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Spatial trajectories of coffee harvesting in large-scale plantations: Ecological and management drivers and implications 大规模种植园咖啡收获的空间轨迹:生态和管理驱动因素及影响
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104141
Emilio Mora Van Cauwelaert , Denis Boyer , Estelí Jiménez-Soto , Cecilia González , Mariana Benítez

CONTEXT

Coffee is produced under different management systems and scales of production categorized as Syndromes of Production. The “Capitalist Syndrome” is characterized by large-scale and high-density planting farms that may promote the development of plant pathogens like coffee leaf rust (CLR). Harvesting dynamics are also affected by the syndrome of production and generate spatial trajectories that could contribute to the dispersal of pathogens across and within plantations. However, these spatial trajectories have not yet been described, nor their relationship with the syndrome of production, and even less its potential ecological implications for pathogen dispersal.

OBJECTIVE

Describe and analyze the daily spatial movement of coffee harvesters in two large-scale capitalist plantations, an organic and a conventional plantation, and systematize the drivers that might explain the differences in the spatial trajectories.

METHODS

Using State-Space Models, we recorded and analyzed the spatial movements of harvesters. We then constructed a driver tree for harvest dynamics, which incorporated qualitative variables related to the environment, coffee biology, and management aspects reported by the harvesters or in previous studies.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The model differentiated two kinds of movements: 1) when trees have berries, harvesters remain in the coffee rows or areas nearby (Collect state; 94–98 % of the steps); 2) when not, harvesters make longer steps within the harvesting location or move to another area (Search state; 2–6 % of the steps). In the organic plantation, the Search state had a longer-tailed step-length distribution than in the conventional plantation, resulting in a significantly larger visited area per worker (p < 0.05). This might be directly related to the lower interplant ripening percentage or smaller harvesting locations (“pantes”) per number of harvesters. The number of harvested trees might be affected by the fruit load or the coffee variety, among others. Harvesting movements that explore a larger area, either by visiting more plants or by changing locations on the same day, could create more foci of CLR infection across the plantation.

SIGNIFICANCE

These results constitute an initial analysis of harvesting trajectories and highlight practices that can reduce the potential impact of human dispersal of pathogens, like shorter harvesting trajectories by working fewer hours a day or avoiding harvesting at the end of the maturation season when few trees have berries and harvesters have to travel medium to long distances. This calls for organic coffee management that could prevent diseases and guarantee just and safe conditions for workers.
CONTEXTC 咖啡是在不同的管理制度和生产规模下生产的,被归类为 "生产综合症"。资本主义综合症 "的特点是大规模和高密度的种植农场,这可能会促进咖啡叶锈病等植物病原体的发展。采收动态也受生产综合征的影响,并产生可能导致病原体在种植园之间和内部扩散的空间轨迹。目标描述并分析两个大规模资本主义种植园(一个有机种植园和一个传统种植园)中咖啡收割机的日常空间移动,并系统分析可能解释空间移动轨迹差异的驱动因素。方法我们利用状态空间模型记录并分析了收割机的空间移动。然后,我们构建了一棵采摘动态驱动树,其中包含与环境、咖啡生物学以及采摘者或先前研究中报告的管理方面有关的定性变量:1)当树上有浆果时,采摘者会留在咖啡行或附近区域(采集状态;94-98 % 的采摘步骤);2)当树上没有浆果时,采摘者会在采摘地点移动更长的步骤或移动到其他区域(搜索状态;2-6 % 的采摘步骤)。与传统种植园相比,有机种植园的 "搜索状态 "具有更长尾的步长分布,因此每个工人访问的区域明显更大(p <0.05)。这可能与较低的植株间成熟比例或较小的采收地点("pantes")/采收工人数量有直接关系。采摘树的数量可能受到果实量或咖啡品种等因素的影响。这些结果构成了对采收轨迹的初步分析,并强调了可减少病原体人为传播潜在影响的做法,如通过减少每天工作时间缩短采收轨迹,或避免在成熟季节末期采收,因为此时只有少数果树结出浆果,采收人员不得不进行中长距离采收。这就需要对咖啡进行有机管理,以预防疾病并保证工人的公正和安全条件。
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引用次数: 0
Exploration of the optimal low-carbon peanut rotation system in South China 华南地区低碳花生最佳轮作制度探索
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104145
Xiaolu Sun , Linjun Qian , Yidan Cao , Minghui Wang , Ning Li , Ruyue Pang , Tong Si , Xiaona Yu , Xiaojun Zhang , Emmanuel Junior Zuza , Xiaoxia Zou

CONTEXT

Peanut is an important economic and oil crop that has the potential to contribute to low-carbon agriculture. However, there is scarcity of comprehensive evaluations regarding the impact of various peanut rotation systems and their contribution to low-carbon agriculture.

OBJECTIVE

The research aims to comprehensively evaluate the contribution of peanut rotation systems to low-carbon agriculture in South China, and expected to explore the optimal low-carbon peanut rotation system in this area.

METHODS

Three cropping patterns were compared over a four-year experimental period: wheat–peanut (W-P) rotation, rape–peanut (R-P) rotation, and peanut monocropping (MP), under two types of initial fields (paddy and dryland). The carbon footprint (CF), product carbon footprint (PCF), carbon sequestration, food carbon cost (FCC), soil carbon characteristics, net economic benefit, and ecosystem service values of C sequestration of three rotation ecosystems were studied.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reveal that R-P, WP, and MP had total CFs of 1.788, 3.882, and 1.096 t CO2-eq·hm−2, respectively. Agricultural material input, particularly N fertilizer, was the primary CF contributor. R-P had higher carbon sequestration amount and efficiency than WP. Notably, dryland-initial fields of both R-P and WP had higher carbon sequestration efficiency (71.1 % and 17.6 % higher, specifically). Our soil carbon analysis indicates that both plant residue quality and initial field type influence C sequestration. While WP had the highest PCF (0.552 t CO2-eq t−1) and FCC of protein (3.428 kg CO2-eq·kg−1), fat (3.791 kg CO2-eq·kg−1), and energy (0.135 kg CO2-eq·1000 kcal−1), R-P showed the highest net income (3333.3 US$·hm−2) and higher ecosystem service value of C sequestration (−5.6 US$·hm−2). Furthermore, our findings reveal that common crop rotations in South China have higher CFs than the tested peanut-based systems. Therefore, R-P rotation is the most suitable system for low-carbon agriculture in the research area among these three rotations due to its lower carbon cost and higher economic benefits. And the advantages, disadvantages and uncertainties of different low-carbon agricultural indicators have also been analyzed.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our study would contribute to exploring agroecosystems management ways and methods to mitigation climate change and provide references for the establishment of evaluation criteria for low-carbon agriculture.
摘要花生是一种重要的经济作物和油料作物,具有促进低碳农业的潜力。本研究旨在全面评估花生轮作制度对华南地区低碳农业的贡献,并探索该地区最佳的低碳花生轮作制度。方法在四年的试验期内,比较了三种种植模式:小麦-花生轮作(W-P)、油菜-花生轮作(R-P)和花生单作(MP)。研究了三种轮作生态系统的碳足迹(CF)、产品碳足迹(PCF)、固碳量、食物碳成本(FCC)、土壤碳特征、净经济效益以及固碳的生态系统服务价值。结果与结论我们的研究结果表明,R-P、WP 和 MP 的总碳足迹分别为 1.788、3.882 和 1.096 t CO2-eq-hm-2。农业材料投入,尤其是氮肥,是造成碳吸收的主要因素。R-P 的固碳量和固碳效率均高于 WP。值得注意的是,使用 R-P 和 WP 的旱地初始田块固碳效率更高(分别高出 71.1% 和 17.6%)。我们的土壤碳分析表明,植物残留物质量和初始田块类型都会影响固碳效率。虽然 WP 的 PCF(0.552 吨二氧化碳当量吨-1)和蛋白质(3.428 千克二氧化碳当量千克-1)、脂肪(3.791 千克二氧化碳当量千克-1)和能量(0.135 千克二氧化碳当量千卡-1)的 FCC 最高,但 R-P 的净收入(3333.3 美元-hm-2)和固碳的生态系统服务价值(-5.6 美元-hm-2)最高。此外,我们的研究结果表明,华南地区常见的轮作方式比以花生为基础的试验系统具有更高的固碳量。因此,在这三种轮作中,R-P 轮作因其较低的碳成本和较高的经济效益而成为最适合研究区低碳农业的轮作体系。本研究将有助于探索减缓气候变化的农业生态系统管理途径和方法,为建立低碳农业评价标准提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Clarifying the impacts of climatic coupling on plastic-mulching potato production in the loess plateau of China 阐明气候耦合对中国黄土高原塑膜马铃薯生产的影响
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104140
Zhihao He , Kaiyuan Gong , Mengyu Qu , Xiaoya Ru , Shang Chen , Tengcong Jiang , Jing Zhang , Hao Feng , Qiang Yu , Liang He , Jianqiang He

Context

The ongoing changes in climate constitute a major risk factor for global potato production. Recent studies have underscored the productivity-enhancing effects of plastic mulching for rain-fed potatoes. However, the adaptability of mulching measures to climate change in order to facilitate increased potato yields remains a question. Moreover, the coupling effects of different climatic factors on potato production was unclear.

Objective

This study aimed to investigate the impact of different climatic factors and their coupling effects on the yields of mulching and no mulching potatoes in the Loess Plateau.

Methods

We utilized multiple crop models and global climate models (GCMs) to predict the yields of mulching and no mulching potatoes on the Loess Plateau based on Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 245 and SSP585 scenarios. Additionally, we analyzed the response of yields to the coupling effects of climate, and clarified the effects of main climatic coupling effects to yield of mulching and no mulching potatoes.

