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Green restaurants: An economic assessment of solar photovoltaics and energy storage systems 绿色餐厅:太阳能光伏和能源储存系统的经济评估
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100612
Idiano D'Adamo , Simone Di Leo , Massimo Gastaldi , Anna Chiara Maccallini
The transition to sustainable business models in the catering sector requires the integration of environmental innovation with economic feasibility. Restaurants, as energy-intensive businesses, represent a strategic context for assessing the financial viability of renewable energy technologies. This study evaluates the economic viability of photovoltaic (PV) and battery energy storage (BES) systems in Italy. The analysis evaluates the project under different policy conditions, with and without public incentives (40 % capital deduction on investment costs), and identifies the key factors that influence their profitability. A comprehensive methodology combining financial and sensitivity analysis, scenario analysis, LASSO regression, break-even point and Monte Carlo simulations was applied to assess economic performance and risk. The results show that the PV system is profitable in both contexts, although incentives significantly improve returns: from 425 to 1590 €/kW. Profitability depends mainly on specific production, the cost of purchasing electricity and the percentage of self-consumption. For the BES, profitability only occurs when self-consumption increases by at least 22–25 % with incentives and 30–35 % without them. Overall, the results emphasise that policy support and management strategies to optimise self-consumption are key to ensuring financial profitability. This work enables restaurant owners to identify the variables that most strongly influence the final outcome, helping them mitigate risks and maximise returns, while supporting more informed decisions that contribute to long-term sustainable development.
餐饮业向可持续商业模式的过渡需要将环境创新与经济可行性相结合。餐馆作为能源密集型企业,代表了评估可再生能源技术财务可行性的战略背景。本研究评估了意大利光伏(PV)和电池储能(BES)系统的经济可行性。该分析评估了不同政策条件下的项目,有和没有公共激励(40%的投资成本资本扣除),并确定了影响其盈利能力的关键因素。综合财务和敏感性分析、情景分析、LASSO回归、盈亏平衡点和蒙特卡罗模拟的综合方法被应用于评估经济绩效和风险。结果表明,在这两种情况下,光伏系统都是有利可图的,尽管激励措施显著提高了回报:从425欧元/千瓦到1590欧元/千瓦。盈利能力主要取决于具体产量、购电成本和自用比例。对于BES来说,只有当自我消费在有激励的情况下增加至少22 - 25%,而在没有激励的情况下增加30 - 35%时,才能实现盈利。总体而言,研究结果强调,优化自我消费的政策支持和管理策略是确保财务盈利能力的关键。这项工作使餐馆老板能够识别对最终结果影响最大的变量,帮助他们降低风险并实现回报最大化,同时支持更明智的决策,有助于长期可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to feasible hydrogen production in alkaline water electrolyzers 可行的碱性水电解槽制氢途径
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100620
Adnan Ozden
Renewable-electricity-powered hydrogen production via alkaline water electrolysis provides an efficient route to hydrogen economy. Recent advances in catalysts, membranes, and systems have enhanced the technology’s practicality. This work provides a techno-economic assessment of hydrogen production, offering scenarios that needs to be met toward wide-scale industrial implementation. The work explores the cost implications of critical performance metrics and parameters, including current density, cell voltage, Faradaic efficiency (FE), electricity and water prices, catalyst/membrane and system lifetimes, and electrolyzer cost. The study reveals 15 scenarios that could take the technology a step closer to the DOE’s hydrogen cost targets. The analysis reveals that the economically compelling production of hydrogen requires performance enhancements (particularly voltage reductions), along with lower electricity (<3.6 c kWh−1) and water (<3 $ ton−1) prices, longer catalyst/membrane lifetimes (>13,140 hours), electrolyzer costs (<200 kW−1), and catalyst/membrane costs (<5% of total electrolyzer capital). The work discusses the remaining technical and economic challenges, offering research directions toward marketable electrified hydrogen production.
