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Effect of Physically Realistic Potential Energy Form on Spatial Pattern Complexity in a Collective Motion Model 集体运动模型中物理真实势能形式对空间格局复杂性的影响
Pub Date : 2023-04-27 DOI: 10.1155/2023/8852349
Austin M. Marcus, Hiroki Sayama
Collective motion models most often use self-propelled particles, which are known to produce organized spatial patterns via their collective interactions. However, there is less work considering the possible organized spatial patterns achievable by non-self-propelled particles (nondriven), i.e., those obeying energy and momentum conservation. Moreover, it is not known how the potential energy interaction between the particles affects the complexity of the patterns. To address this, in this paper, a collective motion model with a pairwise potential energy function that conserved the total energy and momentum of the particles was implemented. The potential energy function was derived by generalizing the Lennard–Jones potential to reduce to gravity-like and billiard-ball-like potentials at the extremes of its parameter range. The particle model was simulated under a number of parameterizations of this generalized potential, and the average complexity of the spatial pattern produced by each was computed. Complexity was measured by tracking the information needed to describe the particle system at different scales (the complexity profile). It was found that the spatial patterns of the particles were the most complex around a specific ratio in the parameters. This parameter ratio described a characteristic shape of the potential energy function that is capable of producing complex spatial patterns. It is suggested that the characteristic shape of the potential energy produces complex behavior by balancing the likelihood for particles to bond. Furthermore, these results demonstrate that complex spatial patterns are possible even in an isolated system.
集体运动模型通常使用自推进粒子,已知它们通过集体相互作用产生有组织的空间模式。然而,考虑到非自推进粒子(即服从能量和动量守恒的粒子)可能实现的有组织空间模式的工作较少。此外,还不知道粒子间的势能相互作用如何影响图案的复杂性。为了解决这个问题,本文实现了一个具有守恒粒子总能量和动量的成对势能函数的集体运动模型。势能函数通过推广Lennard-Jones势,在其参数范围的极值处简化为类重力势和类台球势。在此广义势的多个参数化下对粒子模型进行了模拟,并计算了每种参数化产生的空间格局的平均复杂度。复杂性是通过跟踪描述不同尺度的粒子系统所需的信息(复杂性剖面)来测量的。结果表明,在各参数的一定比例附近,粒子的空间格局最为复杂。该参数比值描述了能够产生复杂空间格局的势能函数的特征形状。我们认为,势能的特征形状通过平衡粒子结合的可能性而产生了复杂的行为。此外,这些结果表明,即使在一个孤立的系统中,复杂的空间模式也是可能的。
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid Human and Machine Learning Algorithms to Forecast the European Stock Market 混合人类和机器学习算法预测欧洲股市
Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.1155/2023/5847887
Germán G. Creamer, Yasuaki Sakamoto, J. Nickerson, Yong Ren
This paper explores the power of news sentiment to predict financial returns, particularly the returns of a set of European stocks. Building on past decision support work going back to the Delphi method, this paper describes a text analysis expert weighting algorithm that aggregates the responses of both humans and algorithms by dynamically selecting the best answer according to previous performance. The proposed system is tested through an experiment in which ensembles of experts, crowds, and machines analyzed Thomson Reuters news stories and predicted the returns of the relevant stocks mentioned right after the stories appeared. In most cases, the expert weighting algorithm was better than or as good as the best algorithm or human. The algorithm’s capacity to dynamically select the best answers from humans and machines results in an evolving collective intelligence: the final decision is an aggregation of the best automated individual answers, some of which come from machines and some from humans. Additionally, this paper shows that the groups of humans, algorithms, and expert weighting algorithms have associated with them, particularly, news topics that these groups are good at making predictions from.
本文探讨了新闻情绪预测金融回报的能力,特别是一组欧洲股票的回报。基于过去的决策支持工作可以追溯到德尔菲方法,本文描述了一种文本分析专家加权算法,该算法通过根据以前的表现动态选择最佳答案来聚合人类和算法的响应。该系统通过一项实验进行了测试,在该实验中,专家、人群和机器组合分析了汤森路透的新闻报道,并在报道出现后立即预测了相关股票的回报。在大多数情况下,专家加权算法优于或不亚于最佳算法或人。该算法动态地从人类和机器中选择最佳答案的能力导致了一种不断进化的集体智能:最终的决策是最佳自动化个人答案的集合,其中一些来自机器,一些来自人类。此外,本文还显示了人类群体、算法和专家加权算法与它们相关联,特别是这些群体擅长做出预测的新闻主题。
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引用次数: 0
Seeding the Spatial Prisoner's Dilemma with Ulam's Spiral 用乌拉姆的螺旋播种空间囚徒困境
Pub Date : 2023-04-25 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1649440
Tim Johnson
Ulam’s spiral reveals patterns in the prime numbers by presenting positive integers in a right-angled whorl. The classic spatial prisoner’s dilemma (PD) reveals pathways to cooperation by presenting a model of agents interacting on a grid. This paper brings these tools together via a deterministic spatial PD model that distributes cooperators at the prime-numbered locations of Ulam’s spiral. The model focuses on a narrow boundary game variant of the PD for ease of comparison with early studies of the spatial PD. Despite constituting an initially small portion of the population, cooperators arranged in Ulam’s spiral always grow to dominance when (i) the payoff to free-riding is less than or equal to 8/6 (≈1.33) times the payoff to mutual cooperation and (ii) grid size equals or exceeds 23 × 23. As in any spatial PD model, particular formations of cooperators spur this growth and here these formations draw attention to rare configurations in Ulam’s spiral.
乌拉姆的螺旋通过在一个直角的螺旋中呈现正整数来揭示质数的模式。经典的空间囚徒困境(spatial prisoner’s dilemma, PD)通过提出一个在网格上相互作用的主体模型来揭示合作的途径。本文通过一个确定性空间PD模型将这些工具结合在一起,该模型将合作者分布在Ulam螺旋的素数位置。为了便于与早期的空间PD研究进行比较,该模型侧重于PD的窄边界博弈变体。尽管最初只占人口的一小部分,但当(i)搭便车的收益小于或等于相互合作收益的8/6(≈1.33)倍,且(ii)网格大小等于或超过23 × 23时,排列在乌拉姆螺旋中的合作者总是会成长为优势。就像在任何空间PD模型中一样,特定的合作者结构刺激了这种增长,这些结构引起了人们对乌拉姆螺旋中罕见结构的注意。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of County Economic Resilience in Henan Province Based on the Entropy Weight-Normal Cloud Model 基于熵权-正态云模型的河南省县域经济弹性评价
Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1308095
Qingxiu Peng, Lifang Xuan
As new urbanization constantly develops, the county economy plays a vital role between country and city, and high economic resilience is necessary to support and safeguard for smooth functioning of the county development. The paper constructs the index system of county economic resilience in Henan Province from three dimensions: risk resistance ability, self-stability, and sustainable development ability, and to empirically analyze the economic resilience of 104 counties and cities in the province from 2013 to 2020 using the entropy weight-normal cloud model. The results show that Henan counties’ economic resilience increases slowly over time and decreases spatially from the center to the surrounding region, with Zhengzhou as the main center and Luoyang and Sanmenxia as the subcenter; risk resistance ability and self-stabilization are more influential than the sustainable development ability; the key indicators affecting economic resilience are GDP per capita, retail sales of social consumer goods per capita, financial self-sufficiency rate, education expenditure per capita, and population mobility. Therefore, the counties in Henan should find the right positioning to improve economic resilience; central cities such as Zhengzhou and Luoyang should play their strong functions, while strengthening support for peripheral counties.
