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A model-data fusion approach for quantifying the carbon budget in cotton agroecosystems across the United States 量化全美棉花农业生态系统碳预算的模型-数据融合方法
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110407
Rongzhu Qin , Kaiyu Guan , Bin Peng , Feng Zhang , Wang Zhou , Jinyun Tang , Tongxi Hu , Robert Grant , Benjamin R K Runkle , Michele Reba , Xiaocui Wu
<div><div>Cotton (<em>Gossypium hirsutum</em> L.) cultivation contributes to economic development, particularly in the Cotton Belt of the Southern United States (U.S.). As one of the world's largest exporters of cotton, the U.S. cotton industry plays a pivotal role in both the domestic and international markets. Accurate quantification of carbon budgets and their responses to the environment is thus crucial for the sustainable production of cotton, but such quantification at the regional scale remains unclear. Here we use a framework that combines an advanced process-based model, <em>ecosys</em>, and a deep learning-based Model-Data Fusion (MDF) approach to quantify the magnitude and patterns of carbon flux and cotton lint yield under both rainfed and irrigated conditions in the U.S. We first evaluate the performance of the process-based model in simulating carbon budgets of cotton agroecosystems using eddy-covariance (EC) values at production-scale farm sites. We then apply MDF to use satellite-based gross primary production (GPP) and survey-based cotton lint yield data as constraints of the <em>ecosys</em> model to generate the holistic carbon budget of cotton cropland at the county level across the U.S. from 2008 to 2019. Validation at the three EC sites indicates that the <em>ecosys</em> model achieves R<sup>2</sup> values of 0.9 and 0.8 for the simulated versus the EC daily GPP and respiration, respectively, and 0.9 for the simulated versus the experimentally measured leaf area index. The R<sup>2</sup> at county level in our framework is 0.8 for both cotton lint yield and GPP: the simulated versus survey-based cotton lint yield, and the simulated versus satellite-based monthly GPP. The spatio-temporal patterns of the simulated cotton lint yield, GPP, and their responses to climate factors (average temperature, average vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and cumulative precipitation during the growing season) are consistent with the observations, indicating that our framework approach captures the underlying processes relating environmental conditions to cotton growth. Our analysis shows that cotton productivity (lint yield and GPP) decreased with increasing average VPD during the growing season, especially under rainfed conditions. It also shows that the carbon budget terms, including predicted net primary productivity, crop yield, and soil heterotrophic respiration, decreased as the VPD increased. Conversely, the predicted change in soil organic carbon was less influenced by climate, which decreased with increasing initial soil organic carbon content and cation exchange capacity, and increased with increasing soil bulk density. The variable impacts of crop management practices, climatic factors, and soil characteristics on carbon budgets highlight the intricate interactions among these factors that shape carbon dynamics in cotton agroecosystems, and further emphasize the necessity of accurately simulating the carbon budgets of cotton agroecosyste
棉花(棉)的种植促进了经济的发展,特别是在美国南部的棉花带。作为世界上最大的棉花出口国之一,美国棉花产业在国内和国际市场上都发挥着举足轻重的作用。因此,准确量化碳预算及其对环境的反应对棉花的可持续生产至关重要,但这种区域尺度的量化尚不清楚。在这里,我们使用了一个框架,结合了先进的基于过程的模型,ecosys和基于深度学习的模型-数据融合(MDF)方法来量化美国雨养和灌溉条件下碳通量和棉花产量的大小和模式。我们首先评估了基于过程的模型在模拟棉花农业生态系统碳预算方面的性能,使用生产规模农场的涡流协方差(EC)值。然后,我们将MDF应用于基于卫星的初级生产总值(GPP)和基于调查的棉绒产量数据作为生态模型的约束条件,得出2008年至2019年美国县级棉田的整体碳预算。三个欧共体站点的验证表明,ecosys模型的模拟值与欧共体日GPP和呼吸值的R2分别为0.9和0.8,模拟值与实验测量的叶面积指数的R2为0.9。在我们的框架中,县一级的棉绒产量和GPP的R2均为0.8:模拟的棉绒产量与基于调查的棉绒产量,模拟的月度GPP与基于卫星的月度GPP。模拟棉花产量、GPP及其对气候因子(平均温度、平均蒸汽压差(VPD)和生长季累积降水)的响应的时空格局与观测值一致,表明我们的框架方法捕捉了环境条件对棉花生长的潜在影响过程。我们的分析表明,在生长季节,棉花生产力(皮棉产量和GPP)随着平均VPD的增加而下降,特别是在雨养条件下。碳收支项(包括预测净初级生产力、作物产量和土壤异养呼吸)随着VPD的增加而降低。相反,土壤有机碳的预测变化受气候的影响较小,随土壤初始有机碳含量和阳离子交换容量的增加而降低,随土壤容重的增加而增加。作物管理方式、气候因子和土壤特征对碳收支的不同影响凸显了这些因素之间复杂的相互作用,从而塑造了棉花农业生态系统的碳动态,并进一步强调了跨时空尺度准确模拟棉花农业生态系统碳收支的必要性。本研究建立了一个框架,利用先进的MDF来评估美国棉花农业生态系统的气候缓解战略。
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引用次数: 0
Terrestrial laser scanning-derived canopy storage capacity improves the performance of the revised Gash model in temperate forests 陆地激光扫描导出的冠层存储量提高了修正Gash模型在温带森林中的性能
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110398
Yue Yu , Jiaojun Zhu , Tian Gao , Zhihua Liu , Lifang Liu , Fengyuan Yu , Jinxin Zhang
Rainfall interception loss (I) by forest canopy is a crucial hydrological process in forest ecosystems, and thus its accurate modeling is essential for understanding water balance. The revised Gash model is commonly employed in I modeling; however, its performance is affected by the accuracy of canopy storage capacity (S), which is identified as one of the most sensitive parameters. Consequently, optimizing the estimation of S and then cascading application in the revised Gash model warrants further attention. In this study, we measured gross rainfall, throughfall, and stemflow for the larch (Larix kaempferi) plantation forest (LPF) and the Mongolian oak (Quercus mongolica) forest (MOF) in Northeast China in 2018 and 2019. Terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) was introduced to derive S (Sex). Sex was then compared with values calculated from two commonly regression-based methods (Smean and Smini). Finally, the revised Gash model was run using the three types of S, and the model performances were evaluated. As a result, I of LPF (27.9 %) was higher than that of MOF (20.1 %). For LPF and MOF, S calculated from Sex was the largest (1.45 and 0.51 mm), followed in descending order by Smean (0.98 and 0.32 mm) and Smini (0.29 and 0.13 mm). Compared with models run with Smean and Smini, Sex improved the model performance, regardless of whether the Penman-Monteith equation or a linear regression method was used to calculate the evaporation rate (another sensitive parameter of the revised Gash model). Moreover, the model using Sex particularly enhanced the model's accuracy at middle and heavy rainfall levels. In conclusion, the TLS-derived S improves the model performance in temperate forests in Northeast China. Meanwhile, in contrast to previous studies, which emphasized the contribution of evaporation rate/rainfall intensity (E/R) in modelling larger rainfall events, this study suggests the role of S should not be overlooked.
森林冠层截流损失是森林生态系统中一个重要的水文过程,其准确建模对理解森林生态系统的水分平衡至关重要。修正后的Gash模型常用于I建模;但其性能受冠层存储量(S)精度的影响,而S是最敏感的参数之一。因此,在修正后的Gash模型中,优化S的估计,然后级联应用值得进一步关注。在本研究中,我们测量了2018年和2019年中国东北落叶松人工林(LPF)和蒙古栎林(MOF)的总降雨量、穿透量和茎流。引入地面激光扫描(TLS)来推导S (Sex)。然后将性别与两种常用的基于回归的方法(Smean和Smini)计算的值进行比较。最后,对修正后的Gash模型使用三种S进行运行,并对模型性能进行评价。结果表明,LPF的I(27.9%)高于MOF(20.1%)。对于LPF和MOF,由性别计算的S最大(1.45和0.51 mm),其次是Smean(0.98和0.32 mm)和Smini(0.29和0.13 mm)。与Smean和Smini运行的模型相比,无论是使用Penman-Monteith方程还是线性回归方法计算蒸发速率(修正后Gash模型的另一个敏感参数),Sex都提高了模型的性能。此外,使用Sex的模型特别提高了模型在中、强降雨水平的准确性。综上所述,基于tls的S提高了模型在东北温带森林中的性能。同时,与以往研究强调蒸发速率/降雨强度(E/R)在模拟大降雨事件中的贡献不同,本研究表明S的作用不容忽视。
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引用次数: 0
Variations and drivers of CO2 fluxes at multiple temporal scales of subtropical agricultural systems in the Huaihe river Basin 淮河流域亚热带农业系统多时间尺度CO2通量变化及其驱动因素
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110394
Kaidi Zhang , Yanyu Lu , Chunfeng Duan , Fangmin Zhang , Xinfeng Ling , Yun Yao , Zhuang Wang , Xintong Chen , Shaowei Yan , Yanfeng Huo , Yuan Gong
Understanding of the crop carbon balance across different time scales and corresponding responses to abiotic and biotic factors is crucial for improving carbon cycle models in the context of future climate change and management practices. In this study, we employed the Random Forest (RF) algorithm, Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filtering method and structural equation modeling (SEM) to quantify the effects of abiotic and biotic factors on CO2 fluxes at various time scales based on 7-years measurements. Our results revealed that O3 primarily manifested indirect effects on NEE and GPP via altering LAI on the daily and monthly scale, and that overall regulatory effect on CO2 fluxes developed greater as the time scale increased. Net radiation (Rn) was the most critical abiotic factor altering net ecosystem exchange (NEE) and gross primary productivity (GPP) at the half-hourly, daily, and monthly scales, with the exception of photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) controlling daily NEE and GPP in the rice system. It was innovatively found that LAI had little control on detrended daily CO2 fluxes, which was much lower than the monthly CO2 fluxes. Air temperature (Ta) was the most important abiotic factor for ecosystem respiration (Reco) at half-hourly and daily scale. For NEE, Reco, and GPP, the maximum explanation of SEM models was 70.10 %, 79.60 % and 76.20 %, respectively. The SEM results indicated that at multiple time scales, Rn exerted significant direct and indirect effects on both NEE and GPP. LAI only showed a strong direct leading effect on NEE and GPP on the monthly scale. The findings we reported have the potential to further develop carbon cycle models of cropland ecosystems under climate change by clarifying the influence path of O3 on CO2 fluxes and highlighting the factors that dominate CO2 fluxes on various time scales.
