Ecological Economics最新文献_第7页

Policy design for resilience? An assessment of the bioeconomy policy mix addressing the maize bio-based production system in Italy 弹性政策设计？对解决意大利玉米生物基生产系统的生物经济政策组合的评估

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108881

Giorgio Varanini, Peter H. Feindt

Over the past two decades, more than fifty countries worldwide have published bioeconomy policies to facilitate the transition from a fossil-based to a bio-based economy in response to resource depletion, environmental degradation, and climate change. This transition, however, is likely to increase already high demands on bio-based production systems and exacerbate social, environmental, and economic challenges. Nevertheless, there is a lack of empirical research on how bioeconomy policies affect the resilience of bio-based production systems. Presenting an exploratory case study which builds on the Resilience Policy Design Framework, this paper analyzes the bioeconomy policy mix that addresses the maize bio-based production system in Italy and assesses how it enables or constrains three distinct dimensions of resilience — robustness, adaptability, and transformability. Data include a detailed content analysis of relevant agricultural and bioeconomy-related policy documents and semi-structured expert interviews. The analysis finds diverging resilience orientations within the policy mix. While agricultural policies are mainly oriented toward robustness and adaptability, nominal bioeconomy policies prioritize transformability. The paper thereby contributes to current discussions about the governance of the bioeconomy, policy design and the resilience of social-ecological systems.

在过去的20年里，全球50多个国家发布了生物经济政策，以促进从化石经济向生物经济的过渡，以应对资源枯竭、环境恶化和气候变化。然而，这种转变可能会增加对生物基生产系统的高要求，并加剧社会、环境和经济挑战。然而，缺乏关于生物经济政策如何影响生物基生产系统弹性的实证研究。本文在弹性政策设计框架的基础上提出了一个探索性案例研究，分析了意大利玉米生物基生产系统的生物经济政策组合，并评估了它如何促进或限制弹性的三个不同维度——稳健性、适应性和可变革性。数据包括对相关农业和生物经济政策文件的详细内容分析以及半结构化的专家访谈。分析发现，在政策组合中，弹性取向存在分歧。虽然农业政策主要面向稳健性和适应性，但名义上的生物经济政策优先考虑可转换性。因此，本文有助于当前关于生物经济治理、政策设计和社会生态系统弹性的讨论。

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引用次数: 0

Tailored information and the public support for carbon pricing in Germany 德国碳定价的定制信息和公众支持

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108849

Antonia Schwarz , Anna Stünzi , Kathrin Kaestner , Michael Pahle , Stephan Sommer

Providing information about carbon pricing is widely considered to be key to increasing public support for it. A number of studies have analyzed such effects, but little attention has been paid to how changes to the design can enhance the effectiveness of information treatments. Typically, generic information with low affective appeal has been used. In contrast, this paper, drawing on recent research into the design of information provisions, employs a targeted and tailored approach to ensure high receptiveness. Utilizing novel German survey data, we examine whether video-based information tailored to individuals’ carbon pricing concerns outperforms generic information. Our results confirm that targeted and tailored information significantly increases support, primarily for respondents concerned about costs. However, the effect of tailored information concerning fairness and effectiveness is statistically not different from that of the generic control video. Nevertheless, it reduces strong opposition, providing valuable insights for policy acceptance. These findings suggest that integrating targeted communication strategies into climate policy design may help build broader policy tolerance and stability, though further research is needed to confirm their effectiveness beyond the specific context of this study.

