Ecological Economics最新文献_第4页

Do risk, time, and social preferences predict sustainable behavior? Evidence from a qualitative synthesis and meta-analysis 风险、时间和社会偏好能预测可持续的行为吗？来自定性综合和荟萃分析的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108804

Kristopher L. Nichols , Johanna M. Matt-Navarro , Maxim K. Doiron , Giovanna d'Adda , Elke U. Weber , Sara M. Constantino

Despite the urgency of addressing environmental challenges, from the overuse of natural resources to climate change, action is grossly lacking. Environmental challenges often unfold over long time horizons, involve risk and uncertainty, and pit self-interest against collective outcomes. This has led some scholars to explain inaction and the persistence of environmental challenges by appealing to social and psychological factors such as temporal discounting, risk aversion, and self-interest—preferences commonly assumed in microeconomic models of decision-making. If this is the case, it has implications for the design of interventions, policies, and institutions to promote sustainable actions. Yet, empirical evidence relating these preferences to sustainable behavior is mixed. We conduct a systematic literature review (75 papers; 426 effect sizes) and meta-analysis (39 papers; 299 effect sizes) of studies from 29 countries that elicit time, risk, and social preferences and correlate these with real-world environmentally-relevant behaviors. Overall, we find limited evidence that economic preferences assessed in the lab are strong predictors of sustainable behaviors—the relationship is only significant when preferences are elicited in the field setting (“lab-in-field”). In subgroup analyses, we find that prosocial preferences are a significant predictor of environmental behaviors, and the effect is stronger for studies where preferences are elicited using protocols that are framed in terms of real world impacts or conducted in the field. We also find that time, risk and social preferences predict monetary donations to environmental causes. These findings suggest a nuanced and modest relationship between economic preferences assessed in the lab and sustainable behaviors.

尽管应对从自然资源过度使用到气候变化等环境挑战迫在眉睫，但我们严重缺乏行动。环境挑战往往在很长一段时间内展开，涉及风险和不确定性，并使自身利益与集体成果相冲突。这导致一些学者通过求助于社会和心理因素来解释不作为和环境挑战的持久性，如时间贴现、风险厌恶和自我利益偏好，这些因素通常在决策的微观经济模型中被假设。如果是这样的话，它将对干预措施、政策和机构的设计产生影响，以促进可持续行动。然而，将这些偏好与可持续行为联系起来的经验证据是混杂的。我们对来自29个国家的研究进行了系统的文献综述（75篇论文，426个效应量）和荟萃分析（39篇论文，299个效应量），这些研究得出了时间、风险和社会偏好，并将它们与现实世界的环境相关行为联系起来。总的来说，我们发现有限的证据表明，在实验室中评估的经济偏好是可持续行为的有力预测因素——只有当偏好在现场设置（“现场实验室”）中被激发时，这种关系才有意义。在亚组分析中，我们发现亲社会偏好是环境行为的重要预测因素，并且对于使用根据现实世界影响制定的协议或在现场进行的协议来引发偏好的研究，效果更强。我们还发现，时间、风险和社会偏好可以预测对环境事业的金钱捐赠。这些发现表明，在实验室评估的经济偏好和可持续行为之间存在微妙而适度的关系。

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引用次数: 0

Do payments for environmental services impact forest cover? An evaluation of the reflorestar program 支付环境服务费用会影响森林覆盖率吗？对反射星计划的评估

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108884

Isabela P. Bucher, Renato N. L. Seixas

Although Payment for Environmental Services (PES) programs have expanded globally, rigorous impact evaluations remain limited in Brazil. Only a small number of studies have employed causal identification strategies, with most concentrated in the Amazon region. In the Atlantic Forest, empirical evidence is more recent and remains relatively scarce. This study contributes to that literature by evaluating the Reflorestar program in the state of Espírito Santo, a region characterized by fragmented land tenure, diversified agricultural systems, and significant Atlantic Forest coverage. The analysis combines property-level data from the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) with satellite imagery and applies Mahalanobis distance matching, difference-in-differences, and doubly robust estimation techniques to assess changes in vegetation cover and land use. The results show increases in native vegetation, particularly in early regeneration stages, as well as reductions in pasture and expansion of specific perennial crops. These findings offer additional evidence on how PES programs influence land-use decisions in complex rural environments and provide insights to inform more context-sensitive policy design and implementation.