Results and conclusions

We found that, for mulching potatoes, the contribution of climate coupling to yield under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios ranged from 47.05 % to 49.31 % for the period 2021–2060 and increased to 49.09 % to 50.94 % for the period 2061–2100. The mean temperature (Tmen)-dominated coupling contributed the most to yield for mulching potatoes, while for no mulching potatoes, precipitation (Pr)-dominated coupling played a dominant role. The maximum temperature (Tmax)-dominated coupling significantly reduced potato yields in the future, and mulching measures exacerbated the negative effect. However, mulching measures eliminated the adverse impact of minimum temperature (Tmin)-dominated coupling on potato yields. After decomposing the coupling effects of climatic factors, we found that the main factors leading to a reduction in potato yield were Tmax and Pr couplings, with mulching measures amplifying the heat-moisture effects. But mulching not only alleviated Tmin and Pr coupling but also strengthened the Tmean and Pr coupling, resulting in increased yield.

Significance

Hence, understanding how mulching potatoes avoid heat-moisture coupling to promote production was crucial for the future on the Loess Plateau. Our findings contribute to clarifying the impact of climatic coupling on mulching potato production, thereby aiding in the informed development of rational policies.
背景持续的气候变化是全球马铃薯生产的一个主要风险因素。最近的研究强调了塑料地膜覆盖对雨养马铃薯的增产效果。然而,地膜覆盖措施能否适应气候变化以促进马铃薯增产仍是一个问题。本研究旨在探讨不同气候因素及其耦合效应对黄土高原地膜覆盖和无地膜覆盖马铃薯产量的影响。方法我们利用多种作物模型和全球气候模型(GCMs),根据共享社会经济路径(SSP)245和SSP585情景预测黄土高原地膜覆盖和无地膜覆盖马铃薯的产量。此外,我们还分析了产量对气候耦合效应的响应,明确了主要气候耦合效应对地膜马铃薯和无地膜马铃薯产量的影响。结果与结论我们发现,对于地膜马铃薯而言,在 SSP245 和 SSP585 情景下,气候耦合效应对产量的贡献率在 2021-2060 年期间为 47.05% 至 49.31%,在 2061-2100 年期间增至 49.09% 至 50.94%。平均温度(Tmen)为主的耦合对地膜覆盖马铃薯的产量贡献最大,而对无地膜覆盖马铃薯而言,降水(Pr)为主的耦合则起主导作用。以最高温度(Tmax)为主的耦合在未来会显著降低马铃薯产量,而地膜覆盖措施会加剧这种负面影响。然而,地膜覆盖措施消除了以最低温度(Tmin)为主的耦合对马铃薯产量的不利影响。在分解气候因子的耦合效应后,我们发现导致马铃薯减产的主要因素是Tmax和Pr耦合,而地膜覆盖措施放大了热湿效应。因此,了解马铃薯地膜覆盖如何避免热湿耦合以促进生产对黄土高原的未来至关重要。我们的研究结果有助于阐明气候耦合对地膜马铃薯生产的影响,从而帮助制定合理的政策。
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引用次数: 0
A comparison of animal and plant-based proteins from an economic, environmental, and nutritional perspective in the Republic of Ireland 从经济、环境和营养角度比较爱尔兰共和国的动物蛋白和植物蛋白
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104143
Marie Merlo , Thia Hennessy , Cathal Buckley , James O'Mahony

CONTEXT

Protein is a central component of health and nutrition. The current protein production system is unlikely to sustainably meet the growing global demand for protein. Therefore, alternative sources of protein must be considered.

OBJECTIVE

This study uniquely compares animal-based (milk, beef meat, sheep meat) and plant-based (cereals and legumes) protein production in terms of land usage. The comparison is carried out across a suite of economic, environmental, and nutritional metrics. As land use decisions are taken at the farm level, the analysis adopts a farm gate approach. Focusing on the supply side, consumption is not considered in the analysis.

METHODS

Economic performance is measured through the gross and net margins. Environmental performance is evaluated through farm-level greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and nutrient (nitrogen and phosphorus) balances. Nutritional performance is measured through the gross protein yield, the protein yield corrected for digestibility and land-use efficiency, i.e., the land needed to generate one kg of (digestible) protein. Results are expressed per hectare and per 100 g of gross and digestible protein to allow for a holistic comparison. The analysis focuses on the Republic of Ireland, a relevant country given the importance of the strong agricultural export focus, the dominance of the livestock sector and the country's ambitious environmental emission reduction targets.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Findings indicate that, on a per hectare basis, milk production on dairy farms has the strongest economic performance and highest GHG emissions amongst the products considered. Crops' gross and net margins are less than half that of dairy farms, but they also show the strongest environmental performance generally. Cereals and legumes have the best nutritional performance, from a protein perspective, whereas sheep meat production returned the lowest gross and digestible protein yields per hectare. Arable crops also show the lowest GHG emissions and nutrient balances on a per unit of protein basis.

