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Unlocking Real-Time Decision-Making in Warehouses: A machine learning-based forecasting and alerting system for cycle time prediction 解锁仓库中的实时决策:一个基于机器学习的周期时间预测和警报系统
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103933
Davide Aloini, Elisabetta Benevento, Riccardo Dulmin, Emanuele Guerrazzi, Valeria Mininno
In highly automated warehouses characterized by unpredictable demand, timely decision-making is critical to maintaining operational efficiency. This study proposes a forecasting and alerting system for real-time warehouse management. The system utilizes a Machine Learning (ML)-based predictive model to forecast picking order tardiness using Warehouse Management System data, complemented by a real-time alerting mechanism to support operators in in making informed short-term decisions. A case study conducted in a Shuttle-Based Storage and Retrieval Systems (SBS/RS) of a tire distribution company validates the system’s effectiveness. Particularly, several ML techniques were tested to find the best forecasting model, leveraging a set of predictors tailored to the characteristics of the warehouse. Simulation with real data demonstrates significant reductions of peak cycle times and in total cycle time.
在需求不可预测的高度自动化仓库中,及时决策对于维持运营效率至关重要。本研究提出一种用于实时仓库管理的预测预警系统。该系统利用基于机器学习(ML)的预测模型,利用仓库管理系统数据预测拣货订单的延迟,并辅以实时警报机制,以支持运营商做出明智的短期决策。在一家轮胎配送公司的基于航天飞机的存储和检索系统(SBS/RS)中进行的案例研究验证了该系统的有效性。特别地,我们测试了几种机器学习技术,以找到最佳的预测模型,利用一组针对仓库特征定制的预测器。用真实数据进行的仿真表明,峰值周期时间和总周期时间显著减少。
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引用次数: 0
Is it necessary for the supply chain to implement artificial intelligence-driven sales services at both the front-end and back-end stages? 供应链是否有必要在前端和后端阶段实施人工智能驱动的销售服务?
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103923
Yuyan Wang, Junhong Gao, T.C.E. Cheng, Mingzhou Jin, Xiaohang Yue, Huajie Wang
This paper explores the application of artificial intelligence (AI) in supply chain management, focusing on its impact on service models at both the front and back ends of the supply chain (SC). We employ a Stackelberg game model to construct an SC system consisting of a single manufacturer and a single retailer, aiming to assess the impact of AI on SC performance and explore strategic selection considerations within this framework. Our findings are as follows: (1) AI implementation generally leads to lower product pricing, but its effect on market demand follows a nonlinear pattern. In particular, when the manufacturer integrates AI, the simultaneous use of AI by the retailer will not change the wholesale price but will lead to a decrease in the retail price and market demand. (2) In situations where the back-end cost efficiency is sufficiently high, the optimal choice for both the manufacturer and retailer might be to refrain from adopting AI. Conversely, adopting AI is preferable when the back-end cost efficiency is sufficiently low. Furthermore, when the back-end cost efficiency is moderate, the manufacturer benefits from adopting AI, but the retailer’s profit suffers. (3) Regardless of whether the manufacturer adopts AI, the retailer’s most prudent option is not to implement AI.
