Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-31DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111005
Weiqi Liu , Shaoxiu Ma , Haiyang Xi , Linhao Liang , Kun Feng , Atsushi Tsunekawa
Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is a key variable in drought occurrence and modeling. The no-water-limited Bowen ratio (βNWL) is widely used to construct energy balance-based PET models by assuming that βNWL does not vary with climate and vegetation conditions. However, we found that βNWL varies significantly with climate as well as vegetation conditions based on global-wide observational flux data. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the dominant influence factors of βNWL and to simulate the nonlinear relationship between βNWL with environmental factors by leveraging flux observation globally and machine learning models. We then applied the nonlinear βNWL to develop a PET model () and evaluated its performance under various conditions, comparing it against commonly used PET models. Our results showed that the gross primary productivity (GPP) had the most significant effect on βNWL, with a relative importance of 31%. The model significantly improved the accuracy of daily PET estimation (R2 ≥ 0.93, TSS ≥ 0.96, RMSE ≤ 0.48 mm/day, -0.04 mm/day ≤ MB ≤ 0.06 mm/day) against observation. Moreover, we also found that the model can effectively reduce the uncertainty (overestimation or underestimation) of PET estimation by commonly used PET models especially under drought conditions and hence significantly enhance the reliability of drought monitoring. This study reveals the influence of nonlinear relationships of surface energy partitioning on PET, which would be insightful for PET estimation as well as drought monitoring.
{"title":"The impact of nonlinear surface energy partitioning on potential evapotranspiration: A machine learning study based on FLUXNET data","authors":"Weiqi Liu , Shaoxiu Ma , Haiyang Xi , Linhao Liang , Kun Feng , Atsushi Tsunekawa","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Potential evapotranspiration (PET) is a key variable in drought occurrence and modeling. The no-water-limited Bowen ratio (β<sub>NWL</sub>) is widely used to construct energy balance-based PET models by assuming that β<sub>NWL</sub> does not vary with climate and vegetation conditions. However, we found that β<sub>NWL</sub> varies significantly with climate as well as vegetation conditions based on global-wide observational flux data. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the dominant influence factors of β<sub>NWL</sub> and to simulate the nonlinear relationship between β<sub>NWL</sub> with environmental factors by leveraging flux observation globally and machine learning models. We then applied the nonlinear β<sub>NWL</sub> to develop a PET model (<span><math><mrow><mi>P</mi><mi>E</mi><msub><mi>T</mi><msub><mi>β</mi><mrow><mi>N</mi><mi>W</mi><mi>L</mi><mo>−</mo><mi>R</mi><mi>F</mi></mrow></msub></msub></mrow></math></span>) and evaluated its performance under various conditions, comparing it against commonly used PET models. Our results showed that the gross primary productivity (GPP) had the most significant effect on β<sub>NWL</sub>, with a relative importance of 31%. The <span><math><mrow><mi>P</mi><mi>E</mi><msub><mi>T</mi><msub><mi>β</mi><mrow><mi>N</mi><mi>W</mi><mi>L</mi><mo>−</mo><mi>R</mi><mi>F</mi></mrow></msub></msub></mrow></math></span> model significantly improved the accuracy of daily PET estimation (R<sup>2</sup> ≥ 0.93, TSS ≥ 0.96, RMSE ≤ 0.48 mm/day, -0.04 mm/day ≤ MB ≤ 0.06 mm/day) against observation. Moreover, we also found that the <span><math><mrow><mi>P</mi><mi>E</mi><msub><mi>T</mi><msub><mi>β</mi><mrow><mi>N</mi><mi>W</mi><mi>L</mi><mo>−</mo><mi>R</mi><mi>F</mi></mrow></msub></msub></mrow></math></span> model can effectively reduce the uncertainty (overestimation or underestimation) of PET estimation by commonly used PET models especially under drought conditions and hence significantly enhance the reliability of drought monitoring. This study reveals the influence of nonlinear relationships of surface energy partitioning on PET, which would be insightful for PET estimation as well as drought monitoring.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 111005"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145883946","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-02DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111004
Bo Guo , Hui Yang , Chunyu Zhu , Zhibang Yan , Jiansheng Cao , Yanjun Shen
Rainfall partitioning plays a key role in the ecosystem water cycle and watershed water balance, and understanding its processes in the Taihang Mountains is essential for optimizing afforestation strategies and improving water resource management. Various afforestation species have been introduced since the implementation of ecological restoration projects, yet their effects on rainfall partitioning remain unclear. In this study, we used field observations and the Revised Gash model to investigate rainfall partitioning and its influencing factors among typical species in the Taihang Mountains. The results showed that the interception percentage, throughfall percentage, and stemflow percentage of different species at the study site ranged from 8.1% to 28.7%, 69.6% to 90.9%, and 0.9% to 10.5% of total rainfall, respectively. Rainfall amount was the most significant factor affecting rainfall partitioning, while rainfall duration and rainfall intensity had less impact on rainfall partitioning. The Revised Gash model was effectively parameterized for this region, with the relative error of the validation model for simulating typical vegetation interception ranging from -11.9% to 10.2%. The calculation method for the average evaporation rate of the canopy in the Revised Gash model affected the accuracy of interception simulations, with the Penman-Monteith method () providing better interception loss simulations for P. bungeana, while the mean method () was recommended for other species. Under extreme heavy rainfall events, interception loss ranged from 6.5% to 27.0% among different species. The Revised Gash model parameterized using the mean method () achieved relative errors ranging from -26.9% to 7.2% in simulating interception loss under extreme heavy rainfall events across different species. For all species, interception loss during and after rainfall accounted for the largest proportion, comprising 92.83% to 98.40% of interception loss. Compared to native species, economic species exhibited higher interception capacities, suggesting their more significant potential to influence rainfall partitioning and hydrological processes in the Taihang Mountains. In summary, evaluating the rainfall partitioning of typical species in this region has scientific significance for assessing hydrological processes and selecting afforestation species.
