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Impact of adoption of climate smart agriculture practices on farmer's income in semi-arid regions of Karnataka 卡纳塔克邦半干旱地区采用气候智能型农业做法对农民收入的影响
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104135
<div><h3>Context</h3><p>Semi-arid regions are one of the most vulnerable regions of climate change to agriculture. Karnataka, a semi-arid state of India has warmed by 0.4 °C with declining trends in average annual rainfall by 10 % over the last century, is highly vulnerable to climate change. To adapt with this climate change impact, Government of Karnataka along with CGIAR institutes and agriculture universities had initiated the Bhoo-Samrudhi program in 2013 to promote climate smart agriculture practices in the state. The primary aim of this program was to enhance crop productivity by 25 % and farmers income by 20 %.</p></div><div><h3>Objective</h3><p>Firstly, this study aims to identify who adopts CSA practices and at what scale? Secondly, how much additional income farmers earn by adopting CSA practices as compared the non-CSA but improved agricultural practices, and the traditional practices. Thirdly, this study estimates marginal increase in farmers income at difference scale of adoption of CSA practices. Finally, this study identifies possible challenges and opportunities in upscaling the adoption of CSA practices in the state.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>A primary survey using a semi-structured questionnaire was conducted among the selected 1466 farmer households in four districts of Karnataka (Bidar, Chikballapur, Dharwad, and Udupi). The sample consisted of 833 adopter farmers and 633 non-adopter farmers. Non-adopter farmers were those who were following traditional practice of crop cultivation and rest of the farmers are treated as adopters. The study used multinomial logistic regression to explore what made adopter farmers different from non-adopter farmers. Further, we had applied propensity score matching and inverse probability weighted regression adjustment methods to estimate the impact of scale of adoption of CSA practices on farmers income.</p></div><div><h3>Results and conclusions</h3><p>The results highlighted that landholding size, education levels, and asset ownership likely affect the adoption of various levels of CSA practice intensification. Moreover, the impact of adoption on farmers' income is estimated to be Rs. 4845 for low intensified, Rs. 6801 for medium intensified, and Rs. 7858 for highly intensified farmers, in comparison to the improved technology adopters. Therefore, we can conclude that adoption of single technology may not be able to solve the problem, instead technology intensification can be a more effective mechanism to deal with the vulnerabilities and create resilience against climate change.</p></div><div><h3>Significance</h3><p>Technology adoption has been a proven method to improve agricultural productivity as well as income of the farmers in semi-arid regions across the globe. However, an upcoming method to improve food and livelihood security is through sustainable technological intensification. Thus, this study contributes to providing empirical and evidence-based policy suggestions to promot
背景半干旱地区是最容易受到气候变化影响的农业地区之一。卡纳塔克邦是印度的一个半干旱邦,在上个世纪,该邦的气温升高了 0.4 摄氏度,年平均降雨量呈下降趋势,降雨量下降了 10%,极易受到气候变化的影响。为了适应气候变化的影响,2013 年,卡纳塔克邦政府与国际农业研究磋商组织研究所和农业大学共同启动了 Bhoo-Samrudhi 计划,在该邦推广气候智能型农业实践。该计划的主要目标是将作物产量提高 25%,将农民收入提高 20%。目标首先,本研究旨在确定哪些人采用了 CSA 实践,规模如何?其次,与不采用 CSA 但经过改良的农业耕作方法和传统耕作方法相比,农民采用 CSA 方法会增加多少收入?第三,本研究估算了采用 CSA 实践的不同规模下农民收入的边际增长。最后,本研究确定了在卡纳塔克邦推广采用 CSA 实践过程中可能面临的挑战和机遇。样本包括 833 个采用农户和 633 个未采用农户。非采用农户是指采用传统作物种植方法的农户,其余农户则被视为采用农户。研究采用多项式逻辑回归法来探讨采用农户与未采用农户的不同之处。此外,我们还采用了倾向得分匹配和反概率加权回归调整方法来估计采用 CSA 实践的规模对农民收入的影响。此外,与采用改进技术的农民相比,采用低度强化技术对农民收入的影响估计为 4845 卢比,中度强化技术为 6801 卢比,高度强化技术为 7858 卢比。因此,我们可以得出结论,采用单一技术可能无法解决问题,相反,技术集约化可以成为应对气候变化脆弱性和提高抗灾能力的更有效机制。然而,改善粮食和生计安全的一个新方法是通过可持续的技术强化。因此,本研究有助于提供基于经验和证据的政策建议,以促进技术强化,而不是仅仅推广单一技术。因此,技术集约化可被视为农民提高作物和土地生产率并获得更高经济回报的一揽子多种技术。
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引用次数: 0
Towards sustainable fruit production: Identifying challenges and optimization strategies 实现可持续水果生产:确定挑战和优化战略
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104132
<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><p>The transition to sustainable fruit production is vital for global sustainability and agricultural development. However, implementing these insights into practice faces significant challenges.</p></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVES</h3><p>Pomelo (<em>Citrus maxima</em>), a prominent citrus species in tropical and subtropical regions, has been cultivated to enhance farmer profitability but increasing yields often comes at the cost of environmental degradation. This study uses pomelo as a case study to assess key factors influencing pomelo production and establish optimal practices that meet consumption-based food while co-benefits for environmental and economic sustainability.</p></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><p>A comprehensive study was conducted by combining 1155 farm surveys (from 2010, 2018, and 2022) with 31 field experiments. Life cycle assessment (LCA), classification and regression tree (CART) analysis, and scenario analysis were employed to develop pathways for sustainable pomelo production in Pinghe County, Fujian Province, China.</p></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS</h3><p>Results show no significant differences in pomelo yield across the three years; however, pomelo production in 2022 demonstrated a 60 %–67 % lower in environmental footprints and a 64 %–76 % higher benefit-cost ratio (BCR) compared to 2010 and 2018. Tree age was identified as a critical factor influencing pomelo yield, with optimal yields observed in trees older than 12.5 years. The rate of phosphorus fertilizer application was a key determinant of the phosphorus footprint (PF), which was positively correlated with phosphorus fertilizer rates. Similarly, nitrogen fertilizer application significantly impacted both carbon and nitrogen footprints (CF and NF) as well as the BCR. CF and NF increased with higher nitrogen fertilizer rates, while BCR exhibited a negative correlation with nitrogen fertilizer application. Implementing Science and Technology Backyards (STB) followed by farmer training of slightly more than pomelo nutrient requirements practice (SNRP) or coordinate management by farmers and researchers of matching pomelo nutrients requirement practice (MNRP) had 50 %–91 % lower environmental footprints per ton of pomelo produced and 15 %–44 % higher BCR compared to current farming practices (FP) via reducing 46 %–77 % N, 49 %–92 % P<sub>2</sub>O<sub>5</sub>, and 42 %–73 % K<sub>2</sub>O per hectare. Moreover, adopting 100 % MNRP in pomelo production, along with sustainable fertilizer practices and the implementation of innovative fertilizers, could reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (0.76 Tg), reactive nitrogen (Nr) emissions (8.76 Gg), phosphorus (P) losses (0.84 Gg), and augment net ecosystem economic benefits (NEEB) (0.94 billion CNY) at the county scale.</p></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><p>Our study provides evidence-based strategies for achieving sustainable pomelo production through multi-stakeholder collaboration of STB, government, ent
背景向可持续水果生产过渡对全球可持续性和农业发展至关重要。目的柚子(Citrus maxima)是热带和亚热带地区的主要柑橘品种,种植柚子是为了提高农民的收益,但产量的提高往往以环境退化为代价。本研究以柚子为案例,评估影响柚子生产的关键因素,并确定既能满足以消费为基础的食品需求,又能兼顾环境和经济可持续性的最佳实践方法。结果与结论结果表明,与 2010 年和 2018 年相比,这三年的柚子产量没有显著差异;但 2022 年的柚子生产与 2010 年和 2018 年相比,环境足迹降低了 60%-67%,效益成本比提高了 64%-76%。树龄是影响柚子产量的关键因素,树龄超过 12.5 年的柚子产量最高。磷肥施用量是决定磷足迹(PF)的关键因素,磷足迹与磷肥施用量呈正相关。同样,氮肥施用量对碳足迹和氮足迹(CF 和 NF)以及 BCR 都有显著影响。碳足迹和氮足迹随着氮肥施用量的增加而增加,而生物耗氧量则与氮肥施用量呈负相关。实施科技后园(STB),然后对农民进行略高于柚子养分需求实践(SNRP)的培训,或由农民和研究人员协调管理匹配的柚子养分需求实践(MNRP),通过每公顷减少 46 %-77 % 的氮,49 %-92 % 的 P2O5 和 42 %-73 % 的 K2O,与当前的耕作实践(FP)相比,每生产一吨柚子的环境足迹降低了 50 %-91 %,BCR 提高了 15 %-44 %。此外,在柚子生产中采用 100% 的 MNRP 以及可持续的施肥方法和创新肥料,可减少温室气体 (GHG) 排放(0.76 千兆克)、活性氮 (Nr) 排放(8.76 千兆克)、磷 (P) 损失(0.意义我们的研究通过科技局、政府、企业和小农户等多方利益相关者的合作,为实现柚子的可持续生产提供了循证策略。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling cow longevity policies: Impacts on GHG emissions of the Swiss agricultural sector 奶牛长寿政策建模:对瑞士农业部门温室气体排放的影响
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104107

Context

The agricultural sector has a high potential to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. One promising measure is to promote the longevity of dairy cows, as the resulting reduction in replacement heifers reduces the overall GHG emissions of the dairy sector.

Objective

In this study, we analysed the effects of a voluntary policy programme to promote the longevity of dairy cows in Switzerland. We forecasted the effects on agricultural production (milk and meat) and GHG emissions for the Swiss agricultural sector. This voluntary direct programme was implemented by the Swiss government in 2024.

Methods

We used an interdisciplinary method and a data approach that combined several data sources and models. We implemented herdbook data on changes in milk yield and veterinary costs with an increasing number of lactations in a bio-economic farm optimisation approach. The use of an agent-based modelling framework allows the consideration of heterogeneous farm responses to the voluntary direct payment programme, which incentivises an increase in productive life of dairy cows. The results of the agent-based model were then implemented in the GHG model SAGE. Four policy scenarios were simulated. They considered two levels of direct payments (low and high) for the voluntary longevity programme and two fattening strategies for those calves no longer needed for cow replacement (4- and 10-month calf fattening). The results of the longevity scenarios were compared with a reference scenario without these direct payments.

Results and conclusions

Our results show a policy scenario with a high level of direct payments and a 4-month calf fattening strategy has the highest GHG emission reduction potential in Swiss agriculture

(−1.71 % of total agricultural GHG emissions and 998 CHF/t CO2 equivalent). However, a lower level of direct payments combined with a 4-month calf fattening strategy is more cost-effective with regard to GHG emission reduction (−1.69 % of total agricultural GHG emissions and 471.5 CHF/t CO2 equivalent). The other scenarios show lower GHG reduction potential and lower cost effectiveness. We find the voluntary direct payment programme has high wind-fall effects because the payments are not linked to changes in longevity but are distributed as long as the average number of lactations of a cow herd is three or more.

Significance

This study is the first to analyse a voluntary policy programme that incentivises farmers to extend the productive life of their dairy cows. Furthermore, both environmental and economic impacts are estimated with a novel mixed modelling approach.

背景农业部门在减少温室气体排放方面潜力巨大。促进奶牛长寿是一项很有前景的措施,因为替代母牛的减少会降低乳制品行业的整体温室气体排放量。我们预测了该计划对瑞士农业生产(牛奶和肉类)和温室气体排放的影响。瑞士政府于 2024 年实施了这一自愿性直接计划。方法我们采用了跨学科方法和数据方法,结合了多个数据源和模型。我们在生物经济农场优化方法中使用了牧群手册数据,这些数据显示了随着泌乳次数的增加,牛奶产量和兽医成本的变化情况。通过使用基于代理的建模框架,可以考虑农场对自愿直接付款计划的不同反应,该计划鼓励提高奶牛的生产寿命。基于代理的模型结果随后被应用到温室气体模型 SAGE 中。模拟了四种政策情景。它们考虑了自愿长寿计划的两种直接付款水平(低和高),以及不再需要用于奶牛替代的犊牛的两种育肥策略(4 个月和 10 个月犊牛育肥)。结果和结论我们的研究结果表明,采用高水平直接支付和 4 个月犊牛育肥策略的政策方案在瑞士农业中具有最高的温室气体减排潜力(占农业温室气体排放总量的 -1.71% 和 998 瑞士法郎/吨二氧化碳当量)。然而,较低的直接支付水平结合 4 个月的小牛育肥策略在温室气体减排方面更具成本效益(占农业温室气体排放总量的 -1.69 %,471.5 瑞士法郎/吨二氧化碳当量)。其他方案的温室气体减排潜力较低,成本效益也较低。我们发现,自愿直接付款计划具有较高的风向效应,因为付款与奶牛寿命的变化无关,而是只要奶牛群的平均泌乳次数达到或超过三次就会分配付款。此外,本研究还采用一种新颖的混合建模方法对环境和经济影响进行了估算。
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引用次数: 0
Public and private institutional arrangements for early generation seed production: Cassava seed value chains in Southeast Asia 早期种子生产的公共和私营机构安排:东南亚木薯种子价值链
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104131
<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><p>Early generation seed (EGS) production and delivery pathways are critical components of so-called formal seed systems, of principal importance in the release of improved varieties into national seed systems. Vegetatively propagated crops (VPCs), with clonal reproductive ability and considerable differences in production and dissemination patterns from sexually propagated crops, often challenge generalized assumptions about ‘business models’ for private sector-led EGS production.</p></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><p>We evaluate production trends and institutional arrangements for early generation ‘seed’ (stem cutting) production in the Greater Mekong Subregion of Southeast Asia to compare models, stakeholders, production pathways, and economic efficiency. We systematically document three cases of formal EGS production underpinning this globally important agricultural commodity, and contextualize their development in regional cassava production trends. We then interrogate whether the observed models support common assumptions in contemporary debates about how VPC seed system development, in particular the logic of public and private participation.</p></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><p>To contextualize EGS initiatives, we compiled district-level production data and processing factory locations from national sources across the Greater Mekong subregion, paired with data on varietal releases and international trade of cassava products. To evaluate institutional arrangements for cassava EGS production in this context, we conducted ten key informant interviews with stakeholders involved with three case studies in Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam. Using a seed value chains framework, we compared institutional participation, seed multiplication practices, and partial budgets of each case.</p></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS</h3><p>The three cases represent diverse institutional arrangements that don't exhibit seed company-led, profit-motivated structures often recommended by experts. Despite the commercial nature of export-oriented Southeast Asian cassava products, public involvement remained central in cassava breeding and EGS delivery models, implemented via different actors and multiplication stages. Case histories and partial production budgets describe institutional arrangements with variable points of subsidy along the value chain, resulting in positive effects on varietal turnover and cassava production across the region.</p></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><p>While private sector involvement was significant and variable, public involvement remains important, even for highly commercialized crops like cassava. Contrary to common assumptions, successful cassava EGS systems in Southeast Asia have initiated impressive impacts without pursuing conventionally profit-oriented seed business models. Value chain approaches reveal backing EGS yields tangible downstream benefits, but for VPCs additional innovations are required to ensure be
内容提要早期种子(EGS)的生产和交付途径是所谓正规种子系统的关键组成部分,在向国家种子系统发布改良品种方面具有重要意义。无性繁殖作物(VPCs)具有克隆繁殖能力,其生产和传播模式与有性繁殖作物有很大不同,这往往对私营部门主导的早繁种子生产 "商业模式 "的一般假设提出了挑战。 目标我们评估了东南亚大湄公河次区域早繁种子(茎切)生产的趋势和制度安排,以比较模式、利益相关者、生产途径和经济效益。我们系统地记录了支持这一全球重要农产品的三个正规 EGS 生产案例,并将其发展与地区木薯生产趋势相结合。然后,我们探讨了所观察到的模式是否支持当代关于如何发展 VPC 种子系统的辩论中的共同假设,特别是公共和私人参与的逻辑。方法为了将 EGS 举措与背景联系起来,我们汇编了来自大湄公河次区域各国的地区级生产数据和加工厂位置,以及关于木薯品种发布和木薯产品国际贸易的数据。为了评估木薯 EGS 生产的制度安排,我们对参与柬埔寨、泰国和越南三个案例研究的利益相关者进行了十次关键信息访谈。利用种子价值链框架,我们对每个案例的机构参与、种子繁殖实践和部分预算进行了比较。结果和结论这三个案例代表了不同的机构安排,它们并没有表现出专家通常建议的种子公司主导、以利润为导向的结构。尽管东南亚木薯产品以出口为导向,具有商业性质,但公众参与仍是木薯育种和 EGS 交付模式的核心,通过不同的参与者和繁殖阶段来实施。案例历史和部分生产预算描述了价值链上不同补贴点的制度安排,从而对整个地区的品种更替和木薯生产产生了积极影响。与通常的假设相反,东南亚成功的木薯 EGS 系统并没有采用传统的以利润为导向的种子商业模式,却产生了令人印象深刻的影响。价值链方法显示,支持环境商品和服务可产生有形的下游效益,但对于虚拟生产者保护区来说,还需要额外的创新,以确保效益支持昂贵的上游繁殖阶段的可持续性。考虑到种子和产品价值链上的机构参与的方法可以确定超越传统种子商业化的机制。
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引用次数: 0
Market-driven transitions in the vegetable seed sector in sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲蔬菜种子行业的市场驱动转型
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104113