本文探讨了人工智能(AI)在供应链管理中的应用,重点关注其对供应链(SC)前端和后端服务模式的影响。我们采用斯塔克尔伯格博弈模型构建了一个由单一制造商和单一零售商组成的供应链系统,旨在评估人工智能对供应链绩效的影响,并在此框架内探讨战略选择方面的考虑因素。我们的研究结果如下(1) 人工智能的实施通常会降低产品定价,但其对市场需求的影响呈现非线性模式。特别是,当制造商集成人工智能时,零售商同时使用人工智能不会改变批发价格,但会导致零售价格和市场需求下降。(2) 在后端成本效率足够高的情况下,制造商和零售商的最优选择可能是不采用人工智能。反之,当后端成本效率足够低时,最好采用人工智能。此外,当后端成本效率适中时,制造商会从采用人工智能中获益,但零售商的利润会受损。(3) 无论制造商是否采用人工智能,零售商最谨慎的选择是不采用人工智能。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing mixed traffic environments with shared and private autonomous vehicles: An equilibrium analysis of entrance permit and tradable credit strategies 优化有共享和私人自动驾驶车辆的混合交通环境:入口许可和可交易信用策略的均衡分析
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103897
Maryam Shaygan, Fatemeh Banani Ardecani, Mark Nejad
The importance of relieving central business district (CBD) congestion while fulfilling network user demand in the morning daily commute has prompted much attention to shared mobility. The deployment of ridesharing paired with autonomous vehicles is expected to bring about a paradigm shift in traffic network dynamics by eliminating the considerable reliance on solo-passenger vehicle usage. In this study, we propose and evaluate two strategies: (1) a CBD entrance permit and (2) temporal capacity allocation with tradable credit. To evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed strategies, we consider four travel modes, including Transit (T), Shared Autonomous Vehicle (SAV), Autonomous Vehicle (AV), and Conventional Vehicle (CV), and account for various factors, such as costs associated with walking, autonomous vehicle self-driving, ridesharing, travel time, and schedule delay. These strategies aim to encourage commuters to adopt sustainable transit or shared mobility options, taking into account different scenarios that consider the challenges and advantages of ridesharing alongside traditional transit systems. The findings indicate that implementing temporal capacity allocation for ridesharing with tradable credit is more advantageous compared to the CBD entrance permit, particularly when the disparity in the fixed additional cost of using SAVs and AVs is minimal. However, both strategies rely on accurately estimating the extra cost incurred by commuters when opting for ridesharing services. Besides, introducing tradable award schemes for ridesharing and transit can improve the efficiency of the system. This study highlights the importance of using new methods and strategies in regulating the travel behavior of commuters with the emergence of autonomous vehicles and shared mobility options to determine solutions for optimizing the system cost. The findings of this study provide valuable insights for transportation planners and policymakers to develop effective strategies for reducing traffic congestion in CBDs.
在缓解中央商务区(CBD)拥堵的同时满足网络用户早晨通勤需求的重要性引起了人们对共享出行的关注。拼车与自动驾驶汽车的结合,有望消除对单人乘用车使用的严重依赖,从而带来交通网络动态的范式转变。在本研究中,我们提出并评估了两种策略:(1)CBD进入许可和(2)可交易信用的时间容量分配。为了评估所提出策略的有效性,我们考虑了四种出行模式,包括公交(T)、共享自动驾驶汽车(SAV)、自动驾驶汽车(AV)和传统汽车(CV),并考虑了各种因素,如步行、自动驾驶汽车自动驾驶、拼车、出行时间和计划延误等相关成本。这些策略旨在鼓励通勤者采用可持续交通或共享交通选择,同时考虑到与传统交通系统一起考虑拼车的挑战和优势的不同情况。研究结果表明,与CBD入口许可证相比,实施可交易信用的临时容量分配更有利,特别是当使用sav和AVs的固定额外成本差异最小时。然而,这两种策略都依赖于准确估计通勤者在选择拼车服务时所产生的额外成本。此外,引入可交易的拼车和公交奖励计划可以提高系统的效率。这项研究强调了随着自动驾驶汽车和共享出行选择的出现,使用新方法和策略来调节通勤者的出行行为,以确定优化系统成本的解决方案的重要性。本研究的发现为交通规划者和决策者制定有效的策略来减少cbd的交通拥堵提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
A delay-resistant cloud supported control model for Optimizing vehicle platooning operation 用于优化车辆排队运行的抗延迟云支持控制模型
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103928
Ying Liu, Qing Xu, Guangwei Wang, Yi Liu, Mengchi Cai, Chaoyi Chen, Jianqiang Wang, Guodong Yin