{"title":"Rainfall partitioning and interception simulation for typical species in the Taihang Mountains, China","authors":"Bo Guo , Hui Yang , Chunyu Zhu , Zhibang Yan , Jiansheng Cao , Yanjun Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rainfall partitioning plays a key role in the ecosystem water cycle and watershed water balance, and understanding its processes in the Taihang Mountains is essential for optimizing afforestation strategies and improving water resource management. Various afforestation species have been introduced since the implementation of ecological restoration projects, yet their effects on rainfall partitioning remain unclear. In this study, we used field observations and the Revised Gash model to investigate rainfall partitioning and its influencing factors among typical species in the Taihang Mountains. The results showed that the interception percentage, throughfall percentage, and stemflow percentage of different species at the study site ranged from 8.1% to 28.7%, 69.6% to 90.9%, and 0.9% to 10.5% of total rainfall, respectively. Rainfall amount was the most significant factor affecting rainfall partitioning, while rainfall duration and rainfall intensity had less impact on rainfall partitioning. The Revised Gash model was effectively parameterized for this region, with the relative error of the validation model for simulating typical vegetation interception ranging from -11.9% to 10.2%. The calculation method for the average evaporation rate of the canopy in the Revised Gash model affected the accuracy of interception simulations, with the Penman-Monteith method (<span><math><msub><mover><mrow><mi>E</mi></mrow><mo>‾</mo></mover><mi>PM</mi></msub></math></span>) providing better interception loss simulations for <em>P. bungeana</em>, while the mean method (<span><math><msub><mover><mrow><mi>E</mi></mrow><mo>‾</mo></mover><mi>TF</mi></msub></math></span>) was recommended for other species. Under extreme heavy rainfall events, interception loss ranged from 6.5% to 27.0% among different species. The Revised Gash model parameterized using the mean method (<span><math><msub><mover><mrow><mi>E</mi></mrow><mo>‾</mo></mover><mi>TF</mi></msub></math></span>) achieved relative errors ranging from -26.9% to 7.2% in simulating interception loss under extreme heavy rainfall events across different species. For all species, interception loss during and after rainfall accounted for the largest proportion, comprising 92.83% to 98.40% of interception loss. Compared to native species, economic species exhibited higher interception capacities, suggesting their more significant potential to influence rainfall partitioning and hydrological processes in the Taihang Mountains. In summary, evaluating the rainfall partitioning of typical species in this region has scientific significance for assessing hydrological processes and selecting afforestation species.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 111004"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145883952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-02DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110960
Gordon B. Bonan , Sean P. Burns , Edward G. Patton
Land surface models simulate fluxes exchanged between the land and atmosphere in weather and climate models. The prevailing modeling paradigm uses a big-leaf canopy parameterization that is not vertically-resolved. Multilayer canopy models have received interest over the past several years as a means to improve surface fluxes and enable new science. We present results from a comparison of the Community Land Model (CLM) multilayer canopy model (CLM-ml v2) and observations of air temperature, specific humidity, wind speed, and fluxes (net radiation, sensible heat, latent heat, momentum) at multiple heights in and above a walnut orchard during the Canopy Horizontal Array Turbulence Study (CHATS). The dataset provides a benchmark with which to test multilayer models. Above-canopy sensible heat, latent heat, and momentum fluxes are well simulated under a range of atmospheric regimes spanning strongly unstable, weakly unstable, near-neutral, weakly stable, and strongly stable, as are vertical profiles of fluxes within the canopy. Vertical profiles of wind speed closely match the observations under all stability regimes. Vertical profiles of air temperature and specific humidity are well simulated except for strongly stable conditions, when the first-order turbulence closure cannot represent within-canopy non-local vertical mixing that would otherwise transport the cool air produced by radiative cooling of the upper canopy downward to the lower canopy. Our model–data comparison highlights the potential of multilayer models to simulate the surface air space. The multilayer canopy model is simpler and more consistent with theory than is the CLM big-leaf canopy model, and it modernizes the canopy physics for theoretical and computational advances compared with CLM’s outdated ad-hoc parameterizations. Nonetheless, our analysis points to further modeling needs and identifies observations central to model testing. Measurements of within-canopy micrometeorology and leaf gas exchange are needed in addition to above-canopy fluxes.
