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Sustainable power system planning for India: Insights from a modelling and simulation perspective 印度可持续电力系统规划:从建模和模拟角度的见解
Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100261
Giuseppina Di Lorenzo , Karthik Yadiyal

India is a developing country that is facing a major energy challenge. At the heart of this challenge lies the provision of electricity, which is vital for India's sustainable economic development yet faces major uncertainty in the future. A growing body of literature on planning studies has evaluated the future pathways open to India's power generation sector. In particular, several system planning studies have been undertaken at the state level to capture specific local features in energy supply–demand dynamics and to inform policies and initiatives for sustainable growth at the national level. This paper reviews the wider electricity planning literature, considering those states that have so far been studied the most from a modelling perspective (i.e. Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Gujarat, Karnataka, Kerala, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan and West Bengal), and scrutinises the various analyses performed by considering their modelling approach and analytical methods, programming techniques, evaluation criteria/objectives (e.g. economic, technical, environmental), planning horizon and time step, energy mix configurations (including the technologies implemented, fuels and storage systems), and key relevant technical and economic modelling features. Progress trends and challenges are presented and crucial gaps in the modelling field are highlighted to contribute to the international debate on the prospects of and challenges for India's future energy system.

印度是一个面临重大能源挑战的发展中国家。这一挑战的核心是电力供应,它对印度经济的可持续发展至关重要,但未来却面临着重大的不确定性。越来越多的规划研究文献对印度发电行业的未来发展道路进行了评估。特别是在邦一级开展了多项系统规划研究,以捕捉当地能源供需动态的具体特点,并为国家层面的可持续增长政策和举措提供参考。本文回顾了更广泛的电力规划文献,考虑了迄今为止从建模角度研究得最多的几个邦(即安得拉邦、阿萨姆邦、古吉拉特邦、卡纳塔克邦、喀拉拉邦、马哈拉施特拉邦、泰米尔纳德邦、拉贾斯坦邦和西孟加拉邦),并通过考虑其建模方法和分析方法、编程技术、评估标准/目标(如经济、技术、环境),仔细研究了所进行的各种分析。并通过考虑其建模方法和分析方法、编程技术、评估标准/目标(如经济、技术、环境)、规划范围和时间步骤、能源组合配置(包括所采用的技术、燃料和储存系统)以及主要的相关技术和经济建模特征,对所进行的各种分析进行了仔细研究。报告介绍了进展趋势和挑战,并强调了建模领域的关键差距,以促进国际社会就印度未来能源系统的前景和挑战展开讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Performance evaluation and multi-objective optimization of an innovative double-stage thermoelectric heat storage system for electricity generation 用于发电的创新型双级热电储热系统的性能评估和多目标优化
Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100260
Ehsanolah Assareh , Saman Meshkinnezhad , Neha Agarwal , Alireza Baheri , Mehrdad Ahmadinejad , Mohammadali Behrang , Ali Sohani , Amirhossein Fathi , Tohid Jafarinejad , Moonyong Lee

As the need for renewable energy continues to grow, there is an increasing requirement to utilize systems that offer enhanced performance and efficiency. Consequently, a comprehensive investigation is conducted on a two-stage thermoelectric heat pump. The primary objective is to assess the impact of various influential factors on the overall effectiveness of the system. This exhaustive parametric study aims to provide valuable insights into the system's performance and efficiency. Subsequently, the multi-objective optimization approach considers both technical and economic goal functions. By incorporating these two aspects, the optimization process seeks to achieve the most favorable balance between technical performance and economic feasibility. This allows for a holistic assessment that takes into consideration not only the system's efficiency and effectiveness but also its economic viability in real-world applications. The best optimal solution is discovered using a variety of methods for multi-objective optimization. The optimized system is examined from both an exergy and an exergoeconomic vantage point after the best optimal solution has been identified by comparing the results of various methodologies. The outcomes demonstrate that for the multidimensional analysis of Linmap, the combination of multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) and the linear programming technique yields the best optimal solution. The objective functions for this final optimal solution are unit cost of heating power and exergy efficiency, which are defined as 1.91 and 51.28 USD/(kWh), respectively. The results showed that the optimal current for temperature changes of 10, 20, and 30 K is 2.84, 5.53, and 8.1 respectively. Also, the optimal length and number of thermocouples were 0.0055 m, 30, and 15 m respectively in all techniques. The optimal current changes from 23.30 to 27.60 A, which indicates that the optimization technique prefers to adjust the current over other effective parameters. When the thermocouples in the first and second stages are 30 and 15 pairs, respectively, according to the design parameters of the ideal point, the system will work at its peak efficiency.

随着对可再生能源需求的不断增长,人们越来越需要使用性能和效率更高的系统。因此,我们对双级热电热泵进行了全面调查。主要目的是评估各种影响因素对系统整体效率的影响。这项详尽的参数研究旨在为系统的性能和效率提供有价值的见解。随后,多目标优化方法同时考虑了技术和经济目标函数。通过结合这两个方面,优化过程力求在技术性能和经济可行性之间实现最有利的平衡。这样就可以进行整体评估,不仅考虑到系统的效率和效果,还考虑到其在实际应用中的经济可行性。使用各种多目标优化方法,可以找到最佳的最优解决方案。通过比较各种方法的结果,在确定最佳优化方案后,从能量和经济角度对优化系统进行审查。结果表明,对于林地图的多维分析,多目标粒子群优化(MOPSO)和线性规划技术的结合产生了最佳的最优解。该最终最优解的目标函数为单位热功率成本和放能效率,分别定义为 1.91 美元/(千瓦时)和 51.28 美元/(千瓦时)。结果显示,温度变化为 10、20 和 30 K 时的最佳电流分别为 2.84、5.53 和 8.1。此外,在所有技术中,热电偶的最佳长度和数量分别为 0.0055 米、30 米和 15 米。最佳电流从 23.30 A 变为 27.60 A,这表明优化技术更倾向于调整电流而不是其他有效参数。根据理想点的设计参数,当第一级和第二级的热电偶分别为 30 对和 15 对时,系统将以最高效率工作。
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引用次数: 0
Guiding the data collection for integrated Water-Energy-Food-Environment systems using a pilot smallholder farm in Costa Rica 利用哥斯达黎加的试点小农农场指导水-能源-粮食-环境综合系统的数据收集工作
Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100259
Julian Fleischmann , Christian Birkel , Philipp Blechinger , Lars Ribbe , Alexandra Nauditt , Silvia Corigliano , Werner Platzer

Smart integration of water, energy, agriculture, and environmental systems can create synergies, increase socio-economic benefits, and minimize environmental impact. However, effective planning of integrated water-energy-food-environment systems (iWEFEs) requires high resolution temporal and spatial data on various environmental and socioeconomic variables. Insufficient data availability and accessibility hampers the implementation of iWEFEs, particularly in remote areas of low- and middle-income countries. Addressing this gap, first, essential variables for the planning of iWEFEs are identified. Next, remote datasets are evaluated and selected regarding their suitability to serve for the planning of iWEFEs using a multi-criteria-analysis considering data accessibility, spatial coverage, spatial resolution, temporal resolution, and temporal coverage. Remote and in-situ data collection for the identified WEFE variables are implemented using a pilot case study of a smallholder farm in the data-scarce tropics of Costa Rica. The remote data collection is automated via APIs to open servers, data analysis and data visualization scripts, and complemented by an online survey. In-situ measurements are recommended to address data gaps in remote sensing, which are especially prevalent in the water domain. The research shall lay the foundation for free, open and automated data collection enabling the planning of iWEFEs worldwide.