SIGNIFICANCE

Land-use policies need to be designed holistically, given the complexity of the agricultural sector. Agricultural policy design currently focuses on income support and on the environmental impact of the agricultural sector, but farmers' livelihood and food and protein security need to be safeguarded. Diversifying agricultural production and increasing plant-based protein production in Ireland, a country with a livestock-focused agricultural sector, could contribute to achieving the climate change targets of the country, provided the necessary policy levers are in place.
内容提要蛋白质是健康和营养的核心组成部分。目前的蛋白质生产系统不可能持续满足全球日益增长的蛋白质需求。本研究对以动物(牛奶、牛肉、羊肉)为基础的蛋白质生产和以植物(谷物和豆类)为基础的蛋白质生产在土地使用方面进行了独特的比较。比较涉及一系列经济、环境和营养指标。由于土地使用决策是在农场一级做出的,因此分析采用了农场门方法。经济绩效通过毛利润和净利润来衡量。环境绩效通过农场一级的温室气体(GHG)排放和养分(氮和磷)平衡进行评估。营养绩效通过蛋白质总产量、经消化率校正的蛋白质产量和土地利用效率(即生产一公斤(可消化)蛋白质所需的土地)来衡量。结果以每公顷和每 100 克总蛋白和可消化蛋白表示,以便进行整体比较。结果和结论研究结果表明,按每公顷计算,奶牛场牛奶生产的经济效益最高,温室气体排放量也最高。农作物的毛利润和净利润都不及奶牛场的一半,但总体而言,它们的环境绩效也最强。从蛋白质的角度来看,谷物和豆类的营养表现最好,而羊肉生产的每公顷总产量和可消化蛋白质产量最低。鉴于农业部门的复杂性,土地使用政策需要全面设计。目前,农业政策设计的重点是收入支持和农业部门对环境的影响,但农民的生计以及粮食和蛋白质安全需要得到保障。爱尔兰是一个以畜牧业为主的国家,在必要的政策杠杆到位的情况下,农业生产多样化和增加植物性蛋白质生产可有助于实现该国的气候变化目标。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of adoption of climate resilient agricultural solutions 采用具有气候复原力的农业解决方案的决定因素
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104139
Sujata Shrestha , Uttam Babu Shrestha , Bibek Raj Shrestha , Shirish Maharjan , Erica Udas , Kamal Aryal

CONTEXT

Climate change poses significant challenges to agricultural productivity, crop yield and overall resilience of farming system, particularly in mountainous regions. In a mountainous coutry like Nepal, where agriculture is a crucial livelihood for a substantial population, the Climate Resilient Agricultural (CRA) solutions are imperative. These solutions aim to enhance the sustainability of water, reduce reliance on pesticides and chemical fertilizers, and increase farm productivity and income. However, understanding the factors influencing farmers' decisions to adopt or reject such solutions remains a critical knowledge gap.

OBJECTIVES

This study investigates the socio-psychological and socio-demographic determinants affecting the adoption of climate-resilient agricultural solutions.

METHODS

This study uses the theory of planned behavior and a mixed-method approach to conduct household surveys with farmers, Key Informant Interviews with experts and implementing partners, and Focus Group Discussions with farmers' groups. Responses to behavior-related questions were analyzed using Partial Least Square Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), and the factors influencing the farmers' adoption behavior were identified using binary logistic regression.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The result based on a limited sample size indicates that farm characteristics and farmers' perceived behavior control significantly influence the adoption and continuation behavior of CRA solutions. In conclusion, fostering awareness, capacity building, and skill development and establishing both market and non-market incentives are essential for improving the adoption of new solutions for climate resilience in agriculture, however, the in-depth research is recommended to better understand the adoption behavior within specific farming systems.

SIGNIFICANCE

The findings of this research offer valuable insights for policymakers and development practitioners striving to promote the widespread adoption of CRA solutions in farming communities. It will help to develop targeted strategies and policies that effectively support the integration of these solutions into agricultural practices, ultimately enhancing the resilience of the farming system in the face of climate change.
气候变化对农业生产率、作物产量和农业系统的整体恢复能力构成重大挑战,尤其是在山区。在尼泊尔这样的山区国家,农业是大量人口的重要生计,因此必须采用气候适应性农业(CRA)解决方案。这些解决方案旨在提高水资源的可持续性,减少对杀虫剂和化肥的依赖,提高农业生产率和收入。然而,了解影响农民决定采用或拒绝这些解决方案的因素仍然是一个关键的知识缺口。
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引用次数: 0
Benchmarking sustainability performance in UK free-range laying hen flocks 英国散养蛋鸡群的可持续性绩效基准
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104103
L.E. Higham , I. Handel , L. Boden , D. Moran

CONTEXT

To equitably nourish the world's growing human population whilst halting further transgression of the planetary boundaries, there is a need to evaluate the relative performance of food and farming systems in terms of multiple and often competing food security, environmental, and ethical sustainability objectives.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to benchmark the sustainability performance of 80 free-range laying hen flocks in England and Scotland, in production between 2016 and 2022, and to identify any common characteristics between the best performers to inform supply chain policy. Benchmarking was based on multi-criteria efficiency scores, incorporating six input and two output criteria covering human, animal, and environmental domains, including the neglected measures of animal welfare and antibiotic use.

