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Shallow gas accumulation shaped by morphological evolution in the Changjiang subaqueous delta: Implications for seabed instability and geohazard management 长江水下三角洲形态演化形成的浅层天然气成藏:对海底不稳定和地质灾害管理的启示
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2026.108096
Shihao Liu , Yufeng Chen , Wei Feng
River deltas are crucial repositories of organic carbon, particularly in their coastal regions from the river mouth to the delta front. Although these regions are influenced by a range of physical and biogeochemical processes, the impact of such processes on shallow gas, a vital form of organic carbon storage, remains poorly understood. Here, we integrate ∼2700 km of high-resolution seismic profiles with sedimentological and geomorphological datasets to investigate how the morphological evolution of the Changjiang (Yangtze River) Estuary, especially the progradation of mouth-bar shoals and their recent retreat, has shaped the accumulation, migration, and release potential of shallow gas. Our results delineate three distinct zones from the subaqueous river mouth to the delta front, each displaying contrasting gas accumulation patterns governed by morphodynamic processes. In the northern subaqueous delta, rapid sediment accretion and high organic-carbon burial enhance methane generation, causing pronounced gas-front surges over 5 m in height, accompanied by irregular or jagged front morphologies and dense gas chimneys. We attribute these features to combined deep-sourced methane migration and in-situ methanogenesis, modulated by variations in sediment thickness and sealing bed properties associated with shoal progradation and retreat. In contrast, the southern sector exhibits thinner cap beds and stronger hydrodynamic forcing, which promote gas release and near-equilibrium gas fronts. We document large gas-related pockmarks (up to 150–200 m wide) and active venting features, suggesting that methane migration contributes to localized seabed instability. These venting structures are located near major engineering corridors and ecologically sensitive areas, highlighting their relevance for infrastructure safety and environmental management. These findings have broader implications for understanding methane behavior in deltaic systems and emphasize the importance of incorporating shallow gas mapping into coastal geohazard assessments, marine spatial planning, and coastal infrastructure design in gas-bearing deltaic environment.
河流三角洲是有机碳的重要储存库,特别是在河口到三角洲前缘的沿海地区。尽管这些地区受到一系列物理和生物地球化学过程的影响,但这些过程对浅层气体(有机碳储存的重要形式)的影响仍然知之甚少。在这里,我们将约2700公里的高分辨率地震剖面与沉积学和地貌学数据集相结合,研究长江口(长江)口的形态演化,特别是河口滩的进淤及其近期的退缩,如何塑造了浅层天然气的聚集、运移和释放潜力。我们的研究结果描绘了从水下河口到三角洲前缘三个不同的区域,每个区域都显示出由形态动力学过程控制的不同的天然气聚集模式。在北部水下三角洲,快速的沉积物增生和较高的有机碳埋藏促进了甲烷的生成,导致5 m以上高度的气锋涌动明显,并伴有不规则或锯齿状的前缘形态和密集的气烟囱。我们将这些特征归因于深层甲烷迁移和原位甲烷生成的结合,并受到与浅滩进退相关的沉积物厚度变化和密封层性质的调节。南段盖层较薄,水动力强迫较强,有利于气体释放和接近平衡的气锋。我们记录了与气体有关的大麻子(高达150-200米宽)和活跃的喷口特征,表明甲烷迁移有助于局部海底不稳定。这些通风结构位于主要工程走廊和生态敏感区附近,突出了它们与基础设施安全和环境管理的相关性。这些发现对理解三角洲系统中的甲烷行为具有更广泛的意义,并强调了在含气三角洲环境中将浅层天然气测绘纳入沿海地质灾害评估、海洋空间规划和沿海基础设施设计的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Construction and validation of a novel universal model for predicting hydrodynamic effects of intensive raft aquaculture in semi-enclosed bays 半封闭海湾密集筏养殖水动力效应预测新通用模型的构建与验证
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108079
Mengji Zhang , Kuai Li , Zenghui Li , Changyang Sun , Zhiwei Feng , Wenhui Liao , Shang Jiang , Jin Luo , Xiang Sun
Raft systems are widely used for cultivating large seaweeds (e.g., kelp) and shellfish (e.g., oysters). However, quantifying the impacts of high-density raft aquaculture on hydrodynamic conditions in semi-enclosed bays remains a significant challenge. Using Crassostrea hongkongensis as a representative species, this study introduces roughness height—estimated from friction velocity and roughness length—to characterize hydrodynamic alterations induced by raft aquaculture. Empirical linear relationships between roughness height and cultivation density were derived from field measurements using Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCPs) across 29 floating and 12 submerged rafts. Furthermore, roughness height is introduced as a parameterized drag term, enabling a coupled advection–dispersion module to predict the spatio-temporal dynamics of hydrodynamic conditions under high-density raft aquaculture scenarios. Tidal prism, half-exchange period, and nutrient concentrations were proposed as key indicators for quantifying aquaculture impacts through comparative simulations. Results revealed a significant positive linear correlation between roughness height and cultivation density. Model application in a typical semi-enclosed bay (Qinzhou Bay, China) produced high-accuracy predictions and demonstrated that raft aquaculture facilities significantly reduced surface current velocities (by 30.8–65.2 % for submerged rafts), decreased the tidal prism by 9.6 %, and lengthened the half-exchange period from 36.8 days to 46.1 days (a 9.3-day increase). The established coupled advection-dispersion module parameterized by raft-aquaculture-altered roughness height could be applied to other related case studies.
