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Investigating the influence of morphologic and functional polycentric structures on urban heat island: A case of Chongqing, China 研究多中心形态和功能结构对城市热岛的影响:以中国重庆为例
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105790

Polycentric urban structures are widely regarded as solutions to mitigating urban heat islands (UHI). However, few studies clarified the influences of morphological and functional polycentrism on UHI. Using Chongqing as the case study, we revealed the spatial pattern of UHI based on ECOSTRESS images and morphological/functional polycentrism based on multi-source data. Then, we quantified the spatial and nonlinear effects of polycentric structures on UHI using spatial regressions and XGBoost-SHAP methods. The results showed that polycentric structures exhibit spillover and nonlinear effects on local heat variation. Building volume alleviated UHI in the urban core, signifying a substantial shadowing effect in a mountainous setting. Population density positively but weakly affected local UHI among urban centers. Facility mixture positively affected UHI mainly in facility-abundant subcenters within the effective range between 0.5 and 1.0. As a functional factor, functional linkages exerted positive effects mainly in the urban cores where the degree centrality is larger than 1,500 while exhibiting negative correlation in the peripheral subcenters, suggesting the cooling effects by dispersing functions in the urban core. These findings help mitigate UHI by targeting measures for optimizing polycentric structures.

多中心城市结构被广泛认为是缓解城市热岛(UHI)的解决方案。然而,很少有研究阐明形态和功能多中心化对 UHI 的影响。以重庆为例,我们基于 ECOSTRESS 图像和多源数据揭示了 UHI 的空间模式和形态/功能多中心性。然后,我们利用空间回归和 XGBoost-SHAP 方法量化了多中心结构对 UHI 的空间和非线性影响。结果表明,多中心结构对当地热量变化表现出溢出和非线性效应。建筑体积减轻了城市核心区域的 UHI,这表明在山区环境中存在巨大的阴影效应。在城市中心,人口密度对当地的 UHI 有积极但微弱的影响。在 0.5 至 1.0 的有效范围内,设施混合主要对设施丰富的副中心的 UHI 产生积极影响。作为一个功能因子,功能联系主要在度中心度大于 1 500 的城市核心产生正向影响,而在外围副中心则表现为负相关,这表明城市核心的功能分散产生了降温效应。这些发现有助于通过有针对性地采取措施优化多中心结构来缓解 UHI。
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引用次数: 0
May urban digital twins spur the New Urban Agenda? The Spanish case study 城市数字双胞胎能否推动新城市议程?西班牙案例研究
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105788

The New Urban Agenda was conceived as a global endeavor to transpose the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the 2030 Agenda into urban areas. Both initiatives were merged into the Spanish Urban Agenda (SUA), which includes 10 strategic and 30 specific goals, among which leading and promoting digital innovation toward the development of smart cities stand out. As Urban Digital Twins (UDTs) are a technology that arises to enhance smart cities, this research aims at assessing how they may contribute to the achievement of the SUA. A framework was accordingly built to associate UDTs with the SUA to then be applied to the Barcelona digital twin as case study. A combination of an in-depth literature review on UDTs and the Delphi technique was used as methodological approach. More than 70 % of the strategic and specific goals included in the SUA, as well as the four sustainability dimensions are represented in the new instrument. The case study reflected a limited contribution in pursuing the SUA. Nevertheless, the proposed framework offers potential lines of action to reinforce the role of the Barcelona digital twin towards the SUA.

新城市议程 "是将 2030 年议程的可持续发展目标(SDGs)移植到城市地区的一项全球努力。这两项倡议合并为《西班牙城市议程》(SUA),其中包括 10 项战略目标和 30 项具体目标,其中最突出的是引领和促进数字创新,发展智慧城市。由于城市数字双胞胎(UDTs)是一种为加强智慧城市而产生的技术,本研究旨在评估它们如何为实现 SUA 做出贡献。因此,我们建立了一个框架,将 UDT 与 SUA 联系起来,然后将其应用于巴塞罗那数字孪生作为案例研究。在研究方法上,采用了 UDT 深度文献综述和德尔菲技术相结合的方法。新工具体现了 SUA 中 70% 以上的战略目标和具体目标,以及四个可持续性维度。案例研究反映了在追求 SUA 方面的有限贡献。不过,建议的框架为加强巴塞罗那数字孪生机构在实现 SUA 方面的作用提供了潜在的行动路线。
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引用次数: 0
Planning for green infrastructure by integrating multi-driver: Ranking priority based on accessibility equity 通过整合多种驱动力来规划绿色基础设施:基于无障碍公平性的优先排序
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105767

