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Machine learning vs. empirical models: Estimating leaf wetness patterns in a wildland landscape for plant disease management 机器学习与经验模型:估算野地景观中的叶片湿度模式,用于植物病害管理
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110392
Jon Detka , Mohammad Jafari , Marcella Gomez , Gregory S. Gilbert
This study presents the development and application of models to estimate leaf wetness duration and their integration with drone-based imagery to analyze plant disease patterns across a coastal gradient. By comparing machine learning algorithms with empirical models, we identified that both approaches effectively predict leaf wetness, particularly in a temperate maritime ecosystem. The models were applied to study two manzanita species (Arctostaphylos tomentosa and A. pumila), revealing a strong correlation between leaf wetness and disease prevalence. This work highlights the role of microclimate conditions in shaping plant health and disease distribution in coastal shrublands. We compared nine popular machine learning algorithms and four empirical threshold models to characterize leaf wetness patterns in a spatially diverse temperate maritime wildland ecosystem. We suggest that simple empirical leaf wetness models based on dew point depression or relative humidity thresholds perform as well as machine learning techniques and should not be overlooked. The relationship between leaf wetness duration and the spatial distribution of plant disease along a coastal-to-inland climate gradient offers valuable insights into disease dynamics.
本研究介绍了估算叶片湿润度持续时间的模型的开发和应用,以及这些模型与无人机图像的整合,以分析沿海梯度的植物病害模式。通过比较机器学习算法和经验模型,我们发现这两种方法都能有效预测叶片湿润度,尤其是在温带海洋生态系统中。这些模型被应用于研究两种芒草(Arctostaphylos tomentosa 和 A. pumila),发现叶片湿度与疾病流行之间存在很强的相关性。这项工作凸显了小气候条件在塑造沿海灌木林植物健康和病害分布中的作用。我们比较了九种流行的机器学习算法和四种经验阈值模型,以描述一个空间多样的温带海洋野生生态系统的叶片湿度模式。我们认为,基于露点降低或相对湿度阈值的简单经验叶片湿度模型与机器学习技术的表现一样好,不应被忽视。沿着沿海到内陆的气候梯度,叶片湿度持续时间与植物病害空间分布之间的关系为了解病害动态提供了宝贵的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges and limitations of applying the flux variance similarity (FVS) method to partition evapotranspiration in a montane cloud forest 通量方差相似(FVS)方法在山地云雾林蒸散发分区中的挑战与局限性
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110391
Ching-Hung Shih , Ray G. Anderson , Todd. H. Skaggs , Jehn-Yih Juang , Yi-Ying Chen , Yi-Shin Jang , Rong-Yu Gu , Cho-Ying Huang , Min-Hui Lo
Partitioning evapotranspiration components is crucial for an in-depth understanding of energy, water, and carbon cycles in agricultural and forest ecosystems. In this study, the Flux Variance Similarity (FVS) method, lauded for its capability to segregate eddy covariance datasets' evapotranspiration, was applied in Taiwan's Chi-Lan montane cloud forest and the Lien-Hua-Chih forest. However, we discovered a biased early peak of transpiration using the FVS method in the Chi-Lan montane cloud forest that did not align with the diurnal cycle of transpiration obtained from the Community Land Model, observed sap flow velocity, and net radiation. This bias is attributed to the rapid increase in specific humidity, caused by additional water vapor sources from valley wind. This factor violates the FVS method's assumptions and leads to an early peak in CO2 fluxes describing the net primary production (NPP). Furthermore, the high relative humidity conditions from afternoon to evening contribute to a larger magnitude of leaf-level water use efficiency, primarily due to minimal gradients between intercellular and ambient water vapor concentrations. The early peak of net primary production and water use efficiency skew the diurnal course of estimated transpiration. Additionally, the substantial canopy evaporation in the morning and the uncertainty in water use efficiency during periods of high relative humidity contribute to the overall uncertainty in transpiration values. Consequently, the application of the FVS method in environments akin to the Chi-Lan montane cloud forest warrants caution due to the intrinsic uncertainty. Our research emphasizes the imperative to explore different evapotranspiration partitioning techniques, especially in topographies like mountainous regions where diurnal water vapor accumulation is swift and places that are consistently subjected to high relative humidity.