筏式系统广泛用于养殖大型海藻(如海带)和贝类(如牡蛎)。然而,量化高密度筏养殖对半封闭海湾水动力条件的影响仍然是一个重大挑战。以香港长牡蛎(Crassostrea hongkong gensis)为代表物种,引入粗糙度高度(由摩擦速度和粗糙度长度估算)来表征筏式养殖引起的水动力变化。利用声学多普勒电流剖面仪(ADCPs)对29个浮筏和12个沉筏进行实地测量,得出了粗糙度高度与种植密度之间的经验线性关系。此外,引入粗糙度高度作为参数化阻力项,使平流-色散耦合模块能够预测高密度筏养殖情景下水动力条件的时空动态。通过对比模拟,提出潮汐棱镜、半交换期和养分浓度作为量化水产养殖影响的关键指标。结果表明,粗糙度高度与栽培密度呈显著的线性正相关。在典型的半封闭海湾(钦州湾)进行模型应用,得到了高精度的预测结果,结果表明筏式养殖设施显著降低了表面流速度(沉筏降低30.8% ~ 65.2%),潮汐棱镜降低9.6%,半交换周期从36.8天延长到46.1天(增加9.3天)。建立的平流-色散耦合模型可应用于其他相关案例研究。
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引用次数: 0
Harnessing AI for smarter water management under a changing climate: A review of machine learning and deep learning applications within EU water framework directive and marine strategy framework directive 在不断变化的气候下利用人工智能进行更智能的水资源管理:机器学习和深度学习在欧盟水框架指令和海洋战略框架指令中的应用综述
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2026.108093
Angelica Bianconi , Elisa Furlan , Sebastiano Vascon , Andrea Critto
The Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) and the Water Framework Directive (WFD) are key EU policies for safeguarding marine and freshwater ecosystems. They establish targets and evaluation frameworks to ensure good environmental and ecological status. This paper reviews the application of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) in supporting these directives. A dual approach is used: a scientometric analysis to map the research landscape, followed by a systematic review of selected studies. The review focuses on three main areas: (i) use of spatio-temporal data, (ii) integration of climate-related scenario analysis, and (iii) application of ML and DL methods to enhance directive implementation. Results highlight the growing role of AI in water management, demonstrating its potential in handling large datasets, revealing patterns, and supporting predictive decision-making. Nonetheless, significant gaps remain. The underuse of spatio-temporal data hinders predictive accuracy, and scenario analysis methods often fail to capture the full complexity of climate impacts on aquatic systems. These limitations constrain the effectiveness of data-driven policy decisions. The paper calls for further research to better incorporate temporal dynamics in AI models and to refine scenario analysis tools. Such improvements are crucial for advancing adaptive, informed strategies in water resource management aligned with European directives.
