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Ecological damage compensation in oil spills: A comparative analysis of monetary valuation and ecological restoration based on the 2021 A Symphony incident 石油泄漏生态损害补偿:基于2021年《交响乐团》事件的货币估值与生态修复比较分析
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108899
Juan Liu , Jingmei Li , Jingzhu Shan , Shuqin Li
Oil spills result in significant damage to marine ecosystems, with monetary compensation and ecological restoration serving as the primary mechanisms for environmental damage remediation. This study examines the 2021 A Symphony tanker collision in the Qingdao coastal waters as a case study, comparing the outcomes of two environmental damage assessment methods: the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) for estimating monetary compensation and Habitat Equivalency Analysis (HEA) for assessing ecological restoration. The study also explores the applicability and implementation conditions of these two approaches. The findings show that, using the CVM, the average willingness to pay for oil spill prevention programs was estimated at 192.30 Chinese Yuan (CNY) per household, leading to an inferred ecological damage value of 697 million CNY. In contrast, HEA estimates the cost of restoring damaged marine habitat services to be between 441 million and 660 million CNY. The CVM results were approximately 5.61 % higher than the upper limit and 58.05 % higher than the lower limit of the HEA estimates. Monetary compensation ensures that public environmental welfare remains unaffected, making it suitable for cases where liability is clear and the damage is irreversible. Ecological restoration, in turn, aims to maintain marine ecosystem functions at baseline levels, making it appropriate for scenarios where the damage is primarily ecological and restoration technologies are feasible. This study provides valuable insights for the ecological damage assessment of oil spills and the formulation of environmental remediation policies.
石油泄漏对海洋生态系统造成重大破坏,经济补偿和生态恢复是海洋生态环境损害修复的主要机制。本研究以2021年发生在青岛沿海海域的A Symphony油轮碰撞事故为例,比较了两种环境损害评估方法的结果:用于估算货币补偿的条件价值法(CVM)和用于评估生态恢复的生境等效分析法(HEA)。研究还探讨了这两种方法的适用性和实施条件。研究结果表明,使用CVM,估计溢油预防项目的平均支付意愿为每户192.30元人民币,由此得出的生态破坏价值为6.97亿元人民币。相比之下,HEA估计恢复受损海洋栖息地服务的成本在4.41亿至6.6亿元人民币之间。CVM结果比HEA估计的上限高5.61%,比下限高58.05%。货币赔偿确保公共环境福利不受影响,适用于责任明确、损害不可逆转的案件。反过来,生态恢复的目的是将海洋生态系统功能维持在基线水平,使其适用于主要是生态损害和恢复技术可行的情况。该研究为石油泄漏生态损害评价和环境修复政策的制定提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Post-growth meets polycentric governance: Toward an interdisciplinary research program 后增长与多中心治理:走向跨学科研究项目
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108891
David Soto-Oñate , Daniel Petrovics , Thomas Bauwens
Half a century after The Limits to Growth warned that unchecked economic expansion would breach planetary boundaries, the question remains: how can societies adjust their scale to ecological boundaries without sacrificing democracy? Scholars in the post-growth tradition have emphasized the potential of polycentric governance systems—composed of nested, partly self-governed decision-making units—to provide the necessary coordination for addressing post-growth concerns while preserving democracy and self-governance at lower political scales. However, the central aspects of a polycentric approach to post-growth transformations are only superficially addressed in the literature, and the implications of building and operationalizing this political architecture remain to be developed. This article analyzes the consistency, potential, and domain of a research program integrating both scholarships. First, it evaluates the coherence between post-growth and polycentricity's positive grounds, normative underpinnings, and boundary conditions. Second, it formulates the central concept of polycentric articulation, the process by which rights and responsibilities are polycentrically rearranged to align governance with socio-ecological problems. Third, it describes the transitional pathways through four basic rearrangement processes: pooling, cession, disaggregation, and appropriation. Finally, by mapping five interacting analytic components—concerns, actors, coordination mechanisms, overarching institutional contexts, and political-economy dynamics—the paper produces a conceptual matrix that reveals research avenues, identifies testable hypotheses, and guides practitioners designing post-growth interventions. The result is a coherent roadmap for empirical and theoretical work on governing beyond growth.
