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Illicit gains and state capture: Political party extortion in India and Pakistan 非法收益和国家俘获:印度和巴基斯坦的政党勒索
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106735

Political parties engage in extortion across the developing world. However, discussion of this phenomenon is largely absent from existing research. Drawing upon hundreds of in-depth interviews with local political party leaders, bureaucrats, journalists, and the police in regions of India and Pakistan, we articulate political parties’ economic and political objectives for extracting rents through extortion. We argue that party institutionalization plays an important role in how parties choose to extort and whether they ally with non-state or state actors. We also introduce an orders of political party extortion typology which explains how variation in competition with other armed actors over informal rights to extort a population has distinct downstream effects. Our study yields two key implications. First, extortion constitutes an entrenched coercive tie between political parties and voters in many developing democracies. Second and relatedly, it violates the rule of law, subverting democratic institutions in the process.

发展中世界的政党都参与敲诈勒索。然而,在现有的研究中,对这一现象的讨论基本上是空白。通过对印度和巴基斯坦地区的地方政党领导人、官僚、记者和警察进行的数百次深入采访,我们阐明了政党通过敲诈勒索攫取租金的经济和政治目标。我们认为,政党制度化在政党如何选择敲诈勒索以及与非国家行为者还是国家行为者结盟方面发挥着重要作用。我们还引入了政党敲诈类型学,解释了与其他武装行为体在敲诈人口的非正式权利方面的竞争差异如何产生不同的下游效应。我们的研究产生了两个重要影响。首先,在许多发展中民主国家,勒索是政党与选民之间根深蒂固的胁迫性纽带。其次,与此相关的是,勒索违反了法治,在此过程中颠覆了民主体制。
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引用次数: 0
Unraveling the factors behind women’s empowerment in the labor market in Colombia 揭示哥伦比亚劳动力市场中妇女赋权背后的因素
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106731

This paper examines the evolution of women’s participation in the labor market from 1960 to 2018, shedding light on the complex factors that influence their labor opportunities. The study emphasizes the significance of the historical context in understanding these factors. This research uncovers nuanced insights using a two-step methodology involving principal component analysis and Time-Varying Effect Modeling (TVEM). The results indicate that the transition from high to low fertility rates significantly influenced female labor participation until the mid-1980s. Educational advancements, economic growth, and changing marital dynamics also played a role in shaping evolving patterns. From 1980 to 1995, factors such as diminishing fertility, declining infant mortality, and varying economic conditions influenced women’s labor involvement. From 1995 to 2010, higher education emerged as a key driver, accompanied by shifting societal norms, and from 2010 to 2018, there were positive contributions from fertility rates, minimum wage, and male labor participation. This study underscores the intricate relationship between education, demographics, social norms, and economics in shaping women’s labor force participation, providing valuable insights for gender-inclusive policies and promoting women’s economic empowerment.

本文研究了 1960 年至 2018 年妇女参与劳动力市场的演变情况,揭示了影响妇女劳动机会的复杂因素。研究强调了历史背景对理解这些因素的重要意义。这项研究采用主成分分析和时变效应建模(TVEM)两步方法,揭示了细微的见解。研究结果表明,从高生育率到低生育率的转变在 20 世纪 80 年代中期之前对女性劳动参与率产生了重大影响。教育进步、经济增长和不断变化的婚姻动态也在塑造不断演变的模式方面发挥了作用。从 1980 年到 1995 年,生育率下降、婴儿死亡率下降以及经济条件变化等因素影响了女性的劳动参与。从 1995 年到 2010 年,高等教育成为主要驱动力,同时社会规范也发生了变化;从 2010 年到 2018 年,生育率、最低工资和男性劳动参与率都做出了积极贡献。这项研究强调了教育、人口统计学、社会规范和经济学之间在影响妇女劳动力参与方面错综复杂的关系,为性别包容政策和促进妇女经济赋权提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Exposure to drug trafficking and school truancy: Empirical evidence from Costa Rica 接触贩毒与逃学:哥斯达黎加的经验证据
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106741

Exposure to crime and violence associated with drug trafficking has been shown to have negative consequences on students’ health, peer relationships, and educational outcomes. However, little attention has been devoted to analyzing the effects of exposure to drug trafficking on students’ truancy behavior, a critical outcome with a high cost at an individual and societal level. This study investigates the connection between exposure to drug trafficking (an increasingly common form of chronic crime and subsequent violence in Latin America) and school truancy in Costa Rica. To do so, we use a unique and comprehensive microdata set that merges detailed information on a specific measure of exposure to drug trafficking (cocaine seizures) and socioeconomic characteristics of Costa Rican districts with student and school data from the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA). In total, we obtain a sample of 4,584 students in secondary education attending 195 schools in 147 districts. Using logistic regression, we find that students in districts with higher exposure to drug trafficking (measured by cocaine seizure rate) are more prone to school truancy. This finding suggests that strategies to tackle school truancy should consider a neighborhood context perspective.

