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Who suffers the heat? Partial adaptation and persistent inequalities in France 谁在忍受高温?法国的部分适应和持续的不平等
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108873
Camille Salesse
This paper examines the heterogeneous effects of extreme heat on mortality in France, highlighting disparities across population density, socio-economic characteristics, and time. Using a new monthly database of French municipalities from 1980 to 2019, I exploit year-to-year random variations in temperature to show that extreme heat significantly increases the mortality rate, especially for people aged 75 and over. The study also emphasizes the greater vulnerability of people living in densely populated cities due to structural challenges that amplify the impact of high temperatures. Socio-economic conditions also shape vulnerability, as low-income municipalities face a disproportionate impact, especially in rural areas. Indeed, the paper’s key contribution is to disentangle the effects of urban density and income on the heat–mortality relationship, showing that social inequalities in the effects of high temperatures are particularly pronounced in rural settings. The results also show a major reduction in the impact of heat following the extreme 2003 heatwave, partly due to the National Heatwave Plan implemented in response to this event.
本文考察了极端高温对法国死亡率的异质性影响,突出了人口密度、社会经济特征和时间的差异。我利用1980年至2019年法国各市新的月度数据库,利用气温的逐年随机变化,表明极端高温会显著增加死亡率,尤其是75岁及以上的人。该研究还强调,由于结构性挑战放大了高温的影响,生活在人口密集城市的人们更容易受到伤害。社会经济条件也会影响脆弱性,因为低收入城市面临着不成比例的影响,特别是在农村地区。事实上,这篇论文的关键贡献在于理清了城市密度和收入对热死亡率关系的影响,表明高温影响的社会不平等在农村地区尤为明显。研究结果还显示,2003年极端热浪之后,热浪的影响大大减少,部分原因是为应对这一事件而实施的国家热浪计划。
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引用次数: 0
Rising temperatures and physical pain: Evidence from over 2 million U.S. residents 气温上升和身体疼痛:来自200多万美国居民的证据
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108871
Cheng Keat Tang , Nattavudh Powdthavee , Lucía Macchia
Physical pain is on the rise worldwide, yet little is known about its relationship with rising temperatures. Using daily survey data on more than 2 million U.S. residents from 26,987 zip codes between 2008 and 2017, we examine whether hotter days are associated with greater reports of pain. Our outcome captures whether respondents experienced physical pain for a substantial part of the day, reflecting the prevalence of sustained daily pain rather than fleeting discomfort. We find that the likelihood of such pain increases steadily with temperature up to around 16–18 °C and remains elevated, though with smaller further increases, on hotter days. On days with temperatures of 32 °C or higher, the probability of reporting pain is about 0.45 percentage points higher—an increase of roughly 1.9 % relative to the average prevalence. Analyses of stress, enjoyment, and activity limitation suggest that physiological pathways play an important role in this association, complementing possible behavioural responses. Using climate projection data (CMIP5, SSP2–4.5), we estimate that temperature-driven increases in pain prevalence between 2008 and 2017 imposed annual economic costs of approximately $2 billion, with projected costs rising to $9.4 billion by 2050 if no adaptation measures are taken. These findings suggest that temperature deviations from moderate ranges exacerbate physical suffering, with the heat effects likely understated in our data, and underscore the need for policies that mitigate both climatic and health impacts.
在世界范围内,身体疼痛呈上升趋势,但人们对其与气温上升的关系知之甚少。利用2008年至2017年间对26,987个邮政编码的200多万美国居民的日常调查数据,我们研究了炎热的天气是否与更多的疼痛报告有关。我们的结果捕获了受访者是否在一天的大部分时间里经历了身体疼痛,反映了持续的日常疼痛的普遍性,而不是短暂的不适。我们发现,当温度达到16-18°C左右时,这种疼痛的可能性会稳步增加,并且在较热的天气里,这种可能性会继续升高,尽管进一步升高的幅度较小。在温度为32°C或更高的日子里,报告疼痛的概率大约高出0.45个百分点,相对于平均患病率增加了大约1.9%。对压力、享受和活动限制的分析表明,生理途径在这种关联中起着重要作用,补充了可能的行为反应。利用气候预测数据(CMIP5, SSP2-4.5),我们估计,2008年至2017年期间,温度驱动的疼痛患病率上升造成的年度经济成本约为20亿美元,如果不采取适应措施,预计到2050年成本将上升至94亿美元。这些发现表明,温度偏离中等范围会加剧身体痛苦,而我们的数据可能低估了热效应,并强调需要制定减轻气候和健康影响的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Waste delinking: A pathway to degrowth? 废物脱链:去生长的途径?