对蒸散发组分的划分对于深入了解农业和森林生态系统中的能量、水和碳循环至关重要。本研究将通量方差相似度(FVS)方法应用于台湾祁兰山云雾林和连华枝林的蒸散量分析,该方法因其能够分离涡动相关数据集的蒸散量而受到称赞。然而,利用FVS方法在蓝山云雾森林中发现了一个偏早的蒸腾峰值,与群落土地模式蒸腾日循环、观测到的液流速度和净辐射不一致。这种偏倚归因于比湿度的迅速增加,这是由山谷风产生的额外水汽源引起的。这一因素违背了FVS方法的假设,导致描述净初级产量(NPP)的CO2通量提早达到峰值。此外,从下午到晚上的高相对湿度条件对叶级水分利用效率有较大的贡献,这主要是由于细胞间和周围水汽浓度之间的梯度很小。净初级生产量和水分利用效率的早期峰值使估算蒸腾的日变化过程发生偏斜。此外,早晨大量的冠层蒸发量和高相对湿度时期水分利用效率的不确定性导致了蒸腾值的总体不确定性。因此,由于固有的不确定性,在类似于志兰山云雾林的环境中应用FVS方法需要谨慎。我们的研究强调了探索不同蒸散分配技术的必要性,特别是在像山区这样的地形中,日水汽积累迅速,并且始终处于高相对湿度的地方。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme droughts decrease the growth and resilience of Juniperus rigida in the northern edge but not in the southern 极端干旱会降低北部边缘刚木的生长和恢复力,而南部则不会
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110387
Wenqiang Gao , Jianfeng Liu , Wenquan Bao , Fujun Duan , Xiao He , Dongli Gao , Xiangdong Lei
Impending climate change is anticipated to exacerbate the frequency and severity of extreme droughts, significantly affecting tree growth and distribution ranges. A critical endeavor in predicting how tree species will respond to more frequent and intense severe droughts is assessing the drought sensitivity and resilience of tree growth across a species' different range. However, the variation in tree growth resistance and resilience to extreme droughts across different distribution range edges have received little attention. In this study, we analyzed tree ring width data from 596 trees across 19 sites, encompassing the northernmost and southernmost distribution limits of Juniperus rigida in China. Our objectives were to delineate patterns of growth resistance, recovery and resilience to extreme droughts between northern and southern populations, and to assess their driving factors. Our findings revealed that the drought events significantly reduced the tree growth. Specifically, the tree growth has exhibited a decreasing trend in the northern distribution range limit, but an increasing trend at southern range limit since 1996, due to the more frequent and severe droughts in the northern region than in the southern. Furthermore, although the tree growth resistance and resilience were significantly higher in the northern limits than those in the southern, more frequent droughts will reduce their resistance and resilience. In addition, the growth resistance and resilience were also affected by factors such as tree age, pre-drought growth (e.g. mean growth rate and variability), and the interaction between drought characteristics and pre-drought growth. We conclude that J. rigida trees exhibit greater resistance and resilience to drought at their northern range limits compared to their southern counterparts. However, the increasing frequency and severity of droughts in the northern expose these trees to more persistent drought conditions, which could ultimately result in a decline in resilience and growth.
预计即将到来的气候变化将加剧极端干旱的频率和严重程度,严重影响树木的生长和分布范围。预测树种将如何应对更频繁、更强烈的严重干旱的一个关键努力是评估不同物种范围内树木生长的干旱敏感性和恢复力。然而,不同分布范围边缘的树木生长抗旱性和抗旱性的变化却很少受到关注。在这项研究中,我们分析了19个地点596棵树的年轮宽度数据,涵盖了中国刺柏最北和最南的分布界限。我们的目标是描述北方和南方人口对极端干旱的生长抵抗、恢复和恢复能力的模式,并评估其驱动因素。我们的研究结果表明,干旱事件显著降低了树木的生长。1996年以来,由于北方干旱比南方更频繁、更严重,树木生长在北部分布极限上呈下降趋势,而在南部分布极限上呈上升趋势。此外,尽管北部极限树木的生长抗逆性和恢复力明显高于南部极限树木,但频繁的干旱会降低其抗逆性和恢复力。此外,树龄、干旱前生长(如平均生长率和变率)以及干旱特征与干旱前生长之间的相互作用等因素也对生长抗性和恢复力产生影响。我们得出的结论是,与南方同行相比,硬叶松在其北部范围范围内表现出更强的抗旱性和抗旱性。然而,北方日益频繁和严重的干旱使这些树木面临更持久的干旱条件,这最终可能导致其恢复力和生长能力下降。
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引用次数: 0
Shifted trend in drought sensitivity of vegetation productivity from 1982 to 2020 1982 - 2020年植被生产力干旱敏感性变化趋势
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110388
Jiwang Tang , Ben Niu , Gang Fu , Jinlong Peng , Zhigang Hu , Xianzhou Zhang
Drought has imposed severe effects on vegetation productivity, and such impacts will continue to increase under ongoing climate change. However, long-term changes in vegetation sensitivity to drought (Sdro) remain poorly understood. Here, with satellite-based vegetation indexes (kNDVI and LAI) and soil moisture dataset, we investigated the spatiotemporal patterns of Sdro across the global land during 1982–2020. We found that Sdro was higher in dry regions in comparison to humid regions, and grasslands showed the highest Sdro while forests showed the lowest one. Temporally, the overall Sdro increased first and then decreased over past four decades. More than 55 % of global vegetated areas experienced a conversion from an increased trend to a declined trend in Sdro, which concentrated in humid regions. The potential driving mechanisms of these converted Sdro trends were mostly related to climate changes and varied regionally, with VPD in northern Europe, temperature in middle Africa, and precipitation in western America and northern India. Our findings underscore a shifted trend in vulnerability of terrestrial ecosystems to drought especially in global humid regions.