METHODS

Data Envelope Analysis (DEA) was used to derive efficiency scores. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were then applied to explore production factors that could be associated with the attainment of maximum efficiency.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Approximately half of the flocks attained the maximum efficiency score, relative to their peers. Analysis of their component inputs and outputs demonstrated the favourable performance of the most efficient flocks across a broad array of criteria compared to inefficient flocks, indicating that some farms are successfully reconciling production and profitability with superior environmental, animal welfare, and antibiotic use performance. Univariate analysis and multivariate regression revealed no statistically significant predictors of efficiency at the level of p < 0.05, with unexplained variation in relative efficiency scores of the flocks of between 0.7 and 1.0, indicating a path of improvement amongst farmers with similar production systems and standards, potentially based on unmeasured human factors. However, univariate analysis revealed an association between laying hen breed and the attainment of efficiency at the level of p < 0.1, supporting the notion that breeds with balanced genetic merit will play an important role in food systems seeking to mitigate externalities of production.

SIGNIFICANCE

DEA allows multiple sustainability dimensions to be combined into a single performance metric to benchmark and compare production units. It offers a method for industry and government to identify potential leverage points to incentivise improved performance, and is a basis for better data collection in relation to both market and non-market (external) cost impacts of production, including animal welfare and antimicrobial use.
内容为了公平地养活世界上日益增长的人口,同时阻止进一步突破地球边界,有必要从粮食安全、环境和道德可持续性等多重且经常相互竞争的目标方面评估食品和农业系统的相对绩效。目标我们旨在为英格兰和苏格兰 2016 年至 2022 年间生产的 80 个散养蛋鸡群的可持续性绩效设定基准,并找出表现最佳的鸡群之间的共同特征,为供应链政策提供信息。标杆管理基于多标准效率评分,包含六项投入和两项产出标准,涵盖人类、动物和环境领域,包括被忽视的动物福利和抗生素使用情况。然后进行单变量和多变量回归分析,以探索与实现最高效率相关的生产因素。结果和结论与同类相比,约有一半的鸡群达到了最高效率得分。对其投入和产出要素的分析表明,与效率低下的鸡群相比,效率最高的鸡群在一系列广泛的标准方面表现出色,这表明一些鸡场成功地兼顾了生产和盈利能力以及卓越的环境、动物福利和抗生素使用性能。单变量分析和多变量回归显示,在 p < 0.05 的水平上,没有统计学意义上的效率预测因素,鸡群相对效率得分的未解释差异在 0.7 和 1.0 之间,这表明具有相似生产系统和标准的养殖户之间存在改进路径,可能是基于未测量的人为因素。然而,单变量分析表明,蛋鸡品种与效率之间的关联度为 p < 0.1,这支持了这样一种观点,即具有均衡遗传优势的品种将在寻求减轻生产外部性的食品系统中发挥重要作用。SIGNIFICANCEDEA 可将多个可持续发展维度整合为一个单一的绩效指标,对生产单位进行基准衡量和比较。它为产业界和政府提供了一种方法,以确定潜在的杠杆点,激励改进绩效,并为更好地收集与生产的市场和非市场(外部)成本影响有关的数据奠定了基础,包括动物福利和抗菌素的使用。
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引用次数: 0
The multiscale response of global cropland cropping intensity to urban expansion 全球耕地种植强度对城市扩张的多尺度响应
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104138
Chen Ma , Manchun Li , Penghui Jiang

CONTEXT

Urban expansion(UE) and multiple cropping(MC) are key factors in anthropogenic impacts on global environmental change. However, the multi-scale response patterns of UE and MC have not yet been revealed, and how urbanization affects cropland intensification is still not deeply explored.

OBJECTIVE

This study examines the spatial and temporal trends in global UE and MC and analyses the multi-scale response patterns of both.

METHODS

The GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform was used to count global cropland cropping intensity (CCI) and impervious surface rasters on an image-by-image basis, while GIS was employed for spatial analyses, and the generalized additive model (GAM) was applied to inscribe variable response trajectories.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

The global multiple cropping index(MCI) increased significantly (by 4.1 %) over the period 2001–2019, with growth in double- and triple-cropped cropland dominating this change. Double cropping, as a widespread global farming strategy, has led to a shift towards the intensification of agriculture, with countries in the northern hemisphere contributing more. Global UE significantly expands to twice the baseline level at an average annual growth rate of 2. 42 × 104 km2 over the period 2001–2019, with the expansion of world-class urban agglomerations in China, the United States and Europe dominates this trend. The spatial clustering of MC and UE has continued to intensify, with high-intensity cropping strategies progressively clustering towards areas of significant UE, and this tendency has a clear decreasing urban-rural gradient effect. The global CCI grows significantly and non-linearly with UE, but an important inflection point in the growth trajectory has occurred under the influence of threshold effects. Developed countries tend to be more flexible in their cropping intensity strategies as they move forward with urbanization. There is a clear increasing effect of the urban-rural gradient in the degree of non-linearity in the response of urbanization and cropping intensity.

