首页 > 最新文献

Sustainable Cities and Society最新文献

英文 中文
Reducing CO2 emissions from short-distance vehicle trips: A pathway to sustainable urban transport 减少短途车辆出行的二氧化碳排放:通往可持续城市交通的途径
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107154
Shengnan Li , Pu Wang , Qi Liu , Ling Liu
While existing works have extensively documented vehicle emission patterns, the carbon footprint of short-distance vehicle trips (SDTs) remains critically understudied. Here, we employ large-scale License Plate Recognition data from Changsha, China to systematically analyze the emission patterns, influential factors and emission reduction potentials of SDTs. Our analysis indicates that SDTs account for 27.31 % of urban vehicle trips, and the associated CO2 emissions exhibit spatial agglomerations at specific urban areas. By leveraging an interpretable machine learning framework, we identify the land use, demographic and socioeconomic characteristics that exhibit a strong correlation with the volume of SDTs. This study emphasizes the potential to mitigate emissions induced by SDTs. It suggests that with the enhancement of public’s environmental awareness and the promotion of new energy vehicles, daily CO2 emissions caused by SDTs could reduce 172 tons, which are equivalent to 1.23 % of the total CO2 emissions of all small vehicles, providing valuable insights for developing sustainable urban transport.
虽然现有的研究已经广泛记录了车辆排放模式,但短途车辆出行(sdt)的碳足迹仍未得到充分研究。本文利用长沙市大规模车牌识别数据,系统分析了sdt的排放规律、影响因素和减排潜力。分析表明,SDTs出行占城市车辆出行总量的27.31%,相关CO2排放在特定城市区域呈现空间集聚特征。通过利用可解释的机器学习框架,我们确定了与sdt数量表现出强烈相关性的土地利用、人口和社会经济特征。这项研究强调了减轻sdt引起的排放的潜力。研究表明,随着公众环保意识的增强和新能源汽车的推广,sdt每天可减少172吨二氧化碳排放,相当于所有小型车辆二氧化碳排放总量的1.23%,为发展可持续城市交通提供了有价值的见解。
{"title":"Reducing CO2 emissions from short-distance vehicle trips: A pathway to sustainable urban transport","authors":"Shengnan Li ,&nbsp;Pu Wang ,&nbsp;Qi Liu ,&nbsp;Ling Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107154","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107154","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While existing works have extensively documented vehicle emission patterns, the carbon footprint of short-distance vehicle trips (SDTs) remains critically understudied. Here, we employ large-scale License Plate Recognition data from Changsha, China to systematically analyze the emission patterns, influential factors and emission reduction potentials of SDTs. Our analysis indicates that SDTs account for 27.31 % of urban vehicle trips, and the associated CO<sub>2</sub> emissions exhibit spatial agglomerations at specific urban areas. By leveraging an interpretable machine learning framework, we identify the land use, demographic and socioeconomic characteristics that exhibit a strong correlation with the volume of SDTs. This study emphasizes the potential to mitigate emissions induced by SDTs. It suggests that with the enhancement of public’s environmental awareness and the promotion of new energy vehicles, daily CO<sub>2</sub> emissions caused by SDTs could reduce 172 tons, which are equivalent to 1.23 % of the total CO<sub>2</sub> emissions of all small vehicles, providing valuable insights for developing sustainable urban transport.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107154"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039036","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Research on the construction and evaluation of urban emergency management capability index system from the perspective of digital intelligence empowerment 数字智能赋能视角下城市应急管理能力指标体系构建与评价研究
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107148
Fangming Cheng , Nannan Zhao , Chang Su , Di Wang , Xiaokun Chen
With the connection and empowerment of digital intelligence technology to urban emergency management, the urban emergency management model is undergoing a process of reconstruction and transformation. However, there is currently a lack of scientific and effective capability evaluation systems and methods. This paper constructs an evaluation system comprising five first-level indicators—root-cause governance, risk prevention and control, emergency rescue and recovery, comprehensive support, and digital emergency capability—along with 14 secondary indicators and 45 tertiary indicators. It analyzes the scope of emergency management capabilities and pathways for digital intelligent empowerment. Employing an interval trapezoidal type-2 fuzzy and the matter-element extension cloud model to address subjective fuzziness, the paper establishes a comprehensive evaluation model for case analysis and improvement research. This framework and model provide support for building intelligent and agile emergency management systems.
