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Leveraging international trade for the ecological transition: Quantifying the drivers of planetary boundaries 利用国际贸易促进生态转型:量化地球边界的驱动因素
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108907
Gabriel Santos Carneiro , Guilherme Riccioppo Magacho , Etienne Espagne
Seven of the nine Planetary Boundaries have been breached by now. As a large share of human economic activities is enabled by international trade, this paper aims to analyze the footprints of global trade over the planetary boundaries. Using a multi-regional input-output database, we calculate ecological footprints embodied in trade relations related to the different planetary boundaries for different countries and economic activities through a modified method of consumption-based accounting. Results suggest that the pressure on planetary boundaries attributable to global trade ranges from 19 % to 50 %, depending on the boundary. The heterogeneity in pressure levels reflects the diverse economic structures of countries and regions, highlighting the influence of geographic and productive factors on ecological footprints. In general, Europe, North America and East Asia tend to be major regions impacting boundaries due to their import structure. However, from an export perspective, the picture is more heterogenous, with almost every single region contributing to pressures in a different way. All in all, global trade policies appear to be an important potential leverage to mitigate pressures on planetary boundaries.
九个行星边界中的七个已经被突破了。由于人类经济活动的很大一部分是由国际贸易实现的,因此本文旨在分析全球贸易在地球边界上的足迹。利用多区域投入产出数据库,我们通过改进的基于消费的核算方法,计算了与不同国家和经济活动的不同地球边界相关的贸易关系中体现的生态足迹。结果表明,全球贸易对地球边界的压力在19%到50%之间,具体取决于边界。压力水平的异质性反映了国家和地区经济结构的差异性,突出了地理和生产因素对生态足迹的影响。总的来说,由于欧洲、北美和东亚的进口结构,它们往往是影响边界的主要区域。然而,从出口的角度来看,情况更加不同,几乎每个地区都以不同的方式造成压力。总而言之,全球贸易政策似乎是缓解地球边界压力的重要潜在杠杆。
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引用次数: 0
Ethical trade-offs in fast fashion: Exploring social, environmental, and health dimensions in clothing consumption 快时尚中的道德权衡:探索服装消费中的社会、环境和健康维度
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108878
Anders Boman , Mitesh Kataria , Elina Lampi , Daniel Slunge
We conduct a choice experiment survey to determine Swedish consumers' preferences for T-shirts with different levels of health risks to the consumer, environmental impact of production, and working conditions during production. We estimate the marginal willingness to pay (MWTP) for improvements in each attribute and explore ethical trade-offs between them. We conduct the same analysis for consumers buying a t-shirt for themselves and parents purchasing a t-shirt for their children. Our findings show that the health attribute was ranked highest, followed by working conditions and the environmental attribute. While the ranking of the attributes is consistent between the two samples, parents exhibited a lower overall MWTP. We also observe a general pattern of higher willingness to pay to avoid the lowest level (‘Very Poor’) of each attribute and achieve the intermediate level (‘Fairly Good’) than for further improvements to the highest level (‘Good’). This pattern, consistent with how the levels were designed, holds across all subsamples and attributes. Thus, we find substantial demand for more sustainable clothing, particularly for avoiding the worst practices. Our results also suggest that producers could pass on a portion of their increases in costs if sustainability improvements are effectively communicated. While most consumers are not willing to pay more to reach the highest level of an attribute, there are groups of consumers who are willing to pay a premium for high sustainability standards.
