Subsea control systems operating under high hydrostatic pressure and low temperatures require high reliability. Redundancy is a well-established method for improving reliability and availability and for reducing the frequency of replacements. Nevertheless, under extreme subsea conditions with multi-source uncertainties, redundancy design may induce a redundancy paradox: nonlinear growth in resource consumption can ultimately reduce overall system reliability. Therefore, an optimization framework that unifies stress condition characterization, component-importance quantification, and reliability–cost coupling is essential. To address this challenge, a multi-model fusion-based redundancy allocation method for subsea control systems under Bayesian stress-conditional importance is proposed. This methodology establishes an end-to-end redundancy allocation framework, integrating multiple models while unifying the modelling process and coupling mechanisms. A Bayesian stress-conditional importance metric is introduced as the basis for redundancy decisions, and uncertainties in the impact of component failures on system reliability are addressed. Systematically evaluates component importance, feasibility, and redundancy allocation, transforming the redundancy assignment problem into a multi-objective optimization problem. Subsequently, a multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm incorporating the Bayesian stress-conditional importance metric is employed to determine the system's optimal redundancy configuration, aiming to maximize system reliability while minimizing costs. The method is validated against benchmark results from a typical series–parallel system and a complex bridge system. A case study on a subsea light intervention equipment control system further demonstrates high reliability and accurate optimization performance. Overall, the proposed approach supports high-reliability design and contributes to safe and dependable operation of subsea control systems.
扫码关注我们
求助内容:
应助结果提醒方式:
