Coastal regions are crucial for the economic growth and social stability of developing countries, yet they face increasing sustainability challenges arising from urbanization, resource overuse, and environmental degradation. Despite growing recognition of these challenges, existing research has not clearly identified the key sustainability dimensions that require attention in these regions. To address this gap, this study evaluates the sustainable development capacity of coastal zones in 41 developing countries, using an integrated indicator system that encompasses environmental, social, and economic spheres across seven themes. This analysis also explores the synergies and trade-offs among these themes to identify management priorities. Furthermore, future trends in sustainable development capacity are projected under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The results indicate that these countries have an average coastal sustainable development capacity score of 52.18 out of 95, with relatively high scores in social development (mean score: 63.40) and ocean (61.31) themes, while biodiversity (40.96) and freshwater (43.62) themes score relatively low. The highest synergy is observed in the atmosphere (hub score = 1.00) theme, while the highest trade-offs are found in the ocean (1.00) and land (0.78) themes. Trade-offs are particularly prominent in low-income countries' land (1.00) theme, in middle-income countries' ocean (1.00) and social development (0.75) themes, and in high-income countries’ ocean (0.85) and land (1.00) themes, as categorized by coastal GDP per capita. Under the SSP1-1.9 scenario, sustainable development capacity is projected to increase relatively rapidly. This study provides valuable guidance and theoretical foundations for formulating coastal sustainable development strategies in developing countries.
扫码关注我们
求助内容:
应助结果提醒方式:
