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Research on spatiotemporal characteristics of urban crowd gathering based on Baidu map heat map 基于百度地图热力图的城市人群聚集时空特征研究
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.1g53c194
Yunwei Meng, Shibao Li, Kang Chen, Binbin Li, Ji’en Zhang, Guangyan Qing
With the rapid development of urban transportation and the increase in per capita car ownership, the problem of urban traffic congestion is becoming increasingly prominent. Due to the uneven distribution of crowd in different regions of the city, it is difficult to determine and solve the traffic dynamics congestion. In order to solve the problem that it is difficult to determine the dynamics of traffic congestion areas caused by uneven distribution of vitality in different regions of mountainous cities, a crowded mega mountainous city is selected as research object and it proposes a model to calculate the change characteristics of regional crowd gathering. Baidu Heatmap is used as it could distinguish crowd gathering in certain urban core area. The heat map pictures in dozens of consecutive days is extracted and researchers conducted pixel statistical classification on thermal map images. Based on the pixel data of different levels of the pictures, the calculation model is established and an algorithm based on particle swarm optimization is proposed. The calibration of the relative active population equivalent density is conducted, and the distribution characteristics of crowd gathering in time and space are analyzed. The results show that there are obvious spatiotemporal characteristics for this selected city. In time, holidays have an important impact on crowd gathering. The peak time of crowd gathering on weekdays is different from that on rest days. The research in this paper has a direct practical value for the identification of traffic congestion areas and the corresponding governance measures. The dynamic identification of population gathering areas in mountainous mega cities, demand prediction for various transportation regions, and future population OD(Origin—Destination) planning are of great significance.
随着城市交通的快速发展和人均汽车保有量的增加,城市交通拥堵问题日益突出。由于城市不同区域人群分布不均,交通动态拥堵难以确定和解决。为了解决山区城市不同区域活力分布不均导致交通拥堵区域动态难以确定的问题,选取了一个人群密集的特大型山区城市作为研究对象,提出了区域人群聚集变化特征计算模型。由于百度热力图可以区分特定城市核心区域的人群聚集情况,因此使用了百度热力图。研究人员提取了连续数十天的热力图图片,并对热力图图像进行了像素统计分类。根据图片不同层次的像素数据,建立了计算模型,并提出了基于粒子群优化的算法。对相对活跃人群当量密度进行校核,分析人群聚集在时间和空间上的分布特征。结果表明,所选城市存在明显的时空特征。在时间上,节假日对人群聚集有重要影响。在时间上,节假日对人群聚集有重要影响,工作日与休息日的人群聚集高峰时间不同。本文的研究对交通拥堵区域的识别和相应的治理措施具有直接的实用价值。对山区特大城市人口聚集区的动态识别、各交通区域的需求预测、未来人口 OD(出发地-目的地)规划等都具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Bicycle free-flow speed estimation based on GPS data – comparison of bikesharing system and Strava data 基于 GPS 数据的自行车自由流速度估算--共享单车系统与 Strava 数据的比较
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.w6hjz713
Sylwia Pazdan, M. Kiec
The increasing number of cyclists in cities around the world results in a greater focus on bicycle traffic. Next to traffic volume, the main characteristic of traffic used in road safety analysis, infrastructure planning, design, etc. is its speed. Bicycle speed is strongly affected by the type of bicycle facility, motor vehicle traffic parameters (volume, speed, share of heavy vehicles), trip motivation, weather conditions, etc., and therefore it is difficult to estimate. Traditionally, bicycle speed is determined directly using speed radar or indirectly, as a quotient of measurement base length and travel time calculated using a stopwatch or video technique. There are also researches where bicycle speed was estimated based on GPS sources, mainly mobile apps. However, depending on the GPS source and the group of cyclists, bicycle speed gained from GPS data can be different from the speed of regular cyclists (due to different levels of experience or types of bicycle). In the paper, the relationships between bicycle speed obtained from empirical measurements and two different GPS sources, which were bikesharing system (Wavelo) and Strava app, were analysed. In total 18 research sites were selected different in terms of bicycle facility (bicycle path, shared pedestrian/bicycle path, contraflow lane) and element of road network (road segment, bicycle crossing with or without traffic signals). Two-tailed test for two means was conducted to analyse the statistical significance of differences in bicycle speed estimated based on GPS data and empirical measurements using video technique. It showed that Wavelo and Strava speeds are by 17.4% lower are by 23.1% higher than the speeds of regular cyclists respectively. Two linear regression models describing relationships between bicycle speeds from empirical measurements and GPS data were developed. The results show that the variance of bicycle speed is almost 80% described by the variance of Wavelo speed and 60% described by the variance of Strava speed, which suggests that bicycle free-flow speed can be estimated based on GPS data either from bikeshare system or dedicated app.
