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Maximum correntropy criterion regression models with tending-to-zero scale parameters 尺度参数趋于零的最大熵标准回归模型
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106134
Lianqiang Yang , Ying Jing , Teng Li

Maximum correntropy criterion regression (MCCR) models have been well studied within the theoretical framework of statistical learning when the scale parameters take fixed values or go to infinity. This paper studies MCCR models with tending-to-zero scale parameters. It is revealed that the optimal learning rate of MCCR models is O(n1) in the asymptotic sense when the sample size n goes to infinity. In the case of finite samples, the performance and robustness of MCCR, Huber and the least square regression models are compared. The applications of these three methods to real data are also demonstrated.

最大熵准则回归(MCCR)模型在尺度参数取固定值或无穷大时的统计学习理论框架内得到了很好的研究。本文研究了尺度参数趋于零的 MCCR 模型。研究发现,当样本量 n 变为无穷大时,MCCR 模型的最优学习率在渐近意义上为 O(n-1)。在有限样本的情况下,比较了 MCCR、Huber 和最小平方回归模型的性能和鲁棒性。同时还展示了这三种方法在实际数据中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Resampling techniques for a class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive empirical copulas 一类平滑、可能具有数据适应性的经验共存系数的重采样技术
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106132
Ivan Kojadinovic , Bingqing Yi

We investigate the validity of two resampling techniques when carrying out inference on the underlying unknown copula using a recently proposed class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive nonparametric estimators that contains empirical Bernstein copulas (and thus the empirical beta copula). Following Kiriliouk et al. (2021), the first resampling technique is based on drawing samples from the smooth estimator and can only can be used in the case of independent observations. The second technique is a smooth extension of the so-called sequential dependent multiplier bootstrap and can thus be used in a time series setting and, possibly, for change-point analysis. The two studied resampling schemes are applied to confidence interval construction and the offline detection of changes in the cross-sectional dependence of multivariate time series, respectively. Monte Carlo experiments confirm the possible advantages of such smooth inference procedures over their non-smooth counterparts. A by-product of this work is the study of the weak consistency and finite-sample performance of two classes of smooth estimators of the first-order partial derivatives of a copula which can have applications in mean and quantile regression.

我们利用最近提出的一类包含经验伯恩斯坦协方差(以及经验贝塔协方差)的平滑、可能具有数据适应性的非参数估计器,研究了在对基础未知协方差进行推断时,两种重采样技术的有效性。根据 Kiriliouk 等人(2021 年)的研究,第一种重采样技术基于从平滑估计器中抽取样本,只能用于独立观测的情况。第二种技术是所谓的序列依赖乘数自举法的平滑扩展,因此可用于时间序列设置,也可用于变化点分析。所研究的两种重采样方案分别应用于置信区间构建和离线检测多变量时间序列的横截面依赖性变化。蒙特卡洛实验证实了这种平滑推断程序相对于非平滑推断程序可能具有的优势。这项工作的一个副产品是研究了两类共轭一阶偏导数平滑估计器的弱一致性和有限样本性能,这些估计器可应用于均值回归和量化回归。
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引用次数: 0
A global test for heteroscedastic one-way FMANOVA with applications 异方差单向 FMANOVA 全局检验及其应用
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106133
Tianming Zhu , Jin-Ting Zhang , Ming-Yen Cheng

Multivariate functional data are prevalent in various fields such as biology, climatology, and finance. Motivated by the World Health Data applications, in this study, we propose and examine a global test for assessing the equality of multiple mean functions in multivariate functional data. This test addresses the one-way Functional Multivariate Analysis of Variance (FMANOVA) problem, which is a fundamental issue in the analysis of multivariate functional data. While numerous analysis of variance tests have been proposed and studied for univariate functional data, only a limited number of methods have been developed for the one-way FMANOVA problem. Furthermore, our global test has the ability to handle heteroscedasticity in the unknown covariance function matrices that underlie the multivariate functional data, which is not possible with existing methods. We establish the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic as a chi-squared-type mixture, which depends on the eigenvalues of the covariance function matrices. To approximate the null distribution, we introduce a Welch–Satterthwaite type chi-squared-approximation with consistent parameter estimation. The proposed test exhibits root-n consistency, meaning it possesses nontrivial power against a local alternative. Additionally, it offers superior computational efficiency compared to several permutation-based tests. Through simulation studies and applications to the World Health Data, we highlight the advantages of our global test.

多元函数数据普遍存在于生物学、气候学和金融学等多个领域。受世界卫生数据应用的启发,在本研究中,我们提出并研究了一种用于评估多元函数数据中多个均值函数相等性的全局检验。该检验解决了单向函数多元方差分析(FMANOVA)问题,这是多元函数数据分析中的一个基本问题。虽然针对单变量函数数据提出并研究了许多方差分析检验方法,但针对单向 FMANOVA 问题开发的方法数量有限。此外,我们的全局检验能够处理多元函数数据未知协方差函数矩阵中的异方差,这是现有方法无法做到的。我们将检验统计量的渐近零分布确定为一个奇平方型混合物,它取决于协方差函数矩阵的特征值。为了近似 null 分布,我们引入了具有一致参数估计的 Welch-Satterthwaite 型奇平方近似。所提出的检验具有根 n 一致性,这意味着它对局部替代方案具有非同一般的威力。此外,与几种基于置换的检验相比,它还具有更高的计算效率。通过模拟研究和在世界健康数据中的应用,我们强调了全局检验的优势。
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引用次数: 1
Inference on regression model with misclassified binary response 二元响应分类错误的回归模型推理
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106121
Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Ayoushman Bhattacharya

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating non-differential classification errors is extensively used by researchers in different application contexts. We strongly caution against indiscriminate use of this model considering the fact that it suffers from a serious estimation problem due to confounding of the unknown misclassification probabilities with the regression parameters, and thus, may lead to a highly biased estimate. To overcome this problem, we propose here the use of an internal validation sample in addition to the main sample. Assuming differential classification errors, we consider MLEs of the regression parameters based on the joint likelihood of the main sample and the internal validation sample. We then develop a rigorous asymptotic theory for the joint MLEs under standard assumptions. To facilitate its easy implementation for inference, we propose a bootstrap approximation to the asymptotic distribution and prove its consistency. The results of the simulation studies suggest that even an extremely small validation sample may lead to a vastly improved inference. Finally, the methodology is illustrated with a real-life survey data.

如果忽略二元响应的错误分类,可能会严重影响回归参数的最大似然估计(MLEs)。对于这类数据,研究人员在不同的应用环境中广泛使用了包含非微分分类误差的二元回归模型。考虑到由于未知的错误分类概率与回归参数的混淆,该模型存在严重的估计问题,因此可能导致高度偏倚的估计,我们强烈警告不要滥用该模型。为了克服这个问题,我们建议在主样本之外使用一个内部验证样本。假设分类误差存在差异,我们基于主样本和内部验证样本的联合似然来考虑回归参数的最大似然。然后,在标准假设条件下,我们对联合最大似然矩建立了严格的渐近理论。为了便于推理的实现,我们提出了渐近分布的自举近似,并证明了其一致性。模拟研究的结果表明,即使是极小的验证样本也可能导致大大改进的推理。最后,用实际调查数据说明了该方法。
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引用次数: 0
Construction of mixed-level screening designs using Hadamard matrices 使用Hadamard矩阵构建混合水平筛选设计
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106131
Bo Hu , Dongying Wang , Fasheng Sun

Modern experiments typically involve a very large number of variables. Screening designs allow experimenters to identify active factors in a minimum number of trials. To save costs, only low-level factorial designs are considered for screening experiments, especially two- and three-level designs. In this article, we provide a systematic method to construct screening designs that contain both two- and three-level factors based on Hadamard matrices with the fold-over structure. The proposed designs have good performance in terms of D-optimal and A-optimal criteria, and the estimates of the main effects are unbiased by the second-order effects, making them very suitable for screening experiments. Besides, some theoretical results on D- and A-optimality are obtained as a by-product.

