The Eurosystem is built on a compelling promise: shielded from national politics, ECB Governing Council members would be better positioned to deploy their science-based expertise. Far from embodying this ideal, scholars have documented central bankers' opportunistic engagement with the ideas underpinning monetary policy. Whilst studies have often attributed this to reputation management strategies, we show how deeply entrenched national preferences – whether hawkish or dovish – shape how central bankers frame inflationary developments and prescribe policy solutions. Based on a quantitative and qualitative study of Eurozone central bank governors' speeches from 2014 to 2023, we reveal patterns of selective engagement with economic data, strategic scepticism regarding theories and indicators and weaponised uncertainty to support or cast doubt on monetary policy action. Crucially, these rhetorical strategies are leveraged conditionally on the inflation season, leading doves and hawks to act as migrating birds, embracing the other camp's position when economic circumstances change. Casting further doubt upon the proclaimed science-based neutrality of central bankers, our study shows that central bank speeches should not be merely studied as reflections of policy learning or as instruments of reputation management but also as rhetorical tools to achieve national policy preferences.
{"title":"Central Bankers as Migrating Birds: How Inflation Shapes the Rhetorical Strategies of Doves and Hawks","authors":"Jérôme Deyris, Bart Stellinga, Matthias Thiemann","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70017","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70017","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Eurosystem is built on a compelling promise: shielded from national politics, ECB Governing Council members would be better positioned to deploy their science-based expertise. Far from embodying this ideal, scholars have documented central bankers' opportunistic engagement with the ideas underpinning monetary policy. Whilst studies have often attributed this to reputation management strategies, we show how deeply entrenched national preferences – whether hawkish or dovish – shape how central bankers frame inflationary developments and prescribe policy solutions. Based on a quantitative and qualitative study of Eurozone central bank governors' speeches from 2014 to 2023, we reveal patterns of selective engagement with economic data, strategic scepticism regarding theories and indicators and weaponised uncertainty to support or cast doubt on monetary policy action. Crucially, these rhetorical strategies are leveraged conditionally on the inflation season, leading doves and hawks to act as <i>migrating birds</i>, embracing the other camp's position when economic circumstances change. Casting further doubt upon the proclaimed science-based neutrality of central bankers, our study shows that central bank speeches should not be merely studied as reflections of policy learning or as instruments of reputation management but also as rhetorical tools to achieve national policy preferences.</p>","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"64 2","pages":"787-810"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146140002","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>Since the end of WWII, many analysts were adamant that Europe is a continent of peace and geopolitical stability. The influential authors were arguing that warfare is experiencing a historical decline and that many forms of organised violence belong to the dustbin of European history. The leading scholars of organised violence tended to focus on civil wars, revolutions and insurgencies on other continents. The dominant view was that Europe is unlikely to face a major interstate war.</p><p>A very similar stance was expressed in relation to nationalism. For many scholars, this ideology has reached its peak in the 19th century; since then, its influence has been on the wane. In this context, much of the contemporary sociological scholarship has focused on the significance of globalisation, individualism, cosmopolitanism and consumerism, all of which were understood to be more relevant for 21st-century Europe than nationalism.</p><p>Nevertheless, such ahistorical and present-centric interpretations fly in the face of a much more complex European historical record. To better understand the social dynamics of war and nationalism and their historical trajectories, it is crucial to explore these two phenomena in a <i>longue durée</i> mode. In this article, I aim to show that the return of inter-state warfare in Europe, together with the greater visibility of nationalism, can be explained using the analytical tools of comparative historical sociology. By zooming in on the long-term coercive-organisational, ideological and micro-interactional processes of nationalist grounding, one can trace the relatively continuous rise of nationalism in Europe. Similarly, by analysing the key structural and societal historical conditions in Europe, it is possible to see that organised violence has not experienced a decline but has, in fact, increased in modernity.</p><p>The first part of the article provides a brief analysis of European nationalisms over the last three centuries. I aim to show that rather than appearing as <i>deus ex machina</i> in the 21st century, this phenomenon has been gradually developing, expanding and penetrating different areas of social life.</p><p>In the second part of the article, I briefly explore the transformation of organised violence in Europe. I look at the centrality of warfare in European history and point to the continuous significance of force in the social development of this continent. The last section brings the two phenomena together and indicates under which conditions nationalism becomes virulent.</p><p>In the conventional understanding, nationalism is often perceived to be a phenomenon that reached its peak in the late 19th century. The traditional historiography regularly depicts this period as the ‘springtime of nations’ and associates nationalism mostly with the anti-imperial projects and the movements of national unification. Thus, the collapse of the Ottoman, Habsburg and Romanov empires is often attributed to the ri