CONTEXT

Quality vegetable seed has the potential to significantly impact nutrition security in sub-Saharan Africa, as the region has the world's lowest per capita production and consumption of vegetables. Moreover, seed companies might have an important role to play, as in Asia, vegetable production and consumption increased rapidly following the expansion of the private seed sector. However, market-driven seed sector development remains contentious, with some celebrating technological advancements and others raising concerns.

OBJECTIVE

This paper contributes to seed systems literature by focusing on the role of vegetable crops and diversity within the private sector. It explores the heterogeneous character of the private sector by studying how different business models of leading vegetable seed companies jointly contribute to sector development in sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODOLOGY

Eighteen in-depth interviews were conducted with leading vegetable seed companies operating in the region. Qualitative tools were selected to translate individual company data into general findings; while thematic analysis was used to pinpoint a private sector perspective and ideal-type analysis was used to construct business model typologies.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The results show that seed companies collectively view seed sector development as a linear trajectory involving public and private investments to enable farmers to adopt increasingly advanced seed types, especially hybrids. In this trajectory, different companies take on different roles based on specialization in seed system functions: variety development, seed production, seed dissemination, and seed use. The coexistence of and collaboration between different (private) actors in the vegetable seed sector contribute to plurality and interaction in line with an integrated approach to seed sector development. However, it is not a static condition as company roles evolve with expanding business models in terms of seed system functions and market segments.

SIGNIFICANCE

A general objective of (national) seed policies is to increase farmers' access and choice in terms of quality seed of improved varieties. Seed sector development interventions can enhance inclusivity by focusing on viable and innovative business models for niche markets in terms of farming systems and crop types.