SIGNIFICANCE

The results of the study contribute to the understanding of the complex spatial and temporal coupling mechanisms between UE and MC, and provide useful insights for the development of trade-offs between urbanization and maturity strategies.
背景城市扩张(UE)和多种作物种植(MC)是人类活动影响全球环境变化的关键因素。本研究探讨了全球城市扩张(UE)和多种种植(MC)的时空变化趋势,并分析了二者的多尺度响应模式。方法利用 GEE(谷歌地球引擎)平台对全球耕地种植强度(CCI)和不透水表面栅格进行逐幅统计,同时利用地理信息系统进行空间分析,并应用广义加法模型(GAM)刻画变量响应轨迹。 结果与结论2001-2019 年间,全球多种种植指数(MCI)显著增加(4.1%),其中双季和三季种植耕地的增长主导了这一变化。双季种植作为全球普遍采用的耕作策略,导致农业向集约化方向转变,北半球国家的贡献更大。在 2001-2019 年期间,全球城市人口密度以 2.42 × 104 平方公里的年均增长率大幅增加到基线水平的两倍,中国、美国和欧洲世界级城市群的扩张主导了这一趋势。MC和UE的空间集聚不断加强,高强度种植战略逐步向UE显著的地区集聚,这种趋势具有明显的城乡梯度递减效应。全球 CCI 随人均等量的增加而非线性地大幅增长,但在临界效应的影响下,增长轨迹出现了一个重要的拐点。随着城市化的推进,发达国家的种植密度战略往往更加灵活。在城市化和种植密度的非线性响应程度上,城乡梯度的影响明显增大。 重要意义本研究的结果有助于理解城市化水平和种植密度之间复杂的时空耦合机制,并为制定城市化和成熟战略之间的权衡提供了有益的启示。
{"title":"The multiscale response of global cropland cropping intensity to urban expansion","authors":"Chen Ma ,&nbsp;Manchun Li ,&nbsp;Penghui Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104138","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104138","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Urban expansion(UE) and multiple cropping(MC) are key factors in anthropogenic impacts on global environmental change. However, the multi-scale response patterns of UE and MC have not yet been revealed, and how urbanization affects cropland intensification is still not deeply explored.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><div>This study examines the spatial and temporal trends in global UE and MC and analyses the multi-scale response patterns of both.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>The GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform was used to count global cropland cropping intensity (CCI) and impervious surface rasters on an image-by-image basis, while GIS was employed for spatial analyses, and the generalized additive model (GAM) was applied to inscribe variable response trajectories.</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSION</h3><div>The global multiple cropping index(MCI) increased significantly (by 4.1 %) over the period 2001–2019, with growth in double- and triple-cropped cropland dominating this change. Double cropping, as a widespread global farming strategy, has led to a shift towards the intensification of agriculture, with countries in the northern hemisphere contributing more. Global UE significantly expands to twice the baseline level at an average annual growth rate of 2. 42 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup> over the period 2001–2019, with the expansion of world-class urban agglomerations in China, the United States and Europe dominates this trend. The spatial clustering of MC and UE has continued to intensify, with high-intensity cropping strategies progressively clustering towards areas of significant UE, and this tendency has a clear decreasing urban-rural gradient effect. The global CCI grows significantly and non-linearly with UE, but an important inflection point in the growth trajectory has occurred under the influence of threshold effects. Developed countries tend to be more flexible in their cropping intensity strategies as they move forward with urbanization. There is a clear increasing effect of the urban-rural gradient in the degree of non-linearity in the response of urbanization and cropping intensity.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>The results of the study contribute to the understanding of the complex spatial and temporal coupling mechanisms between UE and MC, and provide useful insights for the development of trade-offs between urbanization and maturity strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":7730,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Systems","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 104138"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142319673","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantifying spatial distributions and temporal trends of livestock populations across pastoral agroecosystems at high resolution 高分辨率量化牧区农业生态系统中牲畜数量的空间分布和时间趋势
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104128
