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Are natural disasters stumbling blocks to carbon inequality mitigation? A global perspective 自然灾害是缓解碳不平等的绊脚石吗?全球视角
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108392
Kangyin Dong , Congyu Zhao , Rabindra Nepal , Kerstin K. Zander
The detrimental impact of natural disasters on inequality is evident, yet their influence on the inequality of carbon emissions remains underexplored. Addressing this gap is crucial, as understanding the relationship between natural disasters and carbon inequality can inform more equitable climate policies. To this end, we performed an econometric investigation on the impact of natural disasters on carbon inequality, based on a global dataset covering 140 countries during 2000–2020. The system generalized method of moments model is utilized, and we also delve into the heterogeneous analysis, as well as the mediating and the moderating effects. Our numerical analysis yields four key findings. First, natural disasters are stumbling blocks to carbon inequality eradication, which means that natural disasters are not conducive to mitigating carbon inequality, but rather amplify it. Second, this adverse effect is more pronounced in low-income countries. Third, government ineffectiveness not only heightens carbon inequality but also intensifies the negative impact of natural disasters, demonstrating a synergic effect. Fourth, energy infrastructure and renewable energy development are two channels that link natural disasters with carbon inequality. These findings underscore the necessity of targeted policy interventions to mitigate carbon inequality and reduce the adverse consequences of natural disasters.
自然灾害对不平等的不利影响显而易见,但其对碳排放不平等的影响却仍未得到充分探索。了解自然灾害与碳排放不平等之间的关系可以为制定更加公平的气候政策提供依据,因此弥补这一差距至关重要。为此,我们基于 2000-2020 年间覆盖 140 个国家的全球数据集,对自然灾害对碳排放不平等的影响进行了计量经济学调查。我们采用了系统广义矩方法模型,并深入研究了异质性分析以及中介效应和调节效应。我们的数值分析得出了四个主要结论。首先,自然灾害是消除碳不平等的绊脚石,这意味着自然灾害不利于缓解碳不平等,反而会放大碳不平等。第二,这种不利影响在低收入国家更为明显。第三,政府效率低下不仅加剧了碳不平等,也加剧了自然灾害的负面影响,显示出协同效应。第四,能源基础设施和可再生能源的发展是将自然灾害与碳不平等联系起来的两个渠道。这些发现突出表明,有必要采取有针对性的政策干预措施,以缓解碳不平等现象,减少自然灾害的不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
Towards systems-oriented behavioral ecological economics 实现以系统为导向的行为生态经济学
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108402
Stefan Drews
A growing volume of behavioral research in ecological economics has been published over the past two decades. Here I argue that a significant share of this research has adopted the approach of focusing on individual responsibility and solutions in sustainability transitions, notably in the form of so-called nudges. The paper proposes that to be consistent with the core tenets of ecological economics and to achieve more real-world impact, we need more behavioral research that takes a systems-oriented perspective. Several research lines in this direction are discussed. The systems-oriented approach may provide a distinction between behavioral ecological economics and behavioral environmental economics, allowing for a more nuanced understanding of these two fields.
在过去二十年里,生态经济学中的行为学研究成果越来越多。在本文中,我认为这些研究中有很大一部分采用了关注可持续发展转型中个人责任和解决方案的方法,特别是以所谓的 "劝告"(nudges)形式出现。本文提出,为了与生态经济学的核心原则保持一致并取得更大的现实影响,我们需要更多从系统角度出发的行为研究。本文讨论了这一方向的几条研究路线。以系统为导向的方法可以区分行为生态经济学和行为环境经济学,从而更细致地理解这两个领域。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating recreational ecosystem service valuations into Israel's Water economy 将娱乐性生态系统服务估值纳入以色列的水经济
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108391
Aliza Fleischer, Yadin Gindin, Yacov Tsur
This study examines how recreational freshwater ecosystem services (FESS) should influence water allocation policies within a comprehensive water economy model. We differentiate between FESS generated by flows and stocks, analyzing their effects on water allocation and pricing. We estimate the inverse demands for recreational FESS in Israel using household visitation data alongside water flow and stock information. These demands are then integrated into a comprehensive model of Israel's water economy to assess their impact on optimal water allocation. Our numerical simulations reveal that recreational FESS demands significantly affect optimal water allocation decisions. For instance, a 20 % increase in demand for flow-generated recreational FESS results in a 24 % reduction in stream flow diversion, a 13 % rise in water diversion from Lake Kinneret, and a 29 % increase in groundwater extraction from aquifers. By bridging the gap between ecological preservation and economic needs, our model paves the way for more holistic and effective water management practices worldwide.
本研究探讨了在综合水经济模型中,娱乐性淡水生态系统服务(FESS)应如何影响水资源分配政策。我们区分了由流量和存量产生的 FESS,分析了它们对水资源分配和定价的影响。我们利用家庭访问数据以及水流量和存量信息,估算了以色列对娱乐性 FESS 的反向需求。然后将这些需求纳入以色列水经济的综合模型,以评估其对最优水资源分配的影响。我们的数值模拟结果表明,娱乐性 FESS 需求对最优配水决策有重大影响。例如,流量产生的娱乐性 FESS 需求增加 20%,会导致溪流引水减少 24%,从基纳特湖引水增加 13%,从含水层抽取的地下水增加 29%。通过弥合生态保护与经济需求之间的差距,我们的模型为全球更全面、更有效的水资源管理实践铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Shared responsibility for carbon emission reduction in worldwide “steel- electric vehicle” trade within a sustainable industrial chain perspective 从可持续产业链角度看全球 "钢铁-电动汽车 "贸易中的碳减排共同责任
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108393
Yanxin Liu , Huajiao Li , Huijun Ren , Hongdian Jiang , Bo Ren , Ning Ma , Zhensong Chen , Weiqiong Zhong , Sergio Ulgiati
Electric vehicles (EVs) is an important industry to promote global sustainability, but it consumes a lot of steel which produce more carbon dioxide during the production. To clarify the shared responsibility of carbon reduction related to EVs in the countries, it is necessary to assess the material flows of steel associated to the industry chain. This study constructed a multi-layer trade network model of “steel-electric vehicle” industry chain and identified key trade carbon transfer paths. The results firstly show the worldwide trade volume and the number of involved countries increased enormously from 2017 to 2021. Secondly, the non-renewable energies (coal) were diverted more from upstream countries. Finally, the trade patterns mostly flow from upstream (Brazil, Australia) to midstream steel producers (China, Germany), and then to downstream EVs manufacturers (USA), from which trade flows go back to middle and upstream countries. Instead, trade embodied carbon flows mainly into downstream developed countries. It reflects the huge imbalance among production process of different stages, energy consumed structure and trade carbon emissions in the worldwide “steel-electric vehicle” industry chain. Based on the results, this study proposes policy implications for promoting regional industrial ecological sustainability from the perspectives of industry chain, trading partners and countries.
电动汽车(EV)是促进全球可持续发展的重要产业,但它消耗大量钢铁,在生产过程中产生更多二氧化碳。为了明确各国在电动汽车相关碳减排方面的共同责任,有必要评估与产业链相关的钢铁物质流。本研究构建了 "钢铁-电动汽车 "产业链的多层贸易网络模型,并确定了关键贸易碳转移路径。研究结果首先表明,从 2017 年到 2021 年,全球贸易量和涉及国家数量大幅增加。其次,不可再生能源(煤炭)更多地从上游国家转移。最后,贸易模式主要是从上游(巴西、澳大利亚)流向中游钢铁生产商(中国、德国),再流向下游电动汽车制造商(美国),然后贸易流又回到中上游国家。相反,贸易体现碳主要流入下游发达国家。这反映了全球 "钢铁-电动汽车 "产业链中不同阶段的生产工艺、能耗结构和贸易碳排放之间的巨大不平衡。根据研究结果,本研究从产业链、贸易伙伴和国家的角度提出了促进区域产业生态可持续性的政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
If there is waste, there is a system: Understanding Victoria's circular economy transition from a systems thinking perspective 有废物,就有系统:从系统思维的角度理解维多利亚州的循环经济转型
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108395
Akvan Gajanayake, Usha Iyer-Raniga

