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Is order-2 proportionality good enough for approximating the most likely path flow in user equilibrium traffic assignment? 在用户均衡流量分配中,阶 2 比例是否足以近似最可能的路径流量?
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103007
Liyang Feng , Jun Xie , Xiaobo Liu , Youhua Tang , David Z.W. Wang , Yu (Marco) Nie

The proportionality condition is a standard approach to dealing with the non-uniqueness issue in the user equilibrium (UE) traffic assignment problems (TAP). Although the proportionality condition can reduce the degree of arbitrariness, it remains unclear how much arbitrariness remains and whether it can meaningfully affect model outcomes and relevant decisions that depend on them. The answers to these questions are impeded by the lack of an efficient algorithm that can find the exact maximum entropy UE path flow solution for networks of practical size. In this paper, we fill this gap by developing a high-performance augmented Lagrangian algorithm that effectively exploits the special problem structure. Our numerical results reveal that there are a considerable number of links with non-negligible arbitrariness in the solution generated by the proportionality condition, and that this problem becomes worse if the level of congestion increases in the network. Since about a decade ago, many practitioners have relied on state-of-the-art traffic assignment tools based on the proportionality condition to perform select link analysis, among other applications. The results reported herein are a reminder that their toolbox may need reevaluation and perhaps an upgrade.

比例条件是处理用户均衡(UE)流量分配问题(TAP)中非唯一性问题的标准方法。尽管比例条件可以降低任意性的程度,但目前仍不清楚任意性的程度,也不清楚任意性是否会对模型结果和依赖于模型结果的相关决策产生有意义的影响。由于缺乏一种高效的算法,无法为实际规模的网络找到精确的最大熵 UE 路径流解决方案,因此阻碍了对这些问题的回答。本文通过开发一种能有效利用特殊问题结构的高性能增强拉格朗日算法,填补了这一空白。我们的数值结果表明,在比例条件生成的解中,有相当数量的链路具有不可忽略的任意性,而且如果网络中的拥塞程度增加,这个问题就会变得更加严重。大约从十年前开始,许多从业人员就开始依赖基于比例条件的先进流量分配工具来执行选择链路分析等应用。本文报告的结果提醒人们,他们的工具箱可能需要重新评估,或许还需要升级。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical formulations for the multi-period alternative fuel refueling station location problem with routing under decision-dependent flow dynamics 多周期替代燃料加气站选址问题的数学公式与决策相关流量动态条件下的路由选择
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102999
Özlem Mahmutoğulları, Hande Yaman

The refueling station location problem with routing considers vehicles’ ranges and drivers’ preferences about their routes to improve the alternative fuel station infrastructure. Comprehensive planning is necessary for developing a mature infrastructure to overcome budgetary constraints and spatial limitations. Hence, adopting a multi-period planning approach becomes crucial when taking into account the evolving demand for alternative fuel vehicles over time. The evolution of demand can be dependent on exogenous and endogenous factors. Although it is typical to account for exogenous demand growth in multi-period planning, a few studies also take into account an endogenous factor which is the refueling opportunity of drivers on their paths. In this study, in addition to the refueling opportunities, we consider the proximity of each individual station to the flow-based demands. We draw attention to the significance of considering the effects of individual station locations on demand evolution, as these strategic locations can play an important role in reducing the drivers’ range anxiety and increasing their acceptance of the technology. Hence, we introduce a multi-period alternative fuel refueling station location problem with routing under different vehicle flow evolution dynamics that employ various weights for the factors where the natural growth rate is exogenous and the decisions of station locations and flow coverage are endogenous to the problem. We propose three mixed integer linear programming formulations for different evolution dynamics. We carry out computational experiments on the real road networks of Belgium, California, and Turkey and present our findings on the performances of the proposed mathematical models and the gains that can be obtained by considering multi-period planning and incorporating the effects of decisions into the vehicle flow evolution.