了解作物在不同时间尺度上的碳平衡以及对非生物和生物因素的相应响应,对于改进未来气候变化背景下的碳循环模型和管理实践至关重要。在这项研究中,我们采用随机森林(RF)算法、Kolmogorov-Zurbenko滤波方法和结构方程模型(SEM),在7年的测量数据基础上,量化了不同时间尺度下非生物和生物因素对CO2通量的影响。结果表明,O3对NEE和GPP的间接影响主要表现在日尺度和月尺度上对LAI的改变,对CO2通量的整体调节作用随着时间尺度的增加而增强。在半小时、日和月尺度上,净辐射(Rn)是影响水稻系统净生态交换(NEE)和总初级生产力(GPP)的最关键的非生物因子,光合有效辐射(PAR)控制日NEE和GPP。创新地发现,LAI对非趋势日CO2通量的控制作用很小,远低于月CO2通量。在半小时和日尺度上,气温(Ta)是影响生态系统呼吸(Reco)最重要的非生物因子。对于NEE、Reco和GPP, SEM模型的最大解释率分别为70.10%、79.60%和76.20%。SEM结果表明,在多个时间尺度上,Rn对NEE和GPP均有显著的直接和间接影响。在月尺度上,LAI仅对NEE和GPP表现出较强的直接主导作用。研究结果阐明了O3对CO2通量的影响路径,突出了不同时间尺度上CO2通量的主导因素,为进一步建立气候变化下农田生态系统碳循环模型提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Chlorophyll content estimation in radiata pine using hyperspectral imagery: A comparison between empirical models, scaling-up algorithms, and radiative transfer inversions 利用高光谱图像估算辐射松的叶绿素含量:经验模型、放大算法和辐射传递反演之间的比较
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110402
Tomas Poblete , Michael S. Watt , Henning Buddenbaum , Pablo J. Zarco-Tejada
<div><div>Radiata pine (<em>Pinus radiata</em> D. Don) is a widely planted tree species. Fertilizers, especially those containing leaf nitrogen (N) and phosphorous (P), are essential for maximizing growth. Nutrient deficiencies and excessive fertilization can limit growth, so monitoring is crucial. Leaf pigments such as chlorophyll <em>a</em>+<em>b</em> (C<sub>a+b</sub>) can be used to assess plant nutrition, specifically leaf N. Remote sensing approaches can be used to monitor forest condition by estimating C<sub>a+b</sub> content as a proxy for leaf N. Conventional methods for C<sub>a+b</sub> estimation are based on empirical relationships using sensitive spectral indices or inversions of Radiative Transfer Models (RTMs). However, the structural complexity of tree crowns composed of multiple layers of clumped leaves/needles and background and shadow effects challenge the use of the indices proposed for both leaf C<sub>a+b</sub> and leaf nitrogen assessment. This study compares the accuracy of methods for C<sub>a+b</sub> estimation in radiata pine using hyperspectral data collected from a greenhouse experiment over the growing season and from a field trial representing a stand with a complex structure. The methods used to predict needle C<sub>a+b</sub> from tree-crown spectra included: 1) empirical relationships between C<sub>a+b</sub> measurements and hyperspectral indices; 2) scaling-up of hyperspectral index-based C<sub>a+b</sub> predictive relationships through RTM simulations; and 3) RTM inversions of C<sub>a+b</sub> content. These methods were tested over two different segmentation strategies, including sunlit-vegetation and full-crown spectra, to assess the effects of the increased structural complexity.</div><div>Predictions of C<sub>a+b</sub> from the greenhouse experiment were generally higher for empirical models that used TCARI/OSAVI (Transformed Chlorophyll Absorption in Reflectance Index normalized by the Optimized Soil-Adjusted Vegetation Index) and CI (Chlorophyll index) hyperspectral indices when looking at full-crown rather than sunlit-vegetation pixels. RMSE measurements for full-crown models based on TCARI/OSAVI and CI across the three seasons ranged between 3.60 and 8.71 µg/cm<sup>2</sup> and between 3.70 and 7.86 µg/cm<sup>2</sup>, respectively. Using the scaling-up methodology, the TCARI-OSAVI-derived models were more stable across different methods of pixel extraction than the CI-derived models were, showing the smallest variations across measurement dates. Predictions of C<sub>a+b</sub> in the field trial showed that PRO4SAIL2, which combines the PROSPECT-D model with the 4SAIL2 model and accounts for clumping and a more complex tree structure, was more accurate than PRO4SAIL, which couples PROSPECT-D with the original 4SAIL model, across both crown segmentation methods. Using PRO4SAIL2, predictions were more accurate for the full-crown spectra (R² = 0.82; RMSE = 3.35 µg/cm²) than for the sunlit-vegetation pixels (R² = 0
