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Two-stage optimization approach for dynamic routing and charging scheduling in electrified-autonomous flexible transit 电动自主柔性交通动态路径与充电调度的两阶段优化方法
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104600
Haoran Jiang , Shaozhi Hong , Kenan Zhang , Jian Yuan , Qing Yu
Electrified-Autonomous Flexible Transit (E-AFT) represents a promising paradigm for on-demand mobility, necessitating the integration of routing and energy management to ensure viable operations. This study develops a two-stage optimization model for dynamic vehicle routing and charging scheduling, formulated as a Mixed-Integer Nonlinear Programming (MINLP) framework designed to maximize overall system profit. In the first stage, an Adaptive Large Neighborhood Search (ALNS) algorithm determines routes to maximize operation profit, with energy consumption and time constraints explicitly linking to the second stage Variable Neighborhood Search (VNS) which optimizes charging schedules to minimize total charging costs. This sequential ALNS-VNS procedure is embedded within a Rolling Horizon Control (RHC) strategy, effectively tackling the computational challenges of large-scale, real-time demand through iterative subproblem resolution. Validation using real-world urban network case studies demonstrates the model’s effectiveness: the ALNS-VNS approach achieves near-optimal solutions with superior computational efficiency, and the RHC framework reveals the significant impact of horizon interval and battery capacity on service reliability and economic feasibility, offering valuable insights for E-AFT system design.
电动自主灵活交通(E-AFT)代表了一种有前途的按需移动模式,需要整合路线和能源管理以确保可行的运营。本研究建立了一个两阶段的动态车辆路线和充电计划优化模型,该模型被表述为一个混合整数非线性规划(MINLP)框架,旨在最大化整个系统的利润。在第一阶段,自适应大邻域搜索(ALNS)算法确定路线以实现运营利润最大化,将能耗和时间约束明确链接到第二阶段的可变邻域搜索(VNS)算法,该算法优化充电计划以最小化总充电成本。该顺序ALNS-VNS程序嵌入滚动地平线控制(RHC)策略中,通过迭代子问题解决有效地解决大规模实时需求的计算挑战。通过实际城市网络案例研究验证了该模型的有效性:ALNS-VNS方法以优越的计算效率获得了接近最优的解决方案,RHC框架揭示了地平线间隔和电池容量对服务可靠性和经济可行性的重大影响,为E-AFT系统设计提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
A survey of multi-modal urban transportation network resilience: modeling, evaluation, and optimization 多式联运城市交通网络弹性研究:建模、评价与优化
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104634
Biao Chen , Songhua Hu , Xiangdong Xu , Guangchao Wang , Der-Horng Lee , Zhengbing He
The multi-modal urban transportation network serves as a cornerstone in fostering urban economic vitality and facilitating daily human travel. However, its vulnerability to emergencies, including natural disasters, infrastructure breakdowns, and terrorist attacks, will cause severe disruptions, resulting in profound societal and economic losses. A resilient urban transportation system thus becomes critical for maintaining city-wide and societal stability. This paper initiates a thorough investigation within the framework of “network modeling − resilience evaluation − resilience optimization”, with particular attention to emerging modes such as shared mobility and urban air mobility. This review is structured around three dimensions: 1) Transportation network modeling, which provides a comprehensive survey of methods for mono-modal and multi-modal urban transportation network in constructing network models and analyzing network topological properties through the lens of the complex network theory; 2) Network resilience and evaluation, which summarizes the definitions and evaluation methods of transportation network resilience, with particular emphasis on the unique aspects and evaluation complexities specific to multi-modal networks; 3) Resilience optimization, which synthesizes strategies for resilience optimization considering network structure, facility maintenance, and system operation. It underscores the benefits of cooperative operation within multi-modal transportation systems on resilience optimization. In each section, the paper provides a comparative analysis of mono-modal versus multi-modal transportation networks across these three dimensions and critiques the advantages and disadvantages of existing approaches. The challenges inherent in current research and potential future research directions are also identified to strengthen the resilience of multi-modal urban transportation networks against a backdrop of increasing urban challenges.