尽管环境服务付费（PES）项目已在全球范围内扩大，但严格的影响评估在巴西仍然有限。只有少数研究采用了因果识别策略，大多数集中在亚马逊地区。在大西洋森林，经验证据是最近的，仍然相对稀少。本研究通过评估Espírito Santo州的refflorestar项目，为这一文献做出了贡献，该地区的特点是土地所有权分散，农业系统多样化，大西洋森林覆盖率高。该分析结合了来自农村环境登记（CAR）的财产级数据和卫星图像，并应用马氏距离匹配、差中差和双重鲁棒估计技术来评估植被覆盖和土地利用的变化。结果表明，原生植被增加，特别是在早期更新阶段，以及牧场减少和特定多年生作物的扩大。这些发现为了解PES项目如何影响复杂农村环境下的土地利用决策提供了额外证据，并为更具上下文敏感性的政策设计和实施提供了见解。

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引用次数: 0

Ethical trade-offs in fast fashion: Exploring social, environmental, and health dimensions in clothing consumption 快时尚中的道德权衡：探索服装消费中的社会、环境和健康维度

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108878

Anders Boman , Mitesh Kataria , Elina Lampi , Daniel Slunge

We conduct a choice experiment survey to determine Swedish consumers' preferences for T-shirts with different levels of health risks to the consumer, environmental impact of production, and working conditions during production. We estimate the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for improvements in each attribute and explore ethical trade-offs between them. We conduct the same analysis for consumers buying a t-shirt for themselves and parents purchasing a t-shirt for their children. Our findings show that the health attribute was ranked highest, followed by working conditions and the environmental attribute. While the ranking of the attributes is consistent between the two samples, parents exhibited a lower overall MWTP. We also observe a general pattern of higher willingness to pay to avoid the lowest level (‘Very Poor’) of each attribute and achieve the intermediate level (‘Fairly Good’) than for further improvements to the highest level (‘Good’). This pattern, consistent with how the levels were designed, holds across all subsamples and attributes. Thus, we find substantial demand for more sustainable clothing, particularly for avoiding the worst practices. Our results also suggest that producers could pass on a portion of their increases in costs if sustainability improvements are effectively communicated. While most consumers are not willing to pay more to reach the highest level of an attribute, there are groups of consumers who are willing to pay a premium for high sustainability standards.

我们进行了一项选择实验调查，以确定瑞典消费者对不同程度的健康风险、生产对环境的影响以及生产过程中的工作条件的t恤的偏好。我们估计了每个属性改进的边际支付意愿（MWTP），并探讨了它们之间的伦理权衡。我们对为自己购买t恤的消费者和为孩子购买t恤的父母进行了同样的分析。我们的研究结果显示，健康属性排名最高，其次是工作条件和环境属性。虽然两个样本的属性排名是一致的，但父母表现出较低的总体MWTP。我们还观察到一种普遍的模式，即为了避免每个属性的最低水平（“非常差”）而达到中间水平（“相当好”），而不是为了进一步提高到最高水平（“好”），人们更愿意付费。这种模式与关卡的设计方式一致，适用于所有子样本和属性。因此，我们发现对更可持续的服装的需求很大，特别是为了避免最坏的做法。我们的研究结果还表明，如果可持续发展的改进得到有效沟通，生产者可以转嫁一部分成本的增加。虽然大多数消费者不愿意花更多的钱来达到一个属性的最高水平，但也有一些消费者愿意为高可持续性标准支付额外的费用。

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引用次数: 0

Informational nudges or incentives? A field experiment on vegetarian choices. 信息推动还是激励？一个关于素食选择的实地实验。

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108882

Alice Pizzo , Jan M. Bauer , Lucia A. Reisch

Food production and consumption are primary contributors to climate change. There is growing interest in behavioral interventions aimed at reducing emissions by promoting vegetarian choices. This pre-registered field experiment assesses the (relative) effectiveness of an informational nudge, a price intervention, and their combination on consumers' choices between meat-based and vegetarian food options. We analyze actual food choices at a public festival with a food market area, where participants receive an informational nudge designed to increase the choice of vegetarian food and different financial incentives in the form of food vouchers for vegetarian options. The analysis reveals no significant effect of the informational nudge, while the price intervention significantly reduces the likelihood of choosing meat-based options over vegetarian ones. Additionally, exploratory analyses focus on two temporal aspects related to the delivery of our interventions: a measure of exposure duration for participants who engaged with the informational nudge and the time elapsed between exposure to the informational nudge and the actual food choice.