我们进行了一项选择实验调查,以确定瑞典消费者对不同程度的健康风险、生产对环境的影响以及生产过程中的工作条件的t恤的偏好。我们估计了每个属性改进的边际支付意愿(MWTP),并探讨了它们之间的伦理权衡。我们对为自己购买t恤的消费者和为孩子购买t恤的父母进行了同样的分析。我们的研究结果显示,健康属性排名最高,其次是工作条件和环境属性。虽然两个样本的属性排名是一致的,但父母表现出较低的总体MWTP。我们还观察到一种普遍的模式,即为了避免每个属性的最低水平(“非常差”)而达到中间水平(“相当好”),而不是为了进一步提高到最高水平(“好”),人们更愿意付费。这种模式与关卡的设计方式一致,适用于所有子样本和属性。因此,我们发现对更可持续的服装的需求很大,特别是为了避免最坏的做法。我们的研究结果还表明,如果可持续发展的改进得到有效沟通,生产者可以转嫁一部分成本的增加。虽然大多数消费者不愿意花更多的钱来达到一个属性的最高水平,但也有一些消费者愿意为高可持续性标准支付额外的费用。
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引用次数: 0
From grand challenges to bold solutions: Investor perspectives on financing urban climate change adaptation 从重大挑战到大胆解决方案:投资者对城市气候变化适应融资的看法
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108879
Stella Whittaker , Craig Johnson , Nicola Ranger , Esben Rahbek Gjerdrum Pedersen
Cities around the world are becoming increasingly vulnerable to climate change, but their ability to attract private finance for urban climate change adaptation (UCCA) has been limited. Based on a comprehensive mapping of current finance regimes in Copenhagen, London and Singapore, the article explores how private investors perceive the challenges and opportunities for financing city-level innovations in UCCA. Our research question involves examining the perspectives of investors regarding UCCA opportunities and challenges, specifically focusing on the prospects for transforming the current finance regime. Theoretically, the study draws on the rich literature on sustainability transitions and strategic niche management to develop a new conceptual framework for categorising ‘conforming’ and ‘stretching’ interventions for financing UCCA. The analysis is based on 51 semi-structured interviews as well as secondary information on UCCA policies and finance documents. The interview respondents indicate that market imperfections, including incomplete and asymmetric information, positive and negative externalities and imperfect finance markets, as well as path-dependent practices and views, hinder investment. Overall, the study contributes to an emerging body of scholarship that seeks to understand the conditions under which public and private actors may collaborate in generating enabling conditions for financing UCCA.
世界各地的城市正变得越来越容易受到气候变化的影响,但它们吸引私人资金用于城市气候变化适应(UCCA)的能力有限。本文通过对哥本哈根、伦敦和新加坡当前金融制度的全面分析,探讨了私人投资者如何看待为UCCA城市级创新融资的挑战和机遇。我们的研究问题包括考察投资者对UCCA机遇和挑战的看法,特别关注当前金融体制转型的前景。从理论上讲,该研究借鉴了关于可持续性转型和战略利基管理的丰富文献,开发了一个新的概念框架,用于对UCCA融资的“符合”和“延伸”干预进行分类。该分析基于51个半结构化访谈以及关于UCCA政策和财务文件的次要信息。受访者表示,市场不完善,包括信息不完全和不对称、正外部性和负外部性、不完善的金融市场,以及路径依赖的做法和观点,阻碍了投资。总体而言,该研究有助于形成一个新兴的学术体系,旨在了解公共和私人行为体合作为UCCA融资创造有利条件的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Debunking competition - Global ecologically unequal exchange explained by exploitation and control relations 揭穿竞争——由剥削和控制关系解释的全球生态不平等交换
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108909
Raffaele Guarino , Giulio Corsi , Enrique Muñoz-Ulecia
According to mainstream economic theory, competition is the fundamental force that regulates production and exchange in the global economy. It is presumed that countries compete in international markets with mutually beneficial outcomes for all parties. However, this assumption is challenged by increasing socioeconomic inequalities across and within countries, as well as global environmental degradation. Among other critical theories, Ecologically Unequal Exchange argues that international trade triggers asymmetries in the distribution of benefits and costs between Core and Periphery regions of the global economic system. We combined Environmentally Extended Multi-Regional Input-Output analysis and Ecological Network analysis to empirically determine which type of ecological relation (competition, control, exploitation or mutualism) characterizes the interaction between countries in international trade. Our research revealed that exploitation and control relations are far more prevalent than competition or mutualism in the global economy. Although the Periphery and Semi-periphery exhibit higher environmental intensities, the responsibility for most environmental degradation can be attributed to a few Core countries that drive resources' extraction and appropriation. Consequently, the Core enhances its economic and environmental performance by exploiting and controlling the Semi-periphery and Periphery. Our findings demonstrate that green growth and dematerialization policies may be unable to achieve socially fair and environmentally sustainable societies at the global level if the structure of the global economy remains unchanged.