带有路线选择的加气站选址问题考虑了车辆的行驶范围和驾驶员对路线的偏好,以改善替代燃料站基础设施。要发展成熟的基础设施,克服预算约束和空间限制,就必须进行全面规划。因此,在考虑到替代燃料汽车需求随时间不断变化的情况下,采用多期规划方法变得至关重要。需求的演变可能取决于外生和内生因素。虽然在多期规划中通常会考虑外生需求增长,但也有少数研究考虑了内生因素,即驾驶员在行驶途中的加油机会。在本研究中,除了加油机会外,我们还考虑了每个加油站与基于流量的需求之间的距离。我们提请注意考虑单个加油站位置对需求演变影响的重要性,因为这些战略位置可以在减少驾驶者的里程焦虑和提高他们对技术的接受度方面发挥重要作用。因此,我们引入了一个多周期替代燃料加气站选址问题,该问题在不同的车辆流量演变动态条件下具有不同的路由选择,其中自然增长率是外生的,而加气站选址和流量覆盖范围的决策是内生的。我们针对不同的演变动态提出了三种混合整数线性规划公式。我们在比利时、加利福尼亚和土耳其的实际道路网络上进行了计算实验,并介绍了所提数学模型的性能,以及通过考虑多期规划和将决策影响纳入车流演变所能获得的收益。
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引用次数: 0
Gasoline and electric vehicle ownership rationing over time: Lottery vs. First-come-first-served schemes 汽油车和电动车所有权配给随时间变化:彩票与先到先得计划
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102995
Wen-Jing Liu , Zhi-Chun Li , Hai Yang

This paper addresses the ownership rationing issues of gasoline vehicles (GV) and electric vehicles (EV) in a given time horizon. A state-owned vehicle manufacturer is assumed to be the producer of these vehicles. Two typical rationing schemes for the GV and EV ownership that have been implemented in some Chinese megacities, namely a simultaneous lottery scheme for both GV and EV and a hybrid scheme consisting of lottery for GV and first-come-first-served (FCFS) for EV, are investigated. Multi-period social cost minimization models are proposed for determining the optimal auto quota (i.e., the number of vehicles to be produced) and the optimal frequency of ownership allocation for each scheme in the given time horizon. In the proposed models, residents’ heterogeneity is considered in terms of their values of time (VOTs). The properties of the proposed models are analytically explored, and a comparison between the lottery mode and the FCFS mode is made. The results show that the lottery mode outperforms the FCFS mode in terms of the total social cost. The VOT threshold of the subsequent participants in auto rationing schemes tends to be higher than that of the preceding participants. The decision of EV subsidy should be cautiously made due to a tug of war between the resultant decreased pollutant emissions and increased traffic congestion. The implementation of the auto ownership rationing schemes can cause inequity issue in terms of the changes of travel costs of different-income residents. A Pareto-improvement strategy is presented to balance equity and efficiency of the rationing schemes.

本文探讨了在给定时间范围内汽油车(GV)和电动车(EV)的所有权配给问题。假设国有汽车制造商是这些车辆的生产商。研究了在中国一些大城市实施的两种典型的汽油车和电动车所有权配给方案,即汽油车和电动车同时抽签方案,以及汽油车抽签和电动车先到先得(FCFS)混合方案。本文提出了多期社会成本最小化模型,用于确定每种方案在给定时间跨度内的最佳汽车配额(即生产的汽车数量)和最佳所有权分配频率。在所提出的模型中,居民的异质性按其时间价值(VOT)来考虑。对所提模型的特性进行了分析探讨,并对抽签模式和 FCFS 模式进行了比较。结果表明,就社会总成本而言,抽签模式优于 FCFS 模式。在自动配给计划中,后续参与者的 VOT 临界值往往高于前面的参与者。由于电动汽车补贴会导致污染物排放减少和交通拥堵加剧,因此应谨慎决策。汽车保有量配给制的实施会造成不同收入居民出行成本变化的不公平问题。本文提出了一种帕累托改进策略,以平衡配给方案的公平与效率。
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引用次数: 0
Railway line planning with passenger routing: Direct-service network representations and a two-phase solution approach 带有乘客路线的铁路线路规划:直接服务网络表示法和两阶段解决方法
IF 5.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102989
Zhiyuan Yao, Lei Nie, Huiling Fu