事实证明,接触与贩毒有关的犯罪和暴力会对学生的健康、同伴关系和教育成果产生负面影响。然而,人们却很少关注分析接触贩毒对学生逃学行为的影响,而逃学行为是对个人和社会造成高昂代价的重要结果。本研究调查了哥斯达黎加学生接触贩毒(一种在拉丁美洲日益常见的长期犯罪形式和随之而来的暴力)与逃学之间的联系。为此,我们使用了一个独特而全面的微观数据集,该数据集融合了关于贩毒风险(可卡因缉获量)的特定衡量标准和哥斯达黎加各地区社会经济特征的详细信息,以及国际学生评估项目(PISA)的学生和学校数据。我们总共获得了 147 个地区 195 所学校的 4584 名中学生样本。通过使用逻辑回归法,我们发现在贩毒风险较高(以可卡因缉获率衡量)的地区,学生更容易逃学。这一发现表明,解决逃学问题的策略应从社区背景的角度加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
What procedures matter to social acceptance of mining? A conjoint experiment in Peru 哪些程序对采矿的社会接受度至关重要?秘鲁的联合实验
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106724

Accumulated literature on the social license to operate (SLO) of mining has called attention to procedural fairness, which assumes that fair treatments enhance acceptance from people involved in mining projects. However, what procedural improvement means is theoretically underdeveloped, especially in two critical aspects. First, previous studies on SLO have always modeled procedural fairness separately from its outcomes, such as benefit and cost distribution, and failed to spot the separability in the context of acute socioeconomic needs. Under such unclarity, mining companies are less open to participatory opportunities in fear of inflated social demands. Second, institutional inventions in the last decades that attempt to enhance people’s participation in the decision-making of mining projects, such as popular consultation, free, prior, and informed consent to indigenous peoples, and public hearings in environmental impact assessments, are overlooked in the SLO literature. This paper tests the causal effect of procedural and outcome factors on people’s acceptance with a conjoint experiment that portrays hypothetical mining projects. Participants are recruited by an original household survey in four Peruvian regions where mining is a lively experience. The findings report that procedures are viewed separately from material benefits but not separately from reported environmental risks. Prior consultation with voting increases the acceptability of a mining project to some degree. The result suggests the participatory assessment of environmental risk will benefit all stakeholders, and mining companies have no reason to shy away from listening to and respecting local opinions due to a suspected increase in benefit demands.

关于采矿业社会运营许可(SLO)的文献积累呼吁人们关注程序公平性,认为公平待遇会提高采矿项目相关人员的接受度。然而,程序改进的含义在理论上还不够完善,尤其是在两个关键方面。首先,以往关于 SLO 的研究总是将程序公平与其结果(如收益和成本分配)分开建模,而未能在社会经济需求迫切的背景下发现其可分性。在这种不明确的情况下,矿业公司因担心社会需求膨胀而减少参与机会。其次,过去几十年中试图加强人们参与矿业项目决策的制度发明,如全民协商、土著人民的自由、事先和知情同意、环境影响评估中的公众听证会等,在SLO文献中被忽视了。本文通过一个联合实验来测试程序和结果因素对人们接受度的因果影响,该实验描绘了假设的采矿项目。参与者是在秘鲁四个矿业发达的地区通过原始家庭调查招募的。研究结果表明,程序与物质利益是分开看待的,但与报告的环境风险并不分开。事先咨询投票在一定程度上提高了采矿项目的可接受性。这一结果表明,参与式环境风险评估将使所有利益相关者受益,矿业公司没有理由因怀疑利益需求增加而不听取和尊重当地意见。
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引用次数: 0
Scaling up and scaling out of darkness: Elucidating the influences of institutional dysfunction in scaling up solar PV in Sub-Saharan Africa 扩大规模和走出黑暗:阐明机构功能失调对撒哈拉以南非洲太阳能光伏推广的影响
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106726

