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Are we overestimating the benefits of agricultural intensification by overlooking nature-based alternatives? 我们是否高估了农业集约化的好处,而忽视了基于自然的替代方案?
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108940
Jérôme Faure , Helena Hansson , Anne Sophie Dietrich , Esther Devilliers
Agriculture relies heavily on anthropogenic inputs, but reducing their use is critical to reduce the negative impact on ecosystems, on which production ultimately depends. At the same time, reducing inputs is often viewed as risky and potentially costly for farmers, which implicitly assumes that inputs are already being used in optimal way. However, conventional estimations of allocative efficiency – optimal use of inputs - are subject to several biases, which obscures the understanding of what is an optimal input allocation. In this short communication, we highlight what we consider a critical but often overlooked bias: the failure to account for nature-based alternatives to human-made inputs. We explore this issue through microeconomic theory and econometrics, and highlight that accounting for nature-based solutions may lead to a reconsideration of how the efficiency of certain anthropogenic inputs is understood. We illustrate this using a bioeconomic model of oilseed rape production, where farmers can manage pests either through chemical inputs or nature-based solutions, such as grassland re-implementation to enhance natural pest control. Our results show that both the productivity and allocative efficiency of insecticides are overestimated when the potential for farmers to rely on nature-based solutions is excluded from the analysis. This study contributes by showing that neglecting ecosystem services as a viable and competitive alternative to human-made production inputs generates a deadweight loss for society. Rather than focusing solely on negative externalities—as is often the case—our approach shifts the perspective towards identifying what constitutes the economically efficient way to manage agricultural systems.
农业严重依赖人为投入,但减少人为投入对于减少对生态系统的负面影响至关重要,而生态系统是生产最终所依赖的。与此同时,减少投入往往被认为是有风险的,对农民来说可能代价高昂,这隐含地假设投入已经以最佳方式使用。然而,对分配效率——投入的最佳利用——的传统估计受到一些偏差的影响,这使人们无法理解什么是最优的投入分配。在这篇简短的文章中,我们强调了我们认为一个关键但经常被忽视的偏见:未能考虑到基于自然的替代人为投入。我们通过微观经济学理论和计量经济学来探讨这个问题,并强调,考虑基于自然的解决方案可能会导致重新考虑如何理解某些人为投入的效率。我们使用一个油菜生产的生物经济模型来说明这一点,在这个模型中,农民可以通过化学投入或基于自然的解决方案来管理害虫,例如重新实施草地以加强自然害虫控制。我们的研究结果表明,当排除了农民依赖基于自然的解决方案的可能性时,杀虫剂的生产力和配置效率都被高估了。这项研究表明,忽视生态系统服务作为人类生产投入的可行和有竞争力的替代方案,会给社会带来无谓损失。我们的方法不是仅仅关注负面外部性——通常是这样——而是将视角转向确定什么是管理农业系统的经济有效方式。
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引用次数: 0
Increased emission leakage induced by Chinese households' consumption: New insights from an extended input output subsystem analysis 中国家庭消费导致排放泄漏增加:来自扩展投入产出子系统分析的新见解
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108927
William Connell , Viet-Ngu Hoang , Shahzad Alvi , Shunsuke Managi
This paper uses an input-output subsystem decomposition method to analyse the evolutions of inter-industry and international leakage of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions induced by the final consumption of Chinese households. This decomposition breaks down the inter-industry feedback and spillover effects into various sub-components to track the emission distribution through international trade between China and its trading partners. Using the EORA database between 1991 and 2021, our empirical work provides a comprehensive and updated accounting of emissions induced by Chinese households' consumption from an integrated industry and international perspective. Our analysis yields several findings relevant to policy analysis. China remains a net exporter of emissions by 2021, meaning that its territorial emissions are greater than consumption-based emissions. Emissions induced by its households' consumption grew less than its total emissions, posing a need for emissions analysis across other sectors within China. However, Chinese households' demand has driven overseas emissions, quintupling from 0.9% to 5.6%. Falling emissions intensities in developed economies help offset this growth, but emissions continue to rise in less developed trading partners elsewhere. Agriculture, Financial Intermediation and Business Activities, Food and Beverages, Hotel and Restaurants, Petroleum, Chemical and Non-Metallic Mineral Products, and Textiles and Wearing Apparel incurred the most emissions induced by Chinese household consumption. These findings provide several policy implications.