The railway line planning problem (LPP) plays a crucial role in determining the quality of services provided to passengers, as well as operation costs borne by railway companies. In periodic railway LPPs, it is common to consider passenger transfers between train lines to realize a general passenger travel cost setting in the railway system. While detecting passenger transfers requires incorporating passenger routing into mathematical formulations, thereby significantly complicating the problem. Studies on transfer-included LPPs are generally based on the Change&Go network that is constructed based on a pre-given line pool, which however is usually non-exhaustive due to computational intractability. To efficiently include passenger transfers in large-scale railway LPPs, this paper proposes a novel extended direct-service network representation of LPP, where lines are dynamically generated within the optimization process, and part of passenger transfers between lines can be precisely captured without the need for explicit modeling of passengers’ distribution on specific lines. A two-phase solution approach based on the representation is designed. The first phase formulates LPP with part of transfers as a path-based service network design model, solved using a branch-price-and-cut algorithm. The second phase conducts a neighborhood search around the first-phase solution to seek better ones when considering all passenger transfers. Numerical results showcase the good performance of the two-phase solution approach. It delivers optimal solutions in 18 out of 24 test instances for a small case and achieves optimality gaps within 2.85% across all small instances. The large case study of China’s Shandong high-speed railway network whose line pool size reaches millions demonstrates the scalability of the approach and its advantage over the traditional Change&Go method with partial line pools and an exact model developed in the paper.

铁路线路规划问题(LPP)在决定为乘客提供的服务质量以及铁路公司承担的运营成本方面起着至关重要的作用。在定期铁路线路规划问题中,通常会考虑列车线路之间的乘客换乘,以实现铁路系统中的一般乘客旅行成本设定。而检测乘客换乘需要将乘客路线纳入数学公式,从而大大增加了问题的复杂性。关于包含换乘的 LPP 的研究一般基于 Change&Go 网络,该网络是根据预先给定的线路池构建的,但由于计算上的不可操作性,该网络通常并不详尽。为了在大规模铁路 LPP 中有效地包含乘客换乘,本文提出了一种新颖的 LPP 扩展直接服务网络表示法,即在优化过程中动态生成线路,并精确捕捉线路间的部分乘客换乘,而无需明确模拟乘客在具体线路上的分布。设计了一种基于该表示法的两阶段求解方法。第一阶段将带有部分换乘的 LPP 表述为基于路径的服务网络设计模型,使用分支-价格-切割算法求解。第二阶段围绕第一阶段的解决方案进行邻域搜索,以寻求在考虑所有乘客换乘时更好的解决方案。数值结果展示了两阶段求解方法的良好性能。在一个小型案例的 24 个测试实例中,它在 18 个实例中提供了最优解,并在所有小型实例中实现了 2.85% 的最优差距。中国山东高速铁路网的线路池规模高达数百万,该大型案例研究证明了该方法的可扩展性,以及与传统的部分线路池 Change&Go 方法和本文开发的精确模型相比的优势。
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引用次数: 0
Sequencing ship operations considering the trajectory of the quay crane spreader 考虑码头起重机吊具的轨迹,安排船舶作业顺序
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102987
Baolin Wen, Kap Hwan Kim, Xuehao Feng

This study addresses the sequencing problem in ship operations, with the aim of minimizing the quay crane operation time in a ship bay. By analysing realistic trajectories of the quay crane spreader in various situations, a mathematical model for expressing the transport times of the spreader is established and a method for determining the shortest-time trajectory for a given bay configuration is proposed. Positioning times of the spreader are analysed for various cases of ship operations. Based on the analysis of transport and positioning times, an exact algorithm to obtain the optimal sequence of the discharging and loading operations and a common rule to be applied in practice are developed. An extended discussion on sequencing reshuffling operations is presented. Numerical experiments with the data from a real-world port, show that this approach can determine a ship operation sequence with the shortest total operation time.

本研究探讨了船舶作业中的排序问题,目的是最大限度地减少码头起重机在船坞中的作业时间。通过分析码头起重机吊具在各种情况下的实际轨迹,建立了表示吊具运输时间的数学模型,并提出了确定给定海湾配置下最短时间轨迹的方法。还分析了各种船舶作业情况下吊具的定位时间。在对运输和定位时间进行分析的基础上,开发了一种获得卸货和装货操作最佳顺序的精确算法,以及在实践中应用的通用规则。此外,还对重新洗牌操作的顺序进行了扩展讨论。利用实际港口数据进行的数值实验表明,这种方法可以确定总作业时间最短的船舶作业顺序。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling shared parking services at spatially correlated locations through a weibit-based combined destination and parking choice equilibrium model 通过基于 weibit 的目的地和停车选择组合均衡模型,模拟空间相关地点的共享停车服务
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.103000
Yu Gu , Anthony Chen , Songyot Kitthamkesorn

This paper proposes a weibit-based equilibrium choice model for investigating the effect of the emerging shared parking services, which have recently received increasing interest, on combined destination location and parking choice behaviors. The model considers the features of shared parking services, including the avoidance of cruising to search for a parking space and limited supply of shared parking spaces. The spatial similarity issues of destination and parking choices, i.e., the correlations among spatially adjacent destination locations and the parking spaces around them, are separately considered through the advanced spatially correlated weibit (SCW) model and parking-size weibit (PSW) model, respectively. Subsequently, an equivalent mathematical programming (MP) formulation of the equilibrium SCW-PSW model is developed, which guarantees the existence and uniqueness of the solutions. Based on the MP formulation, a partial linearization algorithm embedded with the iterative balancing direction-finding scheme and self-regulated averaging line search scheme is developed to solve the proposed equilibrium model. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the properties of the proposed model and its applicability to analyzing planning scenarios with different shared parking supplies.

本文提出了一个基于 weibit 的均衡选择模型,用于研究最近日益受到关注的新兴共享停车服务对目的地位置和停车选择行为的影响。该模型考虑了共享停车服务的特点,包括避免为寻找停车位而巡航以及共享停车位的有限供应。通过先进的空间相关 weibit(SCW)模型和停车位大小 weibit(PSW)模型,分别考虑了目的地和停车位选择的空间相似性问题,即空间上相邻的目的地位置及其周围停车位之间的相关性。随后,建立了 SCW-PSW 平衡模型的等效数学规划(MP)公式,保证了解的存在性和唯一性。在 MP 公式的基础上,开发了一种嵌入了迭代平衡寻向方案和自调节平均线搜索方案的部分线性化算法,用于求解所提出的平衡模型。本文还列举了一些数值示例,以说明所提模型的特性及其在分析不同共享停车位供给的规划场景中的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
How mandatory are ‘Mandatory’ lane changes? An analytical and experimental study on the costs of missing freeway exits 强制 "变道有多强制?关于错过高速公路出口的成本的分析和实验研究
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102994
Zhaohan Wang, Mohsen Ramezani, David Levinson

Lane changing, recognised as one of the most intricate manoeuvres in road traffic, has attracted extensive scholarly interest. To date, the concept of lane change has been categorised into two distinct classifications, namely mandatory and discretionary. Mandatory lane changes (MLCs) are often regarded as absolute, implying that the possibility of not executing the lane change is frequently disregarded. This paper questions this widely accepted proposition by evaluating the costs of neglecting an MLC. Specifically, we examine the costs associated with not making MLCs for exiting freeways, effectively quantifying the cost of missing such exits. The core of this study involves a dual approach comprising an analytical model for the costs of missing exits alongside an empirical analysis of two GPS datasets from the Minneapolis - St. Paul metropolitan area. The performance of the analytical model is validated by cross-referencing it against exit-missing costs from the top 50 metropolitan areas in the US. Regarding the empirical study, it was found that while both time and distance costs are associated with missing exits, the magnitudes of these costs are not substantial. The results obtained in this study offer novel insights into the nature of MLC, and we argue that future models should consist of discretionary (DLC), mandatory (MLC), and expedient (ELC) lane changes. Moreover, the analytical model developed in this study can be integrated into the trade-off function of an ELC model, enabling drivers to bypass their intended exit when needed.