现代实验通常涉及大量的变量。筛选设计允许实验人员在最少数量的试验中确定积极因素。为节省成本,筛选实验只考虑低水平因子设计,特别是二水平和三水平设计。在本文中,我们提供了一种系统的方法来构建包含两层和三层因素的筛选设计,该设计基于具有折叠结构的Hadamard矩阵。所提出的设计在d-最优和a -最优准则方面具有良好的性能,并且主效应的估计不受二阶效应的偏倚,使其非常适合筛选实验。此外,还得到了D-最优性和a -最优性的理论结果。
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引用次数: 0
Mallows model averaging based on kernel regression imputation with responses missing at random 基于随机缺失响应核回归插值的Mallows模型平均
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106130
Hengkun Zhu, Guohua Zou

Missing data is a common problem in real data analysis. In this paper, a Mallows model averaging method based on kernel regression imputation is proposed for the linear regression models with responses missing at random. We prove that our method asymptotically achieves the lowest possible squared error. Compared with the existing model averaging methods, the new method does not require the use of a parameter model to characterize the missing generation mechanism. The Monte Carlo simulation and a practical application demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed method.

缺失数据是实际数据分析中常见的问题。针对随机缺失响应的线性回归模型,提出了一种基于核回归插值的Mallows模型平均方法。我们证明了我们的方法渐近地达到最小可能的平方误差。与现有的模型平均方法相比,该方法不需要使用参数模型来表征缺失产生机理。蒙特卡罗仿真和实际应用表明了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Jackknife empirical likelihood confidence intervals for the categorical Gini correlation 分类基尼相关的折刀经验似然置信区间
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106123
Sameera Hewage, Yongli Sang

The categorical Gini correlation, ρg, was proposed by Dang et al. (2021) to measure the dependence between a categorical variable, Y, and a numerical variable, X. It has been shown that ρg has more appealing properties than current existing dependence measurements. In this paper, we develop the jackknife empirical likelihood (JEL) method for ρg. Confidence intervals for the Gini correlation are constructed without estimating the asymptotic variance. Adjusted and weighted JEL are explored to improve the performance of the standard JEL. Simulation studies show that our methods are competitive to existing methods in terms of coverage accuracy and shortness of confidence intervals. The proposed methods are illustrated in an application on two real datasets.

分类基尼相关系数ρg由Dang等人(2021)提出,用于测量分类变量Y与数值变量x之间的相关性。研究表明,与目前现有的相关性测量值相比,ρg具有更吸引人的特性。本文建立了ρg的刀切经验似然(JEL)方法。在不估计渐近方差的情况下构建基尼相关的置信区间。为了提高标准JEL的性能,对调整和加权JEL进行了探索。仿真研究表明,我们的方法在覆盖精度和置信区间短方面与现有方法具有竞争力。在两个实际数据集上的应用说明了所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 0
A multidimensional objective prior distribution from a scoring rule 基于评分规则的多维客观先验分布
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106122
Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Cristiano Villa , Stephen G. Walker

The construction of objective priors is, at best, challenging for multidimensional parameter spaces. A common practice is to assume independence and set up the joint prior as the product of marginal distributions obtained via “standard” objective methods, such as Jeffreys or reference priors. However, the assumption of independence a priori is not always reasonable, and whether it can be viewed as strictly objective is still open to discussion. In this paper, by extending a previously proposed objective approach based on scoring rules for the one dimensional case, we propose a novel objective prior for multidimensional parameter spaces which yields a dependence structure. The proposed prior has the appealing property of being proper and does not depend on the chosen model; only on the parameter space considered.