随着新型城镇化的不断发展,县域经济在城乡之间起着至关重要的作用,高经济韧性是县域发展顺利运行的支撑和保障。本文从抗风险能力、自稳定性和可持续发展能力三个维度构建了河南省县域经济弹性指标体系,并运用熵权-正态云模型对河南省104个县域市2013 - 2020年的经济弹性进行了实证分析。结果表明:河南省县域经济弹性随时间增长缓慢,从中心向周边呈下降趋势,以郑州为主要中心,洛阳、三门峡为副中心;抗风险能力和自稳定能力比可持续发展能力影响更大;影响经济弹性的主要指标是人均GDP、人均社会消费品零售额、人均财政自给率、人均教育支出和人口流动性。因此,河南县域要找准定位,提高经济韧性;郑州、洛阳等中心城市要发挥强大功能,同时加强对周边县域的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic Weighted Symbiotic Organisms Search Algorithm for Global Optimization Problems 全局优化问题的动态加权共生生物搜索算法
Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1921584
Pengjun Zhao, Sanyang Liu
The symbiotic organisms search (SOS) algorithm is a current effective meta-heuristic algorithm, which is been applied to solve various types of optimization problems. However, the SOS can easily lead to overexploration in the parasitism phase, and it is difficult to balance between exploration and exploitation capabilities. In the present work, two extended versions of the SOS are proposed. Two different weight strategies (i.e., random-weight and adaptive-weight) are utilized to generate the weighted mutual vector, respectively. Meanwhile, the best organism is employed to produce the modified artificial parasite vector. The performance of the two improved algorithms is evaluated on 35 test functions. The results demonstrate that the proposed algorithms are able to provide very promising results. Furthermore, five real-world problems are solved by the two newly proposed methods. Experimental results demonstrate that the presented algorithms are more efficient than the compared algorithms. All the obtained results further indicate that the two proposed algorithms are competitive and provide better results when compared to a wide range of algorithms, including SOS and its five modified versions, as well as ten other meta-heuristic algorithms.
共生生物搜索(SOS)算法是目前一种有效的元启发式算法,已被应用于求解各种类型的优化问题。然而,SOS在寄生阶段容易导致过度勘探,难以在勘探和开采能力之间取得平衡。在目前的工作中,提出了两个扩展版本的SOS。采用随机加权和自适应加权两种不同的权重策略分别生成加权互向量。同时,利用最佳的生物制备了改良的人工寄生虫载体。在35个测试函数上对两种改进算法的性能进行了评价。结果表明,所提出的算法能够提供非常有希望的结果。此外,这两种新方法还解决了五个现实问题。实验结果表明,本文提出的算法比比较算法更有效。所有得到的结果进一步表明,与广泛的算法(包括SOS及其五个修改版本,以及其他十种元启发式算法)相比,这两种算法具有竞争力,并且提供了更好的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Protocol-Based Reliable Control for Power Systems with Communication Constraints 基于协议的通信约束电力系统可靠控制
Pub Date : 2023-04-22 DOI: 10.1155/2023/6751849
Yong Chen, Meng Li, Song Li, Yunhui Wang, Min Xie, Yongkun Yang
This study focuses on the protocol-based control for single-area power systems subject to actuator failures and deception attacks. Specifically, actuator failures, network attacks, unreliability, and bandwidth restrictions that emerge in power systems are taken into consideration at the same time. To cut down on the number of broadcast packets, a novel memory-adaptive event-triggered protocol is developed, where the trigger threshold parameter is adaptively changed in accordance with numerous historical sampled signals. Then, in virtue of the proposed algorithm, sufficient stabilization conditions are acquired to ensure the asymptotically stable of power systems with H ∞ performance. Finally, the efficiency of the proposed control strategy is demonstrated by using a simulation example.
本研究的重点是针对执行器失效和欺骗攻击的单区域电力系统的基于协议的控制。具体而言,同时考虑了电力系统中出现的执行器故障、网络攻击、不可靠性和带宽限制。为了减少广播包的数量,提出了一种新的记忆自适应事件触发协议,该协议可以根据大量的历史采样信号自适应地改变触发阈值参数。然后,利用所提出的算法,获得了保证具有H∞性能的电力系统渐近稳定的充分稳定条件。最后,通过仿真实例验证了所提控制策略的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A New Bayesian Network-Based Generalized Weighting Scheme for the Amalgamation of Multiple Drought Indices 基于贝叶斯网络的多干旱指标合并广义加权新方案
Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.1155/2023/8260317
Muhammad Ahmad Raza, Mohammed M. A. Almazah, Nadhir Al-Ansari, Ijaz Hussain, Fuad S. Al-Duais, Mohammed A. Naser
Drought is one of the most multifaceted hydrologic phenomena, affecting several factors such as soil moisture, surface runoff, and significant water shortages. Therefore, monitoring and assessing drought occurrences based on a single drought index are inadequate. The current study develops a multiscalar weighted amalgamated drought index (MWADI) to amalgamate multiple drought indices. The MWADI is mainly based on the normalized average dependence posterior probabilities (ADPPs). These ADPPs are obtained from Bayesian networks (BNs)-based Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations. Results have shown that the MWADI correlates more with the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and the standardized precipitation temperature index (SPTI). As proposed, the MWADI synthesizes drought characteristics of different multiscalar drought indices to reduce the uncertainty of individual drought indices and provide a comprehensive drought assessment.