随着数字智能技术对城市应急管理的连接和赋能,城市应急管理模式正在经历重构和转型的过程。然而,目前缺乏科学有效的能力评估体系和方法。本文构建了由根因治理、风险防控、应急救援与恢复、综合保障、数字化应急能力5个一级指标、14个二级指标、45个三级指标组成的评价体系。它分析了应急管理能力的范围和数字智能赋权的途径。采用区间梯形2型模糊和物元可拓云模型解决主观模糊性,建立了案例分析和改进研究的综合评价模型。该框架和模型为构建智能、敏捷的应急管理系统提供了支持。
{"title":"Research on the construction and evaluation of urban emergency management capability index system from the perspective of digital intelligence empowerment","authors":"Fangming Cheng ,&nbsp;Nannan Zhao ,&nbsp;Chang Su ,&nbsp;Di Wang ,&nbsp;Xiaokun Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107148","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107148","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the connection and empowerment of digital intelligence technology to urban emergency management, the urban emergency management model is undergoing a process of reconstruction and transformation. However, there is currently a lack of scientific and effective capability evaluation systems and methods. This paper constructs an evaluation system comprising five first-level indicators—root-cause governance, risk prevention and control, emergency rescue and recovery, comprehensive support, and digital emergency capability—along with 14 secondary indicators and 45 tertiary indicators. It analyzes the scope of emergency management capabilities and pathways for digital intelligent empowerment. Employing an interval trapezoidal type-2 fuzzy and the matter-element extension cloud model to address subjective fuzziness, the paper establishes a comprehensive evaluation model for case analysis and improvement research. This framework and model provide support for building intelligent and agile emergency management systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107148"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039037","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Exploring the patterns and optimization of high-density settlements to achieve zero-carbon heating in hot summer and cold winter area 探索夏热冬冷地区高密度聚落实现零碳供暖的模式与优化
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107152
Yuqiu Liu, Zhengnan Zhou, Yichen Han, Chaohong Wang, Yingkai Lian, Haoran Chen, Wenqi Bai, Zhuoyang Jia
In China’s hot summer and cold winter (HSCW) area, historical policies have resulted in the absence of central heating. However, intensifying extreme weather and rising living standards recently have led to a surge in heating energy consumption, accompanied by substantial carbon emissions. This study explores the feasibility of achieving zero-carbon heating (ZCH) in the HSCW area, specifically deriving heating energy from electricity generated by photovoltaic (PV) systems. This paper first measures indoor temperature, energy consumption data, and simulates PV generation across 20 residential areas in two typical cities in the HSCW area, Wuhan and Shanghai. Then, sensitivity analysis and machine learning regression with Shapley additive explanations are conducted between 14 morphology parameters and 3 primary energy indicators: ratio of energy consumption to indoor-outdoor temperature difference, available qualified PV generation for heating energy consumption, and ratio of qualified surface area. Subsequently, the study employed multi-objective optimization to balance the energy indicators of three residential area prototypes: tower, slab, and courtyard. Analysis of measured data reveals that the openness index has the most significant influence on heating energy consumption, while facade area has the greatest impact on PV indicators. However, the trend in morphological parameters optimized for the ZCH objective varies depending on building type and plot size. Conclusively, all residential types can realize ZCH, with achievable proportions at 61.00% of slab-style, 37.30% of courtyard-style, and 18.35% of tower-style. This research proposes novel approaches for reducing carbon emissions in the HSCW high-density settlements, thus providing references for related cases.
在中国的夏热冬冷地区,历史上的政策导致了中央供暖的缺失。然而,最近极端天气的加剧和生活水平的提高导致供暖能源消耗激增,伴随而来的是大量的碳排放。本研究探讨了在高低温地区实现零碳供暖(ZCH)的可行性,特别是从光伏(PV)系统产生的电力中获取供暖能量。本文首先测量了室内温度、能耗数据,并模拟了武汉和上海两个典型城市20个住宅小区的光伏发电情况。然后,对14个形态参数与室内外温差能耗比、可用于供热能耗的合格光伏发电、合格表面积比3个主要能源指标进行敏感性分析和Shapley加性解释的机器学习回归。随后,采用多目标优化方法对塔楼、楼板、庭院三种住宅小区原型的能量指标进行平衡。实测数据分析表明,开度指标对采暖能耗的影响最为显著,而立面面积对光伏指标的影响最大。然而,为ZCH目标优化的形态参数的趋势取决于建筑类型和地块大小。综上所述,所有住宅类型均可实现ZCH,其中板式住宅可实现比例为61.00%,合院式住宅可实现比例为37.30%,塔式住宅可实现比例为18.35%。本研究为HSCW高密度住区的碳减排提出了新的思路,为相关案例提供参考。
{"title":"Exploring the patterns and optimization of high-density settlements to achieve zero-carbon heating in hot summer and cold winter area","authors":"Yuqiu Liu,&nbsp;Zhengnan Zhou,&nbsp;Yichen Han,&nbsp;Chaohong Wang,&nbsp;Yingkai Lian,&nbsp;Haoran Chen,&nbsp;Wenqi Bai,&nbsp;Zhuoyang Jia","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107152","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107152","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In China’s hot summer and cold winter (HSCW) area, historical policies have resulted in the absence of central heating. However, intensifying extreme weather and rising living standards recently have led to a surge in heating energy consumption, accompanied by substantial carbon emissions. This study explores the feasibility of achieving zero-carbon heating (ZCH) in the HSCW area, specifically deriving heating energy from electricity generated by photovoltaic (PV) systems. This paper first measures indoor temperature, energy consumption data, and simulates PV generation across 20 residential areas in two typical cities in the HSCW area, Wuhan and Shanghai. Then, sensitivity analysis and machine learning regression with Shapley additive explanations are conducted between 14 morphology parameters and 3 primary energy indicators: ratio of energy consumption to indoor-outdoor temperature difference, available qualified PV generation for heating energy consumption, and ratio of qualified surface area. Subsequently, the study employed multi-objective optimization to balance the energy indicators of three residential area prototypes: tower, slab, and courtyard. Analysis of measured data reveals that the openness index has the most significant influence on heating energy consumption, while facade area has the greatest impact on PV indicators. However, the trend in morphological parameters optimized for the ZCH objective varies depending on building type and plot size. Conclusively, all residential types can realize ZCH, with achievable proportions at 61.00% of slab-style, 37.30% of courtyard-style, and 18.35% of tower-style. This research proposes novel approaches for reducing carbon emissions in the HSCW high-density settlements, thus providing references for related cases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107152"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980949","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Regulation of water body cooling effects in dense Urban Areas: Roles of spatial configuration, spatial size, and built environment 城市密集地区水体降温效应的调控:空间格局、空间规模和建成环境的作用
