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Social Investment Policies and Childbearing Across 20 Countries: Longitudinal and Micro-Level Analyses. 20个国家的社会投资政策与生育:纵向和微观层面分析。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09626-3
Sunnee Billingsley, Gerda Neyer, Katharina Wesolowski

This study analyses the influence of family policies on women's first and second births in 20 countries over the period 1995 to 2007. Welfare states have shifted towards social investment policies, yet family policy-fertility research has not explicitly considered this development. We distinguish between social investment-oriented and passive support that families may receive upon the birth of a child and consider changes in policies over time. These indicators are merged with fertility histories provided by harmonized individual-level data, and we use time-conditioned, fixed effects linear probability models. We find higher social investment-oriented support to be correlated with increased first birth probabilities, in contrast to passive family support. First birth probabilities particularly declined with higher passive family support for women over age 30, which points to a potential increase in childlessness. Social investment-oriented support is positively related to first and second births particularly for lower-educated women and has no relationship to childbirth for highly educated women, countering the Matthew-effect assumptions about social investment policies. Passive support is negatively related to second births for post-secondary educated women and those who are studying. Family policies that support women's employment and labour market attachment are positively linked to family expansion and these policies minimize educational differences in childbearing.

本研究分析了1995 - 2007年间20个国家的家庭政策对妇女生育第一胎和第二胎的影响。福利国家已经转向社会投资政策,但家庭政策-生育研究并没有明确考虑到这一发展。我们区分以社会投资为导向的支持和家庭在孩子出生时可能得到的被动支持,并考虑随着时间的推移政策的变化。这些指标与统一的个人水平数据提供的生育历史合并,我们使用时间条件,固定效应线性概率模型。我们发现,与被动的家庭支持相比,更高的社会投资导向支持与增加的第一胎概率相关。对30岁以上女性的被动家庭支持越多,第一次生育的可能性就越低,这表明无子女的可能性可能会增加。以社会投资为导向的支持与第一胎和第二胎呈正相关,特别是对受教育程度较低的妇女,而与受教育程度较高的妇女的生育没有关系,这与关于社会投资政策的马修效应假设相反。被动支持与受过高等教育的妇女和正在学习的妇女的第二胎负相关。支持妇女就业和依附劳动力市场的家庭政策与家庭扩大有积极联系,这些政策尽量减少生育方面的教育差异。
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引用次数: 1
Life-Course Trajectories of Childless Women: Country-Specific or Universal? 无子女妇女的生命轨迹:具体国家还是普遍?
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09624-5
Valentina Tocchioni, Anna Rybińska, Monika Mynarska, Anna Matysiak, Daniele Vignoli

While existing research has documented complexities in biographies of childless women, few studies to date have systematically examined the life-course pathways of the childless from a comparative, cross-country perspective. In this paper, we analyse biographies of childless women in four countries-Germany, Italy, Poland, and the United States-in order to investigate whether pathways into childlessness are country-specific or commonly shared across institutional, cultural, and geographical settings. Partnership, education, and employment histories are examined using sequence analysis with dynamic Hamming distance and cluster analysis. Discrepancy analysis indicates a country-effect in women's biographies although life-course patterns identified in each country share similarities. Overall, seven life-course trajectories have been identified, with the most numerous cluster comprising single, working women who completed their education at a relatively young age. The results highlight a marked variation in the life-courses of childless women. Put together, these findings provide descriptive evidence for both country-specificity and cross-country similarity in the pathways to childlessness.

虽然现有的研究记录了无子女妇女传记的复杂性,但迄今为止,很少有研究从比较的、跨国的角度系统地考察了无子女妇女的生命历程。在本文中,我们分析了四个国家(德国、意大利、波兰和美国)无子女妇女的传记,以调查导致无子女的途径是国家特有的,还是在制度、文化和地理环境中普遍存在。合作伙伴关系,教育和就业历史检查使用序列分析与动态汉明距离和聚类分析。差异分析表明,尽管每个国家确定的生命历程模式都有相似之处,但女性传记存在国家效应。总的来说,已经确定了七种人生轨迹,其中最多的一类是在相对年轻的时候完成教育的单身职业妇女。研究结果突出表明,无子女妇女的生命历程存在显著差异。综上所述,这些发现为国家特殊性和国家间无子女途径的相似性提供了描述性证据。
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引用次数: 1
The Decline of Spanish Fertility: The Role of Religion. 西班牙生育率的下降:宗教的作用。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09644-1
Ryohei Mogi, Albert Esteve, Vegard F Skirbekk