粮食生产和消费是造成气候变化的主要因素。人们对通过提倡素食来减少排放的行为干预越来越感兴趣。这个预先注册的实地实验评估了信息推动、价格干预及其组合对消费者在肉类和素食之间选择的（相对）有效性。我们在一个有食品市场的公共节日中分析了实际的食品选择，参与者收到了旨在增加素食选择的信息推送，以及以素食食品券形式的不同财政激励。分析显示，信息推动没有显著效果，而价格干预显著降低了选择肉类而非素食的可能性。此外，探索性分析侧重于与我们的干预措施交付相关的两个时间方面：参与信息推动的参与者的暴露时间测量以及暴露于信息推动和实际食物选择之间的时间间隔。

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引用次数: 0

Post-growth meets polycentric governance: Toward an interdisciplinary research program 后增长与多中心治理：走向跨学科研究项目

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108891

David Soto-Oñate , Daniel Petrovics , Thomas Bauwens

Half a century after The Limits to Growth warned that unchecked economic expansion would breach planetary boundaries, the question remains: how can societies adjust their scale to ecological boundaries without sacrificing democracy? Scholars in the post-growth tradition have emphasized the potential of polycentric governance systems—composed of nested, partly self-governed decision-making units—to provide the necessary coordination for addressing post-growth concerns while preserving democracy and self-governance at lower political scales. However, the central aspects of a polycentric approach to post-growth transformations are only superficially addressed in the literature, and the implications of building and operationalizing this political architecture remain to be developed. This article analyzes the consistency, potential, and domain of a research program integrating both scholarships. First, it evaluates the coherence between post-growth and polycentricity's positive grounds, normative underpinnings, and boundary conditions. Second, it formulates the central concept of polycentric articulation, the process by which rights and responsibilities are polycentrically rearranged to align governance with socio-ecological problems. Third, it describes the transitional pathways through four basic rearrangement processes: pooling, cession, disaggregation, and appropriation. Finally, by mapping five interacting analytic components—concerns, actors, coordination mechanisms, overarching institutional contexts, and political-economy dynamics—the paper produces a conceptual matrix that reveals research avenues, identifies testable hypotheses, and guides practitioners designing post-growth interventions. The result is a coherent roadmap for empirical and theoretical work on governing beyond growth.

半个世纪前，《增长的极限》（The Limits to Growth）警告说，不受控制的经济扩张将破坏地球的边界，但问题仍然存在：社会如何在不牺牲民主的情况下调整其规模以适应生态边界？后增长传统的学者强调了多中心治理系统的潜力——由嵌套的、部分自治的决策单元组成——为解决后增长问题提供必要的协调，同时在较低的政治尺度上保留民主和自治。然而，在文献中，多中心方法对后增长转型的核心方面只进行了肤浅的论述，而建立和实施这种政治架构的含义仍有待发展。本文分析了整合两种奖学金的研究项目的一致性、潜力和领域。首先，它评估了后增长和多中心的积极基础、规范基础和边界条件之间的一致性。其次，它阐述了多中心衔接的核心概念，即权利和责任被多中心重新安排以使治理与社会生态问题保持一致的过程。第三，通过汇集、割让、分解和占有四种基本的资源重排过程描述了资源转移路径。最后，通过绘制五个相互作用的分析组件——关注点、参与者、协调机制、总体制度背景和政治经济动态——本文产生了一个概念矩阵，该矩阵揭示了研究途径，确定了可测试的假设，并指导从业者设计增长后干预措施。其结果是为超越增长的治理提供了一个连贯的实证和理论工作路线图。

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引用次数: 0

Policy design for resilience? An assessment of the bioeconomy policy mix addressing the maize bio-based production system in Italy 弹性政策设计？对解决意大利玉米生物基生产系统的生物经济政策组合的评估

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108881

Giorgio Varanini, Peter H. Feindt

Over the past two decades, more than fifty countries worldwide have published bioeconomy policies to facilitate the transition from a fossil-based to a bio-based economy in response to resource depletion, environmental degradation, and climate change. This transition, however, is likely to increase already high demands on bio-based production systems and exacerbate social, environmental, and economic challenges. Nevertheless, there is a lack of empirical research on how bioeconomy policies affect the resilience of bio-based production systems. Presenting an exploratory case study which builds on the Resilience Policy Design Framework, this paper analyzes the bioeconomy policy mix that addresses the maize bio-based production system in Italy and assesses how it enables or constrains three distinct dimensions of resilience — robustness, adaptability, and transformability. Data include a detailed content analysis of relevant agricultural and bioeconomy-related policy documents and semi-structured expert interviews. The analysis finds diverging resilience orientations within the policy mix. While agricultural policies are mainly oriented toward robustness and adaptability, nominal bioeconomy policies prioritize transformability. The paper thereby contributes to current discussions about the governance of the bioeconomy, policy design and the resilience of social-ecological systems.