{"title":"Beyond surface fluxes: Observational and computational needs of multilayer canopy models – A walnut orchard test case","authors":"Gordon B. Bonan , Sean P. Burns , Edward G. Patton","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110960","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110960","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land surface models simulate fluxes exchanged between the land and atmosphere in weather and climate models. The prevailing modeling paradigm uses a big-leaf canopy parameterization that is not vertically-resolved. Multilayer canopy models have received interest over the past several years as a means to improve surface fluxes and enable new science. We present results from a comparison of the Community Land Model (CLM) multilayer canopy model (CLM-ml v2) and observations of air temperature, specific humidity, wind speed, and fluxes (net radiation, sensible heat, latent heat, momentum) at multiple heights in and above a walnut orchard during the Canopy Horizontal Array Turbulence Study (CHATS). The dataset provides a benchmark with which to test multilayer models. Above-canopy sensible heat, latent heat, and momentum fluxes are well simulated under a range of atmospheric regimes spanning strongly unstable, weakly unstable, near-neutral, weakly stable, and strongly stable, as are vertical profiles of fluxes within the canopy. Vertical profiles of wind speed closely match the observations under all stability regimes. Vertical profiles of air temperature and specific humidity are well simulated except for strongly stable conditions, when the first-order turbulence closure cannot represent within-canopy non-local vertical mixing that would otherwise transport the cool air produced by radiative cooling of the upper canopy downward to the lower canopy. Our model–data comparison highlights the potential of multilayer models to simulate the surface air space. The multilayer canopy model is simpler and more consistent with theory than is the CLM big-leaf canopy model, and it modernizes the canopy physics for theoretical and computational advances compared with CLM’s outdated ad-hoc parameterizations. Nonetheless, our analysis points to further modeling needs and identifies observations central to model testing. Measurements of within-canopy micrometeorology and leaf gas exchange are needed in addition to above-canopy fluxes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110960"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145657550","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-01DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110942
Yongping Kou , Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo , Wenqiang Zhao , Xiangzhen Li , Yanhong Wu , Xiaohu Wang , Jiangtao Xiao , Haijian Bing , Qing Liu
Soil microbial methane (CH4) uptake is critical for mitigating global warming and is sensitive to climate change. However, how climatic changes regulate the capacity of forest soils to uptake CH4 across environmental gradients remains largely unclear. Here, we investigated the distribution and key drivers of the CH4 oxidation potential (MOP) across 26 forests along a latitudinal gradient of 4000 km with structural equation modeling and multiple regression. We found that climate was a fundamental driver of MOP, with soil MOP peaking in the subtropical zone and being the lowest in the temperate zone. Structural equation modeling provided evidence that soil MOP was directly driven by changes in the aridity index and indirectly by regulating plant biomass, followed by soil properties. We also found that the environmental context influenced MOP within particular biomes and vegetation types. For example, the cold temperate zone exhibited a significant positive correlation between soil copper content and MOP, suggesting copper as a key factor explaining the variation in soil MOP in this region, as the particulate methane monooxygenase that catalyzes the oxidation of CH4 is a copper-bound membrane metalloenzyme. Within coniferous broad-leaved forests, soil manganese emerged as a significant predictor of soil MOP, because CH4 oxidation could be coupled to the reduction of manganese oxides, highlighting its biome-specific role in ecosystem functioning. In addition, methanotrophic richness was most important for explaining soil MOP in coniferous forests due to the lower alpha diversity of methanotrophs observed here. Our study provides solid evidence that climate and local environmental conditions regulate CH4 sinks in forest ecosystems, with implications for predicting terrestrial carbon cycling under global climate change.