随着世界各地城市中自行车骑行者人数的不断增加,人们对自行车交通的关注度也越来越高。除交通流量外,道路安全分析、基础设施规划和设计等所使用的交通流量的主要特征是其速度。自行车速度受自行车设施类型、机动车交通参数(流量、速度、重型车辆比例)、出行动机、天气条件等因素的影响很大,因此很难估算。传统上,自行车速度是通过测速雷达直接确定的,或者是通过秒表或视频技术计算出的测量基准长度和行驶时间的商数间接确定的。也有研究根据 GPS(主要是移动应用程序)估算自行车速度。然而,根据 GPS 来源和骑车人群体的不同,从 GPS 数据中获得的自行车速度可能与普通骑车人的速度不同(由于经验水平或自行车类型不同)。本文分析了通过经验测量获得的自行车速度与两种不同 GPS 来源(共享单车系统(Wavelo)和 Strava 应用程序)之间的关系。共选择了 18 个研究地点,这些地点的自行车设施(自行车道、人行/自行车共用道、逆行车道)和路网要素(路段、有或无交通信号灯的自行车过街通道)各不相同。为了分析基于 GPS 数据估算的自行车速度与使用视频技术进行的经验测量之间的差异的统计意义,我们进行了双尾检验。结果显示,Wavelo 和 Strava 的速度分别比普通骑车者的速度低 17.4%和高 23.1%。研究还建立了两个线性回归模型,分别描述经验测量值和 GPS 数据中自行车速度之间的关系。结果表明,自行车速度的方差几乎有 80% 由 Wavelo 速度的方差所描述,60% 由 Strava 速度的方差所描述。
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引用次数: 0
Probability of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 virus pathogens in long-distance passenger transport 在长途客运中传播 SARS-CoV-2 病毒病原体的可能性
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.5k2g5t42
R. Burdzik
This paper presents a description of the methodology developed for estimation of pathogen transmission in transport and the results of the case study application for long-distance passenger transport. The primary objective is to report the method developed and the application for case studies in various passenger transport services. The most important findings and achievements of the presented study are the original universal methodology to estimate the probability of pathogen transmission with full mathematical disclosure and an open process formula, to make it possible to take other specific mechanisms of virus transmission when providing transport services. The results presented conducted an analysis on the mechanisms of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 virus pathogens during the transport process, to examine the chain of events as a result of which passengers may be infected. The author proposed a new method to estimate the probability of transmission of viral pathogens using the probability theory of the sum of elementary events. This is a new approach in this area, the advantage of which is a fully explicit mathematical formula that allows the method to be applied to various cases. The findings of this study can facilitate the management of epidemic risk in passenger transport operators and government administration. It should be clearly emphasised that the developed method and estimated values are the probabilities of pathogen transmission. Estimating the probability of transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus pathogen is not the same as the probability of viral infection, and more so the probability of contracting COVID-19. Viral infection strongly depends on viral mechanisms, exposure doses, and contact frequency. The probability of contracting COVID-19 and its complications depends on the individual characteristics of the immune system, even with confirmed viral infection. However, it is undoubtedly that the probability of transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus pathogen is the most reliable measure of infection risk, which can be estimated according to the objective determinants of pathogen transmission.