提供有关碳定价的信息被广泛认为是增加公众支持的关键。许多研究已经分析了这种影响，但很少有人关注如何改变设计来提高信息处理的有效性。通常，使用的是情感吸引力较低的通用信息。相比之下，本文借鉴了最近对信息提供设计的研究，采用了有针对性和量身定制的方法来确保高接受度。利用新颖的德国调查数据，我们研究了针对个人碳定价问题定制的基于视频的信息是否优于一般信息。我们的研究结果证实，有针对性和量身定制的信息显著增加了支持，主要是针对关心成本的受访者。然而，关于公平性和有效性的定制信息的效果在统计上与通用控制视频没有区别。然而，它减少了强烈的反对，为政策的接受提供了有价值的见解。这些发现表明，将有针对性的传播策略整合到气候政策设计中可能有助于建立更广泛的政策容忍度和稳定性，尽管需要进一步的研究来证实其在本研究特定背景之外的有效性。

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引用次数: 0

The economic impact of Sargassum: Evidence from the Mexican coast 马尾藻的经济影响：来自墨西哥海岸的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108877

Maja Schling , Roberto Guerrero Compeán , Nicolás Pazos , Allison Bailey , Katie Arkema , Mary Ruckelshaus

This paper assesses the economic impact of pelagic Sargassum seaweed washed ashore in tourism-heavy coastal zones in the Mexican State of Quintana Roo. We use a geographic information systems (GIS) dataset of monthly observations from 2016 to 2019 for 157 beach segments. The dataset comprises an innovative measure of Sargassum seaweed presence, remotely sensed nighttime light intensity as a proxy of economic growth, as well as information on key infrastructure, sociodemographic and beach characteristics. We perform an event study by applying a fixed-effects regression model that controls for general time trends and unobserved, time-invariant differences across observations. We estimate that the presence of Sargassum in a beach segment reduces nighttime light intensity by 17.5 %, representing an approximate 11.6 % decrease in gross local product. Our analysis finds significant lagged effects up until 12 months after Sargassum was detected that range between 5.9 % and 9.9 %. The estimated impacts are consistently significant and negative across numerous specifications, including an adjusted measurement of Sargassum and the consideration of potential spatial correlation across beach segments. These results highlight the considerable negative impacts of Sargassum on coastal economies and the need for public and private interventions to heighten economic resilience in coastal communities.

本文评估了在墨西哥金塔纳罗奥州旅游密集的沿海地区被冲上岸的上层马尾藻海藻的经济影响。我们使用地理信息系统（GIS）数据集，收集了2016年至2019年157个海滩段的月度观测数据。该数据集包括马尾藻存在的创新测量，遥感夜间灯光强度作为经济增长的代表，以及关键基础设施、社会人口和海滩特征的信息。我们通过应用固定效应回归模型进行事件研究，该模型控制一般时间趋势和观测值之间未观察到的时不变差异。我们估计，马尾藻在海滩段的存在使夜间光线强度降低了17.5%，相当于当地生产总值减少了约11.6%。我们的分析发现，在马尾藻被检测到12个月后，显著的滞后效应在5.9%到9.9%之间。在许多规格中，包括马尾藻的调整测量和考虑海滩段之间潜在的空间相关性，估计的影响始终是显著的和负的。这些结果强调了马尾藻对沿海经济的巨大负面影响，以及需要采取公共和私人干预措施来提高沿海社区的经济弹性。

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引用次数: 0

Occupational mobility and climate adaptation: Evidence from France 职业流动与气候适应：来自法国的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108880

Paul Stainier

The extent to which climate change will exacerbate already growing inequality between workers is an open question. Little is known about how occupational mobility might mediate climate change’s effects on inequality. High mobility rates between high exposure and low exposure occupations would mitigate inequality between the two, though increased labor supply to certain low exposure occupations could depress their wages. Well-documented frictions to occupational mobility, especially between occupations with different task requirements, suggest that this adaptation strategy may be highly costly to many workers. Using 9.2 million observations from individual-level panel data from France, I find that historically, inter-exposure mobility rates are low. Despite high exposure jobs making up only 9% of the labor market, a worker leaving a high exposure occupation moves to a different high exposure occupation 49% of the time. The task composition of high exposure jobs provides a partial, but incomplete, explanation for this labor market segmentation.