半个世纪前,《增长的极限》(The Limits to Growth)警告说,不受控制的经济扩张将破坏地球的边界,但问题仍然存在:社会如何在不牺牲民主的情况下调整其规模以适应生态边界?后增长传统的学者强调了多中心治理系统的潜力——由嵌套的、部分自治的决策单元组成——为解决后增长问题提供必要的协调,同时在较低的政治尺度上保留民主和自治。然而,在文献中,多中心方法对后增长转型的核心方面只进行了肤浅的论述,而建立和实施这种政治架构的含义仍有待发展。本文分析了整合两种奖学金的研究项目的一致性、潜力和领域。首先,它评估了后增长和多中心的积极基础、规范基础和边界条件之间的一致性。其次,它阐述了多中心衔接的核心概念,即权利和责任被多中心重新安排以使治理与社会生态问题保持一致的过程。第三,通过汇集、割让、分解和占有四种基本的资源重排过程描述了资源转移路径。最后,通过绘制五个相互作用的分析组件——关注点、参与者、协调机制、总体制度背景和政治经济动态——本文产生了一个概念矩阵,该矩阵揭示了研究途径,确定了可测试的假设,并指导从业者设计增长后干预措施。其结果是为超越增长的治理提供了一个连贯的实证和理论工作路线图。
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引用次数: 0
Corporate biodiversity risk exposure in China: A system-based perspective from natural capital theory using machine and deep learning algorithms 中国企业生物多样性风险暴露:基于机器和深度学习算法的自然资本理论系统视角
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108906
Peigong Li, Umeair Shahzad
This study examines the firm-level determinants of corporate biodiversity risk exposure by analyzing its associations with operational practices, financial activities, and governance structure. The theoretical framework builds on the system-based perspective of natural capital theory, which views ecosystems as essential assets supporting economic activity. Biodiversity risk is measured using a text analysis method that captures the frequency of biodiversity-related terms in financial reports, based on a structured biodiversity dictionary. The sample includes 1960 publicly listed Chinese firms from 2011 to 2022. To test the proposed framework, we apply machine learning algorithms such as support vector regression, random forest, and K-nearest neighbor, alongside deep learning models including long short-term memory and deep multilayer perceptron. The results show that firms with high resource use, carbon emissions, supply chain concentration, and financial leverage face greater biodiversity risk. In contrast, firms that invest in green innovation, attract institutional investors, and establish environmental governance committees report lower biodiversity exposure. Model validation using normal, cross-validation, and bootstrapping techniques confirms that deep learning models perform better than conventional machine learning in predicting biodiversity risk. The findings offer valuable insights for researchers and policymakers aiming to understand and reduce corporate biodiversity risks in complex industrial and ecological systems.
本研究通过分析企业生物多样性风险暴露与业务实践、财务活动和治理结构的关系,探讨了企业层面的决定因素。该理论框架建立在自然资本理论的系统视角上,该理论将生态系统视为支持经济活动的基本资产。生物多样性风险是通过一种文本分析方法来衡量的,该方法基于结构化的生物多样性词典,捕捉财务报告中生物多样性相关术语的频率。样本包括2011年至2022年间的1960家中国上市公司。为了测试所提出的框架,我们应用了机器学习算法,如支持向量回归、随机森林和k近邻,以及深度学习模型,包括长短期记忆和深度多层感知器。结果表明,资源利用、碳排放、供应链集中度和财务杠杆较高的企业面临更大的生物多样性风险。相比之下,投资于绿色创新、吸引机构投资者和建立环境治理委员会的公司报告的生物多样性风险较低。使用正态验证、交叉验证和自举技术的模型验证证实,深度学习模型在预测生物多样性风险方面比传统机器学习表现更好。这些发现为旨在了解和减少复杂工业和生态系统中企业生物多样性风险的研究人员和政策制定者提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of conservation easements on perceived land tenure security 保护地役权对土地保有权安全的影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108910
Heng Luo , Anthony Higney , Yanmei Ye , Jinghui Zhao , Nick Hanley
Secure land tenure is crucial for sustainable land use, influencing landowners' willingness to engage in conservation. This paper estimates the effects of conservation easements (CE) on rural households' perceived tenure security which would in turn impact the conservation efficacy of CEs. A conceptual framework linking changes in forestland tenure arrangements to perceived tenure security is proposed in the analysis. Based on data from a face-to-face survey with 305 households in 16 administrative villages, the analysis uses difference-in-differences with propensity score matching estimation techniques to test the effects in the context of China. The empirical results suggest that CEs have no significant impacts on perceived tenure security, measured by reported forestland conflicts and perceived likelihood of expropriation and reallocation. However, a subgroup regression shows that households with more privately managed forest plots perceive a rise in the likelihood of expropriation, highlighting the need for consideration of land tenure contexts in incentive-based conservation programs.