Mitchell Donovan , Peter Pletnyakov , Tony Van der Weerden , Cecile de Klein
<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Global agroecosystems, predominantly pastoral and rangelands, are crucial for food, fibre, carbon sequestration, and biodiversity, covering about 40-50 % of Earth's land. Yet, they are also sources of greenhouse gas emissions, soil erosion, and land degradation. In New Zealand, nearly half the land supports grazing ruminants, significantly impacting the environment and contributing to methane and nitrous oxide emissions. Accurate livestock population data are essential to understand and mitigate these impacts.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVES</h3><div>This study aims to create a high-resolution, farm-scale dataset of livestock densities in New Zealand, using a novel methodological framework that integrates agricultural production surveys, geospatial products and data derived from remote sensing. This framework is designed to improve the accuracy of environmental assessments, inform national and global livestock inventories, and guide sustainable land-use and conservation efforts.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>The study used a combination of geodatabases, data derived from remote sensing, regional statistics, and surveys to generate high-resolution gridded data products of livestock densities. Livestock counts were refined using land cover and farm-type data to exclude non-pastoral lands and accurately estimate grazing densities. The approach integrated data cleaning, processing, and spatial analysis within Python and qGIS, providing time-series analyses and regional validations against standard survey data to ensure accuracy and reliability. The outputs were further compared with global-scale livestock data to validate the accuracy and bias in global data being used to inform international modeling efforts.</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS & CONCLUSIONS</h3><div>We generated detailed maps showing spatial and temporal trends of sheep, beef, and dairy cattle across New Zealand. This high-resolution national dataset provides a more accurate national data source than previous global estimates for New Zealand and identifies biases/overestimations in global livestock data. The study also offers insights into the environmental pressures of livestock grazing, particularly regarding greenhouse gas emissions and soil erosion. The research presents a significant advance in our ability to quantify livestock populations at farm scale across national extents, providing a basis for more precise environmental and policy-making decisions. It underscores the need for high-resolution, locally validated data to inform global databases and supports targeted interventions to mitigate environmental impacts.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>The study's findings are crucial for managing agroecosystems sustainably, enhancing greenhouse gas inventories, and improving land and water quality management. They represent a step forward in our ability to quantify and manage the ecological footprint of livestock farming, with implications fo
背景全球农业生态系统,主要是畜牧业和牧场,对粮食、纤维、碳固存和生物多样性至关重要,约占地球陆地面积的 40-50%。然而,它们也是温室气体排放、土壤侵蚀和土地退化的源头。在新西兰,近一半的土地用于放牧反刍动物,对环境造成了重大影响,并导致甲烷和一氧化二氮的排放。准确的牲畜数量数据对于了解和减轻这些影响至关重要。本研究旨在利用一个新颖的方法框架,整合农业生产调查、地理空间产品和遥感数据,创建一个高分辨率、农场规模的新西兰牲畜密度数据集。该框架旨在提高环境评估的准确性,为国家和全球牲畜清单提供信息,并为可持续土地利用和保护工作提供指导。方法该研究将地理数据库、遥感数据、区域统计数据和调查相结合,生成了高分辨率的牲畜密度网格数据产品。利用土地覆被和农场类型数据对牲畜数量进行了细化,以排除非牧场并准确估算放牧密度。该方法在 Python 和 qGIS 中集成了数据清理、处理和空间分析功能,提供时间序列分析,并根据标准调查数据进行区域验证,以确保准确性和可靠性。我们还将输出结果与全球尺度的牲畜数据进行了比较,以验证全球数据的准确性和偏差,从而为国际建模工作提供信息。这一高分辨率的国家数据集提供了比以往全球估计值更准确的新西兰国家数据源,并识别了全球牲畜数据中的偏差/高估。这项研究还有助于深入了解牲畜放牧对环境造成的压力,尤其是温室气体排放和土壤侵蚀方面的压力。这项研究大大提高了我们在全国范围内对农场规模的牲畜数量进行量化的能力,为更精确的环境和政策决策提供了依据。该研究强调,我们需要高分辨率、经过当地验证的数据来为全球数据库提供信息,并支持有针对性的干预措施,以减轻对环境的影响。它们代表着我们在量化和管理畜牧业生态足迹的能力方面向前迈进了一步,对新西兰全国乃至全球的政策和土地管理都有潜在的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Evidence of a rebound effect in agriculture: Crop-livestock reconnection beyond the farm gate does not always lead to more sustainable nitrogen management 农业反弹效应的证据:农场大门之外的作物-牲畜重新连接并不总能带来更可持续的氮管理
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104137
Olivier Godinot , Julia Jouan , Thomas Nesme , Matthieu Carof