巧妙地整合水、能源、农业和环境系统可以产生协同效应,提高社会经济效益,并最大限度地减少对环境的影响。然而,水-能源-粮食-环境综合系统(iWEFEs)的有效规划需要有关各种环境和社会经济变量的高分辨率时空数据。数据的可用性和可获取性不足阻碍了水-能源-粮食-环境综合系统的实施,尤其是在中低收入国家的偏远地区。针对这一差距,首先确定了 iWEFEs 规划的基本变量。其次,采用多标准分析法,考虑数据的可获取性、空间覆盖率、空间分辨率、时间分辨率和时间覆盖率,评估和选择适合 iWEFE 规划的远程数据集。通过对哥斯达黎加热带地区数据稀缺的小农农场进行试点案例研究,对确定的 WEFE 变量进行远程和现场数据收集。远程数据收集通过开放服务器的应用程序接口、数据分析和数据可视化脚本实现自动化,并辅以在线调查。建议进行现场测量,以弥补遥感数据的不足,这在水领域尤为普遍。这项研究将为免费、开放和自动化的数据收集奠定基础,从而能够在全球范围内规划 iWEFE。
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引用次数: 0
A critical review of PV systems’ faults with the relevant detection methods 光伏系统故障及相关检测方法评述
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100257
Khaled Osmani , Ahmad Haddad , Thierry Lemenand , Bruno Castanier , Mohammad Alkhedher , Mohamad Ramadan

PhotoVoltaic (PV) systems are often subjected to operational faults which negatively affect their performance. Corresponding to different types and natures, such faults prevent the PV systems from achieving their nominal power output and attaining the required level of energy production. Regarding the operational optimization of PV systems, this paper aims primarily at surveying and categorizing different types of PV faults, classified as electrical, internal, and external, where each is thoroughly investigated: internal faults occur at the PV cellular level, and can either be short circuit, open circuit, bridging, or bypass diode faults. External faults on the other side are mainly classified as temporary (i.e., clouds shading, snowstorms, etc.) or permanent (e.g., glass breakage, frame defects, etc.) mismatch faults. Lastly, electrical faults involve common circuitry problems, such as short circuits (e.g., line to ground, line to line, etc.), power processing units’ faults (e.g., inverter faults), and arc faults. As for the detection methods, six major fault detection methods are investigated for the AC side of the PV system with twenty-nine total AC based fault detection methods. On the other hand, eleven major fault detection methods are surveyed for the DC side of PV systems with seventy-three total DC based fault detection methods. The investigated methods are critically analyzed, and compared relevantly to each other, within the mutual sub-sets. The resulting tabulated comparative data assessments for PV faults (i.e., cause-effect relationships, impact on the PV system performance), as well as for faults detection methods (i.e., priority for application, etc.) compose a rich background for related PV systems’ performance security fields, where a nexus future work is also suggested.

光伏(PV)系统经常会出现运行故障,对其性能产生负面影响。这些故障有不同的类型和性质,使光伏系统无法实现额定功率输出,也无法达到所需的能源生产水平。关于光伏系统的运行优化,本文的主要目的是对不同类型的光伏故障进行调查和分类,分为电气故障、内部故障和外部故障,并对每种故障进行了深入研究:内部故障发生在光伏电池层面,可以是短路、开路、桥接或旁路二极管故障。外部故障则主要分为暂时性故障(如云层遮挡、暴风雪等)或永久性故障(如玻璃破裂、框架缺陷等)。最后,电气故障涉及常见的电路问题,如短路(如线对地、线对线等)、电源处理单元故障(如逆变器故障)和电弧故障。在检测方法方面,研究了光伏系统交流侧的六种主要故障检测方法,共计二十九种基于交流的故障检测方法。另一方面,对光伏系统直流侧的十一种主要故障检测方法进行了调查,共有七十三种基于直流的故障检测方法。对所调查的方法进行了批判性分析,并在相互子集中进行了相关比较。对光伏故障(即因果关系、对光伏系统性能的影响)以及故障检测方法(即应用的优先级等)的比较数据评估结果列表为相关光伏系统性能安全领域提供了丰富的背景资料,同时也为未来的工作提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Household exposure to the risk of cooking smoke: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa 家庭暴露于烹饪烟雾的风险:撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100256
Michael Larbi Odame, Anthony Amoah

Background

In Sub-Saharan Africa, the place of cooking and choice of fuel for cooking have detrimental effects on health due to excessive exposure to smoke. This study explores household-level exposure to the risk of cooking smoke and its associated determinants.