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107149
Haojian Deng , Jiali Feng , Xi Chen , Yongzhu Xiong , Jingjing Cao , Kai Liu
The cooling effect of water bodies plays a crucial role in alleviating thermal stress in densely built urban areas. However, research on how spatial scale, configuration, and built environments regulate this cooling mechanism remains insufficient. This study adopts a local climate zone framework to classify urban built environments into four types. It examines the regulatory roles of spatial configuration, spatial scale, and built environment characteristics on the cooling effects of water bodies. Additionally, the study employs the Light Gradient Boosting Machine and Shapley Additive Explanations models to analyze the crucial factors influencing cooling effects. The main findings are as follows: (1) In terms of spatial configuration, isolated water bodies demonstrate stronger and more stable cooling effects due to fewer external disturbances and larger surface areas, with an Effective Cooling Distance Threshold (ECDT) reaching up to 400 m. However, non-isolated water bodies are generally smaller and exhibit a shorter ECDT of 350 m. Through spatial aggregation and connectivity, they can still achieve comparable cooling intensity to large isolated water bodies within the 0-150 m range. Regarding spatial scale, when the water body area exceeds 3.41 ha, its cooling intensity and diffusion capacity increase significantly. Large-scale water bodies maintain a cooling effect of 0.18 °C even at 350 m. In contrast, small-scale water bodies have limited local cooling capacity, and their effects decay rapidly with distance. (2) The built environment type significantly influences water body cooling effects. In compact, open-type, and large low-rise and impervious-surface-dominated built environment types, a higher Building area ratio (ABA) and average building volume (ABV) can produce shading effects during morning hours, enhancing the cooling effect of adjacent water bodies. (3) Within the ECDT range, the most critical regulatory factors are fractional vegetation cover, elevation, and impervious surface ratio. In contrast, the individual and interaction effects of average building height (ABH) exhibit relatively weak influences on water body cooling performance. These findings provide scientific support for understanding the thermal regulation mechanisms of blue infrastructure in dense urban environments and offer practical insights for optimizing urban climate resilience strategies.
在人口密集的城市地区,水体的降温效应对缓解热应力起着至关重要的作用。然而,关于空间尺度、结构和建筑环境如何调节这种冷却机制的研究仍然不足。本研究采用局地气候带框架,将城市建成环境分为四类。它考察了空间配置、空间尺度和建筑环境特征对水体冷却效果的调节作用。此外,采用光梯度增强机和Shapley加性解释模型分析了影响冷却效果的关键因素。结果表明:(1)在空间格局上,孤立水体由于受到的外部干扰较少、表面积较大,冷却效果更强、更稳定,其有效冷却距离阈值(ECDT)可达400 m。而非孤立水体一般较小,ECDT较短,为350 m。通过空间聚集和连通性,它们仍然可以达到与0-150 m范围内的大型孤立水体相当的冷却强度。在空间尺度上,当水体面积超过3.41 ha时,其冷却强度和扩散能力显著增加。大型水体即使在350米高度也保持0.18°C的冷却效果。相比之下,小规模水体的局部冷却能力有限,其效果随着距离的增加而迅速衰减。(2)建筑环境类型显著影响水体降温效果。在紧凑型、开放式和大型低层不透水面为主的建筑环境类型中,较高的建筑面积比(ABA)和平均建筑体积(ABV)可以在早晨产生遮阳效果,增强相邻水体的降温效果。(3)在ECDT范围内,最关键的调节因子是植被覆盖度、高程和不透水面比。而平均建筑高度(ABH)的个体效应和交互效应对水体冷却性能的影响相对较弱。这些发现为理解密集城市环境中蓝色基础设施的热调节机制提供了科学支持,并为优化城市气候适应策略提供了实践见解。
{"title":"Regulation of water body cooling effects in dense Urban Areas: Roles of spatial configuration, spatial size, and built environment","authors":"Haojian Deng ,&nbsp;Jiali Feng ,&nbsp;Xi Chen ,&nbsp;Yongzhu Xiong ,&nbsp;Jingjing Cao ,&nbsp;Kai Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107149","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107149","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The cooling effect of water bodies plays a crucial role in alleviating thermal stress in densely built urban areas. However, research on how spatial scale, configuration, and built environments regulate this cooling mechanism remains insufficient. This study adopts a local climate zone framework to classify urban built environments into four types. It examines the regulatory roles of spatial configuration, spatial scale, and built environment characteristics on the cooling effects of water bodies. Additionally, the study employs the Light Gradient Boosting Machine and Shapley Additive Explanations models to analyze the crucial factors influencing cooling effects. The main findings are as follows: (1) In terms of spatial configuration, isolated water bodies demonstrate stronger and more stable cooling effects due to fewer external disturbances and larger surface areas, with an Effective Cooling Distance Threshold (ECDT) reaching up to 400 m. However, non-isolated water bodies are generally smaller and exhibit a shorter ECDT of 350 m. Through spatial aggregation and connectivity, they can still achieve comparable cooling intensity to large isolated water bodies within the 0-150 m range. Regarding spatial scale, when the water body area exceeds 3.41 ha, its cooling intensity and diffusion capacity increase significantly. Large-scale water bodies maintain a cooling effect of 0.18 °C even at 350 m. In contrast, small-scale water bodies have limited local cooling capacity, and their effects decay rapidly with distance. (2) The built environment type significantly influences water body cooling effects. In compact, open-type, and large low-rise and impervious-surface-dominated built environment types, a higher Building area ratio (ABA) and average building volume (ABV) can produce shading effects during morning hours, enhancing the cooling effect of adjacent water bodies. (3) Within the ECDT range, the most critical regulatory factors are fractional vegetation cover, elevation, and impervious surface ratio. In contrast, the individual and interaction effects of average building height (ABH) exhibit relatively weak influences on water body cooling performance. These findings provide scientific support for understanding the thermal regulation mechanisms of blue infrastructure in dense urban environments and offer practical insights for optimizing urban climate resilience strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107149"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Spatial patterns and climate adaptation mechanisms of street-house systems in Chongqing traditional settlements 重庆传统聚落街巷系统的空间格局与气候适应机制
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107150
Pengcheng Liu , Xu Li , Haitian Lu , Li Yan