海洋战略框架指令(MSFD)和水框架指令(WFD)是欧盟保护海洋和淡水生态系统的关键政策。他们建立目标和评估框架,以确保良好的环境和生态状况。本文回顾了机器学习(ML)和深度学习(DL)在支持这些指令中的应用。采用了一种双重方法:一种科学计量分析来绘制研究图景,然后对选定的研究进行系统回顾。该综述集中在三个主要领域:(i)时空数据的使用,(ii)与气候相关的情景分析的整合,以及(iii)应用ML和DL方法来加强指令的实施。研究结果强调了人工智能在水资源管理中日益重要的作用,展示了其在处理大型数据集、揭示模式和支持预测性决策方面的潜力。尽管如此,巨大的差距依然存在。时空数据的利用不足影响了预测的准确性,情景分析方法往往无法捕捉气候对水生系统影响的全部复杂性。这些限制限制了数据驱动的政策决策的有效性。该论文呼吁进一步研究,以更好地将时间动态纳入人工智能模型,并完善情景分析工具。这种改进对于推进符合欧洲指令的适应性、知情的水资源管理战略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Using chain event graphs to understand cruise-ship passengers’ bookings of tourist excursion trains 利用链式事件图了解邮轮旅客对旅游游览列车的预订情况
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108063
Rodrigo A. Collazo , James Henry , Andrea Insch , Geraldine Mcleod , Jordan van der Klei , Jim Q. Smith
Several documented weaknesses in current market segmentation techniques exist that may reduce the accuracy and optimization of marketing decision-making supporting cruise ship passenger onshore excursion choice. These weaknesses relate to the data analysis techniques used as part of the market segmentation of cruise ship passengers. This paper presents a new analytical method to overcome some of the weaknesses of the existing approaches, the Chain Event Graph (CEG). Adopting a Bayesian approach, the CEG model offers a market segmentation method to aid the identification of specific groups of passengers, based on their behavioral tendencies and demographic characteristics, and match them with targeted marketing communications promoting specific onshore excusion options. Ultimately, the CEG enables the design of marketing programs to improve the distribution of customers within a tourism operator's portfolio of offerings. This capability is important for those businesses and DMOs in cruise tourism and supporting transport sectors whose offerings are often perishable, inflexible and have uncertain customer demand. In this study, we use the CEG approach to segment cruise ship passengers' choice of train excursion for their onshore visit to Ōtepoti Dunedin, Aoetearoa New Zealand.
Considering the limitations of existing methods of market segmentation, in this paper CEG has been demonstrated to elicit parsimonious models that can illuminate the process dynamic of consumer behavior and optimize the use of available data. As we show using the example of cruise-ship passengers booking a train excursion, three viable segments were identified based on their choice of choice of train excursion related to two variables (age and propensity for cruise travel). Cruise passengers can also be segmented into four groups based on their information search and booking location behaviour and preference for public or cruise trains. Furthermore, the results of the study demonstrate that a comparison with another approach using a Bayesian Network model showed superiority of the CEG method. Overall, CEG provides destination and tourism operators’ marketing managers with a tree-based graphical model, which depicts the steps and behavior patterns in the process of booking a train excursion and the probability of each possible pathway.
目前的市场细分技术存在一些弱点,这些弱点可能会降低支持游轮乘客岸上游览选择的营销决策的准确性和优化。这些弱点与作为游轮乘客市场细分的一部分所使用的数据分析技术有关。本文提出了一种新的分析方法,即链事件图(CEG),以克服现有方法的一些缺点。CEG模型采用贝叶斯方法,提供了一种市场细分方法,根据乘客的行为倾向和人口特征,帮助识别特定的乘客群体,并将其与有针对性的营销传播相匹配,促进特定的在岸排斥选择。最终,CEG使营销计划的设计能够在旅游运营商的产品组合中改善客户的分布。这种能力对于邮轮旅游和支持运输部门的企业和dmo来说非常重要,因为这些部门的产品往往容易变质、不灵活,而且客户需求不确定。在本研究中,我们使用CEG方法对游轮乘客选择乘坐火车前往新西兰达尼丁Ōtepoti的陆上旅游进行细分。考虑到现有市场细分方法的局限性,本文证明了CEG可以推导出简洁的模型,这些模型可以阐明消费者行为的过程动态并优化可用数据的使用。正如我们使用预订火车旅行的游轮乘客的例子所示,根据他们选择与两个变量(年龄和游轮旅行倾向)相关的火车旅行的选择,确定了三个可行的区段。邮轮乘客也可以根据他们的信息搜索和预订位置行为以及对公共或邮轮列车的偏好分为四类。此外,研究结果表明,与使用贝叶斯网络模型的另一种方法相比,CEG方法具有优越性。总体而言,CEG为目的地和旅游运营商的营销经理提供了一个基于树的图形模型,该模型描述了预订火车游览过程中的步骤和行为模式,以及每种可能路径的概率。
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引用次数: 0
A three-dimensional layered model for sea area usage across dimensions of space, functional elements, and time 一个跨空间、功能要素和时间维度的海洋区域使用的三维分层模型
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108074
Saiya Xu , Yanping Li , Qi Yue , Dahai Liu , Heng Hu , Shuo Wang , Yuqing Chen , Yilin Liu
With the continuous growth of global demand for marine spatial resources, three-dimensional layered utilization of sea areas is important to understand in order to resolve conflicts in marine development and support the growth of the blue economy. However, current research on this topic has primarily focused on theoretical and policy discussions, and there is no systematic method for assessing the vertical compatibility of sea use activities. To address this issue, we adopt a research approach that combines theoretical construction and expert evaluation. First, the theoretical foundation of three-dimensional marine development is analyzed across three dimensions – spatial, elemental (functional elements such as ships and marine infrastructure), and temporal. This is done to clarify the spatial usage characteristics of sea use activities and their mechanisms of interaction across