根据主流经济理论,竞争是全球经济中调节生产和交换的根本力量。假定各国在国际市场上竞争是互利共赢的。然而,这一假设受到国家之间和国家内部日益加剧的社会经济不平等以及全球环境退化的挑战。在其他批判理论中,生态不平等交换理论认为,国际贸易引发了全球经济体系核心地区和外围地区之间利益和成本分配的不对称。我们结合了环境扩展的多区域投入产出分析和生态网络分析,实证地确定了哪种类型的生态关系(竞争、控制、剥削或互惠)是国际贸易中国家之间互动的特征。我们的研究表明,在全球经济中,剥削和控制关系远比竞争或互惠更为普遍。尽管外围和半外围表现出较高的环境强度,但大多数环境退化的责任可归因于少数推动资源开采和占用的核心国家。因此,核心通过开发和控制半外围和外围来提高其经济和环境绩效。我们的研究结果表明,如果全球经济结构保持不变,绿色增长和非物质化政策可能无法在全球层面实现社会公平和环境可持续的社会。
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引用次数: 0
Equity in carbon pricing: Impacts on household carbon burdens across different demographics 碳定价的公平性:不同人口结构对家庭碳负担的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108905
Cheng-Hsiang Shei , John Chung-En Liu , I-Yun Lisa Hsieh
As carbon pricing mechanisms become more widespread globally, household carbon burdens have emerged as an important equity concern. Disparities between households can undermine policy fairness and effectiveness. This study examines the distribution of household carbon burdens not only across income groups but also in relation to various sociodemographic factors. Using an input-output model and Taiwan's Survey of Family Income and Expenditure, we analyze attributes such as financial status, household head characteristics, family size, appliance ownership, and workplace location. The findings show that while carbon pricing has a slightly greater effect on low-income groups, variations within groups are larger than between groups. Households headed by females, older individuals, smaller in size, or with higher education tend to have lower carbon burdens. In contrast, households with more vehicles, living in low-rise, large-area homes, or with workplaces in southern and eastern regions face higher burdens. These patterns highlight household gasoline use as a decisive factor: more cars and weaker access to public transportation—particularly outside northern municipalities—raise carbon burdens and underscore the need for regionally tailored, transport-sensitive policy design. A scenario-based sensitivity analysis reveals that imposing charges on industrial emissions and gasoline use can reduce the regressivity of carbon pricing. However, applying higher rates specifically on gasoline may increase disparities within income groups, suggesting the need for integrated policy packages to maintain fairness. This study provides a more comprehensive understanding of household carbon burdens and identifies vulnerable groups, offering evidence to support equitable implementation of carbon pricing policies.