对于多维参数空间来说,客观先验的构建充其量是一项挑战。一种常见的做法是假设独立性,并将联合先验设置为通过“标准”客观方法(如Jeffreys或参考先验)获得的边际分布的乘积。然而,先验独立性的假设并不总是合理的,它是否可以被视为严格客观的,仍有待讨论。在本文中,通过扩展先前提出的基于评分规则的一维情况的客观方法,我们提出了一种新的多维参数空间的客观先验,它产生了一个依赖结构。所提出的先验具有适当的、不依赖于所选模型的吸引人的特性;只在考虑的参数空间上。
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引用次数: 0
Subgroup analysis for the functional linear model 功能线性模型的亚群分析
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106120
Yifan Sun , Ziyi Liu , Wu Wang

Classical functional linear regression models the relationship between a scalar response and a functional covariate, where the coefficient function is assumed to be identical for all subjects. In this paper, the classical model is extended to allow heterogeneous coefficient functions across different subgroups of subjects. The greatest challenge is that the subgroup structure is usually unknown to us. To this end, we develop a penalization-based approach which innovatively applies the penalized fusion technique to simultaneously determine the number and structure of subgroups and coefficient functions within each subgroup. An effective computational algorithm is derived. We also establish the oracle properties and estimation consistency. Extensive numerical simulations demonstrate its superiority compared to several competing methods. The analysis of an air quality dataset leads to interesting findings and improved predictions.

经典的函数线性回归模拟标量响应和函数协变量之间的关系,其中系数函数假设对所有受试者都是相同的。本文对经典模型进行了扩展,使其允许跨不同子群的异质系数函数。最大的挑战是我们通常不知道子群的结构。为此,我们开发了一种基于惩罚的方法,该方法创新地应用了惩罚融合技术来同时确定子群的数量和结构以及每个子群内的系数函数。推导了一种有效的计算算法。我们还建立了oracle的属性和估计一致性。大量的数值模拟证明了该方法的优越性。对空气质量数据集的分析得出了有趣的发现并改进了预测。
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引用次数: 0
Variable selection with the knockoffs: Composite null hypotheses 冒牌货的变量选择:复合零假设
IF 0.9 4区 数学 Q2 Mathematics Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jspi.2023.106119
Mehrdad Pournaderi, Yu Xiang

The fixed-X knockoff filter is a flexible framework for variable selection with false discovery rate (FDR) control in linear models with arbitrary design matrices (of full column rank) and it allows for finite-sample selective inference via the Lasso estimates. In this paper, we extend the theory of the knockoff procedure to tests with composite null hypotheses, which are usually more relevant to real-world problems. The main technical challenge lies in handling composite nulls in tandem with dependent features from arbitrary designs. We develop two methods for composite inference with the knockoffs, namely, shifted ordinary least-squares (S-OLS) and feature-response product perturbation (FRPP), building on new structural properties of test statistics under composite nulls. We also propose two heuristic variants of S-OLS method that outperform the celebrated Benjamini–Hochberg (BH) procedure for composite nulls, which serves as a heuristic baseline under dependent test statistics. Finally, we analyze the loss in FDR when the original knockoff procedure is naively applied on composite tests.

固定x仿假滤波器是一个灵活的框架,用于在具有任意设计矩阵(全列秩)的线性模型中具有错误发现率(FDR)控制的变量选择,并且它允许通过Lasso估计进行有限样本选择推理。在本文中,我们将仿制过程的理论扩展到具有复合零假设的检验,这通常与现实世界的问题更相关。主要的技术挑战在于处理组合空与任意设计的相关特征。基于复合零值下检验统计量的新结构特性,我们开发了两种与仿制品进行复合推理的方法,即位移普通最小二乘(S-OLS)和特征响应积摄动(FRPP)。我们还提出了S-OLS方法的两个启发式变体,它们优于著名的benjamin - hochberg (BH)方法,该方法可作为依赖检验统计量下的启发式基线。最后,我们分析了当原始仿制品程序被天真地应用于复合试验时,在FDR中的损失。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
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