有保障的土地保有权对可持续土地利用至关重要,影响着土地所有者参与保护的意愿。本文分析了节约性地役权对农户权用保障感知的影响,农户权用保障感知反过来又会影响节约性地役权的保护效能。分析中提出了一个将林地权属安排的变化与感知到的权属保障联系起来的概念框架。基于对16个行政村305户家庭的面对面调查数据,分析采用差异中差异和倾向得分匹配估计技术来检验中国背景下的效果。实证结果表明,通过报告的林地冲突和感知的征地和再分配可能性来衡量,消费行为对感知的保有权安全没有显著影响。然而,亚组回归显示,拥有更多私人管理森林地块的家庭认为征用的可能性增加,这突出了在基于激励的保护计划中考虑土地权属背景的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Using a dedicated adaptation financing process to close subnational adaptation finance gaps in Europe 利用专门的适应融资程序填补欧洲地方适应融资缺口
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108898
Kit England , Paul Watkiss , Alistair Hunt , Konstantinos Dellis , Sam Barrett , Richard Taylor , Stella Whittaker
There is a large finance gap between what countries and regions need for climate change adaptation and what is being supplied. Meeting regional adaptation needs is likely to require significant reform to subnational financing arrangements. In this context, institutions are developing new approaches, but these remain underexplored in the literature. In the mainstream climate finance discourse, the development of Adaptation Investment Planning (AIP) processes is emerging as a key focus for national governments – with methods emerging to translate high level ambitions into programmatic sets of bankable projects. Yet despite the importance of subnational governments in implementing adaptation, there has been little attention given to developing similar approaches at this level.
In the face of accelerating climate change risks, Europe is fostering new and innovative solutions to mobilise resources. To date, European subnational adaptive management cycles have had limited focus on addressing financing barriers. We highlight that by employing a welfare economics lens, it is possible to identify barriers to adaptation financing, and design dedicated AIP processes to address these. Drawing on the results of the Pathways2Resilience project and building on a review of 14 adaptation planning processes, we have developed a subnational Adaptation Investment Cycle and are currently testing this with 100 regions in Europe. The cycle links adaptation planning and decision-making with public financial management, investment management and development planning. We argue that this will enable subnational governments to build pipelines of adaptation investments and strengthen enabling environments, whilst also improving governance and facilitating wider financial reform. We conclude by evaluating limitations and recommending areas for further research.
国家和地区适应气候变化的资金需求与现有资金之间存在巨大差距。满足区域适应需求可能需要对次国家融资安排进行重大改革。在此背景下,各机构正在开发新的方法,但这些方法在文献中仍未得到充分探讨。在主流气候融资话语中,适应投资规划(AIP)进程的发展正在成为各国政府关注的重点,并出现了将高水平目标转化为可融资项目的方案集的方法。然而,尽管地方政府在实施适应方面很重要,但在这一级制定类似的方法却很少受到重视。面对加速的气候变化风险,欧洲正在培育新的和创新的解决方案来调动资源。迄今为止,欧洲次国家适应性管理周期对解决融资障碍的关注有限。我们强调,通过采用福利经济学的视角,有可能确定适应融资的障碍,并设计专门的AIP流程来解决这些问题。根据“路径2复原力”项目的成果,在对14个适应规划进程进行审查的基础上,我们制定了一个次国家适应投资周期,目前正在欧洲100个地区进行测试。这个周期将适应性规划和决策与公共财政管理、投资管理和发展规划联系起来。我们认为,这将使地方政府能够建立适应投资管道,加强有利环境,同时改善治理,促进更广泛的金融改革。最后,我们评估了局限性并推荐了进一步研究的领域。
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引用次数: 0
Local development based on non-timber forest products: Revisiting the case of São Francisco do Iratapuru in the Brazilian Amazon 以非木材林产品为基础的地方发展:重新审视巴西亚马逊地区的<s:1> o Francisco do Iratapuru案例
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108894
Tomas Rosenfeld , Benno Pokorny , Jacques Marcovitch , Peter Poschen
The sustainable use of non-timber forest products (NTFPs) promised to reconcile forest conservation and economic development. Particularly in the Brazilian Amazon, initiatives to promote development based on NTFPs have proliferated since the 1990s. Surprisingly, there is litte empirical evidence of the outcomes of these initiatives which comprehensively addresses all dimension of sustainability (economic, social and environmental) over time. To fill this gap, this article undertakes a longitudinal analysis of the case of São Francisco do Iratapuru, in the Eastern Amazon state of Amapá. The community has a long history of well-documented NTFP initiatives spanning several decades. Using information from former studies as well as own empirical data from interviews, a representative household survey and focus groups, we show that the quality of life in the village has improved markedly over the last decades while the forest has been conserved. We observed an increase in real income, a reduction in income inequality and better access of households to marketed as well as public goods and services, except eletricity. An examination of the results chains of initiatives in São Francisco do Iratapuru and the comparison with neighboring regions that have experienced other development approaches suggests that these achievements are largely attributable to NTFP-related interventions.