{"title":"Nationalism and War in the 21st-Century Europe","authors":"Siniša Malešević","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70027","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Since the end of WWII, many analysts were adamant that Europe is a continent of peace and geopolitical stability. The influential authors were arguing that warfare is experiencing a historical decline and that many forms of organised violence belong to the dustbin of European history. The leading scholars of organised violence tended to focus on civil wars, revolutions and insurgencies on other continents. The dominant view was that Europe is unlikely to face a major interstate war.</p><p>A very similar stance was expressed in relation to nationalism. For many scholars, this ideology has reached its peak in the 19th century; since then, its influence has been on the wane. In this context, much of the contemporary sociological scholarship has focused on the significance of globalisation, individualism, cosmopolitanism and consumerism, all of which were understood to be more relevant for 21st-century Europe than nationalism.</p><p>Nevertheless, such ahistorical and present-centric interpretations fly in the face of a much more complex European historical record. To better understand the social dynamics of war and nationalism and their historical trajectories, it is crucial to explore these two phenomena in a <i>longue durée</i> mode. In this article, I aim to show that the return of inter-state warfare in Europe, together with the greater visibility of nationalism, can be explained using the analytical tools of comparative historical sociology. By zooming in on the long-term coercive-organisational, ideological and micro-interactional processes of nationalist grounding, one can trace the relatively continuous rise of nationalism in Europe. Similarly, by analysing the key structural and societal historical conditions in Europe, it is possible to see that organised violence has not experienced a decline but has, in fact, increased in modernity.</p><p>The first part of the article provides a brief analysis of European nationalisms over the last three centuries. I aim to show that rather than appearing as <i>deus ex machina</i> in the 21st century, this phenomenon has been gradually developing, expanding and penetrating different areas of social life.</p><p>In the second part of the article, I briefly explore the transformation of organised violence in Europe. I look at the centrality of warfare in European history and point to the continuous significance of force in the social development of this continent. The last section brings the two phenomena together and indicates under which conditions nationalism becomes virulent.</p><p>In the conventional understanding, nationalism is often perceived to be a phenomenon that reached its peak in the late 19th century. The traditional historiography regularly depicts this period as the ‘springtime of nations’ and associates nationalism mostly with the anti-imperial projects and the movements of national unification. Thus, the collapse of the Ottoman, Habsburg and Romanov empires is often attributed to the ri","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"20-35"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70027","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375306","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>In physics, it is well established that when photons strike a smooth mirror surface, they reflect at the same angle, producing an image that is reversed yet structurally identical to the original. A comparable, though more complex, mirroring dynamic can be observed in the 2024 electoral landscapes of Bulgaria and Romania, two states that joined the European Union (EU) in 2007 after prolonged and hesitant transitions from authoritarian rule (Baun <span>2000</span>; Dimitrova <span>2020</span>; Mungiu-Pippidi <span>2015</span>). Their accession was marked by delayed integration and the imposition of the Cooperation and Verification Mechanism (CVM), aimed at promoting judicial reform, combating corruption, and addressing organized crime. While the final CVM reports, Bulgaria's in 2019 and Romania's in 2022, formally concluded this chapter of conditionality-based engagement, the mechanism's legacy remains contested (Dimitrov and Plachkova <span>2020</span>).</p><p>In this context, in both countries, the 2024 electoral configurations display reversed yet structurally analogous features. On the eve of the 2024 elections, Romania maintained a relatively institutionalized party system, albeit with the growing influence of far-right actors such as the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), alongside a constellation of smaller yet vocal parties and leaders who mobilized platforms centred on the rejection of mainstream politics, the idealization of the (ethnic) people, and the denunciation of a broad spectrum of perceived cultural, economic, and political threats. Bulgaria, by contrast, had long experienced pronounced party fragmentation and recurring institutional deadlock, often failing to form stable governments.</p><p>On this ground, Bulgaria was widely anticipated to continue along a path of political volatility, with persistent party fragmentation and further electoral cycles. The June 2024 general elections – the fourth since the 2007 enlargement - largely confirmed these expectations: Bulgaria once again failed to produce a viable governing majority, prompting the scheduling of yet another snap election in October that eventually led to complex negotiations and a government coalition in which the majority party remains Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB). In contrast, Romania's 2024 presidential and parliamentary elections were initially expected to reaffirm the dominance of the traditional alliance between the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the National Liberal Party (PNL), leaving little space for outsider candidates or emerging political movements. However, the surprise victory of Călin Georgescu, an independent candidate advocating nationalist, anti-EU, and pro-Moscow positions, in the first round of the presidential elections shattered Romania's image as a stable political arena and a reliable pro-European member state. The situation escalated when the Romanian Constitutional Court (CCR) annulled the first-round resul
在物理学中,当光子撞击光滑的镜面时,它们以相同的角度反射,产生与原始图像相反但结构相同的图像。在保加利亚和罗马尼亚2024年的选举格局中可以观察到类似的、但更为复杂的镜像动态,这两个国家在经历了漫长而犹豫不决的威权统治转型后,于2007年加入欧盟(Baun 2000; Dimitrova 2020; Mungiu-Pippidi 2015)。这些国家加入后,一体化进程被推迟,并强制实施了旨在促进司法改革、打击腐败和打击有组织犯罪的合作与核查机制(CVM)。尽管保加利亚和罗马尼亚分别于2019年和2022年发布了最终的国别评估报告,正式结束了这一基于条件的接触章节,但该机制的遗留问题仍存在争议(迪米特洛夫和普拉奇科娃,2020年)。在这种背景下,在这两个国家,2024年的选举配置显示出相反但结构上类似的特征。在2024年大选前夕,罗马尼亚维持了一个相对制度化的政党制度,尽管罗马尼亚人联盟(AUR)等极右翼行动者的影响力越来越大,同时还有一群规模较小但直言不讳的政党和领导人,他们动员了以拒绝主流政治为中心的平台,将(少数民族)人民理想化,并谴责广泛的文化、经济和政治威胁。相比之下,保加利亚长期以来经历了明显的政党分裂和反复出现的体制僵局,经常无法组建稳定的政府。基于这一点,人们普遍预期保加利亚将继续沿着政治动荡的道路前进,政党持续分裂,选举周期进一步延长。2024年6月的大选——自2007年欧盟扩大以来的第四次大选——在很大程度上证实了这些预期:保加利亚再一次未能产生一个可行的多数派执政,促使其在10月安排了另一次提前选举,最终导致了复杂的谈判和一个政府联盟,其中多数党仍然是保加利亚欧洲发展公民党(GERB)。相比之下,罗马尼亚2024年的总统和议会选举最初预计将重申社会民主党(PSD)和国家自由党(PNL)之间传统联盟的主导地位,几乎没有给外部候选人或新兴政治运动留下空间。然而,主张民族主义、反欧盟、亲莫斯科立场的独立候选人格奥尔切斯库在第一轮总统选举中出人意料地获胜,打破了罗马尼亚作为稳定政治舞台和可靠的亲欧盟成员国的形象。罗马尼亚宪法法院(CCR)宣布第一轮选举结果无效,理由是解密的情报显示,俄罗斯的虚假信息活动在网上积极推动了乔治斯库的候选资格。一夜之间,罗马尼亚从一个安静、顺从的欧盟成员国变成了欧洲和大西洋两岸关注的焦点。2024年12月的立法选举进一步扰乱了政治格局,两个新的极右翼政党进入议会,将PSD-PNL在众议院的投票份额降至43.0%的后共产主义低点。最终,罗马尼亚和保加利亚的选举结果都显示出惊人的相似之处:反建制情绪加剧,公众对传统政党的信任受到侵蚀,非传统(通常是自成一体的)政治角色的吸引力日益增强。因此,这两个国家在民主代表制的共同危机上展现了不同的道路,凸显了欧盟东部边境更广泛的不确定性。在这两种情况下,对欧洲一体化的承诺变得越来越矛盾。