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Honey, I shrunk the irrelevant effects! Simple and flexible approximate Bayesian regularization 亲爱的,我缩小了无关的效果!简单灵活的近似贝叶斯正则化
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102925
Diana Karimova , Sara van Erp , Roger Th.A.J. Leenders , Joris Mulder
In the social and behavioral sciences and related fields, statistical models are becoming increasingly complex with more parameters to explain intricate dependency structures among larger sets of variables. Regularization techniques, like penalized regression, help identify key parameters by shrinking negligible effects to zero, resulting in parsimonious solutions with strong predictive performance. This paper introduces a simple and flexible approximate Bayesian regularization (ABR) procedure, combining a Gaussian approximation of the likelihood with a Bayesian shrinkage prior to obtain a regularized posterior. Parsimonious (interpretable) solutions are obtained by taking the posterior modes. Parameter uncertainty is quantified using the full posterior. Implemented in the R package shrinkem, the method is evaluated in synthetic and empirical applications. Its flexibility is demonstrated across various models, including linear regression, relational event models, mediation analysis, factor analysis, and Gaussian graphical models.
在社会和行为科学及相关领域,统计模型正变得越来越复杂,有更多的参数来解释更大的变量集之间复杂的依赖结构。正则化技术,如惩罚回归,通过将可忽略的影响缩小到零来帮助识别关键参数,从而产生具有强大预测性能的简洁解决方案。本文介绍了一种简单灵活的近似贝叶斯正则化(ABR)方法,将似然的高斯近似与贝叶斯收缩相结合来获得正则化后验。采用后验模态得到简约(可解释)解。参数的不确定性是用全后验量化的。在R封装收缩中实现,该方法在综合和经验应用中进行了评估。它的灵活性在各种模型中得到展示,包括线性回归、关系事件模型、中介分析、因素分析和高斯图形模型。
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引用次数: 0
A Boolean generalization of the information-gain model can eliminate specific reasoning errors 信息增益模型的布尔广义化可以消除特定的推理错误
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102918
Chris Thornton
In the Wason selection task, subjects show a tendency towards counter-logical behaviour. Evidence gained from this experiment raises questions about the role that deductive logic plays in human reasoning. A prominent explanation of the effect uses an information-gain model. Rather than reasoning deductively, it is argued that subjects seek to reduce uncertainty. The bias that is observed is seen to stem from maximizing information gain in this adaptively rational way. This theoretical article shows that a Boolean generalization of the information-gain model is potentially considered the normative foundation of reasoning, in which case several inferences traditionally considered errors are found to be valid. The article examines how this affects inferences involving both over-extension of logical implication and overestimation of conjunctive probability.
在瓦森选择任务中,受试者表现出反逻辑行为的倾向。从该实验中获得的证据提出了演绎逻辑在人类推理中所扮演角色的问题。对这一效应的一个重要解释是使用了信息增益模型。有人认为,受试者不是在进行演绎推理,而是在寻求减少不确定性。观察到的偏差被认为源于以这种适应性理性方式最大化信息增益。这篇理论文章表明,信息增益模型的布尔广义化有可能被视为推理的规范基础,在这种情况下,一些传统上被认为是错误的推理被认为是有效的。文章探讨了这对涉及逻辑蕴涵的过度扩展和连接概率的高估的推理有何影响。
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引用次数: 0
A concise mathematical description of active inference in discrete time 离散时间主动推理的简明数学描述
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102921
Jesse van Oostrum , Carlotta Langer , Nihat Ay
In this paper we present a concise mathematical description of active inference in discrete time. The main part of the paper serves as a basic introduction to the topic, including a detailed example of the action selection mechanism. The appendix discusses the more subtle mathematical details, targeting readers who have already studied the active inference literature but struggle to make sense of the mathematical details and derivations. Throughout, we emphasize precise and standard mathematical notation, ensuring consistency with existing texts and linking all equations to widely used references on active inference. Additionally, we provide Python code that implements the action selection and learning mechanisms described in this paper and is compatible with pymdp environments.