随着碳定价机制在全球范围内越来越普遍,家庭碳负担已成为一个重要的公平问题。家庭之间的差距会破坏政策的公平性和有效性。本研究不仅考察了家庭碳负担在不同收入群体中的分布,还考察了与各种社会人口因素的关系。利用投入产出模型和台湾家庭收支调查,我们分析了经济状况、户主特征、家庭规模、家电拥有率和工作地点等属性。研究结果表明,虽然碳定价对低收入群体的影响略大,但群体内部的差异大于群体之间的差异。以女性为户主、年龄较大、规模较小或受教育程度较高的家庭往往碳负担较低。相反,在南部和东部地区,车辆较多、低层住宅面积大、有工作场所的家庭负担更重。这些模式突出表明,家庭汽油使用是一个决定性因素:私家车增多,公共交通不便——尤其是北部城市以外的城市——增加了碳排放负担,并强调需要根据地区情况制定适合交通运输的政策。基于情景的敏感性分析表明,对工业排放和汽油使用收费可以降低碳定价的回归性。然而,专门对汽油征收更高的税率可能会增加收入群体之间的差距,这表明需要采取综合政策方案来保持公平。本研究提供了对家庭碳负担的更全面了解,并确定了弱势群体,为支持公平实施碳定价政策提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
Occupational mobility and climate adaptation: Evidence from France 职业流动与气候适应:来自法国的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108880
Paul Stainier
The extent to which climate change will exacerbate already growing inequality between workers is an open question. Little is known about how occupational mobility might mediate climate change’s effects on inequality. High mobility rates between high exposure and low exposure occupations would mitigate inequality between the two, though increased labor supply to certain low exposure occupations could depress their wages. Well-documented frictions to occupational mobility, especially between occupations with different task requirements, suggest that this adaptation strategy may be highly costly to many workers. Using 9.2 million observations from individual-level panel data from France, I find that historically, inter-exposure mobility rates are low. Despite high exposure jobs making up only 9% of the labor market, a worker leaving a high exposure occupation moves to a different high exposure occupation 49% of the time. The task composition of high exposure jobs provides a partial, but incomplete, explanation for this labor market segmentation.
气候变化将在多大程度上加剧工人之间日益加剧的不平等,这是一个悬而未决的问题。关于职业流动性如何调节气候变化对不平等的影响,人们知之甚少。高暴露和低暴露职业之间的高流动性将缓解两者之间的不平等,尽管某些低暴露职业的劳动力供应增加可能会压低他们的工资。充分记录的职业流动性摩擦,特别是具有不同任务要求的职业之间的摩擦,表明这种适应策略对许多工人来说可能代价高昂。使用来自法国的920万个人层面的面板数据,我发现从历史上看,暴露间流动性很低。尽管高暴露性工作只占劳动力市场的9%,但离开高暴露性职业的工人有49%的几率会转到另一个高暴露性职业。高暴露工作的任务构成为这种劳动力市场分割提供了部分但不完整的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating post-growth economics into transformative adaptation: Property relations, capital, and democratic planning 将后增长经济学融入变革适应:财产关系、资本和民主计划
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108895
Oussama Chaabouni , Richard Bärnthaler
Transformative adaptation (TA) is increasingly promoted as a way to drive systemic change beyond incremental adjustments. Yet many TA initiatives fall short of their transformative aims. This paper argues that this is not only due to implementation challenges, but also because of conceptual blind spots. We review TA litertaure and problematise three of its core assumptions regarding onto-epistemic and political shifts, root causes of vulnerability, and multi-level stakeholder engagement. Drawing on post-growth economics, we contend that TA tends to overlook some key dimensions of transformation. First, its focus on onto-epistemic and political shifts rarely challenges privatised property relations and sometimes reinforces scarcity narratives that justify exclusive control and management. Second, vulnerability is linked to a preoccupation with growth, efficiency, and commercialisation, yet these are not systematically tied to the structural dynamics of capital accumulation. Third, stakeholder engagement tends to foreground liberal notions of participation and governance, with little attention to democratic control over the economy. To address these gaps, we propose a set of reflective refinements based on post-growth principles: reorient development toward collective, decommodified ownership; link vulnerability to the structural tendencies of capital accumulation; and broaden participation and governance toward economic democratisation and planning. These dimensions are interdependent, with property relations and capital accumulation forming both structural arenas of transformation within, and obstacles to, democratic planning of the economy. We conclude by outlining key directions for future TA research.