气候变化将在多大程度上加剧工人之间日益加剧的不平等，这是一个悬而未决的问题。关于职业流动性如何调节气候变化对不平等的影响，人们知之甚少。高暴露和低暴露职业之间的高流动性将缓解两者之间的不平等，尽管某些低暴露职业的劳动力供应增加可能会压低他们的工资。充分记录的职业流动性摩擦，特别是具有不同任务要求的职业之间的摩擦，表明这种适应策略对许多工人来说可能代价高昂。使用来自法国的920万个人层面的面板数据，我发现从历史上看，暴露间流动性很低。尽管高暴露性工作只占劳动力市场的9%，但离开高暴露性职业的工人有49%的几率会转到另一个高暴露性职业。高暴露工作的任务构成为这种劳动力市场分割提供了部分但不完整的解释。

引用次数: 0

Determinants of willingness to bear the costs for environmental protection: Insights from cross-country survey data 环境保护成本承担意愿的决定因素：来自跨国调查数据的见解

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108876

Toker Doganoglu , Lukasz Grzybowski , Joanna Rachubik

Using data from the 2020 International Social Survey Programme (ISSP), Environment IV module from 26 countries on about 29,183 individuals, we investigate the influence of socio-demographic factors, consumer behavior, environmental beliefs, opinions, and attitudes on the willingness to pay higher prices and higher taxes, as well as the willingness to reduce their standard of living of respondents in support of environmental protection. The findings reveal significant variations in willingness to bear financial burdens for environmental protection across different countries and socio-economic groups. Our analysis highlights the critical role of education, religion, political affiliation, and trust in institutions in shaping environmental attitudes and behaviors. Moreover, after controlling for individual characteristics, significant international disparities persist. Many European countries, despite their progressive environmental policies, show lower willingness for higher taxes, which may be due to already high tax burdens. These findings underscore the importance of tailoring policy communications to different socio-economic groups, emphasizing both the immediate and long-term benefits of environmental protection to enhance acceptance among various demographic segments.

利用2020年国际社会调查计划（ISSP）环境IV模块中来自26个国家的约29,183个人的数据，我们调查了社会人口因素，消费者行为，环境信念，意见和态度对支付更高价格和更高税收的意愿的影响，以及受访者为了支持环境保护而降低生活水平的意愿。研究结果显示，不同国家和社会经济群体承担环境保护财政负担的意愿存在显著差异。我们的分析强调了教育、宗教、政治派别和对制度的信任在塑造环境态度和行为方面的关键作用。此外，在控制了个体特征之后，显著的国际差异仍然存在。许多欧洲国家尽管有进步的环境政策，但对提高税收的意愿不高，这可能是由于已经很高的税收负担。这些调查结果强调了根据不同的社会经济群体调整政策沟通的重要性，强调环境保护的眼前和长期利益，以提高不同人口阶层的接受程度。

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引用次数: 0

The hidden social costs of climate change: Evidence on weather shocks, children’s mobility and rural economic welfare in Uganda 气候变化的隐性社会成本：关于乌干达天气冲击、儿童流动性和农村经济福利的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108859

Manuela Coromaldi , Alessio D’Amato , Loredana Mirra

Children’s mobility is a relevant phenomenon worldwide. It is even more relevant in developing countries, where the income conditions of rural households exacerbate it. Meanwhile, difficulties in feeding and raising children in rural areas are worsened by climate-related shocks, which severely affect agricultural production. The aim of this paper is to move a further step in the investigation of the role played by weather shocks in driving rural households’ critical decisions, with specific attention to children’s mobility. In turn, we aim to identify the impact of such decisions on rural households’ economic welfare in terms of expenditure and income. To this end, we apply a panel two-stage least squares model, and then we adopt the approach by Callaway and Sant’Anna (2021) to evaluate the dynamic effects of children’s mobility decisions on rural households’ economic outcomes. Our findings highlight the asymmetric effects of climate shocks: wet events are associated with increased child mobility, while droughts reduce the likelihood that children are sent away. Furthermore, we estimate causal links between child mobility and economic outcomes. Although child relocation is associated with modest increases in per capita food expenditure, total income, and agricultural income, dynamic analysis reveals a more complex picture. Positive effects on expenditure are only manifest two years after relocation, particularly for older children, while crop income declines significantly, although temporarily, following child mobility decisions. These results suggest that child relocation is not always an effective or welfare-improving strategy.