干旱对植被生产力造成了严重影响,在持续的气候变化下,这种影响将继续增加。然而,植被对干旱敏感性(Sdro)的长期变化仍然知之甚少。利用卫星植被指数(kNDVI和LAI)和土壤湿度数据,研究了1982—2020年全球陆地Sdro的时空格局。我们发现干旱地区的Sdro高于湿润地区,草原的Sdro最高,森林的Sdro最低。从时间上看,近40年的总体Sdro呈先上升后下降的趋势。全球超过55%的植被面积经历了由增加趋势到减少趋势的转变,主要集中在潮湿地区。这些转换的Sdro趋势的潜在驱动机制主要与气候变化有关,并且存在区域差异,包括北欧的VPD,非洲中部的温度以及美洲西部和印度北部的降水。我们的发现强调了陆地生态系统对干旱脆弱性的转变趋势,特别是在全球潮湿地区。
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引用次数: 0
Earthworms significantly enhance the temperature sensitivity of soil organic matter decomposition: Insights into future soil carbon budgeting 蚯蚓显著增强土壤有机质分解的温度敏感性:对未来土壤碳预算的洞察
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110384
Shenliang Zhao , Hua Chai , Yuan Liu , Xiaochun Wang , Chaolian Jiao , Cheng Liu , Li Xu , Jie Li , Nianpeng He
How and what soil fauna influence the soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition rate (Rs) and its temperature sensitivity (Q10) have been largely ignored, although this is a crucial matter, especially under the scenario of global change. In this study, a novel approach was adopted with a continuous changing-temperature incubation (daytime, from 7 °C to 22 °C; nighttime, from 22 °C to 7 °C) with rapid and continuous measurement, to examine the effect of soil macrofauna (specifically, earthworms) on Rs and Q10 with three densities (no addition, low density, and high density). According to the results, the earthworms accelerated Rs. Furthermore, Rs with earthworm addition had a symmetrical pattern during daytime and nighttime cycles, which is contrary to traditional soil incubation, with only soil microbe as asymmetrical. More importantly, earthworm addition increased Q10 markedly, ranging from 48% to 67%. Overall, the findings highlight the pivotal role of earthworms as soil macrofauna that regulating soil carbon release, and their effects should be integrated into process-based ecological models in future.
土壤动物如何以及如何影响土壤有机质分解速率(Rs)及其温度敏感性(Q10)在很大程度上被忽视了,尽管这是一个至关重要的问题,特别是在全球变化的情况下。在这项研究中,采用了一种新的方法,即连续变温孵育(白天,从7°C到22°C;在夜间,从22°C到7°C),通过快速和连续的测量,研究土壤大型动物(特别是蚯蚓)在三种密度(无添加、低密度和高密度)下对Rs和Q10的影响。结果表明,蚯蚓加速了Rs的生长,并且添加蚯蚓后Rs在白天和夜间循环中呈现对称模式,这与传统土壤孵育中只有土壤微生物的不对称模式相反。更重要的是,添加蚯蚓能显著提高辅酶Q10,提高幅度在48% ~ 67%之间。总之,这些发现强调了蚯蚓作为调节土壤碳释放的土壤大型动物的关键作用,未来应将其影响纳入基于过程的生态模型中。
{"title":"Earthworms significantly enhance the temperature sensitivity of soil organic matter decomposition: Insights into future soil carbon budgeting","authors":"Shenliang Zhao ,&nbsp;Hua Chai ,&nbsp;Yuan Liu ,&nbsp;Xiaochun Wang ,&nbsp;Chaolian Jiao ,&nbsp;Cheng Liu ,&nbsp;Li Xu ,&nbsp;Jie Li ,&nbsp;Nianpeng He","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110384","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110384","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How and what soil fauna influence the soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition rate (<em>R</em>s) and its temperature sensitivity (<em>Q</em><sub>10</sub>) have been largely ignored, although this is a crucial matter, especially under the scenario of global change. In this study, a novel approach was adopted with a continuous changing-temperature incubation (daytime, from 7 °C to 22 °C; nighttime, from 22 °C to 7 °C) with rapid and continuous measurement, to examine the effect of soil macrofauna (specifically, earthworms) on <em>R</em>s and <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> with three densities (no addition, low density, and high density). According to the results, the earthworms accelerated <em>R</em>s. Furthermore, <em>R</em>s with earthworm addition had a symmetrical pattern during daytime and nighttime cycles, which is contrary to traditional soil incubation, with only soil microbe as asymmetrical. More importantly, earthworm addition increased <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> markedly<sub>,</sub> ranging from 48% to 67%. Overall, the findings highlight the pivotal role of earthworms as soil macrofauna that regulating soil carbon release, and their effects should be integrated into process-based ecological models in future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"362 ","pages":"Article 110384"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142939566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Differential temperature responses of diurnal and nocturnal leaf respiration in four alpine herbaceous species 四种高山草本植物昼夜叶呼吸的温差响应
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110385
Tianyu Zheng , Huixing Kang , Yuan Yu , Tong Guo , Xinran Ke , Owen K. Atkin , Yanhong Tang
Current estimates of diel respiratory carbon release depend on accurate predictions of the temperature sensitivity (Q10) of leaf respiration during the day and night. Such predictions typically rely on measurements of the Q10 of respiration in the light (RL) and dark (RD) made during the day, and assuming that the Q10 of nocturnal respiration (RN) equals that of RD. Using RD as a surrogate for RN, however, creates errors in estimates of diel respiration whenever the Q10 of RD and RN differ. Using measurements made on field-grown, high-altitude alpine plants, our study investigated whether the Q10 of leaf respiration differs between the day and night.
We characterised diurnal RL and RD from 15 to 35 °C, and RN from 10 to 25 °C at night, in four common herbaceous species widely distributed in alpine meadows on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. We measured leaf temperature every second for 24 h over a period of 18 days. By combining leaf temperature with respiratory physiological measurements, we calculated leaf carbon loss to assess the consequences of differences in temperature response of leaf respiration between day and night.
RN exhibited a higher Q10 than RL and RD by about one third. Although there were no significant differences in Q10 between RL and RD, light inhibition of leaf respiration (i.e. 100 % - RL / RD) was at its lowest at a moderate leaf temperature (22−25 °C). G. straminea and S. pulchra showed lower levels of inhibition than L. sagitta and L. virgaurea. Respiratory carbon loss (Closs_day) based on RN exceeded Closs_day based on RL by up to 47 %, which varied considerably between the species.
These results suggest that the temperature sensitivity (Q10) of leaf respiration differs significantly between day and night, a finding that needs to be taken into account when modelling the diel rates of respiratory carbon loss in plants, especially at high altitudes and some high latitudes with a large diurnal variation and low mean temperature. Therefore, considering that neither RN nor RD can accurately represent RL, we strongly recommend that the observations of RL should be prioritized when estimating daytime leaf carbon loss.
目前对昼夜呼吸碳释放的估计依赖于对昼夜叶片呼吸的温度敏感性(Q10)的准确预测。这种预测通常依赖于白天对光照(RL)和光照(RD)下呼吸Q10的测量,并假设夜间呼吸Q10等于夜间呼吸Q10。然而,使用夜间呼吸Q10作为夜间呼吸Q10的替代品,当夜间呼吸Q10和夜间呼吸Q10不同时,就会在估计夜间呼吸时产生误差。利用野外种植的高海拔高山植物的测量,我们的研究调查了叶片呼吸的Q10在白天和晚上是否不同。研究了广泛分布于青藏高原高寒草甸的4种常见草本植物在15 ~ 35°C和10 ~ 25°C之间的昼夜RL和RD和夜间RN。在18天的时间里,我们连续24小时每秒测量叶片温度。通过将叶片温度与呼吸生理测量相结合,计算叶片碳损失,以评估昼夜叶片呼吸温度响应差异的后果。RN的Q10比RL和RD高约三分之一。虽然Q10在RL和RD之间没有显著差异,但在中等叶温(22 ~ 25°C)时,叶片呼吸的光抑制(即100% - RL / RD)最低。菌株G. straminea和S. pulchra的抑制水平低于L. sagitta和L. virgaurea。基于RN的呼吸碳损失(Closs_day)超过基于RL的Closs_day高达47%,在不同物种之间差异很大。这些结果表明,叶片呼吸的温度敏感性(Q10)在白天和夜间有显著差异,这一发现需要在模拟植物的日呼吸碳损失率时加以考虑,特别是在高海拔地区和一些高纬度地区,这些地区日变化大,平均温度低。因此,考虑到RN和RD都不能准确地代表RL,我们强烈建议在估算白天叶片碳损失时优先考虑RL的观测值。
{"title":"Differential temperature responses of diurnal and nocturnal leaf respiration in four alpine herbaceous species","authors":"Tianyu Zheng ,&nbsp;Huixing Kang ,&nbsp;Yuan Yu ,&nbsp;Tong Guo ,&nbsp;Xinran Ke ,&nbsp;Owen K. Atkin ,&nbsp;Yanhong Tang","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110385","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110385","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Current estimates of diel respiratory carbon release depend on accurate predictions of the temperature sensitivity (<em>Q</em><sub>10</sub>) of leaf respiration during the day and night. Such predictions typically rely on measurements of the <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> of respiration in the light (<em>R</em><sub>L</sub>) and dark (<em>R</em><sub>D</sub>) made during the day, and assuming that the <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> of nocturnal respiration (<em>R</em><sub>N</sub>) equals that of <em>R</em><sub>D</sub>. Using <em>R</em><sub>D</sub> as a surrogate for <em>R</em><sub>N</sub>, however, creates errors in estimates of diel respiration whenever the <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> of <em>R</em><sub>D</sub> and <em>R</em><sub>N</sub> differ. Using measurements made on field-grown, high-altitude alpine plants, our study investigated whether the <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> of leaf respiration differs between the day and night.</div><div>We characterised diurnal <em>R</em><sub>L</sub> and <em>R</em><sub>D</sub> from 15 to 35 °C, and <em>R</em><sub>N</sub> from 10 to 25 °C at night, in four common herbaceous species widely distributed in alpine meadows on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. We measured leaf temperature every second for 24 h over a period of 18 days. By combining leaf temperature with respiratory physiological measurements, we calculated leaf carbon loss to assess the consequences of differences in temperature response of leaf respiration between day and night.