The cloud supported system can effectively optimize vehicle platooning operation due to its centralized control mode in the cloud, but due to its wireless transmission characteristics and the complexity of the mixed traffic environment, the controlled traffic units will inevitably suffer from time delays and outside disturbances, which can lead to serious safety issues. To address the problem of platooning stable operation under stochastic road slope and bi-directional time-varying delay, a novel delay-resistant cloud supported control model is proposed in this paper. First, the mixed vehicle platoon system under the vehicle–road-cloud integrated architecture is established, considering the influence of driving intentions’ uncertainty of human-driven vehicles (HDVs), random variations of road slope, and bi-direction time-varying delay. Second, an exponential mean-square stable delay-dependent controller is designed to stabilize the cloud supported platoon system subject on the basis of robust H approach and Lyapunov-Krasovskii theorem. In addition, the inner-vehicle stability of time-delay mixed platoon system is analyzed using the enhanced free weighting matrix (EFWM) approach along with the improved cone complementarity linearization (ICCL) algorithm. Third, a L2 string stability criterion is defined to inhibit the increasement of perturbances as they propagate along the platoon. Finally, real traffic data as well as different driving conditions are adopted to verify the control performance of the presented method. Compared to traditional vehicle platoon control method, the presented controller can achieve better disturbance suppression and tracking performance under stochastic interferences and bi-direction time-varying delay, the distance error between adjacent vehicles is less than 0.44 m at low and medium speeds.
云支持系统由于采用云端集中控制模式,可以有效优化车辆的排队运行,但由于其无线传输特性和混合交通环境的复杂性,被控交通单元不可避免地会受到时间延迟和外界干扰的影响,从而导致严重的安全问题。针对随机道路坡度和双向时变延迟下的排车稳定运行问题,本文提出了一种新型的抗延迟云支持控制模型。首先,考虑了人驱车(HDV)驾驶意图不确定性、道路坡度随机变化和双向时变延迟的影响,建立了车路云一体化架构下的混合车排系统。其次,在鲁棒 H∞ 方法和 Lyapunov-Krasovskii 定理的基础上,设计了指数均方稳定延迟相关控制器,以稳定云支持的排车系统。此外,利用增强自由加权矩阵(EFWM)方法和改进的锥体互补线性化(ICCL)算法分析了时延混合排布系统的内部稳定性。第三,定义了 L2 字符串稳定性准则,以抑制扰动沿排传播时的增加。最后,采用真实交通数据和不同驾驶条件来验证所提出方法的控制性能。与传统的车辆排布控制方法相比,本文提出的控制器能在随机干扰和双向时变延迟条件下实现更好的扰动抑制和跟踪性能,中低速时相邻车辆间的距离误差小于 0.44 m。
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引用次数: 0
Online configuration of reservable parking spaces: An agent-based deep reinforcement learning approach 在线配置可预订停车位:一种基于智能体的深度强化学习方法
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103887
Minghui Xie, Siyu Lin, Sen Wei, Xinying Zhang, Yao Wang, Yuanqing Wang
Unevenly distributed parking demand frequently leads to the overconsumption of popular parking lots, resulting in increased regional travel costs and traffic congestion. Configuring reservable parking spaces in parking lots based on online reservation systems is a prevalent solution to alleviate these issues. However, existing static configuration methods are inadequate for addressing time-varying parking demand, presenting significant challenges in determining the optimal number of reservable parking spaces across different parking lots over time. Thus, to address these challenges and reduce the total travel time in popular reservation-enabled management areas, this paper proposes a dynamic configuration model for reservable parking spaces utilizing agent-based deep reinforcement learning. The model can dynamically schedule the ratio of reservable parking spaces in an environment where reserved users and non-reserved users coexist, thereby influencing parking users’ choice behavior and balancing demand distribution. Experimental results on a real-world simulator show that, compared to baseline methods, the proposed model can effectively configure reservable parking spaces online. It conservatively reduces the total travel time by 21.4% and alleviates parking cruising and waiting in the management area. This approach is prospective for smart parking management.