The Spanish total fertility rate declined from 2.8 to below 1.4 children per woman from 1975 to 2020. Spain is categorized as a "lowest-low fertility" country. Although there have been many attempts to explain the Spanish fertility decline, there has been an insufficient focus been given to religion. This brief report aims to analyse how religious affiliation, particularly being Catholics, associates with fertility behaviours-entering parenthood and the total number of children. Using three nationally representative surveys, we show that, compared with the religiously non-affiliated, Catholic women have a higher likelihood of entering parenthood after controlling for demographic, union status and educational characteristics. After controlling for changes in education and union formation, changes in religious affiliation account for approximately 4% of the cohort variation in the age at first birth, but there is no significant contribution for men nor to the total number of children for both sexes.

从1975年到2020年,西班牙的总生育率从每名妇女生育2.8个孩子下降到1.4个以下。西班牙被列为“最低-低生育率”国家。尽管有很多人试图解释西班牙生育率下降的原因,但对宗教的关注不够。这份简短的报告旨在分析宗教信仰,特别是天主教徒,如何与生育行为——进入父母身份和子女总数——联系起来。通过三个具有全国代表性的调查,我们发现,在控制了人口统计、婚姻状况和教育特征后,与无宗教信仰的女性相比,天主教女性更有可能成为父母。在控制了教育和婚姻形成的变化后,宗教信仰的变化约占首次生育年龄队列变化的4%,但对男性和男女子女总数没有显著贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Choosing a Major and a Partner: Field of Study and Union Formation Among College-Educated Women in Europe. 选择专业和伴侣:欧洲受过大学教育的女性的学习领域和婚姻形成。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09621-8
Dana Hamplová, Alena Bičáková

In this paper, we explore the patterns of assortative mating among college-educated women who graduated from typically female, typically male, or mixed disciplines. Using a set of cross-sectional observations of a single cohort of female graduates (2010) from European Union Labour Force Survey data and applying multilevel multinomial logit models, we estimated the relative risk of living with a college-educated partner (homogamy), living with less educated partner (hypogamy), or being single. Focusing on the first five years after graduation, the analysis demonstrated that field of study is a significant predictor of mating behaviour. Women with degrees in male-dominated fields are less likely to partner down with less educated men. The mating advantage of women from male-dominated fields is stronger in countries with a higher female employment rate. Furthermore, more liberal gender roles seem to increase the level of singlehood among women from male-dominated fields. Finally, women from female-dominated and mixed disciplines are more likely to partner down if the man graduated from a male-typical discipline. However, among women from male-dominated disciplines, such a trade-off was not observed.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10680-022-09621-8.

在本文中,我们探讨了从典型的女性、典型的男性或混合学科毕业的受过大学教育的女性的分类交配模式。通过对欧盟劳动力调查(European Union Labour Survey)中一组女性毕业生(2010年)的横断面观察,并应用多层次多项logit模型,我们估计了与受过大学教育的伴侣(同性婚姻)、与受教育程度较低的伴侣(一夫多妻制)或单身的相对风险。重点关注毕业后的前五年,分析表明,学习领域是一个重要的预测交配行为。在男性主导的领域拥有学位的女性不太可能与受教育程度较低的男性合作。在女性就业率较高的国家,来自男性主导领域的女性的择偶优势更强。此外,更自由的性别角色似乎增加了男性主导领域的女性的单身水平。最后,如果男性毕业于男性主导的专业,那么来自女性主导和混合专业的女性更有可能放弃合作。然而,在男性主导学科的女性中,没有观察到这种权衡。补充资料:在线版本包含补充资料,下载地址:10.1007/s10680-022-09621-8。
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引用次数: 1
Extreme Temperature and Mortality by Educational Attainment in Spain, 2012-2018. 2012-2018年西班牙极端气温和受教育程度死亡率。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09641-4
Risto Conte Keivabu