背景优质蔬菜种子有可能对撒哈拉以南非洲的营养安全产生重大影响,因为该地区是世界上蔬菜人均产量和消费量最低的地区。此外,种子公司可能会发挥重要作用,因为在亚洲,随着私营种子部门的扩张,蔬菜产量和消费量迅速增加。然而,以市场为导向的种子行业发展仍存在争议,一些人对技术进步表示庆贺,另一些人则表示担忧。 目标本文通过关注蔬菜作物的作用和私营部门内的多样性,为种子系统文献做出了贡献。本文通过研究主要蔬菜种子公司的不同商业模式如何共同促进撒哈拉以南非洲地区的行业发展,探讨了私营部门的异质性。结果和结论结果表明,种子公司共同认为种子行业的发展是一个线性轨迹,涉及公共和私人投资,使农民能够采用越来越先进的种子类型,特别是杂交种。在这一轨迹中,不同的公司根据种子系统功能的专业化程度扮演不同的角色:品种开发、种子生产、种子传播和种子使用。蔬菜种子行业中不同(私营)参与者的共存与合作有助于多元化和互动,符合种子行业发展的综合方法。然而,这并不是一成不变的,因为随着种子系统功能和细分市场商业模式的不断扩大,公司的角色也在不断演变。意义(国家)种子政策的总体目标是增加农民获得优质改良品种种子的机会和选择。种子部门的发展干预措施可以通过关注农耕系统和作物类型方面利基市场的可行和创新商业模式来提高包容性。
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引用次数: 0
Farmers' attitudes toward the use of digital technologies in the context of agri-environmental policies 农民对在农业环境政策背景下使用数字技术的态度
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104129

CONTEXT

Environmental policies are increasingly relying on digitalization to improve efficiency. However, there is still a lack of knowledge on farmers' attitudes toward digitally-based environmental policies.

OBJECTIVE

This paper contributes to the literature by providing quantitative insights on farmers' attitudes in such contexts, focusing on the use of digital technologies for the implementation of results-based agri-environmental policy.

METHODS

The analysis focuses on the case study of the implementation of innovative, digitally- and results-based agri-environment and climate schemes in two Mediterranean agri-systems: Mediterranean oak savannah (dehesa) and sloping olive groves (SOG). The assessment relies on a latent class analysis using survey data from a large sample of southern Spanish farmers. In addition, a Step-3 model was used to identify determinants of farmers' class membership.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The results show a high degree of heterogeneity in farmers' attitudes, with three different classes of farmers identified: proactive, skeptical, and reluctant farmers (membership probability of 0.62, 0.25, and 0.13, respectively), basically showing positive, mixed, and negative attitudes toward using digital technologies in environmental policies. Class belonging is determined by farm and farmer characteristics (especially the farm's main agri-system, family labor use, and farmer's education level and age), farmer attitudes (toward environmental results and their certification), and specific agri-system features (economic dependence).

SIGNIFICANCE

The results are useful for better tailoring digitally-based agri-environmental policies; the diverse costs and benefits that different farmers can expect from the introduction of digital technologies in policy implementation and monitoring should be carefully considered.