多式联运城市交通网络是培育城市经济活力和便利人们日常出行的基石。然而,它在面对自然灾害、基础设施故障和恐怖袭击等紧急情况时的脆弱性,将造成严重的破坏,造成深刻的社会和经济损失。因此,一个有弹性的城市交通系统对于维持整个城市和社会的稳定至关重要。本文在“网络建模-弹性评估-弹性优化”的框架下展开了深入的研究,特别关注共享交通和城市空中交通等新兴模式。本文主要围绕三个方面展开:1)交通网络建模,从复杂网络理论的角度,全面综述了单式和多式城市交通网络的网络模型构建方法和网络拓扑特性分析方法;2)网络弹性与评价,总结了交通网络弹性的定义和评价方法,特别强调了多式联运网络的独特方面和评价复杂性;3)弹性优化,综合考虑网络结构、设施维护和系统运行的弹性优化策略。它强调了多式联运系统中合作运营对弹性优化的好处。在每一部分中,本文在这三个维度上对单式联运与多式联运网络进行了比较分析,并对现有方法的优缺点进行了批评。本文还确定了当前研究中固有的挑战和潜在的未来研究方向,以加强多式联运城市交通网络在日益增加的城市挑战背景下的弹性。
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引用次数: 0
How does virtual reality adoption affect firm risk? The role of external market environments 采用虚拟现实如何影响企业风险?外部市场环境的作用
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104604
Yangchun Xiong , Geng Wang , Chunyu Xiu , Xinyue Wang , Hugo K.S. Lam , Rachel W.Y. Yee
It is unclear whether adopting virtual reality technologies in a firm’s manufacturing processes is a risky decision or serves to reduce risk. Our study answers this question by combining the Mahalanobis distance matching with the difference-in-differences (DID) analysis to quantify the effect of virtual reality-enabled manufacturing practices (VRMPs) on firm risk. We also consider how external market environments, in terms of market competition, dynamism, and munificence, influence the relationship between VRMPs and firm risk. Our DID analysis, based on 74 treatment firms that adopted VRMPs and 72 matched control firms without such adoption, suggests that VRMP adoption helps reduce firm risk. Moreover, the risk-reduction effect is more significant for firms operating in highly competitive and dynamic markets, but less so in the contexts of high market munificence. These results demonstrate VRMPs’ potential to reduce firm risk and highlight the important role of external market environments in shaping this relationship.
目前还不清楚在企业的制造过程中采用虚拟现实技术是一个有风险的决定,还是有助于降低风险。我们的研究通过结合马氏距离匹配和差异中的差异(DID)分析来量化虚拟现实制造实践(VRMPs)对企业风险的影响,从而回答了这个问题。我们还考虑了外部市场环境,如市场竞争、活力和慷慨程度,如何影响VRMPs和企业风险之间的关系。我们的DID分析,基于74家采用VRMP的治疗公司和72家没有采用VRMP的匹配对照公司,表明VRMP的采用有助于降低公司风险。此外,风险降低效应对于在高度竞争和动态市场中运营的公司更为显著,但在高度市场慷慨的背景下则不那么显著。这些结果表明,VRMPs具有降低企业风险的潜力,并突出了外部市场环境在形成这种关系中的重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
LLM4STP: A large language model-driven multi-feature fusion method for ship trajectory prediction LLM4STP:一种基于大语言模型驱动的船舶轨迹预测多特征融合方法
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104599
Hang Jiao , Jincheng Gong , Huanhuan Li , Jasmine Siu Lee Lam , Yaqing Shu , Jin Wang , Zaili Yang
Ship trajectory prediction (STP) is a critical research focus for enhancing maritime traffic situational awareness and supporting navigational decision-making in intelligent transportation systems. The accuracy and robustness of prediction models significantly affect maritime safety and shipping efficiency. Despite advances driven by Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and deep learning techniques, key challenges remain unresolved, including dynamic multi-ship interaction modelling in complex marine environments, multi-scale temporal dependency reasoning, trajectory uncertainty quantification, and effective integration of maritime domain knowledge. Existing methods based on Large Language Models (LLMs) improve generalisation through pre-trained knowledge but fall short in real-time interaction topology modelling, geospatial semantic representation, and uncertainty estimation. To address these limitations, this paper proposes LLM4STP, a novel LLM-driven multi-feature fusion method for STP. LLM4STP establishes a new paradigm by deeply integrating LLMs with maritime domain knowledge to collaboratively predict ship trajectories. The model features an adaptive graph-masked Transformer to dynamically capture ship interaction topologies, hierarchical temporal reasoning to jointly model local manoeuvring behaviours and macroscopic navigational intent, and an innovative fusion of Gaussian probability distribution heatmaps with GeoHash-based geospatial encoding to quantify trajectory uncertainty while preserving semantic continuity. Experiments on three representative water areas demonstrate that LLM4STP consistently outperforms nine state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods, as validated by key metrics including Average Displacement Error (ADE), Fréchet Distance (FD), and Final Displacement Error (FDE). Moreover, the few-shot learning experiments demonstrate that LLM4STP can match the performance of models trained on the full dataset using only 20 % of the training data, highlighting its efficiency and strong adaptability in data-scarce environments. The ablation studies empirically validate the significance and distinct contribution of each component within the proposed model architecture. This study integrates LLM into maritime traffic scenarios, making significant contributions to enhancing the robustness, accuracy, and interpretability of STP in high-interference environments. The source code is openly accessible at https://github.com/Joker-hang/LLM4STP.