变道被认为是道路交通中最复杂的动作之一,引起了学术界的广泛关注。迄今为止,变道的概念被分为两种不同的分类,即强制变道和酌情变道。强制变道(MLC)通常被视为绝对的,这意味着不执行变道的可能性经常被忽略。本文通过评估忽视 MLC 的成本,对这一广为接受的观点提出质疑。具体来说,我们研究了在驶出高速公路时不进行 MLC 的相关成本,从而有效量化了错过此类出口的成本。本研究的核心是一种双重方法,包括对错过出口的成本建立分析模型,以及对明尼阿波利斯-圣保罗大都市区的两个 GPS 数据集进行实证分析。分析模型的性能通过与美国前 50 大城市区的出口遗失成本进行交叉对比而得到验证。实证研究发现,虽然时间和距离成本都与出口缺失有关,但这些成本的幅度并不大。本研究获得的结果为我们提供了关于 MLC 性质的新见解,我们认为未来的模型应包括自由变道(DLC)、强制变道(MLC)和便捷变道(ELC)。此外,本研究中开发的分析模型可以集成到 ELC 模型的权衡功能中,使驾驶员能够在需要时绕过预定出口。
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引用次数: 0
The consistent vehicle routing problem with stochastic customers and demands 具有随机客户和需求的一致车辆路由问题
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102968
Aldair Alvarez, Jean-François Cordeau, Raf Jans

This paper introduces the consistent vehicle routing problem with stochastic customers and demands. We consider driver consistency as customer-driver assignments that remain fixed when the realizations of the random variables are observed. We study the problem in a two-stage scenario-based stochastic programming framework. In the first stage, customers are assigned to drivers, while in the second stage, customers are selected and delivery routes are designed for each of the scenarios. We assume that the realization of the random variables becomes known before the vehicles depart from the depot. The routes are then optimized according to the observed customers and their demands. The first-stage driver-customer assignments can violate the consistency requirement, which is modeled as a desired maximum number of drivers assigned to each customer. This is modeled as a soft constraint with a penalty in the objective function. It is hence possible to assign multiple drivers to a specific customer in the first stage. In the second stage, a customer can only be visited by one of the preassigned drivers. Our problem, therefore, consists in finding assignments that minimize the consistency violation penalties, the expected routing costs, and the penalties for unserved customers when the uncertain parameters are revealed. We present a mathematical formulation and a sample average approximation (SAA) approach for the problem. We introduce a branch-and-cut and a Benders decomposition method to solve the sample problems in our SAA algorithm. Computational experiments show that SAA allows finding good-quality solutions for instances with large sets of scenarios. We also analyze the cost-consistency trade-offs and the impact of the uncertainty on the problem. In particular, we observe that consistency can be promoted through a flexible approach that does not compromise excessively on other operational metrics. Furthermore, we analyze the impact of not considering the problem uncertainties during the planning stage.

本文介绍了具有随机客户和需求的一致性车辆路由问题。我们将驾驶员一致性视为在观察随机变量的实现时保持固定的客户-驾驶员分配。我们在基于场景的两阶段随机编程框架中研究该问题。在第一阶段,将客户分配给司机,而在第二阶段,为每个场景选择客户并设计配送路线。我们假设,在车辆从仓库出发之前,随机变量的实现情况就已为人所知。然后根据观察到的客户及其需求优化路线。第一阶段的驾驶员-客户分配可能会违反一致性要求,该要求被模拟为分配给每个客户的驾驶员的期望最大数量。在目标函数中,这一要求被模拟为带有惩罚的软约束。因此,在第一阶段,可以为特定客户分配多个司机。在第二阶段,一个客户只能被其中一个预先分配的司机访问。因此,我们的问题在于,当不确定参数被揭示时,如何找到最小化违反一致性惩罚、预期路由成本和未服务客户惩罚的分配方案。我们提出了该问题的数学公式和样本平均近似(SAA)方法。我们在 SAA 算法中引入了分支切割法和 Benders 分解法来解决样本问题。计算实验表明,SAA 可以为具有大量场景集的实例找到高质量的解决方案。我们还分析了成本与一致性的权衡以及不确定性对问题的影响。特别是,我们发现可以通过一种灵活的方法来促进一致性,而不会过度损害其他运行指标。此外,我们还分析了在规划阶段不考虑问题不确定性的影响。
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引用次数: 0
The Capacitated Team Orienteering Problem: An online optimization framework with predictions of unknown accuracy 有能力的团队定向问题:预测准确性未知的在线优化框架
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102984
Davood Shiri , Vahid Akbari , Ali Hassanzadeh

The Capacitated Team Orienteering Problem (CTOP) is a challenging combinatorial optimization problem, wherein a fleet of vehicles traverses multiple locations, each with distinct prizes, demand weights, and service times. The primary objective is to determine optimal routes for the vehicles that collectively accumulate the highest total prize within capacity and time constraints. The CTOP finds applications across various domains such as disaster response, maintenance, marketing, tourism, and surveillance, where coordinated teams are required to efficiently explore and gather prizes from different sites. The complexity of this problem is further compounded by uncertainties in predicting specific attributes of each location, making it hard to plan routes accurately in advance. In numerous scenarios in practice, subjective predictions for these parameters may exist, but their precise values remain unknown until a location is visited by one of the vehicles. Given the unpredictable nature of these parameters, there is a pressing need for innovative online optimization strategies that can adapt to new information, ensuring the strategic allocation of resources and route planning within set constraints. To address this challenging online optimization problem, we offer a detailed analysis through the lens of theoretical and empirical competitive ratios. We derive an exact tight upper bound on the competitive ratio of online algorithms, and we introduce three novel online algorithms, with two of them achieving optimal competitive ratios. The third algorithm is a polynomial time approximation-based online algorithm with a competitive ratio of 13.53 times the tight upper bound. To evaluate our algorithms, we measure their empirical competitive ratios on randomly generated instances as well as instances from the literature. Our empirical analysis demonstrates the effectiveness of our solutions across a diverse range of simulation scenarios.

车队定向问题(CTOP)是一个极具挑战性的组合优化问题,在这个问题中,车队要穿越多个地点,每个地点都有不同的奖品、需求权重和服务时间。其主要目标是为车辆确定最佳路线,以便在容量和时间限制内累计最高的总奖金。CTOP 可应用于各种领域,如灾难响应、维护、营销、旅游和监控等,在这些领域中,需要协调团队从不同地点高效地探索和收集奖品。由于对每个地点具体属性的预测存在不确定性,因此很难提前准确规划路线,这进一步加剧了问题的复杂性。在许多实际场景中,可能存在对这些参数的主观预测,但在其中一辆车访问某个地点之前,这些参数的精确值仍然是未知的。鉴于这些参数的不可预测性,迫切需要能够适应新信息的创新在线优化策略,以确保在设定的约束条件下进行资源战略分配和路线规划。为了解决这一具有挑战性的在线优化问题,我们从理论和经验竞争比率的角度进行了详细分析。我们推导出了在线算法竞争比的精确严格上界,并介绍了三种新型在线算法,其中两种实现了最优竞争比。第三种算法是一种基于多项式时间近似的在线算法,其竞争比是严格上限的 13.53 倍。为了评估我们的算法,我们在随机生成的实例和文献中的实例上测量了它们的经验竞争比。我们的经验分析表明,我们的解决方案在各种模拟场景中都很有效。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of discrete choice models with error in variables: An application to revealed preference data with aggregate service level variables 带有变量误差的离散选择模型的估计:带有总体服务水平变量的显性偏好数据的应用
IF 6.8 1区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2024.102985
Marco Batarce

This article proposes a method to estimate disaggregated discrete choice models with errors in the variables. The objective is to estimate the discrete choice models' coefficients to compute the value of time and use it for cost-benefit analysis in transportation planning. The method is general, as it only requires a validation sample to estimate the conditional density of the error-free variables given the mismeasured variables. More specifically, we assume that the attributes of the chosen alternative are reported without error in revealed preference surveys, and we use this information as the validation sample. The mismeasured variables may be spatially aggregate service levels from mobility surveys or transportation network models. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed method substantially reduces bias in parameters. We validate the technique with two real data sets from Santiago, Chile.

本文提出了一种估算变量误差的离散选择模型的方法。其目的是估计离散选择模型的系数,以计算时间价值,并将其用于交通规划中的成本效益分析。该方法是通用的,因为它只需要一个验证样本,就能在测量误差变量的情况下估算出无误变量的条件密度。更具体地说,我们假设所选替代方案的属性在揭示偏好调查中无误报告,并将此信息作为验证样本。误测变量可以是流动性调查或交通网络模型中的空间综合服务水平。蒙特卡罗模拟显示,所提出的方法大大减少了参数偏差。我们利用智利圣地亚哥的两个真实数据集对该技术进行了验证。
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引用次数: 0
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Transportation Research Part B-Methodological
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