Methods

Using a quantitative approach, we pooled the most recent waves of the Demographic Health Survey dataset yielding 442,339 households from 33 countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this study, we first construct disaggregated measures of smoke exposure risk, determine the extent of households’ vulnerability to this risk, and investigate the associated determinants. We used the ordered probit regression to examine the socio-demographic and economic determinants of the levels of household smoke exposure risk in SSA.

Results

We found evidence that 67 % of households cook indoors while 86 % use smoke-producing fuels for cooking which, may indicate a high level of vulnerability to smoke exposure. As expected, 53 % of households have a high risk of smoke exposure. Our findings reveal factors such as wealth, size, educational level, and age of household heads as the key determinants of the disaggregated smoke exposure risk measures. For robustness, we grouped households by their rural-urban locations to establish evidence of the determinants.

Conclusions

The study identifies socio-economic characteristics as essential variables in determining a household's level of exposure to cooking smoke risk in SSA. We, therefore, propose to policymakers in the sub-region to improve the accessibility to clean cooking fuels, especially to all rural households. In this light, we recommend the promotion, subsidization, and enforcement of policies to encourage households to use clean cooking fuels.

背景在撒哈拉以南非洲地区,由于过度暴露于烟雾中,烹饪地点和烹饪燃料的选择会对健康产生不利影响。本研究探讨了家庭层面的烹饪烟雾暴露风险及其相关决定因素。方法采用定量方法,我们汇集了最近几波人口健康调查数据集,共收集了来自撒哈拉以南非洲 33 个国家的 442,339 个家庭的数据。在这项研究中,我们首先构建了烟雾暴露风险的分类措施,确定了家庭易受烟雾暴露风险影响的程度,并调查了相关的决定因素。我们使用有序概率回归法研究了撒哈拉以南非洲地区家庭烟雾暴露风险水平的社会人口和经济决定因素。结果我们发现,有证据表明 67% 的家庭在室内做饭,86% 的家庭使用产生烟雾的燃料做饭,这可能表明家庭极易受到烟雾暴露的影响。不出所料,53%的家庭面临烟雾暴露的高风险。我们的研究结果表明,户主的财富、规模、教育水平和年龄等因素是决定烟雾暴露风险分类指标的关键因素。为了稳健起见,我们将家庭按其城乡位置分组,以确定决定因素的证据。 结论这项研究确定了社会经济特征是决定 SSA 地区家庭炊烟暴露风险水平的重要变量。因此,我们建议该次区域的政策制定者改善清洁烹饪燃料的可及性,尤其是对所有农村家庭而言。有鉴于此,我们建议推广、补贴和执行鼓励家庭使用清洁烹饪燃料的政策。
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引用次数: 0
An assessment of sustainability metrics for waste-to-liquid fuel pathways for a low carbon circular economy 低碳循环经济中废物转化为液体燃料途径的可持续性指标评估
Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100254
Rakesh Narayana Sarma, Ravikrishnan Vinu