船舶轨迹预测是智能交通系统中增强海上交通态势感知和支持导航决策的重要研究方向。预测模型的准确性和鲁棒性对海上安全和航运效率有重要影响。尽管在自动识别系统(AIS)数据和深度学习技术的推动下取得了进步,但关键挑战仍未解决,包括复杂海洋环境中动态多船交互建模、多尺度时间依赖推理、轨迹不确定性量化以及海事领域知识的有效整合。现有的基于大型语言模型(llm)的方法通过预先训练的知识提高了泛化能力,但在实时交互拓扑建模、地理空间语义表示和不确定性估计方面存在不足。为了解决这些局限性,本文提出了LLM4STP,一种新的llm驱动的STP多特征融合方法。LLM4STP通过深度集成llm与海事领域知识来协同预测船舶轨迹,建立了一个新的范例。该模型采用自适应图掩码转换器动态捕获船舶交互拓扑,分层时间推理联合建模局部机动行为和宏观航行意图,创新融合高斯概率分布热图和基于geohash的地理空间编码,在保持语义连续性的同时量化轨迹不确定性。在三个代表性水域进行的实验表明,LLM4STP始终优于9种最先进的(SOTA)方法,并通过包括平均位移误差(ADE)、Fré偏移距离(FD)和最终位移误差(FDE)等关键指标进行了验证。此外,少镜头学习实验表明,LLM4STP仅使用20%的训练数据就可以达到在完整数据集上训练的模型的性能,突出了其在数据稀缺环境下的效率和强适应性。消融研究经验验证了所提出的模型体系结构中每个组件的重要性和独特贡献。本研究将LLM整合到海上交通场景中,为提高STP在高干扰环境下的鲁棒性、准确性和可解释性做出了重要贡献。源代码可以在https://github.com/Joker-hang/LLM4STP上公开访问。
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引用次数: 0
For better or worse? The impacts of autonomous vehicles on competitive ride-hailing platforms 是好是坏?自动驾驶汽车对竞争激烈的叫车平台的影响
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104631
Yu Xia , Bolin Wang , Yunlong Yang
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have the potential to reshape the ride-hailing industry by lowering operating costs. While many platforms view AV introduction as a key strategic move, its profitability implications remain uncertain. This study develops a stylized game-theoretic model of two competing ride-hailing platforms to examine the strategic role of AV introduction. The model incorporates key market factors, including consumer-side and driver-side competition as well as the balance between supply and demand. Our analysis shows that the effects of AV introduction on platforms are determined by the trade-off between two concurrent effects: a vehicle supply effect, which alleviates competition in the driver market; a consumer competition effect, which intensifies competition in the consumer market. When only one platform introduces AVs, the competitor is not necessarily worse off if driver-market competition is fierce. When both platforms introduce AVs, profits may rise under intense driver competition but decline under strong consumer competition. Moreover, the strategic interaction in platforms’ choices regarding AV introduction may lead to a prisoner’s dilemma in which both platforms introduce AVs but end up worse off than in the absence of adoption. Finally, we highlight the first-mover advantage, showing that delayed AV introduction after a competitor can reduce profitability.
