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Availability analysis of private cloud safety computer platform based on markov process 基于马尔可夫过程的私有云安全计算机平台可用性分析
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdad004
Limin Fu, Jiakun Wen
To solve the problem that it is difficult to calculate the availability analysis of the existing private cloud safety computer platform, this paper proposes an executable availability analysis method of the private cloud safety computer platform based on Markov process. Firstly, according to the characteristics of private cloud safety computer platform, the executor is divided into three states: running, hot standby and cold standby. Secondly, the dynamic migration Markov model of private cloud safety computer platform is established. Then the equations based on Markov process are solved. Finally, the availability analysis model of private cloud safety computer platform based on Markov process is used to analyze the factors affecting the availability of the platform. Experimental results show that increasing the number of hot spare actuators can improve platform availability.
为了解决现有私有云安全计算机平台的可用性分析难以计算的问题,本文提出了一种基于马尔可夫过程的私有云安全计算平台的可执行可用性分析方法。首先,根据私有云安全计算机平台的特点,将执行器分为运行、热备和冷备三种状态。其次,建立了私有云安全计算机平台的动态迁移马尔可夫模型。然后求解了基于马尔可夫过程的方程组。最后,利用基于马尔可夫过程的私有云安全计算机平台可用性分析模型,分析了影响平台可用性的因素。实验结果表明,增加热备用执行器的数量可以提高平台的可用性。
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引用次数: 0
Simulation of Fire emergency evacuation in a large-passenger-flow subway station based on the on-site measured data of shenzhen metro 基于深圳地铁现场实测数据的大客流地铁站火灾应急疏散模拟
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdad006
Hua Chen, Chenyang Zhang, Jieyu Zhang, Ya Shu, Xinjian Qi, Chaozhe Jiang
Because of its large capacity, high efficiency, and energy savings, the subway has gradually become the primary mode of transportation for citizens. A high density of passengers exists within a large-passenger-flow subway station, and the number of casualties and injuries during a fire emergency is substantial. In this paper, Pathfinder software and on-site measured data of Pingzhou station in Shenzhen were utilized to simulate a fire emergency evacuation in a large-passenger-flow subway station. The Required Safe Egress Time (RSET), number of passengers, and flow rates of stairs and escalators were analysed for three fire evacuation scenarios: train fire, platform fire, and hall fire. The evacuation time of the train fire, which was 1173 s, was the longest, and 3621 occupants needed to evacuate when the train was fully loaded. Occupants could not complete the evacuation within 6 mins in all three fire evacuation scenarios, which does not meet the currently standards requirements and codes. By changing the number of passengers and the number of stairs for evacuation, the flow rate capacity and evacuation time were explored, which have reference values for safety management and emergency evacuation plan optimization during peak hours of subway operation.
由于地铁容量大、效率高、节能,地铁已逐渐成为市民的主要交通方式。大客流地铁站内存在高密度的乘客,火灾紧急情况下的伤亡人数非常多。本文利用探路者软件和深圳平洲站的现场实测数据,对某大客流地铁站的火灾应急疏散进行了模拟。针对三种火灾疏散场景:列车火灾、站台火灾和大厅火灾,分析了所需安全出口时间(RSET)、乘客人数以及楼梯和自动扶梯的流量。列车火灾的疏散时间为1173秒,是最长的,列车满载时需要疏散3621名乘客。在所有三种火灾疏散场景中,占用人都无法在6分钟内完成疏散,这不符合当前的标准要求和规范。通过改变乘客数量和疏散楼梯数量,探索出流量容量和疏散时间,对地铁运营高峰时段的安全管理和应急疏散计划优化具有参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
Piecewise model based adaptive compensation control for high-speed trains with unknown actuator failures 基于分段模型的高速列车执行器未知故障自适应补偿控制
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdad003
Chang Tan, Junhui Zhang, Hui Yang, Leilei Zhang
In order to deal with the uncertainties caused by different operation conditions and unknown actuator failures of high-speed trains, an adaptive failures compensation control scheme is designed based on the piecewise model. A piecewise constant model is introduced to describe the variable system parameters caused by the variable operation environments, and a multiple-particle piecewise model of high-speed trains, with unknown actuator failures is then established. An adaptive failure compensation controller is developed for the multiple-particle piecewise constant model, by using a direct model reference adaptive control method. Such an adaptive controller can not only compensate the uncertainties from unknown actuator failures, but also effectively deal with the uncertainties caused by different operating conditions. Finally, a CRH380A type high-speed train model is taken as the controlled object for the simulation study. The simulation results show that the proposed controller ensures the desired system performance in the presence of unknown actuator failures and uncertain operation conditions.
