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Capturing methane in a barn environment: The CH4 Livestock Emission (CH4rLiE) project 在谷仓环境中捕获甲烷:CH4牲畜排放(CH4rLiE)项目
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100604
Francesco Alessandro Angiulli , Chiara Aimè , Maria Cristina Arena , Davide Biagini , Alessandro Braghieri , Matteo Brunoldi , Simone Calzaferri , Elio Dinuccio , Daniele Dondi , Linda Finco , Roberto Guida , Nithish Kumar Kameswaran , Beatrice Mandelli , Paolo Montagna , Cristina Riccardi , Paola Salvini , Alessandro Tamigio , Ilaria Vai , Dhanalakshmi Vadivel , Riccardo Verna , Paolo Vitulo
The CH4 Livestock Emission (CH4rLiE) project explores the development of a prototype system for capturing methane emissions in barn environments, offering an alternative approach to mitigating greenhouse gas emissions from livestock farming. Methane (CH4), with a global warming potential significantly higher than CO2 (GWP100 = 27), accounts for 23% of anthropogenic climate impact. In 2021, The Assessment Report 6 of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change quantified CH4 livestock emissions in 123 Mt/yr, which, together with substantial N2O and CO2 emissions, contributed with a 12% to global emissions. Unlike strategies focused on altering animal feed, CH4rLiE investigates post-emission capture using porous materials, such as zeolites, to adsorb methane from barn air. The project draws on CERN’s experience with gas recovery systems for particle detectors, adapting similar technologies to agricultural settings. Preliminary estimates, based on measured CH4 concentrations (20 mg/m3) and partial air filtration in a 250-animal barn, suggest a low but detectable recovery potential, subject to validation through simulation and in-situ testing. Prototype development considers the potential for energy-efficient operation – possibly through pressure swing regeneration – and compatibility with existing ventilation infrastructure, though these aspects remain under evaluation. If methane concentrations in barns prove too diluted, the system may be better suited for environments with higher gas levels, such as pigsties or landfills. NH3 capture for fertilizer production is planned as a future enhancement. CH4rLiE aims to assess the feasibility of emission recovery in livestock settings without affecting animal welfare, contributing to sustainable farming practices, resource efficiency, and circular bioeconomy goals.
CH4牲畜排放(CH4rLiE)项目探索了一种捕获畜舍环境中甲烷排放的原型系统的开发,为减少畜牧业温室气体排放提供了一种替代方法。甲烷(CH4)的全球变暖潜势显著高于二氧化碳(GWP100 = 27),占人为气候影响的约23%。2021年,政府间气候变化专门委员会的评估报告6将牲畜甲烷排放量量化为1.23亿吨/年,与大量的一氧化二氮和二氧化碳排放一起,占全球排放量的12%。与专注于改变动物饲料的策略不同,CH4rLiE研究了利用多孔材料(如沸石)从谷仓空气中吸附甲烷的排放后捕获。该项目借鉴了欧洲核子研究中心在粒子探测器气体回收系统方面的经验,将类似的技术应用于农业环境。根据测量的CH4浓度(~ 20 mg/m3)和在250只牲畜的畜棚中进行部分空气过滤的初步估计,表明回收潜力低,但可检测到,需要通过模拟和现场测试进行验证。原型开发考虑了节能操作的潜力-可能通过压力变化再生-以及与现有通风基础设施的兼容性,尽管这些方面仍在评估中。如果谷仓中的甲烷浓度被证明过于稀释,那么该系统可能更适合于气体浓度较高的环境,如猪圈或垃圾填埋场。用于肥料生产的NH3捕获计划作为未来的增强。CH4rLiE旨在评估在不影响动物福利的情况下,在畜牧业环境中回收排放的可行性,为可持续农业实践、资源效率和循环生物经济目标做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Potential integration scenarios of low carbon intensity hydrogen in the corn ethanol biofuel value chain in the United States 低碳强度氢在美国玉米乙醇生物燃料价值链中的潜在整合方案
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100596
Edna Rodriguez Calzado , Mariam Arzumanyan, Ning Lin
This paper examines the environmental and logistical implications of incorporating low-carbon intensity hydrogen (LCIH) into the U.S. ethanol production and transportation value chain. We used geospatial analysis, Life Cycle Assessment with GREET 2023, financial analysis with H2A-Lite, and the Heavy-Duty Refueling Station Analysis Model to quantify integration trade-offs. Our findings indicate that the total refueling cost of Hydrogen fuel cell heavy-duty trucks ranges from $5.78 – $12.00 per kg of hydrogen, translating to $1.04 – $1.61 per mile distance traveled, compared to $0.63 for diesel trucks.