different dimensions. Then, we construct an analytical framework to assess the vertical compatibility of marine activities. Using expert scoring results, this framework follows a stepwise process that sequentially evaluates spatial dependency, the nature of functional components, and temporal conflicts. We also incorporate environmental factors for supplementary adjustments, which enable the derivation of a vertical compatibility matrix for marine activities. The results indicate: (1) Regarding the spatial dimension, based on the degree of spatial dependence of sea use activities on the water surface, water column, seabed, and subsoil, their occupied space can be divided into main space and ancillary space. Sea use activities sharing the same main space are vertically incompatible. (2) From the elemental dimension, the stronger the rigidity of an activity's functional components, the lower its compatibility potential. (3) In terms of the temporal dimension, even short-term occupation of marine space for construction or maintenance can cause spatial conflicts. (4) From an environmental perspective, some activities can affect vertical compatibility with other activities by damaging the environment and/or reducing safety. (5) The vertical compatibility between sea use activities can be categorized into three types: fully compatible, conditionally compatible, and incompatible. This study provides a logical micro-level description of the characteristics of sea use activities in marine space, presenting a vertical compatibility matrix that covers many current types of sea use activities. It also analyzes application objectives, application pathways, and potential implications for public policy. The findings may act as reference material for international marine spatial planning, use regulation, multi-use ocean management, and related policymaking, thereby contributing to modern marine spatial governance systems.
随着全球对海洋空间资源需求的不断增长,为了解决海洋开发中的矛盾,支持蓝色经济的增长,了解海域的三维分层利用是非常重要的。然而,目前关于这一主题的研究主要集中在理论和政策讨论上,没有系统的方法来评估海洋利用活动的垂直兼容性。针对这一问题,我们采取了理论建构与专家评价相结合的研究方法。首先,从空间、要素(船舶和海洋基础设施等功能要素)和时间三个维度分析了海洋三维发展的理论基础。这是为了阐明海洋利用活动的空间利用特征及其在不同维度上的相互作用机制。然后,我们构建了一个分析框架来评估海洋活动的垂直兼容性。使用专家评分结果,该框架遵循一个循序渐进的过程,依次评估空间依赖性、功能组件的性质和时间冲突。我们还将环境因素纳入补充调整,从而能够推导出海洋活动的垂直兼容性矩阵。结果表明:(1)在空间维度上,根据海洋利用活动对水面、水柱、海底和底土的空间依赖程度,可将其占用空间划分为主要空间和辅助空间。共享同一主空间的海上活动在垂直方向上是不相容的。(2)从元素维度看,活性的功能成分刚性越强,其相容电位越低。(3)在时间维度上,即使短期占用海洋空间进行建设或维修也会造成空间冲突。(4)从环境的角度来看,一些活动可能会破坏环境和/或降低安全性,从而影响与其他活动的垂直兼容性。(5)海洋利用活动之间的垂直相容性可分为完全相容、有条件相容和不相容三种类型。本研究提供了海洋空间中海洋利用活动特征的逻辑微观描述,提出了一个涵盖当前许多类型海洋利用活动的垂直兼容性矩阵。它还分析了应用目标、应用途径以及对公共政策的潜在影响。研究结果可作为国际海洋空间规划、利用监管、多用途海洋管理和相关政策制定的参考材料,从而为现代海洋空间治理体系做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Spatio-temporal distributions of stranded green turtles (Chelonia mydas) and interactions with fisheries in southern Brazil 巴西南部搁浅绿海龟的时空分布及其与渔业的相互作用
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108051
Vitória Bonfim Iurk , Gabriel Fraga da Fonseca , Matt K. Broadhurst , Mauricio Cantor , Camila Domit
Green turtles (Chelonia mydas) are an ecologically important marine species facing increasing anthropogenic pressures that threaten populations worldwide. In the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean, particularly off southern Brazil, interactions with fisheries are thought to cause high mortalities, yet the spatio-temporal dynamics of these impacts remain poorly understood. We analysed eight years (2016–2023) of data from systematic beach monitoring across ∼1400 km of coastline (from Rio de Janeiro to Santa Catarina) to assess patterns of green turtle strandings in relation to intrinsic (sex and life stage) and extrinsic factors (fisheries and other human activities). A total of 42,333 green turtles were recorded; the majority being juvenile females (mean curved carapace length 39.3 ± 7.3 cm) and all with a mortality rate of 90 %. Stranding rates peaked in the state of Paraná, particularly between June and December, and most carcasses (70 %) were in advanced decomposition. Evidence of anthropogenic interactions was widespread, and included fishing (37 % of assessable cases), marine-debris ingestion (36 %) and entanglement (41 %), boat collisions (10 %), and dredging (<1 %). Patterns varied seasonally and regionally, with greater log odds of fishing interactions during summer–autumn and marine-debris ingestion and entanglement during winter. The data indicate that green turtle stranding dynamics possibly reflect both migratory behaviour and seasonal fishing effort, highlighting a potential ecological trap in productive coastal areas. High and unsustainable juvenile mortality across multiple stocks underscores the need to include this developmental stage in subpopulation conservation assessments. Our results suggest an urgent need for improved fisheries management, systematic monitoring, and integrated conservation strategies to secure the long-term persistence of green turtles in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean.