本文采用投入产出子系统分解方法,分析了中国家庭最终消费导致的温室气体产业间和国际泄漏的演变。该分解将产业间反馈和溢出效应分解为不同的子组件,从而跟踪中国与贸易伙伴之间的国际贸易排放分布。利用1991年至2021年的EORA数据库,我们的实证工作从综合产业和国际视角对中国家庭消费引起的排放进行了全面和最新的核算。我们的分析得出了一些与政策分析相关的发现。到2021年,中国仍将是碳排放净出口国,这意味着其领土排放量将超过基于消费的排放量。家庭消费导致的排放量增长低于总排放量,因此有必要对中国其他行业的排放量进行分析。然而,中国家庭的需求推动了海外排放量,从0.9%增长到5.6%,增长了五倍。发达经济体排放强度的下降有助于抵消这一增长,但其他地区欠发达贸易伙伴的排放量继续上升。农业、金融中介和商业活动、食品和饮料、酒店和餐馆、石油、化学和非金属矿产品、纺织和服装在中国家庭消费中产生的排放最多。这些发现提供了若干政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
From fee to tax: Examining the ecological and economic impacts of water tax reform in China 从费到税:中国水税改革对生态和经济的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-05-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108917
Zhichao Li , Yu Hao
Scientifically evaluating the effectiveness of transforming water resource fees into taxes is essential for improving the green taxation framework. This study utilizes urban water resource data, categorizes reform pilot areas at different stages as treatment groups, and applies a DID approach to identify the ecological and economic effects of the policy. We found that the reform did not significantly affect overall water consumption or efficiency during the observation period. However, it effectively optimized water use patterns and relatively reduced groundwater extraction. Moreover, the reform increased local fiscal revenues through resource tax income without noticeably constraining regional economic growth. Heterogeneity analysis further indicates that the structural optimization effects were more pronounced in Hebei Province. Additionally, the reform had limited impacts on corporate innovation and firm entry–exit dynamics. By offering both theoretical insights and empirical evidence, this study provides meaningful contributions to the ongoing policy debate on water resource tax reform.
科学评价水资源费税改效果,是完善绿色税收框架的必要条件。本研究利用城市水资源数据,对不同阶段的改革试点地区进行分类作为处理组,并应用DID方法识别政策的生态和经济效应。我们发现,在观察期内,改革对总体用水量和效率没有显著影响。然而,它有效地优化了水的利用方式,并相对减少了地下水的开采。此外,改革通过资源税收入增加了地方财政收入,但没有明显抑制区域经济增长。异质性分析进一步表明,河北省的结构优化效应更为明显。此外,改革对企业创新和企业进入-退出动态的影响有限。通过提供理论见解和实证证据,本研究为正在进行的水资源税改革政策辩论提供了有意义的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-ecological inequalities in housing consumption: How income, urban form, and tenure drive carbon footprints 住房消费中的社会生态不平等:收入、城市形态和权属如何驱动碳足迹
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108896
Federico Savini , Mira Kopp , Cody Hochstenbach , Leshem Cohen , Peter Berrill , Stefano Merciai
The provision of decent housing is both a global social priority and a productive activity with long-term environmental implications. Investigating the unequal distribution of housing resources and their associated greenhouse gas emissions, from heating to materials, construction, and use, allows us to foreground housing as a key site of socio-ecological inequalities in today's economies. This paper develops a model for assessing such inequalities as they relate to the overall use of materials and energy in the provision and operation of housing. Our interdisciplinary and multidimensional analysis of housing consumption in the Netherlands brings together income, urban form, building age, tenure, and housing typology, and includes patterns of mobility and daily use. We draw on a unique combination of sources—register data about the Dutch population and housing stock, a mobility survey, and life cycle inventory data—to reveal that a) the carbon footprint per person differs starkly between richest and poorest groups; b) the low-density locations and income of richer households drive mobility emissions; c) rental units show larger carbon footprints related to lower quality housing stock; and d) suburbanization offsets emissions-saving investments in owner-occupied stock. We end by calling for further interdisciplinary research into ways to provide socially just and environmentally sustainable housing, and policy interventions to tackle excess in housing consumption, invest in social rental stock, and foster density in planning policies.