Although researchers increasingly recognize the significant impact of institutional dysfunction on emerging economies, there remains a major gap regarding its influence on firms’ upstream and downstream activities in scaling up renewable efforts. Drawing on data from solar photovoltaic (PV) intermediary business owners/entrepreneurs and regulators in Ghana, this paper examines the mechanisms through which these activities interact to facilitate the scaling-up efforts of renewable energy. The study uncovers three unique interactive processes through which institutional dysfunctions shape scaling-up efforts. Phase 1 focuses on unmasking institutional dysfunctions as impeding forces on both upstream and downstream activities. Phase 2 signifies a paradigm shift towards proactively re-engaging and reshaping institutional dysfunctions. This phase entails a range of organizational actions, including strategic interventions, dismantling ineffective practices, and wider concerted efforts geared towards turning dysfunctional institutions into potential sources of opportunity. Phase 3 represents the final stage in the evolution towards scaling up, focusing on deficiencies in the aftermarket support environment, specifically maintenance and repair services after sales. The insights derived from the study offer valuable implications for practitioners, policymakers, and scholars.

尽管研究人员越来越认识到机构功能失调对新兴经济体的重大影响,但在机构功能失调对企业扩大可再生能源规模的上游和下游活动的影响方面仍存在重大差距。本文利用来自加纳太阳能光伏(PV)中介企业主/企业家和监管机构的数据,研究了这些活动在促进扩大可再生能源规模方面的互动机制。研究揭示了机构功能失调影响推广工作的三个独特互动过程。第一阶段的重点是揭露阻碍上游和下游活动的机构功能障碍。第 2 阶段标志着一种范式的转变,即主动重新参与和重塑机构功能障碍。这一阶段需要采取一系列组织行动,包括战略干预、消除无效做法以及更广泛的协同努力,以便将功能失调的机构转变为潜在的机会源泉。第三阶段是向扩大规模发展的最后阶段,重点关注售后市场支持环境的缺陷,特别是售后维护和修理服务。研究得出的见解为从业人员、决策者和学者提供了宝贵的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Take the Highway? Paved roads and well-being in Africa 走公路?非洲的铺面公路与福祉
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106691

Public Goods aim to improve individual welfare. We investigate the causal consequences of roads on well-being in 24 African countries, instrumenting paved roads by 19th Century hypothetical lines between major ports and cities. We have data on over 32000 individuals, and consider both their objective and subjective well-being, via access to four basic needs and the subjective evaluation of living conditions respectively. Our instrumental-variable analysis suggests that roads reduce material deprivation, by improving access to basic needs, but that there is no causal relation between the distance to a road and subjective living conditions. The benefit of roads in providing basic needs then seems to be offset by worse outcomes in other domains.

公共产品旨在提高个人福利。我们在 24 个非洲国家调查了道路对福利的因果影响,并以 19 世纪主要港口和城市之间的假设线路作为铺设道路的工具。我们掌握了 32000 多人的数据,并分别通过获得四种基本需求和对生活条件的主观评价,考虑了他们的客观和主观福利。我们的工具变量分析表明,道路通过改善基本需求的获取,减少了物质匮乏,但道路距离与主观生活条件之间没有因果关系。因此,道路在提供基本需求方面的益处似乎被其他领域更糟糕的结果所抵消。
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引用次数: 0
Export Performance Under Domestic Anti-Dumping Protection 国内反倾销保护下的出口业绩
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106716

This paper investigates the relationship between import protection and export performance employing firm-level data from Peru. We exploit product-specific information on anti-dumping (AD) measures imposed by Peru along with several indicators on the performance of Peruvian exporting firms across and within destination markets. Findings indicate that the impact of protection on export performance depends on which economies are targeted by domestic AD protection. Duties towards China are associated with substantially higher prices by exporting firms. Firms also reduce their shipments, as suggested by frameworks stressing the role of adjustment costs. These effects are mostly concentrated among small firm. In contrast, when AD measures are imposed on competitors from middle- or high-income countries, exporters ship larger quantities and tend to reduce unit values which is consistent with the existence of scale economies.