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108869
Sara Karimzadeh
Cross-border waste trade from high- to lower-income countries contributes to unsustainable economic growth through overproduction and overconsumption in the former while shifting environmental, social, and health costs to the latter. Drawing on Samir Amin's theory of delinking, this article presents waste delinking as an imperative to internalize the costs of affluent regions' post-consumption residues within their own territories and capacities. Using recent evidence on plastic, textile, and electronic waste, the article shows how closing export outlets constraints growth and can catalyze systemic transformation. Waste delinking necessiates a reorganization of production–consumption systems and therefore provides a concrete pathway toward degrowth-oriented futures grounded in non-colonial relations, localization, and ecological justice.
从高收入国家到低收入国家的跨境废物贸易助长了不可持续的经济增长,原因是前者生产过剩和消费过度,同时将环境、社会和卫生成本转嫁给后者。本文借鉴了萨米尔·阿明的去联系理论,提出了垃圾去联系是富裕地区消费后残留物成本内化在其领土和能力范围内的必要措施。本文利用最近关于塑料、纺织品和电子废物的证据,展示了关闭出口渠道如何制约增长,并能促进系统转型。废物分离需要对生产-消费系统进行重组,因此提供了一条以非殖民关系、本地化和生态正义为基础的以去增长为导向的未来的具体途径。
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引用次数: 0
Normal for whom? Exploring socioeconomic variation in a travel cost analysis of urban shoreline fishing 对谁来说正常?探索城市岸线捕鱼旅行成本分析中的社会经济差异
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108872
Camille Antinori , Tobias Börger , Philip King , Matthew Peterson
A travel cost analysis based on the multivariate Poisson-log normal model explores the varying effects of income and race/ethnicity on visitation to a low-cost urban blue space amenity for angling. Using data from an on-site survey in San Francisco Bay, we estimate a consumer surplus value of $78 per angling visit, which breaks down into $74, $91 and $45 for low, medium and high income brackets, respectively, questioning the normal good assumption for environmental amenities in close proximity to large, diverse urban populations. Further, income effects vary across race/ethnicity groups whose representation at the shoreline contrasts with the local managing municipality, revealing the location’s value as a regional resource. Both observed and contingent behavior information estimated simultaneously within the model shows that a quality change in the form of a reopened pier would almost double visitation, with the largest relative increase among wealthier anglers. The paper contributes to analysis of access and equity in outdoor recreation by illustrating distinct features of urban shoreline fishing, with implications for multilayered coastal governance and competing policy agendas.
一项基于多元泊松对数正态模型的旅行成本分析探讨了收入和种族/民族对低成本城市蓝色空间钓鱼设施访问的不同影响。利用旧金山湾现场调查的数据,我们估计每次垂钓的消费者剩余价值为78美元,在低收入、中等收入和高收入人群中分别为74美元、91美元和45美元,这对靠近大型、多样化城市人口的环境设施的正常良好假设提出了质疑。此外,不同种族/民族的收入影响不同,他们在海岸线的代表与当地管理市政当局形成鲜明对比,揭示了该地点作为区域资源的价值。模型中同时估计的观察和偶然行为信息表明,重新开放码头形式的质量变化几乎会使访问量增加一倍,而富裕的垂钓者的相对增长最大。本文通过阐述城市岸线渔业的独特特征,分析了户外休闲活动的可及性和公平性,并对沿海多层次治理和相互竞争的政策议程产生了影响。
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引用次数: 0
Low carbon transition's macroeconomic impacts in Latin America 低碳转型对拉丁美洲的宏观经济影响
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108868
Guilherme Magacho , Marco Brancher , Luca Tausch
This paper delves into the complex challenges faced by Latin American countries in transitioning to a low-carbon economy. Using a hybrid multi-regional input- output model, we assess the region's sectoral capabilities in generating foreign exchange, fiscal revenues, employment and wages. Our findings underscore the potential adverse effects of this profound structural change, shedding light on constraints that may emerge, particularly in economies striving to promote structural transformation. The analysis of developing countries’ current exposure and vulnerabilities to the low- carbon transition emphasizes the importance of tailoring effective policies to each unique context. The shift toward a greener economy necessitates significant public investments in green infrastructure, support for emerging industries and technologies, and social protection measures.
Latin American countries, with among the world’s highest per capita GHG emissions, face the imperative of ambitious policies, technological innovation, and international collaboration to facilitate the transition while safe- guarding critical economic and social aspects. Our assessment of Latin American countries’ capacity to adapt to the constraints of the low-carbon transition and its social safety net reveals that the region exhibits high exposure, low productive and technological capabilities, and limited social protection, signifying a high degree of vulnerability to the low- carbon transition.