提供体面住房既是一项全球社会优先事项,也是一项具有长期环境影响的生产性活动。调查住房资源的不平等分配及其相关的温室气体排放,从供暖到材料,建筑和使用,使我们能够将住房作为当今经济中社会生态不平等的关键场所。本文开发了一个模型来评估这种不平等,因为它们与住房供应和运营中材料和能源的总体使用有关。我们对荷兰住房消费的跨学科和多维分析汇集了收入、城市形态、建筑年龄、使用权和住房类型,包括流动性和日常使用模式。我们利用一系列独特的来源——荷兰人口和住房存量登记数据、流动性调查和生命周期清单数据——揭示了a)最富裕和最贫穷群体的人均碳足迹存在明显差异;B)低密度地区和较富裕家庭的收入推动了交通排放;C)租赁单位的碳足迹较大,与低质量住房存量有关;d)郊区化抵消了对自有住房的减排投资。最后,我们呼吁进一步开展跨学科研究,探讨如何提供社会公正和环境可持续的住房,并采取政策干预措施,解决住房消费过剩问题,投资社会租赁存量,并在规划政策中促进密度。
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引用次数: 0
Policy design for resilience? An assessment of the bioeconomy policy mix addressing the maize bio-based production system in Italy 弹性政策设计?对解决意大利玉米生物基生产系统的生物经济政策组合的评估
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108881
Giorgio Varanini, Peter H. Feindt
Over the past two decades, more than fifty countries worldwide have published bioeconomy policies to facilitate the transition from a fossil-based to a bio-based economy in response to resource depletion, environmental degradation, and climate change. This transition, however, is likely to increase already high demands on bio-based production systems and exacerbate social, environmental, and economic challenges. Nevertheless, there is a lack of empirical research on how bioeconomy policies affect the resilience of bio-based production systems. Presenting an exploratory case study which builds on the Resilience Policy Design Framework, this paper analyzes the bioeconomy policy mix that addresses the maize bio-based production system in Italy and assesses how it enables or constrains three distinct dimensions of resilience — robustness, adaptability, and transformability. Data include a detailed content analysis of relevant agricultural and bioeconomy-related policy documents and semi-structured expert interviews. The analysis finds diverging resilience orientations within the policy mix. While agricultural policies are mainly oriented toward robustness and adaptability, nominal bioeconomy policies prioritize transformability. The paper thereby contributes to current discussions about the governance of the bioeconomy, policy design and the resilience of social-ecological systems.