</div><div><em>R</em><sub>N</sub> exhibited a higher <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> than <em>R</em><sub>L</sub> and <em>R</em><sub>D</sub> by about one third. Although there were no significant differences in <em>Q</em><sub>10</sub> between <em>R</em><sub>L</sub> and <em>R</em><sub>D</sub>, light inhibition of leaf respiration (i.e. 100 % - <em>R</em><sub>L</sub> / <em>R</em><sub>D</sub>) was at its lowest at a moderate leaf temperature (22−25 °C). <em>G. straminea</em> and <em>S. pulchra</em> showed lower levels of inhibition than L. <em>sagitta</em> and L. <em>virgaurea</em>. Respiratory carbon loss (C<sub>loss_day</sub>) based on <em>R</em><sub>N</sub> exceeded C<sub>loss_day</sub> based on <em>R</em><sub>L</sub> by up to 47 %, which varied considerably between the species.</div><div>These results suggest that the temperature sensitivity (<em>Q</em><sub>10</sub>) of leaf respiration differs significantly between day and night, a finding that needs to be taken into account when modelling the diel rates of respiratory carbon loss in plants, especially at high altitudes and some high latitudes with a large diurnal variation and low mean temperature. Therefore, considering that neither <em>R</em><sub>N</sub> nor <em>R</em><sub>D</sub> can accurately represent <em>R</em><sub>L</sub>, we strongly recommend that the observations of <em>R</em><sub>L</sub> should be prioritized when estimating daytime leaf carbon loss.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"362 ","pages":"Article 110385"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142936429","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Delaying sowing time and increasing sowing rate with plastic mulching can enhance wheat yield and water use efficiency under future climate change 在未来气候变化条件下,延后播期和增加地膜播量可提高小麦产量和水分利用效率
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110383
Lihong Wu , Hao Quan , Hao Feng , Dianyuan Ding , Lina Wu , De Li Liu , Bin Wang
Adjusting sowing dates and rates are effective measures for winter wheat to adapt to future climate change in achieving high yields. However, the combined influence of sowing date and sowing rate on winter wheat yield and water use efficiency (WUE) under plastic mulching (PM) conditions, particularly in the context of climate change, remains unexplored. To address this, a two-year field experiment conducted in the Guanzhong Plain, Northwest China, was used to calibrate the SPACSYS model. The calibrated model, driven by 27 global climate models under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, was used to project changes in yield and WUE and to evaluate the potential of various management strategies for mitigating the adverse effects of climate change. We investigated multiple strategies, including two mulching methods [plastic mulching (PM) and no mulching (NM)], six sowing rates (R1: local; R2: 110 % R1; R3: 120 % R1; R4: 130 % R1; R5: 140 % R1; R6: 150 % R1), and four sowing dates (10-day early, normal sowing, 10-day delay, 20-day delay). Results showed that without adaptation, the simulated yield under local management options (NM+normal sowing date+R1 sowing rate) decreased by 14.9−26.7 % under SSP245 and by 24.5−39.5 % under SSP585. Similarly, WUE decreased by 10.4−12.5 % under SSP245 and by 3.2−7.0 % under SSP585. These reductions in yield were primarily attributed to rising temperatures and decreasing radiation, while the decline in WUE was mainly driven by rising temperatures. In contrast, the optimal management combination (PM+10-day delayed sowing+R5 sowing rate) resulted in yield increases of 26.0−34.7 % under SSP245 and 21.2−32.5 % under SSP585 compared to the local management during the baseline period. This strategy also achieved the highest WUE, improving by 31.0−32.7 % under SSP245 and 36.5−39.2 % under SSP585 relative to the baseline. These findings provide valuable information to help farmers in Northwest China adapt to future climate change by optimizing sowing time and rate with PM, thereby enhancing wheat yield and WUE.