通过碱性电解水的可再生电力制氢为氢经济提供了一条有效途径。催化剂、膜和系统的最新进展提高了该技术的实用性。这项工作提供了氢生产的技术经济评估,提供了需要满足大规模工业实施的方案。这项工作探讨了关键性能指标和参数的成本影响,包括电流密度、电池电压、法拉第效率(FE)、电价和水价、催化剂/膜和系统寿命以及电解槽成本。该研究揭示了15种情况,可以使该技术更接近美国能源部的氢成本目标。分析显示,经济上引人注目的氢气生产需要性能增强(特别是降低电压),同时降低电力(<;3.6℃千瓦时−1)和水(<;3美元吨−1)价格,延长催化剂/膜寿命(>13,140小时),电解槽成本(<;200千瓦−1),催化剂/膜成本(<;占电解槽总资本的5%)。这项工作讨论了剩余的技术和经济挑战,为市场化的电气化氢生产提供了研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
The role of environmental taxes on the energy use: Evidence from G7 countries 环境税对能源使用的作用:来自G7国家的证据
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2026.100681
Derya Yayman
Reducing non-renewable energy consumption is fundamental for a sustainable environment and development. Assessing the factors that drive energy consumption is vital. This study analyzes the role of environmental taxes (ETAX), per capita gross domestic product (GDP), renewable energy consumption (REC), and environmental technological innovations (ETC) on non-renewable energy consumption (EU) in G7 economies. The study employs Autoregressive AR(1) specifications to account for serial correlation and utilizes heteroskedasticity-resistant Applicable Generalized Least Squares (FGLS) and Panel Adjusted Standard Errors (PCSE) estimators as basic econometric approaches to yield long-run empirical estimates for the period 1995–2021.The study's findings indicate that environmental taxes, environmental technologies, and increased renewable energy consumption negatively affect non-renewable energy consumption and positively affect per capita GDP growth. The study's policy implications emphasize that G-7 countries should reduce their energy consumption, increase energy efficiency, and strengthen their environmental policies.
减少不可再生能源的消耗是可持续环境和发展的基础。评估驱动能源消耗的因素至关重要。本研究分析了环境税(ETAX)、人均国内生产总值(GDP)、可再生能源消费(REC)和环境技术创新(ETC)对G7经济体不可再生能源消费(EU)的作用。该研究采用自回归AR(1)规范来解释序列相关性,并利用抗异方差的适用广义最小二乘(FGLS)和面板调整标准误差(PCSE)估计器作为基本计量经济学方法,得出1995-2021年期间的长期实证估计。研究结果表明,环境税、环境技术和可再生能源消费的增加对不可再生能源消费产生负面影响,对人均GDP增长产生积极影响。该研究的政策含义强调,七国集团应减少能源消耗,提高能源效率,并加强其环境政策。
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引用次数: 0
Harnessing the future of renewable energy: Integrated insights of ocean energy 利用可再生能源的未来:海洋能源的综合见解
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100622
G. Shyamala , Gobinath Ravindran , George Uwadiegwu Alaneme , Ramesh T , Sukumar Dhanapalan
Recently, energy consumption has increased, necessitating higher energy production through various sources. Renewable sources such as solar, wind, and hydroelectric power can complement this demand. Hydropower through surface water can generate sufficient electricity, but their output will be significantly lower than that of the ocean-based energy production. The ocean, a powerful energy source, surpasses other renewables, but requires effective implementation and scaling to reduce carbon emissions and spur economic growth. The challenges include technological maturity, funding, market creation, regulatory issues, environmental concerns, and grid integration. This bibliometric study analyzes trends in citations and publications from 2009 to 2024 using Power BI statistical assessment and text mining tools, including bibliographic coupling of documents, sources, and authors, to explore current and emerging trends in ocean energy. In this study we have adopted a three year block period for analysis. This study investigated ocean energy cost efficiency, wave prediction, extreme weather impacts, and contributions to global electricity for sustainability, observing minor growth in ocean surface kinetic energy and significant increases in potential energy due to sea level rise, while also assessing the efficiency, mechanisms, and challenges of ocean kinetic energy harvesters for marine sensors. Large-scale deployment of ocean energy necessitates careful site selection and research to mitigate the environmental impacts on marine ecosystems and ocean-atmosphere interactions, ensuring sustainable development. Advancing reliable and cost-effective technologies, such as WECs, OTECs, and tidal energy, while overcoming the challenges of biofouling, corrosion, and scaling, is crucial for the future of ocean energy and it’s widespread commercial sustainability.