变革性适应(TA)作为一种超越增量调整的驱动系统变革的方式越来越受到推崇。然而,许多助教计划未能实现其变革目标。本文认为,这不仅是由于实施方面的挑战,而且还因为概念上的盲点。我们回顾了TA文献,并对其关于认知和政治转变、脆弱性的根本原因和多层次利益相关者参与的三个核心假设提出了问题。借鉴后增长经济学,我们认为TA往往忽略了转型的一些关键维度。首先,它对本体认知和政治转变的关注很少挑战私有化的财产关系,有时反而强化了为排他性控制和管理辩护的稀缺叙事。其次,脆弱性与对增长、效率和商业化的关注有关,但这些与资本积累的结构性动态没有系统联系。第三,利益相关者参与倾向于突出自由主义的参与和治理概念,而很少关注对经济的民主控制。为了解决这些差距,我们提出了一套基于后增长原则的反思改进方案:将发展重新定位为集体的、非改良的所有权;将脆弱性与资本积累的结构性趋势联系起来;扩大参与和治理,走向经济民主化和计划。这些方面是相互依存的,财产关系和资本积累既构成了经济民主计划内部变革的结构性领域,也构成了经济民主计划的障碍。最后,提出了未来TA研究的关键方向。
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引用次数: 0
Do risk, time, and social preferences predict sustainable behavior? Evidence from a qualitative synthesis and meta-analysis 风险、时间和社会偏好能预测可持续的行为吗?来自定性综合和荟萃分析的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108804
Kristopher L. Nichols , Johanna M. Matt-Navarro , Maxim K. Doiron , Giovanna d'Adda , Elke U. Weber , Sara M. Constantino
Despite the urgency of addressing environmental challenges, from the overuse of natural resources to climate change, action is grossly lacking. Environmental challenges often unfold over long time horizons, involve risk and uncertainty, and pit self-interest against collective outcomes. This has led some scholars to explain inaction and the persistence of environmental challenges by appealing to social and psychological factors such as temporal discounting, risk aversion, and self-interest—preferences commonly assumed in microeconomic models of decision-making. If this is the case, it has implications for the design of interventions, policies, and institutions to promote sustainable actions. Yet, empirical evidence relating these preferences to sustainable behavior is mixed. We conduct a systematic literature review (75 papers; 426 effect sizes) and meta-analysis (39 papers; 299 effect sizes) of studies from 29 countries that elicit time, risk, and social preferences and correlate these with real-world environmentally-relevant behaviors. Overall, we find limited evidence that economic preferences assessed in the lab are strong predictors of sustainable behaviors—the relationship is only significant when preferences are elicited in the field setting (“lab-in-field”). In subgroup analyses, we find that prosocial preferences are a significant predictor of environmental behaviors, and the effect is stronger for studies where preferences are elicited using protocols that are framed in terms of real world impacts or conducted in the field. We also find that time, risk and social preferences predict monetary donations to environmental causes. These findings suggest a nuanced and modest relationship between economic preferences assessed in the lab and sustainable behaviors.
尽管应对从自然资源过度使用到气候变化等环境挑战迫在眉睫,但我们严重缺乏行动。环境挑战往往在很长一段时间内展开,涉及风险和不确定性,并使自身利益与集体成果相冲突。这导致一些学者通过求助于社会和心理因素来解释不作为和环境挑战的持久性,如时间贴现、风险厌恶和自我利益偏好,这些因素通常在决策的微观经济模型中被假设。如果是这样的话,它将对干预措施、政策和机构的设计产生影响,以促进可持续行动。然而,将这些偏好与可持续行为联系起来的经验证据是混杂的。我们对来自29个国家的研究进行了系统的文献综述(75篇论文,426个效应量)和荟萃分析(39篇论文,299个效应量),这些研究得出了时间、风险和社会偏好,并将它们与现实世界的环境相关行为联系起来。总的来说,我们发现有限的证据表明,在实验室中评估的经济偏好是可持续行为的有力预测因素——只有当偏好在现场设置(“现场实验室”)中被激发时,这种关系才有意义。在亚组分析中,我们发现亲社会偏好是环境行为的重要预测因素,并且对于使用根据现实世界影响制定的协议或在现场进行的协议来引发偏好的研究,效果更强。我们还发现,时间、风险和社会偏好可以预测对环境事业的金钱捐赠。这些发现表明,在实验室评估的经济偏好和可持续行为之间存在微妙而适度的关系。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of green credit guidelines on green lending and environmental outcomes: Evidence from Chinese banks 绿色信贷指引对绿色贷款和环境结果的影响:来自中国银行的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108900
Jiaqi Li , Ja Ryong Kim , Emmanuel Adegbite
In line with global trends, China introduced the Green Credit Guidelines (GCGs) in 2012 to promote green lending and advance environmental protection. This study shifts the analytical focus from borrowing firms, the primary subject of prior research, to lending institutions and examines how banks have responded to the GCGs. Using panel data from 34 A-share listed Chinese banks between 2008 and 2020, we find a general increase in green lending following the implementation of the GCGs. However, this growth is predominantly driven by state-controlled banks, suggesting that institutional constraints limit broader industry uptake. Further analysis reveals that state-controlled banks benefit financially from green lending post-GCGs and the regions with better GCG implementation experience a decrease in pollution emission levels. Our findings support both institutional theory and relationship banking theory, highlighting the perspectives of the lending institutions and the shortcomings of the current GCGs. To enhance the effectiveness of GCGs, we recommend that the GCGs be supplemented with mechanisms that promote practices across the banking sector.
根据全球趋势,中国于2012年推出了《绿色信贷指引》,以促进绿色信贷和促进环境保护。本研究将分析重点从借款公司(先前研究的主要对象)转移到贷款机构,并考察了银行如何应对gcg。利用2008年至2020年间中国34家a股上市银行的面板数据,我们发现在实施绿色减排目标后,绿色贷款普遍增加。然而,这种增长主要是由国有银行推动的,表明制度约束限制了更广泛的行业吸收。进一步分析表明,国有银行从绿色信贷中获益,绿色信贷实施较好的地区污染排放水平下降。我们的研究结果支持制度理论和关系银行理论,突出了贷款机构的观点和当前gcg的缺点。为提高可持续发展工作组的有效性,我们建议在可持续发展工作组的基础上补充促进整个银行业实践的机制。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring equity in environmental care: Methodology and an application to traffic-related air pollution 衡量环境保护中的公平性:方法及其在交通相关空气污染中的应用
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108902
Antonio Abatemarco , Roberto Dell’Anno , Elena Lagomarsino
Environmental policies generate benefits that are unevenly distributed across individuals, raising concerns about the equity of environmental policy effort. This paper proposes a normative and methodological framework to assess equity in environmental care, defined as the benefits individuals receive from policy interventions intended to improve environmental quality. Building on a Rawlsian fairness principle, we adapt direct and indirect standardization techniques from the health economics literature to evaluate whether environmental care is allocated proportionally to environmental needs. We apply the framework to traffic-related air pollution policies implemented by Italian municipalities between 2012 and 2021. Our results show that overall disparities in environmental care have declined over time, largely due to a reduction in horizontal inequity. Nonetheless, significant socioeconomic disparities persist: individuals residing in lower-income municipalities receive disproportionately less environmental care relative to their environmental needs.
环境政策产生的利益在个人之间分配不均,这引起了人们对环境政策努力公平性的担忧。本文提出了一个评估环境保护公平性的规范和方法框架,环境保护公平性被定义为个人从旨在改善环境质量的政策干预中获得的利益。在罗尔斯公平原则的基础上,我们采用卫生经济学文献中的直接和间接标准化技术来评估环境护理是否按比例分配给环境需求。我们将该框架应用于意大利各城市在2012年至2021年期间实施的与交通有关的空气污染政策。我们的研究结果表明,随着时间的推移,环境保护方面的总体差异有所下降,这主要是由于横向不平等的减少。尽管如此,显著的社会经济差异仍然存在:居住在低收入城市的个人获得的环境护理相对于他们的环境需求而言不成比例地少。
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引用次数: 0
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Ecological Economics
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