本文探讨了拉美国家在向低碳经济转型过程中面临的复杂挑战。我们采用多地区混合投入产出模型,评估了该地区在创造外汇、财政收入、就业和工资方面的部门能力。我们的研究结果强调了这种深刻的结构性变化的潜在不利影响,揭示了可能出现的制约因素,特别是在努力促进结构转型的经济体中。对发展中国家目前面临的低碳转型风险和脆弱性的分析强调了根据每一独特情况制定有效政策的重要性。向绿色经济的转变需要对绿色基础设施进行大量公共投资,支持新兴产业和技术,并采取社会保护措施。拉丁美洲国家是世界上人均温室气体排放量最高的国家之一,它们迫切需要雄心勃勃的政策、技术创新和国际合作,以促进转型,同时保护关键的经济和社会方面。我们对拉丁美洲国家适应低碳转型及其社会安全网约束的能力的评估表明,该地区暴露程度高,生产和技术能力低,社会保护有限,表明该地区在低碳转型中具有高度脆弱性。
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引用次数: 0
Climate extreme events and climate change are enforced by extortionate freeriders overloading those who mitigate – An economic experiment 气候极端事件和气候变化是由敲诈勒索的搭便车者使那些减轻负担的人超载造成的-一个经济实验
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108866
Manfred Milinski , Stefania Innocenti
Climate extremes have become more frequent and severe due to excessive human emissions, yet it remains unclear whether the threat of costly hazards spurs collective mitigation. In a laboratory experiment, groups of six players contributed individually toward a collective target that, if unmet, triggered a simulated climate catastrophe and forfeiture of their endowment. Some groups also faced intermediate climate events, avoidable through sufficient mitigation to prevent costly losses. Although many groups suffered from losses, they reached the final target as often as the control groups without simulated climate events. Player behavior had two variants: “fair players”, who consistently contributed their share, and “extortioners”, who free-rode and forced others to compensate for their lack of contribution. Groups were randomly composed of participants, whose observed behavior revealed between 0 and 5 individuals acting as extortioners. When extortion became overwhelming, fair players failed to absorb the deficit, groups missed the target and steadfast extortioners incurred losses too. Extortioners disregarded losses and accumulated a large gain while fair players earned little. Nonetheless, fair players' best response was to accede to extortion and cover the deficit. Extortion decreased mitigation across all conditions. Our findings may help to illustrate mechanisms also relevant in the real world where individual actions e.g., leisure travel on giant cruise ships or running power plants with coal, and much else, ultimately prevent collective success. In 2024, global CO2 emissions and temperatures reached record highs, stressing the inability of fair players to compensate the deficit caused by freeriders. This dynamic suggests that the persistence of climate change stems from the unwavering behavior of extortioners in contexts outside of the laboratory.
由于人类的过度排放,极端气候变得更加频繁和严重,但目前尚不清楚代价高昂的危害的威胁是否会促使集体减缓。在一项实验室实验中,六人一组的参与者各自为一个集体目标做出贡献,如果没有实现,就会引发一场模拟的气候灾难,并没收他们的捐赠。一些群体还面临着中间气候事件,这些事件可以通过充分的缓解措施来避免代价高昂的损失。尽管许多小组遭受了损失,但在没有模拟气候事件的情况下,他们达到最终目标的频率与对照组一样高。玩家的行为有两种变体:“公平玩家”,他们总是贡献自己的份额;“勒索者”,他们搭便车,强迫其他人补偿他们的贡献不足。小组随机由参与者组成,观察到的行为显示0到5个人有敲诈勒索的行为。当勒索变得势不可挡时,公平的参与者无法吸收赤字,团体无法达到目标,坚定的勒索者也会遭受损失。勒索者不顾损失,积累了大量的收益,而公平的玩家却赚得很少。尽管如此,公平竞争者的最佳回应是接受敲诈并弥补赤字。在所有条件下,勒索减少缓解。我们的研究结果可能有助于说明现实世界中的相关机制,在现实世界中,个人行为(如乘坐大型游轮休闲旅行或使用煤炭运营发电厂等)最终会阻碍集体成功。2024年,全球二氧化碳排放量和气温创下历史新高,突显出公平参与者无法弥补“搭便车者”造成的赤字。这一动态表明,气候变化的持续源于实验室之外敲诈勒索者坚定不移的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Innovations and Dilemmas in Global Forest Governance - The Tortuous Pathway toward a Deforestation-free World: Introduction to the Special Issue 全球森林治理的创新与困境——通往无森林砍伐世界的曲折之路:特刊导言
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108840
Roldan Muradian , Peter May