公众对继续支持乌克兰的怀疑情绪正在上升,而传统主义的政纲往往结合亲俄言论,迎合保守价值观,让人想起“让美国再次伟大”(Make America Great Again)的民粹主义话语,以及偶尔出现的民族统一主义主张,正在重塑国内的政治辩论。保加利亚和罗马尼亚以不同的方式反映了彼此的民主挑战,但却朝着民主不稳定的共同轨迹趋同。本文的其余部分结构如下。首先,我们概述了2024年选举组织的社会政治背景。接下来,我们研究选举活动的主题,特别关注与欧盟相关的问题。然后我们展示选举结果。最后一部分总结了这些发展对欧盟政治的更广泛影响。 AUR的立场包含了一种民族主义言论,其核心是恢复民族尊严,团结在家庭、信仰、国家和自由的核心价值观周围,同时呼吁国内和全球和平。同样,青年党(POT)优先考虑青年、家庭和创业,具体承诺投资体育和社会基础设施。SOS罗马尼亚保持了坚定的反欧盟和反北约言论,反映了其坚定的主权主义/极端主义立场。在总统选举第一轮之后,原本相对温和的竞选活动发生了戏剧性的变化,因为争夺乔治库选民基础的竞争加剧,尤其是在极右翼政党之间,而所有政党都重申了他们对传统价值观的承诺,并对欧盟采取了更强硬的立场。受其在政府中的角色和一系列腐败丑闻的影响,主流的社会民主党和民族自由党失去了重要的议会席位,与2020年相比,他们失去了68个众议员和30个参议员席位(斯坦和扎哈里亚2025年)。相比之下,AUR、SOS罗马尼亚和POT获得突出地位,在议会中总共获得32.4%的选票(见表4)。PSD和PNL失去了在参众两院的多数控制权,迫使他们组建一个依赖UDMR和少数民族代表支持的政府,反映出议会格局的分裂和两极分化。在选举之后,罗马尼亚主流政党的结构性危机变得显而易见。PSD, PNL和UDMR总共只获得了众议院43%的选票,比上一轮的60.8%大幅下降。相比之下,由进步的USR和由三个主权主义组成的重新配置的极右翼轴心组成的挑战者政党集团以44.7%的总得票率超过了传统政党,标志着政治忠诚的重大转变。选举的动荡达到了顶峰,标志着曾经相对封闭和稳定的政党制度的崩溃。从区域来看,长期据点开始受到侵蚀:社会民主党在南部和东南部的主导地位以及民族解放阵线在特兰西瓦尼亚和巴纳特的控制减弱,主要原因是在社会经济差距根深蒂固的地区,特别是在教育和保健方面,动员选民越来越困难。海外侨民的投票,尤其是来自欧盟成员国的投票,强化了这种反建制情绪的趋势。这次投票并没有发出欧洲怀疑主义的信号,而是反映了人们对国内治理、普遍腐败和政治精英不透明的深切不满。选举结果也反映了欧盟日益增长的政治化,意识形态之间的争论日益加剧。传统主义价值观重新占据了中心地位,这与后共产主义欧洲出现的更广泛的非自由主义转向相呼应。这种转变伴随着越来越严厉的欧洲怀疑言论,尤其是在极右翼主权主义集团中。然而,选举后的时期显示了新进入者的结构性脆弱性:SOS罗马尼亚和POT都经历了重大的叛逃和内部分裂。尽管遭遇了这些挫折,人民力量联盟仍然是极右翼阵营中的主导力量,截至2025年初,它继续在全国民意调查中领先,尽管其可信度因联合创始人克劳迪乌·特尔齐乌的重大内部分裂而动摇。2025年5月,在中央选举局决定不承认cciurlin Georgescu的候选资格(Buti和Radu 2023)之后,重新组织了总统选举,布加勒斯特市长Nicusor Dan在决选中击败George Simion获胜(表3)。丹的胜利是在一场日益被视为事关罗马尼亚在欧盟内未来的公投结束时取得的。这种叙述帮助动员了大量的支持,最终使决选的投票率达到64.7,比第一轮增加了11.5个百分点。在去年11月和12月的“夹心选举”期间,参与人数的激增已经显而易见,这不仅反映了公众对选举政治日益增长的兴趣,也反映了政治两极分化的加剧。在2024年12月6日第32号决定之后,这种两极分化加剧,引发了广泛的街头抗议,并在公共和私人领域引发了激烈的辩论。罗马尼亚曾经稳定的民主制度,虽然功能不完善,却突然暴露出其潜在的脆弱性。2024年(以及随后的2025年)的选举周期标志着罗马尼亚政治发展的关键断裂,也是与邻国保加利亚根深蒂固的不稳定趋同的时刻。罗马尼亚和保加利亚现在似乎在结构上趋同:这两个国家都在努力应对主流政党合法性的侵蚀、身份政治的武器化,以
{"title":"Entangled Trajectories: The 2024 Electoral Year in Bulgaria and Romania","authors":"Sorina Soare, Maria Spirova, Claudiu Tufis","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70024","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In physics, it is well established that when photons strike a smooth mirror surface, they reflect at the same angle, producing an image that is reversed yet structurally identical to the original. A comparable, though more complex, mirroring dynamic can be observed in the 2024 electoral landscapes of Bulgaria and Romania, two states that joined the European Union (EU) in 2007 after prolonged and hesitant transitions from authoritarian rule (Baun <span>2000</span>; Dimitrova <span>2020</span>; Mungiu-Pippidi <span>2015</span>). Their accession was marked by delayed integration and the imposition of the Cooperation and Verification Mechanism (CVM), aimed at promoting judicial reform, combating corruption, and addressing organized crime. While the final CVM reports, Bulgaria's in 2019 and Romania's in 2022, formally concluded this chapter of conditionality-based engagement, the mechanism's legacy remains contested (Dimitrov and Plachkova <span>2020</span>).</p><p>In this context, in both countries, the 2024 electoral configurations display reversed yet structurally analogous features. On the eve of the 2024 elections, Romania maintained a relatively institutionalized party system, albeit with the growing influence of far-right actors such as the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR), alongside a constellation of smaller yet vocal parties and leaders who mobilized platforms centred on the rejection of mainstream politics, the idealization of the (ethnic) people, and the denunciation of a broad spectrum of perceived cultural, economic, and political threats. Bulgaria, by contrast, had long experienced pronounced party fragmentation and recurring institutional deadlock, often failing to form stable governments.</p><p>On this ground, Bulgaria was widely anticipated to continue along a path of political volatility, with persistent party fragmentation and further electoral cycles. The June 2024 general elections – the fourth since the 2007 enlargement - largely confirmed these expectations: Bulgaria once again failed to produce a viable governing majority, prompting the scheduling of yet another snap election in October that eventually led to complex negotiations and a government coalition in which the majority party remains Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria (GERB). In contrast, Romania's 2024 presidential and parliamentary elections were initially expected to reaffirm the dominance of the traditional alliance between the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the National Liberal Party (PNL), leaving little space for outsider candidates or emerging political movements. However, the surprise victory of Călin Georgescu, an independent candidate advocating nationalist, anti-EU, and pro-Moscow positions, in the first round of the presidential elections shattered Romania's image as a stable political arena and a reliable pro-European member state. The situation escalated when the Romanian Constitutional Court (CCR) annulled the first-round resul","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"237-254"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70024","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375097","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"EU Snapshots 2024","authors":"Andrea Pareschi","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70026","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"e1-e47"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Actors who benefit from the European Union's (EU) opportunity structures strive to expand EU policy-making. A central manner of benefitting from EU opportunity structures is the acquisition of EU funding, which then is implemented through projects and has led to research concerned with the projectification of EU public policy-making. Whilst the European Commission explicitly encourages EU funding beneficiaries to participate in the interactive set-up of EU policy-making, a bottom-up perspective on projectification in EU public policy is lacking so far. To answer the question of how the implementation of projectified policies feeds back at EU policy-making, a theoretical framework is developed that combines a projectification perspective with bottom-up Europeanisation research. The framework provides three potential modes of leveraging projectified EU policy: re-using EU project funding, promoting its availability and pro-actively shaping EU policy. Applying the framework to analyse how higher education (HE) institutions leverage EU project funding, this study finds that HE institutions do not only re-use and promote the opportunity structures that let them foster their co-operation but that they also become shapers of EU policy. The finding that EU funding beneficiaries may become EU policy shapers has important implications for EU policy-making, which increasingly relies on the bottom-up engagement of (sub)national-level actors.
