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Skill assessment of a total water level and coastal change forecast during the landfall of a hurricane 飓风登陆时总水位和沿岸变化预报的技能评估
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104590
Justin J. Birchler , Margaret L. Palmsten , Kara S. Doran , Sharifa Karwandyar , Joshua M. Pardun , Elora M. Oades , Ryan P. Mulligan , Eli S. Whitehead-Zimmers
<div><p>The Total Water Level and Coastal Change Forecast (TWL&CC Forecast) provides coastal communities with 6-day notice of potential elevated water levels and coastal change (i.e., dune erosion, overwash, or inundation) on sandy beaches that threatens safety, infrastructure, or resources. This continuously operating model provides hourly information for select regions along U.S. Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic Ocean coastlines. The objective of this work is to assess the skill of forecasts during a period of elevated water levels along the coasts of North Carolina (NC) and South Carolina, USA caused by Hurricane Isaias in August 2020, using a combination of observations and model hindcasts. Water levels and waves were observed throughout the storm at three locations near Wrightsville Beach, NC, which provided information to assess forecast skill; a wave buoy offshore, a tide gage at a local pier, and a pressure sensor deployed at the pier. In addition to observations, the non-hydrostatic phase-resolving model SWASH (Simulating WAves till SHore) was forced with hourly wave energy spectra derived from a coupled Delft3D-SWAN simulation during the peak of Isaias, to complement observations by computing nearshore wave height and wave-induced setup and runup at the shoreline. During the storm peak, SWASH-simulated water levels at the sensor position were comparable to those at the maximum landward extent (bias = −0.05 m; gain = 0.26; r<sup>2</sup> = 0.99), suggesting that observations at the USGS sensor location were a useful proxy for total water level (TWL; sum of tide, surge and wave runup) at the shoreline that are predicted by the TWL&CC Forecast. The TWL forecast at Wrightsville Beach was consistent with observations from the USGS sensor (bias = −0.38 m and −0.74 m, scatter index = 0.22 and 0.28 for the two forecast model grids considered, respectively; weighted regression considering model uncertainty explained 95 percent of variability in observed TWL). Observed TWL was within the confidence interval of the TWL&CC Forecast for the 5 h at the storm peak. Forecast mean water levels (MWL; sum of tide, surge and wave setup) and tide gage observations were also consistent (bias = 0.07 m and 0.02 m for the forecast model grids; scatter index = 0.46; r<sup>2</sup> = 0.80). Forecast MWL at the storm peak was within 0.06 m of the observed MWL from the tide gage for both sites. In the region where Isaias made landfall, eight additional pressure sensors were compared to the peak TWL forecast (bias = 0.14 m; scatter index = 0.18). Forecast TWL explained 90 percent of observed variability in TWL when considering uncertainty of the forecast with a weighted regression. The results demonstrate that wave-driven water levels contributed a significant portion of the forecast TWL during Isaias (52 percent during the three peak hours of the storm), and that TWL were represented using the forecast model. Mean absolute error of the coastal change forecast
总水位和海岸变化预报(TWL&CC 预报)为沿海社区提供为期 6 天的通知,预报沙 滩上可能出现的威胁安全、基础设施或资源的水位升高和海岸变化(即沙丘侵蚀、冲刷或淹没)。这一持续运行的模式每小时提供美国墨西哥湾和大西洋沿岸部分地区的信息。这项工作的目的是,在 2020 年 8 月伊萨亚斯飓风造成美国北卡罗来纳州(NC)和南卡罗来纳州沿岸水位升高期间,利用观测数据和模型后报相结合的方法,评估预测技能。在北卡罗来纳州赖茨维尔海滩附近的三个地点对整个风暴期间的水位和海浪进行了观测,为评估预报技能提供了信息:离岸波浪浮标、当地码头的验潮仪以及部署在码头的压力传感器。除观测数据外,在伊萨亚斯风暴最高峰期间,非静水相位解析模型 SWASH(Simulating WAves till SHore)还利用从 Delft3D-SWAN 耦合模拟中获得的每小时波浪能量谱进行强制计算,通过计算近岸波高和波浪引起的海岸线设置和上升,对观测数据进行补充。在风暴峰值期间,传感器位置的 SWASH 模拟水位与最大向陆范围的水位相当(偏差 = -0.05米;增益 = 0.26;r2 = 0.99),这表明 USGS 传感器位置的观测数据是 TWL&CC 预测的海岸线总水位(TWL;潮汐、浪涌和波浪上升的总和)的有用替代数据。Wrightsville 海滩的总水位(TWL)预测结果与 USGS 传感器的观测结果一致(两个预测模型网格的偏差分别为-0.38 米和-0.74 米,分散指数分别为 0.22 和 0.28;考虑到模型不确定性的加权回归解释了观测总水位(TWL)变化的 95%)。在暴雨峰值的 5 小时内,观测到的 TWL 均在 TWL&CC 预报的置信区间内。预报平均水位(MWL;潮汐、涌浪和波浪的总和)与验潮仪观测结果也一致(预报模式网格的偏差 = 0.07 米和 0.02 米;散布指数 = 0.46;r2 = 0.80)。在两个地点,风暴峰值时的预报最大最低水位与验潮仪观测到的最大最低水位相差不超过 0.06 米。在 "伊萨亚斯 "登陆地区,另外 8 个压力传感器与预测的峰值 TWL 进行了比较(偏差 = 0.14 米;散布指数 = 0.18)。当考虑到加权回归预测的不确定性时,预测的总温升解释了观测到的总温升变化的 90%。结果表明,在 "伊萨亚斯 "风暴期间,波浪驱动的水位在预测的双向浮标中占了很 大比例(在风暴的三个高峰时段占 52%),而且双向浮标在预测模式中得到了体现。在所考虑的两个预报模式网格中,沿岸变化预报和观测到的过冲量的平均绝对误差分别为 0.4 和 0.14。这种计算效率高的方法所显示的技术表明,预报系统可以在风暴威胁沿岸地区之前数天至数小时,以亚公里分辨率对数百公里海岸线上的 TWL 进行快速可靠的预报。
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引用次数: 0
Kinematics of nonlinear waves over variable bathymetry. Part II: Statistical distributions of orbital velocities and accelerations in irregular long-crested seas 多变水深上的非线性波运动学。第二部分:不规则长脊海中轨道速度和加速度的统计分布
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104589
Jie Zhang , Yuxiang Ma , Michel Benoit