Tropical deforestation remains one of the most pressing socio-ecological challenges, despite decades of international efforts to regulate forest use and commodity trade. This editorial article introduces the special issue “Deforestation-free trade: Global governance challenges and socio-environmental implications in producing countries” and situates its contributions within the historical evolution of global forest governance. We distinguish three “generations” of governance arrangements: a first based on intergovernmental soft law and contested notions of sovereignty and global commons; a second centered on voluntary standards, private certification, and the climatization of forests through REDD+; and a third, currently emerging, characterized by compulsory demand-side regulation (e.g., the EU Deforestation Regulation) and redistributive proposals (e.g., the Tropical Forest Forever Facility). Using the analytical lens of discursive framing, we show how shifting narratives have shaped governance regimes. We argue that territorial approaches (regulations addressing directly the main drivers of deforestation) are more likely to curb deforestation, as compared to value chain interventions (demand-driven regulations targeting global commodity chains associated with deforestation risk). However, they need to be supported by global redistributive mechanisms, to facilitate enforcement. The contributions to this special issue highlight the need for hybrid strategies that combine regulatory measures with cooperative redistribution and recognition of forest-dependent peoples. We conclude that effective global governance of forests requires reframing them beyond carbon and commodities while acknowledging their socio-cultural, ecological, and justice dimensions.
热带森林砍伐仍然是最紧迫的社会生态挑战之一,尽管几十年来国际上努力规范森林利用和商品贸易。这篇社论介绍了特刊《无毁林贸易:全球治理的挑战和生产国的社会环境影响》,并将其贡献置于全球森林治理的历史演变之中。我们将治理安排分为“三代”:第一代基于政府间软法和主权和全球公域等有争议的概念;第二部分侧重于自愿标准、私人认证以及通过REDD+实现的森林气候化;第三种是目前正在出现的,其特点是强制性需求方面的管制(例如,欧盟砍伐森林条例)和再分配建议(例如,热带森林永久设施)。使用话语框架的分析镜头,我们展示了如何转变叙事塑造治理制度。我们认为,与价值链干预措施(针对与森林砍伐风险相关的全球商品链的需求驱动型法规)相比,地域方法(直接解决森林砍伐主要驱动因素的法规)更有可能遏制森林砍伐。然而,它们需要得到全球再分配机制的支持,以促进执行。对本期特刊的投稿强调需要采取混合战略,将管制措施与合作再分配和承认依赖森林的人民结合起来。我们的结论是,有效的全球森林治理需要在承认其社会文化、生态和正义维度的同时,超越碳和商品对其进行重构。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiated vs. homogeneous payments for biodiversity conservation — Microeconomic theory and systematic literature review 生物多样性保护的差异化与同质支付——微观经济学理论与系统文献综述
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108847
Sophie Harzer, Martin F. Quaas
Differentiated payments are discussed as a means to increase allocative efficiency in biodiversity conservation. Yet, homogeneous payments are less demanding in terms of information and foster competition. We set up a microeconomic model to characterize conditions on social biodiversity conservation objectives and conservation costs such that homogeneous payments would implement an efficient allocation of conservation efforts, both for input-based and output-based payments. We show that the efficiency of homogeneous payments depends on assumptions about the social biodiversity benefits. Assumptions on conservation cost are relevant for differentiation of payments only if the regulator strives for price discrimination to minimize conservation payments; for example by means of auctions or tenders. In a systematic review of the literature on payments for biodiversity conservation, we assess to which extent the literature has been imposing such assumptions, and conclude that most studies specify biodiversity objectives such that homogeneous payments would implement efficient biodiversity conservation.