自动驾驶汽车(av)有可能通过降低运营成本来重塑叫车行业。虽然许多平台将引入自动驾驶汽车视为关键的战略举措,但其盈利能力仍不确定。本研究建立了两个竞争网约车平台的程式化博弈论模型,以检验自动驾驶引入的战略作用。该模型结合了关键的市场因素,包括消费者侧和司机侧的竞争以及供需平衡。我们的分析表明,平台引入自动驾驶汽车的影响是由两个并行效应之间的权衡决定的:车辆供应效应,缓解了驾驶员市场的竞争;消费者竞争效应,这加剧了消费市场的竞争。当只有一个平台推出自动驾驶汽车时,如果司机市场竞争激烈,竞争对手并不一定会更糟糕。当两个平台都推出自动驾驶汽车时,在司机竞争激烈的情况下,利润可能会上升,而在消费者竞争激烈的情况下,利润可能会下降。此外,平台在引入自动驾驶汽车的选择上的战略互动可能会导致囚徒困境,即两个平台都引入了自动驾驶汽车,但最终的结果比不采用更糟糕。最后,我们强调了先发优势,表明在竞争对手之后延迟引入自动驾驶汽车会降低盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Classification of the freight trip purpose of heavy trucks using trajectory data and waybill data”. [Trans. Res. Part E: Logist. Trans. Rev. 206 (2026) 104584] “使用轨迹数据和运单数据对重型卡车货运目的进行分类”的勘误。(反式。答:E部分:医生。反式。Rev. 206 (2026) 104584]
IF 10.6 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104605
Zhiwei Yin, Bin Jia, Xiao-Yong Yan, Yitao Yang, Hao Ji, Ziyou Gao
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引用次数: 0
A two-stage adaptive robust optimization model for the location-routing problem with drone delivery and uncertainty in humanitarian relief 具有无人机配送和不确定性的人道主义救援定位路径问题的两阶段自适应鲁棒优化模型
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104601
Yongjian Yang , Chenglong Li , Dujuan Wang , Yunqiang Yin , T.C.E. Cheng
The facility location problem and routing problem, two critical components of humanitarian operations management, are integrated into the location-routing problem. Given that disasters are characterized by an exceptionally high degree of uncertainty, this study focuses on addressing supply-side uncertainties, such as the disruption probability of relief facilities, and receiver-side uncertainties, including demand fluctuations in affected areas and deadlines for receiving relief supplies. To develop a reliable location scheme that mitigates potential disruptions, a two-stage adaptive robust optimization formulation is constructed. It requires determining location, allocation, and routing plans across a set of disaster scenarios. A hybrid exact algorithm incorporating column-and-constraint generation, integer Benders decomposition, and branch-and-price algorithms is developed, along with advanced acceleration strategies to improve the solution process. Comprehensive numerical studies using randomly generated datasets evaluate the algorithm’s performance, demonstrating its superiority over both the CPLEX solver and an algorithm without column-and-constraint generation. Additionally, the study examines the influence of key model parameters on the solution structure and performance metrics. Furthermore, a real-world case study in Ya’an City, Sichuan Province, validates the model’s applicability, showing that it outperforms conventional deterministic and stochastic optimization models.
设施选址问题和路线问题,人道主义行动管理的两个关键组成部分,被纳入地点路线问题。鉴于灾害具有高度不确定性的特点,本研究侧重于解决供应方的不确定性,如救济设施被破坏的可能性,以及受援方的不确定性,包括受灾地区的需求波动和接收救济物资的最后期限。为了制定一个可靠的定位方案,以减轻潜在的干扰,构建了一个两阶段自适应鲁棒优化公式。它需要在一组灾难场景中确定位置、分配和路由计划。提出了一种结合列约束生成、整数Benders分解和分支价格算法的混合精确算法,并采用先进的加速策略来改进求解过程。使用随机生成数据集的综合数值研究评估了该算法的性能,证明了其优于CPLEX求解器和不生成列约束的算法。此外,研究还考察了关键模型参数对解决方案结构和性能指标的影响。以四川雅安市为例,验证了该模型的适用性,结果表明该模型优于传统的确定性和随机优化模型。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic bus holding control for multi-line busy bus corridors: Mitigating bus queues and improving headway regularity via graph-aware deep reinforcement learning 多线路繁忙公交走廊的动态公交车保持控制:基于图感知深度强化学习的公交队列缓解和车头间隔规律改善
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104603
Chaojing Li , Minyu Shen , Qiaolin Hu , Li Zhen , Feng Xiao
Bus corridors serving multiple lines are critical in urban transportation but face challenges such as severe queuing at stops and irregular headways under high passenger demand. Existing literature primarily focuses on regulating headway and often neglects queuing issues, especially in multi-line corridors. In this study, we consider a congested multi-line bus corridor with severe queuing phenomena and propose a dynamic holding method based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) method. The dynamic hold problem is formulated as a markov decision process (MDP), and we develop a graph-aware deep deterministic policy gradient (GADDPG) method to optimize bus holding strategies. GADDPG employs a graph-based state representation, utilizing graph attention network (GAT) to accommodate variable numbers of buses and capture their temporal relationships. This state representation relies solely on high-frequency GPS data, ensuring practicality. We evaluate our approach using real-world data from the Guangzhou BRT corridor. Our results demonstrate a significant finding: implementing holding control in a busy bus corridor yields dual benefits - it improves headway regularity while simultaneously reducing total bus delays. This reduction occurs because the introduced holding delay offsets and reduces more delays (queueing and in-berth delays), resulting in total bus delay savings. Additionally, our performance evaluation shows that the proposed GADDPG method outperforms benchmark holding control methods, achieving complete dominance on the Pareto frontier when optimizing for both headway regularity and reducing bus delays.