Governments around the world have started adopting circular economy policies with the aim of transitioning production and consumption systems to be more circular. This transition requires a holistic approach to overcome a multitude of interdependent challenges. To understand how the State of Victoria, Australia is transitioning to a circular economy, this paper uses a systems thinking approach to analyse the current ecosystem. Using data from multiple sources, Causal Loop Diagrams to depict sub-systems were developed and validated through focus group workshops. We found that there is a heavy reliance on the resource recovery and recycling sector, both at industry level and policy interventions. Common misconceptions that circular economy is an advanced recycling strategy was found to be a major barrier for the transition. Policies to overcome these misconceptions and developing accepted circularity indicators focusing on the design stage and upfront considerations of downstream end of life impacts would enable a holistic transition.

世界各国政府已开始采取循环经济政策,目的是将生产和消费系统转变为更加循环的系统。这种转型需要采用整体方法来克服众多相互依存的挑战。为了解澳大利亚维多利亚州如何向循环经济转型,本文采用系统思维方法分析当前的生态系统。利用多种来源的数据,我们绘制了描述子系统的因果循环图,并通过焦点小组研讨会进行了验证。我们发现,无论是在行业层面还是政策干预方面,都非常依赖资源回收和循环利用部门。我们发现,认为循环经济是一种先进的再循环战略的普遍误解是转型的主要障碍。制定政策以克服这些误解,并制定公认的循环性指标,重点关注设计阶段和对下游寿命终期影响的前期考虑,将有助于实现全面过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Back to the future: An experiment on ecological restoration 回到未来:生态恢复实验
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108386
Virginia Cecchini Manara , Eleonora Ciscato , Pietro Guarnieri , Lorenzo Spadoni

The urgency of climate, biodiversity, and pollution crises has prompted international and national institutions to move beyond the prevention and mitigation of damages and to design policies aimed at promoting ecological restoration. In this paper, we address this emerging policy challenge by presenting experimental evidence on individuals’ propensity to contribute to restoration activities. Specifically, our design links a common pool resource game to a public good game to investigate how previous resource exploitation influences restoration decisions. We find that history matters since subjects who participate in resource depletion show a different behavior as compared to subjects who are only called to restore it. Specifically, while the former are subject to behavioral lock-ins that influence the success of restoration, the latter are more prompt to restore the more the resource is depleted.

气候、生物多样性和污染危机的紧迫性促使国际和国家机构不再局限于预防和减轻损害,而是制定旨在促进生态恢复的政策。在本文中,我们通过实验证明了个人对恢复活动的贡献倾向,从而应对了这一新出现的政策挑战。具体来说,我们的设计将公共资源博弈与公益博弈联系起来,以研究以前的资源开发如何影响恢复决策。我们发现历史很重要,因为参与资源损耗的受试者与只被要求恢复资源的受试者表现出不同的行为。具体来说,前者的行为锁定会影响恢复资源的成功率,而后者则是资源消耗越多,恢复资源越迅速。
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引用次数: 0
Raising awareness of climate change: Nature, activists, politicians? 提高对气候变化的认识:自然、活动家、政治家?
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108374
Daryna Grechyna

This paper evaluates the relative importance of natural and human factors in shaping public awareness of climate change. I compare the predictive efficacy of natural factors, represented by air temperature deviations from historical norms, and human factors, encompassing noteworthy political events focused on environmental policies and movements led by environmental activists, in forecasting the salience of climate change topic over weekly and annual horizons using regional European countries’ data. The salience of climate change is proxied by the Google search intensity data. The activists’ movements are measured by weekly Friday for Future strikes. The best-performing predictor in the short term (weeks), is the size of activists’ strikes and in the longer term (years), positive deviations of maximum air temperature from historical norms and political meetings focused on environmental policies. The inter-regional spatial relations, when taken into account, significantly improve the forecasts of the future public interest in climate change.

本文评估了自然因素和人为因素在影响公众气候变化意识方面的相对重要性。我利用欧洲地区国家的数据,比较了自然因素(以气温偏离历史标准为代表)和人为因素(包括以环境政策为重点的值得关注的政治事件和环保活动家领导的运动)在预测气候变化话题在周和年度范围内的显著性方面的预测效果。气候变化的显著性由谷歌搜索强度数据表示。活动人士的动向通过每周星期五的 "未来罢工 "来衡量。在短期内(周),预测效果最好的因素是积极分子罢工的规模,而在长期内(年),预测效果最好的因素是最高气温与历史标准的正偏差以及以环境政策为重点的政治会议。考虑到区域间的空间关系,对未来公众对气候变化的兴趣的预测有显著改善。
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引用次数: 0
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108390
Marco Vianna Franco
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引用次数: 0
Buzzword or breakthrough beyond growth? The mainstreaming of the Wellbeing Economy 热词还是超越增长的突破?福祉经济的主流化
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108375
Anders Hayden