辐射松(Pinus radiata D. Don)是一种广泛种植的树种。肥料,尤其是含叶片氮(N)和磷(P)的肥料,对最大限度地提高生长至关重要。养分缺乏和施肥过量都会限制生长,因此监测至关重要。叶片色素(如叶绿素 a+b (Ca+b))可用于评估植物营养状况,特别是叶片氮。然而,由多层丛生叶片/针叶组成的树冠结构复杂,加上背景和阴影效应,这对使用叶片 Ca+b 和叶片氮评估指数提出了挑战。本研究比较了利用高光谱数据估算辐射松 Ca+b 的方法的准确性,高光谱数据收集自生长季节的温室实验和代表复杂结构林分的田间试验。根据树冠光谱预测针叶 Ca+b 的方法包括1) Ca+b 测量值与高光谱指数之间的经验关系;2) 通过 RTM 模拟扩大基于高光谱指数的 Ca+b 预测关系;3) 对 Ca+b 含量进行 RTM 反演。在温室实验中,使用 TCARI/OSAVI(通过优化的土壤调整植被指数归一化的反射率中的叶绿素吸收转化指数)和 CI(叶绿素指数)高光谱指数的经验模型,在观测全冠像素而非日照植被像素时,对 Ca+b 的预测普遍较高。基于 TCARI/OSAVI 和 CI 的全冠模型在三个季节的 RMSE 测量值分别为 3.60 至 8.71 微克/平方厘米和 3.70 至 7.86 微克/平方厘米。使用放大方法,TCARI-OSAVI 衍生模型在不同的像元提取方法中比 CI 衍生模型更稳定,在不同测量日期之间的变化最小。野外试验中对 Ca+b 的预测表明,在两种树冠分割方法中,将 PROSPECT-D 模型与 4SAIL2 模型相结合并考虑了丛生和更复杂树体结构的 PRO4SAIL2 比将 PROSPECT-D 与原始 4SAIL 模型相结合的 PRO4SAIL 更准确。使用 PRO4SAIL2,对全树冠光谱的预测(R² = 0.82;RMSE = 3.35 µg/cm²)比对阳光植被像素的预测(R² = 0.69;RMSE = 4.03 µg/cm²)更准确。这些在温室和野外试验中获得的结果证明,与更复杂的三维近似方法相比,4SAIL2 等更简单的 RTM 方法在森林树种中具有更优越的性能,可以通过整合多层和丛生效应来准确描述松树树冠的特征。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging the gap in carbon cycle studies: Meteorological station-based carbon flux dataset as a complement to EC towers 弥合碳循环研究的差距:气象站碳通量数据集作为EC塔的补充
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110397
Wenqiang Zhang , Geping Luo , Rafiq Hamdi , Xiumei Ma , Piet Termonia , Philippe De Maeyer , Anping Chen
The scarcity and uneven global distribution of eddy covariance (EC) towers are the key factors that contribute to significant uncertainties in carbon cycle studies of terrestrial ecosystems. To address this limitation of EC towers, Zhang et al. (2023b) developed a meteorological station-based net ecosystem exchange (NEE) dataset. This dataset includes 4674 global meteorological stations, representing a 22-fold increase compared to the 212 existing EC towers and covering a broader range of ecosystem types. Here, we propose a systematic framework for the comprehensive assessment of spatio-temporal representativeness and global uncertainty of the meteorological station-based carbon flux dataset. Meteorological stations effectively enhance the spatial representativeness of the EC towers and reduce the latitudinal variability of the spatial representativeness. In most regions, the temporal trends of carbon flux data from meteorological stations did not significantly differ from those observed by EC towers (p < 0.001). The global uncertainty of carbon fluxes from meteorological station is 0.37, followed by the VISIT and FLUXCOM products with uncertainties of 0.44 and 0.45, respectively. Overall, the carbon fluxes from meteorological stations exhibit higher spatial representativeness and better temporal representativeness compared to the EC tower observations and possess lower global uncertainties than the existing carbon flux gridded products. Consequently, the carbon flux data derived from meteorological stations is a trade-off dataset that addresses the low spatial representativeness of the EC towers and the high uncertainty of the gridded products. It effectively complements the existing EC tower data while ensuring accuracy. The development of this dataset will play an important role in reducing the uncertainty of global carbon sink-related studies.