{"title":"Using, Promoting and Shaping Europeanisation Through Projectification: The Case of Higher Education Institutions","authors":"Alina Felder-Stindt","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70020","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70020","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Actors who benefit from the European Union's (EU) opportunity structures strive to expand EU policy-making. A central manner of benefitting from EU opportunity structures is the acquisition of EU funding, which then is implemented through projects and has led to research concerned with the projectification of EU public policy-making. Whilst the European Commission explicitly encourages EU funding beneficiaries to participate in the interactive set-up of EU policy-making, a bottom-up perspective on projectification in EU public policy is lacking so far. To answer the question of how the implementation of projectified policies feeds back at EU policy-making, a theoretical framework is developed that combines a projectification perspective with bottom-up Europeanisation research. The framework provides three potential modes of leveraging projectified EU policy: re-using EU project funding, promoting its availability and pro-actively shaping EU policy. Applying the framework to analyse how higher education (HE) institutions leverage EU project funding, this study finds that HE institutions do not only re-use and promote the opportunity structures that let them foster their co-operation but that they also become shapers of EU policy. The finding that EU funding beneficiaries may become EU policy shapers has important implications for EU policy-making, which increasingly relies on the bottom-up engagement of (sub)national-level actors.</p>","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"64 2","pages":"835-858"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70020","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146139472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 marked a rupture in many regards. Moscow's brutal assault represents the most comprehensive attempt in post-World War II Europe to change internationally recognised borders by force, violating the territorial integrity and sovereignty of an independent state, and, as such, the established international legal order. It also had the rather unexpected effect – at least until the re-election of Donald Trump as US President in late 2024 – of countering the alleged ‘decline of the West’ (Marquand, <span>2012</span>), which was considered too triumphalist and, at the same time, too debilitated and fragmented to defend the very values it was built upon. The European Union (EU), an integral part of the liberal world order's governance structure, was long seen to be engaged in a ‘struggle against global irrelevance’ (Youngs, <span>2010</span>) and poised to witness its ‘coming erosion’ (Walt, <span>2011</span>). Arguably, no other policy represented the EU's inability to advance its own <i>raison d'être</i> and the process of European integration more strikingly than its enlargement policy post-2004/2007. Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, EU enlargement was noted more for its failure and observed more in rhetoric than in practice, mainly because of member states' unwillingness to pursue much needed treaty changes and their disagreement over the ‘how’, the ‘when’ and the ‘who’ of a potential EU ‘widening’.</p><p>Whilst it would be misleading to claim that Russia's war on Ukraine has put an end to the much-cited enlargement fatigue, it is unquestionable that it has reinvigorated the discourse on EU expansion, bestowed on it a renewed dynamic and upended its long-held second-order status. The rapidly altering geopolitical context and changing security landscape in Europe have motivated the EU to extend the prospect of membership to Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia in 2022 and 2023, respectively. In parallel, the EU has also sought to provide new impetus to accession in the Western Balkans (WB), which was largely considered moribund (Uvalić, <span>2023</span>). Bosnia and Herzegovina was also granted candidate status, and even Armenia has become motivated to seek – yet again – closer ties with the EU.</p><p>Against this backdrop, scholarship has been playing catch-up to understand how the altered external environment has changed the EU's approach towards the new and old candidate countries. Embedded in this debate, this article argues that it is time to revisit the External Incentives Model (EIM), a dominant explanatory model of EU external action and of EU accession policies from the 2000s. Whilst it provided meaningful explanations with respect to earlier waves of enlargement (Schimmelfennig and Sedelmeier, <span>2020</span>), this article posits that the EIM is of limited utility in a situation in which the past European order – which proved conducive for EU enlargement and corresponding scholarl
{"title":"Beyond External Incentives: The European Union, Wartime Enlargement and the Candidate Countries in Eastern Europe and the Western Balkans","authors":"Alexander Mesarovich, Tobias Schumacher","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70018","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70018","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 marked a rupture in many regards. Moscow's brutal assault represents the most comprehensive attempt in post-World War II Europe to change internationally recognised borders by force, violating the territorial integrity and sovereignty of an independent state, and, as such, the established international legal order. It also had the rather unexpected effect – at least until the re-election of Donald Trump as US President in late 2024 – of countering the alleged ‘decline of the West’ (Marquand, <span>2012</span>), which was considered too triumphalist and, at the same time, too debilitated and fragmented to defend the very values it was built upon. The European Union (EU), an integral part of the liberal world order's governance structure, was long seen to be engaged in a ‘struggle against global irrelevance’ (Youngs, <span>2010</span>) and poised to witness its ‘coming erosion’ (Walt, <span>2011</span>). Arguably, no other policy represented the EU's inability to advance its own <i>raison d'être</i> and the process of European integration more strikingly than its enlargement policy post-2004/2007. Before Russia's invasion of Ukraine, EU enlargement was noted more for its failure and observed more in rhetoric than in practice, mainly because of member states' unwillingness to pursue much needed treaty changes and their disagreement over the ‘how’, the ‘when’ and the ‘who’ of a potential EU ‘widening’.</p><p>Whilst it would be misleading to claim that Russia's war on Ukraine has put an end to the much-cited enlargement fatigue, it is unquestionable that it has reinvigorated the discourse on EU expansion, bestowed on it a renewed dynamic and upended its long-held second-order status. The rapidly altering geopolitical context and changing security landscape in Europe have motivated the EU to extend the prospect of membership to Ukraine, Moldova and Georgia in 2022 and 2023, respectively. In parallel, the EU has also sought to provide new impetus to accession in the Western Balkans (WB), which was largely considered moribund (Uvalić, <span>2023</span>). Bosnia and Herzegovina was also granted candidate status, and even Armenia has become motivated to seek – yet again – closer ties with the EU.</p><p>Against this backdrop, scholarship has been playing catch-up to understand how the altered external environment has changed the EU's approach towards the new and old candidate countries. Embedded in this debate, this article argues that it is time to revisit the External Incentives Model (EIM), a dominant explanatory model of EU external action and of EU accession policies from the 2000s. Whilst it provided meaningful explanations with respect to earlier waves of enlargement (Schimmelfennig and Sedelmeier, <span>2020</span>), this article posits that the EIM is of limited utility in a situation in which the past European order – which proved conducive for EU enlargement and corresponding scholarl","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"180-192"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70018","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>The appointment of a new Commission is a major event in the institutional and political life of the European Union (EU). It begins immediately after the European Parliament (EP) elections, when the European Council nominates (or re-nominates) a Commission president, and ends several months later when the European Council appoints the Commission for a 5-year period. In the meantime, the EP votes on the nominee for President; national governments nominate their would-be Commissioners; the President allocates portfolios amongst the Commissioners-designate; and the EP holds confirmation hearings for each Commissioner-designate before holding a vote of approval on the College as a whole.