Global warming and loss of regional cultural expression present dual challenges. A research gap persists: the passive, low-energy experience of traditional settlements remains untransformed into quantifiable design guidelines. This study focused on typical traditional settlements in Chongqing, China (a hot-summer and cold-winter region). It adopted an integrated "street-house" system perspective to analyse how spatial elements influence wind and thermal environmental performance, and distilled climate-adaptive spatial form characteristics and rules to provide operable guidance for climate-adaptive urban design. First, a literature review and field surveys identified the spatial elements for subsequent quantitative analysis. Second, the study used a combined approach of orthogonal/full factorial experiments and numerical simulations to quantify contribution rates, nonlinear relationships, and interaction effects of selected spatial elements on wind and thermal environmental performance, laying a foundation for spatial pattern formulation. Results indicated street orientation dominated the wind environment (contribution rates of 76.7% for street and 98.7% for building) and height-to-width ratio dominated the thermal environment (55.1% and 66.4% for street and building, respectively). Second-floor cantilevered balconies and eaves also significantly affected the thermal environment. The wind environment exhibited two significant interaction effects: street orientation × through-flow doors and windows, and street height-to-width ratio × eaves width. The thermal environment had no significant interaction effects. The study further analysed contradictory and synergistic characteristics of spatial morphological elements in climate adaptation, extracting patterns addressing summer and winter needs. These findings deepened understanding of climate adaptability in traditional settlements, and provided quantitative basis and pattern references for climate-adaptive urban planning.
全球变暖和区域文化表达的丧失带来了双重挑战。一个研究缺口仍然存在:传统住区的被动、低能耗体验仍未转化为可量化的设计准则。本研究以中国重庆(夏热冬冷地区)典型传统聚落为研究对象。采用综合“街屋”系统视角,分析空间要素对风热环境性能的影响,提炼气候适应性空间形态特征和规律,为气候适应性城市设计提供可操作性指导。首先,通过文献综述和实地调查,确定了后续定量分析的空间要素。其次,采用正交/全因子试验与数值模拟相结合的方法,定量分析了空间要素对风热环境性能的贡献率、非线性关系和交互效应,为空间格局的构建奠定了基础。结果表明:街道朝向主导风环境(街道贡献率为76.7%,建筑贡献率为98.7%),高宽比主导热环境(街道贡献率为55.1%,建筑贡献率为66.4%);二层的悬挑阳台和屋檐也显著影响了热环境。风环境表现出两个显著的相互作用效应:街道朝向×通流门窗,街道高宽比×屋檐宽度。热环境的交互作用不显著。进一步分析了气候适应空间形态要素的矛盾和协同特征,提取了满足夏季和冬季需求的模式。这些发现加深了人们对传统聚落气候适应性的认识,为气候适应性城市规划提供了定量依据和模式参考。
{"title":"Spatial patterns and climate adaptation mechanisms of street-house systems in Chongqing traditional settlements","authors":"Pengcheng Liu ,&nbsp;Xu Li ,&nbsp;Haitian Lu ,&nbsp;Li Yan","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107150","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107150","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Global warming and loss of regional cultural expression present dual challenges. A research gap persists: the passive, low-energy experience of traditional settlements remains untransformed into quantifiable design guidelines. This study focused on typical traditional settlements in Chongqing, China (a hot-summer and cold-winter region). It adopted an integrated \"street-house\" system perspective to analyse how spatial elements influence wind and thermal environmental performance, and distilled climate-adaptive spatial form characteristics and rules to provide operable guidance for climate-adaptive urban design. First, a literature review and field surveys identified the spatial elements for subsequent quantitative analysis. Second, the study used a combined approach of orthogonal/full factorial experiments and numerical simulations to quantify contribution rates, nonlinear relationships, and interaction effects of selected spatial elements on wind and thermal environmental performance, laying a foundation for spatial pattern formulation. Results indicated street orientation dominated the wind environment (contribution rates of 76.7% for street and 98.7% for building) and height-to-width ratio dominated the thermal environment (55.1% and 66.4% for street and building, respectively). Second-floor cantilevered balconies and eaves also significantly affected the thermal environment. The wind environment exhibited two significant interaction effects: street orientation × through-flow doors and windows, and street height-to-width ratio × eaves width. The thermal environment had no significant interaction effects. The study further analysed contradictory and synergistic characteristics of spatial morphological elements in climate adaptation, extracting patterns addressing summer and winter needs. These findings deepened understanding of climate adaptability in traditional settlements, and provided quantitative basis and pattern references for climate-adaptive urban planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107150"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anthropogenic heat amplification in industrial zones: Unraveling heat stress risk heterogeneity in river-sea dual-core cities 工业区人为热放大:揭示江海双核城市热应力风险异质性
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107151
Yujie Li , Jingfu Cao , Mingcai Li , Song Jiang , Jie Yang , Rui Xin , Ping Qu , Jing Chen , Jing Wang
River-sea dual-core cities exhibit marked climatic disparities between coastal and inland zones. A comprehensive analysis is therefore needed to reveal how urban form, geography, and industry jointly shape heat stress. Taking Tianjin as a representative case, this study employs an integrated approach that combines multi-source remote sensing, field surveys, and a dense meteorological station network to develop a practical assessment framework for these complex thermal dynamics. Our findings reveal three distinct thermal regimes governed by different mechanisms: compact urban cores experience intense dry heat driven by building density; coastal areas face significant humid heat stress due to marine influence and sea breeze dynamics; and specialized industrial zones create thermal anomalies that transcend conventional local climate zone (LCZ) classifications. The research demonstrates that while LCZ framework captures urban morphological variations, it requires substantial refinement to incorporate geographical context and industrial processes. Notably, our case study of the Wangkou industrial cluster shows that intensive energy consumption generates an average anthropogenic heat flux of 6.78.9 W/m2, substantially reshaping local microclimates. This pattern challenges conventional urban classification systems. In response to these distinct thermal regimes, we recommend implementing zonal mitigation strategies, including cool infrastructure in urban cores, ventilation corridors in coastal areas, and specialized thermal regulations for industrial zones. This study proposes a transferable framework for assessing urban heat risks and offers scientific support for spatially-optimized, climate-resilient planning in similar cities globally.