针对高速列车运行工况的不确定性和执行机构故障的未知,设计了一种基于分段模型的自适应故障补偿控制方案。引入分段常数模型来描述运行环境变化引起的系统参数变化,建立了执行机构故障未知的高速列车多粒子分段模型。针对多粒子分段常数模型,采用直接模型参考自适应控制方法,提出了一种自适应故障补偿控制器。这种自适应控制器不仅可以补偿未知执行器故障带来的不确定性,而且可以有效地处理不同运行条件带来的不确定性。最后以CRH380A型高速列车模型为控制对象进行仿真研究。仿真结果表明,在执行器故障未知和运行条件不确定的情况下,所提出的控制器能保证系统的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-component system maintenance optimization of rail transit train based on opportunistic correlations 基于机会关联的轨道交通列车多部件系统维修优化
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-02-14 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdad005
Jisheng Dai, Rongjun Ding, Yong Fu, Yong Qin
In order to deal with the problems of insufficient or excessive maintenance in current maintenance activities of China transit train, this paper develops a novel multi-component system maintenance optimization approach based on an opportunistic correlation model. Based on the minimal reliability and failure rate change rule of each train component, the novel proposed maintenance optimization benefits from an improved opportunistic maintenance model with system structure correlation, fault correlation and reliability correlation under imperfect maintenance. Then, different maintenance modes can be determined by a proposed maintenance factor under the different condition of components. Specifically, the reliability threshold of each component is also considered to optimize the maintenance cost by the system reliability and operational availability of the train. Furthermore, as the mentioned problem belongs to the NP-Hard optimization problems, a modified PSO with the improvement of inertia weight is proposed to cope with the optimization problem. Based on a specific case under the practical recorded failure data, the analysis shows that the proposed model and approach can effectively cut the maintenance cost.
针对目前中国轨道交通列车维修活动中存在的维修不足或维修过度的问题,提出了一种基于机会相关模型的多部件系统维修优化方法。基于每个列车部件的最小可靠性和故障率变化规律,新提出的维修优化得益于一种改进的机会维修模型,该模型具有系统结构相关性、故障相关性和不完全维修下的可靠性相关性。然后,在不同的部件条件下,通过提出的维修系数可以确定不同的维修模式。具体而言,还考虑了每个部件的可靠性阈值,以通过列车的系统可靠性和运行可用性来优化维护成本。此外,由于上述问题属于NP-Hard优化问题,提出了一种改进的粒子群算法来处理优化问题,该算法改进了惯性权重。基于一个具体案例,在实际记录的故障数据下,分析表明,所提出的模型和方法可以有效地降低维修成本。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the severity of traffic accidents on mountain freeways with dynamic traffic and weather data 利用动态交通和天气数据预测山区高速公路交通事故的严重程度
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdad001
Juan Li, F. Guo, Yanning Zhou, Wenchen Yang, Dingan Ni
Traffic accident severity prediction is essential for dynamic traffic safety management. To explore the factors influencing the severity of traffic accidents on mountain freeways and to predict the severity of traffic accidents, four models based on machine learning algorithms are constructed using support vector machine (SVM), decision tree classifier (DTC), Ada_SVM and Ada_DTC. In addition, random forest (RF) is used to calculate the importance degree of variables, and accident severity influences with high importance levels form the RF dataset. The results show that rainfall intensity, collision type, number of vehicles involved in the accident and road section type are important variables influencing accident severity. The RF feature selection method improves the classification performance of four machine learning algorithms, resulting in 9.3%, 5.5%, 7.2% and 3.6% improvement in prediction accuracy for SVM, DTC, Ada_SVM and Ada_DTC, respectively. The combination of Ada_SVM integrated algorithm and RF feature selection method has the best prediction performance, and it achieves 78.9% and 88.4% prediction precision and accuracy, respectively.