In coastal areas, variable bottom effects significantly enhance wave nonlinearity and complicate wave propagation. It is of practical interest to characterize the nonlinear effect on the statistics of free surface displacements and particle kinematics. In this work, we take advantage of a fully nonlinear potential flow model to investigate the statistics of unidirectional irregular waves propagating over an uneven bottom. By confronting the simulated results with existing experimental results (free surface elevation and horizontal velocity beneath the mean sea level) in the temporal, spectral, and statistical domains, we show the high fidelity of the model in predicting the nonlinear irregular wave kinematics. As the relative importance of low-frequency harmonics becomes lower for acceleration, the model performance in predicting the measured horizontal acceleration is even better than that for the measured horizontal velocity. The empirical statistical distributions of velocity and acceleration in both horizontal and vertical directions are compared with both the normal (Gaussian) and the log-normal (LN) distributions. The latter requires skewness as an input in addition to the mean and standard deviation of the signal. We notice that, unlike the free surface displacement generally of positive skewness, the signal of velocities and accelerations are sometimes characterized by negative skewness. In such cases, the negative LN distribution should be adopted. Although the LN distribution has rarely been used for short-term statistics of wave elevation and kinematics, the detailed comparisons presented here demonstrate very good performance for all kinematic variables. In particular, in the area following a rapid reduction of water depth, where the sea-state is out-of-equilibrium, the heavy tails in the distributions are well reproduced by the LN model, indicating some generality and merits of this model.

