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Physics-informed neural network for cross-dynamics vehicle trajectory stitching 用于交叉动力学车辆轨迹拼接的物理信息神经网络
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103799
Keke Long , Xiaowei Shi , Xiaopeng Li
High-accuracy long-coverage vehicle trajectory data can benefit the investigations of various traffic phenomena. However, existing datasets frequently contain broken trajectories due to sensing limitations, which impedes a thorough understanding of traffic. To address this issue, this paper proposes a Physics-Informed Neural Network (PINN)-based method for stitching broken trajectories. The proposed PINN-based method enhances traditional neural networks by integrating physics priors, including vehicle kinematics and boundary conditions, aiming to provide information beyond training domain and regularization, thus increasing method accuracy and extrapolation ability for cross-dynamics scenarios (e.g., extrapolating from low-speed training data to reconstruct high-speed trajectories). Two publicly available vehicle trajectory datasets, NGSIM and HighSIM, were adopted to validate the proposed PINN-based method, and four biased training scenarios were designed to assess the PINN-based method’s extrapolation ability. Results indicate that the PINN-based method demonstrated superior performance regarding trajectory stitching accuracy and consistency compared to benchmark models. The dataset processed using our proposed PINN-based method has been made publicly available online to support the traffic research community. Additionally, this PINN-based approach can be applied to a broader range of scenarios that include physics-based priors.
高精度、长覆盖范围的车辆轨迹数据有助于研究各种交通现象。然而,由于传感的局限性,现有数据集经常包含断裂的轨迹,这阻碍了对交通的全面了解。为解决这一问题,本文提出了一种基于物理信息神经网络(PINN)的破碎轨迹拼接方法。本文提出的基于物理信息神经网络(PINN)的方法通过整合物理先验(包括车辆运动学和边界条件)来增强传统神经网络,旨在提供训练域和正则化之外的信息,从而提高方法的准确性和跨动力学场景的外推能力(例如,从低速训练数据外推以重建高速轨迹)。采用两个公开的车辆轨迹数据集(NGSIM 和 HighSIM)来验证所提出的基于 PINN 的方法,并设计了四个有偏差的训练场景来评估基于 PINN 的方法的外推能力。结果表明,与基准模型相比,基于 PINN 的方法在轨迹拼接准确性和一致性方面表现优异。使用我们提出的基于 PINN 的方法处理的数据集已在网上公开发布,以支持交通研究界。此外,这种基于 PINN 的方法还可应用于包括基于物理先验的更广泛场景。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the influence of bargaining power in shipping: An empirical study on iron ore freight market 揭示航运业议价能力的影响:铁矿石货运市场实证研究
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103811
Satya Sahoo , Pierre Cariou
Shipping freight contracts are heterogeneous services surrounded by asymmetric information and traded in over-the-counter markets, where the physical market agents help match ship operators and charterers. These contracts create opportunities for negotiations tailored to traders’ needs. Despite the ubiquitous role of bargaining in establishing freight contracts, the shipping literature lacks systematic empirical investigation of pricing mechanisms from a bargaining perspective. This article seeks to unveil the influence of the bargaining power of ship operators and charterers in shipping, offering insights for industry players in individual iron ore voyage charter contracts across two pivotal routes: Brazil-China and Australia-China, spanning January 2013 to June 2023. The results show evidence of how the bargaining power of the ship operators and charterers fluctuates over time and is shaped by contractual terms, traders’ characteristics, and macroeconomic factors, which can be helpful for the players to improve their respective bargaining power. Academically, this study offers an operationalizable price bargaining framework in the context of freight markets, that could initiate a conversation among scholars to consider shipping as a valuable case study for empirically exploring pricing mechanisms through bargaining, thus enriching the broader bargaining theory landscape.