探讨了差别化支付作为提高生物多样性保护配置效率的一种手段。然而,同质支付在信息方面要求较低,并促进竞争。我们建立了一个微观经济模型来描述社会生物多样性保护目标和保护成本的条件,从而使基于投入和基于产出的支付都能实现保护努力的有效分配。我们表明,同质支付的效率取决于对社会生物多样性效益的假设。只有当监管机构努力实行价格歧视以使保护费用最小化时,保护成本的假设才与差别支付有关;例如通过拍卖或投标的方式。在对生物多样性保护支付文献的系统回顾中,我们评估了文献在多大程度上施加了这样的假设,并得出结论,大多数研究都明确了生物多样性目标,这样均匀的支付将实现有效的生物多样性保护。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneity of artisanal fishers’ perception of marine protected areas. The case of the Tuscan Archipelago (Mediterranean Sea) 个体渔民对海洋保护区认知的异质性。托斯卡纳群岛(地中海)案例
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108865
Antonio Di Cintio , Sara Mohamed Santamaria , Miquel Ortega , Federico Niccolini , Fabio Bulleri
Marine protected areas (MPAs) are one of the most relevant management tools to halt marine resource degradation. Since MPAs success depends on the integration of ecological objectives with economic and social standards, assessing the perceptions of local communities (namely, fishers) prior to MPA establishment is pivotal for enhancing their effectiveness. Using Q methodology, we collected viewpoints of the artisanal fishing sector in the Tuscan Archipelago (Mediterranean GSA 9), one of the most important Mediterranean UNESCO Biosphere Reserve. The survey reveals a heterogeneity of perceptions about MPAs. Three main discourses are identified: i)the “proactive discourse”, acknowledging a state of crisis and expressing appreciation for MPAs alongside the desire to actively contribute to their creation and management; ii) the “NIMBY (Not in my backyard) discourse”, showing general appreciation for MPAs as a management tool, but unwilling to support their establishment in usual fishing grounds; iii) the “skeptical discourse”, minimizing the crisis of the artisanal fishing sector and expressing mistrust towards MPAs. Our results have important implications for the engagement of artisanal fishers in MPAs establishment and management within the framework of the European Union Biodiversity Strategy for 2030.
海洋保护区是阻止海洋资源退化的最相关的管理工具之一。由于海洋保护区的成功取决于生态目标与经济和社会标准的结合,因此在建立海洋保护区之前评估当地社区(即渔民)的看法对提高其有效性至关重要。使用Q方法,我们收集了托斯卡纳群岛(地中海GSA 9)手工渔业部门的观点,托斯卡纳群岛是联合国教科文组织最重要的地中海生物圈保护区之一。调查显示,人们对海洋保护区的看法存在差异。确定了三种主要话语:i)“积极话语”,承认危机状态,表达对海洋保护区的赞赏,并希望积极为海洋保护区的创建和管理做出贡献;ii)“邻避(不在我的后院)话语”,表示普遍赞赏海洋保护区作为一种管理工具,但不愿支持在通常的渔场建立海洋保护区;iii)“怀疑话语”,尽量减少手工捕鱼部门的危机,并对海洋保护区表示不信任。我们的研究结果对在欧盟2030年生物多样性战略框架下,让手工渔民参与海洋保护区的建立和管理具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
“Local Heroes”: Construction firms pioneering circular innovation “地方英雄”:循环创新的建筑公司
IF 6.3 2区 经济学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2025.108862
Elisa Chioatto , Alessandro Montanaro , Massimiliano Mazzanti
Innovation in the construction sector is critical to reducing environmental impacts, yet the adoption of circular innovations remains poorly understood. This paper examines the determinants of circular innovation adoption among 376 construction firms in the Emilia-Romagna region of Italy, based on an original survey dataset. Our analysis reveals that R&D investments increase the likelihood of circular innovation adoption by 24 percentage points, while larger firm size raises it by 13 points. Local market orientation exerts a strong positive effect: firms generating at least 50 % of their turnover locally are 15 percentage points more likely to adopt a circular innovation. Regulatory factors are not significant in aggregate, but become decisive for specific circular practices such as selective demolition and the use of sustainable inputs. Theoretically, the study demonstrates that circular innovations follow different adoption dynamics than traditional innovations in the construction industry, with proximity-based networks and local material flows playing a central role. Policy-wise, findings highlight the need to support R&D, especially in smaller firms, strengthen targeted regulatory incentives, and foster local inter-firm collaborations to reduce transaction costs and overcome secondary material quality risks.
建筑行业的创新对于减少环境影响至关重要,但人们对循环创新的采用仍然知之甚少。本文基于原始调查数据集,研究了意大利艾米利亚-罗马涅地区376家建筑公司采用循环创新的决定因素。我们的分析表明,研发投资使采用循环创新的可能性提高了24个百分点,而更大的公司规模使其提高了13个百分点。本地市场导向产生了强烈的积极影响:在本地产生至少50%营业额的公司采用循环创新的可能性要高15个百分点。管制因素总体上并不重要,但对具体的循环做法,如选择性拆除和使用可持续投入,具有决定性作用。从理论上讲,该研究表明,在建筑行业,循环创新遵循不同于传统创新的采用动态,基于邻近性的网络和本地材料流发挥着核心作用。在政策方面,研究结果强调需要支持研发,特别是在较小的公司,加强有针对性的监管激励措施,并促进当地公司间的合作,以降低交易成本和克服二次材料质量风险。
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引用次数: 0
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Ecological Economics
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