在过去的20年里，全球50多个国家发布了生物经济政策，以促进从化石经济向生物经济的过渡，以应对资源枯竭、环境恶化和气候变化。然而，这种转变可能会增加对生物基生产系统的高要求，并加剧社会、环境和经济挑战。然而，缺乏关于生物经济政策如何影响生物基生产系统弹性的实证研究。本文在弹性政策设计框架的基础上提出了一个探索性案例研究，分析了意大利玉米生物基生产系统的生物经济政策组合，并评估了它如何促进或限制弹性的三个不同维度——稳健性、适应性和可变革性。数据包括对相关农业和生物经济政策文件的详细内容分析以及半结构化的专家访谈。分析发现，在政策组合中，弹性取向存在分歧。虽然农业政策主要面向稳健性和适应性，但名义上的生物经济政策优先考虑可转换性。因此，本文有助于当前关于生物经济治理、政策设计和社会生态系统弹性的讨论。

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引用次数: 0

Tailored information and the public support for carbon pricing in Germany 德国碳定价的定制信息和公众支持

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108849

Antonia Schwarz , Anna Stünzi , Kathrin Kaestner , Michael Pahle , Stephan Sommer

Providing information about carbon pricing is widely considered to be key to increasing public support for it. A number of studies have analyzed such effects, but little attention has been paid to how changes to the design can enhance the effectiveness of information treatments. Typically, generic information with low affective appeal has been used. In contrast, this paper, drawing on recent research into the design of information provisions, employs a targeted and tailored approach to ensure high receptiveness. Utilizing novel German survey data, we examine whether video-based information tailored to individuals’ carbon pricing concerns outperforms generic information. Our results confirm that targeted and tailored information significantly increases support, primarily for respondents concerned about costs. However, the effect of tailored information concerning fairness and effectiveness is statistically not different from that of the generic control video. Nevertheless, it reduces strong opposition, providing valuable insights for policy acceptance. These findings suggest that integrating targeted communication strategies into climate policy design may help build broader policy tolerance and stability, though further research is needed to confirm their effectiveness beyond the specific context of this study.

提供有关碳定价的信息被广泛认为是增加公众支持的关键。许多研究已经分析了这种影响，但很少有人关注如何改变设计来提高信息处理的有效性。通常，使用的是情感吸引力较低的通用信息。相比之下，本文借鉴了最近对信息提供设计的研究，采用了有针对性和量身定制的方法来确保高接受度。利用新颖的德国调查数据，我们研究了针对个人碳定价问题定制的基于视频的信息是否优于一般信息。我们的研究结果证实，有针对性和量身定制的信息显著增加了支持，主要是针对关心成本的受访者。然而，关于公平性和有效性的定制信息的效果在统计上与通用控制视频没有区别。然而，它减少了强烈的反对，为政策的接受提供了有价值的见解。这些发现表明，将有针对性的传播策略整合到气候政策设计中可能有助于建立更广泛的政策容忍度和稳定性，尽管需要进一步的研究来证实其在本研究特定背景之外的有效性。

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引用次数: 0

The economic impact of Sargassum: Evidence from the Mexican coast 马尾藻的经济影响：来自墨西哥海岸的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108877

Maja Schling , Roberto Guerrero Compeán , Nicolás Pazos , Allison Bailey , Katie Arkema , Mary Ruckelshaus

This paper assesses the economic impact of pelagic Sargassum seaweed washed ashore in tourism-heavy coastal zones in the Mexican State of Quintana Roo. We use a geographic information systems (GIS) dataset of monthly observations from 2016 to 2019 for 157 beach segments. The dataset comprises an innovative measure of Sargassum seaweed presence, remotely sensed nighttime light intensity as a proxy of economic growth, as well as information on key infrastructure, sociodemographic and beach characteristics. We perform an event study by applying a fixed-effects regression model that controls for general time trends and unobserved, time-invariant differences across observations. We estimate that the presence of Sargassum in a beach segment reduces nighttime light intensity by 17.5 %, representing an approximate 11.6 % decrease in gross local product. Our analysis finds significant lagged effects up until 12 months after Sargassum was detected that range between 5.9 % and 9.9 %. The estimated impacts are consistently significant and negative across numerous specifications, including an adjusted measurement of Sargassum and the consideration of potential spatial correlation across beach segments. These results highlight the considerable negative impacts of Sargassum on coastal economies and the need for public and private interventions to heighten economic resilience in coastal communities.