航运货运合同是信息不对称的异质服务,在场外交易市场进行交易,有形市场代理帮助船舶运营商和承租人牵线搭桥。这些合同为根据交易者的需求进行谈判创造了机会。尽管讨价还价在签订货运合同中的作用无处不在,但航运文献缺乏从讨价还价角度对定价机制进行系统的实证研究。本文试图揭示船舶运营商和承租人的议价能力对航运业的影响,为业内人士在两条关键航线的铁矿石航次租船合同中提供启示:2013年1月至2023年6月期间,巴西-中国和澳大利亚-中国的铁矿石航次租船合同。研究结果表明,船舶运营商和承租人的议价能力随着时间的推移而波动,并受合同条款、贸易商特征和宏观经济因素的影响,这有助于参与者提高各自的议价能力。在学术上,本研究提供了一个货运市场背景下可操作的价格讨价还价框架,可以引发学者们的讨论,将航运作为一个有价值的案例研究,通过讨价还价来实证探索定价机制,从而丰富更广泛的讨价还价理论。
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引用次数: 0
Stochastic route optimization under dynamic ground risk uncertainties for safe drone delivery operations 动态地面风险不确定性下的随机路线优化,实现无人机安全送货作业
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103717
Bizhao Pang , Xinting Hu , Wei Dai , Kin Huat Low
The rise of unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) for urban drone delivery introduces significant risks, particularly the potential for crash-induced fatalities on the ground. A crucial strategy to address this challenge is through risk assessment and mitigation of flight routes that consider the stochastic nature of urban populations. Traditional strategies treat drone flight route approval and execution independently, which fall short in such a dynamic risk environment where plans deemed safe at the strategic approval stage may later prove hazardous, and vice versa. To address these intricacies, this paper introduces a novel two-stage stochastic optimization model that integrates strategic route feasibility assessment with tactical route selection and timing adjustments. A unique aspect of our model is the implementation of a risk penalty that effectively bridges decisions between the two stages, thereby reducing the likelihood of decision errors caused by stochastic variations. Through extensive simulations within Singapore’s urban context, our model demonstrates a risk reduction by an average of 36.13%, which significantly outperforms traditional methods. This performance consistency across 100 simulated urban scenarios proved the robustness and broad applicability of our model. Furthermore, our model shows an 18% improvement in resolving potential decision errors, with the stochastic solution further affirming a notable risk decrease of 27.18%. Our research enhances the domain of UAS risk-based stochastic decision making and provides opportunities for automated flight approval, drone fleet management, and urban airspace management.
无人驾驶航空器系统(UAS)在城市无人机投递领域的兴起带来了巨大的风险,尤其是在地面上发生坠机导致死亡的可能性。应对这一挑战的关键策略是对飞行路线进行风险评估和缓解,并考虑城市人口的随机性。传统战略将无人机飞行路线的审批和执行独立开来,在这种动态风险环境中,战略审批阶段认为安全的计划可能会被证明是危险的,反之亦然。为了解决这些错综复杂的问题,本文介绍了一种新颖的两阶段随机优化模型,该模型将战略航线可行性评估与战术航线选择和时机调整相结合。我们的模型的一个独特之处在于实施了风险惩罚,有效地在两个阶段的决策之间架起了桥梁,从而降低了因随机变化而导致决策失误的可能性。通过对新加坡城市环境的大量模拟,我们的模型平均降低了 36.13% 的风险,明显优于传统方法。在 100 个模拟的城市场景中,这种性能的一致性证明了我们模型的稳健性和广泛适用性。此外,我们的模型在解决潜在决策错误方面有 18% 的改进,随机解决方案进一步证实了 27.18% 的显著风险下降。我们的研究增强了无人机系统基于风险的随机决策领域,为自动飞行审批、无人机机队管理和城市空域管理提供了机会。
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引用次数: 0
Urban mobility foundation model: A literature review and hierarchical perspective 城市交通基础模型:文献综述与层次视角
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103795
Zhen Zhou , Ziyuan Gu , Xiaobo Qu , Pan Liu , Zhiyuan Liu , Wenwu Yu
An urban mobility system serves as a highly intricate and nonlinear mega-system facilitating the movement of people, goods, and services across spatio-temporal domains. This complexity stems from factors such as intricate interactions between transportation supply and demand, and the inherent stochastic nature of an open, heterogeneous, and adaptable system. Successfully comprehending and navigating this system presents a challenge. Yet, a remarkable opportunity emerges with the growing availability of multi-source data in urban mobility and various sectors, combined with the recent advancements in large-scale machine learning (ML) models. In this paper, we introduce a novel conceptual framework, the HUGE (Hierarchically Unified GEnerative) foundation model, to address multifaceted computational tasks and decision-making problems embedded in urban mobility systems. We delve into the core technologies and their seamless integration to realize this framework, highlighting its potential to harness substantial data analytics, hierarchical ML methodologies, and domain-specific knowledge. The conceived framework has the potential to revolutionize urban mobility system planning, design, construction, and management in a digital and intelligent manner.