本文给出了离散时间主动推理的简明数学描述。论文的主要部分是对课题的基本介绍,包括一个动作选择机制的详细示例。附录讨论了更微妙的数学细节,目标读者谁已经研究了积极的推理文献,但努力使数学细节和推导的意义。在整个过程中,我们强调精确和标准的数学符号,确保与现有文本的一致性,并将所有方程与广泛使用的主动推理参考文献联系起来。此外,我们提供了Python代码来实现本文中描述的动作选择和学习机制,并且与pymdp环境兼容。
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引用次数: 0
Toward a unified perspective on assessment models, part II: Dichotomous latent variables 对评估模型的统一观点,第二部分:二分类潜在变量
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102926
Stefano Noventa , Jürgen Heller , Sangbeak Ye , Augustin Kelava
In the past years, several theories for assessment have been developed within the fields of Psychometrics and Mathematical Psychology. The most notable are Item Response Theory (IRT), Cognitive Diagnostic Assessment (CDA), and Knowledge Structure Theory (KST). In spite of their common goals, these theories have been developed largely independently, focusing on slightly different aspects. In Part I of this three-part work, a general framework was introduced with the aim of achieving a unified perspective. The framework consists of two primitives (structure and process) and two operations (factorization and reparametrization) that allow to derive the models of these theories and systematize them within a general taxonomy. In this second contribution, the framework introduced in Part I is used to derive both KST and CDA models based on dichotomous latent variables, thus achieving a two-fold result: On the one hand, it settles the relation between the frameworks; On the other hand, it provides a simultaneous generalization of both frameworks, thus providing the foundations for the analysis of more general models and situations.
在过去的几年里,心理测量学和数学心理学领域发展了一些评估理论。其中以项目反应理论(IRT)、认知诊断评估理论(CDA)和知识结构理论(KST)最为显著。尽管它们有共同的目标,但这些理论在很大程度上是独立发展的,关注的方面略有不同。在这个由三部分组成的工作的第一部分中,介绍了一个总体框架,目的是实现统一的视角。该框架由两个原语(结构和过程)和两个操作(分解和再参数化)组成,它们允许导出这些理论的模型并在一般分类法中将它们系统化。在第二份贡献中,第一部分中介绍的框架被用于推导基于二分类潜在变量的KST和CDA模型,从而获得了双重结果:一方面,它解决了框架之间的关系;另一方面,它提供了两个框架的同时泛化,从而为分析更一般的模型和情况提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Using systems factorial technology for global model analysis of ACT-R’s core architectural assumptions 使用系统析因技术对ACT-R的核心架构假设进行全局模型分析
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102924
Christopher R. Fisher , Joseph W. Houpt , Othalia Larue , Kevin Schmidt
Cognitive architectures (CAs) are unified theories of cognition which describe invariant properties in the structure and function of cognition, including how sub-systems (e.g., memory, vision) interact as a coherent system. One problem stemming from the size and flexibility of CAs is deriving critical tests of their core architectural assumptions. To address this issue, we combine systems factorial technology (SFT) and global model analysis (GMA) into a unified framework called SFT-GMA. In the framework, the prediction space is defined in terms of qualitative classes of SFT models, and GMA identifies constraints on this space based on core architectural assumptions. Critical tests are then derived and tested with SFT. Our application of SFT-GMA to ACT-R revealed two key insights: (1) we identified critical tests despite many degrees of freedom in model specification, and (2) ACT-R requires serial processing of perceptual stimuli under most conditions. These processing constraints on perception are at odds with data reported in several published experiments.
认知架构是一种统一的认知理论,它描述了认知结构和功能中的不变属性,包括子系统(如记忆、视觉)如何作为一个连贯的系统相互作用。源于ca的大小和灵活性的一个问题是对其核心体系结构假设进行关键测试。为了解决这个问题,我们将系统析因技术(SFT)和全局模型分析(GMA)结合到一个称为SFT-GMA的统一框架中。在框架中,预测空间是根据SFT模型的定性分类来定义的,GMA根据核心架构假设来识别该空间的约束。然后导出关键测试并用SFT进行测试。我们将SFT-GMA应用于ACT-R揭示了两个关键见解:(1)尽管模型规范中存在许多自由度,但我们确定了关键测试;(2)ACT-R在大多数情况下需要对感知刺激进行串行处理。这些对感知的处理限制与几个已发表的实验中报告的数据不一致。
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引用次数: 0
Secure and perfect maximality 安全和完美的极大化
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102922
Federico Quartieri
The paper introduces a refinement of maximality, called secure maximality, and a refinement of secure maximality, called perfect maximality. The effectivity of these refinements and the connection with other relevant optimality notions are investigated. Furthermore, necessary and sufficient conditions are provided for the secure maximality of all maximals and for the perfect maximality of all maximals as well as for the perfect maximality of all secure maximals. Several sufficient conditions for (as well as two characterizations of) the existence of secure and perfect maximals are established. The precise structure of the entire sets of secure and perfect maximals is examined for some specific classes of relations like interval orders that admit a certain type of representability by means of two real-valued functions, relations induced by cones and relations that admit linear multi-utility representations.