儿童流动是一个世界性的相关现象。这在发展中国家更为重要，因为发展中国家农村家庭的收入状况加剧了这一问题。与此同时，与气候有关的冲击加剧了农村儿童的喂养和抚养困难，严重影响了农业生产。本文的目的是进一步研究天气冲击在推动农村家庭做出关键决策方面所起的作用，并特别关注儿童的流动性。反过来，我们的目标是确定这些决定对农村家庭在支出和收入方面的经济福利的影响。为此，我们采用面板两阶段最小二乘模型，然后采用Callaway和Sant’anna（2021）的方法来评估儿童流动决策对农村家庭经济结果的动态影响。我们的研究结果强调了气候冲击的不对称影响：潮湿事件与儿童流动性增加有关，而干旱则降低了儿童被送走的可能性。此外，我们估计了儿童流动性与经济结果之间的因果关系。虽然儿童迁移与人均粮食支出、总收入和农业收入的适度增加有关，但动态分析揭示了一个更为复杂的情况。对支出的积极影响仅在搬迁两年后才显现出来，特别是对年龄较大的儿童，而在儿童流动决定之后，作物收入大幅下降，尽管是暂时的。这些结果表明，儿童安置并不总是一种有效的或改善福利的策略。

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引用次数: 0

Regional aspects of climate change beliefs in the U.S 美国气候变化信仰的区域方面

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108875

Radhika Lahiri, Chamupathy Samaratunga, Annastiina Silvennoinen

We examine U.S. climate change beliefs and their covariates from a regional perspective. We consider six dimensions of these beliefs, measured using survey data on awareness and risk-consciousness regarding global warming and its impact. Using a multi-level mixed-effects regression methodology, we consider the impact of labour market conditions, political affiliations and ideology, and extreme weather conditions on these beliefs, and whether administrative and legislative control of a region by the Republican or Democratic parties influences beliefs. We find that political affiliation and ideology matter more relative to other socioeconomic and demographic variables: Democratic affiliation and liberal views are positively associated with belief in climate change, while Republican affiliation and conservative views show a negative association. At the regional level, we find that while exposure to extreme weather-related events is related to greater belief in climate change and increased personal risk, there is a stronger relation to the beliefs of the political parties that have administrative and legislative ruling power in the region, but not necessarily in consensus-building form. Specifically, a higher percentage of states under Republican control in a region is associated with greater belief in climate change among Democrats, but not among Republicans. Adverse labour market conditions have a strong negative relation to beliefs and can also negatively affect beliefs of Democrats. These results imply that building consensus for sustainable climate mitigation policies may be difficult, and rests critically on favourable economic conditions and effective communication relating to potential economic benefits of such policies.

我们从区域角度考察了美国的气候变化信念及其协变量。我们考虑了这些信念的六个维度，使用关于全球变暖及其影响的意识和风险意识的调查数据进行测量。使用多层次混合效应回归方法，我们考虑了劳动力市场条件、政治派别和意识形态以及极端天气条件对这些信念的影响，以及共和党或民主党对一个地区的行政和立法控制是否会影响信念。我们发现，政治派别和意识形态对其他社会经济和人口变量的影响更大：民主党派别和自由主义观点与气候变化信念呈正相关，而共和党派别和保守观点呈负相关。在区域层面上，我们发现，虽然暴露于极端天气相关事件与对气候变化的更大信念和个人风险增加有关，但与该地区拥有行政和立法执政权力的政党的信念有更强的关系，但不一定是以建立共识的形式。具体来说，在一个地区，共和党控制的州的比例越高，民主党人对气候变化的信念就越强，而共和党人则不然。不利的劳动力市场条件与信念有很强的负相关，也会对民主党的信念产生负面影响。这些结果表明，就可持续气候缓解政策达成共识可能很困难，关键取决于有利的经济条件和与此类政策的潜在经济效益有关的有效沟通。