在过去的20年里,全球50多个国家发布了生物经济政策,以促进从化石经济向生物经济的过渡,以应对资源枯竭、环境恶化和气候变化。然而,这种转变可能会增加对生物基生产系统的高要求,并加剧社会、环境和经济挑战。然而,缺乏关于生物经济政策如何影响生物基生产系统弹性的实证研究。本文在弹性政策设计框架的基础上提出了一个探索性案例研究,分析了意大利玉米生物基生产系统的生物经济政策组合,并评估了它如何促进或限制弹性的三个不同维度——稳健性、适应性和可变革性。数据包括对相关农业和生物经济政策文件的详细内容分析以及半结构化的专家访谈。分析发现,在政策组合中,弹性取向存在分歧。虽然农业政策主要面向稳健性和适应性,但名义上的生物经济政策优先考虑可转换性。因此,本文有助于当前关于生物经济治理、政策设计和社会生态系统弹性的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Informational nudges or incentives? A field experiment on vegetarian choices. 信息推动还是激励?一个关于素食选择的实地实验。
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108882
Alice Pizzo , Jan M. Bauer , Lucia A. Reisch
Food production and consumption are primary contributors to climate change. There is growing interest in behavioral interventions aimed at reducing emissions by promoting vegetarian choices. This pre-registered field experiment assesses the (relative) effectiveness of an informational nudge, a price intervention, and their combination on consumers' choices between meat-based and vegetarian food options. We analyze actual food choices at a public festival with a food market area, where participants receive an informational nudge designed to increase the choice of vegetarian food and different financial incentives in the form of food vouchers for vegetarian options. The analysis reveals no significant effect of the informational nudge, while the price intervention significantly reduces the likelihood of choosing meat-based options over vegetarian ones. Additionally, exploratory analyses focus on two temporal aspects related to the delivery of our interventions: a measure of exposure duration for participants who engaged with the informational nudge and the time elapsed between exposure to the informational nudge and the actual food choice.
粮食生产和消费是造成气候变化的主要因素。人们对通过提倡素食来减少排放的行为干预越来越感兴趣。这个预先注册的实地实验评估了信息推动、价格干预及其组合对消费者在肉类和素食之间选择的(相对)有效性。我们在一个有食品市场的公共节日中分析了实际的食品选择,参与者收到了旨在增加素食选择的信息推送,以及以素食食品券形式的不同财政激励。分析显示,信息推动没有显著效果,而价格干预显著降低了选择肉类而非素食的可能性。此外,探索性分析侧重于与我们的干预措施交付相关的两个时间方面:参与信息推动的参与者的暴露时间测量以及暴露于信息推动和实际食物选择之间的时间间隔。
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引用次数: 0
Do payments for environmental services impact forest cover? An evaluation of the reflorestar program 支付环境服务费用会影响森林覆盖率吗?对反射星计划的评估
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108884
Isabela P. Bucher, Renato N. L. Seixas
Although Payment for Environmental Services (PES) programs have expanded globally, rigorous impact evaluations remain limited in Brazil. Only a small number of studies have employed causal identification strategies, with most concentrated in the Amazon region. In the Atlantic Forest, empirical evidence is more recent and remains relatively scarce. This study contributes to that literature by evaluating the Reflorestar program in the state of Espírito Santo, a region characterized by fragmented land tenure, diversified agricultural systems, and significant Atlantic Forest coverage. The analysis combines property-level data from the Rural Environmental Registry (CAR) with satellite imagery and applies Mahalanobis distance matching, difference-in-differences, and doubly robust estimation techniques to assess changes in vegetation cover and land use. The results show increases in native vegetation, particularly in early regeneration stages, as well as reductions in pasture and expansion of specific perennial crops. These findings offer additional evidence on how PES programs influence land-use decisions in complex rural environments and provide insights to inform more context-sensitive policy design and implementation.