CONTEXT

Reconnecting crop and livestock production beyond the farm gate by exchanging raw materials (e.g., feed, manure) between farms is seen as a promising solution for improving the environmental performance of farms, since it should reduce the use of imported nitrogen (N) inputs. However, such a circular economy does not necessarily lead to a positive outcome, since cooperating farms might simultaneously intensify their production, which could cancel out the benefits of reconnecting crops and livestock: this is known as a rebound effect.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of our study was to identify and analyze a potential rebound effect due to reconnection of crop and livestock farms.

METHODS

We collected data on 18 case-study farms in a small territory in Spain. We then calculated two indicators of the N rebound effect: one based on potential savings of inorganic N fertilizer for cooperating crop farms and another based on potential savings of N losses to the environment for cooperating livestock farms.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

On cooperating crop farms, importing manure did not lead to replacement of inorganic N fertilizer and could lead more inorganic N fertilizer being used. Thus, their mean N rebound effect was 520 %, which constituted a backfire effect. This mean, however, covered large differences among farms. On cooperating dairy farms, exporting manure resulted in a mean negative rebound effect of −17 %, meaning that they achieved higher savings in the N balance than expected compared to non-cooperating dairy farms.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our main contribution is to show that there may be a rebound effect when reconnecting crop and livestock production beyond the farm gate due to the intensification of farms. The indicators of the N rebound effect developed can thus help identify situations that improve or degrade environmental performance. They should be used to complement existing indicators, such as N-use efficiency and the N balance, to design efficient farming systems while avoiding a rebound effect.
通过在农场之间交换原材料(如饲料、粪便),在农场大门之外重新连接作物和牲畜生产,被认为是改善农场环境绩效的一个很有前景的解决方案,因为这样可以减少进口氮(N)投入的使用。然而,这种循环经济并不一定会带来积极的结果,因为合作农场可能会同时加强生产,这可能会抵消重新连接作物和牲畜所带来的好处:这就是所谓的反弹效应。
{"title":"Evidence of a rebound effect in agriculture: Crop-livestock reconnection beyond the farm gate does not always lead to more sustainable nitrogen management","authors":"Olivier Godinot ,&nbsp;Julia Jouan ,&nbsp;Thomas Nesme ,&nbsp;Matthieu Carof","doi":"10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104137","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104137","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Reconnecting crop and livestock production beyond the farm gate by exchanging raw materials (e.g., feed, manure) between farms is seen as a promising solution for improving the environmental performance of farms, since it should reduce the use of imported nitrogen (N) inputs. However, such a circular economy does not necessarily lead to a positive outcome, since cooperating farms might simultaneously intensify their production, which could cancel out the benefits of reconnecting crops and livestock: this is known as a rebound effect.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><div>The aim of our study was to identify and analyze a potential rebound effect due to reconnection of crop and livestock farms.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>We collected data on 18 case-study farms in a small territory in Spain. We then calculated two indicators of the N rebound effect: one based on potential savings of inorganic N fertilizer for cooperating crop farms and another based on potential savings of N losses to the environment for cooperating livestock farms.</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS</h3><div>On cooperating crop farms, importing manure did not lead to replacement of inorganic N fertilizer and could lead more inorganic N fertilizer being used. Thus, their mean N rebound effect was 520 %, which constituted a backfire effect. This mean, however, covered large differences among farms. On cooperating dairy farms, exporting manure resulted in a mean negative rebound effect of −17 %, meaning that they achieved higher savings in the N balance than expected compared to non-cooperating dairy farms.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>Our main contribution is to show that there may be a rebound effect when reconnecting crop and livestock production beyond the farm gate due to the intensification of farms. The indicators of the N rebound effect developed can thus help identify situations that improve or degrade environmental performance. They should be used to complement existing indicators, such as N-use efficiency and the N balance, to design efficient farming systems while avoiding a rebound effect.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":7730,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Systems","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 104137"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1,"publicationDate":"2024-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142275692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Drivers and barriers to digital transformation in agriculture: An evolutionary game analysis based on the experience of China 农业数字化转型的驱动力和障碍:基于中国经验的演化博弈分析
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104136
Yong Sun , Yiling Miao , Zhiju Xie , Runtian Wu

CONTEXT

The digital transformation of agriculture is a complex and dynamic process involving numerous stakeholders. Inadequate participation and collaboration from stakeholders are major factors contributing to the difficulties in agricultural digital transformation. However, there is a paucity of research that dynamically uncovers the driving forces and obstacles of agricultural digitization from the perspective of stakeholders.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this article is to systematically analyze the drivers and obstacles faced by government incentives, digital technology service providers, and agricultural operators in participating in the digital transformation of agriculture.

METHOD

This article employs evolutionary game theory to construct a model of the game between digital technology service providers and agricultural operators under the exogenous influence of the government. It also conducts stable strategy analysis and numerical simulation to explain and predict the behaviors and interaction mechanisms among multiple stakeholders in the digital transformation of agriculture.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis reveals four potential equilibrium points under specific conditions, identifying that the increase in returns and the opportunity costs of not participating in agricultural digital transformation are key driving factors. Critical barriers include the high costs faced by digital technology service providers and agricultural operators, as well as the associated risks of non-participation. Government incentives emerge as a crucial exogenous factor in promoting agricultural digital transformation. To better facilitate this process, we propose policy recommendations and management insights.

SIGNIFICANCE

This study provides a new research perspective and methodology for agricultural digital transformation, offering a more comprehensive reflection of the complexity and multidimensionality of the driving and barrier factors influencing this process. It also provides theoretical support for explaining phenomena such as irrational behavior, multiple equilibria, and path dependence that exist in agricultural digital transformation.
背景农业数字化转型是一个复杂而动态的过程,涉及众多利益相关者。利益相关者的参与和合作不足是造成农业数字化转型困难的主要因素。本文旨在系统分析政府激励机制、数字技术服务提供商和农业经营者在参与农业数字化转型过程中所面临的驱动力和障碍。方法本文采用演化博弈理论,构建了政府外生影响下数字技术服务提供商与农业经营者之间的博弈模型,并进行了稳定策略分析和数值模拟。结果与结论我们的分析揭示了特定条件下的四个潜在均衡点,发现收益的增加和不参与农业数字化转型的机会成本是关键的驱动因素。关键障碍包括数字技术服务提供商和农业经营者面临的高成本以及不参与的相关风险。政府激励措施是促进农业数字化转型的关键外生因素。本研究为农业数字化转型提供了新的研究视角和方法,更全面地反映了影响这一过程的驱动因素和障碍因素的复杂性和多面性。它还为解释农业数字化转型中存在的非理性行为、多重均衡和路径依赖等现象提供了理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
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Agricultural Systems
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