江海双核城市在沿海和内陆地区表现出明显的气候差异。因此,需要进行全面的分析,以揭示城市形态、地理和工业如何共同形成热应力。本研究以天津市为例,采用多源遥感、野外调查和密集气象站网络相结合的综合方法,构建了复杂热动力学的实用评估框架。我们的研究结果揭示了由不同机制控制的三种不同的热状态:紧凑的城市核心经历由建筑密度驱动的强烈干热;沿海地区由于海洋影响和海风动力而面临显著的湿热应力;和专门的工业区创造了超越传统的当地气候带(LCZ)分类的热异常。研究表明,虽然LCZ框架捕捉到了城市形态的变化,但它需要大量的改进,以结合地理环境和工业过程。值得注意的是,我们对王口产业集群的案例研究表明,密集的能源消耗产生了6.7-8.9 W/m2的平均人为热通量,极大地重塑了当地的小气候。这种模式挑战了传统的城市分类系统。为了应对这些不同的热状况,我们建议实施区域性缓解策略,包括在城市核心地区建立制冷基础设施,在沿海地区建立通风走廊,并为工业区制定专门的热法规。本研究提出了一个可转移的城市热风险评估框架,为全球类似城市的空间优化和气候适应型规划提供科学支持。
{"title":"Anthropogenic heat amplification in industrial zones: Unraveling heat stress risk heterogeneity in river-sea dual-core cities","authors":"Yujie Li ,&nbsp;Jingfu Cao ,&nbsp;Mingcai Li ,&nbsp;Song Jiang ,&nbsp;Jie Yang ,&nbsp;Rui Xin ,&nbsp;Ping Qu ,&nbsp;Jing Chen ,&nbsp;Jing Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107151","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107151","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>River-sea dual-core cities exhibit marked climatic disparities between coastal and inland zones. A comprehensive analysis is therefore needed to reveal how urban form, geography, and industry jointly shape heat stress. Taking Tianjin as a representative case, this study employs an integrated approach that combines multi-source remote sensing, field surveys, and a dense meteorological station network to develop a practical assessment framework for these complex thermal dynamics. Our findings reveal three distinct thermal regimes governed by different mechanisms: compact urban cores experience intense dry heat driven by building density; coastal areas face significant humid heat stress due to marine influence and sea breeze dynamics; and specialized industrial zones create thermal anomalies that transcend conventional local climate zone (LCZ) classifications. The research demonstrates that while LCZ framework captures urban morphological variations, it requires substantial refinement to incorporate geographical context and industrial processes. Notably, our case study of the Wangkou industrial cluster shows that intensive energy consumption generates an average anthropogenic heat flux of 6.7<strong>–</strong>8.9 W/m<sup>2</sup>, substantially reshaping local microclimates. This pattern challenges conventional urban classification systems. In response to these distinct thermal regimes, we recommend implementing zonal mitigation strategies, including cool infrastructure in urban cores, ventilation corridors in coastal areas, and specialized thermal regulations for industrial zones. This study proposes a transferable framework for assessing urban heat risks and offers scientific support for spatially-optimized, climate-resilient planning in similar cities globally.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107151"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Community-based solar-powered and open-air cooling shelter for urban heat mitigation 以社区为基础的太阳能和露天降温避难所,用于城市降温
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107153
Ji Yoon Bae , Eric Teitelbaum , Sara F. Jacoby , Dorit Aviv
The increasing frequency of heatwaves and the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect pose growing public health risks, particularly for urban communities with limited access to cooling infrastructure. Conventional strategies—such as air-conditioned cooling centers—present challenges related to energy consumption, resilience, and equitable access. In response, we developed and tested a novel, open-air cooling shelter that can be installed as public infrastructure such as bus stops, designed to mitigate heat stress through solar-powered radiant and conductive cooling systems. Constructed in partnership with a community organization in a heat-vulnerable Philadelphia neighborhood, the shelter integrates a shading canopy, radiant cooling panels, and a conductive cooling bench, all operated by a fully off-grid renewable energy source. To examine its impact, we conducted thermal comfort surveys with community members as well as physiological and environmental measurements. Results showed that the shelter reduced occupants’ thermal stress by 35–45% compared to unshaded outdoor conditions using the Index of Thermal Stress (ITS), and subjective survey responses corroborated this improvement. Concurrently, energy monitoring validated the system’s self-sufficiency; solar energy generation surpassed the cooling demand by 40%. The combination of scalable technology and integrated local engagement, as modeled in this study, offers a replicable strategy for sustainable and inclusive urban heat mitigation.