背景环境政策越来越依赖数字化来提高效率。本文通过对农民在这种情况下的态度进行定量分析,重点关注数字技术在基于结果的农业环境政策实施中的应用,从而为相关文献做出贡献:地中海橡树稀树草原 (dehesa) 和坡地橄榄园 (SOG)。评估依赖于使用西班牙南部农民大样本调查数据进行的潜类分析。结果和结论结果表明,农民的态度具有高度的异质性,确定了三个不同的农民类别:积极主动型、怀疑型和勉强型农民(成员概率分别为 0.62、0.25 和 0.13),他们对在环境政策中使用数字技术的态度基本表现为积极、混合和消极。农场和农民的特征(尤其是农场的主要农业系统、家庭劳动力使用情况、农民的教育水平和年龄)、农民的态度(对环境结果及其认证的态度)以及特定农业系统的特征(经济依赖性)决定了农民的类别归属。
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引用次数: 0
The potential for index-based crop insurance to stabilize smallholder farmers' gross margins in Northern Ghana 基于指数的作物保险在稳定加纳北部小农毛利率方面的潜力
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104130
<div><h3>Context</h3><p>Smallholder farmers in semi-arid West Africa face challenges such as weather variability, soil infertility, and inadequate market infrastructure, hindering their adoption of improved farming practices. Economic risks associated with uncertain weather, production and market conditions often result in measures such as selling assets and withdrawing children from school, resulting in long-term impoverishment. To break these poverty traps, there is a need for affordable and sustainable risk management approaches at the farm level. Proposed strategies include risk reduction through stress-resistant crop varieties and diversification, additional investments transfer options like crop insurance and contract farming. Despite experimentation with insurance products in sub-Saharan Africa, low adoption persists due to many factors including high premiums, imperfect indices, and cognitive factors.</p></div><div><h3>Objective</h3><p>The objective of this study is to assess the probability of two different index-based insurance products to stabilize smallholder farmers' income and limit asset losses in Northern Ghana using an integrated bio-economic modelling approach.</p></div><div><h3>Method</h3><p>We adapted an existing integrated bio-economic model comprising a process-based crop model, farm simulation model, and annual optimization model by including insurance contracts to assess their impacts on farmers' income and assets. We collaborated with an insurance service provider in sub–Saharan Africa to design and compare two weather index-based insurance contracts—one covering seeding costs and another addressing full input costs. Additionally, we considered the impact of management adaptations, such as replanting after crop establishment failure.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The result from the study suggests that except for the most resource constrained, farmers would be better off purchasing seed insurance and replanting in the event of weather shocks, stabilizing their incomes and reducing the sale of their assets. These insurance options are less expensive than full weather index insurance for the resource-constrained farmers considering that extreme weather conditions do not occur regularly.</p></div><div><h3>Significance</h3><p>This study is significant for smallholder farmers in semi-arid West Africa, who are faced with economic and environmental challenges, challenging efforts to improve livelihoods. Focusing on Northern Ghana, the research assesses the viability of two index-based insurance products using an integrated bio-economic modelling approach. By presenting the probability of outcomes for income and farm assets, particularly through seed insurance incentivizing replanting after extreme weather shocks, the study offers a cost-effective solution for resource-constrained farmers. The results suggest the potential for weather-index insurance contracts to help smallholder farmers avoid bankruptcy or fall into poverty t
背景西非半干旱地区的小农面临着天气多变、土壤贫瘠和市场基础设施不足等挑战,阻碍了他们采用改良耕作方法。与不确定的天气、生产和市场条件相关的经济风险往往导致出售资产和子女退学等措施,造成长期贫困。为了打破这些贫困陷阱,需要在农场一级采取负担得起的、可持续的风险管理方法。拟议的战略包括通过抗逆作物品种和多样化来降低风险,以及作物保险和订单农业等额外投资转移方案。尽管撒哈拉以南非洲地区对保险产品进行了尝试,但由于保费高昂、指数不完善和认知因素等诸多因素,保险产品的采用率一直很低。方法我们对现有的综合生物经济模型(包括基于过程的作物模型、农场模拟模型和年度优化模型)进行了调整,将保险合同纳入其中,以评估其对农民收入和资产的影响。我们与撒哈拉以南非洲的一家保险服务提供商合作,设计并比较了两份基于天气指数的保险合同,一份涉及播种成本,另一份涉及全部投入成本。此外,我们还考虑了管理适应措施的影响,如作物歉收后重新播种。研究结果表明,除了资源最紧张的农户外,其他农户最好购买种子保险,并在遇到天气冲击时重新播种,以稳定收入并减少资产出售。考虑到极端天气情况并不经常发生,对于资源有限的农民来说,这些保险方案比全面天气指数保险的成本更低。 研究意义 本研究对西非半干旱地区的小农意义重大,他们面临着经济和环境挑战,改善生计的努力面临挑战。研究以加纳北部为重点,采用综合生物经济建模方法评估了两种基于指数的保险产品的可行性。通过介绍收入和农业资产的结果概率,特别是通过种子保险激励极端天气冲击后的重新种植,该研究为资源有限的农民提供了一个具有成本效益的解决方案。研究结果表明,天气指数保险合同具有帮助小农避免破产或陷入贫困陷阱的潜力,尤其是在冲击年之后。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the effectiveness & costs of strategies post-eradication to monitor for freedom from BVDV infection in Ireland 评估爱尔兰消除 BVDV 感染后监测策略的有效性和成本
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104127

CONTEXT

In Ireland, a national Bovine Viral Diarrhoea (BVD) eradication programme has been effective in reducing national prevalence and has recently been approved by the European Commission. In anticipation of achieving freedom, there is an ongoing discussion regarding appropriate strategies post-eradication to monitor for continued freedom from Bovine Viral Diarrhoea Virus (BVDV) infection of the national cattle sector.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study is to evaluate the trade-off between the performance of different testing protocols and their associated costs in monitoring BVDV post-eradication in the national cattle sector. By assessing various testing strategies, including bulk tank milk (BTM) testing, first lactation check tests (FLCT), abattoir tests, and youngstock check test (YSCT), the aim is to provide informed input for implementing a long-term sustainable monitoring strategy.

METHODS

In this study, we apply alternative testing protocols to a modelled cattle population in County Kerry, a region with a bovine population considered to be representative of the entire Irish population. The analysis incorporates combinations of Bulk Tank Milk (BTM) testing First Lactation Check tests (FLCT), abattoir tests, and Young Stock Check Testing (YSCT). The YSCT, which focuses on high-risk herds by collecting blood samples from young, homebred animals between nine and 18 months of age, was a key component of the analysis.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

All tested protocols are capable of timely detection of a BVDV outbreak, with detection times of less than one year. Our results highlight the impact of reducing herd coverage by YSCT on post-eradication surveillance for BVDV freedom. By evaluating the trade-off between increased costs and shortened time to detection, this study provides valuable insights for selecting an appropriate monitoring policy in post-eradication programmes.