</p><p>This article examines how events unfolded in 2024, resulting in the formation of the second Commission of Ursula von der Leyen. It does so in the context of the increasing politicisation of the process and presidentialisation of the Commission, notably following a series of revisions introduced in the treaties of Amsterdam (1997), Nice (2001), and Lisbon (2007). As a result of those and other changes, the Commission President is far more than merely ‘primus inter pares’ in the College (Ross and Jenson, <span>2017</span>, p. 117). The authority of the President has grown especially because of the personalisation of the presidential appointment process, the recognition of the President's political leadership role, including the President's ability to shape and structure the College (Kassim et al., <span>2017</span>, p. 659).</p><p>The article first develops the three main elements of politicisation in the process of forming a new Commission, focusing particularly on the nomination of the President through the lead candidate procedure; the President's increasing control over the Commission, ranging from the nomination of Commissioners-designate to the internal organisation of the College, including the allocation of portfolios; and the EP's confirmation of the College. It then looks specifically at von der Leyen's re-nomination and re-election, the construction of her new College, the EP confirmation hearings and vote of approval and the appointment of the new Commission. The conclusion summarises the key developments in the formation of the second von der Leyen Commission and their significance for EU governance.</p><p>Commission politicisation is manifested in many ways, including the composition of the College, which increasingly comprises political ‘heavyweights’ (Hartlapp, <span>2015</span>), and the rising influence of elected or appointed politicians in decision-making processes at the expense of bureaucrats and officials (De Wilde, <span>2011</span>, p. 561). Another indicator of politicisation is the EP's increasing control over the Commission, making the latter more accountable to the former (Wille, <span>2013</span>). Party politics, which traditionally played only a minor role in the Commission (Egeberg, <span>2006</span>; Peterson, <span>1999</span>
任命一个新的委员会是欧洲联盟(欧盟)体制和政治生活中的一件大事。它在欧洲议会(EP)选举后立即开始,当时欧洲理事会提名(或重新提名)委员会主席,并在几个月后欧洲理事会任命委员会时结束,任期为5年。同时,欧洲议会对总统候选人进行投票;各国政府提名他们的准委员;总统在候任专员之间分配职务;欧洲议会在对整个学院进行投票批准之前,对每一位委员候任人举行确认听证会。本文考察了2024年的事件是如何展开的,导致了乌苏拉·冯·德莱恩第二委员会的成立。这是在欧盟委员会进程日益政治化和主席化的背景下进行的,特别是在阿姆斯特丹条约(1997年)、尼斯条约(2001年)和里斯本条约(2007年)中引入的一系列修订之后。由于这些和其他变化,委员会主席在学院中的地位远远不仅仅是“主理人”(Ross and Jenson, 2017, p. 117)。由于总统任命过程的个性化,总统政治领导角色的认可,包括总统塑造和构建学院的能力,总统的权威已经增长(Kassim等人,2017年,第659页)。文章首先阐述了在组建新委员会的过程中政治化的三个主要因素,特别侧重于通过主要候选人程序提名主席;总统对委员会的控制越来越大,从任命委员到学院的内部组织,包括组合的分配;以及议会对学院的确认。然后特别关注冯德莱恩的再次提名和连任,她的新学院的建设,欧洲议会的确认听证会和投票批准以及新委员会的任命。结论总结了第二届冯德莱恩委员会形成的关键发展及其对欧盟治理的意义。委员会政治化表现在许多方面,包括学院的组成,其中越来越多地包括政治“重量级人物”(Hartlapp, 2015),以及以牺牲官僚和官员为代价,选举或任命的政治家在决策过程中的影响力不断上升(De Wilde, 2011, p. 561)。政治化的另一个指标是欧洲议会对委员会的控制越来越大,使后者对前者更负责(Wille, 2013)。政党政治,传统上只在委员会中扮演次要角色(Egeberg, 2006; Peterson, 1999; Wonka, 2008),正变得越来越重要;(国家和欧洲)政党和党派冲突日益增长的影响力也被视为欧盟委员会政治化的标志(De Wilde, 2011,第561页)。总的来说,任命委员会的过程越来越多地涉及当选总统,并变得更加政治化,尤其是因为欧洲议会的作用已经扩大,学院必须经过审查过程。本节通过探讨近年来委员会主席化和政治化的三个主要途径,将第二届冯德莱恩委员会的提名和任命置于背景下。关于2024年选举管理委员会的组成,首先要问的是斯皮岑候选人选拔过程的结果如何。要成立一个新的委员会,有两个关键的因素:候选人的提名和学院的内部设置和组织。启动新委员会的倒数第二步在欧洲议会进行,其中拟议的学院“作为一个整体,须经投票同意”(第17.7 TEU条)。2024年,美国议会进行了第七次确认听证会(Russack, 2024)。由于跨领域的投资组合越来越多,委员会越来越多地联合组织和举行听证会。在2024年的26场听证会中,至少有13场是由两个或两个以上的委员会举行的,而在英国脱欧之前,2019年有11场,2014年有9场,当时有27场听证会。2024年,史无前例地由三、四个委员会联合举行了五次听证会。欧洲议会委员会批准了所有正在考虑的候选人,即使是那些被认为有争议或有争议的候选人。匈牙利的提名者、冯德莱恩第一届委员会的继任者瓦赫尔伊(Varhelyi)在2024年是最脆弱的,因为人们认为他只是Orbán的代言人。 Varhelyi没有被否决,也没有经历第二次听证会,他只需要在听证会后回答一系列书面问题,这是欧洲议会和欧盟委员会服务之间的一种“官僚乒乓球”形式(Russack, 2024,第13页)。欧洲议会对他相当宽容,显然是为了避免冒犯Orbán并危及整个审批过程,因为Orbán可能会拒绝提出另一位候选人,从而推迟新委员会的任命。拉斐尔•菲托(Raffaele Fitto)是梅洛尼极右翼政党意大利兄弟会(Fratelli d’italia)的成员,他也得到了宽大处理。除了原则上反对菲托之外,欧洲议会中的中左翼团体也反对任命他为有影响力的欧洲执行副总裁之一。然而,在欧洲人民党的保护下,菲托度过了难关。菲托案表明,确认过程中的党派政治化程度日益加剧。事实上,政党政治预先决定了听证会的结果。在选举过程开始之前,各大政治团体就一致同意所有候选人都能顺利通过。鉴于欧盟面临着巨大的经济和战略挑战,迫切需要完成向新制度周期的过渡,这或许是可以理解的,但它引发了有关民主问责制和合法性的问题。在听证会的第二周,西班牙人民党(EPP成员)试图将瓦伦西亚洪灾的责任转移到特雷莎·里贝拉身上。特雷莎·里贝拉是西班牙的候任专员,并非巧合的是,她是一位社会民主党人。欧洲人民党领袖曼弗雷德·韦伯允许他的西班牙代表团“不受约束”,可能是为了打消标普要求取消菲托执行副总裁任命的要求,或者是为了向-á-vis冯德莱恩展示韦伯的权威,或者两者兼而有之。最终,EPP和标普同意恢复原来的立场,EPP接受里贝拉,标普接受菲托。总的来说,2024年确认听证会的进行反映了6月选举后欧洲议会的构成。由于欧洲人民党占主导地位,并且不愿与反叛的极右翼合作,主流政治团体之间的“相互抓背”文化(一直是欧洲人民党的一个特征)显著增加。听证会从来不只是或主要是关于候选人的资格和表现。制度上的权力游戏和政党间的针锋相对一直起着作用。然而,在2024年,政党政治超过了欧洲议会传统的机构力量展示,这曾经是团结不同政治派别的一种手段。2024年11月27日,欧洲议会以370票对282票、36票弃权的结果确认了冯德莱恩的第二学院。这意味着56.75%的支持率,这是学院有史以来最低的支持率,也是长期下降趋势的一部分,这无疑与欧洲议会组成的变化有关,其中欧洲怀疑主义势力继续占上风。欧洲理事会于2024年11月28日采取了组建新委员会的最后一步,当时它“通过书面程序任命欧盟委员会,任期为2024年12月1日至2029年10月31日”(欧洲理事会,2024b)。第二届冯德莱恩委员会于2024年12月1日就职。作为附录,新学院于2025年1月27日在欧洲法院庄严宣誓,承诺独立、公正地为欧盟服务,并充分尊重条约和基本权利宪章,如TFEU第245条所规定的。虽然条约中没有提到宣誓本身,但委员独立行动的义务直接遵循条约,并在任命新委员会时立即适用。第二届冯德莱恩委员会的成立从几个方面说明了问题。根据欧盟第17.7 TEU条,冯德莱恩的提名需要欧洲理事会和欧洲议会进行协商,欧洲议会希望重现2014年容克担任欧盟主席时的斯皮岑候选人程序。2024年,冯德莱恩确实是欧洲人民党最有力的候选人,但这只是因为这有助于她顺利获得连任。她和大多数国家领导人都不太关心斯皮岑的候选人提名过程,而欧洲理事会(European Council)对这一过程只是说说而已。欧洲理事会很容易就冯德莱恩的提名达成一致,这是欧盟最高机构职位一揽子协议的一部分。政党政治立场最重要。用通俗的话来说,欧洲理事会是在告诉欧洲议会别乱来。用克拉姆更复杂的语言来说,2024年斯皮岑候选人竞选过程的结果进一步揭示了2019年已经很明显的事情:“欧盟大多数机构间政治理论中隐含的以欧洲议
{"title":"The Formation of the Second von der Leyen Commission: Nomination, Organisation and Confirmation","authors":"Desmond Dinan, Sophia Russack","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70015","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The appointment of a new Commission is a major event in the institutional and political life of the European Union (EU). It begins immediately after the European Parliament (EP) elections, when the European Council nominates (or re-nominates) a Commission president, and ends several months later when the European Council appoints the Commission for a 5-year period. In the meantime, the EP votes on the nominee for President; national governments nominate their would-be Commissioners; the President allocates portfolios amongst the Commissioners-designate; and the EP holds confirmation hearings for each Commissioner-designate before holding a vote of approval on the College as a whole.</p><p>This article examines how events unfolded in 2024, resulting in the formation of the second Commission of Ursula von der Leyen. It does so in the context of the increasing politicisation of the process and presidentialisation of the Commission, notably following a series of revisions introduced in the treaties of Amsterdam (1997), Nice (2001), and Lisbon (2007). As a result of those and other changes, the Commission President is far more than merely ‘primus inter pares’ in the College (Ross and Jenson, <span>2017</span>, p. 117). The authority of the President has grown especially because of the personalisation of the presidential appointment process, the recognition of the President's political leadership role, including the President's ability to shape and structure the College (Kassim et al., <span>2017</span>, p. 659).</p><p>The article first develops the three main elements of politicisation in the process of forming a new Commission, focusing particularly on the nomination of the President through the lead candidate procedure; the President's increasing control over the Commission, ranging from the nomination of Commissioners-designate to the internal organisation of the College, including the allocation of portfolios; and the EP's confirmation of the College. It then looks specifically at von der Leyen's re-nomination and re-election, the construction of her new College, the EP confirmation hearings and vote of approval and the appointment of the new Commission. The conclusion summarises the key developments in the formation of the second von der Leyen Commission and their significance for EU governance.