热浪日益频繁和城市热岛效应造成越来越大的公共卫生风险,特别是对于使用制冷基础设施有限的城市社区。传统的战略,如空调冷却中心,在能源消耗、弹性和公平获取方面存在挑战。作为回应,我们开发并测试了一种新型的露天冷却罩,它可以安装在公共基础设施中,如公交车站,通过太阳能辐射和传导冷却系统来减轻热应力。该项目是与费城一个易热社区的社区组织合作建造的,它集成了遮阳篷、辐射冷却板和导电冷却工作台,所有这些都是由一个完全离网的可再生能源运行的。为了研究其影响,我们对社区成员进行了热舒适调查,并进行了生理和环境测量。使用热应力指数(ITS)的结果表明,与无遮蔽的室外条件相比,遮阳棚使居住者的热应力降低了35-45%,主观调查结果证实了这一改善。同时,能源监测验证了系统的自给自足;太阳能发电量比制冷需求高出40%。可扩展的技术和综合的地方参与的结合,在本研究中建模,为可持续和包容性的城市热缓解提供了可复制的策略。
{"title":"Community-based solar-powered and open-air cooling shelter for urban heat mitigation","authors":"Ji Yoon Bae ,&nbsp;Eric Teitelbaum ,&nbsp;Sara F. Jacoby ,&nbsp;Dorit Aviv","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107153","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107153","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The increasing frequency of heatwaves and the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect pose growing public health risks, particularly for urban communities with limited access to cooling infrastructure. Conventional strategies—such as air-conditioned cooling centers—present challenges related to energy consumption, resilience, and equitable access. In response, we developed and tested a novel, open-air cooling shelter that can be installed as public infrastructure such as bus stops, designed to mitigate heat stress through solar-powered radiant and conductive cooling systems. Constructed in partnership with a community organization in a heat-vulnerable Philadelphia neighborhood, the shelter integrates a shading canopy, radiant cooling panels, and a conductive cooling bench, all operated by a fully off-grid renewable energy source. To examine its impact, we conducted thermal comfort surveys with community members as well as physiological and environmental measurements. Results showed that the shelter reduced occupants’ thermal stress by 35–45% compared to unshaded outdoor conditions using the Index of Thermal Stress (ITS), and subjective survey responses corroborated this improvement. Concurrently, energy monitoring validated the system’s self-sufficiency; solar energy generation surpassed the cooling demand by 40%. The combination of scalable technology and integrated local engagement, as modeled in this study, offers a replicable strategy for sustainable and inclusive urban heat mitigation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107153"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From cooling pathways to practical acclimating design: Urban park regulating potentials under Extreme Heat Events 从降温通道到实际适应性设计:城市公园在极端高温事件下的调节潜力
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107146
Jinchen Wang , Yan Sun , Qiping Lu , Qi Yang
Rapid urbanisation and global warming have intensified the frequency and severity of extreme heat events (EHEs), posing substantial challenges in urban areas. The urban park cool island effect (PCI) could aid in the mitigation of and adaptation to EHEs. However, its cooling intensity and underlying mechanisms in metropolitan regions under different heat extremes are unclear. To address this, we quantitatively assessed the PCI effect between EHEs and non-EHEs of two summer periods and identified universal PCI pathways. PCI effects were quantified across 109 urban parks within the Fifth Ring Road of Beijing using the equal radius and turning point methods. We then employed structural equation modelling (SEM) to elucidate the causal pathways among various factors during EHEs and non-EHEs. We found that: (1) the PCI of 109 urban parks was significantly stronger during EHEs than during non-EHEs, with PCI intensity varying from 0 to 10 °C, and the PCI exhibiting spatial heterogeneity along the urban–rural gradient; (2) urban park cooling service followed universal pathways between different EHE periods (June 2021 and July 2022) and present different pattern from four non-EHE periods.; (3) the differences between the SEM models were primarily driven by external impervious surfaces, vegetation cover, and three-dimensional building height in the park surrounding areas. This study not only reveals the PCI potentials under different heat extremes, but also deepens our understanding of PCI pathways, providing methodological and theoretical references for urban park extremes-adaptation planning and construction.
快速城市化和全球变暖加剧了极端高温事件(EHEs)的频率和严重程度,给城市地区带来了重大挑战。城市公园冷岛效应(PCI)有助于缓解和适应环境污染。然而,在不同极端高温条件下,其冷却强度及其机制尚不清楚。为了解决这个问题,我们定量评估了两个夏季EHEs和非EHEs之间的PCI效应,并确定了普遍的PCI途径。采用等半径法和拐点法对北京市五环内109个城市公园的PCI效应进行了量化。然后,我们采用结构方程模型(SEM)来阐明在EHEs和非EHEs中各种因素之间的因果关系。研究发现:(1)109个城市公园在生态环境污染期间的PCI显著强于非生态环境污染期间,PCI强度在0 ~ 10℃范围内变化,且PCI呈现出城乡梯度的空间异质性;(2)城市公园降温服务在不同EHE时段(2021年6月至2022年7月)具有普遍的路径,与4个非EHE时段呈现不同的格局;(3) SEM模型间的差异主要受公园周边不透水地表、植被覆盖和三维建筑高度的影响。本研究不仅揭示了不同极端高温条件下的PCI潜力,而且加深了我们对PCI路径的认识,为城市公园极端适应规划和建设提供了方法和理论参考。
{"title":"From cooling pathways to practical acclimating design: Urban park regulating potentials under Extreme Heat Events","authors":"Jinchen Wang ,&nbsp;Yan Sun ,&nbsp;Qiping Lu ,&nbsp;Qi Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107146","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107146","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid urbanisation and global warming have intensified the frequency and severity of extreme heat events (EHEs), posing substantial challenges in urban areas. The urban park cool island effect (PCI) could aid in the mitigation of and adaptation to EHEs. However, its cooling intensity and underlying mechanisms in metropolitan regions under different heat extremes are unclear. To address this, we quantitatively assessed the PCI effect between EHEs and non-EHEs of two summer periods and identified universal PCI pathways. PCI effects were quantified across 109 urban parks within the Fifth Ring Road of Beijing using the equal radius and turning point methods. We then employed structural equation modelling (SEM) to elucidate the causal pathways among various