调整播期和播率是冬小麦适应未来气候变化、实现高产的有效措施。然而,播期和播量对地膜覆盖条件下冬小麦产量和水分利用效率(WUE)的综合影响,特别是在气候变化的背景下,仍未得到进一步研究。为了解决这一问题,在中国西北关中平原进行了为期两年的野外试验,对SPACSYS模型进行了校准。该模型由SSP245和SSP585情景下的27个全球气候模型驱动,用于预测产量和水分利用效率的变化,并评估各种管理策略缓解气候变化不利影响的潜力。我们研究了多种策略,包括两种覆盖方法[覆膜(PM)和不覆盖(NM)],六种播种率(R1:局部;R2: 110% r1;R3: 120% r1;R4: 130% r1;R5: 140% r1;R6: 150% R1), 4个播期(提前10天、正常播期、推迟10天、推迟20天)。结果表明,在不进行适应的情况下,SSP245和SSP585在不同管理方案(NM+正常播期+R1播量)下的模拟产量分别下降了14.9 ~ 26.7%和24.5 ~ 39.5%。同样,在SSP245和SSP585下,WUE分别下降了10.4% ~ 12.5%和3.2% ~ 7.0%。这些产量的减少主要归因于温度升高和辐射减少,而用水效率的下降主要是由温度升高引起的。相比之下,最优管理组合(PM+10 d延迟播种+R5播量)在SSP245和SSP585下的产量分别比基线期本地管理提高了26.0 ~ 34.7%和21.2 ~ 32.5%。该策略也获得了最高的WUE,在SSP245下相对于基线提高了31.1% ~ 32.7%,在SSP585下提高了36.5% ~ 39.2%。研究结果可为西北地区农民利用PM优化播期和播率,从而提高小麦产量和水分利用效率提供有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of environmental factors on ecosystem water use efficiency: An insight from gross primary production and evapotranspiration dynamics 环境因子对生态系统水分利用效率的影响:来自初级生产总量和蒸散动态的洞察
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110382
Zhe Kong , Tiejun Wang , Qiong Han , Yibin Dai , Yutao Zuo , Lichun Wang , Yunchao Lang
Ecosystem water use efficiency (eWUE = gross primary production (GPP)/evapotranspiration (ET)) is widely used to characterize the coupling of ecosystem water and carbon processes. To investigate how eWUE responds to environmental changes, we compared environmental controls on annual, monthly, and daily GPP, ET, and eWUE from diverse ecosystems and climate regimes and quantified their daily relative impacts with machine learning techniques. Similar to GPP and ET, eWUE was strongly related to environmental variables at daily and monthly scales than at annual scales, indicating the tighter interplays of ecosystem processes with surroundings at shorter timescales. More critically, daily GPP and ET variations were primarily driven by net radiation (Rn) at most sites; whereas, vapor pressure deficit (VPD) dominated daily eWUE variations from humid to semi-arid sites, leaf area index (LAI) controlled eWUE variations at arid sites. It was largely attributed to the asynchronous responses of daily GPP and ET to environmental variables: the positive responses (though with different degrees) of daily GPP and ET to Rn weakened the Rn impact on eWUE; whereas, the opposite responses of daily GPP (negative) and ET (positive) to VPD enhanced the VPD impact on eWUE. The greater LAI impact on daily eWUE at arid sites was due to the dominant control of LAI on GPP variations under arid conditions. Unlike early eWUE models that incorporate VPD, our data showed that Rn could significantly improve eWUE models. This work provides valuable insights into understanding the controlling mechanisms of eWUE and ameliorating the representation of GPP and ET coupling.