{"title":"Climatic control on soil microbial methane uptake across forest biomes","authors":"Yongping Kou , Manuel Delgado-Baquerizo , Wenqiang Zhao , Xiangzhen Li , Yanhong Wu , Xiaohu Wang , Jiangtao Xiao , Haijian Bing , Qing Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110942","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110942","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Soil microbial methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) uptake is critical for mitigating global warming and is sensitive to climate change. However, how climatic changes regulate the capacity of forest soils to uptake CH<sub>4</sub> across environmental gradients remains largely unclear. Here, we investigated the distribution and key drivers of the CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation potential (MOP) across 26 forests along a latitudinal gradient of 4000 km with structural equation modeling and multiple regression. We found that climate was a fundamental driver of MOP, with soil MOP peaking in the subtropical zone and being the lowest in the temperate zone. Structural equation modeling provided evidence that soil MOP was directly driven by changes in the aridity index and indirectly by regulating plant biomass, followed by soil properties. We also found that the environmental context influenced MOP within particular biomes and vegetation types. For example, the cold temperate zone exhibited a significant positive correlation between soil copper content and MOP, suggesting copper as a key factor explaining the variation in soil MOP in this region, as the particulate methane monooxygenase that catalyzes the oxidation of CH<sub>4</sub> is a copper-bound membrane metalloenzyme. Within coniferous broad-leaved forests, soil manganese emerged as a significant predictor of soil MOP, because CH<sub>4</sub> oxidation could be coupled to the reduction of manganese oxides, highlighting its biome-specific role in ecosystem functioning. In addition, methanotrophic richness was most important for explaining soil MOP in coniferous forests due to the lower alpha diversity of methanotrophs observed here. Our study provides solid evidence that climate and local environmental conditions regulate CH<sub>4</sub> sinks in forest ecosystems, with implications for predicting terrestrial carbon cycling under global climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110942"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145625161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-16DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110967
Tong Yang , Jinwei Dong , Jie Wang , Chao Zhang , Wenqi Liu , Yuting Zhou , Geli Zhang , Guosong Zhao
Rice paddy expansion in Northeast China can affect land surface temperature (LST) through biophysical mechanisms. However, the temporal and spatial heterogeneity of the LST effects, the variations associated with the area proportions of rice paddy, and the underlying biophysical mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this study, we analyze the differences in LST (dLST), albedo (dAlbedo), and evapotranspiration (dET) between rice paddies and adjacent rainfed croplands using a pair-wise comparison approach. Our results show that the expansion of rice paddies potentially reduces daytime LST (−2.02 ± 1.03 °C) and albedo (−1.02 ± 1.07 %) while increases nighttime LST (0.76 ± 0.41 °C) and ET (0.03 ± 1.20 mm/8 days) in Northeast China during the growing season (May to September). The effects are more pronounced in spring than in summer and autumn. Spatially, Sanjiang Plain exhibits a daytime cooling effect in later months and a nighttime warming effect in earlier months than other regions. For every ten percent increase in the area proportion of rice paddies, daytime dLST decreases by 1.60 °C, nighttime dLST increases by 0.64 °C, and dAlbedo decreases by 1.40 %. Using a decomposed temperature metric approach, we confirmed that non-radiative mechanisms dominate the cooling effects during the growing season. These findings emphasize the need to consider spatial heterogeneity and biophysical mechanisms of land cover changes in model simulations, crop planting plans, and regional climate mitigation strategies.
{"title":"Unveiling spatial and temporal characteristics of cooling effects of rice paddy expansion in Northeast China","authors":"Tong Yang , Jinwei Dong , Jie Wang , Chao Zhang , Wenqi Liu , Yuting Zhou , Geli Zhang , Guosong Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110967","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110967","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rice paddy expansion in Northeast China can affect land surface temperature (LST) through biophysical mechanisms. However, the temporal and spatial heterogeneity of the LST effects, the variations associated with the area proportions of rice paddy, and the underlying biophysical mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this study, we analyze the differences in LST (dLST), albedo (dAlbedo), and evapotranspiration (dET) between rice paddies and adjacent rainfed croplands using a pair-wise comparison approach. Our results show that the expansion of rice paddies potentially reduces daytime LST (−2.02 ± 1.03 °C) and albedo (−1.02 ± 1.07 %) while increases nighttime LST (0.76 ± 0.41 °C) and ET (0.03 ± 1.20 mm/8 days) in Northeast China during the growing season (May to September). The effects are more pronounced in spring than in summer and autumn. Spatially, Sanjiang Plain exhibits a daytime cooling effect in later months and a nighttime warming effect in earlier months than other regions. For every ten percent increase in the area proportion of rice paddies, daytime dLST decreases by 1.60 °C, nighttime dLST increases by 0.64 °C, and dAlbedo decreases by 1.40 %. Using a decomposed temperature metric approach, we confirmed that non-radiative mechanisms dominate the cooling effects during the growing season. These findings emphasize the need to consider spatial heterogeneity and biophysical mechanisms of land cover changes in model simulations, crop planting plans, and regional climate mitigation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110967"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145785295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-16DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110990