涡动相关塔的稀缺性和全球分布的不均匀性是陆地生态系统碳循环研究中存在重大不确定性的关键因素。为了解决EC塔的这一局限性,Zhang等人(2023b)开发了一个基于气象站的净生态系统交换(NEE)数据集。该数据集包括4674个全球气象站,与现有的212个EC塔相比增加了22倍,覆盖了更广泛的生态系统类型。在此基础上,提出了一个基于气象站碳通量数据集时空代表性和全球不确定性综合评价的系统框架。气象站有效地增强了欧共体塔的空间代表性,降低了空间代表性的纬度变异。在大多数地区,气象站碳通量数据的时间趋势与EC塔观测的数据没有显著差异(p <;0.001)。气象站碳通量的全球不确定度为0.37,其次是VISIT和FLUXCOM产品,不确定度分别为0.44和0.45。总体而言,与EC塔观测数据相比,气象站碳通量具有更高的空间代表性和更好的时间代表性,与现有碳通量网格化产品相比,具有更低的全球不确定性。因此,来自气象站的碳通量数据是一个权衡数据集,解决了EC塔的低空间代表性和网格化产品的高不确定性。它有效地补充了现有的EC塔数据,同时确保了准确性。该数据集的开发将在减少全球碳汇相关研究的不确定性方面发挥重要作用。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change impacts on cocoa production in the major producing countries of West and Central Africa by mid-century 到本世纪中叶,气候变化对西非和中非主要生产国可可产量的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110393
Paulina A. Asante , Eric Rahn , Niels P.R. Anten , Pieter A. Zuidema , Alejandro Morales , Danaё M.A. Rozendaal
Climate change is expected to negatively impact cocoa production in West and Central Africa, where over 70 % of cocoa is grown. However, effects of temperature, precipitation and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration [CO2] on cocoa tree physiology and productivity are poorly understood. Consequently, climate-change implications have not been adequately considered. The objective was to improve understanding of potential cocoa productivity responses to climate change by mid-century (2060).
Using a crop model, we simulated potential water-limited cocoa yields (Yw) to evaluate effects of warming and precipitation changes based on five plausible general circulation models (GCMs) climate-change scenarios, with and without elevated CO2. We examined how variation in Yw was associated with that of climate using mixed-effects models and estimated total cocoa production on current plantation area under current low-input and high-input scenarios.
With notable exceptions, by mid-century, Yw and suitable area were projected to increase, particularly when assuming full elevated [CO2] effects and under wetter climate-change scenarios. We identified a (south) east - west gradient with higher yield increases (∼39–60 %) in Cameroon and Nigeria compared to Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire (∼30–45 %). Larger yield reductions (∼12 %) were identified in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana than in Nigeria (∼10 %) and Cameroon (∼2 %). Additionally, gains in suitable area were projected for Nigeria (∼17–20 Mha), Cameroon (∼11–12 Mha), and Ghana (∼2 Mha) while Côte d'Ivoire could lose ∼6–11 Mha (i.e., ∼27–50 % of current suitable area). Inter-annual yield variability was higher in areas with low yields. Based on the mid climate-change scenario, country-level production on current plantation area in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana could be maintained. Projected increases and shorter length in dry season precipitation strongly determined increases in Yw and reductions in Yw variability, respectively. Thus, despite projected warming and precipitation changes, many current cocoa-growing areas may maintain or increase their productivity, particularly if full effects of elevated [CO2] are assumed.
预计气候变化将对西非和中非的可可产量产生负面影响,那里种植了超过70%的可可。然而,温度、降水和大气二氧化碳浓度对可可树生理和生产力的影响尚不清楚。因此,气候变化的影响没有得到充分考虑。目的是提高对本世纪中叶(2060年)可可产量对气候变化的潜在响应的理解。利用作物模型,我们模拟了潜在的限水可可产量(Yw),以评估基于五种似是而非的大气环流模型(GCMs)气候变化情景下,有和没有二氧化碳升高的变暖和降水变化的影响。我们使用混合效应模型研究了Yw的变化与气候的关系,并估计了当前低投入和高投入情景下当前种植面积的可可总产量。除了明显的例外,到本世纪中叶,预计Yw和适宜面积将增加,特别是在假设[CO2]效应全面升高和在更潮湿的气候变化情景下。与加纳和Côte科特迪瓦(30 - 45%)相比,我们在喀麦隆和尼日利亚发现了一个(南)东-西梯度,产量增加(~ 39 - 60%)。Côte科特迪瓦和加纳的减产幅度(~ 12%)大于尼日利亚(~ 10%)和喀麦隆(~ 2%)。此外,预计尼日利亚(~ 17-20 Mha)、喀麦隆(~ 11-12 Mha)和加纳(~ 2 Mha)的适宜面积将增加,而Côte科特迪瓦可能会损失~ 6-11 Mha(即目前适宜面积的~ 27 - 50%)。产量低的地区年际产量变异较大。根据中期气候变化情景,可以维持Côte科特迪瓦和加纳目前人工林面积的国家级生产。预估的旱季降水增加和降水长度缩短分别强烈决定了Yw变率的增加和Yw变率的减少。因此,尽管预测的变暖和降水变化,许多目前的可可种植区可能会保持或提高其生产力,特别是如果假设[二氧化碳]升高的全部影响。
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引用次数: 0
Contrasting effects of water deficits and rewetting on greenhouse gas emissions in two grassland and forest ecosystems 水分亏缺和再湿润对两种草地和森林生态系统温室气体排放的影响对比
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110396
Junliang Zou , Yun Zhang , Brian Tobin , Matthew Saunders , Erica Cacciotti , Giuseppi Benanti , Bruce Osborne
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of water deficits and extreme rainfall events in temperate regions, with significant effects on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In this study, we investigated the impact of water deficits and drying and rewetting events on GHG fluxes in two Irish sites with adjacent forest and grassland ecosystems. We deployed rain-out shelters to simulate drought and applied water to mimic the extreme precipitation events. The effects of warming on these events were also examined using soil cores collected from the field. Water deficits increased carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions at the evergreen coniferous forest site but decreased it at the broadleaf deciduous forest site, likely due to differences in the prevailing soil moisture contents and the availability of oxygen for microbial activity. Rewetting triggered pulses of CO2 (1.1 – 7.2 fold), methane (CH4) (> 20 fold), and nitrous oxide (N2O) (3.3 – 71.7 fold) emissions in both ecosystems. Warming amplified the effects of water additions, leading to a 1.9 – 3.4-fold increase in CO2 and N2O fluxes, compared to the pre-wetting levels and a 1.2 – 1.5-fold increase compared to the controls. Cumulative CO2 emissions over 24 hours showed a negative response to increasing soil moisture and a positive response to the changes in soil moisture (difference between the initial value before water addition and the final soil moisture after water addition). CH4 fluxes exhibited an opposite trend. Multiple linear regression revealed that at higher soil carbon concentrations CO2 emissions were reduced but CH4 emissions increased, for the same change in soil moisture. Given that future climate scenarios predict an increase in extreme rainfall events a better understanding of the influence of soil drying-rewetting events on GHG emissions is required that accounts for multiple influencing factors, including differences in regional and site characteristics.
预计气候变化将增加温带地区缺水和极端降雨事件的频率和强度,从而对温室气体(GHG)排放产生重大影响。在这项研究中,我们调查了爱尔兰两个毗邻森林和草地生态系统的地点的缺水、干燥和复湿事件对温室气体通量的影响。我们搭建了避雨棚来模拟干旱,并洒水模拟极端降水事件。我们还利用从野外采集的土壤芯研究了气候变暖对这些事件的影响。缺水增加了常绿针叶林地的二氧化碳(CO2)排放量,但减少了落叶阔叶林地的排放量,这可能是由于当时的土壤含水量和微生物活动所需的氧气不同造成的。复湿在两个生态系统中都引发了二氧化碳(1.1 - 7.2 倍)、甲烷(CH4)(20 倍)和一氧化二氮(N2O)(3.3 - 71.7 倍)的脉冲排放。气候变暖扩大了加水的影响,导致二氧化碳和氧化亚氮通量比湿润前增加了 1.9 - 3.4 倍,比对照组增加了 1.2 - 1.5 倍。24 小时内的二氧化碳累积排放量对土壤湿度的增加呈负反馈,而对土壤湿度的变化(加水前的初始值与加水后的最终土壤湿度之差)呈正反馈。甲烷通量则呈现出相反的趋势。多元线性回归表明,在土壤水分变化相同的情况下,土壤碳浓度越高,二氧化碳排放量越低,但甲烷排放量却越高。鉴于未来气候情景预测极端降雨事件会增加,因此需要更好地了解土壤干燥-湿润事件对温室气体排放的影响,并考虑多种影响因素,包括地区和地点特征的差异。
{"title":"Contrasting effects of water deficits and rewetting on greenhouse gas emissions in two grassland and forest ecosystems","authors":"Junliang Zou ,&nbsp;Yun Zhang ,&nbsp;Brian Tobin ,&nbsp;Matthew Saunders ,&nbsp;Erica Cacciotti ,&nbsp;Giuseppi Benanti ,&nbsp;Bruce Osborne","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110396","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110396","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of water deficits and extreme rainfall events in temperate regions, with significant effects on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In this study, we investigated the impact of water deficits and drying and rewetting events on GHG fluxes in two Irish sites with adjacent forest and grassland ecosystems. We deployed rain-out shelters to simulate drought and applied water to mimic the extreme precipitation events. The effects of warming on these events were also examined using soil cores collected from the field. Water deficits increased carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) emissions at the evergreen coniferous forest site but decreased it at the broadleaf deciduous forest site, likely due to differences in the prevailing soil moisture contents and the availability of oxygen for microbial activity. Rewetting triggered pulses of CO<sub>2</sub> (1.1 – 7.2 fold), methane (CH<sub>4</sub>) (&gt; 20 fold), and nitrous oxide (N<sub>2</sub>O) (3.3 – 71.7 fold) emissions in both ecosystems. Warming amplified the effects of water additions, leading to a 1.9 – 3.4-fold increase in CO<sub>2</sub> and N<sub>2</sub>O fluxes, compared to the pre-wetting levels and a 1.2 – 1.5-fold increase compared to the controls. Cumulative CO<sub>2</sub> emissions over 24 hours showed a negative response to increasing soil moisture and a positive response to the changes in soil moisture (difference between the initial value before water addition and the final soil moisture after water addition). CH<sub>4</sub> fluxes exhibited an opposite trend. Multiple linear regression revealed that at higher soil carbon concentrations CO<sub>2</sub> emissions were reduced but CH<sub>4</sub> emissions increased, for the same change in soil moisture. Given that future climate scenarios predict an increase in extreme rainfall events a better understanding of the influence of soil drying-rewetting events on GHG emissions is required that accounts for multiple influencing factors, including differences in regional and site characteristics.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"362 ","pages":"Article 110396"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142986889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rainfall intensities determine accuracy of canopy interception simulation using the Revised Gash model 降雨强度决定了修正Gash模型的冠层拦截模拟精度
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110389
Mengliang Ma , Qiang Li , Yaping Wang , Jin Liang , Jiangyao Wang , Jinliang Liu , Mingfang Zhang