交通事故严重程度预测是动态交通安全管理的关键。为了探讨影响山区高速公路交通事故严重程度的因素,预测交通事故的严重程度,使用支持向量机、决策树分类器、Ada_SVM和AdauDTC构建了四个基于机器学习算法的模型。此外,随机森林(RF)用于计算变量的重要性,具有高重要性水平的事故严重程度影响形成RF数据集。结果表明,降雨强度、碰撞类型、事故车辆数量和路段类型是影响事故严重程度的重要变量。RF特征选择方法提高了四种机器学习算法的分类性能,分别使SVM、DTC、Ada_SVM和AdauDTC的预测精度提高了9.3%、5.5%、7.2%和3.6%。Ada_SVM集成算法与RF特征选择方法相结合具有最佳的预测性能,预测精度和准确率分别达到78.9%和88.4%。
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引用次数: 1
Analyzing freeway diverging risks using high-resolution trajectory data based on conflict prediction models 基于冲突预测模型的高分辨率轨迹数据分析高速公路分流风险
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdad002
Ye Li, S. Dalhatu, Chen Yuan
This study aims to develop a reliable safety evaluation model for diverging vehicles and investigates the impact of the surrounding traffic environment on freeway diverging risks. High-resolution trajectory data from three sites in the Netherlands (Delft, Ter-Heide, and Zonzeel) were employed for the risk analysis. Linear regression (LR), Support vector machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Extreme randomize trees (ET), Adaptive boosting (Adaboost), Extreme gradient boosting (XGboost), and Multilayer perceptron (MLP), were developed for safety evaluation. The result showed that MLP outperforms the other models for diverging risk prediction over all the indicators, conflict thresholds, and locations. Pairwise matrix, Shapely addictive explanation (SHAP), and Linear regression algorithms were further adopted to interpret the influence of the surrounding environment. It indicates that an increase in traffic density, subject vehicle lateral speed, the distance of subject vehicle from ramp nose, and subject vehicle length would increase the diverging risk. At the same time, an increase in leading vehicle speed and space headway would decrease diverging risk. Finally, spatial analysis was also conducted to explore the stability of identified traffic features regarding the impact on the diverging risk across the sites.
本研究旨在建立一个可靠的分流车辆安全评估模型,并调查周围交通环境对高速公路分流风险的影响。风险分析采用了来自荷兰三个地点(Delft、Ter Heide和Zonzeel)的高分辨率轨迹数据。开发了线性回归(LR)、支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林(RF)、极端随机树(ET)、自适应增强(Adaboost)、极端梯度增强(XGboost)和多层感知器(MLP)用于安全性评估。结果表明,MLP在所有指标、冲突阈值和地点方面都优于其他模型的差异风险预测。进一步采用配对矩阵、形状成瘾解释(SHAP)和线性回归算法来解释周围环境的影响。这表明,交通密度、受试车辆横向速度、受试汽车与匝道口的距离和受试汽车长度的增加将增加分流风险。同时,领先车辆速度和车头时距的增加将降低分流风险。最后,还进行了空间分析,以探讨已确定的交通特征对各站点分散风险的影响的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Mandatory lane-changing modelling based on a game theoretic approach in traditional and connected environments 基于博弈论方法的传统互联环境下强制变道建模
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2023-01-13 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac035
G. Cheng, Qiuyue Sun, Y. Bie
The paper proposes a model of mandatory lane-changing behaviour based on a non-cooperative game in a traditional environment and analyses its applicability in a connected environment. In order to solve the problem of traffic safety and traffic congestion caused by mandatory lane-changing on urban roads, this paper applies the non-cooperative game theory to describe the game behaviour of the two parties, the lane-changing vehicle and the vehicle behind the target lane, in the connected and traditional environments respectively, and constructs the model considering the safety gain, speed gain and lane-changing gain to obtain a game model and the Nash equilibrium solution. The model is calibrated and tested using NGSIM data, and the results of the study show that the model has a good performance for the decision behaviour of lane-changing vehicles and lag vehicles for mandatory lane-changing behaviour on urban roads.
提出了传统环境下基于非合作博弈的强制变道行为模型,并分析了该模型在互联环境下的适用性。为了解决城市道路强制变道导致的交通安全和交通拥堵问题,本文运用非合作博弈论分别描述了连接环境和传统环境下变道车辆和目标车道后车辆双方的博弈行为,并构建了考虑安全增益、速度增益和变道增益的模型,得到了博弈模型和纳什均衡解。利用NGSIM数据对模型进行了标定和测试,研究结果表明,该模型对城市道路上变道车辆的决策行为和滞后车辆的强制变道行为具有良好的性能。
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引用次数: 1
A mandatory lane changing decision making and planning under emergency situation 紧急情况下的强制性变道决策与规划
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-24 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac041
Yang Liu, Cong-Ling Shi
By considering a mandatory lane changing as a collision avoidance measure, this paper presented the corresponding lane change decision making and trajectory planning algorithm under emergency scenario. Different from the traditional algorithm in which lane change decision making and trajectory planning are separated, the lane change decision making and trajectory making are coupled in proposed algorithm and the related parameters are dynamically adjusted in whole process. In addition to lane change collision avoidance feasibility analysis, lane change time instance and duration time is obtained by solving the constrained convex quadratic optimization program. By taking lane change time instance and duration time as inputs, the algorithm then proceeded to propose a kinematic model based high-order polynomial lane change trajectory. By giving the simulation result compassion with the related algorithm, it is proved that the proposed algorithm has a good robustness and high efficiency.