本文介绍了为估算运输中的病原体传播而开发的方法,以及长途客运案例研究的应用结果。主要目的是报告所开发的方法以及在各种客运服务中的案例研究应用。本研究最重要的发现和成果是采用了独创的通用方法来估算病原体传播的概率,并提供了完整的数学公式和开放的过程公式,以便在提供运输服务时能够考虑到其他特定的病毒传播机制。研究结果对运输过程中 SARS-CoV-2 病毒病原体的传播机制进行了分析,研究了乘客可能受感染的一连串事件。作者提出了一种新方法,利用基本事件总和的概率理论来估算病毒病原体的传播概率。这是该领域的一种新方法,其优点是有一个完全明确的数学公式,可将该方法应用于各种情况。这项研究的结果有助于客运运营商和政府管理部门管理流行病风险。需要明确强调的是,所开发的方法和估计值是病原体传播的概率。估计 SARS-CoV-2 病毒病原体传播的概率与病毒感染的概率不同,更与感染 COVID-19 的概率不同。病毒感染在很大程度上取决于病毒机制、接触剂量和接触频率。感染 COVID-19 及其并发症的概率取决于免疫系统的个体特征,即使已确认病毒感染。然而,毫无疑问,SARS-CoV-2 病毒病原体的传播概率是衡量感染风险的最可靠指标,它可以根据病原体传播的客观决定因素进行估计。
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引用次数: 0
Expectations of manufacturing companies for suppliers regarding the improvement of their processes 制造企业对供应商改进工艺的期望
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.vf1jsa33
Maciej Urbaniak, Dominik Zimon, Peter Madzík
The article presents the results of conducted empirical research in which an attempt was made to identify the expectations of manufacturing companies towards suppliers in terms of process (logistics customer service, supervision over property customer, production monitoring, supplier supervision) improvement. The research was conducted using the Computer Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI) technique. The research covered 150 production medium and large size companies (employing over 50 people) who were suppliers for enterprises from the automotive, electromechanical and chemical sectors operating in the Polish industrial market. The expectations of production companies towards their suppliers regarding improvement of processes concept were assigned a rank on a scale from one (the least important criterion) to five (the most significant). The analysis of the results of the conducted research shows that the implementation of management tools such as international organizational standards (ISO), Kaizen or Lean Management by companies that are purchasers may affect the expectations towards suppliers in terms of improving their processes. The considerations undertaken in this article confirm that in order to compete on the modern market, close cooperation and cooperation within the supply chain are needed. Representatives of the surveyed manufacturing companies notice this fact and set high expectations for their suppliers in virtually all the surveyed aspects. Conducted research shows that suppliers must pay special attention to the implementation of processes related to ensuring and improving the technical quality of products by focusing on improving control and supervision processes and logistical aspects of customer service. Proper implementation and improvement of these processes requires a methodical approach. Based on the obtained research results, managers of organizations supplying manufacturing companies can obtain important information that will be used to improve processes that are important from the point of view of their recipients. On this basis, they can make an optimal allocation of resources and modify the management style to improve cooperation with manufacturing companies.
文章介绍了实证研究的结果,其中试图确定制造企业在流程(物流客户服务、物业客户监督、生产监控、供应商监督)改进方面对供应商的期望。研究采用了计算机辅助电话访谈(CATI)技术。研究覆盖了 150 家大中型生产企业(员工人数超过 50 人),这些企业是波兰工业市场上汽车、机电和化工行业企业的供应商。生产型企业对其供应商在改进工艺概念方面的期望值按从 1(最不重要的标准)到 5(最重要的标准)的等级划分。对研究结果的分析表明,作为采购方的公司实施国际组织标准 (ISO)、改善或精益管理等管理工具,可能会影响对供应商改进流程的期望。本文的研究证实,为了在现代市场上竞争,需要供应链内部的密切合作。接受调查的制造企业代表注意到了这一事实,并在几乎所有调查方面对其供应商提出了很高的期望。调查显示,供应商必须特别关注与确保和提高产品技术质量有关的流程的实施,重点是改进控制和监督流程以及客户服务的物流方面。正确实施和改进这些流程需要有条不紊的方法。根据所获得的研究成果,为制造企业供货的组织管理人员可以获得重要信息,用于改进从受众角度来看非常重要的流程。在此基础上,他们可以优化资源配置,修改管理方式,以改善与制造企业的合作。
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引用次数: 0
Research on railway track edge detection based on BM3D and Zernike moments 基于 BM3D 和 Zernike 矩的铁路轨道边缘检测研究
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.fz9g6c16
Nan Wang, Tao Hou, Tianming Zhang
With the rapid development of intelligent rail transportation, the realization of intelligent detection of railroad foreign body intrusion has become an important topic of current research. Accurate detection of rail edge location, and then delineate the danger area is the premise and basis for railroad track foreign object intrusion detection. The application of a single edge detection algorithm in the process of rail identification is likely to cause the problem of missing important edges and weak gradient change edges of railroad tracks. It will affect the subsequent detection of track foreign objects. A combined global and local edge detection method is proposed to detect the edges of railroad tracks. In the global pixel-level edge detection, an improved blok-matching and 3D filtering (BM3D) algorithm combined with bilateral filtering is used for denoising to eliminate the interference information in the complex environment. Then the gradient direction is added to the Canny operator, the computational template is increased to achieve non-extreme value suppression, and the Otsu thresholding segmentation algorithm is used for thresholding improvement. It can effectively suppress noise while preserving image details, and improve the accuracy and efficiency of detection at the pixel level. For local subpixel-level edge detection, the improved Zernike moment algorithm is used to extract the edges of the obtained pixel-level images and obtain the corresponding subpixel-level images. It can enhance the extraction of tiny feature edges, effectively reduce the computational effort and obtain the subpixel edges of the orbit images. The experimental results show that compared with other improved algorithms, the method proposed in this paper can effectively extract the track edges of the detected images with higher accuracy, better preserve the track edge features, reduce the appearance of pseudo-edges, and shorten the edge detection time with certain noise immunity, which provides a reliable basis for subsequent track detection and analysis.
随着轨道交通智能化的快速发展,实现轨道异物入侵智能检测已成为当前研究的重要课题。准确检测钢轨边缘位置,进而划定危险区域是铁轨异物入侵检测的前提和基础。在铁轨识别过程中,如果应用单一的边缘检测算法,容易造成铁轨重要边缘和弱梯度变化边缘的遗漏问题。这将影响后续的轨道异物检测。本文提出了一种全局和局部相结合的边缘检测方法来检测铁轨边缘。在全局像素级边缘检测中,使用改进的斑点匹配和三维滤波(BM3D)算法结合双边滤波进行去噪,以消除复杂环境中的干扰信息。然后在 Canny 算子中加入梯度方向,增加计算模板以实现非极值抑制,并使用大津阈值分割算法进行阈值改进。它能在保留图像细节的同时有效抑制噪声,提高像素级检测的精度和效率。在局部子像素级边缘检测方面,采用改进的 Zernike 矩算法对得到的像素级图像进行边缘提取,得到相应的子像素级图像。该算法可以增强对微小特征边缘的提取,有效减少计算量,并获得轨道图像的子像素边缘。实验结果表明,与其他改进算法相比,本文提出的方法能有效提取检测图像的轨迹边缘,精度较高,较好地保留了轨迹边缘特征,减少了伪边缘的出现,缩短了边缘检测时间,具有一定的抗噪能力,为后续的轨迹检测和分析提供了可靠的依据。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of vehicle pedestrian crash severity using advanced machine learning techniques 利用先进的机器学习技术分析车辆与行人碰撞的严重程度
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.ttb8p367
Siyab Ul Arifeen, Mujahid Ali, Elżbieta Macioszek
In 2015, over 17% of pedestrians were killed during vehicle crashes in Hong Kong while it raised to 18% from 2017 to 2019 and expected to be 25% in the upcoming decade. In Hong Kong, buses and the metro are used for 89% of trips, and walking has traditionally been the primary way to use public transportation. This susceptibility of pedestrians to road crashes conflicts with sustainable transportation objectives. Most studies on crash severity ignored the severity correlations between pedestrian-vehicle units engaged in the same impacts. The estimates of the factor effects will be skewed in models that do not consider these within-crash correlations. Pedestrians made up 17% of the 20,381 traffic fatalities in which 66% of the fatalities on the highways were pedestrians. The motivation of this study is to examine the elements that pedestrian injuries on highways and build on safety for these endangered users. A traditional statistical model's ability to handle misfits, missing or noisy data, and strict presumptions has been questioned. The reasons for pedestrian injuries are typically explained using these models. To overcome these constraints, this study used a sophisticated machine learning technique called a Bayesian neural network (BNN), which combines the benefits of neural networks and Bayesian theory. The best construction model out of several constructed models was finally selected. It was discovered that the BNN model outperformed other machine learning techniques like K-Nearest Neighbors, a conventional neural network (NN), and a random forest (RF) model in terms of performance and predictions. The study also discovered that the time and circumstances of the accident and meteorological features were critical and significantly enhanced model performance when incorporated as input. To minimize the number of pedestrian fatalities due to traffic accidents, this research anticipates employing machine learning (ML) techniques. Besides, this study sets the framework for applying machine learning techniques to reduce the number of pedestrian fatalities brought on by auto accidents.
2015 年,香港有超过 17% 的行人在车祸中丧生,而 2017 年至 2019 年这一比例上升至 18%,预计未来十年将达到 25%。在香港,89%的出行是乘坐公交车和地铁,步行历来是使用公共交通的主要方式。行人容易受到道路交通事故的影响,这与可持续交通的目标相冲突。大多数关于碰撞严重性的研究都忽略了发生相同撞击时行人与车辆之间的严重性关联。在不考虑这些碰撞内部相关性的模型中,对因素影响的估计会出现偏差。在 20,381 起交通死亡事故中,行人占 17%,其中高速公路上 66% 的死亡事故是行人造成的。本研究的动机是研究高速公路上行人受伤的因素,并为这些濒临危险的使用者提供安全保障。传统统计模型在处理误差、缺失或噪声数据以及严格推定方面的能力受到了质疑。行人受伤的原因通常是通过这些模型来解释的。为了克服这些限制,本研究使用了一种称为贝叶斯神经网络(BNN)的复杂机器学习技术,该技术结合了神经网络和贝叶斯理论的优点。最终从多个构建模型中选出了最佳构建模型。研究发现,BNN 模型在性能和预测方面优于其他机器学习技术,如 K-近邻、传统神经网络 (NN) 和随机森林 (RF) 模型。研究还发现,事故发生的时间和环境以及气象特征非常关键,将其作为输入时可显著提高模型性能。为了最大限度地减少交通事故造成的行人死亡人数,本研究预计将采用机器学习(ML)技术。此外,本研究还为应用机器学习技术减少车祸造成的行人死亡人数设定了框架。
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引用次数: 0
The application of time-frequency methods of acoustic signal processing in the diagnostics of tram drive components 声学信号处理的时频方法在电车驱动部件诊断中的应用
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.k0c5b837
Daniel Mokrzan, Tomasz Nowakowski, Grzegorz M. Szymański
The paper presents the course of investigations and the analysis of the possibility of applying selected methods of time-frequency processing of non-stationary acoustic signals in the assessment of the technical condition of tram drive  components, as well as a new combined method proposed by the authors. An experiment was performed in the form of a pass-by test of the acoustic pressure generated by a Solaris Tramino S105p tram. A comparative analysis has been carried out for an efficient case and a case with damage to the traction gear of the third bogie in the form of broken gear teeth. The recorded signal was analyzed using short-time Fourier transform (STFT) and continuous wavelet transform (CWT). It was found that the gear failure causes an increase in the sound level generated by a given bogie for frequencies within the range of characteristic frequencies of the tested device. Due to the limitations associated with the fixed window resolution in STFT and the inability to directly translate scales to frequencies in CWT, it was found that these methods can be helpful in determining suspected damage, but are too imprecise and prone to errors when the parameters of both transforms are poorly chosen. A new CWT-Cepstrum method was proposed as a solution, using the wavelet transform as a pre-filter before cepstrum signal processing. With a sampling rate of 8192 Hz, a db6 mother wavelet, and a scale range of 1:200, the new method was found to infer the occurrence of damage in an interpretation-free manner. The results were validated on an independent pair of trams of the same model with identical damage and as a reference on a pair of undamaged trams demonstrating that the method can be successfully replicated for different vehicles.
本文介绍了在评估有轨电车驱动部件技术状况时应用非稳态声学信号时频处理选定方法的研究过程和可能性分析,以及作者提出的一种新的组合方法。对 Solaris Tramino S105p 有轨电车产生的声压进行了通过测试。对有效情况和第三转向架牵引齿轮损坏(齿轮齿断裂)情况进行了比较分析。使用短时傅里叶变换 (STFT) 和连续小波变换 (CWT) 对记录的信号进行了分析。结果发现,在测试设备的特征频率范围内,齿轮故障会导致特定转向架产生的声级增加。由于 STFT 中的固定窗口分辨率和 CWT 中无法将刻度直接转换为频率的局限性,研究发现这些方法有助于确定可疑的损坏,但过于不精确,并且在两种变换的参数选择不当时容易出现错误。作为一种解决方案,提出了一种新的 CWT 倒频谱方法,在进行倒频谱信号处理之前使用小波变换作为预滤波器。新方法的采样率为 8192 Hz,母小波为 db6,比例范围为 1:200,能够以无解释的方式推断损伤的发生。研究结果在一对具有相同损坏的独立同型号有轨电车上进行了验证,并以一对未损坏的有轨电车作为参考,证明该方法可成功复制到不同的车辆上。
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引用次数: 0
Inference processes in the automatic communication system for autonomous vessels 自动驾驶船舶自动通信系统中的推理过程
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI: 10.61089/aot2023.rf1py857
Anna Pańka, P. Wołejsza
The era of autonomous ships has already begun in maritime transport. The 30-year forecast for the development of marine technologies predicts many autonomous vessels at sea. This will necessitate radical implementation of new intelligent maritime navigation systems. One of the intelligent systems that has to be implemented is a collision avoidance system. The inference process is a key element of autonomous manoeuvres. These authors propose an inference process that enables exchange of information, intentions and expectations between autonomous vessels and gives them an opportunity to negotiate a safe manoeuvre satisfying all the parties concerned. The model of inference in the communication process has been presented. Methods and algorithms for information exchange and negotiation have been developed. These models were implemented and tested under various conditions. The results of case studies indicate that it is possible to effectively communicate and negotiate used the developed method. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the presented approach over 30 random simulations have been carried out. After successful laboratory tests, over 100 scenarios were executed in quasi-real conditions and fully operational conditions. Tests were carried out in the center of the Foundation for the Safety of Navigation and Environmental Protection on Lake Silm in Iława, Poland. In the framework of project AVAL (Autonomous Vessel with an Air Look) POIR.04.01.04-00-0025-16,  82 random scenarios involving four vessels were performed and 60 random scenarios with two vessels. In 2020 tests were carried out in real conditions on the ferries Wolin and m/f Gryf. The communication and negotiation system presented in the article has been designed and developed specially for maritime navigation purposes. The authors believe that the presented solution can be one of various solutions implemented in autonomous shipping in the near future.
在海上运输领域,自动驾驶船舶的时代已经来临。根据海洋技术 30 年发展预测,海上将出现许多自动驾驶船舶。这就需要大力实施新的智能海上导航系统。必须实施的智能系统之一是防撞系统。推理过程是自主操纵的关键因素。这些作者提出了一种推理过程,使自主航行的船只之间能够交换信息、意图和期望,并使它们有机会协商出一个让所有相关方都满意的安全机动方案。文中介绍了通信过程中的推理模型。开发了信息交换和协商的方法和算法。这些模型已在各种条件下实施和测试。案例研究结果表明,使用所开发的方法可以进行有效的交流和谈判。为了证明所提出方法的有效性,我们进行了 30 多次随机模拟。实验室测试成功后,又在准真实条件和全面运行条件下执行了 100 多个场景。测试在波兰 Iława 的 Silm 湖航行安全和环境保护基金会中心进行。在 "AVAL(Autonomous Vessel with an Air Look)POIR.04.01.04-00-0025-16 "项目框架内,共进行了 82 次涉及四艘船只的随机场景测试和 60 次涉及两艘船只的随机场景测试。2020 年,在 Wolin 和 m/f Gryf 渡轮上进行了实际测试。文章中介绍的通信和协商系统是专门为海上航行目的设计和开发的。作者认为,所介绍的解决方案可以成为不久的将来在自主航运中实施的各种解决方案之一。
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引用次数: 0
Risk management in the allocation of vehicles to tasks in transport companies using a heuristic algorithm 基于启发式算法的运输公司车辆任务分配风险管理
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.5604/01.3001.0053.7463
M. Izdebski
The work deals with the issue of assigning vehicles to tasks in transport companies, taking into account the minimization of the risk of dangerous events on the route of vehicles performing the assigned transport tasks. The proposed risk management procedure based on a heuristic algorithm reduces the risk to a minimum. The ant algorithm reduces it in the event of exceeding the limit, which differs from the classic methods of risk management, which are dedicated only to risk assessment. A decision model has been developed for risk management. The decision model considers the limitations typical of the classic model of assigning vehicles to tasks, e.g. window limits and additionally contains limitations on the acceptable risk on the route of vehicles' travel. The criterion function minimizes the probability of an accident occurring along the entire assignment route. The probability of the occurrence of dangerous events on the routes of vehicles was determined based on known theoretical distributions. The random variable of the distributions was defined as the moment of the vehicle's appearance at a given route point. Theoretical probability distributions were determined based on empirical data using the STATISTICA 13 package. The decision model takes into account such constraints as the time of task completion and limiting the acceptable risk. The criterion function minimizes the probability of dangerous events occurring in the routes of vehicles. The ant algorithm has been validated on accurate input data. The proposed ant algorithm was 95% effective in assessing the risk of adverse events in assigning vehicles to tasks. The algorithm was run 100 times. The designated routes were compared with the actual hours of the accident at the bottom of the measurement points. The graphical interpretation of the results is shown in the PTV Visum software. Verification of the algorithm confirmed its effectiveness. The work presents the process of building the algorithm along with its calibration.
这项工作涉及将车辆分配给运输公司执行任务的问题,同时考虑到在执行指定运输任务的车辆路线上发生危险事件的风险最小化。所提出的基于启发式算法的风险管理程序将风险降至最低。蚂蚁算法在超过极限的情况下会减少它,这与传统的风险管理方法不同,后者只用于风险评估。已经为风险管理开发了一个决策模型。决策模型考虑了将车辆分配给任务的经典模型的典型限制,例如窗口限制,并且还包含对车辆行驶路线上可接受风险的限制。标准函数使整个分配路线上发生事故的概率最小化。根据已知的理论分布确定了车辆路线上发生危险事件的概率。分布的随机变量被定义为车辆在给定路线点出现的时刻。理论概率分布是根据使用STATISTICA13软件包的经验数据确定的。决策模型考虑了任务完成时间和可接受风险限制等约束。标准函数使车辆路线中发生危险事件的概率最小化。蚂蚁算法已经在准确的输入数据上得到了验证。所提出的蚂蚁算法在评估分配车辆执行任务的不良事件风险方面有95%的有效性。该算法运行了100次。在测量点底部,将指定路线与事故发生的实际时间进行了比较。PTV Visum软件中显示了结果的图形解释。对算法的验证证实了算法的有效性。该工作介绍了算法的构建过程及其校准。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the precision of determination of aircraft coordinates using EGNOS+SDCM solution EGNOS+SDCM解确定飞机坐标的精度分析
Q2 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.5604/01.3001.0053.7264
K. Krasuski, Marta Lalak, P. Gołda, A. Ciećko, G. Grunwald, M. Mrozik, J. Kozuba
This paper presents an algorithm for determining the precision parameter for aircraft position coordinates based on a combined GPS/EGNOS and GPS/SDCM solution. The proposed algorithm uses a weighted average model that com-bines a single GPS/EGNOS and GPS/SDCM position navigation solution to determine the resulting aircraft coordi-nates. The weighted mean model include the linear coefficients as a function of: the inverse of the number of tracked GPS satellites for which EGNOS and SDCM corrections have been generated, and the inverse of the geometric coeffi-cient of the PDOP (Position Dilution of Precision). The corrections between the single GPS/EGNOS and GPS/SDCM solution to the aircraft's resultant coordinates are then calculated on this basis. Finally, the standard deviation for the aircraft resultant BLh (B-Latitude, L-Longitude, h- ellipsoidal height) coordinates is calculated as a measure of preci-sion. The research experiment used recorded on-board GPS+SBAS data from two GNSS receivers mounted on a Dia-mond DA 20-C1 aircraft. The test flight was carried out on the Olsztyn-Suwaki-Olsztyn route. The calculations of aircraft position based on GPS/EGNOS and GPS/SDCM solution were performed in the RTKLIB v.2.4.3 program in the RTKPOST module. Next, aircraft resultant coordinates and standard deviations were computed in Scilab v.6.0.0 soft-ware package. Based on the tests performed, it was found that for the Trimble Alloy receiver, the standard deviation values for the ellipsoidal coordinates BLh of the aircraft do not exceed 1.77 m. However, for the Septentrio AsterRx2i receiver, the values of standard deviations for the aircraft's ellipsoidal BLh coordinates do not exceed 5.04 m. The use of linear coefficients as the inverse of the number of tracked GPS satellites with SBAS corrections in the GPS/EGNOS+GPS/SDCM positioning model resulted in a reduction in standard deviations of approximately 50-51% relative to the solution with linear coefficients calculated as the inverse of the PDOP parameter. In paper, the standard deviation was also obtained using arithmetic mean model. However the values of standard deviation from weighted mean model are lower than arithmetic mean model.
提出了一种基于GPS/EGNOS和GPS/SDCM相结合的飞机位置坐标精度参数确定算法。该算法使用加权平均模型,结合单个GPS/EGNOS和GPS/SDCM位置导航解决方案来确定最终的飞机坐标。加权平均模型包括线性系数的函数:已生成EGNOS和SDCM校正的跟踪GPS卫星数量的倒数,以及PDOP(位置精度稀释)几何系数的倒数。然后在此基础上计算单个GPS/EGNOS和GPS/SDCM解决方案对飞机最终坐标的修正。最后,计算飞机所得BLh (B-Latitude, L-Longitude, h-椭球面高度)坐标的标准差作为精度度量。研究实验使用安装在diamond DA 20-C1飞机上的两个GNSS接收器记录的机载GPS+SBAS数据。试飞是在Olsztyn-Suwaki-Olsztyn航线上进行的。基于GPS/EGNOS和GPS/SDCM方案的飞机位置计算在RTKPOST模块的RTKLIB v.2.4.3程序中完成。接下来,在Scilab v.6.0.0软件包中计算飞机结果坐标和标准差。根据所进行的测试,发现对于Trimble Alloy接收机,飞机椭球坐标BLh的标准偏差值不超过1.77 m。然而,对于Septentrio AsterRx2i接收机,飞机椭球BLh坐标的标准偏差值不超过5.04 m。在GPS/EGNOS+GPS/SDCM定位模型中,使用线性系数作为SBAS校正的跟踪GPS卫星数量的倒数,相对于使用线性系数作为PDOP参数倒数的解,标准差降低了约50-51%。本文还利用算术平均模型得到了标准差。但加权平均模型的标准差值比算术平均模型的标准差值要小。
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引用次数: 0
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Archives of Transport
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