绿海龟(Chelonia mydas)是一种重要的生态海洋物种,面临着日益增加的人类压力,威胁着全球的种群。在西南大西洋,特别是巴西南部海域,与渔业的相互作用被认为造成了高死亡率,但对这些影响的时空动态仍然知之甚少。我们分析了8年(2016-2023年)的数据,这些数据来自于对大约1400公里海岸线(从巴西里约热内卢到圣卡塔琳娜)的系统海滩监测,以评估绿海龟搁浅的模式与内在因素(性和生命阶段)和外在因素(渔业和其他人类活动)的关系。共录得42,333只绿海龟;以雌性幼虫居多(平均弯曲甲壳长39.3±7.3 cm),死亡率均为90%。搁浅率在帕拉纳州达到高峰,特别是在6月至12月期间,大多数尸体(70%)处于晚期分解状态。人为相互作用的证据广泛存在,包括捕鱼(占可评估案例的37%)、海洋垃圾摄入(36%)和缠结(41%)、船只碰撞(10%)和疏浚(1%)。模式随季节和区域的变化而变化,夏秋季节捕鱼相互作用的概率较大,冬季海洋垃圾摄入和缠结的概率较大。数据表明,绿海龟搁浅动态可能反映了洄游行为和季节性捕捞努力,突出了沿海生产地区潜在的生态陷阱。多种鱼类的高且不可持续的幼鱼死亡率强调了将这一发育阶段纳入亚种群保护评估的必要性。我们的研究结果表明,迫切需要改善渔业管理,系统监测和综合保护策略,以确保西南大西洋绿海龟的长期持久性。
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引用次数: 0
Does fishery management for groupers (Teleostei: Epinephelidae) protect them effectively? Context from the IUCN's Red list of threatened species 石斑鱼(Teleostei: Epinephelidae)的渔业管理是否有效地保护了它们?来自世界自然保护联盟濒危物种红色名录的背景
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108065
Sean T. Fennessy , Christi Linardich , Kevin Rhodes , Joao P. Barreiros , David Pollard , Eloy Sosa-Cordero , Felicia Coleman , Alfonso Aguilar-Perera , Christopher R. Malinowski , Thierry Brulé , Pedro Afonso , Kayan Ma , Min Liu , Muktha Menon , Colin Wen , Stanley K.H. Shea , Sean N. Porter , Matthew Craig , Yvonne Sadovy de Mitcheson
Worldwide, groupers (Epinephelidae) are commercially valued fishes, which also play key ecological roles on tropical and subtropical reefs. In 2007 and 2016, the IUCN's Groupers and Wrasses Specialist Group assessed all 160+ grouper species, with 17 of these being identified as threatened in 2016 and the major threat factor being overexploitation. Our present study aimed to identify whether management measures (MMs) for previously assessed groupers were established, whether these measures aligned with IUCN's Red List categories, and whether they effectively protect grouper populations. Experts in grouper biology and management assigned scores per grouper species based on the extent to which MMs were in place and effective throughout these species' geographic ranges. Simple 4-level scores (0–3) were used to indicate the extent to which a MM was in place and how effective it was considered to be over the global distribution of each species. Of the 50 species scored, which included almost all threatened species, 97 % showed no/extremely limited/limited use of MMs, while only 3 % showed widespread/extensive use of MMs. Only 2 % of species showed highly/very effective scores for management, while 98 % showed limited/extremely limited/ineffective scores or no MMs in place. The MMs and their effectiveness were not commensurate with IUCN extinction risk levels. Overall, fishery management implemented for groupers by governments needs to be substantially improved, basic biological studies on many species are urgently required, fishing effort needs to be reduced, and regular biological and fishery monitoring conducted to evaluate the need for, and outcomes of, management. Although not all grouper species form spawning aggregations, recommendations are given to increase the protection of aggregating grouper species, in combination with well-placed Marine Protected Areas.