The nexus of solid waste management problems and energy crisis necessitates the utilization of lignocellulosic biomass agro residues and municipal solid wastes for fuel and energy generation. Thermochemical technologies like pyrolysis, hydrothermal liquefaction and gasification are promising options to produce bio-oil, bio-crude and syngas from biomass, which can be further catalytically upgraded to hydrocarbon fuels. While there are technical merits associated with these processes and the products derived from them, the sustainability analysis of the processes from a systems level is imperative to evaluate their commercial viability. This perspective article presents fundamental understanding, importance and analysis of the different sustainability metrics based on mass and energy. The salient properties of biomass and wastes, and that of various fuels derived from them are presented. The three technologies are evaluated based on key metrics such as energy recovery/efficiency, E-factor, process mass intensity and CO2 footprint. The E-factor for different technologies follows the trend: hydrothermal liquefaction (0.14) ≈ gasification (0.13) < pyrolysis (0.5). However, it is clear from the analysis that the E-factor and GHG emissions of the HTL process, a promising feedstock-agnostic pathway, can be further reduced by valorizing the organic-laden aqueous phase and upgrading the bio-crude to hydrocarbons. The key results of process technoeconomics are presented and assessed from a sustainability viewpoint. This study recommends the use of simple sustainability metrics in research works on thermochemical conversion so that the results from different studies can be compared on a common sustainability platform.

固体废物管理问题和能源危机的关系要求利用木质纤维素生物质农业残留物和城市固体废物进行燃料和能源生产。热化学技术,如热解、水热液化和气化,是从生物质中生产生物油、生物原油和合成气的有前途的选择,可以进一步催化升级为碳氢化合物燃料。虽然与这些过程及其衍生产品相关的技术优点,但是从系统级别对过程进行可持续性分析对于评估其商业可行性是必要的。这篇观点文章介绍了基于质量和能量的不同可持续性指标的基本理解、重要性和分析。介绍了生物质和废物的显著特性,以及由它们衍生的各种燃料的特性。根据能源回收/效率、e因子、过程质量强度和二氧化碳足迹等关键指标,对这三种技术进行了评估。不同工艺的e因子有如下趋势:水热液化(0.14)≈气化(0.13)<热解(0.5)。然而,从分析中可以清楚地看出,HTL工艺的e因子和温室气体排放可以通过对含有机物的水相进行活化和将生物原油升级为碳氢化合物来进一步降低。HTL工艺是一种有前途的与原料无关的途径。从可持续性的角度介绍和评估了过程技术经济学的关键结果。本研究建议在热化学转化的研究工作中使用简单的可持续性指标,以便在一个共同的可持续性平台上比较不同研究的结果。
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引用次数: 0
Ethanol and electricity: Fueling or fooling the future of road passenger transport? 乙醇和电力:燃料还是愚弄公路客运的未来?
Pub Date : 2023-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100258
Anderson Giehl , Natalia Klanovicz , Aline Frumi Camargo , Maria Luíza Rodrigues Albarello , Helen Treichel , Sérgio Luiz Alves Jr

The vast majority of countries arguably agree that the planet is reaching a point of no return regarding global warming and climate change. Proof of that is the 2030 Agenda and the Paris Agreement, ratified by almost every nation worldwide. However, despite signing both great commitments, the states have made too little to meet the sustainability plans. Among the targets, renewable energy sources stand out to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, but still, petrol wells continue to be drilled, and vehicle assemblers keep investing in new technologies for running their cars with fossil fuels. At the same time, government policies seem to be betting all their chips on electric engines, as if electricity were the best substitute for oil. This critical review analyses the pros and cons of such alternative fuel for road passenger transport, also taking into account another potential substitute for gasoline: bioethanol. In the following pages, we address the challenges and avenues of both alternatives and demonstrate that diversification of the global energy matrix and the biomass feedstocks should be our guiding principles.