尽管环境服务付费(PES)项目已在全球范围内扩大,但严格的影响评估在巴西仍然有限。只有少数研究采用了因果识别策略,大多数集中在亚马逊地区。在大西洋森林,经验证据是最近的,仍然相对稀少。本研究通过评估Espírito Santo州的refflorestar项目,为这一文献做出了贡献,该地区的特点是土地所有权分散,农业系统多样化,大西洋森林覆盖率高。该分析结合了来自农村环境登记(CAR)的财产级数据和卫星图像,并应用马氏距离匹配、差中差和双重鲁棒估计技术来评估植被覆盖和土地利用的变化。结果表明,原生植被增加,特别是在早期更新阶段,以及牧场减少和特定多年生作物的扩大。这些发现为了解PES项目如何影响复杂农村环境下的土地利用决策提供了额外证据,并为更具上下文敏感性的政策设计和实施提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Alienable or inalienable, and how? Individual property rights in commons governance 让与还是不可让与,怎么让与?公地治理中的个人财产权
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108903
Xiangyu Jia , Yiran Wei , Zhiqi Zhang , Gongbu Zeren , Irene Pérez-Ibarra , Sergio Villamayor-Tomas , Wenjun Li
Amid increasing natural resource privatization, the proper delineation of individual property rights and their alienability, i.e. the possibility to transfer them, and effectively hybridizing market and community governance are of utmost importance. Here, we investigate how community-based institutional arrangements evolve with market mechanisms to achieve sustainable resource management. We examine the grazing quota system developed within a common property regime on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau over the past two decades. Using the Calabresi & Melamed framework, we chronologically divide the institutional process into three stages: (1) introduction of non-transferable grazing quotas (inalienability), (2) market tradable quotas (property rules), and (3) alienable quotas through a village collective-based compensation mechanism (liability rules). By assessing social-ecological performance and conducting a qualitative analysis of transaction costs, we analyze how these three institutions evolved and what outcomes they produced. We find that quota alienability doesn't increase grazing intensity. Furthermore, quota transfers under liability rules, instead of property rules, exhibit better social outcomes through improving distributive equity, because the collectively managed compensation mechanism entails lower transaction costs. The findings demonstrate quotas under liability rules as a feasible pathway for integrating elements of individual alienable property rights into community-based natural resource management and achieve sustainability.
在自然资源日益私有化的情况下,对个人产权及其可让渡性的适当界定,即转让的可能性,以及有效地将市场和社区治理结合起来是至关重要的。本文探讨了以社区为基础的制度安排如何随着市场机制的发展而演变,从而实现资源的可持续管理。本文研究了过去二十年来在青藏高原共同财产制度下发展起来的放牧配额制度。利用Calabresi & Melamed框架,我们按时间顺序将制度进程分为三个阶段:(1)引入不可转让的放牧配额(不可剥夺性),(2)市场可交易配额(财产规则),以及(3)通过基于村庄集体补偿机制的可转让配额(责任规则)。通过对社会生态绩效的评估和交易成本的定性分析,我们分析了这三种制度是如何演变的,以及它们产生了什么结果。我们发现配额可让渡性并不会增加放牧强度。此外,由于集体管理的补偿机制需要更低的交易成本,责任规则下的配额转移通过改善分配公平而不是财产规则下的配额转移表现出更好的社会结果。研究结果表明,责任规则下的配额是将个人不可剥夺产权要素纳入社区自然资源管理并实现可持续性的可行途径。
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引用次数: 0
Toxic neighbors: E-waste dumps and the decline of social capital 有毒的邻居:电子垃圾倾倒和社会资本的衰落
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108897
Jialiang Zhu , Michael Akwasi Appiah-Kubi , Runzhe Hu
We study how living near electronic waste dumping sites shapes the social fabric of communities in Ghana and Nigeria. Using geocoded Afrobarometer surveys and the opening dates of the Agbogbloshie and Soluos sites, we estimate a difference in differences design with distance as treatment intensity. Proximity lowers multiple dimensions of social capital, namely trust in government, community participation, social insurance, and intergroup tolerance. Living one kilometer closer after site opening lowers the composite index by 0.0097 points, which is 2.37 % of its mean. A one standard deviation move closer of 5.57 km implies a 13.22 % decline, indicating a meaningful loss in community cohesion. Results remain robust to alternative index definitions based on single items, to indices constructed with principal components weights, to wider exposure radii, and to the exclusion of the pandemic rounds. Mechanism tests point to two pathways, worsening local living conditions and higher perceived government corruption, both positively linked to social capital and both of which attenuate the proximity coefficient when entered into the outcome equation. The findings highlight a neglected social cost of electronic waste and have direct policy relevance.