Qin He , Paolo Cherubini , J. Julio Camarero , Xiaochun Wang , Yuan Zhang , Danyang Yuan , Shuguang Liu , Liangjun Zhu
Intra-annual density fluctuations (IADFs) are wood cells formed in response to abnormal climatic events during the growing season. They are crucial for evaluating the relationship between extreme climatic events and radial growth, as well as for understanding wood quality. However, most existing research has focused on seasonally dry Mediterranean and semi-arid conifer forests, with limited studies conducted in other regions—particularly subtropical forests, where frequent and severe droughts constrain forest productivity and growth. Here, we investigated the occurrence patterns and triggering factors of IADFs in Pinus massoniana plantations along a climate gradient in southern China. We found that latewood IADFs (IADF-L) are the predominant type formed by P. massoniana, whereas earlywood IADFs (IADF-E) are relatively rare. The frequency of IADFs showed a clear spatial pattern, gradually increasing as climate conditions became warmer and wetter. IADF-L frequency was negatively correlated with elevation but positively correlated with tree-ring width. High precipitation in late summer and early autumn, as well as hot and dry conditions during summer, triggered the formation of IADF-Ls, while spring (May) droughts induced IADF-E. The inferred climatic drivers of IADFs were further confirmed by climate-growth relationships based on seasonal wood data and the VS-Lite tree-ring growth model. Our findings provide a valuable foundation for developing management strategies for drought-prone subtropical pine forests. For example, artificial rainfall or supplemental irrigation during summer-autumn dry spells could stimulate the formation of IADF-Ls, thereby enhancing forest growth and carbon sequestration capacity.
{"title":"Intra-annual density fluctuations in Pinus massoniana across subtropical forests in China: Occurrence patterns and triggering factors","authors":"Qin He , Paolo Cherubini , J. Julio Camarero , Xiaochun Wang , Yuan Zhang , Danyang Yuan , Shuguang Liu , Liangjun Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110990","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110990","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Intra-annual density fluctuations (IADFs) are wood cells formed in response to abnormal climatic events during the growing season. They are crucial for evaluating the relationship between extreme climatic events and radial growth, as well as for understanding wood quality. However, most existing research has focused on seasonally dry Mediterranean and semi-arid conifer forests, with limited studies conducted in other regions—particularly subtropical forests, where frequent and severe droughts constrain forest productivity and growth. Here, we investigated the occurrence patterns and triggering factors of IADFs in <em>Pinus massoniana</em> plantations along a climate gradient in southern China. We found that latewood IADFs (IADF-L) are the predominant type formed by <em>P. massoniana</em>, whereas earlywood IADFs (IADF-E) are relatively rare. The frequency of IADFs showed a clear spatial pattern, gradually increasing as climate conditions became warmer and wetter. IADF-L frequency was negatively correlated with elevation but positively correlated with tree-ring width. High precipitation in late summer and early autumn, as well as hot and dry conditions during summer, triggered the formation of IADF-Ls, while spring (May) droughts induced IADF-E. The inferred climatic drivers of IADFs were further confirmed by climate-growth relationships based on seasonal wood data and the VS-Lite tree-ring growth model. Our findings provide a valuable foundation for developing management strategies for drought-prone subtropical pine forests. For example, artificial rainfall or supplemental irrigation during summer-autumn dry spells could stimulate the formation of IADF-Ls, thereby enhancing forest growth and carbon sequestration capacity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110990"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145785296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-13DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110964
Lorena Oliveira Barbosa , Otávio Camargo Campoe , José Roberto Soares Scolforo , Henrique Ferraço Scolforo , Timothy J. Albaugh , Rachel Cook , Rafael Rubilar , Juscelina Arcanjo Santos
Pinus taeda is a species native to southeastern regions of the United State (USA), but plantations with the highest productivity are found in the southern region of Brazil (BRA). The objective of our study was to determine the higher (Light Use Efficiency) LUE and absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (APAR) of P. taeda genotypes with different spacings in order to evaluate potential strategies that could increase the productivity of intensively managed stands in Brazil and the United States. The experiment was designed as a split-split-plot, and evaluations included 81 trees in BRA and 63 trees in the USA, two genotypes (clone C3 vs. open pollination (OP)) and two spacings (BRA – 2.4 × 6.8 m, 613 trees/ha; USA – 3.66 × 4.42 m, 618 trees/ha) and narrow spacing (BRA – 2.4 × 2.2 m, 1894 trees/ha; USA – 3.66 × 1.47 m, 1853 trees/ha). Individual tree calculations of LUE were made at both locations for each tree by dividing its current annual stem increment (WNPPi) by APAR estimated from MAESTRA, a process-based model. The parameterization of this model included the use of forest inventory data, meteorological data, crown characteristics (average crown radius, height, diameter, and leaf area), leaf area density distribution, leaf transmittance, and leaf and soil reflectance. Results showed that trees growing in Brazil had greater leaf area (32%) and stem biomass growth (5%) and absorbed more light (49%) than trees in the USA. The genotype C3 was more efficient than OP in light use at both locations. Narrow spacing resulted in higher LUE values (0,8 g MJ-1). APAR explain 80% and 65% of WNPP in BRA and USA, respective. Our results suggest that LUE explained the growth differences between sites, genotypes, and spacings, while APAR provided a better differentiation of WNPP between the sites.