最近,能源消耗增加,需要通过各种途径提高能源产量。太阳能、风能和水力发电等可再生能源可以补充这一需求。通过地表水发电可以产生足够的电力,但其发电量将明显低于基于海洋的能源生产。海洋是一种强大的能源来源,超过其他可再生能源,但需要有效实施和扩大规模,以减少碳排放并刺激经济增长。挑战包括技术成熟度、资金、市场创造、监管问题、环境问题和电网整合。本文献计量学研究使用Power BI统计评估和文本挖掘工具,分析了2009年至2024年的引文和出版物趋势,包括文献、来源和作者的书目耦合,以探索当前和新兴的海洋能源趋势。在这项研究中,我们采用了三年的块期进行分析。本研究调查了海洋能源的成本效率、海浪预测、极端天气影响以及对全球电力可持续发展的贡献,观察了海平面上升导致的海洋表面动能的小幅增长和势能的显著增加,同时还评估了用于海洋传感器的海洋动能收集器的效率、机制和挑战。大规模部署海洋能需要仔细的选址和研究,以减轻对海洋生态系统和海洋-大气相互作用的环境影响,确保可持续发展。推进可靠且具有成本效益的技术,如WECs、otec和潮汐能,同时克服生物污染、腐蚀和结垢的挑战,对海洋能源的未来及其广泛的商业可持续性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Consequences on energy and water exchanges of airflow modifications in agrivoltaic systems 农业发电系统中气流变化对能量和水交换的影响
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2026.100680
Joseph Vernier , Junni Luo , Jordi Badosa , Eric Dupont , Aurelien Faucheux , Patrick Massin
While solar radiation is essential for plant development, overexposure can exacerbate abiotic stresses, making soil water content the key driver affecting plant growth. Agrivoltaic (APV) systems, defined as a land sharing between agricultural and photovoltaic (PV) energy productions, reframe the balance between beneficial and excessive solar exposure. Notably, APV systems have demonstrated, in some configurations, their capability to enhance agricultural yield by better conserving water in the soil. This study aims to deepen our understanding of evapotranspiration in APV configurations to better assess their impact on plant growth. It relies on data collected from three sonic anemometers installed at the SIRTA APV power plant in France, which provide the first measurements of wind speed and turbulent fluxes within an APV system. These observations reveal consistently lower wind speeds beneath PV panel compared to control areas without panels, while turbulence levels are notably higher. To complement these measurements, Computational Fluid Dynamics simulations are performed using an implicit PV panel model and a Soil–Plant–Atmosphere Continuum representation of vegetation, both integrated into the solver code_saturne. These simulations offer valuable insights into the spatial heterogeneity of energy and water exchanges within APV systems: the gradients of the turbulent fluxes are higher than unity. These findings challenge current evapotranspiration calculation methods which assume: (1) field homogeneity, (2) well-defined relationship between wind speed and turbulence, and (3) a consistent link between measurements taken at a reference height and exchanges occurring at the canopy top.