emissions per mile can be reduced to 0.14 – 0.40 kg, down from 1.36 kg with diesel trucks. To facilitate early adoption, we identified 70 refueling station locations in the Midwest, prioritizing proximity to ethanol plants, bulk terminals, and highway intersections, with capital investments varying from $46 – $81 million. Stable demand for hydrogen within the ethanol value chain can drive economies of scale and advance infrastructure development.
本文研究了将低碳强度氢(LCIH)纳入美国乙醇生产和运输价值链的环境和物流影响。我们使用地理空间分析、GREET 2023生命周期评估、H2A-Lite财务分析和重型加气站分析模型来量化集成权衡。我们的研究结果表明,氢燃料电池重型卡车的总加油成本在每公斤氢5.78 - 12.00美元之间,换算成每英里行驶距离1.04 - 1.61美元,而柴油卡车的总加油成本为0.63美元。每英里的排放量可以从柴油卡车的1.36公斤降至0.14 - 0.40公斤。为了促进早期采用,我们在中西部地区确定了70个加油站地点,优先考虑靠近乙醇工厂、散货码头和高速公路十字路口,资本投资从4600万美元到8100万美元不等。乙醇价值链内对氢的稳定需求可以推动规模经济并推进基础设施发展。
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引用次数: 0
Toward integrated crop and building simulation for controlled environment agriculture using EnergyPlus 利用EnergyPlus实现可控环境农业的作物和建筑综合模拟
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100592
Gilbert Larochelle Martin , Danielle Monfet
This paper presents an approach for integrating crop modelling into building performance simulation (BPS) of controlled environment agriculture (CEA) spaces. A comprehensive review of recent literature on CEA energy modelling using building performance simulation (BPS) software highlighted the need for such integrated capabilities. Leveraging EnergyPlus and the Python application programming interface (API), the proposed approach estimates the hygrothermal (sensible and latent) loads within CEA spaces by applying a fixed-point iteration root-finding algorithm based on the crop-level energy balance. The implementation was verified using data from the literature, enhancing the applicability of BPS tools for simulating the unique environmental conditions of CEA spaces.
本文提出了一种将作物模型集成到受控环境农业(CEA)空间建筑性能仿真(BPS)中的方法。对使用建筑性能模拟(BPS)软件的CEA能源建模的最新文献进行了全面回顾,强调了对这种集成能力的需求。利用EnergyPlus和Python应用程序编程接口(API),该方法通过应用基于作物水平能量平衡的定点迭代寻根算法来估计CEA空间内的湿热(敏感和潜在)负荷。使用文献中的数据验证了该实现,增强了BPS工具在模拟CEA空间独特环境条件方面的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Bibliometric analysis of artificial intelligence applied to waste-to-syngas 人工智能在废物制合成气中的应用文献计量学分析
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100581
Aleix Fornieles , Maddi Etxegarai , Daniel Gibert , Jordi Planes
The use of Artificial Intelligence techniques has grown rapidly in the field of waste-to- energy, with gasification processes benefiting from their ability to model and optimize syngas production. However, literature specifically focused on Artificial Intelligence applications in waste-to-syngas systems remains fragmented. This article presents a bibliometric analysis that maps the development of Artificial Intelligence driven research in this domain, focusing mainly on prediction tasks. The analysis is based on data extracted from Scopus and Web of Science, filtered through specific criteria to ensure relevance. Results show a clear rise in publications since 2020, with a dominant contribution from China and a strong focus on hydrogen prediction and neural network models. Despite the progress, this study highlights major gaps in real-time control strategies, data standardization, and industrial-scale implementation. These findings point to emerging opportunities in hybrid modeling, explainable Artificial Intelligence, and underexplored feedstocks should guide future research efforts.