本文介绍了极大性的一种改进,称为安全极大性,以及安全极大性的一种改进,称为完美极大性。研究了这些改进的有效性以及与其他相关最优性概念的联系。进一步给出了所有极大值的安全极大值、所有极大值的完美极大值以及所有安全极大值的完美极大值的充分必要条件。建立了安全极大值和完美极大值存在的几个充分条件(以及两个刻画)。对于某些特定类型的关系,如通过两个实值函数承认某种类型的可表征性的区间阶、由锥诱导的关系和承认线性多效用表示的关系,研究了整个安全和完美极大值集的精确结构。
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引用次数: 0
Coupling quantum-like cognition with the neuronal networks within generalized probability theory 广义概率论中类量子认知与神经网络的耦合
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102923
Andrei Khrennikov , Masanao Ozawa , Felix Benninger , Oded Shor
The past few years have seen a surge in the application of quantum-like (QL) modeling in fields such as cognition, psychology, and decision-making. Despite the success of this approach in explaining various psychological phenomena, there remains a potential dissatisfaction due to its lack of clear connection to neurophysiological processes in the brain. Currently, it remains a phenomenological approach. In this paper, we develop a QL representation of networks of communicating neurons. This representation is not based on standard quantum theory but on generalized probability theory (GPT), with a focus on the operational measurement framework (see section 2.1 for comparison of classical, quantum, and generalized probability theories). Specifically, we use a version of GPT that relies on ordered linear state spaces rather than the traditional complex Hilbert spaces. A network of communicating neurons is modeled as a weighted directed graph, which is encoded by its weight matrix. The state space of these weight matrices is embedded within the GPT framework, incorporating effect-observables and state updates within the theory of measurement instruments — a critical aspect of this model. Under the specific assumption regarding neuronal connectivity, the compound system S=(S1,S2) of neuronal networks is represented using the tensor product. This S1S2 representation significantly enhances the computational power of S. The GPT-based approach successfully replicates key QL effects, such as order, non-repeatability, and disjunction effects — phenomena often associated with decision interference. Additionally, this framework enables QL modeling in medical diagnostics for neurological conditions like depression and epilepsy. While the focus of this paper is primarily on cognition and neuronal networks, the proposed formalism and methodology can be directly applied to a broad range of biological and social networks. Furthermore, it supports the claims of superiority made by quantum-inspired computing and can serve as the foundation for developing QL-based AI systems, specifically utilizing the QL representation of oscillator networks.
过去几年,类量子(QL)建模在认知、心理学和决策等领域的应用激增。尽管这种方法在解释各种心理现象方面取得了成功,但由于缺乏与大脑神经生理过程的明确联系,仍然存在潜在的不满。目前,它仍然是一种现象学方法。在本文中,我们开发了通信神经元网络的QL表示。这种表示不是基于标准量子理论,而是基于广义概率论(GPT),重点是操作测量框架(参见2.1节,比较经典、量子和广义概率论)。具体来说,我们使用的GPT版本依赖于有序线性状态空间,而不是传统的复希尔伯特空间。将通信神经元网络建模为加权有向图,用其权重矩阵进行编码。这些权重矩阵的状态空间嵌入在GPT框架中,在测量仪器的理论中纳入了效果可观测值和状态更新-这是该模型的一个关键方面。在神经元连通性的特定假设下,用张量积表示神经元网络的复合系统S=(S1,S2)。这种S1⊗S2表示显著增强了s的计算能力。基于gpt的方法成功地复制了关键的QL效应,如顺序、不可重复性和分离效应——这些现象通常与决策干扰有关。此外,该框架还支持在抑郁症和癫痫等神经系统疾病的医学诊断中进行QL建模。虽然本文主要关注认知和神经网络,但所提出的形式主义和方法可以直接应用于广泛的生物和社会网络。此外,它支持量子计算的优势主张,可以作为开发基于QL的人工智能系统的基础,特别是利用振荡器网络的QL表示。
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引用次数: 0
The assessment of global optimization skills in procedural knowledge space theory 程序知识空间理论中全局优化技能的评估
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102907
Luca Stefanutti, Andrea Brancaccio
Procedural knowledge space theory aims to evaluate problem-solving skills using a formal representation of a problem space. Stefanutti et al. (2021) introduced the concept of the “shortest path space” to characterize optimal problem spaces when a task requires reaching a solution in the minimum number of moves. This paper takes that idea further. It expands the shortest-path space concept to include a wider range of optimization problems, where each move can be weighted by a real number representing its “value”. Depending on the application, the “value” could be a cost, waiting time, route length, etc. This new model, named the optimizing path space, comprises all the globally best solutions. Additionally, it sets the stage for evaluating human problem-solving skills in various areas, like cognitive and neuropsychological tests, experimental studies, and puzzles, where globally optimal solutions are required.