干旱是最多方面的水文现象之一,影响到土壤湿度、地表径流和严重的水资源短缺等几个因素。因此,基于单一干旱指数监测和评估干旱事件是不够的。本研究提出了一个多标量加权合并干旱指数(MWADI)来合并多个干旱指数。MWADI主要基于归一化平均依赖后验概率(ADPPs)。这些adpp是通过基于贝叶斯网络(BNs)的马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗(MCMC)模拟得到的。结果表明,MWADI与标准化降水指数(SPI)和标准化降水温度指数(SPTI)的相关性较强。根据建议,MWADI综合不同多尺度干旱指数的干旱特征,降低单个干旱指数的不确定性,提供综合干旱评价。
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引用次数: 0
Generalized Class of Finite Population Variance in the Presence of Random Nonresponse Using Simulation Approach 随机无响应情况下有限总体方差的广义类
Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.1155/2023/6643435
Sapna Javed, S. Masood, A. Shokri
In this article, we estimate the finite population variance in random nonresponse using simple random sampling, which may be helpful for data analysis in applied and environmental sciences. For the three distinct random nonresponse techniques by Singh and Joarder [25], we have proposed a generalized class of exponential-type estimators that uses an auxiliary variable. Up to the first order of approximation, expressions of the bias and mean square error of the proposed estimators are obtained. The suggested estimators illustrate their superior performances to the current estimators in the comparable strategies in a comparative analysis using the real and simulated datasets.
本文采用简单的随机抽样方法估计了随机无响应情况下的有限总体方差,这对应用科学和环境科学的数据分析有一定的帮助。对于Singh和Joarder[25]的三种不同的随机无响应技术,我们提出了一类使用辅助变量的指数型估计器。在一阶近似下,得到了所提估计量的偏置和均方误差的表达式。在使用真实和模拟数据集的比较分析中,所建议的估计器说明了它们在比较策略中优于当前估计器的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Designing a Scenario-Based Fuzzy Model for Sustainable Closed-Loop Supply Chain Network considering Statistical Reliability: A New Hybrid Metaheuristic Algorithm 考虑统计可靠性的可持续闭环供应链网络场景模糊模型设计:一种新的混合元启发式算法
Pub Date : 2023-04-21 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1337928
Peyman Bahrampour, S. E. Najafi, Farhad Hosseinzadeh lotfi, Ahmad Edalatpanah
In this study, a new nonlinear mathematical programming model of mixed integer was presented to formulate the problem of designing a sustainable closed loop supply chain, in which the three aspects of sustainability, i.e., social effect such as job creation, customer satisfaction, and distributors, environmental effects such as reducing air pollution, and economic effects such as reducing supply chain costs, increasing supply chain reliability, quality of returned products by customers, and product routing were considered. In order to solve the proposed model, a new hybrid metaheuristic algorithm based on the distinctive features of gray wolf algorithm and genetic algorithm was proposed in addition to MOPSO and NSGA-II algorithms. After tuning their parameters by the Taguchi method, their performance in problems with different dimensions was tested and evaluated by MID, DM, and SM criteria. The results of statistical analysis of indices indicated that no significant difference between the performance of the three algorithms at 5% error level. In general, GW-NS, NSGA-II and MOPSO algorithms had better performance in terms of MID index, respectively. In addition, GW-NS, NSGA-II, and MOPSO algorithms performed better in terms of DM index. NSGA-II, MOPSO, and GW-NS algorithms performed better in terms of SM index, respectively. In addition, the variability of DM index in all three algorithms was almost the same, but in MID index, GW-NS algorithm, and in SM index, MOPSO algorithm had the highest change and less sustainability.