非木材林产品的可持续利用有望协调森林保护和经济发展。特别是在巴西亚马逊地区,自20世纪90年代以来,以非森林保护区为基础促进发展的倡议激增。令人惊讶的是,几乎没有经验证据表明,随着时间的推移,这些举措全面解决了可持续性(经济、社会和环境)的所有方面。为了填补这一空白,本文对亚马逊东部州amapap的o Francisco do Iratapuru的案例进行了纵向分析。几十年来,该社区在NTFP倡议方面有着悠久的历史。利用以往研究的信息以及来自访谈、有代表性的家庭调查和焦点小组的经验数据,我们表明,在过去几十年里,在森林得到保护的同时,村庄的生活质量得到了显著改善。我们观察到实际收入增加,收入不平等减少,家庭获得市场和公共产品和服务的机会增加,但电力除外。对弗朗西斯科·伊拉塔普鲁市倡议成果链的审查以及与采用其他发展方法的邻近地区的比较表明,这些成就在很大程度上归功于与ntfp有关的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Green Kaldorian growth: A framework for linking manufacturing, innovation, and sustainability 绿色卡多里安增长:连接制造业、创新和可持续性的框架
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108904
Abdullah Emre Caglar , Mehmet Ulug , Shujaat Abbas
This study examines the impact of medium- and low-technology manufacturing, fossil energy research and development, economic growth, and financial development on environmental sustainability in Germany from 1991 to 2022. By offering a novel perspective on existing literature, this study extends Kaldor's structuralist perspective through empirical investigation of the greening challenge posed by medium- and low-technology manufacturing. Using the load capacity factor as a multidimensional metric of environmental sustainability and applying a novel Fourier Asymmetric ARDL approach, the analysis reveals meaningful nonlinear and asymmetric relationships. The results show that both positive and negative shocks to medium- and low-technology manufacturing significantly reduce environmental sustainability in the short and long run, with positive shocks causing nearly twice the ecological damage compared to the gains from negative shocks. This suggests that medium- and low-technology manufacturing sectors act as a structural constraint on sustainability, pointing to the need for modernizing industrial production. Economic growth and financial development are found to have a significant and positive effect on environmental sustainability, suggesting that Germany has reached a development threshold where growth and environmental goals are mutually reinforcing. In contrast, fossil energy R&D investments exhibit an insignificant effect, highlighting the need to redirect research efforts toward renewable technologies. The findings carry important policy implications for advancing green industrial strategies, scaling sustainable finance, and aligning industrial transformation with Germany's long-term climate commitments and the Sustainable Development Goals.
本研究考察了1991 - 2022年德国中低技术制造业、化石能源研发、经济增长和金融发展对环境可持续性的影响。通过对现有文献提供一个新颖的视角,本研究通过对中低技术制造带来的绿化挑战的实证调查,扩展了卡尔多的结构主义视角。利用承载能力因子作为环境可持续性的多维度量,并应用新颖的傅立叶不对称ARDL方法,分析揭示了有意义的非线性和不对称关系。结果表明,对中低技术制造业的正面冲击和负面冲击均显著降低了短期和长期的环境可持续性,正面冲击造成的生态破坏几乎是负面冲击带来的生态破坏的两倍。这表明,中等和低技术制造部门是可持续性的结构性限制,表明需要使工业生产现代化。研究发现,经济增长和金融发展对环境可持续性具有显著的积极影响,这表明德国已经达到了增长和环境目标相辅相成的发展门槛。相比之下,化石能源研发投资的效果微不足道,这凸显了将研究努力转向可再生技术的必要性。研究结果对推进绿色产业战略、扩大可持续金融规模、使产业转型与德国的长期气候承诺和可持续发展目标保持一致具有重要的政策意义。
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引用次数: 0
Path to reducing pesticide input: Is agricultural production outsourcing effective? 减少农药投入的途径:农业生产外包有效吗?
IF 7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.109002
Xingyi Zuo, Houjian Li, Cheng Wang, Andi Cao, Haoyu Wen
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the climate impact of retail payment services 评估零售支付服务对气候的影响
IF 7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.109004
Fumi Harahap, Anissa Nurdiawati, Niklas Arvidsson, Frauke Urban
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引用次数: 0
Stringency of family firms and owner-managers in the transition to low-carbon emissions 在向低碳排放过渡的过程中,家族企业和业主经理的严格程度
IF 7 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2026-03-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2026.108997
Morten Bennedsen, John Doukas, Halit Gonenc
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引用次数: 0
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Ecological Economics
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