在世界范围内,石斑鱼(石斑科)是具有商业价值的鱼类,在热带和亚热带珊瑚礁中也起着重要的生态作用。在2007年和2016年,世界自然保护联盟的石斑鱼和wrass专家组评估了所有160多种石斑鱼,其中17种在2016年被确定为受威胁物种,主要威胁因素是过度捕捞。我们目前的研究旨在确定是否建立了先前评估的石斑鱼管理措施(mm),这些措施是否与世界自然保护联盟的红色名录类别一致,以及它们是否有效地保护了石斑鱼种群。石斑鱼生物学和管理专家根据mm在这些物种的地理范围内的到位程度和有效性为每个石斑鱼物种分配了分数。简单的4级分数(0-3)用于表示MM的到位程度以及对每个物种的全球分布的有效程度。在被评分的50个物种(几乎包括所有受威胁的物种)中,97%的物种没有/极有限/有限使用mm,而只有3%的物种广泛/广泛使用mm。只有2%的物种在管理方面表现出高度/非常有效的得分,而98%的物种表现出有限/极其有限/无效的得分或没有管理措施。mm及其有效性与IUCN的灭绝风险水平不相称。总体而言,政府对石斑鱼的渔业管理需要大幅改善,迫切需要对许多物种进行基础生物学研究,需要减少捕捞努力,并进行定期的生物和渔业监测,以评估管理的必要性和结果。虽然不是所有的石斑鱼种类都会聚集产卵,但我们建议加强对聚集的石斑鱼种类的保护,并结合地理位置优越的海洋保护区。
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引用次数: 0
Construction and application of an evaluation indicator system for biological coastal ecological restoration 海岸带生物生态修复评价指标体系的构建与应用
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108053
Yu Peng , Lianqiang Shi , Junli Guo , Mingli Zhao , Juan Liang , Qinghua Ye , Huangzhe Qi , Tianshui Cao
<div><div>Under the continuous disturbance of human activities, coastal ecosystems, especially biological coastal ecosystems, have been severely damaged. In response to this trend, many countries have implemented ecological restoration projects to restore ecological functions. However, scientific evaluation of restoration effectivReferenceeness still lags behind, and there is a lack of standardization in indicator selection and methodology, making it difficult to accurately assess restoration effectiveness and hindering the optimization of restoration strategies. To address this, the present study systematically reviews existing evaluation methods, analyzing their strengths and limitations to ensure that the proposed indicator system is representative, comprehensive, and can integrate multiple perspectives. Methodologically, the framework is developed based on the “Restoration Wheel” theory, encompassing six dimensions: physical conditions, species composition, structural diversity, ecosystem functions, threat factors, and external connectivity. The “Restoration Wheel” theory, guided by the “International Standards for Ecological Restoration” established by the Society for Ecological Restoration (SER), provides a scientific framework for the evaluation of ecological restoration, integrating the characteristics of coastal ecosystem environments. Subjective weights derived from the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) are combined with objective weights calculated through an improved CRITIC method, and integrated using game theory to obtain composite weights. Restoration effectiveness is then quantitatively assessed through a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation approach. The traditional CRITIC method is prone to bias in weight calculation when dealing with data of different dimensions and magnitudes, as the standard deviation is easily influenced by the raw data. To address this issue, this study introduces the coefficient of variation as a replacement for the standard deviation, eliminating the differences in dimension and magnitude, and ensuring fairness and stability in the weight calculation. Taking the biogenic coastal restoration project in Xiaohai, Wanning, Hainan Province, China, as a case study, the applicability of the indicator system is tested. Results show that: (1) physical conditions, species composition, and structural diversity carry decisive weightings of 0.2622, 0.3066, and 0.2793, respectively, in the evaluation process; (2) from winter 2022 to winter 2024, overall restoration effectiveness substantially improved, with best performance from profiles H2 and H5, while H1 showed a slight decline but remained at a “moderate” or higher level; and (3) significant differences in restoration effectiveness were observed among profiles, likely linked to variability in seawater salinity and benthic biomass. This study provides technical support for the scientific evaluation of biogenic coastal restoration and offers a reference paradigm for selecti
在人类活动的不断干扰下,海岸带生态系统,特别是海岸带生物生态系统遭到了严重破坏。针对这一趋势,各国纷纷实施生态修复工程,恢复生态功能。然而,科学的修复效果评价参考性仍然滞后,指标选择和方法缺乏标准化,难以准确评估修复效果,阻碍了修复策略的优化。为解决这一问题,本研究对现有评价方法进行了系统回顾,分析其优势和局限性,以确保所提出的指标体系具有代表性、全面性,并能整合多个视角。在方法上,该框架基于“恢复轮”理论,包括六个维度:物理条件、物种组成、结构多样性、生态系统功能、威胁因素和外部连通性。“恢复轮”理论以中国生态恢复学会制定的“国际生态恢复标准”为指导,结合沿海生态系统环境的特点,为生态恢复评价提供了科学的框架。将层次分析法(AHP)得出的主观权重与改进的CRITIC法计算的客观权重相结合,利用博弈论进行综合,得到综合权重。然后采用模糊综合评价法对修复效果进行定量评价。传统的CRITIC方法在处理不同维度、不同量级的数据时,由于标准差容易受到原始数据的影响,在权重计算中容易出现偏差。为了解决这一问题,本研究引入变异系数来代替标准差,消除了维度和幅度的差异,保证了权重计算的公平性和稳定性。以海南万宁小海生物源海岸带修复工程为例,对指标体系的适用性进行了验证。结果表明:(1)自然条件、物种组成和结构多样性在评价过程中的决定性权重分别为0.2622、0.3066和0.2793;(2)从2022年冬季到2024年冬季,总体恢复效果显著提高,其中H2和H5剖面恢复效果最好,H1剖面略有下降,但保持在“中等”以上水平;(3)不同剖面的恢复效果存在显著差异,这可能与海水盐度和底栖生物生物量的变化有关。本研究为生物源性海岸修复的科学评价提供了技术支持,并为其他海岸修复项目的指标选择和定量描述提供了参考范式。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of offshore wind energy development on the commercial sea scallop fishery 海上风能开发对商业海扇贝渔业的影响
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108045
Sarah Borsetti , Daphne M. Munroe , John M. Klinck , Andrew M. Scheld , Eileen E. Hofmann , Eric N. Powell , David B. Rudders
The Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) fishery on the Northeast U.S. continental shelf generates approximately USD 500 million ex-vessel revenues annually, making it one of the most valuable single species fisheries in the United States. Wind energy development is planned for key areas on the U.S. Mid-Atlantic shelf where the Atlantic sea scallop fishery operates, creating novel challenges in managing trade-offs between traditional users like fisheries and new users like offshore wind energy. An agent-based modeling framework that integrates spatial dynamics in Atlantic sea scallop stock biology, fishing fleet behavior, and federal management decisions, was implemented to investigate how offshore wind energy infrastructure may directly affect the Atlantic sea scallop fishery. The effect of current and planned wind energy lease areas on Atlantic sea scallop was evaluated with simulations that restricted Atlantic sea scallop fishing in lease areas, transiting lease areas by the fishing fleet, or both. The relative effects of these restrictions were measured against a simulation without any restrictions.
Simulations indicated that wind energy lease areas have minor impacts on the present-day fishery, with changes in days fished, landings per unit effort, and total fishing trips under 5% with impacts varying across development scenarios and fishing ports. These results suggest offshore wind development may have limited impacts on fishing. However, these changes can be magnified by the value of the Atlantic sea scallop fishery, resulting in substantial economic impacts. Imposed restrictions on fishing location and transiting lease areas resulted in spatial shifts in fishing trips, with larger changes associated with the larger proposed wind lease area footprints, particularly in the southern part of the Atlantic sea scallop range. The largest negative effect of wind restrictions was the reduction in Atlantic sea scallop biomass outside of the lease areas (∼4–9%), likely due to effort displacement, even though the total stock biomass remained relatively unchanged. The simulation results highlight the need for a holistic approach to assessing the complex interactions between offshore wind energy lease areas, Atlantic sea scallop stock dynamics, and fishing vessel transit routes to accurately identify and address potential impacts. This information is critical for fishers and managers to assess mitigation approaches and serves as a valuable tool for future planning amid interactions between commercial fisheries, the offshore wind energy industry, and changing environmental conditions.