factors during EHEs and non-EHEs. We found that: (1) the PCI of 109 urban parks was significantly stronger during EHEs than during non-EHEs, with PCI intensity varying from 0 to 10 °C, and the PCI exhibiting spatial heterogeneity along the urban–rural gradient; (2) urban park cooling service followed universal pathways between different EHE periods (June 2021 and July 2022) and present different pattern from four non-EHE periods.; (3) the differences between the SEM models were primarily driven by external impervious surfaces, vegetation cover, and three-dimensional building height in the park surrounding areas. This study not only reveals the PCI potentials under different heat extremes, but also deepens our understanding of PCI pathways, providing methodological and theoretical references for urban park extremes-adaptation planning and construction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107146"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980141","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Coastal city pollution from time-varying traffic emissions: A high-resolution WRF-CFD comparison of dynamic sea-land breeze and static prevailing wind 时变交通排放造成的沿海城市污染:动态海陆风和静态盛行风的高分辨率WRF-CFD比较
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107147
Jiajian He , Yihang Lu , Yanming Kang , Yuqian Gu , Ke Zhong , Yiqi Wang
Rapid urbanization has intensified traffic-related air pollution in street networks, particularly in coastal cities frequently affected by mesoscale sea-land breeze (SLB) circulations. Conventional air-quality assessments commonly adopt simplified steady-state ‘prevailing wind’ assumptions, failing to capture the dynamic and diurnal evolution of SLB circulations. This methodological simplification can weaken the effectiveness of pollution-mitigation strategies or even make them counterproductive. To address this limitation, a high-temporal-resolution WRF-CFD coupled model is employed to integrate time-evolving SLB meteorological fields with time-varying traffic emissions, assessing the pollutant dispersion under the SLB and summer prevailing wind (SPW) conditions. The results show that under SLB conditions, street-level pollutant concentrations become decoupled from traffic emission patterns, exhibiting opposing trends during morning and evening rush hours compared to the predictable behavior under SPW. Weak morning land breezes hinder pollutant dispersion, increasing concentrations by 1.4 times compared to SPW, whereas strong evening sea breezes enhance ventilation, reducing concentrations by 43 %. Moreover, the midday collision of sea and land breezes generates a low-ventilation ‘convergence zone’, causing severe pollution episodes even during off-peak traffic hours. During this convergence period, the average pollution concentration under SLB is over 1.4 times higher than during SPW, with peak concentrations reaching nearly twice those of SPW. Although daily average concentrations are similar under both weather conditions, the SLB-induced convergence effect can cause short-term rapid pollutant accumulation, significantly amplifying pedestrian exposure risks. Consequently, for air quality assessment in coastal cities, the main findings show that SLB-induced meteorological dynamics (e.g., the midday convergence) can be a more critical determinant of acute pollution events than traffic volume itself, challenging the conventional prevailing steady-state assumption. The developed framework also provides an essential tool for designing meteorology-responsive dynamic traffic management and street-level air quality alert systems, enabling targeted control strategies under different weather conditions to reduce exposure risks.
快速城市化加剧了街道网络中与交通有关的空气污染,特别是在经常受到中尺度海陆风(SLB)环流影响的沿海城市。传统的空气质量评估通常采用简化的稳态“盛行风”假设,未能捕捉到SLB环流的动态和日演变。这种方法上的简化会削弱减少污染战略的有效性,甚至使其产生反效果。为了解决这一问题,采用高时间分辨率WRF-CFD耦合模型,将时变SLB气象场与时变交通排放相结合,评估SLB和夏季盛行风条件下的污染物扩散。结果表明,在SLB条件下,街道污染物浓度与交通排放模式脱钩,在早高峰和晚高峰时段与SPW条件下的可预测行为相反。早晨微弱的陆风阻碍了污染物的扩散,使浓度增加了1.4倍,而晚上强烈的海风增强了通风,使浓度减少了43%。此外,正午的海风和陆风碰撞会产生低通风的“辐合区”,即使在非交通高峰时段也会造成严重的污染。在此辐合期,SLB条件下的平均污染浓度是SPW条件下的1.4倍以上,峰值达到SPW条件下的近2倍。尽管两种天气条件下的日平均浓度相似,但slb诱导的辐合效应会导致污染物短期快速积累,显著放大行人暴露风险。因此,对于沿海城市的空气质量评估,主要研究结果表明,slb诱导的气象动力学(例如,正午辐合)可能是急性污染事件的一个更关键的决定因素,而不是交通量本身,挑战了传统的普遍稳态假设。制定的框架也为设计气象响应的动态交通管理和街道空气质量警报系统提供了重要工具,使我们能够在不同天气条件下采取有针对性的控制策略,以减少暴露风险。
{"title":"Coastal city pollution from time-varying traffic emissions: A high-resolution WRF-CFD comparison of dynamic sea-land breeze and static prevailing wind","authors":"Jiajian He ,&nbsp;Yihang Lu ,&nbsp;Yanming Kang ,&nbsp;Yuqian Gu ,&nbsp;Ke Zhong ,&nbsp;Yiqi Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107147","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107147","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid urbanization has intensified traffic-related air pollution in street networks, particularly in coastal cities frequently affected by mesoscale sea-land breeze (SLB) circulations. Conventional air-quality assessments commonly adopt simplified steady-state ‘prevailing wind’ assumptions, failing to capture the dynamic and diurnal evolution of SLB circulations. This methodological simplification can weaken the effectiveness of pollution-mitigation strategies or even make them counterproductive. To address this limitation, a high-temporal-resolution WRF-CFD coupled model is employed to integrate time-evolving SLB meteorological fields with time-varying traffic emissions, assessing the pollutant dispersion under the SLB and summer prevailing wind (SPW) conditions. The results show that under SLB conditions, street-level pollutant concentrations become decoupled from traffic emission patterns, exhibiting opposing trends during morning and evening rush hours compared to the predictable behavior under SPW. Weak morning land breezes hinder pollutant dispersion, increasing concentrations by 1.4 times