disabilities, highlighting the spatial characteristics in China. Second, a regression discontinuity design was utilized to analyze the causal relationship between city shrinkage and public service. Third, ordinary least squares regression was used to identify key factors affecting public services coverage. The results showed that the population change in prefecture-level cities has widened the gap in public service delivery for people with disabilities. Places stratification within cities has been enlarged by city shrinkage. Notably, the impact of city shrinkage is predominantly observed in the periphery of cities; due to better-developed public service facilities in urban centers, the effect of city shrinkage is less pronounced there. Additionally, factors such as financial autonomy and disabled population density significantly influence the delivery of public services for people with disabilities. These findings suggest that policy-making should be tailored to urban dynamics and shrinking cities should adopt targeted strategies to enhance public services for disadvantaged people.
以往的研究忽视了城市萎缩对弱势群体的影响。本研究探讨了城市萎缩与为残疾人提供公共服务之间的关系。首先,采用主成分分析法测算残疾人公共服务设施覆盖指数,突出中国的空间特征。其次,利用回归不连续设计分析城市萎缩与公共服务之间的因果关系。第三,利用普通最小二乘法回归找出影响公共服务覆盖率的关键因素。结果表明,地级市的人口变化拉大了残疾人公共服务的差距。城市缩减扩大了城市内部的地区分层。值得注意的是,城市萎缩的影响主要体现在城市周边地区;由于城市中心区的公共服务设施较为完善,城市萎缩的影响在这些地区并不明显。此外,财政自主权和残疾人口密度等因素也对为残疾人提供公共服务产生了重大影响。这些研究结果表明,政策制定应适应城市的动态发展,萎缩城市应采取有针对性的策略,加强对弱势群体的公共服务。
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引用次数: 0
Barriers to humanitarian migration, victimization and integration outcomes: Evidence from Germany 人道主义移民的障碍、受害情况和融合结果:来自德国的证据
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106833
Teresa Freitas-Monteiro , Lars Ludolph
Asylum seekers who migrate from developing countries to Europe frequently experience victimization events during their journey. The consequences of these events for their economic integration into destination countries are not yet well explored. In this paper, we analyze how victimization during asylum seekers’ journeys affects their labor market integration in Germany by using survey data collected in the aftermath of the 2015 refugee crisis. Our data allow us to account for the exact timing and geography of migration, such that samples of physically victimized and nonvictimized refugees are balanced along a wide range of characteristics. We find that, compared to nonvictimized refugees, refugees who were physically victimized during their journey to Germany favor joining the labor force and taking up low-income employment rather than investing in host country human capital. To explain these findings, we explore a range of potential mechanisms and find suggestive evidence that experiencing physical victimization in vulnerable situations is not only associated with a decline in mental health but also with a “loss of future orientation” among physically victimized refugees, leading them to discount future payoffs more heavily.
从发展中国家移民到欧洲的寻求庇护者在旅途中经常会遇到受害事件。这些事件对他们融入目的地国经济的影响尚未得到很好的探讨。在本文中,我们利用 2015 年难民危机后收集的调查数据,分析了寻求庇护者在旅途中的受害事件如何影响他们融入德国的劳动力市场。我们的数据使我们能够考虑到移民的确切时间和地理位置,从而使身体受害和未受害难民的样本在广泛的特征上保持平衡。我们发现,与未受害难民相比,在前往德国途中受到人身伤害的难民更倾向于加入劳动力大军,从事低收入工作,而不是投资于东道国的人力资本。为了解释这些发现,我们探讨了一系列潜在的机制,并找到了暗示性的证据,即在脆弱的情况下遭受身体伤害不仅与心理健康下降有关,还与遭受身体伤害的难民的 "未来导向丧失 "有关,导致他们对未来回报的折扣更大。
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引用次数: 0
The empirics of and policies for sustainability in global value chains 全球价值链可持续性的经验和政策
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106850
Jann Lay , Stefan Pahl , Rainer Thiele
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引用次数: 0
The data revolution in justice 司法领域的数据革命
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106834
Manuel Ramos-Maqueda , Daniel L. Chen
This article explores the transformative potential of data science in enhancing justice systems globally. Leveraging the increasing availability of judicial data and the advancements of the digital revolution, this paper demonstrates how policymakers can significantly improve access, efficiency, and fairness within justice systems—crucial components of economic development as discussed in a companion paper (Ramos-Maqueda and Chen, 2024). We introduce a comprehensive framework for evaluating, diagnosing, and experimenting with judicial processes to deepen our understanding of judicial performance using data science methodologies. Key areas of focus include the application of machine learning and “text-as-data” techniques to enhance efficiency and identify disparities in judicial rulings. Through detailed case studies and empirical evidence, we illustrate how these technologies can address systemic shortcomings and drive meaningful reforms. By identifying specific areas where data science can bridge existing gaps, we aim to provide actionable insights for policymakers. Our findings highlight the profound impact of data-driven approaches on fostering a more just society and promoting sustainable economic growth. The paper concludes by suggesting future research directions and practical applications of data science in judicial contexts to ensure continuous improvement and innovation.
本文探讨了数据科学在加强全球司法系统方面的变革潜力。本文利用司法数据日益增长的可用性和数字革命的进步,展示了政策制定者如何在司法系统中显著改善司法的可及性、效率和公平性--这正是经济发展的重要组成部分,这一点在另一篇论文(Ramos-Maqueda and Chen, 2024)中已有论述。我们介绍了一个评估、诊断和试验司法程序的综合框架,以利用数据科学方法加深我们对司法绩效的理解。重点领域包括应用机器学习和 "文本即数据 "技术来提高效率和识别司法裁决中的差异。通过详细的案例研究和经验证据,我们说明了这些技术如何解决系统性缺陷并推动有意义的改革。通过确定数据科学可以弥补现有差距的具体领域,我们旨在为政策制定者提供可行的见解。我们的研究结果凸显了数据驱动方法对促进社会更加公正和推动可持续经济增长的深远影响。本文最后提出了数据科学在司法领域的未来研究方向和实际应用,以确保持续改进和创新。
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引用次数: 0
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World Development
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