</p><p>Commission politicisation is manifested in many ways, including the composition of the College, which increasingly comprises political ‘heavyweights’ (Hartlapp, <span>2015</span>), and the rising influence of elected or appointed politicians in decision-making processes at the expense of bureaucrats and officials (De Wilde, <span>2011</span>, p. 561). Another indicator of politicisation is the EP's increasing control over the Commission, making the latter more accountable to the former (Wille, <span>2013</span>). Party politics, which traditionally played only a minor role in the Commission (Egeberg, <span>2006</span>; Peterson, <span>1999</span>","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"91-104"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70015","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Experts have over the years produced countless policy briefs, reports and documents in efforts to influence policy-makers' decisions about EU economic policy and governance. In a special category are the expert reports officially commissioned by EU institutional actors. In the past, the most influential such reports included the 1970 Werner report, the 1985 Cockfield report on completing the single market and the 1989 Delors report on monetary union, amongst others (see Gros, this issue). The latest examples are the reports by Enrico Letta (2024) on the single market and by Mario Draghi (2024) on competitiveness in the EU (see Chang, this issue; Gros, this issue; Moschella and Quaglia, this issue). These reports, much like the earlier ones, can be seen as game changers for the EU political agenda in terms of their levels of ambition and innovation.
Whether the Letta and Draghi expert reports have a direct or immediate impact on the EU political agenda remains an open question. Much depends upon such imponderables as the political will of EU leaders in the European Council, the administrative capacities of the European Commission and the evolving politics of the European Parliament (EP) and of member states in an increasingly populist extreme right context. Institutional constraints or opportunities, political serendipity and timing are additional factors. Moreover, what the reports leave out is as important for the future as what they put in.
But whatever their ultimate impact, the Letta and Draghi reports have raised the bar with regard to the ideas that will shape the conversation about the goals and parameters of the EU agenda for years to come and, in so doing, have provided a legitimating reference for all those pushing for deeper integration to address the existential challenges facing the EU. The reports have accomplished this not only as a result of the persuasive presentation of their main ideas but also through their circulation both ex ante via the initial widespread consultations in the reports' drafting phase and ex post through the widescale debates as well as contestation about their recommendations amongst EU institutional actors and member state political elites, amongst experts in think tanks and professional networks, by opinion leaders and civil society organisations and by the media. Put more simply, the reports have renewed the EU's political agenda by providing a coherent and ambitious new vision about what should and could be done to make the EU a success as a supranational polity and world economic power. And in so doing, regardless of how or even whether the specific recommendations are translated into practice, the reports have served as catalysts for focused discussions across Europe about what to do and how to do it.
This contribution begins with a brief discussion of how experts' ideas matter and then discusses why the Letta and Draghi reports substantively matter for th
{"title":"How Much Do Experts' Ideas Matter for the European Union's Political Agenda?","authors":"Vivien A. Schmidt","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70022","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70022","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Experts have over the years produced countless policy briefs, reports and documents in efforts to influence policy-makers' decisions about EU economic policy and governance. In a special category are the expert reports officially commissioned by EU institutional actors. In the past, the most influential such reports included the 1970 Werner report, the 1985 Cockfield report on completing the single market and the 1989 Delors report on monetary union, amongst others (see Gros, this issue). The latest examples are the reports by Enrico Letta (<span>2024</span>) on the single market and by Mario Draghi (<span>2024</span>) on competitiveness in the EU (see Chang, this issue; Gros, this issue; Moschella and Quaglia, this issue). These reports, much like the earlier ones, can be seen as game changers for the EU political agenda in terms of their levels of ambition and innovation.</p><p>Whether the Letta and Draghi expert reports have a direct or immediate impact on the EU political agenda remains an open question. Much depends upon such imponderables as the political will of EU leaders in the European Council, the administrative capacities of the European Commission and the evolving politics of the European Parliament (EP) and of member states in an increasingly populist extreme right context. Institutional constraints or opportunities, political serendipity and timing are additional factors. Moreover, what the reports leave out is as important for the future as what they put in.</p><p>But whatever their ultimate impact, the Letta and Draghi reports have raised the bar with regard to the ideas that will shape the conversation about the goals and parameters of the EU agenda for years to come and, in so doing, have provided a legitimating reference for all those pushing for deeper integration to address the existential challenges facing the EU. The reports have accomplished this not only as a result of the persuasive presentation of their main ideas but also through their circulation both ex ante via the initial widespread consultations in the reports' drafting phase and ex post through the widescale debates as well as contestation about their recommendations amongst EU institutional actors and member state political elites, amongst experts in think tanks and professional networks, by opinion leaders and civil society organisations and by the media. Put more simply, the reports have renewed the EU's political agenda by providing a coherent and ambitious new vision about what should and could be done to make the EU a success as a supranational polity and world economic power. And in so doing, regardless of how or even whether the specific recommendations are translated into practice, the reports have served as catalysts for focused discussions across Europe about what to do and how to do it.</p><p>This contribution begins with a brief discussion of how experts' ideas matter and then discusses why the Letta and Draghi reports substantively matter for th","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"123-130"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70022","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375066","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Since 2007, the European Union has devoted significant time and energy to the production and dissemination of new statistics designed to monitor social and environmental trends of various types. These initiatives have often been presented as part of a broader ‘beyond GDP agenda’, which challenges the centrality of economic growth, as measured by GDP, to governance and ideology, in and beyond Europe. Drawing on interviews with staff from across EU institutions involved, this article examines the fortunes of these initiatives with regard to ongoing debates about the extent to which a ‘social Europe’ is achievable. We show that the Beyond GDP agenda faces formidable constraints. The basic structure of EU treaties and competencies and an underlying bias towards technocratic policy-making loom large in the view of those tasked with developing and implementing statistical reform, making the basic aims of the agenda difficult to achieve. Relative successes, such as the inclusion of social and environmental indicators within the European Semester policy cycle, are shown to have been equally subject to these constraints.