虽然太阳辐射对植物发育至关重要,但过度暴露会加剧非生物胁迫,使土壤含水量成为影响植物生长的关键驱动因素。农业光伏(APV)系统被定义为农业和光伏(PV)能源生产之间的土地共享,重新构建了有益和过度太阳能暴露之间的平衡。值得注意的是,在一些配置中,APV系统已经证明了它们通过更好地保持土壤中的水分来提高农业产量的能力。本研究旨在加深我们对APV配置中蒸散量的认识,以便更好地评估其对植物生长的影响。它依赖于安装在法国SIRTA APV发电厂的三个音速风速计收集的数据,这些风速计提供了APV系统内风速和湍流通量的首次测量。这些观测结果显示,与没有电池板的控制区相比,光伏电池板下的风速始终较低,而湍流水平明显较高。为了补充这些测量,使用隐式PV面板模型和植被的土壤-植物-大气连续体表示进行计算流体动力学模拟,两者都集成到求解器code_saturne中。这些模拟为研究APV系统内能量和水交换的空间异质性提供了有价值的见解:湍流通量的梯度大于单位。这些发现挑战了目前的蒸散发计算方法,这些方法假设:(1)场均匀性;(2)风速和湍流之间定义明确的关系;(3)在参考高度进行的测量与冠层顶部发生的交换之间存在一致的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Supercritical Methanol Transesterification for Simultaneous Biodiesel Production Based on Cir-ULIF-MABAC-TOPSIS Model with Hamacher Norms 基于cir - ulf - mabac - topsis模型的同时生产生物柴油的超临界甲醇酯交换
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2026.100667
Hamza Zafar , Zeeshan Ali , Bo Hsiao , Sarbast Moslem , Tapan Senapati
Supercritical methanol transesterification is a well-established and efficient process that produces biodiesel by reacting methanol with triglycerides under extreme temperature and pressure conditions. Supercritical methanol transesterification is particularly valuable because it enables continuous conversion of free fatty acids and triglycerides into biodiesel, reducing the need to pre-treat waste and low-quality oils. For assessing supercritical methanol transesterification for simultaneous biodiesel production, we consider five processes: enzymatic transesterification, algal biofuel production, anaerobic digestion, hydro-treated vegetable oil, and biomass pyrolysis. But the main problem is that we don’t know which one is suitable for supercritical methanol transesterification for simultaneous biodiesel production. To this end, we design a model of Circular Uncertain Linguistic Intuitionistic Fuzzy Multi-Attribute Border Approximation Area Comparison-Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution based on Hamacher theory. Finally, we compare our ranking models with prevailing ranking techniques using numerical examples to demonstrate the superiority and validity of the designed approaches. Despite these problems and challenges, our methods and models improve the efficiency of the procedure, reduce costs, and enhance the capability of supercritical methanol transesterification for sustainable large-scale biodiesel production.
超临界甲醇酯交换反应是在极端温度和压力条件下通过甲醇与甘油三酯反应生产生物柴油的一种成熟而高效的工艺。超临界甲醇酯交换特别有价值,因为它可以将游离脂肪酸和甘油三酯连续转化为生物柴油,减少了预处理废物和低质量油的需要。为了评估同时生产生物柴油的超临界甲醇酯交换,我们考虑了五个过程:酶酯交换、藻类生物燃料生产、厌氧消化、加氢处理植物油和生物质热解。但主要的问题是,我们不知道哪一种适合用于超临界甲醇酯交换同时生产生物柴油。为此,我们设计了一种基于Hamacher理论的圆形不确定语言直觉模糊多属性边界近似区域比较-理想解相似性排序偏好技术模型。最后,我们用数值算例将我们的排序模型与主流的排序技术进行了比较,以证明所设计方法的优越性和有效性。尽管存在这些问题和挑战,但我们的方法和模型提高了工艺效率,降低了成本,增强了超临界甲醇酯交换技术可持续大规模生产生物柴油的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Nature and technology nexus for photovoltaic systems: nature impacts, advanced external techniques, nature-inspired solutions, and sustainability strategies 光伏系统的自然与技术关系:自然影响、先进的外部技术、自然启发的解决方案和可持续性策略
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2026.100675
Yasir Ali Bhutto , A.K. Pandey , R. Saidur , Mukhtiar Ahmed Mahar , Anas Islam , Zafar Said
The Photovoltaic (PV) system has attracted significant research attention because of its renewable attributes, quiet operation, and simple installation. Nonetheless, the whole potential of PV technology remains unrealised due to many external obstacles. This requires a comprehensive evaluation to determine the effects of external factors on PV and external technological solutions, which could guide future research endeavours. This review integrates three essential dimensions: the impact of environmental factors on PV systems, advanced technological solutions—including biomimetic approaches—for improving energy efficiency, and a critical evaluation of PV sustainability in relation to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The review offers a comprehensive examination of natural elements, including wind, humidity, temperature, and Earth's rotation, which may impair PV performance, alongside the beneficial and detrimental environmental effects of PV systems. In addition, the review investigates advanced technological alternatives for enhancing energy performance in conjunction with nature-inspired advances. Further, the study reviewed PV system sustainability challenges, assessed SDGs alignment, and explored sustainable methods to reduce environmental consequences. The PV systems exert positive impacts on the environment by diminishing fossil fuel consumption while also presenting adverse consequences such as deforestation, environmental disruption, and the utilization of hazardous chemicals in the manufacturing process. Furthermore, the nature-inspired methods, along with superior external approaches, improved the energy performance of PV modules. Moreover, the PV system is pivotal in attaining SDGs, enabling secure and sustainable future energy. Therefore, in future, sustainability strategy frameworks for PV systems must be established to address sustainability concerns.
