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Role of an Agent in (un)Keeping the Multiethnic State Together: The Case of the Secession of Kosovo 在(联合国)维持多民族国家统一中的代理人作用:以科索沃分离为例
Pub Date : 2016-01-05 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.59577
Mirsad Kriještorac
This paper proposes an explanation for the Kosovo secession from Serbia/Yugoslavia. This is achieved by disaggregating the ‘reality’ of the state through the process tracing method, which compares the cases of the Tito and Milosevic triangles of accommodation practices. The focus is on the games of survival practiced at the middle levels of political life, around the local state policy implementer and the consequences of his removal. This paper examines not only why, but how the secession of Kosovo occurred when it did. It shows that the strength of authoritarianism or the regime-oppression capability is not what held the Serbia and Kosovo together; rather, it was the policies of accommodations which one leader did better than the other
本文对科索沃脱离塞尔维亚/南斯拉夫提出了一种解释。这是通过过程追踪方法分解国家的“现实”来实现的,该方法比较了铁托和米洛舍维奇三角形住宿实践的案例。本书的重点是围绕着地方国家政策执行者和他被免职的后果,在政治生活的中层进行的生存游戏。本文不仅考察了科索沃为什么会分裂,还考察了它是如何分裂的。这表明,威权主义的力量或政权压迫能力并不是将塞尔维亚和科索沃团结在一起的原因;相反,这是一位领导人比另一位领导人做得更好的住宿政策
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引用次数: 1
Arab Uprising 2011: Emergence of Extremism in Middle East and Its Regional Consequences 2011年阿拉伯起义:中东极端主义的出现及其地区后果
Pub Date : 2016-01-05 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.04880
M. Hussain, Muhammad Kashif
Year 2011 was a renowned year in the Northern Africa and Middle East when Arab uprising rose in the remarkably important countries; Egypt, Tunisia, Bahrain, and Syria etc. After three years of Arab uprising, there is not a single country that has stable political system, democracy or peace. Egypt is under the military rule and elected president is behind bars. Syria and Iraq are suffering from severe civil war and there is a huge challenge of emerging wave of extremism in the form of ISIS. This research shows that Iran is increasing its political strength in the region. It has improved its regional muscle after plunge of Saddam government and Shiite government thereafter. Iraq is struggling for survival from state failure or disintegration. If it does so, there would be a considerable role of Shiite ethnicity and ISIS factor would also be substantial. ISIS factor will also impact on Saudi foreign policy, dealing with Sunni ethnic groups in the region and relations with the U.S.A. Current situation will also impact on courses of action by Turkey, Israel, Lebanon, Yemen and also Pakistan in South Asia. Yemen and Pakistani societies are also struggling against extremism and Pakistani extremist groups showed their common ties, their substantial and sustained support to ISIS in Iraq.
2011年是北非和中东著名的一年,阿拉伯起义在一些重要国家爆发;埃及、突尼斯、巴林和叙利亚等。经过三年的阿拉伯起义,没有一个国家拥有稳定的政治制度、民主与和平。埃及处于军事统治之下,民选总统身陷囹圄。叙利亚和伊拉克正在遭受严重的内战,并面临着以ISIS形式出现的极端主义浪潮的巨大挑战。这项研究表明,伊朗正在增强其在该地区的政治实力。在萨达姆政权和什叶派政权倒台后,伊拉克在该地区的势力得到了加强。伊拉克正因国家失败或解体而挣扎求生。如果这样做,什叶派种族和ISIS因素将发挥相当大的作用。ISIS的因素也将影响沙特的外交政策,处理该地区的逊尼派群体以及与美国的关系。目前的局势也将影响土耳其、以色列、黎巴嫩、也门以及巴基斯坦在南亚的行动方针。也门和巴基斯坦社会也在与极端主义作斗争,巴基斯坦极端主义组织表现出他们的共同联系,他们对伊拉克的ISIS提供了大量和持续的支持。
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引用次数: 0