停车需求的不均匀分布往往会导致热门停车场的过度使用,从而导致区域出行成本的增加和交通拥堵。基于在线预约系统在停车场配置可预约车位是缓解这些问题的普遍解决方案。然而,现有的静态配置方法不足以解决随时间变化的停车需求,在确定不同停车场随时间变化的最佳可保留停车位数量方面存在重大挑战。因此,为了解决这些挑战并减少受欢迎的启用预订管理区域的总旅行时间,本文提出了一种利用基于智能体的深度强化学习的可预订停车位动态配置模型。该模型可以动态调度预留用户和非预留用户共存环境下的可预留车位比例,从而影响停车用户的选择行为,平衡需求分配。仿真结果表明,与基线方法相比,该模型能有效地在线配置可预留车位。它保守地减少了21.4%的总出行时间,并减轻了管理区域的停车巡航和等待。这种方法在智能停车管理中是有前景的。
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引用次数: 0
The hub location problem with comparisons of compact formulations: A note 枢纽位置问题与紧化公式的比较:注释
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103902
Fran Setiawan, Tolga Bektaş, Çağatay Iris
Hub location is a planning problem that involves choosing, from a set of nodes, a subset to designate as hub facilities, linking the hubs to the remaining nodes using a hub-and-spoke structure, and routing of flows on the resulting network. This paper presents theoretical and computational comparisons of the fundamental compact formulations of the p-hub location problem (p-HLP) for three allocation strategies, namely single, multiple and r-allocation. Our theoretical results show that path-based formulations offer the strongest linear programming relaxation. The computational experiments, run on three prominent datasets using a state-of-the-art commercial solver indicate that, flow-based formulations generally solve the largest number of instances to optimality and require the shortest solution time, especially for large-scale instances.
集线器位置是一个规划问题,涉及从一组节点中选择一个子集来指定为集线器设施,使用轮辐结构将集线器连接到剩余的节点,以及在最终网络上路由流。本文对p-轮毂定位问题(p-HLP)的三种分配策略(单分配、多分配和多分配)的基本紧凑公式进行了理论和计算比较。我们的理论结果表明,基于路径的公式提供了最强的线性规划松弛。使用最先进的商业求解器在三个突出的数据集上运行的计算实验表明,基于流的公式通常可以解决最多数量的最优实例,并且需要最短的解决时间,特别是对于大规模实例。
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引用次数: 0
Operational synchromodal transport planning methodologies: Review and roadmap 业务同步交通规划方法:审查和路线图
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103915
Yimeng Zhang, Xiangrong Tan, Mi Gan, Xiaobo Liu, Bilge Atasoy
This review aims to explore the potential for synchromodal transport planning at the operational level. Synchromodal transport planning involves the optimization of the movement of freights across multiple transport modes, with the objective of minimizing cost, improving efficiency, and promoting sustainability. Through this review, we provide a roadmap for methodological developments in the area of operational synchromodal transport planning research. The roadmap provides a comprehensive categorization of different fields and their trends. The fundamentals of synchromodal transport planning are evolved to more flexible planning approaches that take practical considerations and multiple objectives into account. Dynamic planning is evolving to become more adaptive and resilient to changing environments. Finally, collaborative planning will continue to integrate both vertical and horizontal collaboration with distributed optimization approaches. With dynamic and collaborative approaches considering preferences, the full potential of synchromodal transport planning can be unlocked towards efficient and sustainable freight transportation.