{"title":"APAR is a better predictor than LUE of the stem growth differences found between Loblolly pine grown in the United State and Brazil","authors":"Lorena Oliveira Barbosa , Otávio Camargo Campoe , José Roberto Soares Scolforo , Henrique Ferraço Scolforo , Timothy J. Albaugh , Rachel Cook , Rafael Rubilar , Juscelina Arcanjo Santos","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110964","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110964","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div><em>Pinus taeda</em> is a species native to southeastern regions of the United State (USA), but plantations with the highest productivity are found in the southern region of Brazil (BRA). The objective of our study was to determine the higher (Light Use Efficiency) LUE and absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (APAR) of <em>P. taeda</em> genotypes with different spacings in order to evaluate potential strategies that could increase the productivity of intensively managed stands in Brazil and the United States. The experiment was designed as a split-split-plot, and evaluations included 81 trees in BRA and 63 trees in the USA, two genotypes (clone C3 vs. open pollination (OP)) and two spacings (BRA – 2.4 × 6.8 m, 613 trees/ha; USA – 3.66 × 4.42 m, 618 trees/ha) and narrow spacing (BRA – 2.4 × 2.2 m, 1894 trees/ha; USA – 3.66 × 1.47 m, 1853 trees/ha). Individual tree calculations of LUE were made at both locations for each tree by dividing its current annual stem increment (WNPPi) by APAR estimated from MAESTRA, a process-based model. The parameterization of this model included the use of forest inventory data, meteorological data, crown characteristics (average crown radius, height, diameter, and leaf area), leaf area density distribution, leaf transmittance, and leaf and soil reflectance. Results showed that trees growing in Brazil had greater leaf area (32%) and stem biomass growth (5%) and absorbed more light (49%) than trees in the USA. The genotype C3 was more efficient than OP in light use at both locations. Narrow spacing resulted in higher LUE values (0,8 g MJ<sup>-1</sup>). APAR explain 80% and 65% of WNPP in BRA and USA, respective. Our results suggest that LUE explained the growth differences between sites, genotypes, and spacings, while APAR provided a better differentiation of WNPP between the sites.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110964"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145753301","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-18DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110987
Simon De Cannière , Sebastian Wieneke , Thomas Servotte , Adrià Descals , Tim Verdonck , Ivan Janssens
Gap-filling of eddy covariance (EC) CO flux data is critical for quantifying ecosystem carbon balances, yet traditional methods like Marginal Distribution Sampling (MDS) do not adequately represent sub-daily carbon fluxes and it fails to leverage vegetation dynamics, which is especially problematic for filling in gaps longer than one week. This study evaluates the potential of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), a machine learning approach, to improve gap-filling of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and gross primary production (GPP) by integrating remote sensing (RS) data and environmental data, both from in-situ measurements and from the ERA5 reanalysis model over a temperate pine forest (ICOS site BE-Bra). We compare three XGBoost models: (1) in-situ (meteorological, soil moisture, and tower-based sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF)), (2) large-scale (ERA5 and Sentinel-2-derived vegetation indices), and (3) hybrid (combining ERA5 and Sentinel-2-derived vegetation indices with in-situ radiation). The results show XGBoost outperforms MDS for NEE gap-filling in all of its scenarios, with minimal performance degradation for gaps up to 56 days. Soil moisture and SIF improved predictions during warm periods (Air Temperature 25° C), when these data were taken from in-situ sources. SHAP analysis revealed light-related drivers as dominant controls. During heatwaves, typically co-occurring with high-light conditions, soil water content became an important driver. Overall, the hybrid model achieved comparable model performance as the models with in-situ data, demonstrating the viability of satellite RS and reanalysis for operational gap-filling. However, in-situ irradiation turned out notably more useful compared to irradiation from a reanalysis. Our findings advocate for XGBoost as a robust tool to integrate multi-source data, advancing carbon flux quantification beyond traditional methods, espescially when it comes to modeling the sub-daily carbon fluxes, which is important when using EC data for evaluating remote sensing based carbon flux estimations.