生态系统水利用效率(eWUE = gross primary production (GPP)/evapotranspiration (ET))被广泛用于表征生态系统水碳耦合过程。为了研究eWUE如何响应环境变化,我们比较了不同生态系统和气候条件下的年度、月度和每日GPP、ET和eWUE的环境控制,并使用机器学习技术量化了它们的日常相对影响。与GPP和ET相似,eWUE在日和月尺度上与环境变量的相关性强于年尺度,表明生态系统过程与环境的相互作用在较短的时间尺度上更为紧密。更重要的是,在大多数站点,GPP和ET的日变化主要由净辐射(Rn)驱动;水汽压亏缺(VPD)主导湿润至半干旱区土壤水分利用效率的日变化,叶面积指数(LAI)控制干旱区土壤水分利用效率的日变化。这在很大程度上归因于日GPP和ET对环境变量的非同步响应:日GPP和ET对Rn的正响应(尽管程度不同)减弱了Rn对生态高效利用的影响;而日GPP(负)和ET(正)对VPD的相反响应增强了VPD对eWUE的影响。LAI对干旱样地日生态利用效率的影响较大,主要是由于LAI对干旱条件下GPP变化的主导控制。与早期纳入VPD的eWUE模型不同,我们的数据表明,Rn可以显著改善eWUE模型。这项工作为理解eWUE的控制机制和改进GPP和ET耦合的表示提供了有价值的见解。
{"title":"Impacts of environmental factors on ecosystem water use efficiency: An insight from gross primary production and evapotranspiration dynamics","authors":"Zhe Kong ,&nbsp;Tiejun Wang ,&nbsp;Qiong Han ,&nbsp;Yibin Dai ,&nbsp;Yutao Zuo ,&nbsp;Lichun Wang ,&nbsp;Yunchao Lang","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110382","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110382","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ecosystem water use efficiency (eWUE = gross primary production (GPP)/evapotranspiration (ET)) is widely used to characterize the coupling of ecosystem water and carbon processes. To investigate how eWUE responds to environmental changes, we compared environmental controls on annual, monthly, and daily GPP, ET, and eWUE from diverse ecosystems and climate regimes and quantified their daily relative impacts with machine learning techniques. Similar to GPP and ET, eWUE was strongly related to environmental variables at daily and monthly scales than at annual scales, indicating the tighter interplays of ecosystem processes with surroundings at shorter timescales. More critically, daily GPP and ET variations were primarily driven by net radiation (R<sub>n</sub>) at most sites; whereas, vapor pressure deficit (VPD) dominated daily eWUE variations from humid to semi-arid sites, leaf area index (LAI) controlled eWUE variations at arid sites. It was largely attributed to the asynchronous responses of daily GPP and ET to environmental variables: the positive responses (though with different degrees) of daily GPP and ET to R<sub>n</sub> weakened the R<sub>n</sub> impact on eWUE; whereas, the opposite responses of daily GPP (negative) and ET (positive) to VPD enhanced the VPD impact on eWUE. The greater LAI impact on daily eWUE at arid sites was due to the dominant control of LAI on GPP variations under arid conditions. Unlike early eWUE models that incorporate VPD, our data showed that R<sub>n</sub> could significantly improve eWUE models. This work provides valuable insights into understanding the controlling mechanisms of eWUE and ameliorating the representation of GPP and ET coupling.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"362 ","pages":"Article 110382"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142935355","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incorporating the temperature responses of stomatal and non-stomatal limitations to photosynthesis improves the predictability of the unified stomatal optimization model for wheat under heat stress 考虑气孔和非气孔限制对光合作用的温度响应,提高了热胁迫下小麦统一气孔优化模型的可预测性
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110381
Yiting Chen , Kehao Liang , Bingjing Cui , Jingxiang Hou , Eva Rosenqvist , Liang Fang , Fulai Liu
Drought and heat stress often occur simultaneously causing detrimental impacts on crop growth and physiology. Stomata behave differently when plants are exposed to drought and heat stress, which may change the coupling relationship of stomatal conductance (gs) and photosynthesis (An) and thereby influence the capability of the Ball-Berry (BB)-based gs model. To examine the prevalence of this gs-An decoupling and its influence on the predictability of gs model, three pot experiments in climate-controlled greenhouses or climate chambers were conducted where leaf gas exchange of four wheat genotypes with varied sensitivity to drought or heat stress was measured, and the performance of the unified stomatal optimization model (USO model) in simulating gs under individual or combined stress was evaluated. Data obtained from 2019 were used for model parameterization and from 2020 to 2023 were used for model validation. Results showed that the gs-An decoupling only occurred in well-watered plants under heat regardless of genotype, where the original USO model underestimated the gs. To improve the model prediction, a new slope parameter, which based on the differential effect of the relative stomatal (ls) and non-stomatal limitations (lns) on An, with respect to leaf temperature was incorporated to modify the USO model. Compared with the original USO model, the modified USO model showed lower Akaike's information criterion and improved predictability for gs with higher R2 (> 0.90), lower RMSE (< 0.08) and MAE (< 0.06). These findings underscore the critical importance of integrating the effect of leaf temperature on the ls and lns into the USO model for accurately predicting gs in wheat plants subjected to heat stress.