Rainfall canopy interception plays a crucial role in rainfall redistribution and hydrological processes in forests. While previous studies have often focused on monthly or yearly time scales, the responses of forest canopy interception to different rainfall magnitudes, frequencies and intensities, particularly under changing climate conditions have been less explored. In addition, the performance of canopy interception models that capture the dynamics of rainfall interception under changing climate remains largely unknown. In this study, we conducted field observations across various tree species and used the Revised Gash model to evaluate the canopy interception under different rainfall intensities. Our findings revealed that the observed interception loss of gross precipitation were 26.1 %, 42.1 %, and 41.6 % for Pinus tabuliformis (PT), Quercus wutaishanica (QW), and Betula platyphylla (BP), respectively. The Revised Gash model accurately estimated canopy interception, with percentage errors of 0.4 %, 5.6 %, and 22.3 % for PT, QW, and BP, respectively. Interestingly, the model performed better for PT, especially under light to moderate rain, while its applicability for QW and BP were diminished under moderate to heavy rain. Overall, the Revised Gash model underestimated interception loss across different rainfall intensities, with more pronounced underestimations observed at higher rainfall intensities. Evaporation during and after rainfall contributed significantly to over 85.3 % of interception loss across three tree species. Sensitivity analysis highlighted that parameters including mean rainfall intensity, mean wet canopy evaporation rate, and canopy storage capacity were critical in influencing canopy interception simulation. These findings highlight the influence of rainfall intensity on the model's reliability in simulating interception loss and provide insights for forest hydrology research in semi-arid regions.
雨冠截留在森林降雨再分配和水文过程中起着至关重要的作用。虽然以前的研究往往集中在每月或每年的时间尺度上,但对森林冠层拦截对不同降雨幅度、频率和强度的响应,特别是在不断变化的气候条件下的响应探索较少。此外,在气候变化条件下,冠层截流模型的性能在很大程度上仍是未知的。本研究通过对不同树种的野外观测,利用修正Gash模型对不同降雨强度下的林冠截留量进行了评估。结果表明,油松(PT)、五台山栎(QW)和白桦(BP)对总降水的截留损失分别为26.1%、42.1%和41.6%。修正后的Gash模型准确地估计了林冠截留,PT、QW和BP的百分比误差分别为0.4%、5.6%和22.3%。有趣的是,该模型对PT的适用性较好,特别是在小雨到中雨条件下,而对QW和BP的适用性在中雨到大雨条件下减弱。总体而言,修订后的Gash模型低估了不同降雨强度下的拦截损失,在较高降雨强度下的低估更为明显。降雨期间和降雨后的蒸发对3种树种截留损失的贡献超过85.3%。敏感性分析表明,平均降雨强度、平均湿冠层蒸发速率和冠层存储量是影响冠层拦截模拟的关键参数。这些发现突出了降雨强度对模型模拟截留损失可靠性的影响,为半干旱区森林水文研究提供了新的思路。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of canopy-mediated microclimate and object characteristics on deadwood temperature 冠层介导的小气候和物象特征对枯木温度的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110378
Jasper Schreiber , Václav Pouska , Petr Macek , Dominik Thom , Claus Bässler
Deadwood is a crucial component of forest ecosystems, supporting numerous forest-dwelling species and ecosystem functions, such as water and nutrient cycling. Temperature is a major driver of processes, affecting, inter alia, metabolic rates within deadwood. Deadwood temperature is determined by factors at both the forest stand-scale and individual deadwood object-scale. Yet, the contribution of individual factors within the complex hierarchy of scales that drive temperature in deadwood remains poorly understood. We conducted a real-world experiment to analyze the effects of forest stand canopy cover (open vs. closed canopies), surrounding deadwood amount (high vs. low), deadwood tree species (beech vs. fir), position (soil contact vs. uplifted) and diameter (range: 19-47 cm) of coarse woody debris on within-deadwood daily mean, minimum and maximum temperature at monthly and seasonal level. Stand-scale factors were more important than object-scale factors for explaining the variance in temperature. Canopy cover exhibited the strongest relationship with temperature. Daily mean and maximum temperature were higher and daily minimum temperature was lower in open than in closed canopies during the growing season (May-October). Further, daily minimum was lower in open canopies during winter (November-April). Annual daily mean and maximum temperature were about 1 °C and 5 °C warmer, respectively, and minimum temperature about 2 °C colder in open compared to closed canopies. Effects of deadwood amount, object diameter, position, and tree species on temperature were less important and statistically significant in only a few months. We conclude that canopy cover is more important than deadwood characteristics in determining internal deadwood temperature. An increase of canopy disturbance will hence elevate the temperature in deadwood, which might have important consequences on deadwood-dwelling species and ecological processes, such as heterotrophic respiration. To diversify habitat conditions for multiple species, we recommend enriching deadwood under various canopy conditions.