城市交通系统是一个高度复杂的非线性巨型系统,可促进人员、货物和服务的跨时空流动。这种复杂性源于交通供需之间错综复杂的相互作用,以及开放、异构和适应性强的系统固有的随机性。成功理解和驾驭这一系统是一项挑战。然而,随着城市交通和各行各业的多源数据日益增多,再加上大规模机器学习(ML)模型的最新进展,一个难得的机遇出现了。在本文中,我们介绍了一个新颖的概念框架,即 HUGE(分层统一通用引擎)基础模型,以解决城市交通系统中的多方面计算任务和决策问题。我们深入探讨了实现该框架的核心技术及其无缝集成,强调了其利用大量数据分析、分层 ML 方法和特定领域知识的潜力。所构想的框架有望以数字化和智能化的方式彻底改变城市交通系统的规划、设计、建设和管理。
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引用次数: 0
Food transportation and price impacted by diesel price and truck-driver shortage pre-, amid and post pandemic 大流行前、中、后柴油价格和卡车司机短缺对食品运输和价格的影响
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103794
Aichih Jasmine Chang , Fuqin Zhou , Nesreen El-Rayes , Jim Shi
The food transportation and distribution industry has been radically disrupted over the last few years, especially amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Food prices, for example, have been seen to increase considerably in the wave of economic inflation. As two main driving factors in the context of food transportation, (1) the rising diesel prices and (2) the prevailing shortage of truck drivers have posed threatening challenges, leading to a substantial surge in transportation costs and subsequently contributing to higher food market prices. Based on collected data consolidated from multiple sources, this study conducts a comprehensive analysis to elucidate the impact of diesel prices and driver availability on food prices. To this end, we have curated a panel dataset encompassing key variables such as diesel prices, truck driver availability, and food prices for the most popular food commodities (i.e., apples, potatoes, onions, and tomatoes) pre-, amid, and post-pandemic of COVID-19. Employing fixed effects regression, this paper specifically investigates the extent to which the surge in fuel prices and truck-driver availability has contributed to the overall increase in food prices in the United States fresh food market. With high statistical significance, the experiment results show that the rising diesel prices and the shortage of truck drivers’ availability have a significant positive impact on food price margin, ceteris paribus. The contributions of this study are multifold. First, our study enriches the food price literature by specifically considering the two fundamental root factors: truck-driver availability and diesel price. Second, this study provides data-driven empirical analysis to unveil how diesel prices, driver availability, and the significant impact of the pandemic drive food prices. Third, considering the impact of COVID-19, the food price sensitivity to diesel prices and driver availability obtained from this study renders practical guidelines for policy implications, especially in the age of a devastating pandemic.
在过去几年里,尤其是在 COVID-19 大流行病的影响下,食品运输和分销行业受到了严重破坏。例如,食品价格在经济通胀浪潮中大幅上涨。作为食品运输的两个主要驱动因素,(1) 柴油价格上涨和 (2) 卡车司机普遍短缺构成了威胁性挑战,导致运输成本大幅飙升,进而造成食品市场价格上涨。本研究基于从多个来源收集到的综合数据,进行了全面分析,以阐明柴油价格和司机可用性对食品价格的影响。为此,我们建立了一个面板数据集,其中包括柴油价格、卡车司机可用性以及 COVID-19 大流行前、中、后最受欢迎的食品(即苹果、土豆、洋葱和西红柿)的价格等关键变量。本文采用固定效应回归法,具体研究了燃料价格和卡车司机可用性的飙升在多大程度上导致了美国新鲜食品市场食品价格的整体上涨。实验结果表明,柴油价格上涨和卡车司机供应短缺对食品价格利润率有显著的积极影响,且具有很高的统计显著性。本研究的贡献是多方面的。首先,我们的研究特别考虑了卡车司机可用性和柴油价格这两个根本因素,从而丰富了粮食价格文献。其次,本研究提供了数据驱动的实证分析,揭示了柴油价格、司机可用性和大流行病的重大影响是如何推动食品价格的。第三,考虑到 COVID-19 的影响,本研究得出的粮食价格对柴油价格和司机可用性的敏感性为政策影响提供了实用指南,尤其是在大流行病肆虐的时代。
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引用次数: 0
Combining supervised learning and local search for the multicommodity capacitated fixed-charge network design problem 结合监督学习和局部搜索,解决多容性固定电荷网络设计问题
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103805
Charly Robinson La Rocca , Jean-François Cordeau , Emma Frejinger
The multicommodity capacitated fixed-charge network design problem has been extensively studied in the literature due to its wide range of applications. Despite the fact that many sophisticated solution methods exist today, finding high-quality solutions to large-scale instances remains challenging. In this paper, we explore how a data-driven approach can help improve upon the state of the art. By leveraging machine learning models, we attempt to reveal patterns hidden in the data that might be difficult to capture with traditional optimization methods. For scalability, we propose a prediction method where the machine learning model is called at the level of each arc of the graph. We take advantage of off-the-shelf models trained via supervised learning to predict near-optimal solutions. Our experimental results include an algorithm design analysis that compares various integration strategies of predictions within local search algorithms. We benchmark the ML-based approach with respect to the state-of-the-art heuristic for this problem. The findings indicate that our method can outperform the leading heuristic on sets of instances sampled from a uniform distribution.