本文利用秘鲁的企业级数据研究了进口保护与出口绩效之间的关系。我们利用秘鲁实施的反倾销措施的特定产品信息,以及秘鲁出口企业在不同目的地市场和目的地市场内的绩效指标。研究结果表明,保护措施对出口绩效的影响取决于国内反倾销保护措施针对的经济体。对中国征收反倾销税与出口企业大幅提高价格有关。正如强调调整成本作用的框架所指出的那样,企业也会减少发货量。这些影响主要集中在小型企业。相反,当对中等收入或高收入国家的竞争者实施反倾销措施时,出口商的出货量会增加,并倾向于降低单位价值,这与规模经济的存在是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
Minority groups, Indigenousness and Indigeneity, and place in social perceptions of future climate interventions 少数群体、土著性和原住民性以及未来气候干预措施在社会认知中的地位
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106719

Radical climate intervention technologies such as carbon dioxide removal and solar radiation management pose difficult questions as potential remedies for destructive climate change. The effect these technologies could have on Indigenous peoples and minority groups, and those living in rural areas, could be profound and potentially calamitous. Drawing on a large-scale, cross-country set of nationally representative surveys (n = 30,284 participants, with at least 1,000 in each country) in 30 countries and 19 languages, this article examines public preferences for climate intervention technologies through the three dimensions of minority groups, Indigenousness, and place. The survey explores 10 climate intervention or geoengineering technologies: stratospheric aerosol injection, marine cloud brightening, space-based geoengineering, afforestation and reforestation, soil carbon sequestration, blue carbon and marine biomass, direct air capture with carbon storage, bioenergy with carbon capture and storage, enhanced rock weathering, and biochar. Comparing the full sample of respondents with a subsample self-identifying as ethnic minorities or Indigenous peoples, it finds this latter category of respondents has greater familiarity with these technologies than non-members, are more positive about small-scale trials and have more positive attitudes towards engineered options (versus nature-based options). Those in cities also expressed stronger support for small-scale field trials. Moreover, members of Indigenous groups or ethnic minorities expressed significantly higher levels of support for small-scale trials for nearly all technologies, were more supportive of policy incentives, and, inter alia, less supportive of policy restrictions. Conversely, non-members of Indigenous or ethnic minority groups expressed small but significantly greater support for independent national restrictions being placed on solar radiation management and engineered forms of carbon removal.

二氧化碳清除和太阳辐射管理等激进的气候干预技术作为应对破坏性气候变化的潜在补救措施,提出了棘手的问题。这些技术对原住民、少数民族和农村地区居民的影响可能是深远的,也可能是灾难性的。本文利用在 30 个国家、使用 19 种语言进行的一组大规模跨国国家代表性调查(n = 30284 名参与者,每个国家至少有 1000 名参与者),从少数群体、原住民和地点三个方面研究了公众对气候干预技术的偏好。调查探讨了 10 种气候干预或地球工程技术:平流层气溶胶注入、海洋云增亮、天基地球工程、植树造林和重新造林、土壤固碳、蓝碳和海洋生物质、直接空气捕获与碳储存、生物能源与碳捕获和储存、增强岩石风化和生物炭。将全部受访者样本与自我认同为少数民族或土著居民的子样本进行比较,发现后一类受访者比非成员国更熟悉这些技术,对小规模试验更积极,对工程选项(相对于基于自然的选项)持更积极的态度。城市中的受访者也表示更支持小规模实地试验。此外,土著群体或少数民族成员对几乎所有技术的小规模试验的支持程度明显更高,对政策激励的支持程度更高,对政策限制的支持程度更低。与此相反,非土著群体或少数民族群体成员对国家独立限制太阳辐射管理和工程碳清除形式的支持度较低,但支持度明显较高。
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引用次数: 0
Alignment mechanisms to effectively govern the sustainable development goals 有效管理可持续发展目标的协调机制
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106721

The Sustainable Development Goals are intended to be implemented in an indivisible manner, underlining the importance of interlinkages and interdependencies between different SDG-relevant policy areas. The complexity of synergies and trade-offs that are inherent to SDG interactions increases the risk that governments cherry-pick the SDGs that align with current policy interests and priorities, while neglecting others. No development actor can single-handedly ensure the integrated implementation of sustainable development’s economic, environmental and social dimensions. To advance integrated development processes, we therefore seek to answer the following question: what governance mechanisms enable development actors, located in different sectors, in different jurisdictions and at different governance levels, to align their efforts? Drawing on public governance and international development literature we identify ten alignment mechanisms that can be used to create inter-departmental alignment, public–private alignment, donor-recipient alignment and inter-donor alignment. To understand how the different mechanisms manifest themselves in practice, we illustrate how they are used to create synergies and negotiate trade-offs in forest and landscape restoration governance in Ethiopia. Through 20 interviews with public and private actors in Ethiopia, we observe a movement toward more integrated forest and landscape restoration efforts, but also that important mechanisms to create synergies and negotiate trade-offs between different objectives are still missing or do not function as intended. In the discussion and conclusion, we provide insights on how the ten mechanisms can contribute to greater multi-actor alignment at different stages of the policy cycle.

