This study investigates ground-surface settlement and tunnel deformation induced by the construction of a TBM driven tunnel that obliquely undercrosses in-service high-speed railway tunnels. An analytical solution for predicting surface settlement is proposed by introducing the undercrossing angle and high-speed train load correction coefficients into the classical Peck formula. We validate the model’s applicability to oblique undercrossing with numerical simulations and field measurements. Building on these insights, we conduct three-dimensional finite-element (FE) modelling to quantify the effects of undercrossing angle (50°, 78°, 90°), tunnel clear distance (17.3, 13.3, 9.3 m), and excavation staging (10, 50, 100 steps) on surface settlement. The influence mechanism of train load on the deformation of the railway tunnel is analyzed. The results show that the proposed analytical solution improves surface-settlement prediction, keeping the error within 15 %. Specifically, larger undercrossing angles narrow the settlement trough and reduce the maximum settlement. Decreasing the clear distance from 17.3 to 9.3 m increases surface settlement by 65.96 %. Under train loading, surface settlement increases progressively with the number of TBM excavation steps. Train loading markedly amplifies overall tunnel deformation, increasing longitudinal deformation by 150 % and intensifying non-uniformity. The integrated analytical–numerical framework provides a practical basis for safety assessment and for optimising protective measures in similar undercrossing projects.
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