A wellbeing economy (WE) has been promoted by many advocates of a post-growth economy. Drawing on the growing WE literature, including detailed case studies of Wellbeing Economy Governments (WEGo), the article asks: does growing support for a WE represent a breakthrough for post-growth economic ideas? Or has mainstreaming the WE concept emptied it of radical post-growth content? The WE experience is interpreted in light of an earlier debate in the international development community over the mainstreaming of radical concepts that were purged of transformative meanings – becoming buzzwords that did not fundamentally alter existing practices. Wellbeing and the WE similarly risk becoming buzzwords: feel-good ideas that are hard to oppose, but which users can fill with their own meanings and political agendas. The WE's post-growth roots are contrasted with the pro-growth meanings given to it by organizations including the OECD and WEGo nations. The WE has nevertheless shown some promise in enabling limited steps in a post-growth direction in WEGo nations (within a broader context of continued pursuit of growth). The article presents – and invites debate on – some possible responses to resist dilution of the WE concept and advance a transformative post-growth vision.

许多后增长经济的倡导者都在提倡福利经济(WE)。这篇文章借鉴了越来越多的福祉经济文献,包括对福祉经济政府(WEGo)的详细案例研究,提出了以下问题:对福祉经济日益增长的支持是否代表了后增长经济理念的突破?或者说,"幸福经济 "概念的主流化是否使其失去了激进的后增长内容?文章从国际发展界早先关于激进概念主流化的争论出发,对 WE 的经验进行了解读,这些激进概念被剔除了变革的含义--成为了没有从根本上改变现有实践的流行语。福祉和 WE 同样面临着成为流行语的风险:感觉良好的理念很难遭到反对,但使用者可以在其中填充自己的意义和政治议程。WE 的后增长根源与经合组织(OECD)和 WEGo 国家等组织赋予它的促增长含义形成了鲜明对比。尽管如此,世界教育大会在促使世界经济组 织国家(在继续追求增长的大背景下)朝着后增长方向迈出有限的几步方面还是显示出了一 些希望。这篇文章介绍了一些可能的应对措施,以抵制对 "我们的世界 "概念的淡化,推进变革性的后增长愿景,并请大家就此展开讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Will the EU deforestation-free products regulation (EUDR) reduce tropical forest loss? Insights from three producer countries 欧盟无森林砍伐产品条例(EUDR)能否减少热带森林损失?来自三个生产国的启示
IF 6.6 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024.108389
Roldan Muradian , Raras Cahyafitri , Tomaso Ferrando , Carolina Grottera , Luiz Jardim-Wanderley , Torsten Krause , Nanang I. Kurniawan , Lasse Loft , Tadzkia Nurshafira , Debie Prabawati-Suwito , Diaz Prasongko , Paula A. Sanchez-Garcia , Barbara Schröter , Diana Vela-Almeida

The European Union regulation on deforestation-free products (EUDR) represents a policy innovation with important implications for the governance of global commodity chains. We discuss the risks and limitations of this policy derived from an ex-ante assessment of the robustness of its theory of change. For doing so, we use insights from the literature on zero-deforestation commitments and other private standards in value chains and from trade and deforestation patterns in three relevant producer countries (Brazil, Colombia and Indonesia). Despite the potentially positive symbolic effect in mobilizing a global agenda for combating deforestation, the EUDR faces several drawbacks and risks associated with three of its constitutive features: To be demand-oriented, having the value chain as the unit of intervention and holding a high degree of unilateralism. We conclude that to be effective in curbing tropical deforestation, the Regulation must be complemented with international cooperation aiming to strengthen national policies with a territorial approach, as well as social movements addressing the underlying causes of forest loss and human rights violations in the territories where it takes place.

欧盟无森林砍伐产品条例(EUDR)是一项政策创新,对全球商品链的治理具有重要影响。我们通过对其变革理论的稳健性进行事前评估,讨论了这一政策的风险和局限性。为此,我们利用了有关零毁林承诺和价值链中其他私人标准的文献,以及三个相关生产国(巴西、哥伦比亚和印度尼西亚)的贸易和毁林模式。尽管《欧盟森林砍伐和退化报告》在动员全球打击森林砍伐议程方面具有潜在的积极象征意义,但它也面临着与其三个构成特征相关的若干缺点和风险:以需求为导向、以价值链为干预单位以及高度的单边主义。我们的结论是,要有效遏制热带森林砍伐,《条例》必须与国际合作相辅相成,国际合作的目的是加强各国的属地政策,而社会运动则是为了解决森林丧失的根本原因,并在发生森林砍伐的地区解决侵犯人权的问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Ecological Economics
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