在沿岸地区,可变的海底效应大大提高了波的非线性,并使波的传播变得复杂。研究非线性效应对自由表面位移和粒子运动学统计的影响具有实际意义。在这项工作中,我们利用全非线性势流模型研究了在不平整底部传播的单向不规则波的统计量。通过将模拟结果与现有实验结果(平均海平面下的自由表面高程和水平速度)在时间、频谱和统计领域进行对比,我们展示了该模型在预测非线性不规则波运动学方面的高保真性。随着低频谐波对加速度的相对重要性降低,模型在预测测得的水平加速度方面的性能甚至优于预测测得的水平速度。水平和垂直方向的速度和加速度的经验统计分布与正态分布(高斯分布)和对数正态分布(LN 分布)进行了比较。后者除了需要输入信号的平均值和标准偏差外,还需要输入偏度。我们注意到,与自由表面位移一般具有正偏度不同,速度和加速度信号有时具有负偏度。在这种情况下,应采用负 LN 分布。虽然 LN 分布很少用于波浪高程和运动学的短期统计,但本文所做的详细比较表明,它在所有运动学变量方面都有非常好的表现。特别是在水深急剧下降后的区域,海况处于失衡状态,LN 模型很好地再现了分布中的重尾,这表明该模型具有一定的通用性和优点。
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引用次数: 0
Observation and modelling of infragravity waves at a large meso-tidal inlet and lagoon 大型潮间带入口和泻湖的次重力波观测与建模
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104579
Alexandre Nicolae Lerma , Nico Valentini , Paul Bayle , Xavier Bertin , Florian Ganthy , Arnaud Le Pevedic , Guillaume Detandt , Nadia Sénéchal

The role of infragravity waves (IG waves) in beach and dune erosion or in flood hazard has been extensively studied on open beaches. In contrast, the detailed characterization of IG waves and their contribution to the Total Water Level (TWL) along the shore of inlets received little attention so far. In such environment, there is a real lack of in situ observations of waves and hydrodynamics conditions at appropriate spatial and temporal coverage to study the role of infragravity (IG) waves (long waves of frequency typically ranging between 0.004 Hz and 0.04–0.05 Hz) on coastal hazards. This contribution is based on field observations collected at the Arcachon Lagoon, a shallow semi-enclosed lagoon connected to the ocean by a large tidal inlet, located in southwest France. Analyses combine observations made at several locations during storm events within the inlet and the lagoon with numerical simulation with the XBeach surfbeat model to explore the spatial variability of IG waves and simulate observed, historical, and idealized storm conditions. The results show that IG waves are substantial during typical winter storms at the inlet and range from Hm0 = 0.8 to over 1 m across the ebb delta and about 0.4–0.6 m in the inner part of the inlet. At the lagoon entrance, IG waves remain substantial (about 0.1–0.2 m) and decrease to a few centimeters at the lagoon shore. The spatial variability and magnitude of IG waves along the inlet coast, simulated for the historical storms, are quite comparable to those observed during classical winter, and do not increase linearly with offshore wave energy. However, both observations and simulations reveal local amplifications of IG waves in the inner part of the inlet, especially along the sheltered coast were IG waves dominate the variance of free surface elevation, reaching about 0.6–0.7 m during common storms and more than 1 m for an extreme storm scenario. A numerical experiment indicates that IG wave reflection from one coast to the other contributes up to 35–40% of the measured IG wave height at a hot spot located along the sheltered coast. Finally, the contribution of IG waves to TWL at the shore on both sides of the inlet has been estimated to be about 0.4–0.6 m for a common storm and 0.6–0.9 m for an extreme scenario, locally peaking at 0.74 and 1.1 m respectively and overpassing the contribution of wave-induced setup. This work provides new insights into the contribution of IG waves to TWL and its implications for overtopping flooding hazard and overwash processes at large inlets, highlighting the need to consider IG waves in Early Warning Systems or hazard mapping for flood prevention plans in these environments.

