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Do people trust humans more than ChatGPT? 相比 ChatGPT,人们更信任人类吗?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102239
Joy Buchanan , William Hickman

We explore whether people trust the accuracy of statements produced by large language models (LLMs) versus those written by humans. While LLMs have showcased impressive capabilities in generating text, concerns have been raised regarding the potential for misinformation, bias, or false responses. In this experiment, participants rate the accuracy of statements under different information conditions. Participants who are not explicitly informed of authorship tend to trust statements they believe are human-written more than those attributed to ChatGPT. However, when informed about authorship, participants show equal skepticism towards both human and AI writers. Informed participants are, overall, more likely to choose costly fact-checking. These outcomes suggest that trust in AI-generated content is context-dependent.

我们探讨了人们是否信任大型语言模型(LLM)生成的语句与人类撰写的语句的准确性。虽然大型语言模型在生成文本方面展示了令人印象深刻的能力,但人们也对其可能产生的误导、偏见或错误回应表示担忧。在本实验中,参与者在不同的信息条件下对语句的准确性进行评分。在没有明确告知作者的情况下,参与者倾向于更信任他们认为是人工撰写的语句,而不是那些归功于 ChatGPT 的语句。然而,当被告知作者身份时,参与者对人类和人工智能作者表现出同等的怀疑态度。总体而言,知情的参与者更倾向于选择代价高昂的事实核查。这些结果表明,对人工智能生成内容的信任取决于具体情况。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the mental health-based poverty trap: Dynamics in psychological distress and financial precariousness, and the role of self-efficacy 了解基于心理健康的贫困陷阱:心理困扰和经济不稳定的动态变化以及自我效能的作用
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102219
Ingebjørg Kristoffersen , Dan Hoang , Ian W. Li

A growing body of evidence suggests poor mental health is associated with sub-optimal economic preferences and behaviours. However, much of this evidence is correlational, and this paper aims to address a call for more research on dynamics. We use rich panel data to evaluate within-individual dynamics in financial management and mental health. We observe increased (decreased) difficulty in managing financial affairs following periods of increased (reduced) psychological distress. Importantly, these dynamics occur in the absence of observable changes to objective financial circumstances (i.e. income and wealth shocks), and are robust with respect to a range of alternative approaches to measurement. Further, we show that most of the association between change in psychological distress and change in financial precariousness (concurrently and subsequently) can be attributed to change in self-efficacy. This supports the idea that investment in mental health will yield important additional benefits via the capacity to empower individuals to make better decisions and escape mental health-based poverty-traps.

越来越多的证据表明,心理健康状况不佳与次优经济偏好和行为有关。然而,这些证据大多是相关性的,本文旨在响应关于开展更多动态研究的呼吁。我们使用丰富的面板数据来评估财务管理和心理健康的个体内部动态变化。我们观察到,在心理困扰增加(减少)的时期,财务管理的难度会增加(减少)。重要的是,这些动态变化是在客观财务状况(即收入和财富冲击)没有发生可观察到的变化的情况下发生的,并且在一系列替代性测量方法中都是稳健的。此外,我们还表明,心理困扰的变化与财务不稳定性的变化(同时和随后)之间的大部分关联都可归因于自我效能的变化。这支持了这样一种观点,即对心理健康的投资将通过增强个人做出更好决定的能力和摆脱基于心理健康的贫困陷阱的能力而产生重要的额外收益。
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引用次数: 0
Deterrence strength in TV fee enforcement: Field evidence from the Czech Republic 电视收费执行中的威慑力量:捷克共和国的实地证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102245
Kateřina Chadimová

Nudges have been shown to influence behavior across various domains, including tax payments. Although nudges that exploit the deterrence motivation are generally considered most effective, evidence of their effectiveness in terms of the degree of deterrent information included is limited. To address these gaps, we conducted a natural mailing experiment to measure compliance with TV fee payments among a sample of households that failed to respond to an initial communication. In addition to studying the strength of deterrence, our study investigates the impact of treatment timing and content simplification on the compliance rate. The results reveal substantial effects of the strongest deterrent information, resulting in a 25 % increase in the payment registration rate. Treatments with a lower deterrence level did not show improvement from the baseline. We also demonstrate that timing matters, as reminders sent closer to the original response deadline (i.e., earlier) motivate 18 % more households to register for payment. The combined effect of the strongest deterrence and simplification leads to a 59 % increase in registrations. This implies that people are more likely to exhibit compliant behavior when the potential consequences of noncompliance are made more salient, and information is conveyed in a timely and simplified manner.