干旱和热胁迫往往同时发生,对作物生长和生理造成不利影响。植物在干旱和热胁迫下气孔行为的变化可能改变气孔导度(gs)与光合作用(An)的耦合关系,从而影响基于球莓(Ball-Berry)的气孔导度(gs)模型的能力。为了研究gs- a解耦的普遍性及其对gs模型可预测性的影响,在气候控制的温室或气候室中进行了3个盆栽试验,测量了4种不同干旱或热胁迫敏感性小麦基因型的叶片气体交换,并评估了统一气孔优化模型(USO)在单独或联合胁迫下模拟gs的性能。2019年获得的数据用于模型参数化,2020年至2023年的数据用于模型验证。结果表明,无论基因型如何,gs- an解耦只发生在水分充足的植物中,而原始的USO模型低估了gs。为了提高USO模型的预测精度,引入了一个新的斜率参数,该参数基于相对气孔(ls)和非气孔限制(lns)对叶片温度的差异效应,对USO模型进行了修正。与原始USO模型相比,改进后的USO模型具有较低的赤池信息准则和较高的R2 (>;0.90), RMSE较低(<;0.08)和MAE (<;0.06)。这些发现强调了将叶片温度对ls和lns的影响整合到USO模型中的重要性,以准确预测小麦植株在热胁迫下的gs。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of extreme temperature events on carbon fluxes in different ecosystems in the Heihe River Basin, China 极端温度事件对中国黑河流域不同生态系统碳通量的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2025-01-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110380
Tonghong Wang , Xufeng Wang , Qiang Zhang , Songlin Zhang , Junlei Tan , Yang Zhang , Zhiguo Ren , Yanpeng Yang , Tao Che
The terrestrial carbon cycle is strongly influenced by climate changes, but the impact of extreme temperature events on carbon fluxes in Northwest China's ecosystems remains poorly understood. To understand the impacts of extreme temperature events on carbon fluxes, we measured net ecosystem productivity (NEP), gross primary productivity (GPP), and ecosystem respiration (Reco) along with meteorological factors at nine sites in the Heihe River Basin (HRB) from 2013 to 2022. Extreme high temperature (EHT) and extreme low temperature (ELT) were identified based on long-term air temperature data and their impacts on carbon fluxes were examined. Our findings indicate a rising frequency of EHT events and a decline in ELT events during the growing seasons over the past decade. During the EHT periods, GPP and Reco generally increased, regardless of soil water content. In contrast, both GPP and Reco decreased during the ELT periods. Alpine grasslands are more sensitive to EHT events, while deserts exhibit more sensitivity to ELT events. These results highlight the diverse responses of carbon fluxes to extreme temperature events across ecosystems in the HRB, providing valuable insights for regional ecosystem management and climate change adaptation.
陆地碳循环受气候变化的强烈影响,但极端温度事件对西北生态系统碳通量的影响尚不清楚。为了解极端温度事件对黑河流域碳通量的影响,在2013 - 2022年对黑河流域9个站点的净生态系统生产力(NEP)、总初级生产力(GPP)和生态系统呼吸(Reco)以及气象因子进行了测量。基于长期气温数据,确定了极端高温(EHT)和极端低温(ELT),并分析了它们对碳通量的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在过去十年的生长季节,EHT事件的频率上升,而ELT事件的频率下降。在EHT期间,GPP和Reco总体呈上升趋势,与土壤含水量无关。相比之下,GPP和Reco在ELT期间均有所下降。高寒草原对高温天气事件更敏感,而沙漠对高温天气事件更敏感。这些结果凸显了青藏高原各生态系统对极端温度事件的碳通量响应的多样性,为区域生态系统管理和气候变化适应提供了有价值的见解。
{"title":"Effects of extreme temperature events on carbon fluxes in different ecosystems in the Heihe River Basin, China","authors":"Tonghong Wang ,&nbsp;Xufeng Wang ,&nbsp;Qiang Zhang ,&nbsp;Songlin Zhang ,&nbsp;Junlei Tan ,&nbsp;Yang Zhang ,&nbsp;Zhiguo Ren ,&nbsp;Yanpeng Yang ,&nbsp;Tao Che","doi":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110380","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110380","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The terrestrial carbon cycle is strongly influenced by climate changes, but the impact of extreme temperature events on carbon fluxes in Northwest China's ecosystems remains poorly understood. To understand the impacts of extreme temperature events on carbon fluxes, we measured net ecosystem productivity (NEP), gross primary productivity (GPP), and ecosystem respiration (Reco) along with meteorological factors at nine sites in the Heihe River Basin (HRB) from 2013 to 2022. Extreme high temperature (EHT) and extreme low temperature (ELT) were identified based on long-term air temperature data and their impacts on carbon fluxes were examined. Our findings indicate a rising frequency of EHT events and a decline in ELT events during the growing seasons over the past decade. During the EHT periods, GPP and Reco generally increased, regardless of soil water content. In contrast, both GPP and Reco decreased during the ELT periods. Alpine grasslands are more sensitive to EHT events, while deserts exhibit more sensitivity to ELT events. These results highlight the diverse responses of carbon fluxes to extreme temperature events across ecosystems in the HRB, providing valuable insights for regional ecosystem management and climate change adaptation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50839,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural and Forest Meteorology","volume":"362 ","pages":"Article 110380"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142916839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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