人工智能技术在废物转化能源领域的应用迅速发展,气化过程受益于人工智能建模和优化合成气生产的能力。然而,专门关注人工智能在废物制合成气系统中的应用的文献仍然零散。本文提出了一个文献计量分析,描绘了人工智能驱动的研究在这一领域的发展,主要集中在预测任务。该分析基于从Scopus和Web of Science中提取的数据,并通过特定标准过滤以确保相关性。结果显示,自2020年以来,这方面的出版物明显增加,其中中国的贡献占主导地位,并且重点关注氢预测和神经网络模型。尽管取得了进展,但本研究强调了实时控制策略、数据标准化和工业规模实施方面的主要差距。这些发现表明,混合建模、可解释的人工智能和未充分开发的原料方面的新兴机会应该指导未来的研究工作。
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引用次数: 0
Thermochemical and elemental characterization of aromatic seed residues for solid biofuel applications in a circular economy context 在循环经济背景下用于固体生物燃料应用的芳香种子残留物的热化学和元素表征
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100594
Pablo Roig-Madrid , Miguel Carmona-Cabello , Alberto-Jesus Perea-Moreno , M.P. Dorado , David Muñoz-Rodriguez
Aromatic seed waste (ASW) has high valorisation potential due to their rich composition. Biorefineries can optimize ASW by extracting valuable aromatic compounds through pyrolysis and gasification, reducing waste and promoting sustainability. This study explores the thermal valorisation of 16 different aromatic seed residues, assessing their potential as a solid fuel and in pyrolysis. Characterization following ISO 18,122 standards showed a moisture content below 10 % (w/w), while ash content varied between 3.13 % and 18.80 % (w/w), exceeding normative limits in some cases. The higher heating value (HHV) ranged from 13.55 to 20.31 MJ/kg, similar to woody and other herbaceous biomass, with higher-density benefits for handling and storage. Thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) identified two main degradation stages: 30–250 °C, linked to simple carbohydrate decomposition, and 250–500 °C, associated with lignocellulose breakdown. These variations impact combustion and pyrolysis performance. Elemental analysis revealed an H/C ratio between 1.58 and 1.90, when this is greater than 1.7, it indicates better heating value in combustion processes and better bio-oil quality in pyrolysis processes. Volatile content of about 70 % (w/w), these results show a sufficiently high volatile matter content, similar to that of other biomasses, which would improve ignition at low temperatures, making combustion more efficient. This property favours bio-oil production, yielding a product rich in aromatics. The results highlight ASW’s potential as a renewable energy source and its suitability for thermal conversion processes.
芳香种子废弃物因其丰富的成分而具有很高的增值潜力。生物精炼厂可以通过热解和气化提取有价值的芳香族化合物,从而优化ASW,减少浪费,促进可持续性。本研究探讨了16种不同芳香种子残留物的热增值,评估了它们作为固体燃料和热解的潜力。按照ISO 18122标准进行表征,水分含量低于10% (w/w),而灰分含量在3.13%至18.80% (w/w)之间变化,在某些情况下超过了标准限制。较高的热值(HHV)范围为13.55 ~ 20.31 MJ/kg,与木质和其他草本生物质相似,具有更高的密度效益,便于搬运和储存。热重分析(TGA)确定了两个主要的降解阶段:30-250°C,与简单碳水化合物分解有关,250-500°C,与木质纤维素分解有关。这些变化会影响燃烧和热解性能。元素分析表明,H/C比值在1.58 ~ 1.90之间,当H/C比值大于1.7时,表明燃烧过程的热值较好,热解过程的生物油质量较好。挥发分含量约为70% (w/w),这些结果表明挥发分含量足够高,与其他生物质相似,这将改善低温下的点火,使燃烧效率更高。这种特性有利于生物油的生产,生产出富含芳烃的产品。结果突出了ASW作为可再生能源的潜力及其在热转换过程中的适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Schiff base-assisted hydrothermal synthesis and characterization of manganese vanadate with varying phase purity nanostructures as efficient electrode materials for electrochemical hydrogen storage applications 希夫碱辅助水热合成不同相纯度纳米结构钒酸锰及其电化学储氢电极材料的表征
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100597
Poria Gomrokchi , Maryam Ghiyasiyan-Arani , Elmuez A. Dawi , Aseel M. Aljeboree , Forat H. Alsultany , Mehdi Shabani-Nooshabadi , Masoud Salavati-Niasari
Hydrothermal manufacturing of manganese vanadate nanostructures in the presence of ligand as capping agent which employed as electrode materials with custom form was achieved. Different settings produced samples with different content, phase purity and shape. Structural properties investigated by XRD, FT-IR, EDX, FE-SEM, TEM and BET. Activity of electrode materials with various phase purities was compared using the charge-discharge test. The manufactured Mn(VO3)2 (MV2) shows a capacity of 507 mAhg-1 after 20 cycles at a current density of 1 mA. Other synthesized samples MV3 and MV4 with phase content of Mn2V2O7 and Mn(VO3)2 represents capacity in maximum level (20th cycle) 250 and 435 mAhg-1, respectively. So, sample MV2 shows higher electrochemical hydrogen storage capacity which synthesized by assembling nanoparticles to form of small sheets.
在配体作为盖层剂的条件下,水热法制备了钒酸锰纳米结构,并将其作为定制形状的电极材料。不同的设置产生的样品具有不同的含量、相纯度和形状。通过XRD、FT-IR、EDX、FE-SEM、TEM和BET等手段研究了其结构性能。采用充放电试验对不同相纯度电极材料的活性进行了比较。制备的Mn(VO3)2 (MV2)在电流密度为1ma的情况下,经过20次循环后的容量为507 mAhg-1。其他合成样品MV3和MV4的相含量分别为Mn2V2O7和Mn(VO3)2,最大容量(第20循环)分别为250和435 mAhg-1。因此,通过将纳米颗粒组装成小薄片而合成的样品MV2具有更高的电化学储氢能力。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain based on proof-of-work consensus algorithm: Evolution and future potential 基于工作量证明共识算法的区块链:进化和未来潜力
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100577
Yehia Ibrahim Alzoubi , Alok Mishra , Ali Aljaafreh
The Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus algorithm has been a foundational element of blockchain technology, designed to establish decentralized security, enable trustless transactions, and ensure tamper-proof record-keeping. Despite the emergence of various other consensus algorithms, PoW remains widely adopted, though it has been criticized for its high resource consumption and inefficiency. Over the past five years, PoW has remained the focus of numerous studies, underscoring its ongoing relevance. Given its sustained use, it is important to examine both the current state and prospects of PoW. This study conducts a thorough literature review of publications indexed in Scopus up to July 2025, tracing the evolution of PoW and its potential trajectory. The analysis indicates that PoW is likely to continue its prominence, particularly in public blockchain applications, in the foreseeable future. However, it's important to note that this study is limited by the availability of research in commonly accessed databases at the time of writing. Future investigations could expand the scope by incorporating additional databases and leveraging the latest developments in this rapidly evolving field.
工作量证明(PoW)共识算法一直是区块链技术的基础元素,旨在建立分散的安全性,实现无需信任的交易,并确保防篡改记录保存。尽管出现了各种其他共识算法,PoW仍然被广泛采用,尽管它因其高资源消耗和低效率而受到批评。在过去的五年中,战俘问题一直是众多研究的焦点,强调了其持续的相关性。鉴于其持续使用,检查PoW的现状和前景是很重要的。本研究对截至2025年7月Scopus收录的出版物进行了全面的文献综述,追踪了PoW的演变及其潜在轨迹。分析表明,在可预见的未来,PoW很可能继续发挥其突出作用,特别是在公共区块链应用程序中。然而,重要的是要注意,在撰写本文时,本研究受到常用访问数据库中研究的可用性的限制。今后的调查可以通过纳入更多的数据库和利用这一迅速发展领域的最新发展来扩大范围。
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引用次数: 0
Electric field-assisted freeze desalination: Effects on ion transport, water structure, and ice growth rates 电场辅助冷冻脱盐:对离子传输、水结构和冰生长速率的影响
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100585
Khadije El Kadi , Sohail Murad , Isam Janajreh
Freeze desalination (FD) has emerged as a promising low-energy alternative to conventional desalination methods, particularly in cold or renewable-energy-integrated environments. However, its efficiency is often hindered by incomplete salt rejection and limited control over crystallization kinetics. This work investigates the influence of an externally applied static electric field on ion transport and ice growth dynamics in saline systems, using molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. Pure water and two saline solution models were explored: a binary NaCl–water system and a multicomponent seawater system containing Na⁺, Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, and K⁺, both at an overall salinity of 45 g/L. Under isothermal, no phase change conditions, electric fields enhanced diffusivity via drift and partially aligned water dipoles along the direction of the field, particularly at field strengths exceeding the thermal energy threshold (kBT). At high field strengths (i.e., E ≥ 0.03 V/Å), the diffusivity of Na⁺ in the multicomponent system surpassed that in the binary system due to disrupted Na+-SO42− ion pairing. Ice crystallization analysis of the binary NaCl-water system revealed that electric fields improve salt rejection rates from 88.7 % at no-field to 97 % at 0.03 V/Å, without significantly suppressing crystal growth rates. A dimensionless diffusion metric confirmed that field-induced ion transport dominates over crystallization-driven separation. These findings demonstrate how electric fields can be tuned to enhance FD efficiency, offering broader potential for field-assisted separation technologies.
冷冻脱盐(FD)已成为传统脱盐方法的一种有前途的低能耗替代方法,特别是在寒冷或可再生能源综合环境中。然而,它的效率往往受到不完全的盐排斥和对结晶动力学控制的限制。本研究利用分子动力学(MD)模拟研究了外部外加静电场对盐水系统中离子传输和冰生长动力学的影响。探索了纯水和两种盐水溶液模型:二元nacl -水体系和包含Na +、Cl⁻、SO₄²⁻、Mg 2 +、Ca 2 +和K +的多组分海水体系,总盐度均为45 g/L。在等温、无相变条件下,电场通过漂移和沿电场方向部分排列的水偶极子增强了扩散率,特别是在电场强度超过热能阈值(kBT)时。在高场强下(即E≥0.03 V/Å),由于Na+-SO42−离子对被破坏,Na⁺在多组分体系中的扩散率超过了二元体系。对二元nacl -水体系的冰结晶分析表明,电场将盐的去除率从无电场时的88.7%提高到0.03 V/Å时的97%,而没有显著抑制晶体的生长速率。无量纲扩散指标证实,场诱导离子输运优于结晶驱动分离。这些发现证明了如何调整电场以提高FD效率,为场辅助分离技术提供了更广阔的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Identification of the productive, economically sound, and energy-cum-carbon efficient system for higher agricultural sustainability in the North Eastern Himalayas 确定东北喜马拉雅地区生产效率高、经济效益好、能源和碳效率高的农业可持续性系统
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100574
Niraj Biswakarma , Jayanta Layek , Badapmain Makdoh , Anup Das , N.C. Gulleibi , R.R. Zhiipao , Rahul Saikia , Somanath Nayak , Khanindra Baishya , N. Ravishankar , Sandip Patra , Koushik Bag , Samarendra Hazarika
Identifying a suitable production system is crucial for ensuring long-term food security and climate resilience in the North Eastern Himalayas of India. Thus, the field experiment on organic, inorganic, and integrated nutrient management (INM) was evaluated to assess its impact on productivity, profitability, and sustainability under raised and sunken beds (RSB). In sunken beds, Lampnah produced the highest grain (4.23 Mg ha-1) and protein yield (330 kg ha-1). While, in raised beds, the okra-carrot system with INM showed the highest system productivity and sustainable yield index (SYI). Further, the highest net return (857 $ ha-1) was recorded in Lampnah, and 100 % organic had a 5.56–6.52 % grater return than the others. Similarly, in raised beds had the highest production cost was incurred in the okra-potato system (1394 $ ha-1), while okra-carrot and INM systems showed the highest net returns (4885 $ ha-1 and 4477 $ ha-1, respectively). Likewise, the energy use efficiency (EUE), and energy output (EO) were highest in 75 %, and 100 % organic systems in sunken beds, and in okra-carrot and 100 % organic systems in raised beds. Further, 100 % organic treatments also improved the soil organic carbon (SOC) along with a greater carbon sustainability index (CSI), and carbon use efficiency (CUE). Thus, the study clearly demonstrates that, the integration of organic, and INM under RSB improves productivity, profitability, carbon storage, and environmental sustainability, contributing to food security in the North Eastern Himalayas.
确定合适的生产系统对于确保印度喜马拉雅山脉东北部的长期粮食安全和气候适应能力至关重要。因此,通过田间试验,评价了有机、无机和综合营养管理(INM)对隆升床和下沉床(RSB)下生产力、盈利能力和可持续性的影响。在凹陷床中,灯兰籽粒最高(4.23 Mg ha-1),蛋白质产量最高(330 kg ha-1)。而在垄作中,施用INM的秋葵-胡萝卜体系表现出最高的系统生产力和可持续产量指数(SYI)。此外,lamnah的净回报率最高(857美元/公顷),100%有机的回报率比其他品种高5.56 - 6.52%。同样,在垄作床中,秋葵-马铃薯系统的生产成本最高(1394美元每公顷),而秋葵-胡萝卜和INM系统的净收益最高(分别为4885美元每公顷和4477美元每公顷)。同样,75%和100%有机系统的能量利用效率(EUE)和能量输出(EO)最高,秋葵-胡萝卜和100%有机系统的能量输出(EO)最高。此外,100%有机处理还提高了土壤有机碳(SOC),提高了土壤碳可持续性指数(CSI)和碳利用效率(CUE)。因此,研究清楚地表明,在RSB下,有机和INM的整合提高了生产力、盈利能力、碳储量和环境可持续性,有助于东北喜马拉雅地区的粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating energy demand for decarbonising the aviation and maritime fleets of Germany: An agent-based technology diffusion approach considering investment behaviour 估计德国航空和海运舰队脱碳的能源需求:考虑投资行为的基于代理的技术扩散方法
IF 9.5 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-10-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2025.100557
Manish Khanra , Shashank Deepak Prabhu , Martin Wietschel
As hard-to-abate transport sectors, aviation and maritime are major CO2 emitters for which decarbonisation is particularly difficult to achieve. Meaningful emission cuts depend on the uptake of emerging low-carbon propulsion technologies. Therefore, understanding their diffusion and the associated energy demand is vital for achieving long-term climate goals. This study estimates the future propulsion fuel demand for German-registered aviation fleets and the bunkering fuel demand for maritime fleets by simulating the adoption of emerging technologies within a data-driven, agent-based diffusion model. The analysis considered fleet age, technology readiness, infrastructure availability, and regulatory measures. The decision-making framework for technology adoption was modelled using utility maximisation, where both economic and environmental utilities contributed to an overall utility score. This study examined two future scenarios for technology adoption. In the first scenario, investment decisions were primarily driven by economic utility, whereas in the second, an accelerated scenario emphasised on environmental considerations. Both scenarios were evaluated against a baseline scenario of continued use of existing technologies. Under Scenario 2, CO2 emissions in aviation reduced by 82%, and by 15% in maritime by 2050, relative to the baseline. However, these reductions demanded significantly higher electricity, primarily due to the production of fuels like hydrogen and synthetic fuels. By 2050, electricity demand for decarbonising the fleet portfolio is projected to rise to 80 TWh, while maritime demand remains stable at approximately 35 TWh.
作为难以减排的运输部门,航空和海运是主要的二氧化碳排放源,脱碳尤其难以实现。有意义的减排取决于新兴低碳推进技术的采用。因此,了解它们的扩散和相关的能源需求对于实现长期气候目标至关重要。本研究通过在数据驱动的基于代理的扩散模型中模拟新兴技术的采用,估计了德国注册航空机队未来的推进燃料需求和海运机队的加油燃料需求。分析考虑了机队年龄、技术准备、基础设施可用性和监管措施。技术采用的决策框架采用效用最大化建模,其中经济和环境效用都贡献了总体效用得分。本研究考察了技术采用的两种未来情景。在第一种情景中,投资决定主要是由经济效用驱动的,而在第二种情景中,加速情景强调环境考虑。根据继续使用现有技术的基线情景对这两种情景进行了评估。在情景2中,相对于基线,到2050年,航空业的二氧化碳排放量减少82%,航运业减少15%。然而,这些减少需要更高的电力,主要是由于生产氢和合成燃料等燃料。到2050年,船队脱碳的电力需求预计将上升到80太瓦时,而海上需求将稳定在35太瓦时左右。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Energy nexus
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