compared to SPW, whereas strong evening sea breezes enhance ventilation, reducing concentrations by 43 %. Moreover, the midday collision of sea and land breezes generates a low-ventilation ‘convergence zone’, causing severe pollution episodes even during off-peak traffic hours. During this convergence period, the average pollution concentration under SLB is over 1.4 times higher than during SPW, with peak concentrations reaching nearly twice those of SPW. Although daily average concentrations are similar under both weather conditions, the SLB-induced convergence effect can cause short-term rapid pollutant accumulation, significantly amplifying pedestrian exposure risks. Consequently, for air quality assessment in coastal cities, the main findings show that SLB-induced meteorological dynamics (e.g., the midday convergence) can be a more critical determinant of acute pollution events than traffic volume itself, challenging the conventional prevailing steady-state assumption. The developed framework also provides an essential tool for designing meteorology-responsive dynamic traffic management and street-level air quality alert systems, enabling targeted control strategies under different weather conditions to reduce exposure risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107147"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Machine learning and causal attribution of urban heat in the Phoenix metropolitan 凤凰城都市热的机器学习和因果归因
IF 12 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2026.107145
Negar Rahmatollahi , Zhi-Hua Wang , Yihang Wang , Xueli Yang
Exacerbated thermal environment is one of the most critical challenges in urban development, which causes degradation of air quality, environmental health, and ecosystem services. While there are many existing studies of attributing urban heat to various environmental factors, the underlying causal relationship explainable by these contributors remains largely underexplored. In this study, we conducted machine learning (ML) attribution of urban heat (measured by the land surface temperature LST) to two broad categories of contributors, viz. (a) local landscape characteristics (surface albedo, vegetation coverage, building density, and measure of anthropogenic activities) and (b) meteorological conditions (precipitation, humidity, wind, pressure, solar radiation, and soil moisture), using the Phoenix metropolitan, AZ as a testbed. Furthermore, we quantified the underlying causation between these environmental factors and LST using convergent cross mapping (CCM). It was found that solar radiation and vegetation coverage (NDVI) are the two most important determinants, both statistically and causally, of urban thermal environment. We also identified the impact of water content variables (precipitation, humidity, and soil moisture) that is not captured by ML attribution but emerges as causally significant. These findings help to deepen our understanding of the underlying mechanism that regulates the urban heat and its complex interplay with other environmental factors, which, in turn, will be informative to sustainable urban planning practices.
热环境恶化是城市发展中最严峻的挑战之一,它导致空气质量、环境健康和生态系统服务的退化。虽然已有许多将城市热归因于各种环境因素的研究,但这些因素可解释的潜在因果关系在很大程度上仍未得到充分探讨。在这项研究中,我们将城市热量(由地表温度LST测量)的机器学习(ML)归因到两大类贡献者,即(a)当地景观特征(地表反照率、植被覆盖、建筑密度和人为活动的测量)和(b)气象条件(降水、湿度、风、压力、太阳辐射和土壤湿度),以亚利桑那州凤凰城为试验平台。此外,我们利用收敛交叉映射(CCM)量化了这些环境因子与地表温度之间的潜在因果关系。太阳辐射和植被覆盖度(NDVI)是城市热环境的两个最重要的决定因素,无论在统计上还是因果关系上都是如此。我们还确定了含水量变量(降水、湿度和土壤湿度)的影响,这些变量未被ML归因捕获,但具有显著的因果关系。这些发现有助于加深我们对调节城市热量及其与其他环境因素复杂相互作用的潜在机制的理解,从而为可持续城市规划实践提供信息。
{"title":"Machine learning and causal attribution of urban heat in the Phoenix metropolitan","authors":"Negar Rahmatollahi ,&nbsp;Zhi-Hua Wang ,&nbsp;Yihang Wang ,&nbsp;Xueli Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107145","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.scs.2026.107145","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Exacerbated thermal environment is one of the most critical challenges in urban development, which causes degradation of air quality, environmental health, and ecosystem services. While there are many existing studies of attributing urban heat to various environmental factors, the underlying causal relationship explainable by these contributors remains largely underexplored. In this study, we conducted machine learning (ML) attribution of urban heat (measured by the land surface temperature LST) to two broad categories of contributors, viz. (a) local landscape characteristics (surface albedo, vegetation coverage, building density, and measure of anthropogenic activities) and (b) meteorological conditions (precipitation, humidity, wind, pressure, solar radiation, and soil moisture), using the Phoenix metropolitan, AZ as a testbed. Furthermore, we quantified the underlying causation between these environmental factors and LST using convergent cross mapping (CCM). It was found that solar radiation and vegetation coverage (NDVI) are the two most important determinants, both statistically and causally, of urban thermal environment. We also identified the impact of water content variables (precipitation, humidity, and soil moisture) that is not captured by ML attribution but emerges as causally significant. These findings help to deepen our understanding of the underlying mechanism that regulates the urban heat and its complex interplay with other environmental factors, which, in turn, will be informative to sustainable urban planning practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48659,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Cities and Society","volume":"137 ","pages":"Article 107145"},"PeriodicalIF":12.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145980782","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Sustainable Cities and Society
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1