Extreme temperatures are a threat to public health, increasing mortality in the affected population. Moreover, there is substantial research showing how age and gender shape vulnerabilities to this environmental risk. However, there is only limited knowledge on how socioeconomic status (SES), operationalized using educational attainment, stratifies the effect of extreme temperatures on mortality. Here, we address this link using Poisson regression and administrative data from 2012 to 2018 for 50 Spanish Provinces on individuals aged above 65 matched with meteorological data provided by the E-OBS dataset. In line with previous studies, results show that hot and cold days increase mortality. Results on the interaction between SES and extreme temperatures show a positive and significant effect of exposure to heat and cold for individuals with medium and low SES level. Conversely, for high SES individuals we do not find evidence of a robust association with heat or cold. We further investigate how the local climate moderates these associations. A warmer climate increases risks with exposures to low temperatures and vice versa for hot temperatures in the pooled sample. Moreover, we observe that results are mostly driven by low SES individuals being particularly vulnerable to heat in colder climates and cold in warmer climates. In conclusion, results highlight how educational attainment stratifies the effect of extreme temperatures and the relevance of the local climate in shaping risks of low SES individuals aged above 65.

极端气温对公众健康构成威胁,增加了受影响人群的死亡率。此外,有大量研究表明,年龄和性别如何影响对这种环境风险的脆弱性。然而,关于社会经济地位(SES)如何利用受教育程度将极端温度对死亡率的影响分层的认识有限。在这里,我们使用泊松回归和2012年至2018年西班牙50个省65岁以上个人的行政数据来解决这一联系,这些数据与E-OBS数据集提供的气象数据相匹配。与之前的研究一致,结果表明,炎热和寒冷的天气会增加死亡率。社会经济地位与极端温度的交互作用结果表明,中低社会经济地位个体的冷热暴露效应显著。相反,对于高SES个体,我们没有发现与热或冷有强烈联系的证据。我们进一步研究了当地气候如何调节这些关联。较暖的气候增加了暴露在低温下的风险,反之亦然,在汇集的样本中暴露在高温下。此外,我们观察到,这些结果主要是由低SES个体在寒冷气候下特别容易受到热量的影响,而在温暖气候下特别容易受到寒冷的影响。总之,研究结果强调了教育程度如何分层极端温度的影响和当地气候在塑造65岁以上低社会经济地位个体风险中的相关性。
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引用次数: 2
Disentangling the Long-term Effects of Divorce Circumstances on Father-Child Closeness in Adulthood: A Mediation Analysis. 厘清离婚环境对成年后父子亲密关系的长期影响:调解分析
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-10-19 eCollection Date: 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09636-1
Juul Spaan, Ruben van Gaalen, Matthijs Kalmijn

Many studies have shown that the relationship between nonresidential fathers and their children in youth has a lasting influence on their relationship in adulthood. Comparatively less is known about the process through which divorce affects father-child relationships. We assess if and how the divorce circumstances of interparental conflict, the presence of new partners, and geographical distance between parents affect nonresidential father-child closeness in adulthood. Using a path model, we test whether father-adult child closeness is mediated by fathers' involvement after divorce. The results of this study demonstrate that the level of interparental conflict and the presence of a fathers' new partner after the divorce negatively affect the closeness between fathers and children in adulthood. Our mediation analysis demonstrates that both the effects of interparental conflict and new partnerships on closeness are partially mediated by father involvement and contact frequency during childhood. In other words, it is partly through the negative effect that interparental conflict and new partners have on fathers' involvement that fathers and children become less close later in life. Our study highlights the importance of disentangling the effects of different factors associated with divorce when examining nonresidential father-child relationships.

许多研究表明,非住家父亲与子女在青年时期的关系会对他们成年后的关系产生持久的影响。相对而言,人们对离婚影响父子关系的过程了解较少。我们评估了父母之间的冲突、新伴侣的出现以及父母之间的地理距离等离婚情况是否会影响成年后非住家父亲与子女的亲密关系,以及如何影响这种关系。通过路径模型,我们检验了父亲与成年子女的亲密关系是否会受到离婚后父亲参与的影响。研究结果表明,父母间的冲突程度以及离婚后父亲新伴侣的存在对成年后父亲与子女的亲密度有负面影响。我们的中介分析表明,父母间的冲突和新伴侣对亲子关系的影响在一定程度上受到父亲在童年时期的参与和接触频率的影响。换句话说,正是由于父母间的冲突和新伴侣对父亲参与的负面影响,父亲和子女在以后的生活中变得不那么亲密。我们的研究强调了在研究非住家父子关系时,将与离婚相关的不同因素的影响区分开来的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Wealth in Couples: Introduction to the Special Issue. 夫妻财富:特刊简介。
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-09-22 eCollection Date: 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09640-5
Philipp M Lersch, Emanuela Struffolino, Agnese Vitali