光伏(PV)系统以其可再生特性、运行安静、安装简单等优点引起了广泛的研究关注。尽管如此,由于许多外部障碍,光伏技术的全部潜力仍未实现。这需要进行全面评价,以确定外部因素对光伏和外部技术解决办法的影响,这可以指导今后的研究工作。本综述整合了三个基本维度:环境因素对光伏系统的影响,用于提高能源效率的先进技术解决方案(包括仿生方法),以及与可持续发展目标(SDGs)相关的光伏可持续性的关键评估。该综述提供了对自然因素的全面研究,包括风、湿度、温度和地球自转,这些因素可能会影响光伏系统的性能,以及光伏系统对环境的有益和有害影响。此外,本报告还研究了与自然启发的进步相结合的提高能源性能的先进技术替代方案。此外,该研究回顾了光伏系统的可持续性挑战,评估了可持续发展目标的一致性,并探索了减少环境后果的可持续方法。光伏系统通过减少化石燃料的消耗对环境产生积极影响,同时也带来了不利后果,如森林砍伐、环境破坏和在制造过程中使用危险化学品。此外,受自然启发的方法,以及优越的外部方法,提高了光伏模块的能源性能。此外,光伏系统对于实现可持续发展目标,实现安全和可持续的未来能源至关重要。因此,在未来,必须建立光伏系统的可持续发展战略框架,以解决可持续性问题。
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引用次数: 0
The algal carbon diet: Repurposing volatile fatty acids into sustainable lipids 藻类碳饮食:将挥发性脂肪酸转化为可持续的脂质
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2026.100677
Eshet Lakew Tesfaye , Pannaga Pavan Jutur , Amha Belay , Tadele Assefa Aragaw
Volatile fatty acids (VFAs) generated through dark fermentation (DF) are emerging as a sustainable and cost-effective carbon source for microalgae cultivation and for the production of sustainable lipids and/or biodiesel within the circular bioeconomy framework. The current review examines the effects of the combined VFAs derived from real wastes on the growth performance and lipid accumulation of various microalgae strains. This understanding is critical for maximizing lipid productivity using microalgae. This review synthesizes current research on the role of VFAs in enhancing lipid accumulation for sustainable biodiesel production. Effective treatment strategies for organic waste are crucial for improving hydrolysis efficiency and producing high VFAs in the DF. Therefore, the review discusses the current emerging pretreatment methods, considered as advanced, hybrid, or process-intensification pretreatments for enhancing VFA production, relevant to the sustainable microalgae cultivation. Similarly, the environmental variables that affect VFA production, namely, temperature and pH, are elaborated. Additionally, this study underscores the advancements and role of CRISPR/Cas9 applications for genetically modifying and improving lipid content in microalgae. Furthermore, the review discusses the importance of integrating VFA-producing industries with microalgae cultivation systems to promote sustainable waste valorization and advance biofuel production in the future. The results of this review article reveal that researchers have used freshwater microalgae to produce lipids. Therefore, further research should be carried out on the lipid and/or biodiesel production potential of marine microalgae as well. In conclusion, identifying novel freshwater and marine microalgae species from diverse and underexplored aquatic environments, including lakes, rivers, wetlands, coastal waters, estuaries, and extreme habitats, and scaling up their lipid and/or biodiesel production are essential for developing sustainable alternatives to finite energy resources and for environmental protection.