{"title":"Improved gap-filling of eddy covariance CO2 fluxes using remote sensing and environmental variables via XGBoost","authors":"Simon De Cannière , Sebastian Wieneke , Thomas Servotte , Adrià Descals , Tim Verdonck , Ivan Janssens","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110987","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110987","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Gap-filling of eddy covariance (EC) CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> flux data is critical for quantifying ecosystem carbon balances, yet traditional methods like Marginal Distribution Sampling (MDS) do not adequately represent sub-daily carbon fluxes and it fails to leverage vegetation dynamics, which is especially problematic for filling in gaps longer than one week. This study evaluates the potential of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), a machine learning approach, to improve gap-filling of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and gross primary production (GPP) by integrating remote sensing (RS) data and environmental data, both from in-situ measurements and from the ERA5 reanalysis model over a temperate pine forest (ICOS site BE-Bra). We compare three XGBoost models: (1) in-situ (meteorological, soil moisture, and tower-based sun-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF)), (2) large-scale (ERA5 and Sentinel-2-derived vegetation indices), and (3) hybrid (combining ERA5 and Sentinel-2-derived vegetation indices with in-situ radiation). The results show XGBoost outperforms MDS for NEE gap-filling in all of its scenarios, with minimal performance degradation for gaps up to 56 days. Soil moisture and SIF improved predictions during warm periods (Air Temperature <span><math><mo>></mo></math></span> 25° C), when these data were taken from in-situ sources. SHAP analysis revealed light-related drivers as dominant controls. During heatwaves, typically co-occurring with high-light conditions, soil water content became an important driver. Overall, the hybrid model achieved comparable model performance as the models with in-situ data, demonstrating the viability of satellite RS and reanalysis for operational gap-filling. However, in-situ irradiation turned out notably more useful compared to irradiation from a reanalysis. Our findings advocate for XGBoost as a robust tool to integrate multi-source data, advancing carbon flux quantification beyond traditional methods, espescially when it comes to modeling the sub-daily carbon fluxes, which is important when using EC data for evaluating remote sensing based carbon flux estimations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110987"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145785326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2025-12-02DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110965
Xueran Wang , Rongrong Wan , Guishan Yang , Xiaosong Zhao , Bing Li , Xingwang Fan , Yixue Hong , Haoran Wang , Jipeng Song , Zhiyu Song , Yu Jiang
Floodplain methane (CH4) emissions represent a significant component of the global CH4 budget. However, their response to escalating extreme drought events remains poorly understood, mainly due to high temporal variability under alternating wet-dry conditions. To address this gap, we conducted two years of in-situ CH4 flux measurements using the chamber technique across alternating hydrological cycles (2022–2023) in the Poyang Lake floodplain, during which the region experienced a prolonged drought. Our results showed that CH4 emissions during non-flooding periods (1.82 ± 1.36 mg CH4 m–2 h–1) (mean ± standard deviation) were significantly higher than those during flooding periods (1.26 ± 0.96 mg CH4 m–2 h–1). Notably, CH4 fluxes in the autumn growing period (2.04 ± 1.43 mg CH4 m–2 h–1) were 35 % higher than in the spring (1.51 ± 1.21 mg CH4 m–2 h–1) under drought conditions. Further analysis revealed that, apart from air temperature, CH4 fluxes were primarily regulated by vegetation during non-flooding periods and by fluctuating water levels and flooding duration that influence biogeochemical processes during flooding periods. The enhanced temperature sensitivity of CH4 emissions emerged as a key factor for the higher autumn emissions compared to spring, which is directly linked to the shortened flooding period in the Poyang Lake floodplain. These findings underscore the critical role of extreme drought in reshaping hydrological conditions and CH4 emissions in floodplain wetlands, with important implications for predicting wetland responses under future climate change scenarios.