It’s the Economy, not European Identity: The Effect of European Identity and Economic Considerations on Public Support for EU Membership in Turkey and Central and Eastern European Countries 是经济,而不是欧洲认同:欧洲认同和经济考虑对土耳其和中东欧国家加入欧盟的公众支持的影响
Pub Date : 2016-01-05 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.99245
A. Burcu Bayram
Turkey has long been characterized as  “too big, too poor, too Muslim” to be a European country. This assertion permeated the political debates regarding Turkey’s accession to the Union in the early 2000s, leading to a Turkey versus the rest dichotomy: Other candidate countries are European, Turkey is not. A central dimension of this dichotomy was the juxtaposition of public attitudes toward EU membership in Turkey and Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs). A frequently evoked claim during the fifth enlargement of the Union was that the Turkish public supports EU membership due to its expected economic benefits while citizens in CEECs desire membership because they identify as European. In this article, I show that this claim was empirically false. Using data from the Eurobarometer survey for candidate countries, I statistically demonstrate that both Turks and citizens of CEECs supported EU membership for economic reasons. European identity played a negligible role in shaping mass support for EU membership in Turkey and other candidate countries alike. This study makes a central contribution to the existing literature by analyzing the relative impact of European identity and economic considerations on public support for EU membership in Turkey and CEECs. The results fill an important void in the existing scholarship and contribute to ongoing political debates on Turkey’s EU membership
长期以来,土耳其一直被描述为“太大、太穷、太穆斯林化”,不适合成为一个欧洲国家。这种说法在21世纪初关于土耳其加入欧盟的政治辩论中弥漫,导致了土耳其与其他国家的二分法:其他候选国是欧洲国家,土耳其不是。这种二分法的一个核心方面是土耳其和中东欧国家(ceec)对欧盟成员国身份的公众态度的并置。在欧盟第五次扩大期间,一个经常被提起的主张是,土耳其公众支持欧盟成员资格,因为它预期的经济利益,而中东欧国家的公民希望加入欧盟,因为他们认同自己是欧洲人。在这篇文章中,我证明这种说法在经验上是错误的。利用欧洲晴雨表对候选国的调查数据,我从统计上证明,出于经济原因,土耳其人和中东欧国家的公民都支持加入欧盟。在土耳其和其他候选国对加入欧盟的大规模支持中,欧洲身份的作用可以忽略不计。本研究通过分析欧洲认同和经济考虑对土耳其和中东欧国家公众支持加入欧盟的相对影响,对现有文献做出了核心贡献。研究结果填补了现有学术研究的一个重要空白,并为土耳其加入欧盟的政治辩论做出了贡献
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引用次数: 2
Account of The Algerian Urban Guerrilla Network and Its Role in The FLN’s Campaign during The Battle of Algiers (1956-1958) 阿尔及利亚城市游击队网络及其在阿尔及利亚民族解放阵线阿尔及尔战役中的作用(1956-1958)
Pub Date : 2016-01-05 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.30110
Abder-Rahmane Derradji
Algerian guerrilla network has been studied from different angles and perspectives within the framework of either Algerian history, or FLN nationalism. This paper is an attempt to highlight the birth, growth and demise of the Algiers Autonomous Zone, (ZAA) as was launched by the FLN in mid 1956 in Algiers. Its aim is also to investigate the FLN urban guerrilla and terror network in general, and see its impact on the Algerian rural campaign, including strategy and tactics. Accordingly, it will also search French counter-insurgency response using French paratroopers and institutionalisation of extensive torture as well as, interrogation to extract information from FLN captured guerrillas.
在阿尔及利亚历史或民族解放阵线民族主义的框架内,从不同的角度和角度研究了阿尔及利亚游击队网络。本文试图强调阿尔及尔自治区(ZAA)的诞生、发展和消亡,它是由民族解放阵线于1956年中期在阿尔及尔发起的。其目的还在于调查FLN的城市游击队和恐怖网络,并了解其对阿尔及利亚农村运动的影响,包括战略和战术。因此,它还将搜索法国的反叛乱反应,使用法国伞兵和广泛酷刑的制度化,以及从FLN捕获的游击队中提取信息的审讯。
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引用次数: 0
Violence in the Name of Islam: The case of ‘Islamic Defenders Front’ from Indonesia 伊斯兰名义下的暴力:印尼“伊斯兰捍卫者阵线”的案例
Pub Date : 2015-12-26 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.70749
M. Ugur, P. Ince
Although, resorting to violence in the name of Islam is not an entirely new phenomenon on its own, its share in the international relations literature has steadily increased after the 9/11 attacks. Studies conducted about the appearance, goals, organizational structures, and the means frequently resorted by the organizations that regard violence as a justifiable means in the name of Islam, have sought to better understand these organizations and offer projections as to how they could be convinced to put an end to their violent acts. This article aims to shed light onto root causes of the existence of one of the largest Islamic groups, Islamic Defenders Front (FPI – Front Pembela Islam), in a country with the largest Muslim population of the world, Indonesia. A thorough analysis of the organization‟s discourse and its actions reveals three main reasons: the perception that Islam is threatened by global and local forces and therefore the faith should be protected, the demand that Sharia‟s „universal‟ laws should be implemented and enforced by the state, and the claim that they, in essence, support the state‟s law enforcement officers in the fight against immorality, wrong deeds and heresy.
尽管以伊斯兰教的名义诉诸暴力本身并不是一个全新的现象,但在9/11袭击之后,它在国际关系文献中的份额稳步上升。对那些以伊斯兰的名义将暴力视为正当手段的组织的外表、目标、组织结构和经常采取的手段进行的研究,力求更好地了解这些组织,并就如何说服它们停止其暴力行为提出预测。这篇文章旨在揭示最大的伊斯兰团体之一伊斯兰捍卫者阵线(FPI - Front Pembela Islam)在世界上穆斯林人口最多的国家印度尼西亚存在的根本原因。对该组织的言论和行动的彻底分析揭示了三个主要原因:认为伊斯兰教受到全球和地方力量的威胁,因此信仰应该受到保护,要求伊斯兰教法的“普遍”法律应该由国家实施和执行,并声称他们本质上支持国家执法人员打击不道德,错误行为和异端邪说。
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引用次数: 3
USA and Russia in Syria and Ukraine: The Irony of Geo-Political Interventions 美国和俄罗斯在叙利亚和乌克兰:地缘政治干预的讽刺
Pub Date : 2015-12-26 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.66684
Blessing Simura
The battle between the USA and Russia that had been snuffed by the demise of the Soviet Union has been rekindled. The USA and Russia have regional doctrines that demarcate areas to which outside powers cannot encroach. However, the Middle East has remained a contested region for the two powers. USA has also sought to encroach into the backyard of Russia in order to contain the resurgence of the Eastern power. Both states have sought to protect their regions of influence and in the era beginning with the Arab spring, the doctrine of humanitarian intervention has been used to justify geo-political interventions. This article argues that the current tussle between the USA and Russia on Syria and Ukraine can be understood more from geopolitical struggles than from the humanitarian intervention argument
美俄之间因苏联解体而沉寂的战争重新燃起。美国和俄罗斯都有区域原则,划定了外部势力不能侵犯的区域。然而,中东仍然是这两个大国争夺的地区。美国还试图侵入俄罗斯的后院,以遏制东方大国的复苏。这两个国家都试图保护自己的地区影响力,在阿拉伯之春开始的时代,人道主义干预的理论被用来为地缘政治干预辩护。本文认为,当前美国和俄罗斯在叙利亚和乌克兰问题上的争执,可以从地缘政治斗争的角度来理解,而不是从人道主义干预的角度来理解
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引用次数: 2
From al-Qaeda in Iraq to Islamic State: The Story of Insurgency in Iraq and Syria in 2003-2015 从伊拉克基地组织到伊斯兰国:2003-2015年伊拉克和叙利亚叛乱的故事
Pub Date : 2015-12-26 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.29299
Tomáš Kaválek
Islamic State of Iraq and ash-Sham (ISIS) currently controls vast territories in Iraq and Syria with estimated population up to 5 million people. In June 2014, ISIS made a move to conquer Sunni areas of Iraq in provinces like Ninawa, Salah ad-Din, and al-Anbar. Until May 2015, there had been no significant military success combating ISIS. This paper argues that renewed Sunni insurgency in Iraq was indeed brewing for several years. ISIS campaign is described within the framework of the concept of insurgency. The text provides a comprehensive narrative of ISIS’ and its organizational predecessors’ insurgency in Iraq and Syria in the period of 2003-2015. As a conceptual background it utilizes a lifespan of insurgencies that argues that each insurgency must pass from proto-insurgency to large scale insurgency phase, and finally to a ―conventional stage‖ when insurgency is strong enough to meet counterinsurgent in open battlefield. A lifespan of ISIS insurgency indeed reached tipping point and entered ―conventional stage‖ in June 2014 when it assumed control over key Sunni areas of Iraq.