多线路公交走廊在城市交通中至关重要,但在高客运需求下,公交走廊面临着停车排队严重、行车道不规则等挑战。现有文献主要关注车头的调节,往往忽视排队问题,特别是在多线路走廊。在本研究中,我们考虑了严重排队现象的拥挤多线公交走廊,提出了一种基于深度强化学习(DRL)方法的动态等待方法。将动态保持问题表述为马尔可夫决策过程(MDP),并提出了一种图感知深度确定性策略梯度(GADDPG)方法来优化总线保持策略。GADDPG采用基于图的状态表示,利用图注意网络(GAT)来容纳可变数量的总线并捕获它们的时间关系。这种状态表示完全依赖于高频GPS数据,确保了实用性。我们使用广州快速公交走廊的真实数据来评估我们的方法。我们的研究结果证明了一个重要的发现:在繁忙的公交走廊实施等待控制产生了双重好处——它提高了车头间隔的规律性,同时减少了公交车的总延误。这种减少是因为引入的保持延迟偏移并减少了更多的延迟(排队和泊位延迟),从而节省了总总线延迟。此外,我们的性能评估表明,所提出的GADDPG方法优于基准保持控制方法,在优化车头时程规律和减少公交车延误时,在帕累托边界上获得完全优势。
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引用次数: 0
Yard crane real-time scheduling among multi-block at terminal: A reinforcement learning based proximal policy optimization approach 堆场起重机终端多区块实时调度:基于强化学习的近端策略优化方法
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104635
Wenyuan Wang , Huakun Liu , Yun Peng , Zhen Cao , Pengxi Yu , Zanxin Lu
In container terminal yards, operational efficiency is significantly hindered by the mismatch between stochastic workload variations and static configurations of Yard Cranes (YCs) across multiple blocks. The real-time YC scheduling problem (YCSP-r) aims to develop adaptive, instantaneous scheduling policies that dynamically respond to workload fluctuations. In this paper, we propose a multi-agent reinforcement learning (RL) method to address the YCSP-r. Specifically, the YCSP-r is formulated as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) within an asynchronous timestep framework. Considering the non-negligible redeployment cost of YCs in real-time operations, the MDP is designed to balance redeployment costs with overall operational efficiency. A general simulator for the YC scheduling system is developed to execute action decisions and provides performance feedback. Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) is employed to train the scheduling policy. A multi-agent shared-policy framework and a global–local mixed state structure is tailored to mitigate the challenges posed by high dimensional state and action spaces, thereby enhancing both convergence and training stability. To evaluate the solution quality, a mixed integer programming model for YCSP-r is developed and solved by a commercial solver as a benchmark for comparison. The proposed approach is further compared with other advanced RL and heuristic methods. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed PPO-based approach is able to provide high-quality solutions in real time—typically within seconds—meeting the practical demands of container terminal operations. Notably, compared to a static YC deployment strategy, our scheduling strategy achieves a substantial 12.29% reduction in operational costs. We believe that our study provides valuable insights for port managers in developing practical and reliable YC scheduling solutions.