{"title":"Hydrological processes govern methane flux fluctuations in a subtropical floodplain","authors":"Xueran Wang , Rongrong Wan , Guishan Yang , Xiaosong Zhao , Bing Li , Xingwang Fan , Yixue Hong , Haoran Wang , Jipeng Song , Zhiyu Song , Yu Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110965","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110965","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Floodplain methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) emissions represent a significant component of the global CH<sub>4</sub> budget. However, their response to escalating extreme drought events remains poorly understood, mainly due to high temporal variability under alternating wet-dry conditions. To address this gap, we conducted two years of <em>in-situ</em> CH<sub>4</sub> flux measurements using the chamber technique across alternating hydrological cycles (2022–2023) in the Poyang Lake floodplain, during which the region experienced a prolonged drought. Our results showed that CH<sub>4</sub> emissions during non-flooding periods (1.82 ± 1.36 mg CH<sub>4</sub> m<sup>–2</sup> h<sup>–1</sup>) (mean ± standard deviation) were significantly higher than those during flooding periods (1.26 ± 0.96 mg CH<sub>4</sub> m<sup>–2</sup> h<sup>–1</sup>). Notably, CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes in the autumn growing period (2.04 ± 1.43 mg CH<sub>4</sub> m<sup>–2</sup> h<sup>–1</sup>) were 35 % higher than in the spring (1.51 ± 1.21 mg CH<sub>4</sub> m<sup>–2</sup> h<sup>–1</sup>) under drought conditions. Further analysis revealed that, apart from air temperature, CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes were primarily regulated by vegetation during non-flooding periods and by fluctuating water levels and flooding duration that influence biogeochemical processes during flooding periods. The enhanced temperature sensitivity of CH<sub>4</sub> emissions emerged as a key factor for the higher autumn emissions compared to spring, which is directly linked to the shortened flooding period in the Poyang Lake floodplain. These findings underscore the critical role of extreme drought in reshaping hydrological conditions and CH<sub>4</sub> emissions in floodplain wetlands, with important implications for predicting wetland responses under future climate change scenarios.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 110965"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145658196","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-03-01Epub Date: 2026-01-03DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111009
Tian Zhang , Chris B. Zou , Rodney E. Will , Benedict Ferguson , Jia Yang
Woody plant encroachment (WPE) is transforming grassland ecosystems, with important consequences for carbon sequestration and water balance. This study assessed the long-term impacts of eastern redcedar (Juniperus virginiana, juniper) encroachment by comparing ecosystem carbon and water fluxes between a mature juniper‐dominant woodland and an adjacent tallgrass prairie in the Southern Great Plains, USA. Paired eddy covariance systems (2022–2024) revealed that the juniper woodland was a weaker carbon sink, with a mean annual net ecosystem CO2 exchange (NEE) of -162 g C/m2, compared to -182 g C/m2 in the tallgrass prairie. This occurred despite higher annual gross primary productivity (GPP: 2164 vs. 1475 g C/m²), aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP: 281 vs. 142 g C/m²), and evapotranspiration (ET: 762 vs. 589 mm) of the woodland because WPE increased ecosystem respiration (Re: 2001 vs. 1294 g C/m²). These results suggest a decoupling of water loss from carbon gain in juniper woodlands and underscore the importance of evaluating full ecosystem carbon budgets – beyond aboveground biomass – to guide integrated carbon and water management in a transitional landscape in the prairies.
木本植物入侵(WPE)正在改变草原生态系统,对固碳和水平衡产生重要影响。本研究通过比较美国南部大平原以成熟杉木为主的林地和邻近的高草草原的生态系统碳和水通量,评估了东部红杉(Juniperus virginia,杜松)入侵的长期影响。配对涡动相关系统(2022-2024)显示,与高草草原的-182 g C/m2相比,杉木林地的年净生态系统二氧化碳交换(NEE)为-162 g C/m2,是一个较弱的碳汇。尽管由于WPE增加了生态系统呼吸(Re: 2001对1294 g C/m²),林地的年总初级生产力(GPP: 2164对1475 g C/m²)、地上净初级生产力(ANPP: 281对142 g C/m²)和蒸散(ET: 762对589 mm)更高,但这种情况仍发生了。这些结果表明,在杜松林地中,水分损失与碳收益是分离的,并强调了评估整个生态系统的碳预算(超过地上生物量)的重要性,以指导草原过渡景观中碳和水的综合管理。
{"title":"Maturation of encroaching juniper woodland elevates gross primary productivity and water use but reduces net ecosystem exchange relative to native tallgrass prairie","authors":"Tian Zhang , Chris B. Zou , Rodney E. Will , Benedict Ferguson , Jia Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.111009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Woody plant encroachment (WPE) is transforming grassland ecosystems, with important consequences for carbon sequestration and water balance. This study assessed the long-term impacts of eastern redcedar (<em>Juniperus virginiana</em>, juniper) encroachment by comparing ecosystem carbon and water fluxes between a mature juniper‐dominant woodland and an adjacent tallgrass prairie in the Southern Great Plains, USA. Paired eddy covariance systems (2022–2024) revealed that the juniper woodland was a weaker carbon sink, with a mean annual net ecosystem CO<sub>2</sub> exchange (NEE) of -162 g C/m<sup>2</sup>, compared to -182 g C/m<sup>2</sup> in the tallgrass prairie. This occurred despite higher annual gross primary productivity (GPP: 2164 vs. 1475 g C/m²), aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP: 281 vs. 142 g C/m²), and evapotranspiration (ET: 762 vs. 589 mm) of the woodland because WPE increased ecosystem respiration (R<sub>e</sub>: 2001 vs. 1294 g C/m²). These results suggest a decoupling of water loss from carbon gain in juniper woodlands and underscore the importance of evaluating full ecosystem carbon budgets – beyond aboveground biomass – to guide integrated carbon and water management in a transitional landscape in the prairies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"378 ","pages":"Article 111009"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145884005","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}