SIGNIFICANCE

The findings of this study offer guidance on balancing costs and detection efficiency in monitoring BVDV post-eradication. Understanding the implications of different testing strategies can aid policymakers in making informed decisions to ensure the continued freedom from BVDV in the national cattle sector. All tested protocols are capable of detecting a BVDV outbreak in a timely manner, with detection times of less than one year. However, our results quantify the impact reducing herd coverage by YSCT within a possible post-eradication surveillance programme for BVDV freedom. We evaluate how more herds covered by young stock sampling shorten the time to detection, but at an increased cost. The trade-off between increase in costs per shortened time to detection provides guidance to choose an adequate policy to implement monitoring of disease freedom in national post-eradication programmes.

背景在爱尔兰,一项全国性的牛病毒性腹泻(BVD)根除计划已有效降低了全国的流行率,并在最近获得了欧盟委员会的批准。本研究的目的是评估不同检测方案的性能及其相关成本之间的权衡,以监测全国养牛业消灭 BVDV 后的情况。通过评估各种检测策略,包括散装牛奶 (BTM) 检测、首次泌乳检查检测 (FLCT)、屠宰场检测和幼畜检查检测 (YSCT),旨在为实施长期可持续的监测策略提供明智的建议。方法在这项研究中,我们将替代检测方案应用于凯里郡的模拟牛群,该地区的牛群被认为代表了整个爱尔兰牛群。分析结合了散装牛奶(BTM)检测、首次泌乳检查检测(FLCT)、屠宰场检测和幼畜检查检测(YSCT)。结果和结论所有测试方案都能及时发现BVDV疫情,检测时间不到一年。我们的结果凸显了通过YSCT降低牛群覆盖率对疫情消除后BVDV自由监测的影响。通过评估增加的成本与缩短的检测时间之间的权衡,本研究为在疫情根除后计划中选择适当的监测政策提供了有价值的见解。了解不同检测策略的影响有助于决策者做出明智的决策,以确保国家养牛业继续免受 BVDV 的危害。所有测试方案都能及时发现 BVDV 爆发,检测时间不到一年。然而,我们的结果量化了在可能的疫情消除后监测计划中减少 YSCT 牛群覆盖范围对 BVDV 免受感染的影响。我们评估了幼畜采样覆盖的牛群越多,检测时间越短,但成本增加的情况。成本增加与检测时间缩短之间的权衡为在国家疫情消除后计划中选择适当的疫情监测政策提供了指导。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing cropping system multifunctionality: An analysis of trade-offs and synergies in French cereal fields 评估种植系统的多功能性:法国谷物田的权衡与协同效应分析
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104100

CONTEXT

Identifying the strengths and weaknesses of existing cropping systems in a given context is a key first step before designing new, more sustainable cropping systems. The concept of multifunctionality can be a useful tool for cropping system assessment. Whether and how cropping systems and specific management practices might modulate agroecosystem multifunctionality remains unknown, as do the potential trade-offs and synergies among functions.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to (i) assess the multifunctionality of annual cropping systems by estimating their agronomic, ecological and socio-economic performances; (ii) identify trade-offs and synergies among functions; (iii) highlight management practices that can be mobilized to foster synergies between agricultural production and other functions.

METHODS

We measured 14 primary variables, used as proxies for seven functions, in 20 conventional and 20 organic winter cereal fields, in northwestern France. We considered three management practice description levels: (i) farming system (i.e. organic vs. conventional), (ii) combination of management practices that defines a cropping system, and (iii) individual management practices.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

We found a strong trade-off between functions related to ecological performance and agronomic, socio-economic performances, especially between biodiversity conservation and food and feed production. Organic systems tended to minimize this trade-off. Our study also revealed contrasts in levels of functions despite similar multifunctionality value across cropping systems. The number of field interventions and nitrogen inputs were the main drivers of cropping system multifunctionality and its underlying functions. The results indicate that specific management practices, such as reducing within-field interventions and nitrogen fertilization amount, could be integrated even in conventional cropping systems to improve multifunctionality. More generally, our work opens the door to further studies on how agricultural management fosters the simultaneous provision of multiple functions including socio-economic ones.

SIGNIFICANCE

Besides multifunctionality assessment of cropping systems, our study emphasizes the need to further explore how management practices shape the provision of multiple functions and their potential trade-offs. This knowledge is crucial to develop effective strategies for the design of sustainable cropping systems.