The assumption that economic resources are equally shared within households has been found to be untenable for income but is still often upheld for wealth. In this introduction to the special issue "Wealth in Couples", we argue that within-household inequality in wealth is a pertinent and under-researched area that is ripe for development. To this end, we outline the relevance of wealth for demographic research, making the distinction between individual and household wealth. Drawing on a life-course perspective, we discuss individual wealth accumulation within couples and its links to family-demographic processes, the institutional context, and norms on pooling and sharing. We conclude with a brief summary of the main findings from the special issue and highlight implications for demographic research and for future research in this field.

就收入而言,家庭内部平等分享经济资源的假设已经站不住脚,但就财富而言,这一假设仍经常被坚持。在这篇 "夫妇财富 "特刊的导言中,我们认为家庭内部财富不平等是一个相关且研究不足的领域,其发展时机已经成熟。为此,我们概述了财富与人口学研究的相关性,并对个人财富和家庭财富进行了区分。从生命历程的角度出发,我们讨论了夫妻内部的个人财富积累及其与家庭人口过程、制度背景以及共有和分享规范之间的联系。最后,我们简要总结了本特刊的主要发现,并强调了对人口学研究和该领域未来研究的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Non-intact Families and Children's Educational Outcomes: Comparing Native and Migrant Pupils. 非亲密家庭与儿童的教育成果:比较本地学生和移民学生。
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-09-05 eCollection Date: 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09638-z
Raffaele Guetto, Francesca Zanasi, Maria Carella

This study explores whether the association between living in a single-parent household and children's educational outcomes differs by migration background through comparing natives with first- and second-generation migrant pupils from different areas of origin. While there is strong evidence of an educational gap between migrant and native pupils in Western countries-and particularly in Italy-the interaction with family structure has been under-investigated. We suggest that native children have more socioeconomic resources to lose as a consequence of parental breakups, and thus may experience more negative consequences from living in a single-parent household compared to migrant children, who tend to have poorer educational outcomes regardless of family disruptions. Moreover, for migrant children, family disruption could result from parents' migratory project (transnationalism) rather than separation or divorce, thus not necessarily implying parental conflict and a deteriorating family environment. Empirical analyses of data from the ISTAT 'Integration of the Second Generation' survey (2015) show that native Italian pupils from single-parent households in lower secondary schools are more strongly penalised in terms of grades, and less likely to aspire to the most prestigious upper secondary tracks when compared to second- and, especially, first-generation children. Indeed, the latter have been found to experience virtually no negative consequences from parental absence. Contrary to expectations, we found no substantial differences in the non-intact penalty based on the reason for parental absence (transnationalism vs divorce), nor by migrants' area of origin.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10680-022-09638-z.

本研究通过比较本地学生与来自不同原籍地区的第一代和第二代移民学生,探讨生活在单亲家庭与儿童教育成果之间的关系是否因移民背景而异。虽然有确凿证据表明,在西方国家,特别是在意大利,移民学生与本地学生之间存在教育差距,但与家庭结构之间的相互作用却未得到充分研究。我们认为,本地儿童因父母离异而失去的社会经济资源更多,因此与移民儿童相比,生活在单亲家庭中的移民儿童可能会经历更多的负面影响。此外,对于移民儿童来说,家庭破裂可能是由于父母的移民项目(跨国主义)而不是分居或离婚造成的,因此并不一定意味着父母冲突和家庭环境恶化。对意大利国家统计局(ISTAT)"第二代融入 "调查(2015 年)数据的实证分析表明,与第二代,尤其是第一代儿童相比,来自单亲家庭的意大利本土初中学生在成绩方面受到的惩罚更大,更不可能向往最负盛名的高中教育。事实上,我们发现后者几乎没有受到父母缺席的负面影响。与预期相反,我们发现非接触式惩罚与父母缺席的原因(跨国主义与离婚)以及移民的原籍地区没有实质性差异:在线版本包含补充材料,可查阅 10.1007/s10680-022-09638-z。
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引用次数: 0
My Wealth, (Y)Our Life Satisfaction? Sole and Joint Wealth Ownership and Life Satisfaction in Marriage. 我的财富,(Y)我们的生活满意度?婚姻中的单独和共同财产所有权与生活满意度。
IF 1.9 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-08-30 eCollection Date: 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09630-7
Nicole Kapelle, Theresa Nutz, Daria Tisch, Manuel Schechtl, Philipp M Lersch, Emanuela Struffolino