将强制变道作为一种避碰措施,提出了紧急情况下相应的变道决策和轨迹规划算法。与传统变道决策与轨迹规划分离的算法不同,该算法将变道决策与轨迹规划耦合在一起,并在整个过程中动态调整相关参数。在进行变道避碰可行性分析的基础上,通过求解约束凸二次优化程序得到变道时间实例和持续时间。以变道时间实例和持续时间为输入,提出了一种基于高阶多项式的变道轨迹运动学模型。仿真结果表明,该算法具有较好的鲁棒性和较高的效率。
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引用次数: 0
Research on headway control of guided transport system based on intersections conditions evaluation 基于交叉口条件评价的引导交通系统车头时距控制研究
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac068
Xiao Yu, Yuan Cao, Yongkui Sun
In order to ensure the safety and efficiency of section tracking operation of guided transport system, a safety headway control method of section tracking based on intersection conditions is proposed in this paper. Considering the difference of signal phase, the evaluation model of road conditions was established based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method FAGT. Based on the artificial potential field method, the time-varying hybrid artificial potential field (TH-APF) method was proposed, and the tracking headway control algorithm was designed to realize the dynamic control of the tracking headway of the guide transport vehicle. The simulation results verified the effectiveness and applicability of the evaluation model of intersection road conditions, the tracking headway can be maintained at about 120s. The tracking headway control algorithm of guided transport vehicles can respond to the road conditions and avoid the local optimum of the artificial potential field method, thus improving the operating efficiency.
为了保证导向运输系统区间跟踪运行的安全性和效率,本文提出了一种基于交叉口条件的区间跟踪安全车头时距控制方法。考虑到信号相位的差异,基于模糊综合评判方法FAGT,建立了道路状况评价模型。在人工势场方法的基础上,提出了时变混合人工势场(TH-APF)方法,并设计了跟踪车头时距控制算法,实现了对引导运输车跟踪车头时长的动态控制。仿真结果验证了交叉口路况评估模型的有效性和适用性,跟踪车头时距可以保持在120s左右。引导运输车辆的跟踪车头时距控制算法能够响应路况,避免人工势场法的局部最优,从而提高运营效率。
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引用次数: 0
Modified Multi-Scale Symbolic Dynamic Entropy and Fuzzy Broad Learning-Based fast fault diagnosis of Railway Point Machines 基于改进的多尺度符号动态熵和模糊广义学习的铁路转辙机故障快速诊断
IF 2.2 4区 工程技术 Q2 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2022-12-22 DOI: 10.1093/tse/tdac065
Junqi Liu, Tao Wen, Guo Xie, Yuan Cao
Railway Point Machines (RPMs) condition monitoring has attracted engineers’ attention due to safe train operation and accident prevention. To realize the fast and accurate fault diagnosis of RPMs, this paper proposes a method based on entropy measurement and Broad Learning System (BLS). Firstly, the Modified Multi-scale Symbolic Dynamic Entropy (MMSDE) module extracts dynamic characteristics from the collected acoustic signals as entropy features. Then the Fuzzy BLS takes the above entropy features as input to complete model training. Fuzzy BLS introduces Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system into BLS, which improves the model’s classification performance while considering computational speed. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method significantly reduces the running time while maintaining high accuracy.
铁路自动售票机的状态监测对列车的安全运行和事故预防有着重要的意义。为了实现快速、准确的rpm故障诊断,本文提出了一种基于熵测度和广义学习系统(BLS)的方法。首先,修正多尺度符号动态熵(MMSDE)模块从采集到的声信号中提取动态特征作为熵特征;然后,模糊BLS将上述熵特征作为输入,完成模型训练。模糊BLS将Takagi-Sugeno模糊系统引入到BLS中,在考虑计算速度的同时提高了模型的分类性能。实验结果表明,该方法在保持较高精度的同时,显著缩短了运行时间。
{"title":"Modified Multi-Scale Symbolic Dynamic Entropy and Fuzzy Broad Learning-Based fast fault diagnosis of Railway Point Machines","authors":"Junqi Liu, Tao Wen, Guo Xie, Yuan Cao","doi":"10.1093/tse/tdac065","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/tse/tdac065","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Railway Point Machines (RPMs) condition monitoring has attracted engineers’ attention due to safe train operation and accident prevention. To realize the fast and accurate fault diagnosis of RPMs, this paper proposes a method based on entropy measurement and Broad Learning System (BLS). Firstly, the Modified Multi-scale Symbolic Dynamic Entropy (MMSDE) module extracts dynamic characteristics from the collected acoustic signals as entropy features. Then the Fuzzy BLS takes the above entropy features as input to complete model training. Fuzzy BLS introduces Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy system into BLS, which improves the model’s classification performance while considering computational speed. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method significantly reduces the running time while maintaining high accuracy.","PeriodicalId":52804,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Safety and Environment","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2022-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46647543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
期刊
Transportation Safety and Environment
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