通过暗发酵(DF)产生的挥发性脂肪酸(VFAs)正在成为微藻培养和循环生物经济框架内可持续生产脂质和/或生物柴油的可持续和具有成本效益的碳源。本文研究了来自真实废物的复合VFAs对不同微藻菌株生长性能和脂质积累的影响。这种理解对于利用微藻最大限度地提高脂质产量至关重要。本文综述了VFAs在促进生物柴油可持续生产中脂质积累方面的研究进展。有效的有机废物处理策略是提高水解效率和生产高VFAs的关键。因此,本文综述了目前新兴的预处理方法,包括先进的、混合的或过程强化的预处理方法,以提高VFA的产量,与微藻的可持续培养有关。同样,也阐述了影响VFA生产的环境变量,即温度和pH值。此外,本研究强调了CRISPR/Cas9在微藻基因修饰和提高脂质含量方面的应用进展和作用。此外,本文还讨论了将vfa生产产业与微藻培养系统相结合对促进废物可持续增值和未来生物燃料生产的重要性。这篇综述的结果表明,研究人员利用淡水微藻生产脂质。因此,还应进一步研究海洋微藻生产脂质和/或生物柴油的潜力。总之,从湖泊、河流、湿地、沿海水域、河口和极端生境等不同和未开发的水生环境中发现新的淡水和海洋微藻物种,并扩大其脂质和/或生物柴油的生产,对于开发有限能源的可持续替代品和环境保护至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
An engineering perspective on climate change: Mitigation or adaptation? 从工程角度看气候变化:减缓还是适应?
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2026.100646
Alberto Traverso
Most of the Nations are currently undergoing a deep transformation of the existing energy, water and production infrastructure, including both power and heat generation as well as mobility systems, targeting a global decarbonization and reduction of fossil fuel utilization, fostering the adoption of renewable energy sources coupled to energy storage solutions. Such strategies are mainly based on climate change assessment and predictions carried out by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which require a wide-spectrum of actions on most of society activities and use of resources (fuels, water, food, materials). However, the scientific basis of such strategies, related to climate change modelling, are subject to uncertainty, like any quantitative analysis. In this article, a common engineering approach to time-dependent thermal modelling and publicly available datasets are employed for a twofold objective: first, trying to resume the overall reliability that can be expected on climate change modelling at global scale in the long-run, and, second, resuming the current status of CO2 emissions linked to fossil fuel exploitation and future reserves. Results stress the current need of deep ocean water temperature data with sufficient accuracy for surface climate predictions, given the seawater thermal capacitance, which is higher by three orders of magnitude than the gaseous atmospheric thermal capacitance. The engineering-based Earth thermal response model presented here allowed to estimate the climate time constant in ∼67 years for long-term transients. Such evidence coupled with the observation of the large fossil fuel availability, brought to the pragmatic conclusion that worldwide efforts should be mainly devoted to climate change adaptation actions, rather than mitigation actions, with founded belief that the future climate change, in terms of global temperature increase, might be less severe than generally recognized, and that higher atmospheric CO2 concentrations will keep sustaining the increased vegetation growth, with social benefits partially compensating the climate change impacts.