Green infrastructure provides multifarious benefits, improving urban resilience and sustainability amid increasing climate change and urbanization. Traditional green infrastructure planning studies were based on the spatial-equity principle, which usually neglected residents’ aggregation pattern, leading to the conflict with equitable green exposure. Using the sponge city of Zhengzhou as a case, this study proposes a novel priority ranking strategy, namely accessibility equity. We first spatially quantified the regional socioecological conditions on 0.25 km2 grids as green infrastructure planning drivers, including stormwater management, urban thermal environment, air quality, habitat maintenance and water purification. Subsequently we integrated these planning drivers with population density to conduct spatial autocorrelation analysis, priority ranking, and grid clustering. While most planning drivers are positively correlated with population density, except air quality, some areas show opposite trends in terms of local perspective, suggesting that the spatial equity may lead to mismatch between residents’ demand and GI priority. The priority order based on accessibility equity, rises in the city center and falls in suburbs and industrial zones. The study area is divided into four categories using k-means clustering, and we propose the corresponding adaptive green infrastructure development strategy. The framework can be a practical tool for guiding green infrastructure and sponge city projects.

在气候变化和城市化进程日益加剧的情况下,绿色基础设施提供了多方面的益处,提高了城市的抗灾能力和可持续性。传统的绿色基础设施规划研究基于空间公平原则,通常忽视了居民的聚集模式,导致与公平的绿色暴露相冲突。本研究以海绵城市郑州为例,提出了一种新的优先排序策略,即可达性公平。我们首先在 0.25 平方公里的网格上对区域社会生态条件进行空间量化,将其作为绿色基础设施规划的驱动因素,包括雨水管理、城市热环境、空气质量、栖息地维护和水净化。随后,我们将这些规划驱动因素与人口密度相结合,进行了空间自相关分析、优先级排序和网格聚类。结果表明,除空气质量外,大部分规划驱动因素与人口密度呈正相关关系,但从地方视角来看,部分地区却呈现出相反的趋势,这表明空间公平性可能会导致居民需求与地理信息系统优先级之间的不匹配。基于可达性公平性的优先顺序在市中心上升,在郊区和工业区下降。利用 K 均值聚类法将研究区域划分为四类,并提出了相应的适应性绿色基础设施发展战略。该框架可作为指导绿色基础设施和海绵城市项目的实用工具。
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引用次数: 0
Rural heat island effect of centralized residences in China: Mitigation through localized measures 中国集中居住区的农村热岛效应:通过局部措施缓解
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105782

China has implemented a Centralized Rural Policy since 2004 to enhance energy efficiency. However, this has led to the potential creation of a Rural Heat Island (RHI) effect, which could diminish outdoor thermal comfort and increase building energy consumption during hot summers. While most studies on heat island effect focus on spatiotemporal variations and heat mitigation measures, there is limited research on rural areas, particularly the special layout of rural residences. Additionally, most studies only consider the outdoor environment, overlooking indoor thermal comfort and building energy consumption. Therefore, in order to investigate the RHI effect and assess the efficacy of localized heat mitigation measures, this study analyzed 22 types of courtyard layout patterns in a typical centralized village in northern China through detailed field measurements and performance simulations. The results show an obvious heat island effect in the rural centralized residences, where residential zones recorded average temperatures of 1.6 °C higher than those of rural boundaries. Courtyards featuring a south wing significantly alleviated outdoor thermal stress, reducing the discomfort time of extreme Physiological Equivalent Temperature (PET) by 1.5 h compared to those courtyards with a wall. Among the four localized heat mitigation measures examined, the featured black fabric shade performs best for its effectiveness in mitigating outdoor thermal stress, capable of reducing the courtyard's maximum Mean Radiant Temperature (Tmrt) by 21.5 °C and decreasing the duration of extreme PET by 2 h. Photovoltaic modules installed on the roof not only generate energy but also alleviate outdoor thermal stress, reducing the maximum Tmrt by 12.9 °C and lowering 23 % to 28 % daily energy demand, making them highly suitable for deployment in rural areas with high rates of energy poverty. The simulated results indicate that these localized heat mitigation measures mutually reinforce each other in reducing the RHI effect. The combination of four heat mitigation measures can reduce PET by up to 20 % and EUI by up to 44 % compared to the original courtyard. Incorporating these localized strategies into planning practice enables rural planners and policymakers to develop effective interventions against the RHI effect.