伊拉克和阿什沙姆伊斯兰国(ISIS)目前控制着伊拉克和叙利亚的大片领土,估计人口多达500万。2014年6月,ISIS向尼尼瓦省、萨拉赫丁省和安巴尔省等伊拉克逊尼派地区发起进攻。直到2015年5月,打击ISIS的军事行动都没有取得重大成功。本文认为,伊拉克的逊尼派叛乱确实酝酿了好几年。ISIS的活动是在叛乱概念的框架内描述的。本书全面叙述了2003-2015年期间ISIS及其前身组织在伊拉克和叙利亚的叛乱活动。作为一个概念背景,它利用了叛乱的生命周期,认为每一次叛乱都必须从原始叛乱过渡到大规模叛乱阶段,最后进入一个“常规阶段”,当叛乱足够强大,可以在开放的战场上遇到反叛乱。2014年6月,当ISIS控制了伊拉克关键的逊尼派地区时,其叛乱活动的寿命确实达到了临界点,进入了“常规阶段”。
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引用次数: 7
Does the State Really Exist? A Perspective from the Transcendent Philosophy of Mullā Ṣadrā 国家真的存在吗?从毛拉的先验哲学看Ṣadrā
Pub Date : 2015-12-26 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.62741
Cecep Zakarias El Bilad
This research comes from a simple question whether the state exists in the real world or is only a fiction in the mind. In International Relations (IR), the state is often conceptualized as if she is an individual that has certain qualities of personality. The concept, however, is actually considered as a metaphor only or an as if person. What really exist in the extra-mental world are those individuals “in” it. If that is the case, then why the effects of its existence are so real and can be felt by everyone? And, how can IR be scientific while its object of study is a fiction? The neglect of the state’s existence is rooted in the empirical epistemology held by most IR thinkers and students especially since the wave of scientification of the discipline began in the 60’s. They hold the empirical view that knowledge stems primaliry from the sensory experience, and anything beyond it has no certainty. The similar neglect is, in fact, shared also among non-empirical IR thinkers coming about in the later decades such as postmodernists and constructivists, because of their idealist ontology that there is no any objective reality but constructed discoursively. This research wants to analyze the ontological status of the state from the perspective of Mullā Ṣadrā’s transcendent philosophy. His philosophical system that primarily concerns on the existence qua existence and the existential structure of realities, serves as the foundation of any discussion about the existence of entities, without exeption that of the state.
这项研究来自于一个简单的问题,即国家是存在于现实世界中,还是仅仅是头脑中的虚构。在国际关系(IR)中,国家通常被概念化,仿佛她是一个具有某些个性品质的个体。然而,这个概念实际上被认为只是一个隐喻或一个人。真正存在于超精神世界的是那些“在”其中的个体。如果是这样的话,那么为什么它的存在的影响是如此真实,每个人都能感受到?而且,如果它的研究对象是虚构的,它怎么可能是科学的?对国家存在的忽视根植于大多数IR思想家和学生所持有的经验认识论,特别是自60年代该学科的科学化浪潮开始以来。他们持有经验主义观点,认为知识主要来源于感官经验,任何超出感官经验的东西都是不确定的。事实上,在后来的几十年里,后现代主义者和建构主义者等非经验主义的国际关系思想家也有类似的忽视,因为他们的唯心主义本体论认为没有任何客观现实,只有话语建构。本研究试图从穆拉Ṣadrā的超验哲学的视角来分析国家的本体论地位。他的哲学体系主要关注存在的存在性和现实的存在结构,作为任何关于实体存在的讨论的基础,国家也不例外。
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引用次数: 0
US-led TPPA and Its Implication on China Positions in Southeast Asian Regionalism 美国主导的TPPA及其对中国在东南亚地区主义立场的影响
Pub Date : 2015-12-26 DOI: 10.21599/ATJIR.42674
M. Aslam
Prior to the development of ASEAN Plus Three, ASEAN was the main architecture integrating countries in Southeast Asia. The organization was able to develop a closer economic cooperation with China, Japan and South Korea. However, China and Japan competing and attempting to “dictate” each other and what regionalism should be and whom it benefits. Small states such as the members of ASEAN and those skeptical of China’s motives in Southeast Asia including China’s territorial claims to the South China Sea would cling to the US. Political and economic development over the past 10 years reveal that the close allies of the United States of America (USA) such as Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Australia and New Zealand, were unable to “limit” China’s growing domination in the Southeast Asian region. The TPPA that was allegedly “hijacked” and led by the US since November 2009, was believed as a counter measure to check China’s growing power in Southeast Asia. If the TPPA is not meant to limit China’s presence in the region, the agreement would function as a pathfinder for the Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific. This paper attempts to answer (i) what is the motive of the US government involvement in TPPA, (ii) what the posible implication of TPPA to China (iii) what would happen to China’s role in the region, and (iv) what insurance actions developed by China.