本次审查的目的是探讨在业务层面上进行同步运输规划的潜力。联运规划涉及到多种运输方式之间货物运输的优化,其目标是降低成本,提高效率,促进可持续性。通过这一综述,我们提供了一个路线图的方法发展在运营的同步运输规划研究领域。路线图提供了不同领域及其趋势的全面分类。同步运输规划的基本原理已演变为更灵活的规划方法,考虑到实际因素和多个目标。动态规划正在不断发展,以适应和适应不断变化的环境。最后,协同规划将继续将纵向和横向协作与分布式优化方法结合起来。通过考虑偏好的动态和协作方法,可以释放同步运输规划的全部潜力,以实现高效和可持续的货运。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-objective reinforcement learning-based velocity optimization approach for electric trucks considering battery degradation mitigation 基于强化学习的电动卡车多目标速度优化方法,考虑到电池退化缓解问题
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103885
Ruo Jia, Kun Gao, Shaohua Cui, Jing Chen, Jelena Andric
Electrification of commercial vehicles for more sustainable logistic systems has been promoted in the past decades. This study proposes a deep reinforcement learning method for velocity optimization and battery degradation minimization during operation for battery-powered electric trucks (BETs), aiming to achieve a safe, efficient, and comfortable driving control policy for BETs. To obtain an optimal solution considering both calendar and cyclic battery degradation, Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient and Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) approaches are integrated within a simulation environment. To optimize overall BET velocity performance, a trade-off among safety, efficiency, comfort, and battery degradation is incorporated into the reward function of reinforcement learning using Mixture of Experts (MoE) model. The results indicate that the proposed TD3-MoE model achieves safe, efficient, and comfortable car-following control while optimizing total battery degradation. Specifically, the model achieves reductions in total battery capacity loss ranging from 2.4% to 8.3% at different states of charge (SoC) of battery compared to human-driven scenarios. Moreover, despite calendar battery degradation being inevitable, the cyclic battery degradation is effectively mitigated by 27.7% to 29.6% compared to the same SoCs in human-driving data. Furthermore, the TD3-MoE model achieves significant energy consumption reductions, ranging from 35.3% to 39.8% compared to real car-following trajectories.
在过去的几十年里,商用车的电气化一直在推动更可持续的物流系统。本研究提出了一种基于深度强化学习的电动卡车运行速度优化和电池退化最小化方法,旨在实现电动卡车安全、高效、舒适的驾驶控制策略。为了获得考虑日历和循环电池退化的最优解,在仿真环境中集成了深度确定性策略梯度和双延迟深度确定性策略梯度(TD3)方法。为了优化整体BET速度性能,使用混合专家(MoE)模型将安全性、效率、舒适性和电池退化之间的权衡纳入强化学习的奖励函数中。结果表明,TD3-MoE模型在优化电池总退化的同时,实现了安全、高效、舒适的跟车控制。具体而言,与人为驱动的场景相比,该模型在电池不同充电状态(SoC)下实现了电池总容量损失减少2.4%至8.3%。此外,尽管日历电池退化是不可避免的,但与人类驾驶数据中相同的soc相比,循环电池退化有效缓解了27.7%至29.6%。此外,与实际车辆跟随轨迹相比,TD3-MoE模型实现了显著的能耗降低,降幅为35.3%至39.8%。
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引用次数: 0
The billion-pound question in fashion E-commerce: Investigating the anatomy of returns 时尚电子商务中的十亿英镑问题:调查退货解剖学
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103904
Joshua Marriott, Tolga Bektaş, Erik Ka Ho Leung, Andrew Lyons
This study explores a critically under-researched aspect of Supply Chain Management (SCM), e-commerce returns in the fashion sector. By combining a comprehensive literature review with empirical data from the UK’s second-largest pure-play fashion retailer, the research offers new insights into the scale and drivers of fashion e-commerce returns. Using a mixed-methods approach, the study uncovers detailed patterns in returned items and the reasons behind consumer return behaviours, revealing the operational complexities these returns impose on reverse logistics processes. In 2022 alone, fashion returns cost the UK industry an estimated £7 billion, while contributing to 750,000 tonnes of CO2 emissions from discarded apparel. A novel framework is proposed to address the challenges associated with high-volume returns, providing practical strategies for improving returns management efficiency. The findings contribute significantly to the SCM field by offering empirical evidence on the specifics of fashion returns, an area previously lacking robust data. This paper not only fills this gap but also provides actionable insights for both academic research and industry practice. By focusing on the management of returns within fashion e-commerce, the study contributes to the development of more sustainable and efficient supply chain strategies, advancing current knowledge within SCM research.