多容性固定电荷网络设计问题应用广泛,因此在文献中得到了广泛的研究。尽管目前存在许多复杂的求解方法,但要为大规模实例找到高质量的解决方案仍具有挑战性。在本文中,我们探讨了数据驱动方法如何帮助改善现有技术水平。通过利用机器学习模型,我们试图揭示隐藏在数据中的模式,而传统的优化方法可能很难捕捉到这些模式。为了提高可扩展性,我们提出了一种预测方法,在这种方法中,机器学习模型是在图的每个弧的层次上调用的。我们利用通过监督学习训练的现成模型来预测接近最优的解决方案。我们的实验结果包括算法设计分析,比较了本地搜索算法中的各种预测集成策略。我们将基于 ML 的方法与该问题最先进的启发式方法进行了比较。结果表明,在从均匀分布中采样的实例集上,我们的方法优于领先的启发式方法。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable production strategies of loss-averse competitive manufacturers with reference dependence under cap-and-trade policy 总量控制与交易政策下具有参照依赖性的亏损规避型竞争制造商的可持续生产战略
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103809
Yu Zhang, Yuyin Yi
This study examines the joint optimization decisions on production quantity and sustainable investment of two competing low-carbon manufacturers with loss aversion and reference dependence under the cap-and-trade policy. We focus on exploring the impacts of manufacturers’ risk attitude, encompassing factors like the degree of loss aversion and reference dependence, the cap-and-trade policy, and heterogeneous characteristics on optimal decisions and their expected utilities. The main findings are as follows. First, loss aversion and reference dependence have completely opposite effects on manufacturers’ production and emission reduction decisions. Specifically, production quantity will become more conservative. Interestingly, the investment to reduce emissions may actually become more aggressive. In addition, setting a lower reference level presents an opportunity for firms to generate greater profits compared to the risk-neutral scenario. Second, affected by loss aversion and reference dependence, manufacturers’ sustainable investment may decrease with carbon trading price, which is different from the conclusion of the existing research. Third, the total expected utility of heterogeneous manufacturers decreases with the difference of loss aversion and reference dependence. Finally, we extend our analysis to the impacts of sustainable investment, initial carbon emissions associated with emission reduction and heterogeneous market prices. This paper enriches the research on carbon emission reduction and loss aversion with reference dependence, and provides some managerial insights for practice from the perspective of government and enterprise operation.