在设计新的、更可持续的种植系统之前,确定特定环境下现有种植系统的优缺点是关键的第一步。多功能性的概念可以成为评估种植系统的有用工具。耕作制度和具体的管理方法是否以及如何调节农业生态系统的多功能性,以及各种功能之间的潜在权衡和协同作用仍是未知数。本研究旨在:(i) 通过估算一年生作物种植系统的农艺、生态和社会经济表现,评估其多功能性;(ii) 确定各种功能之间的权衡和协同作用;(iii) 强调可用于促进农业生产与其他功能之间协同作用的管理措施。我们测量了法国西北部 20 块常规冬季谷物田和 20 块有机冬季谷物田中的 14 个主要变量,作为七种功能的代用指标。我们考虑了三个管理实践描述层次:(i) 耕作制度(有机常规),(ii) 定义耕作制度的管理实践组合,(iii) 单个管理实践。我们发现,在与生态绩效相关的功能与农艺、社会经济绩效之间,尤其是在生物多样性保护与粮食和饲料生产之间,存在着很大的权衡。有机系统倾向于尽量减少这种权衡。我们的研究还显示,尽管各种植系统的多功能价值相似,但功能水平却存在差异。田间干预的数量和氮投入是耕作系统多功能性及其基本功能的主要驱动因素。研究结果表明,即使在常规种植系统中,也可以整合特定的管理措施,如减少田间干预和氮肥施用量,以提高多功能性。更广泛地说,我们的工作为进一步研究农业管理如何促进同时提供多种功能(包括社会经济功能)打开了大门。除了对种植系统的多功能性进行评估外,我们的研究还强调了进一步探索管理方法如何影响多种功能的提供及其潜在权衡的必要性。这些知识对于制定可持续种植系统设计的有效策略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling Indigenous small-scale agriculture and food systems in Guatemala - Hybrid Bayesian inference for data-poor regions 危地马拉土著小规模农业和粮食系统建模--针对数据匮乏地区的混合贝叶斯推断法
IF 6.1 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104102
<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><p>Participatory system dynamics modelling is a useful method for characterising agricultural systems and the complex dynamics linking their human and agronomic counterparts that determine their long-term behaviour and sustainability. One challenge facing this use of system dynamics methods, nonetheless, is the scarcity of time-series data for many key variables, which hinders the calibration and validation of these models.</p></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><p>This research proposes a new approach for quantifying difficult-to-quantify relationships within system dynamics models of socio-agricultural systems when temporally scarce but spatially rich data (e.g., survey or census data) is available for many socioeconomic model variables of interest.</p></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><p>We propose a methodology to quantify system dynamics models that uses Bayesian inference over spatially-explicit data from different regions to estimate the shape of relationships between socioeconomic variables, where the diversity of values across a country can serve to compensate for the lack of time-series data in regions of interest. The hierarchical component of the approach allows for the automatic weighting of each site's data according to its degree of similarity to the case study region. This approach was applied to a model of agricultural systems and food security developed in Tz'olöj Ya', and K'iche', Guatemala with two different Indigenous farming communities.</p></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS</h3><p>1) Results indicate that the model performs better in non-study site municipalities that are socioeconomically and environmentally similar to the case study sites than in less similar municipalities (R<sup>2</sup> 0.81–0.98 in the study sites, but <0.5 in many dissimilar regions).</p><p>2) The spatial validation procedure across non-case study municipalities shows that trends in population and child chronic malnutrition are relatively well-represented by the model in similar municipalities (R<sup>2</sup> 0.81–0.99 in case study regions), while forest cover dynamics are much more difficult to generalise across regions (R<sup>2</sup> 0.26–0.87 in case study regions, and worse elsewhere).</p><p>3) The model showed that agricultural system resiliency was best improved not by technological fixes to improve crop productivity, but rather by structural changes to livelihood diversification.</p><p>4) These results were possible due to the hybrid approach used: stakeholder participation was central to the identification of key relationships between agronomic and socioeconomic variables, while Bayesian inference and spatial validation allowed for the assessment of the model's validity and geographical limits.</p></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><p>The new methodology allows for quantification and testing of system dynamics models of agricultural systems that could otherwise not be formally calibrated or validated due to a lack of time-series dat
参与式系统动力学建模是一种有用的方法,可用于描述农业系统的特征,以及决定其长期行为和可持续性的人与农艺对应物之间的复杂动态联系。然而,使用系统动力学方法面临的一个挑战是许多关键变量的时间序列数据稀缺,这阻碍了这些模型的校准和验证。本研究提出了一种新方法,用于量化社会-农业系统的系统动力学模型中难以量化的关系,即当许多相关社会经济模型变量的时间数据稀缺但空间数据丰富(如调查或普查数据)时。我们提出了一种量化系统动力学模型的方法,利用不同地区空间明确数据的贝叶斯推理来估算社会经济变量之间的关系形态,在这种情况下,一个国家数值的多样性可以弥补相关地区时间序列数据的不足。该方法的分层组件允许根据每个站点与案例研究区域的相似程度自动加权每个站点的数据。该方法被应用于危地马拉 Tz'olöj Ya'和 K'iche' 两个不同土著农业社区的农业系统和粮食安全模型。1) 结果表明,该模型在社会经济和环境方面与案例研究地点相似的非研究地点城市中的表现要好于在相似度较低的城市中的表现(研究地点的 R 值为 0.81-0.98,但在许多相似度较低的地区小于 0.5)。新方法可以对农业系统的系统动力学模型进行量化和测试,否则,由于缺乏时间序列数据,就无法对这些模型进行正式校准或验证。
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Agricultural Systems
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