我们研究了加纳和尼日利亚的电子垃圾倾倒场附近的生活如何塑造社区的社会结构。利用地理编码的非洲晴雨表调查和Agbogbloshie和Soluos站点的开放日期,我们估计了以距离作为处理强度的差异设计的差异。邻近性降低了社会资本的多个维度,即对政府的信任、社区参与、社会保险和群体间容忍。开放后居住距离近1公里,综合指数下降0.0097点,为平均值的2.37%。一个标准差接近5.57公里意味着下降13.22%,这表明社区凝聚力有意义的损失。对于基于单一项目的替代指数定义、基于主成分权重构建的指数、更广泛的暴露半径以及排除大流行回合,结果仍然是可靠的。机制测试指出了两条途径,当地生活条件的恶化和政府腐败的加剧,两者都与社会资本呈正相关,当进入结果方程时,两者都减弱了接近系数。研究结果强调了被忽视的电子废物的社会成本,并具有直接的政策相关性。
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引用次数: 0
“Environmental inequalities in Italy: The role of industrial agglomerations and regional pollution dispersion capacity” 意大利的环境不平等:工业集聚和区域污染扩散能力的作用
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108883
Alessandra Drigo
This study investigates the relationship between PM2.5 concentration and per capita income at the municipality level for Italy, focusing on the years 2013 and 2019. It incorporates the influence of regional pollution dispersion capacity and agglomerations on this correlation, providing insight into environmental inequality across the country. While there is not an unconditional environmental inequality issue at the national level, controlling for specific ecoregions and structural factors reveals that the initially positive correlation between pollution and income weakens substantially, eventually disappearing. A key finding is that municipalities located in the Padana Valley ecoregion are systematically exposed to higher PM2.5 concentrations, signaling a persistent type of morphological environmental inequality. In this area, the excess of PM2.5 exposure increases mortality risk by 13.8 % in 2013 and 10.88 % in 2019 with respect to the WHO threshold. The most pronounced relative disparity in mortality risk between the most and least polluted ecoregions (namely, the Padana Valley and the Apennines) is 9.31 % in 2013 and 7.04 % in 2019. When analyzing variation within provinces, the per capita income level of municipalities emerges as a significant indicator. An increase of 10,000 euros in the average per capita income of the municipality corresponds to a decrease of 2.01 mg/m3 in PM2.5 annual average exposure level (−1.6 % in mortality risk) in 2013 and 1.05 mg/m3 (−0.7 % in mortality risk) in 2019.
本研究调查了意大利市级PM2.5浓度与人均收入之间的关系,重点研究了2013年和2019年。它结合了区域污染扩散能力和集聚对这种相关性的影响,提供了对全国范围内环境不平等的洞察。虽然在国家一级不存在无条件的环境不平等问题,但控制特定的生态区域和结构因素表明,污染与收入之间最初的正相关关系大大减弱,最终消失。一项重要发现是,位于帕达纳谷生态区的市政当局系统地暴露于较高的PM2.5浓度,这表明一种持续的形态环境不平等。在该地区,与世卫组织的阈值相比,PM2.5暴露过量使2013年和2019年的死亡风险分别增加13.8%和10.88%。污染最严重和最轻微的生态区域(即帕达纳山谷和亚平宁山脉)之间的死亡率风险相对差异最明显,2013年为9.31%,2019年为7.04%。在分析省际差异时,直辖市的人均收入水平成为一个重要的指标。市政当局人均收入每增加1万欧元,2013年PM2.5年平均暴露水平降低2.01毫克/立方米(死亡风险降低1.6%),2019年降低1.05毫克/立方米(死亡风险降低0.7%)。
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引用次数: 0
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Ecological Economics
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