在10 + 3发展之前,东盟是整合东南亚国家的主要架构。该组织能够与中国、日本和韩国发展更密切的经济合作。然而,中国和日本相互竞争并试图“支配”对方,以及地区主义应该是什么以及它对谁有利。像东盟成员国这样的小国,以及那些对中国在东南亚的动机(包括中国对南中国海的领土主张)持怀疑态度的国家,将依附于美国。过去10年的政治和经济发展表明,美国的亲密盟友,如日本、韩国、新加坡、澳大利亚和新西兰,无法“限制”中国在东南亚地区日益增长的统治地位。据称,自2009年11月以来被美国“劫持”并主导的TPPA,被认为是遏制中国在东南亚日益增长的实力的反制措施。如果TPPA不是为了限制中国在该地区的存在,那么该协议将成为亚太自由贸易区的探路者。本文试图回答(i)美国政府参与TPPA的动机是什么,(ii) TPPA对中国可能有什么影响,(iii)中国在该地区的角色会发生什么变化,以及(iv)中国采取了哪些保险行动。
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引用次数: 1
Ethnic Identity and Conflicts: Lessons from the Kosovo Crisis 民族认同与冲突:科索沃危机的教训
Pub Date : 2015-03-27 DOI: 10.21599/atjir.56923
Mossa Hussen Negash
Ethnic identity and conflicts often inter-married in countries where diversities on such grounds were seen as a threat. Conflicts in the post-cold war period have attained a new dimension. The Balkan region has been one of the most conflict prone regions in the world where conflicts arising from ethnic difference were not uncommon. Kosovo, former province of Serbia is a case in point. The roots of Serbia and Albanian communities' conflict regarding Kosovo dated back since the medieval period after the conquest of Kosovo by Serbs. The primary cause may not be ethnicity, rather it is political but once conflicts happen, ethnic identity and history will play pivotal role to manipulate and galvanize support for each parties cause. This article try to assess the interplay between ethnic identity and conflicts resulting the rise of dangerous ethno nationalism in Yugoslavia and contributing repressive violent action against its majority Albanian province, Kosovo and its eventual declaration of unilateral independence.
种族认同和冲突往往交织在一起,在这些国家,基于这种理由的多样性被视为一种威胁。冷战后时期的冲突已达到了一个新的层面。巴尔干地区一直是世界上最容易发生冲突的地区之一,因种族差异引起的冲突并不罕见。前塞尔维亚省科索沃就是一个很好的例子。塞尔维亚和阿尔巴尼亚社区关于科索沃冲突的根源可以追溯到塞尔维亚人征服科索沃后的中世纪时期。主要原因可能不是种族,而是政治,但一旦发生冲突,民族认同和历史将发挥关键作用,操纵和激励各方的支持事业。本文试图评估种族认同与冲突之间的相互作用,这些冲突导致南斯拉夫危险的种族民族主义的兴起,并助长了对其占多数的阿尔巴尼亚省科索沃的镇压暴力行动,并最终宣布单方面独立。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations
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