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引用次数: 0

Climate change mitigation and green energy investment: A stock-flow consistent model 减缓气候变化和绿色能源投资：一个存量流量一致的模型

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108863

Gustavo Pereira Serra , Ettore Gallo

This paper develops a stock-flow consistent business cycle model integrating aggregate demand dynamics, income distribution, and ecological constraints to analyze climate mitigation strategies. We propose a two-sector framework distinguishing between energy and non-energy production. The model comprises wage and rent-earning households, firms in energy and non-energy sectors, a central bank, and commercial banks. Throughout the business cycle, energy sector firms gradually increase their share of green energy investment in the face of the low-carbon transition, replacing brown technologies with green alternatives. Through numerical simulations, we show that the pace of the energy transition influences both economic outcomes and emission trajectories. A negative shock to the green energy investment share – caused e.g. by policy inaction – not only slows the low-carbon transition but also depresses aggregate demand, wages, and employment. The paper examines possibilities for reducing the carbon intensity of production and provides insights into the interactions between ecological, macroeconomic, and distributive factors during the transition to a green economy.

本文建立了一个整合总需求动态、收入分配和生态约束的库存流量一致商业周期模型来分析气候减缓策略。我们提出了一个区分能源和非能源生产的两部门框架。该模型包括工资和租金收入家庭、能源和非能源部门的公司、中央银行和商业银行。在整个经济周期中，面对低碳转型，能源部门企业逐渐增加绿色能源投资的份额，用绿色替代品取代棕色技术。通过数值模拟，我们发现能源转型的速度既影响经济产出，也影响排放轨迹。对绿色能源投资份额的负面冲击——例如由政策不作为造成的——不仅会减缓低碳转型，还会抑制总需求、工资和就业。本文探讨了降低生产碳强度的可能性，并对向绿色经济转型过程中生态、宏观经济和分配因素之间的相互作用提供了见解。

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引用次数: 0

Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: Evidence from Nigerian households 有害温度和消费支出：来自尼日利亚家庭的证据

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108874

Jubril Animashaun , Lotanna E. Emediegwu , Okiemua T. Okoror , Nneka E. Osadolor

We examine the welfare effects of interannual variation in extreme temperatures on consumption expenditure using nationally representative household survey data from Nigeria. Prior work shows that small-scale farmers attenuate the impact of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. However, when investment in tradable inputs, such as drought-resistant technologies, is higher, attenuating weather shocks may reduce the welfare of net food buyers if it increases food prices. Using microdata on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households and controlling for seasonality and other time- and zone-specific trends, we examine the effect of changes in extreme temperature on households’ food expenditure. We find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during the dry season but not during the wet season. Compared with households in urban areas, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher production costs associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that provide income support to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries.

我们使用尼日利亚具有全国代表性的家庭调查数据来检验极端温度年际变化对消费支出的福利影响。先前的研究表明，小农通过短期使用非贸易生产性投入（如土地）来减弱极端高温对农业生产力的影响。然而，当对可贸易投入物（如抗旱技术）的投资较高时，减弱天气冲击可能会降低粮食净购买者的福利，因为它会提高粮食价格。利用尼日利亚家庭消费支出的微观数据，并控制季节性和其他特定时间和地区的趋势，我们研究了极端温度变化对家庭食品支出的影响。我们发现，极端高温会增加旱季的人均消费支出，而在雨季则不会。与城市家庭相比，农村家庭在旱季的食物支出更高。我们将此解释为旱季极端高温导致生产成本上升的反映。我们的研究结果支持为弱势家庭提供收入支持的政策，以减轻气候冲击对发展中国家农业社区的影响。

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引用次数: 0

Behavioural ecological economics - Positioning the field and introducing the special issue 行为生态经济学——领域定位与专题介绍

IF 6.3 2区经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY

Ecological Economics

Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108870

Nives Della Valle , Tiziano Distefano , Leonardo Boncinelli , Ann-Kathrin Blankenberg , Tommaso Luzzati

引用次数: 0