关于次重力波(IG 波)在海滩和沙丘侵蚀或洪水灾害中的作用,人们已经在开阔的海滩上进行了广泛的研究。相比之下,迄今为止,人们很少关注内湾沿岸次重力波的详细特征及其对总水位(TWL)的影响。在这种环境下,要研究次重力波(频率通常在 0.004 Hz 和 0.04-0.05 Hz 之间的长波)对沿岸灾害的作用,确实缺乏在适当的时空范围内对波浪和水动力条件的现场观测。这篇论文基于在阿卡雄泻湖收集的实地观测数据,阿卡雄泻湖是一个半封闭的浅泻湖,由一个大的潮汐入口与海洋相连,位于法国西南部。分析结合了在入海口和泻湖内风暴事件期间在多个地点进行的观测,以及 XBeach surfbeat 模型的数值模拟,以探索 IG 波的空间可变性,并模拟观测到的、历史上的和理想化的风暴条件。结果表明,在典型的冬季风暴期间,入海口的 IG 波很大,整个退潮三角洲的范围从 Hm0 = 0.8 到超过 1 米,入海口内部约为 0.4-0.6 米。在泻湖入口处,IG 波仍然很大(约 0.1-0.2 米),在泻湖岸边则减小到几厘米。根据历史风暴模拟的入海口沿岸 IG 波的空间变化和幅度与经典冬季观测到的相当,并不随离岸波浪能量的增加而线性增加。然而,观测和模拟结果都显示,在入海口内侧,特别是在避风沿岸,IG 波有局部放大现象,IG 波在自由表面高程的变化中占主导地位,在普通风暴期间达到约 0.6-0.7 米,在极端风暴情况下超过 1 米。数值实验表明,在位于避风海岸的一个热点,从一个海岸到另一个海岸的中导波反射造成的中导波高度占实测中导波高度的 35-40%。最后,据估计,在普通风暴情况下,IG 波对入海口两侧海岸 TWL 的贡献约为 0.4-0.6 米,在极端情况下约为 0.6-0.9 米,局部峰值分别为 0.74 米和 1.1 米,超过了波浪诱导设置的贡献。这项研究为了解中导波对 TWL 的贡献及其对大型入海口的倾覆洪水危害和冲刷过程的影响提供了新的视角,突出了在预警系统中考虑中导波的必要性,或为这些环境中的防洪计划绘制危害图。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-layer non-hydrostatic free-surface flow model with kinematic seafloor for seismic tsunami generation 用于地震海啸发生的带运动海底的多层非流体静力学自由表面流模型
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104580
Xiaoran Wei , Honghuan Zhi , Yefei Bai

Earthquake induced tsunamis pose devastating threat to coastal communities worldwide. Accurate description of tsunami generation by kinematic fault rupture is of importance to investigate earthquake events and evaluate tsunami impacts. The paper develops a multi-layer non-hydrostatic model with a kinematic bottom boundary condition and conducts comprehensive validation to examine the model’s capability in resolving seismic tsunami generation. The two-dimensional governing equations of the multi-layer non-hydrostatic free-surface flow system equipped with kinematic seafloor displacement is first introduced in Cartesian coordinates. A combined finite difference and finite volume scheme is utilized to discretize the governing equations with flow variables arranged on a staggered Arakawa C-grid. Application of pressure correction technique to the discretized formulations yields Poisson-type equations from which the non-hydrostatic pressure is solved for the next time step to complete the temporal integration. Based on existing analytical solutions, four groups of tsunami generation cases considering broad ranges of source parameters, including horizontal scale, rise time, and rupture velocity, are designed to demonstrate performance of the proposed non-hydrostatic model with one-, two-, and three-layers as well as the hydrostatic one. Comparison of 59 generation cases including extreme scenarios indicates the non-hydrostatic model performs better than the hydrostatic model in reproducing the entire waveform and predicting the maximum wave amplitude. High modeling accuracy can be achieved through incorporation of more layers. The proposed multi-layer non-hydrostatic model is a powerful tool for investigating earthquake source mechanisms and evaluating coastal tsunami hazards.