{"title":"Can the EU Move ‘Beyond GDP’?","authors":"Christopher Holmes, Agnieszka Widuto","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70021","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70021","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Since 2007, the European Union has devoted significant time and energy to the production and dissemination of new statistics designed to monitor social and environmental trends of various types. These initiatives have often been presented as part of a broader ‘beyond GDP agenda’, which challenges the centrality of economic growth, as measured by GDP, to governance and ideology, in and beyond Europe. Drawing on interviews with staff from across EU institutions involved, this article examines the fortunes of these initiatives with regard to ongoing debates about the extent to which a ‘social Europe’ is achievable. We show that the Beyond GDP agenda faces formidable constraints. The basic structure of EU treaties and competencies and an underlying bias towards technocratic policy-making loom large in the view of those tasked with developing and implementing statistical reform, making the basic aims of the agenda difficult to achieve. Relative successes, such as the inclusion of social and environmental indicators within the European Semester policy cycle, are shown to have been equally subject to these constraints.</p>","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"64 2","pages":"491-510"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70021","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146135905","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
<p>The project to endow the European Union (EU) with its own defence capacity and policy is now (at least) some 30 years old. Although it was adumbrated in the late 1980s via the reactivation of the <i>Western European Union</i> (Rees, <span>1998</span>), it began life in the early years of the Clinton presidency as the <i>European Security and Defence Identity</i> (ESDI), which sought to empower European forces as a distinct military capacity with its own chain of command from inside the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) (Howorth, <span>2000</span>, pp. 22–30). In 1998, the Franco-British summit in Saint-Malo launched the project that was to become the <i>Common Security and Defence Policy</i> (CSDP). The summit Declaration blurred the link with NATO by stating that ‘the Union must have the capacity for autonomous action, backed up by credible military forces, the means to decide to use them, and a readiness to do so, in order to respond to international crises’ (Joint Declaration on European Defence, <span>1998</span>). The word ‘autonomous’ was launched.</p><p>For over 25 years, the EU has striven to transform the Saint-Malo Declaration into reality (Howorth, <span>2014</span>). That quest has taken on a bewildering variety of forms, but underlying all of them has been the challenge of clearly defining the relationship between CSDP and NATO. The CSDP project has faced three major obstacles, which have persisted over time. First is the very fact that NATO existed: what precise role was there for CSDP? Second is the reality that every US president since George H. W. Bush has actively opposed greater European autonomy. And third is the fact that the EU's member states could not agree either on the nature of the defence project or on how to play the transatlantic card.</p><p>During the 2000s, the EU's more Atlanticist states, led by the United Kingdom, insisted that CSDP was little more than a regional crisis management capacity. NATO itself would – and should – continue to take responsibility for collective defence. Other member states, most notably France, did not exclude the prospect of CSDP eventually becoming a much more robust European capacity, capable of aspiring to genuine autonomy of action. To some, this implied competition with NATO. Yet France, which had left NATO's integrated military command in 1966, rejoined it in 2009. The objective, according to Hubert Védrine's official report on reintegration, was to be the ‘Europeanisation of NATO’ (Védrine, <span>2012</span>). What did that imply? In a private conversation, Védrine told me that the expression was merely an aspiration. It had no substantive meaning.</p><p>Throughout a succession of crises beginning in the 1990s (from the Bosnian and Kosovo wars to the 2014 Russian annexation of Crimea and finally the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022), the EU constantly struggled with the key conundrum of its relationship with NATO. The quasi-automatic – and quasi-universal – assumpt
赋予欧盟(EU)自己的防御能力和政策的计划现在(至少)已经有30年的历史了。虽然它是在20世纪80年代后期通过西欧联盟的重新激活而预示的(Rees, 1998),但它在克林顿总统任期的早期作为欧洲安全与防务身份(ESDI)开始存在,该身份试图授权欧洲军队作为北大西洋公约组织(北约)内部具有自己的指挥链的独特军事能力(Howorth, 2000,第22-30页)。1998年,在圣马洛举行的法英峰会启动了共同安全与防务政策(CSDP)项目。峰会宣言模糊了与北约的联系,声明“欧盟必须有自主行动的能力,以可靠的军事力量为后盾,决定使用它们的手段,并准备好这样做,以应对国际危机”(欧洲防务联合宣言,1998年)。“自主”这个词出现了。25年来,欧盟一直在努力将《圣马洛宣言》变为现实(Howorth, 2014)。这种追求的形式五花八门,令人眼花缭乱,但所有这些形式背后的挑战都是如何明确界定CSDP与北约之间的关系。CSDP项目面临着三个主要障碍,这些障碍一直存在。首先是北约存在的事实:CSDP的确切角色是什么?其次是一个现实:自乔治•h•w•布什(George H. W. Bush)以来,每一位美国总统都积极反对欧洲获得更大的自治权。第三个事实是,欧盟成员国既无法就防务项目的性质达成一致,也无法就如何打跨大西洋这张牌达成一致。在2000年代,以英国为首的欧盟更倾向于大西洋的国家坚持认为,CSDP只不过是一种区域危机管理能力。北约本身将——也应该——继续承担集体防御的责任。其他成员国,尤其是法国,并没有排除CSDP最终成为一个强大得多的欧洲力量的可能性,有能力追求真正的行动自主权。对一些人来说,这意味着与北约的竞争。然而,1966年退出北约一体化军事指挥的法国,在2009年重新加入了北约。根据休伯特·维萨德雷恩关于重新融入的官方报告,目标是“北约的欧洲化”(维萨德雷恩,2012)。这意味着什么?在一次私人谈话中,vsamdrine告诉我,这个表达仅仅是一种愿望。它没有实质意义。在上世纪90年代开始的一系列危机中(从波斯尼亚和科索沃战争到2014年俄罗斯吞并克里米亚,最后是2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰),欧盟一直在努力解决与北约关系的关键难题。