程序性知识空间理论旨在用问题空间的形式化表示来评估解决问题的能力。Stefanutti等人(2021)引入了“最短路径空间”的概念,当任务需要以最少的移动次数达到解决方案时,该概念描述了最优问题空间。本文进一步阐述了这一观点。它扩展了最短路径空间概念,使其包含更广泛的优化问题,其中每个移动都可以用代表其“值”的实数加权。根据应用程序的不同,“值”可以是成本、等待时间、路由长度等。这个新模型被命名为最优路径空间,它包含了所有全局最优解。此外,它还为评估人类在各个领域解决问题的能力奠定了基础,如认知和神经心理学测试、实验研究和拼图,这些领域需要全局最优解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Models of human probability judgment errors 人类概率判断错误的模型
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102906
Jiaqi Huang, Jerome Busemeyer
One of cognitive science’s core challenges is reconciling the success of probabilistic models in explaining human cognition with the observed fallacies in human probability judgments. This tutorial delves into models that address this discrepancy, shedding light on probabilistic fallacies. It encompasses earlier accounts like heuristics and averaging models, as well as contemporary, comprehensive models like quantum probability, the Probability Plus Noise model, and the Bayesian Sampler. The tutorial concludes by introducing the most recent accounts that integrate probability judgments with choice and response time, and highlighting ongoing challenges in the field.
认知科学的核心挑战之一是协调概率模型在解释人类认知方面的成功与在人类概率判断中观察到的谬误。本教程将深入研究解决这种差异的模型,揭示概率谬论。它包含了早期的描述,如启发式和平均模型,以及当代的综合模型,如量子概率、概率加噪声模型和贝叶斯采样器。本教程最后介绍了将概率判断与选择和响应时间相结合的最新描述,并强调了该领域正在面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Two formal notions of higher-order invariance detection in humans (A proof of the invariance equivalence principle in Generalized Invariance Structure Theory and ramifications for related computations) 人类高阶不变性检测的两个形式化概念(广义不变性结构理论中不变性等价原理的证明及其计算结果)
IF 2.2 4区 心理学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmp.2025.102905
Ronaldo Vigo
Invariance and symmetry principles have played a fundamental if not essential role in the theoretical development of the physical and mathematical sciences. More recently, Generalized Invariance Structure Theory (GIST; Vigo, 2013, 2015; Vigo et al., 2022) has extended this methodological trajectory with respect to the study and formal modeling of human cognition. Indeed, GIST is the first systematic and extensively tested mathematical and computational theory of concept learning and categorization behavior (i.e., human generalization) based on such principles. The theory introduces an original mathematical and computational framework, with novel, more appropriate, and more natural characterizations, constructs, and measures of invariance and symmetry with respect to cognition than existing ones in the mathematical sciences and physics. These have proven effective in predicting and explaining empirically tested behavior in the domains of perception, concept learning, categorization, similarity assessment, aesthetic judgments, and decision making, among others. GIST has its roots in a precursor theory known as Categorical Invariance Theory (CIT; Vigo, 2009). This paper gives a basic introduction to two different notions of human invariance detection proposed by GIST and its precursor CIT: namely, a notion based on a cognitive mechanism of dimensional suppression, rapid attention shifting, and partial similarity assessment referred to as binding (s-invariance) and a perturbation notion based on perturbations of the values of the dimensions on which categories of object stimuli are defined (p-invariance). This is followed by the first simple formal proof of the invariance equivalence principle from GIST which asserts that the two notions are equivalent under a set of strict conditions on categories. The paper ends with a brief discussion of how GIST, unlike CIT, may be used to model probabilistic process accounts of categorization, and how it naturally and directly applies to the learning of sequential categories and to multiset-based concept learning.
在物理和数学科学的理论发展中,不变性和对称性原理即使不是必不可少的,也起到了基本的作用。最近,广义不变性结构理论(GIST;维戈,2013,2015;Vigo et al., 2022)在人类认知的研究和形式化建模方面扩展了这种方法轨迹。事实上,GIST是基于这些原理的概念学习和分类行为(即人类泛化)的第一个系统的和广泛测试的数学和计算理论。该理论引入了一个原始的数学和计算框架,与现有的数学科学和物理学相比,它具有新颖、更合适、更自然的特征、结构和认知不变性和对称性的度量。这些方法在预测和解释知觉、概念学习、分类、相似性评估、审美判断和决策等领域的经验测试行为方面已被证明是有效的。GIST起源于一个被称为范畴不变性理论(CIT;维哥,2009)。本文对GIST及其先驱CIT提出的两种不同的人类不变性检测概念进行了基本介绍:基于维度抑制、快速注意力转移和部分相似性评估的认知机制的概念称为绑定(s-不变性)和基于定义对象刺激类别的维度值的扰动(p-不变性)的概念。这是GIST对不变性等价原理的第一个简单形式证明,它断言这两个概念在一组严格的范畴条件下是等价的。本文最后简要讨论了GIST如何与CIT不同,可以用于对分类的概率过程帐户进行建模,以及它如何自然而直接地应用于顺序类别的学习和基于多集的概念学习。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Mathematical Psychology
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