在集装箱码头堆场中,随机工作量变化与堆场起重机(YCs)的静态配置不匹配严重影响了作业效率。实时YC调度问题(YCSP-r)旨在开发动态响应工作负载波动的自适应瞬时调度策略。在本文中,我们提出了一种多智能体强化学习(RL)方法来解决YCSP-r。具体来说,YCSP-r被表述为异步时间步框架内的马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)。考虑到yc在实时作业中不可忽略的重新部署成本,MDP旨在平衡重新部署成本和整体作业效率。开发了YC调度系统的通用模拟器,用于执行操作决策并提供性能反馈。采用PPO (Proximal Policy Optimization)算法对调度策略进行训练。针对高维状态和动作空间带来的挑战,设计了多智能体共享策略框架和全局-局部混合状态结构,从而提高了收敛性和训练稳定性。为了评估解的质量,建立了YCSP-r的混合整数规划模型,并通过商业求解器进行了求解,作为比较的基准。将该方法与其他先进的强化学习方法和启发式方法进行了比较。实验结果表明,该方法能够在数秒内提供高质量的实时解决方案,满足集装箱码头运营的实际需求。值得注意的是,与静态YC部署策略相比,我们的调度策略实现了运营成本大幅降低12.29%。我们相信我们的研究为港口管理者开发实用可靠的YC调度解决方案提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-objective, multi-attribute fleet sizing in a dynamic and stochastic environment: A data-driven approach 动态随机环境下的多目标、多属性车队规模:数据驱动方法
IF 8.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2025.104585
Christian Truden , Mike Hewitt
We present a method for sizing a vehicle fleet in operational contexts in which fleet performance is measured along multiple dimensions. One premise of the method is that decision-makers regarding fleet composition are interested in fleets that peform well across multiple seasons and in changing demand markets. Another premise is that daily operations are dynamic and stochastic in that vehicle routing decisions must be determined with incomplete information of future customer requests for service that day. A third premise is the existence of a solver for the daily dynamic planning problem that the method can use in a black-box fashion. Based on these premises, we present a heuristic framework for generating a predictive model of fleet performance. The method involves sampling operational settings across seasons and demand markets and executing a black-box planning tool for different fleet compositions to generate solutions and corresponding performance metric values. These settings and values are used to establish a training data set to which a prediction model is fitted. Once fitted, the decision-maker can use such a prediction model to quickly determine the fleet size and attributes that are likely to perform as desired on the performance measures of interest. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method we constructed a carefully curated data set from publicly available data sources to simulate the operational context of a grocery home delivery service. In that context, fleet vehicles can have multiple compartments to support the transportation of different food products that require storage at different temperate ranges. Thus, fleet sizing decisions involve both the number of vehicles and the size of each compartment within a vehicle. With an extensive computational study and analysis we illustrate that the proposed heuristic approach produces prediction models, both regression models and neural networks, that exhibit strong predictive power and can effectively inform fleet sizing decisions.
我们提出了一种在操作环境中确定车队规模的方法,其中车队性能是沿着多个维度测量的。该方法的一个前提是,关于机队组成的决策者对在多个季节和不断变化的需求市场中表现良好的机队感兴趣。另一个前提是,日常操作是动态和随机的,车辆路线决策必须在不完整的信息下确定,即当天的未来客户服务请求。第三个前提是存在每日动态规划问题的解算器,该方法可以以黑盒方式使用该解算器。基于这些前提,我们提出了一个启发式框架,用于生成车队性能的预测模型。该方法包括对不同季节和需求市场的操作设置进行采样,并针对不同的船队组成执行黑盒规划工具,以生成解决方案和相应的性能度量值。这些设置和值用于建立一个训练数据集,并对其拟合预测模型。一旦拟合,决策者就可以使用这样的预测模型来快速确定车队的规模和属性,这些属性可能按照感兴趣的性能度量标准执行。为了证明所提出方法的有效性,我们从公开可用的数据源构建了一个精心策划的数据集,以模拟杂货店送货上门服务的操作环境。在这种情况下,车队车辆可以有多个车厢,以支持需要在不同温度范围内储存的不同食品的运输。因此,车队规模决策涉及车辆数量和车辆内每个隔间的大小。通过广泛的计算研究和分析,我们说明了提出的启发式方法产生的预测模型,回归模型和神经网络,表现出强大的预测能力,可以有效地为车队规模决策提供信息。
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Transportation Research Part E-Logistics and Transportation Review
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