中国自 2004 年起开始实施农村集中供暖政策,以提高能源效率。然而,这也导致了潜在的农村热岛效应(RHI)的产生,在炎热的夏季会降低室外热舒适度,增加建筑能耗。热岛效应的大多数研究都集中在时空变化和热量减缓措施上,而对农村地区,尤其是农村住宅的特殊布局的研究却很有限。此外,大多数研究只考虑了室外环境,忽略了室内热舒适度和建筑能耗。因此,为了研究农村住宅热岛效应并评估局部热量减缓措施的效果,本研究通过详细的实地测量和性能模拟,分析了中国北方典型集中居住村的 22 种庭院布局模式。结果显示,农村集中居住区存在明显的热岛效应,居住区平均气温比农村边界高 1.6 ℃。带有南翼的庭院大大缓解了室外热压力,与带围墙的庭院相比,极端生理等效温度(PET)的不适时间缩短了 1.5 小时。在所研究的四种局部热缓解措施中,特色黑色织物遮阳板在缓解室外热压力方面的效果最佳,能够将庭院的最高平均辐射温度(Tmrt)降低 21.5 °C,并将极端等效生理温度(PET)的持续时间缩短 2 小时。安装在屋顶上的光伏组件不仅能产生能量,还能缓解室外热压力,将最高平均辐射温度(Tmrt)降低 12.9 °C,并将每日能源需求降低 23% 至 28%,因此非常适合在能源贫困率较高的农村地区使用。模拟结果表明,这些局部热量减缓措施在降低制冷和空调系统效应方面相互促进。与原始庭院相比,四种热量减缓措施的组合最多可将 PET 降低 20%,将 EUI 降低 44%。将这些局部策略纳入规划实践,可使农村规划者和政策制定者针对 RHI 效应制定有效的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying spatial interaction centrality in urban population mobility: A mobility feature- and network topology-based locational measure 量化城市人口流动中的空间互动中心性:基于流动特征和网络拓扑的定位衡量标准
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105769

Spatial interaction centrality reflects the relative importance of population mobility within a location in urban population mobility. Population mobility networks visually represent urban population mobility, with mobility features and network topology contributing to the quantification of spatial interaction centrality of locations (i.e., geographical nodes). However, existing centrality measures rarely consider mobility features and network topology simultaneously. Centrality quantification also ignores the differences in distance effects between long- and short-distance trips. These factors have led to the inaccurate quantification of centrality. We propose an algorithm called k-dis-weight-shell that quantifies the spatial interaction centrality of geographical nodes at different spatiotemporal scales. Considering the different effects of distance on long- and short-distance trips, we use a spatial continuous wavelet transformation to estimate the radiation radius of geographical nodes. Then, by combining network topology with mobility features (mobility distance and flow), the algorithm transforms them into a ranked order of spatial interaction centrality. Tested in Wuhan and Chengdu, our algorithm outperforms six existing benchmarks. For cases in urban planning and epidemic management, results show that k-dis-weight-shell effectively distinguishes similarities and differences between the distribution of population mobility's spatial interaction centrality and the urban center hierarchy at a coarse spatiotemporal scale. Additionally, it reveals a double wave phenomenon of spatiotemporal correlation between population mobility and COVID-19 transmission before and after lockdown at a fine spatiotemporal scale.

空间交互中心性反映了一个地点内人口流动在城市人口流动中的相对重要性。人口流动网络直观地反映了城市人口流动情况,流动特征和网络拓扑结构有助于量化地点(即地理节点)的空间交互中心性。然而,现有的中心度测量很少同时考虑流动特征和网络拓扑结构。中心度量化也忽略了长途和短途旅行之间距离效应的差异。这些因素导致了中心度量化的不准确。我们提出了一种名为 "k-dis-weight-shell "的算法,可以量化不同时空尺度下地理节点的空间交互中心性。考虑到距离对长途和短途旅行的不同影响,我们使用空间连续小波变换来估计地理节点的辐射半径。然后,通过将网络拓扑与流动性特征(流动距离和流量)相结合,该算法将它们转化为空间交互中心性的排序。通过在武汉和成都的测试,我们的算法优于现有的六个基准。在城市规划和疫情管理的案例中,结果表明,k-dis-weight-shell 能有效区分人口流动的空间交互中心性分布与粗时空尺度下城市中心层级之间的异同。此外,在精细时空尺度上,它还揭示了封锁前后人口流动与 COVID-19 传播之间的时空相关性双波现象。
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引用次数: 0
High-resolution regional climate–CFD integrated modelling to inform climate responsive design of northern buildings in a changing climate 高分辨率区域气候--流体动力学综合建模,为在不断变化的气候中设计北方建筑提供气候响应信息
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105773

In permafrost regions, where climate change poses significant challenges to infrastructure stability, understanding the thermal behaviour of buildings is crucial. This study conducts a detailed investigation into the thermal performance of elevated buildings in permafrost regions within the context of a changing climate. High-resolution regional climate simulation-informed computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models were developed for northern buildings. The findings indicate that the presence of elevated buildings can disrupt the permafrost’s natural thermal equilibrium in the future. This disturbance can extend vertically and horizontally, potentially leading to altered ground temperature gradients and increased air and ground temperatures by 4.25% and 3.85%, respectively. The research findings also highlight a 12.75% reduction in wind speed beneath the study building when transitioning from the local scale (i.e., single-building) to the neighbourhood scale (i.e. with surrounding buildings). These results underscore the critical significance of exploring the neighbourhood scale in building design and planning within permafrost regions, emphasizing the need for comprehensive assessment tools to inform effective strategies and decisions. The holistic approach adopted in this study, sets out a clear vision to guide northern adaptation initiatives that address some of the climate change issues in the buildings’ design by utilizing integrated climate system-built environment modelling.

在永久冻土地区,气候变化给基础设施的稳定性带来了巨大挑战,因此了解建筑物的热性能至关重要。本研究对永久冻土地区高架建筑物在气候变化背景下的热性能进行了详细调查。针对北方建筑开发了高分辨率区域气候模拟计算流体动力学(CFD)模型。研究结果表明,高架建筑物的存在会在未来破坏永久冻土的自然热平衡。这种扰动会向垂直和水平方向延伸,可能导致地面温度梯度改变,空气温度和地面温度分别升高 4.25% 和 3.85%。研究结果还强调,从局部尺度(即单栋建筑)过渡到邻近尺度(即周围建筑)时,研究建筑下方的风速降低了 12.75%。这些结果强调了在永久冻土地区的建筑设计和规划中探索邻里尺度的重要意义,同时强调了需要全面的评估工具来为有效的战略和决策提供信息。本研究采用的整体方法提出了明确的愿景,以指导北方的适应行动,通过利用综合气候系统-建筑环境建模,解决建筑设计中的一些气候变化问题。
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引用次数: 0
Generating sparse origin–destination flows on shared mobility networks using probabilistic graph neural networks 利用概率图神经网络在共享移动网络上生成稀疏的始发地-目的地流量
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105777

Shared mobility services, such as bike sharing, have gained immense popularity and emerged as an integral part of sustainable urban mobility solutions. The planning of such systems requires forecasting the potential origin–destination (OD) flows between mobility sites (e.g., bike sharing stations) within the proposed network. Existing methods primarily focus on mobility flows between large regions, and do not generalize well to detailed planning applications due to the high spatial resolution required, with increased uncertainty and data sparsity. This study proposes a zero-inflated negative binomial graph neural network (ZINB-GNN) to generate sparse OD flows while capturing complex spatial dependencies. To reflect sparsity, OD flows are modeled as following ZINB distributions parameterized via feed-forward networks. To capture spatial dependencies, localized graphs are constructed to represent proximity between OD pairs, with spatial features encoded using GNNs. ZINB-GNN is validated through a case study of the bike sharing system in New York City. The results verify its prowess in both prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification under real-world network expansion scenarios. We also demonstrate its interpretability by revealing important factors affecting OD flows. These findings can directly inform the planning of bike sharing systems, and the methodology may be adapted for other shared mobility systems.

共享交通服务(如共享单车)已广受欢迎,并已成为可持续城市交通解决方案不可或缺的一部分。此类系统的规划需要预测拟议网络中流动站点(如共享单车站点)之间潜在的起点-终点(OD)流量。现有方法主要关注大区域之间的流动,由于需要较高的空间分辨率,不确定性增加,数据稀少,因此不能很好地推广到详细的规划应用中。本研究提出了一种零膨胀负二叉图神经网络(ZINB-GNN),用于生成稀疏的 OD 流量,同时捕捉复杂的空间依赖关系。为反映稀疏性,OD 流量被建模为通过前馈网络参数化的 ZINB 分布。为了捕捉空间依赖性,构建了局部图来表示 OD 对之间的接近性,并使用 GNN 对空间特征进行编码。通过对纽约市共享单车系统的案例研究,ZINB-GNN 得到了验证。结果验证了其在真实世界网络扩展场景下的预测准确性和不确定性量化方面的优势。我们还通过揭示影响 OD 流量的重要因素,证明了其可解释性。这些发现可以直接为共享单车系统的规划提供参考,该方法也可适用于其他共享交通系统。
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引用次数: 0
Linkages among socio-economic status, green space accessibility, and health outcomes: An environmental justice perspective in Australia 社会经济地位、绿地可达性和健康结果之间的联系:澳大利亚的环境正义视角
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105784

Green space accessibility is a crucial environmental justice issue, which is influenced by socio-economic factors and may lead to disparate health outcomes among individuals. While numerous scholars have examined the association between green space accessibility and socio-economic status or health separately, research on the pathways linking these three dimensions remains relatively sparse. Using Statistical Area Level 1 (SA1) data from eight Australian capital cities, this study explores the pathways from socio-economic status to green space accessibility and subsequently to diverse health outcomes. The findings indicate the limited green space accessibility in some socio-economically disadvantaged neighborhoods, particularly among ethnic minorities and in larger cities. Additionally, a significant association is observed between increased green space accessibility and reduced chronic diseases in the national capital and major global cities. Regarding spatial proximity, the study suggests that green spaces do not need to be immediately adjacent to residential areas but can be planned within reasonable walking distances to confer significant health benefits. These findings can inform the development of equitable green space planning policies and contribute to improved human health.

绿地的可及性是一个至关重要的环境正义问题,它受到社会经济因素的影响,并可能导致个人之间不同的健康结果。虽然许多学者分别研究了绿地可达性与社会经济地位或健康之间的关系,但有关这三个方面之间联系的研究仍然相对较少。本研究利用澳大利亚八个首府城市的一级统计区(SA1)数据,探讨了从社会经济地位到绿地可达性,进而到不同健康结果的路径。研究结果表明,在一些社会经济条件较差的社区,尤其是少数民族和较大的城市,绿地的可及性有限。此外,在国家首都和全球主要城市中,绿地可及性的提高与慢性疾病的减少之间存在着重要联系。关于空间邻近性,研究表明,绿地并不需要紧邻住宅区,而是可以规划在合理的步行距离内,从而带来显著的健康益处。这些发现可为制定公平的绿地规划政策提供参考,并有助于改善人类健康。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the determinants of bike-sharing demand in the context of a medium-sized car-oriented city: The case study of Milton Keynes, UK 在以汽车为导向的中型城市中了解共享单车需求的决定因素:英国米尔顿凯恩斯案例研究
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105781

Emerging modes of shared mobility like bike-sharing may significantly contribute to increasing the share of sustainable travel in medium- and small-sized cities. However, research exploring the bike-sharing usage determinants specifically for them has been severely underrepresented in the literature. To address this gap, we conducted an analysis of bike-sharing rentals for over a one-year period in Milton Keynes, a medium-sized city of 288,000 residents. Being the largest of the planned settlements built under the UK government “New Towns” programme, Milton Keynes despite having the infrastructure to offer opportunities for modal shift has been repeatedly characterised as a car-centric city. The paper examines temporal variation by comparing the average number of bike rentals in different seasons and months. Analysis of peak rentals and travel directions suggests that throughout the year bikes are mainly used to travel to work. By contrast, recreational travel appears to happen mostly during the summer months. Regression analysis shows that the number of public transport stops, offices and schools are associated with a higher number of bike rentals, supporting the view that utilitarian travel is the main usage pattern. Our research also highlights the bike-sharing's potential to be adopted as a first/last-mile option that will complement and support public transit.

共享单车等新兴的共享交通模式可能会大大有助于提高中小城市的可持续出行比例。然而,专门针对共享单车使用决定因素的研究在文献中却严重不足。为了填补这一空白,我们对米尔顿凯恩斯这座拥有 28.8 万居民的中型城市一年多的共享单车租赁情况进行了分析。作为英国政府 "新城镇 "计划下最大的规划居住区,尽管米尔顿-凯恩斯拥有可提供交通方式转变机会的基础设施,但却一再被描述为一个以汽车为中心的城市。本文通过比较不同季节和月份的自行车平均租赁次数,研究了时间上的变化。对租赁高峰和出行方向的分析表明,全年自行车主要用于上班出行。相比之下,休闲旅行似乎主要发生在夏季。回归分析表明,公共交通站点、办公室和学校的数量与较高的自行车租赁数量相关,支持了功利性出行是主要使用模式的观点。我们的研究还强调了共享单车作为 "第一/最后一英里 "选择的潜力,它将补充和支持公共交通。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-responsive urban planning through generative models: Sensitivity analysis of urban planning and design parameters for urban heat island in Singapore's residential settlements 通过生成模型进行气候响应型城市规划:新加坡居住区城市热岛的城市规划和设计参数敏感性分析
IF 10.5 1区 工程技术 Q1 CONSTRUCTION & BUILDING TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105779

The Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect exacerbates the sustainability and well-being challenges of extreme heat events. While city planning and design measures have been shown to mitigate UHI severity, the complex interaction among these measures has limited the ability of previous research to assess their impact holistically and across urban scales. To investigate the cross-scalar effectiveness of multiple UHI mitigation measures, this study applies sensitivity analysis (SA) to nine parameters in an urban generative model. Previously unstudied planning parameters, land parcel area and road network density, are included in the analysis. From the SA of 21,000 model solutions for a 100 ha case study site in Singapore, building density, podium density, and land parcel area are found to have greatest impacts on UHI. This finding supports a hypothesis that urban planning parameters have a high potential for UHI mitigation. Key findings include that a high green plot ratio (>50 %) combined with a low site coverage ratio (<50 %) permits even high-density model solutions (gross plot ratio >4) to maintain annual UHI below 0.89 °C. The conclusion discusses the implications of the findings for heat-resilient city planning and demonstrates that performance-based evaluation of generative urban models can improve upon prescriptive planning approaches.

城市热岛效应(UHI)加剧了极端高温事件对可持续性和福祉的挑战。虽然城市规划和设计措施已被证明可减轻 UHI 的严重程度,但这些措施之间复杂的相互作用限制了以往研究对其影响进行整体评估和跨城市尺度评估的能力。为了研究多种 UHI 缓解措施的跨尺度效果,本研究对城市生成模型中的九个参数进行了敏感性分析(SA)。以前未研究过的规划参数--地块面积和路网密度--也被纳入了分析范围。通过对新加坡 100 公顷案例研究场地的 21,000 个模型解决方案进行敏感性分析,发现建筑密度、裙房密度和地块面积对 UHI 的影响最大。这一发现支持了城市规划参数在减缓 UHI 方面潜力巨大的假设。主要发现包括:高绿地率(50%)与低地块覆盖率(50%)相结合,即使是高密度模型方案(总地块率为 4)也能将年 UHI 值维持在 0.89 °C 以下。结论部分讨论了研究结果对抗热城市规划的影响,并证明基于性能的生成式城市模型评估可以改进指令性规划方法。
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