本研究探讨了在总量控制与交易政策下,两家具有损失规避和参考依赖性的低碳制造商在生产数量和可持续投资方面的联合优化决策。我们重点探讨了制造商的风险态度(包括损失规避和参照依赖程度)、总量控制与交易政策以及异质性特征等因素对最优决策及其预期效用的影响。主要结论如下。首先,损失规避和参照依赖对制造商的生产和减排决策具有完全相反的影响。具体来说,生产量会变得更加保守。有趣的是,减排投资实际上可能变得更加激进。此外,与风险中性情景相比,设定较低的参考水平为企业带来了获得更大利润的机会。其次,受损失规避和参考依赖的影响,制造商的可持续投资可能会随着碳交易价格的下降而减少,这与现有研究的结论不同。第三,异质性制造商的总预期效用会随着损失规避和参照依赖的不同而降低。最后,我们将分析扩展到可持续投资、与减排相关的初始碳排放量和异质市场价格的影响。本文丰富了碳减排和损失厌恶与参照依赖的研究,并从政府和企业经营的角度为实践提供了一些管理启示。
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引用次数: 0
Reverse logistics for electric vehicles under uncertainty: An intelligent emergency management approach 不确定情况下的电动汽车逆向物流:智能应急管理方法
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103806
Sunil Kumar Jauhar , Apoorva Singh , Sachin Kamble , Sunil Tiwari , Amine Belhadi
The frequency and intensity of global disasters, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods, and wildfires, are increasing, necessitating effective emergency logistics management. Climate change significantly contributes to these events, emphasizing the importance of limiting human and environmental impacts. The transportation sector, particularly the automobile industry, ranks second in global carbon emissions, highlighting the need to adopt electric vehicles (EVs) to reduce emissions and minimize the impact of climate change. However, this has led to an increase in demand for lithium-ion batteries. During emergencies, end-of-life (EOL) battery management through reverse logistics is essential because recycling EOL batteries can recover valuable raw materials, decrease landfill waste and costs, and support environmental sustainability. This study proposed a two-phase method for intelligent emergency EV battery reverse logistics management. The first phase employed machine learning to address unpredictable battery demands, whereas the second phase proposed a multi-objective model to minimize carbon emissions through efficient order allocation during uncertain emergencies. The model considers carbon emissions and defect rates as sources of uncertainty, current regulations, and customer environmental awareness. The model is solved using the weighted sum and ε-constraint methods, resulting in non-dominant solutions. The findings indicate that combining the selection of third-party reverse logistics providers (3PRLPs) with optimal order allocation for recycling old batteries during emergencies effectively minimizes environmental impacts and combats climate change.
包括 COVID-19 大流行病在内的全球灾害以及地震、洪水和野火等自然灾害的发生频率和强度都在不断增加,因此有必要进行有效的应急物流管理。气候变化在很大程度上导致了这些事件的发生,强调了限制人类和环境影响的重要性。交通部门,尤其是汽车行业,在全球碳排放量中排名第二,这凸显了采用电动汽车(EV)来减少排放和最大限度降低气候变化影响的必要性。然而,这也导致了对锂离子电池需求的增加。在紧急情况下,通过逆向物流对报废(EOL)电池进行管理至关重要,因为回收EOL电池可以回收有价值的原材料,减少垃圾填埋场的废物和成本,并支持环境的可持续发展。本研究提出了一种分两个阶段进行智能应急电动汽车电池逆向物流管理的方法。第一阶段采用机器学习来应对不可预测的电池需求,而第二阶段则提出了一个多目标模型,通过在不确定的紧急情况下有效分配订单来最大限度地减少碳排放。该模型将碳排放和缺陷率作为不确定性来源,并考虑了现行法规和客户的环保意识。该模型采用加权求和法和ε-约束法求解,得出非优势解。研究结果表明,将第三方逆向物流供应商(3PRLP)的选择与紧急情况下回收旧电池的最佳订单分配相结合,能有效地将环境影响降至最低,并应对气候变化。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic collaborative truck-drone delivery with en-route synchronization and random requests 具有途中同步和随机请求功能的卡车-无人机动态协作配送
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103802
Haipeng Cui , Keyu Li , Shuai Jia , Qiang Meng
Coordinated truck and drone delivery is gaining popularity in logistics as it can greatly reduce operation costs. However, existing studies on related operations management problems typically ignore the following important features: (i) the random appearance of requests, which require operators to dynamically respond to the requests; and (ii) the decisions of optimal launch and retrieval locations for trucks and drones instead of fixed to customer locations, which can significantly impact the overall time costs. To tackle these challenges, this study investigates the dynamic collaborative truck-drone routing problem with randomly arriving requests and synchronization on routes. We model the problem as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) and solve the MDP via a reinforcement learning (RL) approach. The proposed RL approach determines: (i) whether each request should be serviced upon arrival, (ii) which truck or drone should be assigned for the request, and (iii) the optimal en-route take-off and landing positions for paired trucks and drones. We further employ a framework of decentralized learning and centralized dispatching in RL to increase performance. Numerical experiments are conducted to assess the proposed solution approach on instances generated based on both the Solomon dataset and real-world operational data of a logistics operator in Singapore over several benchmark algorithms under various battery endurance levels of drones and distinct transportation scenarios including node-based dynamic collaborative truck-drone routing problem, dynamic non-collaborative truck and drone routing problem, and dynamic vehicle routing problem. The results show that our RL solution outperforms the benchmark algorithm in total profit by an average of 28.03 %, and our en-route takeoff and landing scenario outperforms the benchmark scenarios in total profit by an average of 8.43 % in multi-day instances. Additionally, compared to the traditional node-based landing scenario, employing our en-route takeoff and landing strategy can save 0.9 h/(drone*day) of waiting time on average.