本研究探讨了供应链管理(SCM)的一个重要研究不足的方面,即时尚行业的电子商务回报。通过综合文献综述和英国第二大纯时尚零售商的实证数据,该研究为时尚电商回报的规模和驱动因素提供了新的见解。使用混合方法,该研究揭示了退货物品的详细模式和消费者退货行为背后的原因,揭示了这些退货对逆向物流过程施加的操作复杂性。仅在2022年,时尚退货就给英国产业造成了约70亿英镑的损失,同时丢弃的服装排放了75万吨二氧化碳。提出了一种新的框架来解决与大批量退货相关的挑战,为提高退货管理效率提供了实用的策略。这些发现为供应链管理领域做出了重大贡献,为时尚退货的具体情况提供了经验证据,而这一领域此前缺乏可靠的数据。本文不仅填补了这一空白,而且为学术研究和行业实践提供了可操作的见解。通过关注时尚电子商务中的退货管理,该研究有助于开发更可持续和高效的供应链战略,推进供应链管理研究中的当前知识。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneous vessel fleet co-management for liner alliances under profit-sharing agreement and weekly-dependent demand 基于利润共享协议和周依赖需求的班轮联盟异构船队共同管理
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103880
Yadong Wang, Huming Zhang, Tingsong Wang, Jinping Liu
As the oversupply of shipping capacity and the competition within the shipping industry intensifies, liner alliances have emerged as the prevailing mode of cooperation. The members in a liner alliance often have different shipping resources, indicating that they have to coordinate the shipping resources with each other, in order to achieve smooth cooperation. During the coordination, the fairness of members cannot be ignored as it forms the foundation of cooperation stability. Meanwhile, the vessel fleet is often heterogeneous in practice, not homogeneous assumed in most of existing studies. Therefore, this research explores the joint optimization problem of heterogeneous vessel fleet co-management (including fleet co-deployment, vessel co-scheduling, vessel co-sequencing, slot co-chartering and slot co-allocation), taking into account profit-sharing agreement and weekly-dependent demand. In response to this problem, a mixed-integer nonlinear program is first formulated with the goal of maximizing the overall profit reached by the alliance. We then linearize this nonlinear program, and subsequently develop a solution method to identify the optimal solution for the linearized model. Various numerical tests are performed to examine the validity of the proposed model. Furthermore, several managerial insights that support the operation of liner alliance are delivered.
随着运力供过于求和航运业内部竞争的加剧,班轮联盟已成为主流的合作模式。班轮联盟的成员往往拥有不同的航运资源,这就意味着他们必须相互协调航运资源,才能实现顺利的合作。在协调过程中,成员的公平是合作稳定的基础,不容忽视。与此同时,船队在实践中往往是异质的,而现有的研究大多不认为船队是均匀的。因此,本研究在考虑利润共享协议和周依赖需求的情况下,探讨了异构船队共管理(包括船队共部署、船舶共调度、船舶共排序、舱位共租和舱位共分配)的联合优化问题。针对这一问题,首先以联盟整体利润最大化为目标,制定了一个混合整数非线性规划。然后,我们将该非线性程序线性化,并随后开发一种求解方法来识别线性化模型的最优解。进行了各种数值试验来检验所提出模型的有效性。此外,本文还提出了一些支持班轮联盟运作的管理见解。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation Research Part E-Logistics and Transportation Review
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