本文提出了一种新的混合整数非线性数学规划模型,用于描述可持续闭环供应链的设计问题,其中可持续性的三个方面包括:创造就业机会、客户满意度和分销商等社会效应,减少空气污染等环境效应,以及降低供应链成本、提高供应链可靠性、提高客户退货质量等经济效应。并考虑了产品路线。为了求解该模型,在MOPSO算法和NSGA-II算法的基础上,结合灰狼算法和遗传算法的特点,提出了一种新的混合元启发式算法。通过Taguchi方法调整参数后,采用MID、DM和SM标准对其在不同维度问题中的性能进行了测试和评价。对指标的统计分析结果表明,在5%的误差水平下,三种算法的性能差异不显著。总体而言,GW-NS、NSGA-II和MOPSO算法在MID指数方面分别具有较好的性能。此外,GW-NS、NSGA-II和MOPSO算法在DM指数方面表现较好。NSGA-II、MOPSO和GW-NS算法在SM指数方面分别表现较好。此外,3种算法的DM指数变异性基本相同,但在MID指数、GW-NS算法和SM指数中,MOPSO算法变化最大,可持续性较差。
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引用次数: 1
A Systematic Review of LINE-1 Methylation Profile in Psychiatric Disorders. LINE-1甲基化在精神疾病中的系统评价。
Pub Date : 2023-04-20 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1159/000530641
Vitória Rodrigues Guimarães Alves, Danilo Micali, Vanessa Kiyomi Ota, Amanda Victória Gomes Bugiga, Carolina Muniz Carvalho, Sintia Iole Belangero

Introduction: Long interspersed nuclear elements (LINEs) are endogenous retrotransposable elements. A few studies have linked the methylation pattern of LINE-1 to different mental disorders (e.g., post-traumatic stress disorder [PTSD], autism spectrum disorder [ASD], panic disorder [PD]). We sought to unify the existing knowledge in the field and provide a better understanding of the association between mental disorders and LINE-1 methylation.

Methods: A systematic review was executed with 12 eligible articles according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

Results: For psychotic disorders, PTSD, ASD, and PD, lower LINE-1 methylation levels were detected, whereas for mood disorders, the findings are controversial. The studies were conducted with subjects aged 18-80 years. Peripheral blood samples were utilized in 7/12 articles.

Conclusion: Although most studies have shown that LINE-1 hypomethylation was associated with mental disorders, there were still some divergences (i.e., hypermethylation associated with mental disorders). These studies suggest that LINE-1 methylation may be an important factor related to the development of mental disorders and highlight the need to better comprehend the biological mechanisms underlying the role of LINE-1 in mental disorders pathophysiology.

引言:长穿插核元件(LINEs)是内源性逆转录转座子元件。一些研究将LINE-1的甲基化模式与不同的精神障碍联系起来(例如,创伤后应激障碍[PPTSD]、自闭症谱系障碍[ASD]、恐慌症[PD])。我们试图统一该领域的现有知识,更好地理解精神障碍与LINE-1甲基化之间的关系。方法:根据系统评价和荟萃分析首选报告项目(PRISMA)指南,对12篇符合条件的文章进行系统评价。结果:对于精神障碍,PTSD,ASD和PD,检测到较低的LINE-1甲基化水平,而对于情绪障碍,这一发现是有争议的。研究对象为18-80岁的受试者。在7/12篇文章中使用了外周血样本。结论:尽管大多数研究表明LINE-1低甲基化与精神障碍有关,但仍存在一些差异(即与精神障碍相关的高甲基化)。这些研究表明,LINE-1甲基化可能是与精神障碍发展相关的一个重要因素,并强调需要更好地理解LINE-1在精神障碍病理生理学中作用的生物学机制。
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引用次数: 0
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Complex psychiatry
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