地震引发的海啸对全球沿海社区构成毁灭性威胁。准确描述运动断层破裂产生的海啸对研究地震事件和评估海啸影响具有重要意义。本文建立了一个具有运动学底部边界条件的多层非流体静力学模型,并进行了全面验证,以检验该模型解析地震海啸产生的能力。首先在直角坐标下介绍了带有运动海底位移的多层非静水自由表面流系统的二维控制方程。利用有限差分和有限体积相结合的方案,对在交错荒川 C 网格上排列的流动变量的控制方程进行离散化。将压力校正技术应用到离散化公式中,可得到泊松型方程,在此基础上求解下一时间步的非静水压力,以完成时间积分。在现有分析解法的基础上,设计了四组海啸发生案例,考虑了广泛的海啸源参数范围,包括水平尺度、上升时间和破裂速度,以展示所提出的单层、双层和三层非静水模型以及静水模型的性能。对包括极端情况在内的 59 个生成案例进行的比较表明,非静力学模型在再现整个波形和预测最大波幅方面优于静力学模型。通过加入更多层次,可以实现更高的建模精度。所提出的多层非静力模型是研究震源机制和评估沿海海啸危害的有力工具。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal variations in drag coefficient of salt marsh vegetation 盐沼植被阻力系数的季节性变化
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104575
Changyang Li, Zhong Peng, Ying Zhao, Dan Fang, Xianjin Chen, Fan Xu, Xianye Wang

Understanding the seasonal variations of vegetation drag coefficients is crucial for improving wave attenuation predictions and adapting to climate impacts. This study explores the seasonal changes in drag coefficients within salt marsh vegetation, using data from a year-long series of field measurements at the Chongming Dongtan Wetland. It uncovers the complex seasonal variations of drag coefficients. Results demonstrate that incorporating a nonlinear equation for characteristic flow velocity and effective vegetation length significantly improves the precision of drag coefficient predictions, ensuring a closer match with field observations. Furthermore, it introduces a refined drag coefficient formula that incorporates adjustments for vegetation stiffness and relative submergence, offering a more accurate representation of the seasonal variability in drag forces exerted by salt marsh vegetation. This enhanced formula is crucial for accurately assessing vegetation's role in wave attenuation, providing critical insights for the design and implementation of coastal defense and wetland conservation initiatives.

了解植被阻力系数的季节变化对于改进波浪衰减预测和适应气候影响至关重要。本研究利用在崇明东滩湿地进行的为期一年的系列实地测量数据,探讨了盐沼植被阻力系数的季节变化。研究揭示了阻力系数复杂的季节变化。结果表明,将特征流速和有效植被长度的非线性方程结合起来,可显著提高阻力系数预测的精度,确保与实地观测结果更加吻合。此外,它还引入了一个改进的阻力系数公式,其中包含了对植被刚度和相对浸没度的调整,更准确地反映了盐沼植被阻力的季节性变化。这一改进的公式对于准确评估植被在波浪衰减中的作用至关重要,为设计和实施海岸防御和湿地保护措施提供了重要的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Stability of two-class armour berm breakwaters: An experimental study 两级装甲护堤防波堤的稳定性:实验研究
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104576
Mohammed Al-Ogaili , Amir Etemad-Shahidi , Nick Cartwright , Sigurdur Sigurdarson