枯木是森林生态系统的重要组成部分,支持许多森林栖息物种和生态系统功能,如水和养分循环。温度是过程的主要驱动因素,除其他外,影响朽木内的代谢率。枯木温度是由林分尺度和单个枯木对象尺度上的因子共同决定的。然而,在驱动枯木温度的复杂等级尺度中,个体因素的贡献仍然知之甚少。我们进行了一个真实世界的实验,分析了林分冠层覆盖度(开放vs封闭冠层)、周围枯木量(高vs低)、枯木树种(山毛榉vs冷杉)、位置(土壤接触vs上升)和粗木屑直径(范围:19-47 cm)对枯木内日平均、最低和最高温度在月和季节水平的影响。林分尺度因子比物尺度因子更能解释温度的变化。冠层盖度与温度的关系最强。在生长季节(5 ~ 10月),开放林冠的日平均和最高气温高于封闭林冠,日最低气温低于封闭林冠。此外,在冬季(11月至4月),露天冠层的日最小值较低。与封闭林冠相比,开放林冠的年平均气温和最高气温分别升高约1℃和5℃,最低气温降低约2℃。枯木量、物径、位置和树种对温度的影响在几个月内不太重要,有统计学意义。研究结果表明,冠层覆盖度比枯木特性对枯木内部温度的影响更大。因此,冠层扰动的增加会导致枯枝内温度升高,这可能对枯枝栖息物种和异养呼吸等生态过程产生重要影响。为了使多种物种的栖息地条件多样化,我们建议在不同的冠层条件下丰富枯木。
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引用次数: 0
Carbohydrate allocation strategies in leaves of dominant desert shrubs in response to precipitation variability 优势荒漠灌木叶片碳水化合物分配策略对降水变异的响应
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110386
Huijun Qin , Yuanshang Guo , Chengyi Li , Chunming Xin , Rui Hu , Mingzhu He
Climate change has significantly altered precipitation patterns worldwide, resulting in more frequent and intense droughts and heavy rainstorms, particularly in vulnerable ecosystems such as arid deserts. This study investigated how dominant desert shrubs, the C3 plant Kalidium gracile and the C4 plant Salsola passerina, respond to varying precipitation regimes. A six-year controlled experiment (2016–2021) employing a five-level precipitation gradient, ranging from extreme drought to increased water availability, was conducted to elucidate changes in leaves carbon content and its components under these conditions. Results indicated a substantial increase in starch (ST) content in S. passerina under heightened rainfall conditions (P < 0.05), whereas K. gracile showed a propensity tendency to accumulate ST content under moderate drought condition. These findings indicated distinct adaptive strategies between the two species in response to water availability. Additionally, both shrubs maintained a relatively stable ratio of non-structural carbohydrates (NSC) to structural carbohydrates (SC) (P > 0.05), suggesting an active regulation of carbon balance within plant structures, independent of precipitation changes. Notably, S. passerina demonstrated greater responsiveness to precipitation alterations compared to K. gracile, highlighting species-specific differences in carbon allocation strategies. This study provides mechanistic insights into plant carbon dynamics in response to precipitation changes in desert ecosystems, contributing to a deeper understanding of carbon cycling processes and ecosystem functioning in arid landscapes.
气候变化极大地改变了全世界的降水模式,导致更频繁和更强烈的干旱和暴雨,特别是在干旱沙漠等脆弱生态系统中。本研究研究了优势荒漠灌木C3植物细柄钾和C4植物Salsola passerina对不同降水条件的响应。通过为期6年的对照实验(2016-2021),采用从极端干旱到增加水分可用性的5级降水梯度,研究了这些条件下叶片碳含量及其组分的变化。结果表明,在强降雨条件下,棘豆淀粉(ST)含量显著增加(P <;0.05),而在中等干旱条件下,细叶松表现出积累ST含量的倾向。这些发现表明,两种物种对水供应的适应策略不同。此外,两种灌木的非结构性碳水化合物(NSC)与结构性碳水化合物(SC)的比例保持相对稳定(P >;0.05),表明植物结构内的碳平衡具有主动调节作用,不受降水变化的影响。值得注意的是,与细叶松相比,雀尾松对降水变化的响应更大,这突出了碳分配策略的物种特异性差异。该研究为荒漠生态系统中植物碳动态响应降水变化提供了机制见解,有助于更深入地了解干旱景观中碳循环过程和生态系统功能。
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引用次数: 0
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Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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