This study examines the money-subjective well-being nexus by studying the link between changes in jointly and solely (i.e. respondents' own and their partner's own) held gross wealth and changes in married individuals' subjective well-being. Joint assets reflect norms of sharing responsibilities and resources. Solely held assets, in contrast, offer individual economic independence. Using wealth data from the German Socio-Economic Panel Study (SOEP; 2002, 2007, 2012, 2017), we estimate individual fixed effects regressions. Although coefficients for all three wealth measures are positive, our results highlight that only increases in jointly held wealth are associated with statistically significant increases in spouses' life satisfaction in Germany. Despite expectations about a stronger relevance of joint wealth for men compared to women in line with men's role as a financial provider for the family, we do not find substantial gender differences in the positive association between increases in joint wealth and life satisfaction. In light of the individualisation of marriages, our results highlight that the personal benefits associated with marital sharing of wealth seem to trump those of economic independence and financial autonomy.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10680-022-09630-7.

本研究通过研究共同和单独(即受访者本人及其伴侣本人)持有的总财富的变化与已婚人士主观幸福感变化之间的联系,探讨了金钱与主观幸福感之间的关系。共同财产反映了责任和资源共享的准则。相比之下,单独持有的资产则提供了个人经济的独立性。利用德国社会经济面板研究(SOEP;2002、2007、2012、2017 年)的财富数据,我们对个人固定效应进行了回归估计。尽管所有三种财富衡量指标的系数都是正的,但我们的结果突出表明,在德国,只有共同持有财富的增加才与配偶生活满意度在统计上的显著提高相关联。尽管根据男性作为家庭经济支柱的角色,共同财产对男性的相关性要强于对女性的相关性,但我们并没有发现共同财产的增加与生活满意度之间的正相关性存在实质性的性别差异。鉴于婚姻的个性化,我们的研究结果突出表明,与婚姻分享财富相关的个人利益似乎胜过经济独立和财务自主的个人利益:在线版本包含补充材料,可在 10.1007/s10680-022-09630-7 上查阅。
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引用次数: 0
Pension Wealth and the Gender Wealth Gap. 养老金财富与性别贫富差距。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-08-22 eCollection Date: 2022-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10680-022-09631-6
Karla Cordova, Markus M Grabka, Eva Sierminska

We examine the gender wealth gap with a focus on pension wealth and statutory pension rights. By taking into account employment characteristics of women and men, we are able to identify the extent to which the redistributive effect of pension rights reduces the gender wealth gap. The data for our analysis come from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP), one of the few surveys that collects information on wealth and pension entitlements at the individual level. Pension wealth data are available in the SOEP for 2012 only. While the relative raw gender wealth gap is about 35% (or 31,000 euros) when analysing the standard measure of net worth, it shrinks to 28% when pension wealth is added. This reduction is due to redistributive elements such as caregiver credits provided through the statutory pension scheme. Results of a recentred influence functions (RIF) decomposition show that pension wealth reduces the gap substantially in the lower half of the distribution. At the 90th percentile, the gender wealth gap in net worth and in augmented wealth remains more stable at roughly 27-30%.

我们以养老金财富和法定养老金权利为重点研究性别财富差距。通过考虑女性和男性的就业特征,我们能够确定养老金权利的再分配效应在多大程度上缩小了性别财富差距。我们分析的数据来自德国社会经济调查小组(SOEP),这是为数不多的从个人层面收集财富和养老金信息的调查之一。养老金财富数据仅在2012年的SOEP中可用。虽然在分析净资产的标准衡量标准时,相对原始的性别财富差距约为35%(或3.1万欧元),但在加上养老金财富后,这一差距缩小至28%。减少的原因是再分配因素,如通过法定养恤金计划提供的照顾者抵免。最近中心影响函数(RIF)分解的结果表明,养老金财富大大缩小了分配的下半部分的差距。在第90个百分位,净资产和增加财富的性别财富差距保持在27-30%左右的稳定水平。
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引用次数: 4
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European Journal of Population-Revue Europeenne De Demographie
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