这种半自动和准普遍的假设是,如果存在威胁出现,美国将介入保护欧洲。但真的会吗?2016年6月,欧盟发布了一项酝酿已久的战略计划,名为《外交与安全政策全球战略》[欧洲对外行动署,2016]。该文件中提到的关键目标是“战略自主”,提及次数不少于8次。这个概念难以精确定义。这是否如许多美国政客和战略专家所说的那样,是在宣布与北约竞争并独立于北约,也就是说,是在宣布独立于美国?还是像欧洲官员和发言人坚称的那样,这是战略成熟和军事决心的体现?答案远不明确,每个成员国都有自己独特的观点(Bartels et al., 2017)。在2012年以后的一系列出版物中,我认为解决这个难题的办法不在于北约和CSDP的平行共存,而在于它们的合并(Howorth, 2012, 2014a, 2017)。论点如下。几十年来,美国一直在敲响分担责任的警钟,似乎决心迫使欧洲为其邻国承担更多责任。这也是欧洲声称想要的。因此,共同策划一项战略转变,从而改变联盟内部的责任和领导平衡,同样符合双方的利益。欧洲人不应不顾美国的怀疑和抵制,试图授权CSDP与北约形成对比,也不应复制机构和能力,而应参与对联盟的有效接管,但应与美国全面合作(Howorth, 2019)。自治只能通过北约来实现。多年来,这一论点似乎演变成了许多人现在所说的“北约的欧洲支柱”(Daalder等人,2025;Ringsmose和Webber, 2020; Tardy, 2025)。它也赋予了“北约欧洲化”意义。 甚至在奥巴马执政期间,北约对利比亚的干预(首次以美国“幕后领导”为特征)之后,这种观念就开始升温。北约的任务由法英夫妇领导(Howorth, 2014b; Johnson和Mueen, 2012)。在唐纳德•特朗普(Donald Trump)总统的第一届政府领导下,越来越多的声音支持欧盟与北约(nato)加强合作,以期加快欧盟走向更大自主权的步伐,不仅在危机管理方面,而且在集体防御方面也越来越多。欧盟的CSDP并没有被抛弃。在2025年夏季,它仍然从事不少于14项民事任务和行动,4项军事训练任务和4项严格军事行动(EEAS, 2025)。把这些任务当作插曲而不予理会既无礼又不恰当。但与让欧洲准备好应对与复兴的俄罗斯之间可能存在的高强度军事冲突的挑战相比,它们当然是次要的。到2000年代中期,随着俄罗斯开始在东欧展示军事实力,欧盟与北约的直接关系成为最紧迫的关注焦点。关键的问题在于,欧盟缺乏任何宏大的战略,没有任何清晰的愿景来实现它希望在东部邻国实现的目标。其大肆吹嘘的东部伙伴关系政策被证明是一个令人沮丧的失败(Nielsen and Vilson, 2014),导致美国在2014年恢复了在欧洲和俄罗斯边境地区的联盟政策的领导地位。特朗普第一届政府的经历已经动摇了这种领导力。美国在世界各地的盟友被迫重新考虑依赖美国保护者是否明智。从东京到柏林,从堪培拉到巴黎,从首尔到布鲁塞尔,从渥太华到伦敦,关于与华盛顿安全关系性质的长期确定性被动摇了(哈斯,2020)。各地,自治的苗头占据了新闻头条。这一全球趋势在欧洲表现得尤为尖锐,因为特朗普不仅质疑北约的资金基础,甚至质疑其核心目的(基于《华盛顿条约》第5条的集体防御)。随着拜登接替特朗普,问题不再是知道新政府可能在多大程度上逆转自主主义潮流,而是决定在多大程度上能够或应该在独立与伙伴关系之间建立新的平衡。然后,在2022年2月24日,也就是拜登上任两年之后,俄罗斯入侵了乌克兰。俄罗斯-乌克兰战争导致了欧盟-北约关系展开的一个完全不同的背景(Casier, 2023)。在拜登任期的最后两年里,美国和欧盟经历了一场军事和战略上的交叉冲突。美国在监督战争准备工作的外交层面上一直占据绝对主导地位,在向基辅提供武器方面,美国虽然相对克制,但也在早期发挥了主导作用,在准备移交的军事装备类型方面,美国逐渐变得更加大胆。与此同时,拜登完全排除了派遣美国地面部队或接纳乌克兰加入北约的任何想法。事实上,拜登积极寻求将北约在危机中的形象降至最低。尽管这种新的东西方对抗似乎突出了北约的作用——瑞典和芬兰的仓促加入(Alberque和Schreer, 2022年)加强了北约的作用——但实际上,北约本身更多地充当了一个联络机制,而不是一个执行机构。另一方面,欧盟完全没有参与关于战争的讨论,虽然在组织向乌克兰转移武器方面进展缓慢,但在财政承诺方面逐渐超过了美国[基尔世界经济研究所(KIWE), 2025]。它还敦促乌克兰加入北约,并向乌克兰部署欧洲军队。然而,欧洲对乌克兰的支持绝大多数来自成员国,而不是欧盟本身(johnson - nogues and Leso, 2025)。此外,它建立在美国对这一事业的持久承诺的基础上,而这一关键因素逐渐成为美国国内政治的牺牲品。拜登政府表示将“不惜一切代价”支持乌克兰,但对最终结果或解决方案没有任何设想。它的目的是帮助乌克兰战斗,而不是取胜(Mackinnon, 2024)
{"title":"European Defence and NATO: From Competition to Co-operation to Replacement?","authors":"Jolyon Howorth","doi":"10.1111/jcms.70010","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/jcms.70010","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The project to endow the European Union (EU) with its own defence capacity and policy is now (at least) some 30 years old. Although it was adumbrated in the late 1980s via the reactivation of the <i>Western European Union</i> (Rees, <span>1998</span>), it began life in the early years of the Clinton presidency as the <i>European Security and Defence Identity</i> (ESDI), which sought to empower European forces as a distinct military capacity with its own chain of command from inside the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) (Howorth, <span>2000</span>, pp. 22–30). In 1998, the Franco-British summit in Saint-Malo launched the project that was to become the <i>Common Security and Defence Policy</i> (CSDP). The summit Declaration blurred the link with NATO by stating that ‘the Union must have the capacity for autonomous action, backed up by credible military forces, the means to decide to use them, and a readiness to do so, in order to respond to international crises’ (Joint Declaration on European Defence, <span>1998</span>). The word ‘autonomous’ was launched.</p><p>For over 25 years, the EU has striven to transform the Saint-Malo Declaration into reality (Howorth, <span>2014</span>). That quest has taken on a bewildering variety of forms, but underlying all of them has been the challenge of clearly defining the relationship between CSDP and NATO. The CSDP project has faced three major obstacles, which have persisted over time. First is the very fact that NATO existed: what precise role was there for CSDP? Second is the reality that every US president since George H. W. Bush has actively opposed greater European autonomy. And third is the fact that the EU's member states could not agree either on the nature of the defence project or on how to play the transatlantic card.</p><p>During the 2000s, the EU's more Atlanticist states, led by the United Kingdom, insisted that CSDP was little more than a regional crisis management capacity. NATO itself would – and should – continue to take responsibility for collective defence. Other member states, most notably France, did not exclude the prospect of CSDP eventually becoming a much more robust European capacity, capable of aspiring to genuine autonomy of action. To some, this implied competition with NATO. Yet France, which had left NATO's integrated military command in 1966, rejoined it in 2009. The objective, according to Hubert Védrine's official report on reintegration, was to be the ‘Europeanisation of NATO’ (Védrine, <span>2012</span>). What did that imply? In a private conversation, Védrine told me that the expression was merely an aspiration. It had no substantive meaning.</p><p>Throughout a succession of crises beginning in the 1990s (from the Bosnian and Kosovo wars to the 2014 Russian annexation of Crimea and finally the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022), the EU constantly struggled with the key conundrum of its relationship with NATO. The quasi-automatic – and quasi-universal – assumpt","PeriodicalId":51369,"journal":{"name":"Jcms-Journal of Common Market Studies","volume":"63 S1","pages":"156-168"},"PeriodicalIF":3.3,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/jcms.70010","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145375299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}