可持续发展目标旨在以不可分割的方式加以实施,这就强调了与可持续发展目标相关 的不同政策领域之间相互联系和相互依存的重要性。可持续发展目标之间固有的协同作用和权衡的复杂性,增加了政府挑选符合当前政策利益和优先事项的可持续发展目标,而忽视其他目标的风险。任何发展行动者都无法单枪匹马地确保可持续发展的经济、环境和社会层面的综合实施。因此,为了推进综合发展进程,我们试图回答以下问题:什么样的治理机制能够使不同部门、不同管辖区和不同治理层面的发展参与者协调努力?借鉴公共治理和国际发展文献,我们确定了十种协调机制,可用于建立部门间协调、公私协调、捐助方与受援方协调以及捐助方之间的协调。为了了解不同机制在实践中的表现形式,我们说明了在埃塞俄比亚的森林和景观恢复治理中如何利用这些机制来创造协同效应和协商权衡。通过对埃塞俄比亚公共和私人行为者的 20 次访谈,我们发现埃塞俄比亚正朝着更加综合的森林和景观恢复努力的方向发展,但同时也发现,在不同目标之间创造协同效应和协商权衡的重要机制仍然缺失或没有发挥预期的作用。在讨论和结论中,我们就这十种机制如何在政策周期的不同阶段促进多方行为者更大程度的协调提出了见解。
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引用次数: 0
The role of the commodity price boom in shaping public social spending: Evidence from Latin America 商品价格上涨对社会公共开支的影响:拉丁美洲的证据
IF 5.4 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106717

We study the potential impact of the commodity price boom of 2003 to 2013 on public social spending in Latin America. We estimate structural vector autoregressions and local projections for 16 Latin American countries over the period from 1990 to 2019 and investigate if we can attribute increases in public spending on health, education, and social protection to increases in a country’s net commodity terms-of-trade. By focusing on the impulse responses derived from country-specific estimations, we find a huge variety in response patterns. Our study finds that two countries experienced lasting increases in public social spending due to the commodity boom (Argentina, Ecuador). Some others observed at least temporary increases of few years (Brazil, Mexico), reacted first with declines and then rises (Chile), and yet others did not respond at all (Bolivia, Colombia, Peru). As expected, we cannot relate public social spending with commodity prices in countries without commodity price boom. Among countries with positive responses, there is no clear tendency concerning the function of spending that benefits most. We discuss potential explanations behind the heterogeneity of our country-wise results and conclude that the presence of left-wing governments, fiscal rules, natural resource funds and economic diversification provide plausible explanations for single country cases, but no general patterns emerge. We conclude that the commodity price boom was neither necessary nor sufficient for social policy expansion in Latin America, and factors explaining its effects differ from country to country. Our study highlights the importance of in-depth examinations of country-specific factors and the need of (currently lacking) high-quality time series data in development research.

我们研究了 2003 年至 2013 年商品价格上涨对拉丁美洲公共社会支出的潜在影响。我们对 16 个拉美国家 1990 年至 2019 年期间的结构向量自回归和本地预测进行了估算,并研究了我们能否将卫生、教育和社会保障公共支出的增长归因于一国商品净贸易条件的增长。通过关注从国别估算中得出的脉冲响应,我们发现响应模式存在巨大差异。我们的研究发现,有两个国家(阿根廷和厄瓜多尔)的公共社会支出因商品繁荣而持续增长。其他一些国家至少在数年内出现了暂时性增长(巴西、墨西哥),有的国家先下降后上升(智利),还有的国家则完全没有反应(玻利维亚、哥伦比亚、秘鲁)。不出所料,在没有商品价格上涨的国家,我们无法将公共社会支出与商品价格联系起来。在做出积极反应的国家中,在受益最大的支出功能方面没有明显的趋势。我们讨论了各国结果异质性背后的潜在解释,并得出结论:左翼政府、财政规则、自然资源基金和经济多样化的存在为单个国家的情况提供了合理的解释,但没有出现普遍的模式。我们的结论是,商品价格上涨对拉丁美洲社会政策的扩展既不是必要的,也不是充分的,解释其影响的因素因国家而异。我们的研究强调了深入研究具体国家因素的重要性,以及发展研究中(目前缺乏)高质量时间序列数据的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
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World Development
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