本文评估了在墨西哥金塔纳罗奥州旅游密集的沿海地区被冲上岸的上层马尾藻海藻的经济影响。我们使用地理信息系统（GIS）数据集，收集了2016年至2019年157个海滩段的月度观测数据。该数据集包括马尾藻存在的创新测量，遥感夜间灯光强度作为经济增长的代表，以及关键基础设施、社会人口和海滩特征的信息。我们通过应用固定效应回归模型进行事件研究，该模型控制一般时间趋势和观测值之间未观察到的时不变差异。我们估计，马尾藻在海滩段的存在使夜间光线强度降低了17.5%，相当于当地生产总值减少了约11.6%。我们的分析发现，在马尾藻被检测到12个月后，显著的滞后效应在5.9%到9.9%之间。在许多规格中，包括马尾藻的调整测量和考虑海滩段之间潜在的空间相关性，估计的影响始终是显著的和负的。这些结果强调了马尾藻对沿海经济的巨大负面影响，以及需要采取公共和私人干预措施来提高沿海社区的经济弹性。

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引用次数: 0

Occupational mobility and climate adaptation: Evidence from France 职业流动与气候适应：来自法国的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108880

Paul Stainier

The extent to which climate change will exacerbate already growing inequality between workers is an open question. Little is known about how occupational mobility might mediate climate change’s effects on inequality. High mobility rates between high exposure and low exposure occupations would mitigate inequality between the two, though increased labor supply to certain low exposure occupations could depress their wages. Well-documented frictions to occupational mobility, especially between occupations with different task requirements, suggest that this adaptation strategy may be highly costly to many workers. Using 9.2 million observations from individual-level panel data from France, I find that historically, inter-exposure mobility rates are low. Despite high exposure jobs making up only 9% of the labor market, a worker leaving a high exposure occupation moves to a different high exposure occupation 49% of the time. The task composition of high exposure jobs provides a partial, but incomplete, explanation for this labor market segmentation.

气候变化将在多大程度上加剧工人之间日益加剧的不平等，这是一个悬而未决的问题。关于职业流动性如何调节气候变化对不平等的影响，人们知之甚少。高暴露和低暴露职业之间的高流动性将缓解两者之间的不平等，尽管某些低暴露职业的劳动力供应增加可能会压低他们的工资。充分记录的职业流动性摩擦，特别是具有不同任务要求的职业之间的摩擦，表明这种适应策略对许多工人来说可能代价高昂。使用来自法国的920万个人层面的面板数据，我发现从历史上看，暴露间流动性很低。尽管高暴露性工作只占劳动力市场的9%，但离开高暴露性职业的工人有49%的几率会转到另一个高暴露性职业。高暴露工作的任务构成为这种劳动力市场分割提供了部分但不完整的解释。

引用次数: 0

Determinants of willingness to bear the costs for environmental protection: Insights from cross-country survey data 环境保护成本承担意愿的决定因素：来自跨国调查数据的见解

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108876

Toker Doganoglu , Lukasz Grzybowski , Joanna Rachubik

Using data from the 2020 International Social Survey Programme (ISSP), Environment IV module from 26 countries on about 29,183 individuals, we investigate the influence of socio-demographic factors, consumer behavior, environmental beliefs, opinions, and attitudes on the willingness to pay higher prices and higher taxes, as well as the willingness to reduce their standard of living of respondents in support of environmental protection. The findings reveal significant variations in willingness to bear financial burdens for environmental protection across different countries and socio-economic groups. Our analysis highlights the critical role of education, religion, political affiliation, and trust in institutions in shaping environmental attitudes and behaviors. Moreover, after controlling for individual characteristics, significant international disparities persist. Many European countries, despite their progressive environmental policies, show lower willingness for higher taxes, which may be due to already high tax burdens. These findings underscore the importance of tailoring policy communications to different socio-economic groups, emphasizing both the immediate and long-term benefits of environmental protection to enhance acceptance among various demographic segments.

利用2020年国际社会调查计划（ISSP）环境IV模块中来自26个国家的约29,183个人的数据，我们调查了社会人口因素，消费者行为，环境信念，意见和态度对支付更高价格和更高税收的意愿的影响，以及受访者为了支持环境保护而降低生活水平的意愿。研究结果显示，不同国家和社会经济群体承担环境保护财政负担的意愿存在显著差异。我们的分析强调了教育、宗教、政治派别和对制度的信任在塑造环境态度和行为方面的关键作用。此外，在控制了个体特征之后，显著的国际差异仍然存在。许多欧洲国家尽管有进步的环境政策，但对提高税收的意愿不高，这可能是由于已经很高的税收负担。这些调查结果强调了根据不同的社会经济群体调整政策沟通的重要性，强调环境保护的眼前和长期利益，以提高不同人口阶层的接受程度。

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引用次数: 0