大多数国家目前正在对现有的能源、水和生产基础设施进行深度改造,包括发电和供热以及移动系统,目标是全球脱碳和减少化石燃料的利用,促进采用与能源储存解决方案相结合的可再生能源。这种战略主要基于政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)进行的气候变化评估和预测,这需要对大多数社会活动和资源(燃料、水、粮食、材料)的使用采取广泛的行动。然而,与气候变化模拟有关的这种战略的科学基础,与任何定量分析一样,都具有不确定性。在本文中,采用一种基于时间的热建模和公开可用数据集的通用工程方法来实现两个目标:首先,试图恢复长期全球尺度气候变化建模的整体可靠性;其次,恢复与化石燃料开采和未来储量相关的二氧化碳排放的当前状态。结果强调,考虑到海水热电容比气态大气热电容高出三个数量级,目前需要具有足够精度的深海水温数据来进行地表气候预测。本文提出的基于工程的地球热响应模型可以估计长期瞬变的~ 67年的气候时间常数。这些证据加上对大量化石燃料可得性的观察,得出了一个务实的结论,即全世界的努力应主要致力于气候变化适应行动,而不是缓解行动,因为有根据的信念是,就全球温度升高而言,未来气候变化的严重程度可能没有普遍认识的那么严重,大气中较高的二氧化碳浓度将继续维持不断增加的植被生长。社会效益部分补偿了气候变化的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization design and techno-economic assessment of integrated solar photovoltaic thermal systems for modern agricultural greenhouses 现代农业大棚太阳能光伏一体化热系统优化设计及技术经济评价
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100627
Yitong Liu , Chao Zhou , Ahmad Riaz
Amid intensifying global climate change and a deepening energy crisis, the high energy consumption of agricultural greenhouses has become increasingly problematic. To address this issue and enhance environmental control within modern agricultural greenhouses, this study proposes an optimized design for a solar photovoltaic thermal (PVT) integrated system tailored for northern solar greenhouses. This design aims to achieve greenhouse energy self-sufficiency and promote sustainable agricultural development. The study outlines a system optimization methodology and a PVT unit layout strategy. This strategy includes double-sided placement on both interior and exterior surfaces of the bilateral gable walls, the use of adjustable racks on the rear wall, and the configuration of an internal heat dissipation system within the greenhouse. These measures collectively enhance the system's year-round comprehensive energy utilization efficiency. Using a typical solar greenhouse case in Shouguang City, Shandong Province, a system performance evaluation model is established. Theoretical analysis indicates that the system generates 35,422 kWh of electricity and 208,945 MJ of heat annually. This achieves an electrical energy self-sufficiency rate of 130.9 % and a thermal energy self-sufficiency rate of 139.4 %, effectively resolving the seasonal mismatch between energy supply and demand in the greenhouse. Comprehensive techno-economic analysis shows a total system investment of approximately CNY 172,300. The static investment payback period is 6.25 years, while accounting for equipment performance degradation yields a dynamic payback period of 9.1 years and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 10.6 %, demonstrating sound economic feasibility. Sensitivity analysis identifies initial investment costs and electricity price fluctuations as key factors influencing system economics. Environmental benefit assessment reveals that the system can displace 17.4 tons of standard coal annually, reducing CO₂ emissions by approximately 45.5 tons. Over a projected 25-year operational lifespan, cumulative CO₂ emission reductions are estimated at approximately 1139 tons. This study provides a technically viable, economically feasible, and environmentally friendly solution to the high energy consumption challenge of agricultural greenhouses, demonstrating significant practical value for advancing sustainable agriculture and optimizing energy structures.
随着全球气候变化的加剧和能源危机的加深,农业大棚的高能耗问题日益突出。为了解决这一问题,加强现代农业大棚的环境控制,本研究提出了一种针对北方太阳能大棚的太阳能光伏热(PVT)集成系统的优化设计。本设计旨在实现温室能源自给,促进农业可持续发展。该研究概述了系统优化方法和PVT单元布局策略。该策略包括在两侧山墙的内外两面放置,在后墙上使用可调节的机架,以及在温室内配置内部散热系统。这些措施共同提高了系统全年的综合能源利用效率。以山东省寿光市日光温室为例,建立了系统性能评价模型。理论分析表明,该系统年发电量35422千瓦时,年发热量208945兆焦耳。实现了电能自给率130.9%、热能自给率139.4%,有效解决了温室能源供需季节性不匹配的问题。综合技术经济分析,系统总投资约17.23万元。静态投资回收期为6.25年,而考虑设备性能退化的动态投资回收期为9.1年,内部收益率(IRR)为10.6%,证明了良好的经济可行性。敏感性分析表明,初始投资成本和电价波动是影响系统经济性的关键因素。环境效益评价结果显示,该系统每年可替代17.4吨标准煤,减少二氧化碳排放量约45.5吨。在预计的25年运行寿命中,累计减少的CO₂排放量估计约为1139吨。本研究为农业大棚高能耗挑战提供了技术上可行、经济上可行、环境友好的解决方案,对推进农业可持续发展和优化能源结构具有重要的实用价值。
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Energy nexus
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