The recession of a berm breakwater is a key parameter in ensuring its stability, and functionality, to protect coastal areas against wave impacts. Consequently, consideration of the expected recession in structural design is required to ensure the required objectives of the structure. In this study, physical model laboratory experiments were conducted to measure the recession of two-class armour berm breakwaters in response to varying sea state conditions (wave height, wave period, storm duration, and water depth at the structure's toe) and geometrical parameters (berm elevation from still water level, berm width, and rock size). A total of 110 tests were conducted under irregular wave forcing and the results were compared with those of existing formulae, derived specifically for mass armour and Icelandic-type berm breakwaters. Of the existing formulae, the Sigurdarson and Van der Meer (2013) formula that is derived for both mass armour and Icelandic-type berm breakwater outperforms the other formulas. Subsequently, a new empirical formula was developed to estimate the erosion depth based on the dimensionless water depth. The findings from this study could be instrumental for the structural design of two-class armour berm breakwaters under different sea states and geometrical configurations.

护堤防波堤的后退是确保其稳定性和功能性的一个关键参数,以保护沿岸地区免受波 浪的冲击。因此,在结构设计中需要考虑预期的后退,以确保结构达到要求的目标。在这项研究中,进行了物理模型实验室实验,以测量两级装甲护堤防波堤在不同海况条件 (波高、波周期、风暴持续时间和结构趾部水深)和几何参数(护堤从静止水位的标高、 护堤宽度和岩石尺寸)下的退缩情况。在不规则波浪作用下,共进行了 110 次测试,并将测试结果与专门针对大规模装甲和冰岛型护堤防波堤得出的现有公式进行了比较。在现有公式中,Sigurdarson 和 Van der Meer(2013 年)的公式同时适用于质量装甲和冰岛型护堤防波堤,优于其他公式。随后,根据无量纲水深开发了一个新的经验公式来估算侵蚀深度。这项研究的结果有助于在不同海况和几何构造下对两级装甲护堤防波堤进行结构设计。
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引用次数: 0
Surge-NF: Neural Fields inspired peak storm surge surrogate modeling with multi-task learning and positional encoding Surge-NF:受神经场启发,利用多任务学习和位置编码进行风暴潮峰值代用建模
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104573
Wenjun Jiang, Xi Zhong, Jize Zhang

Storm surges pose a significant threat to coastal communities, necessitating rapid and precise storm surge prediction methods for long-time risk assessment and emergency management. High-fidelity numerical models such as ADCIRC provide accurate storm surge simulations but are computationally expensive. Surrogate models have emerged as an alternative option to alleviate the computational burden by learning from available numerical datasets. However, existing surrogate models face challenges in capturing the highly non-stationary and non-linear patterns of storm surges, resulting in over-smoothed response surfaces. Moreover, the dry–wet status of nearshore nodes has not been informatively considered in the training process.

This study proposes Surge-NF, a novel point-based surrogate model inspired by Neural Fields (NF) from computer graphics. Surge-NF introduces two key innovations. A positional encoding module is proposed to mitigate over-smoothing of high-frequency peak storm surge spatial dependencies. A multi-task learning framework is proposed to simultaneously learn and predict the dry–wet status and peak surge values, leveraging task dependencies to improve prediction accuracy and data efficiency. We evaluate Surge-NF on the NACCS database with comparison to state-of-the-art alternative surrogate models. Surge-NF consistently reduces RMSE/MAE by 50% and achieves 4–5 times computational cost gain over baselines, requiring only 50 training storms to produce accurate predictions. The complementary benefits of the positional encoding and multi-task learning modules are evident from the improved prediction capability with their combined use.

Overall, Surge-NF represents a significant advancement in storm surge surrogate modeling, offering its novel and unique ability to capture high-frequency spatial variations and leverage task dependencies. It has the potential to greatly enhance storm surge risk assessment and emergency response management, enabling effective decision-making and mitigation strategies to safeguard coastal communities from the devastating impacts of storm surges.