协调卡车和无人机送货可以大大降低运营成本,因此在物流领域越来越受欢迎。然而,现有的相关运营管理问题研究通常忽略了以下重要特征:(i) 请求的随机出现,需要操作员动态响应请求;(ii) 决定卡车和无人机的最佳发射和回收地点,而不是固定在客户地点,这会极大地影响整体时间成本。为了应对这些挑战,本研究探讨了卡车与无人机的动态协作路由问题,该问题涉及随机到达的请求和路线同步。我们将该问题建模为马尔可夫决策过程(MDP),并通过强化学习(RL)方法解决该问题。所提出的 RL 方法可确定:(i) 每个请求是否应在到达时提供服务;(ii) 应为请求分配哪辆卡车或无人机;(iii) 配对卡车和无人机的最佳途中起飞和着陆位置。我们在 RL 中进一步采用了分散学习和集中调度的框架,以提高性能。在不同的无人机电池续航能力水平和不同的运输场景(包括基于节点的动态协作卡车-无人机路由问题、动态非协作卡车和无人机路由问题以及动态车辆路由问题)下,我们对基于所罗门数据集和新加坡一家物流运营商的实际运营数据生成的实例进行了数值实验,以评估所提出的解决方法。结果表明,我们的 RL 解决方案在总利润方面平均比基准算法高出 28.03%,在多天实例中,我们的途中起飞和着陆方案在总利润方面平均比基准方案高出 8.43%。此外,与传统的基于节点的着陆方案相比,采用我们的途中起飞和着陆策略平均可节省 0.9 小时/(无人机*天)的等待时间。
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引用次数: 0
Do Smart Loading Zones help reduce traffic congestion? A causal analysis in Pittsburgh 智能装载区是否有助于减少交通拥堵?匹兹堡的因果分析
IF 8.3 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2024.103796
Tao Tao , Sean Qian
Rising demand for ride-hailing services and e-commerce delivery intensifies competition for urban curbside spaces, leading to uncoordinated travel behavior, increased traffic congestion and social costs. One possible solution to address those issues is Smart Loading Zones (SLZs), equipped with advanced technologies to optimize curbside use. Yet, the real-world impact of SLZs on traffic flow is unclear due to a lack of real-world data and rigorous studies investigating SLZ’s causal effect on traffic speed. With granular speed data and real-world implementations of SLZs from Pittsburgh, PA, this study applies the regression discontinuity design method to rigorously examine the causal impact of SLZs on traffic speed in the downtown network. The results showed that the introduction of SLZs could enhance the traffic speed of the nearby road segments by 4.5%, while controlling for the underlying trend of speed and multiple influential factors such as time, weather, and road characteristics. In addition, SLZs with a short length could statistically improve traffic speed but those with a long length exert no significant effect. These heterogenous effects might be attributed to the weak enforcement at the time of SLZ deployment in Pittsburgh. The results confirmed the overall positive impact of SLZs on improving congestion. However, policies such as effective dimension planning and robust enforcement policies are essential to maximize the benefits of SLZs.
对打车服务和电子商务配送的需求不断增长,加剧了对城市路边空间的竞争,导致出行行为不协调、交通拥堵加剧和社会成本增加。解决这些问题的一个可行方案是智能装卸区(SLZ),配备先进技术,优化路边空间的使用。然而,由于缺乏实际数据和对智能装载区对车速的因果影响的严谨研究,智能装载区对交通流量的实际影响尚不明确。本研究利用宾夕法尼亚州匹兹堡市的粒度车速数据和 SLZ 的实际实施情况,采用回归不连续设计方法,严格检验了 SLZ 对市中心交通网络车速的因果影响。结果表明,在控制车速基本趋势以及时间、天气和道路特征等多种影响因素的情况下,引入 SLZ 可将附近路段的车速提高 4.5%。此外,从统计学角度看,长度较短的分隔带可提高行车速度,但长度较长的分隔带则没有显著效果。这些不同的效果可能是由于匹兹堡在设置 SLZ 时执法不力造成的。研究结果证实了分隔带对改善交通拥堵的总体积极影响。然而,要最大限度地发挥 SLZ 的效益,有效的维度规划和强有力的执法政策是必不可少的。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Transportation Research Part E-Logistics and Transportation Review
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