事实证明,劝告可以影响包括纳税在内的各个领域的行为。尽管利用威慑动机的劝告通常被认为是最有效的,但从所包含的威慑信息程度来看,其有效性的证据却很有限。为了弥补这些不足,我们进行了一次自然邮寄实验,以衡量未对初次沟通做出回应的家庭样本对缴纳电视费的依从性。除了研究威慑的强度,我们的研究还调查了处理时机和内容简化对遵守率的影响。结果显示,最强威慑信息的效果非常明显,使缴费登记率提高了 25%。威慑程度较低的处理方式与基线相比并无改善。我们还证明了时间的重要性,因为在离最初答复截止日期较近的时候(即较早的时候)发送的提醒信息促使登记付款的家庭增加了 18%。在最强威慑和简化的共同作用下,登记人数增加了 59%。这意味着,如果不遵守规定的潜在后果更加突出,而且信息传递及时、简化,那么人们就更有可能表现出遵守规定的行为。
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引用次数: 0
Advice and behavior in a dictator game: An experimental study 独裁者游戏中的建议与行为:实验研究
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102243
Simin He, Xintong Pan

We experimentally examine the effects of advice on decision making in a dictator game in which participants receive no advice, selfish advice, or fair advice before making decisions and the advisors do not benefit from the decision makers’ actions. We find that participants receiving fair advice are more inclined to exhibit fair behavior, whereas those receiving selfish advice are more likely to act selfishly; however, no significant difference in magnitude between the effects of fair and selfish advice is found. We also discover that both types of advice have a more pronounced impact on participants with relatively lower social tendencies, as indicated by the social value orientation test. This study is the first to directly demonstrate the impact of fair and selfish advice in moral dilemmas.

我们通过实验研究了独裁者游戏中建议对决策的影响,在该游戏中,参与者在做出决策前不会收到任何建议、自私建议或公平建议,且顾问不会从决策者的行为中获益。我们发现,接受公平建议的参与者更倾向于表现出公平的行为,而接受自私建议的参与者则更有可能采取自私的行为;但是,我们并没有发现公平建议和自私建议的影响程度有显著差异。我们还发现,这两种建议对社会价值取向测试显示的社会倾向相对较低的参与者的影响更为明显。本研究首次直接证明了公平和自私建议在道德困境中的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Algorithmic trading, what if it is just an illusion? Evidence from experimental asset markets 算法交易,如果只是一种假象呢?来自实验资产市场的证据
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102240
Sandrine Jacob-Leal , Nobuyuki Hanaki

We experimentally investigate whether and how the potential presence of algorithmic trading (AT) in human-only asset markets can influence humans’ price forecasts, trading activities and price dynamics. Two trading strategies commonly employed by high-frequency traders, spoofing (SP) - associated with market manipulation - and market making (MM) - seen as liquidity provision - are considered. These experiments reveal that, first, the mere expectation of SP traders can, at first, impair price convergence towards fundamentals. Second, the expected presence of AT, especially MM traders, induce larger initial price forecasts deviations from fundamentals. Third, despite the absence of AT in our experiments, the information about the presence of AT, employing MM strategy, is sufficient to alter subjects trading behavior over time and the impact of past realized prices on subjects’ order prices.

我们通过实验研究了算法交易(AT)在纯人类资产市场中的潜在存在是否以及如何影响人类的价格预测、交易活动和价格动态。我们考虑了高频交易者通常采用的两种交易策略,即与操纵市场有关的欺骗(SP)和被视为提供流动性的做市(MM)。这些实验表明,首先,仅仅是对 SP 交易者的预期一开始就会影响价格向基本面靠拢。其次,对 AT(特别是 MM 交易者)存在的预期会导致初始价格预测偏离基本面更大。第三,尽管我们的实验中不存在AT,但采用MM策略的AT存在的信息足以改变受试者随着时间推移的交易行为,以及过去已实现价格对受试者订单价格的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Is ambiguity aversion a preference? Ambiguity aversion without asymmetric information 模糊厌恶是一种偏好吗?没有不对称信息的模糊厌恶
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102218
Daniel L. Chen

Ambiguity aversion is the interpretation of the experimental finding (the Ellsberg paradox) that most subjects prefer betting on events whose probabilities are known (objective) to betting on events whose probabilities are unknown (subjective). However in typical experiments these unknown probabilities are known by others. Thus the typical Ellsberg experiment is a situation of asymmetric information. People may try to avoid situations where they are the less informed party, which is normatively appropriate. We find that eliminating asymmetric information in the Ellsberg experiment while leaving ambiguity in place, makes subjects prefer the ambiguous bet over the objective one, reversing the prior results.

模糊厌恶是对实验发现(埃尔斯伯格悖论)的解释,即大多数受试者更喜欢对概率已知(客观)的事件下注,而不是对概率未知(主观)的事件下注。然而,在典型的实验中,这些未知概率是被其他人知道的。因此,典型的埃尔斯伯格实验就是一种信息不对称的情况。人们可能会尽量避免自己是信息不对称的一方,这在规范上是合适的。我们发现,消除埃尔斯伯格实验中的信息不对称,同时保留模棱两可的情况,会使受试者更喜欢模棱两可的赌注,而不是客观的赌注,这与之前的结果正好相反。
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引用次数: 0
Are ambiguity preferences aligned with risk preferences? 模糊性偏好与风险偏好是否一致?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102237
Kene Boun My , Marielle Brunette , Stéphane Couture , Sarah Van Driessche

Decisions under risk and ambiguity are frequently encountered in our daily lives, and the associated preferences are often quantified. This article deals with the relationship between individuals’ preferences towards risk and ambiguity. In particular, we question the correlation of the preferences and their alignment. For that purpose, we analyze experimental data that measures individuals’ risk and ambiguity preferences through a lottery choice experiment. The results indicate that most of the subjects are risk-loving and ambiguity-averse. We also show that risk preferences and ambiguity preferences are negatively correlated. Finally, we prove that the majority of subjects have preferences towards ambiguity that are aligned with those towards risk, either perfectly or weakly. Thirty-four percent of the sample has preferences towards ambiguity that are the opposite of those towards risk.

在我们的日常生活中,经常会遇到风险和模糊性下的决策,而相关的偏好往往是量化的。本文探讨了个人对风险和模糊性的偏好之间的关系。特别是,我们对偏好的相关性及其一致性提出了质疑。为此,我们分析了通过彩票选择实验来衡量个人风险偏好和模糊偏好的实验数据。结果表明,大多数受试者都是风险偏好者和模糊偏好者。我们还表明,风险偏好和模糊偏好呈负相关。最后,我们证明了大多数受试者对模糊性的偏好与对风险的偏好是完全一致或弱一致的。样本中有 34% 的人对模糊性的偏好与对风险的偏好相反。
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引用次数: 0
Does waste management policy crowd out social and moral motives for recycling? 废物管理政策是否会挤掉回收利用的社会和道德动机?
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102233
Ida Ferrara , Paul Missios

Social and moral motivations can influence households’ decisions regarding pro-environmental behavior, such as recycling. In a theoretical framework that allows for these motivations, we analyze how policies such as unit pricing and mandatory recycling affect whether and, in the presence of heterogeneous households, the extent to which a society recycles. We show that unit pricing enhances the effect of intrinsic motivation while mandatory recycling can erode it (depending on the marginal utility of self-image and the recycling cost-to-benefit ratio). We empirically investigate the relationship between policy and intrinsic motivation, using different cutoffs for recyclers and non-recyclers, and find support for our theoretical predictions.

社会和道德动机会影响家庭对回收利用等环保行为的决策。在考虑到这些动机的理论框架下,我们分析了单位定价和强制回收等政策如何影响家庭是否回收,以及在存在异质性家庭的情况下,社会回收的程度。我们的研究表明,单位定价会增强内在动机的效果,而强制回收则会削弱内在动机(取决于自我形象的边际效用和回收成本收益比)。我们使用回收者和非回收者的不同分界线,对政策与内在动机之间的关系进行了实证研究,结果支持了我们的理论预测。
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引用次数: 0
Intergenerational transmission of financial biases 金融偏见的代际传递
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102234
Gizem Turna Cebeci

The aim of this study is to test the intergenerational transmission of frequently observed financial biases. We elicited financial biases of first-year university students and their parents. Results indicate the intergenerational transmission of illusion of control, loss-aversion, and overconfidence from parents to children as well as transmission of affinity bias only from parents to daughters. Financial knowledge and saving habits of students have a strong influence on the transmission of financial biases. In addition, we found a moderate effect of economic preferences in the transmission process.

本研究旨在检验经常观察到的财务偏见的代际传递。我们调查了大学一年级学生及其父母的财务偏见。结果表明,控制幻觉、损失厌恶和过度自信会从父母传给子女,而亲和性偏差只会从父母传给女儿。学生的金融知识和储蓄习惯对金融偏见的传播有很大影响。此外,我们还发现经济偏好在传播过程中也有一定的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Simplify and Deter: Nudging waste collection fee debtors 简化和威慑:引导废物收集费欠款人
IF 1.6 3区 经济学 Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.socec.2024.102225
Matúš Sloboda, Patrik Pavlovský , Emília Sičáková-Beblavá

A field quasi-experiment was conducted in cooperation with the local public administration on the waste collection agenda, testing two versions of a standard notice were tested against a control notice targeted at debtors. Both simplified versions, which included a deterrence message, were more effective than the control notice in promoting compliance. However, the version that emphasized the negative consequences of nonpayment, specifically the risk of high interest rates, was more effective in increasing tax compliance than the version that included a descriptive social norm to soften the communication toward fee debtors. The study suggests that adding a social norm to a simplified notice with deterrence does not further increase tax compliance. In addition, the notice had a greater positive effect on fee debtors who had missed only one payment than on those who had missed multiple payments of waste collection fee.

与地方公共行政部门合作,就废物收集议程进行了一次实地准实验,测试了两个版本的标准通知与针对债务人的对照通知。两个简化版本都包含威慑信息,在促进遵守规定方面比对照通知更有效。然而,在提高纳税遵从度方面,强调不缴税的负面影响(特别是高利率风险)的版本比包含描述性社会规范以缓和对收费债务人的宣传的版本更为有效。研究表明,在具有威慑力的简化通知中加入社会规范并不会进一步提高纳税遵从度。此外,该通知对只拖欠过一次费用的欠费者的积极影响要大于拖欠过多次废品收购费的欠费者。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics
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