美国东北大陆架的大西洋扇贝(Placopecten magellanicus)渔业每年产生约5亿美元的船前收入,使其成为美国最有价值的单一物种渔业之一。风能开发计划在美国大西洋中部大陆架的关键地区进行,在那里大西洋扇贝渔业经营,在管理传统用户(如渔业)和新用户(如海上风能)之间的权衡方面提出了新的挑战。采用基于主体的建模框架,整合了大西洋扇贝种群生物学、捕鱼船队行为和联邦管理决策的空间动态,以研究海上风能基础设施如何直接影响大西洋扇贝渔业。目前和计划中的风能租赁区对大西洋扇贝的影响通过模拟来评估,这些模拟限制了大西洋扇贝在租赁区、渔船队过境租赁区或两者兼而有之。在没有任何限制的模拟中测量了这些限制的相对影响。模拟结果表明,风能租赁区对当前渔业的影响较小,捕捞日数、单位努力的登陆量和总捕捞次数的变化在5%以下,影响因发展情景和渔港而异。这些结果表明,海上风电开发对渔业的影响可能有限。然而,这些变化可以被大西洋扇贝渔业的价值放大,从而产生重大的经济影响。对捕鱼地点和过境租赁区域的限制导致了捕鱼行程的空间变化,其中较大的变化与较大的拟议风租赁区域足迹相关,特别是在大西洋扇贝范围的南部。风限制的最大负面影响是大西洋扇贝生物量在租赁区域以外的减少(约4-9%),这可能是由于努力位移,尽管总存量生物量保持相对不变。模拟结果强调,需要一种全面的方法来评估海上风能租赁区域、大西洋扇贝种群动态和渔船过境路线之间的复杂相互作用,以准确识别和解决潜在影响。这些信息对于渔民和管理者评估缓解方法至关重要,并且在商业渔业、海上风能产业和不断变化的环境条件之间的相互作用中,是未来规划的宝贵工具。
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引用次数: 0
Contribution of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) towards ecosystem services and fisheries: An experts’ perspective from Mediterranean MPAs 海洋保护区对生态系统服务和渔业的贡献:来自地中海海洋保护区的专家观点
IF 5.4 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.108061
Ibrahim Boubekri , Johanna Schumacher , Miriam von Thenen , Astrid Sánchez-Jiménez , Anna A. Lloveras , Rafael Sardá , Rachid Amara , Gerald Schernewski
The Ecosystem Service framework is essential for understanding the role of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) in delivering conservation benefits and societal goods such as fisheries. A perception analysis was conducted to capture the views of 33 experts on MPA-associated ecosystem services. Moreover, using The MPA Guide, we applied a scenario-based approach to assess the potential impact of different degrees of protection (i.e., fully, highly, lightly, and minimally protected levels) on fisheries-related ecosystem services. An expert-based evaluation explored the influence of these protection levels on fisheries-related ecosystem services across two prospective timeframes, set at 3- and 7-years post-implementation. Findings indicate a broad consensus on the perceived importance of cultural services attributed to MPAs. Provisioning MPA-associated ecosystem services are moderate, and their relevance varies by experiential and disciplinary backgrounds of experts. Fully and highly protected levels were perceived as the most effective in enhancing fisheries-related ecosystem services, particularly through increased fish abundance, individual size, and biomass. While provisioning fisheries-related ecosystem services were clearly perceived as increasing over time, especially under higher protection levels, the trends for regulation/maintenance and cultural fisheries-related ecosystem services were more subtle. This study highlights the need for adaptive protection strategies that account for temporal scales, reinforcing the role of long-term monitoring frameworks that capture both socioeconomic and social-ecological outcomes. Moreover, by introducing a qualitative cost-effective expert judgment, this methodology can be implemented in data-poor contexts such as the Mediterranean region. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and MPA planners striving to implement the EU 2030 Biodiversity Strategy in the Mediterranean Sea in terms of design, zoning, and governance of strictly protected MPAs that are both ecologically effective and socially acceptable.
生态系统服务框架对于理解海洋保护区(MPAs)在提供保护效益和渔业等社会产品方面的作用至关重要。对33位专家对保护区相关生态系统服务的看法进行了感知分析。此外,利用《海洋保护区指南》,我们采用基于场景的方法评估了不同保护程度(即完全保护、高度保护、轻度保护和最低保护水平)对渔业相关生态系统服务的潜在影响。一项基于专家的评估探讨了这些保护水平在实施后3年和7年两个预期时间框架内对渔业相关生态系统服务的影响。调查结果表明,人们对海洋保护区文化服务的重要性有广泛的共识。提供mpa相关的生态系统服务是适度的,其相关性因专家的经验和学科背景而异。人们认为,充分和高度保护的水平在加强与渔业有关的生态系统服务方面最有效,特别是通过增加鱼类丰度、个体大小和生物量。虽然提供与渔业有关的生态系统服务显然随着时间的推移而增加,特别是在保护水平较高的情况下,但管理/维持和与文化渔业有关的生态系统服务的趋势则更为微妙。本研究强调需要考虑到时间尺度的适应性保护战略,加强长期监测框架的作用,以捕捉社会经济和社会生态结果。此外,通过引入具有成本效益的定性专家判断,这种方法可以在地中海地区等数据匮乏的情况下实施。研究结果为政策制定者和海洋保护区规划者在地中海实施欧盟2030生物多样性战略提供了有价值的见解,包括设计、分区和治理严格保护的海洋保护区,使其既具有生态效益,又具有社会可接受性。
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Ocean & Coastal Management
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