风暴潮对沿海社区构成重大威胁,因此需要采用快速、精确的风暴潮预测方法来进行长 期风险评估和应急管理。ADCIRC 等高保真数值模式可以提供精确的风暴潮模拟,但计算成本高昂。代用模型通过学习现有的数值数据集,成为减轻计算负担的另一种选择。然而,现有的代用模式在捕捉风暴潮的高度非稳态和非线性模式方面面临挑战,导致响应面过于平滑。此外,在训练过程中,近岸节点的干湿状态也未被考虑在内。本研究提出了 Surge-NF,这是一种基于点的新型代用模型,其灵感来自计算机图形学中的神经场(NF)。Surge-NF 引入了两项关键创新。提出了一个位置编码模块,以减轻对高频风暴潮峰值空间依赖性的过度平滑。我们还提出了一个多任务学习框架,用于同时学习和预测干湿状态和峰值浪涌值,利用任务相关性来提高预测精度和数据效率。我们在 NACCS 数据库中对 Surge-NF 进行了评估,并与最先进的替代模型进行了比较。与基线相比,Surge-NF 的 RMSE/MAE 持续降低了 50%,计算成本提高了 4-5 倍,只需 50 次训练风暴就能做出准确预测。总之,Surge-NF 代表了风暴潮代理建模的重大进步,它具有捕捉高频空间变化和利用任务依赖性的新颖独特能力。总之,Surge-NF 具有捕捉高频空间变化和利用任务依赖性的新颖独特能力,是风暴潮代用模型的重大进步。它有可能极大地加强风暴潮风险评估和应急响应管理,使有效的决策和减灾战略成为可能,从而保护沿海社区免受风暴潮的破坏性影响。
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引用次数: 0
Full-scale experiments on wave transmission and stability of oyster shell-filled bag berms 牡蛎壳填充袋护堤的波浪传播和稳定性全尺寸实验
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104578
Mitchel Provan , Amanj Rahman , Enda Murphy

Oyster shell-filled bags have been used in engineered reefs and living shorelines as a nature-based solution to attenuate wave energy and stabilize shorelines. However, due to limited scientific data, uncertainties persist in accurately predicting the performance of these reefs, which can hinder a more widespread adoption. In particular, there is a lack of information on wave transmission through, and the stability of, oyster shell-filled bag berms with different configurations and relative freeboards. To address this knowledge gap, a full (1:1) scale experimental flume study was conducted to measure the wave transmission and stability of six different oyster shell-filled bag berms under a range of incident wave conditions and water levels. The findings from the experimental tests were used to propose empirical equations for wave transmission and stability, which can assist practitioners in predicting the performance of these engineered reefs.

牡蛎壳填充袋已被用于工程礁石和活海岸线,作为一种基于自然的解决方案,用于衰减波浪能和稳定海岸线。然而,由于科学数据有限,在准确预测这些礁石的性能方面仍然存在不确定性,这可能会阻碍其更广泛的应用。特别是,关于波浪通过不同配置和相对自由度的牡蛎壳填充袋护堤以及其稳定性的信息十分匮乏。为了弥补这一知识空白,我们进行了一次完整(1:1)规模的水槽实验研究,以测量六种不同的牡蛎壳填充袋护堤在一系列入射波条件和水位下的波浪传播和稳定性。实验测试结果被用于提出波浪传播和稳定性的经验公式,以帮助从业人员预测这些工程礁石的性能。
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引用次数: 0
A data model to forecast the morphological evolution of multiple beach profiles 预测多个海滩剖面形态演变的数据模型
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104574
Willian Weber de Melo , José Pinho , Isabel Iglesias

Beaches are a natural defense against extreme events, such as storms and hurricanes, whose intensity and frequency are expected to increase in the future due to climate change. In this context, models that forecast the morphological evolution of coastal areas can be used to anticipate the effects of future scenarios, allowing early action to mitigate the damage caused by extreme events. Hence, this study included data from three different monitoring programs in data models to simulate the seasonal morphological evolution of several Portuguese beaches. Two different data models were implemented using the Random Forest algorithm. One was fed with profile data and wave conditions while the other considered also sediment size data. Both models achieved suitable performances, but the inclusion of sediment data reduced the model errors and variance, and thus improved model performance. It was demonstrated that combining data from multidisciplinary campaigns can be a solution to generate reliable and robust morphological forecasting models.

海滩是抵御风暴和飓风等极端事件的天然屏障,由于气候变化,预计这些极端事件 的强度和频率在未来都会增加。在这种情况下,可以利用预测沿海地区形态演变的模型来预测未来情景的影响,以便及早采取行动,减轻极端事件造成的损失。因此,本研究将三个不同监测项目的数据纳入数据模型,以模拟葡萄牙多个海滩的季节性形态演变。采用随机森林算法建立了两种不同的数据模型。其中一个模型采用剖面数据和波浪条件,而另一个模型则同时考虑了沉积物大小数据。两种模型都取得了合适的性能,但加入沉积物数据后,模型误差和方差都有所减小,从而提高了模型性能。结果表明,将多学科活动的数据结合起来,可以生成可靠、稳健的形态预测模型。
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引用次数: 0
Pinpointing the role of wave period in vegetation induced wave attenuation 确定波浪周期在植被引起的波浪衰减中的作用
IF 4.2 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104568
Kunhui Huang , Zhan Hu , Zezheng Liu , Maike Paul , Tianping Xu , Tomohiro Suzuki

Nature-based coastal protection that integrates vegetated wetlands for wave attenuation and erosion mitigation shows great potential. However, there is a lack of consensus on whether longer wave periods contribute to an increase or a reduction in the attenuation of waves in vegetated wetlands, which is primarily due to the disregard of vegetation submersion states. In the current study, we modified a classic model to pinpoint the conditional role of the period. Wave attenuation by vegetation is quantified as the product of two terms: wave decay rate and time of wave group travel through a unit length. By tracing the dynamics of these two terms, the model is in good agreement with the measurements and can well explain why wave attenuation increased with longer period (from 2 to 10 s) in submerged canopies (up to 10 times) but decreased in emergent canopies (by 75%). A maximum response period (2 - 10 s) was found, beyond which period has no effect on wave attenuation. Furthermore, we found that in field conditions, the variation in wave period can lead to a sharp reduction in wave dissipation. which is critical for coastal safety. For instance, a 62% decrease in wave period at Galveston Island corresponded to a 40% drop in wave dissipation. This work provides a comprehensive understanding on the role of wave period in wave dissipation by wetland vegetation, which would assist in safely implementing wetlands for coastal defence.

将植被湿地用于波浪衰减和侵蚀减缓的基于自然的海岸保护显示出巨大的潜力。然而,对于较长的波浪周期会增加还是减少植被湿地对波浪的衰减,目前还缺乏共识,这主要是由于忽略了植被的淹没状态。在当前的研究中,我们修改了一个经典模型,以确定周期的条件作用。植被对波浪的衰减被量化为两个项的乘积:波浪衰减率和波群通过单位长度的时间。通过追踪这两个项的动态变化,该模型与测量结果十分吻合,并能很好地解释为什么在沉水植被中,波浪衰减随着周期的延长(从 2 秒到 10 秒)而增加(多达 10 倍),但在出露植被中却减少(75%)。我们发现了一个最大响应周期(2 - 10 秒),超过这个周期对波浪衰减没有影响。此外,我们还发现,在野外条件下,波浪周期的变化会导致波浪消散的急剧下降,这对海岸安全至关重要。例如,在加尔维斯顿岛,波浪周期减少 62% 相当于波浪消散量减少 40%。这项研究全面了解了波浪周期在湿地植被消波中的作用,有助于安全地将湿地用于海岸防御。
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引用次数: 0
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Coastal Engineering
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