绝大多数国家都认为,在全球变暖和气候变化问题上,地球已经到了不可逆转的地步。《2030年议程》和《巴黎协定》证明了这一点,它们几乎得到了全世界所有国家的批准。然而,尽管签署了这两项重大承诺,各州在实现可持续发展计划方面做得太少。在这些目标中,可再生能源在减少温室气体排放方面表现突出,但汽油井仍在继续钻探,汽车组装商仍在投资于使用化石燃料驱动汽车的新技术。与此同时,政府的政策似乎把所有筹码都押在了电动发动机上,似乎电力是石油的最佳替代品。这篇评论分析了这种公路客运替代燃料的利弊,同时也考虑到了汽油的另一种潜在替代品:生物乙醇。在接下来的几页中,我们将讨论这两种替代能源的挑战和途径,并证明全球能源矩阵和生物质原料的多样化应该是我们的指导原则。
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引用次数: 0
Microalgae as a sustainable feedstock for biodiesel and other production industries: Prospects and challenges 微藻作为生物柴油和其他生产工业的可持续原料:前景与挑战
Pub Date : 2023-11-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100255
Michael Van Lal Chhandama , Joseph V L Ruatpuia , Supongsenla Ao , Alongkrita Chumpi Chetia , Kumudini Belur Satyan , Samuel Lalthazuala Rokhum

The current environment and economic crisis demand the development of energy sources which can solve the problems of depleting energy sources while improving the economy and the environment. Transport sector constitute one of the highest consumptions of fossil fuels while generating harmful greenhouse gases causing global warming. Biofuels have been developed as the alternative clean fuel which can act as a substitute to replace or reduce the heavy usage of exhaustible fossil fuels. Production of biodiesel from microalgae has been considered one of the most feasible approaches towards circular economy. This review gives an in-depth information on the application of microalgae for biodiesel production, factors affecting their growth and techniques to produced biodiesel and other industrially important products benefitting the economy, environment and the society. It provides an intensive information on the biomolecules that can be valorized for commercial purpose and the metabolism of those biomolecules and also highlights the current status of production, challenges and the future prospects of microalgae in biodiesel and other production industries.

当前的环境和经济危机要求能源开发能够在改善经济和环境的同时解决能源枯竭的问题。交通运输部门是化石燃料消耗最高的部门之一,同时产生有害的温室气体,导致全球变暖。生物燃料作为一种可替代的清洁燃料已经被开发出来,它可以替代或减少对可耗尽的化石燃料的大量使用。利用微藻生产生物柴油被认为是实现循环经济最可行的途径之一。本文综述了微藻在生物柴油生产中的应用、影响微藻生长的因素以及微藻生产生物柴油和其他重要工业产品的技术,对经济、环境和社会具有重要意义。它提供了可用于商业用途的生物分子和这些生物分子的代谢的密集信息,并强调了微藻在生物柴油和其他生产行业的生产现状、挑战和未来前景。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the effects of energy consumption on millets and rice yields in Odisha, India 探索能源消耗对印度奥里萨邦谷子和水稻产量的影响
Pub Date : 2023-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100253
Diptimayee Jena , Bamadev Mahapatra

Energy is a crucial input in determining the agricultural growth of an economy. Thus, this study aims to investigate the impact of energy consumption (EC) on agricultural productivity growth (APG), specifically in relation to rice and millet yields in Odisha, India. The study uses data from the period spanning 1990–91 to 2019–20. The study uses an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound F-test to examine for a cointegration relationship amid the variables, and an ARDL regression framework to investigate the effect of EC on the yields of rice and millets in Odisha. The results advocate that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship amid the variables in the study. Regarding the result for long- and short-run elasticities, it is evidenced that EC has a positive and statistically significant effect on rice yield and has no statistically significant impact on millet yield in the long-run. However, in the short-run, EC has a positive and statistically significant effect on both rice and millet yields. According to the findings of the current study, the state government of Odisha should place a greater emphasis on ensuring that farmers have access to power in order to encourage agricultural expansion and improve crop yields.

能源是决定一个经济体农业增长的关键投入。因此,本研究旨在调查能源消耗(EC)对农业生产率增长(APG)的影响,特别是与印度奥里萨邦的水稻和小米产量有关。该研究使用了1990-91年至2019 - 2020年期间的数据。本研究使用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)约束f检验来检验变量之间的协整关系,并使用ARDL回归框架来研究EC对奥里萨邦水稻和小米产量的影响。研究结果表明,研究变量之间存在长期均衡关系。对于长期和短期弹性的结果,可以证明EC对水稻产量有正的、统计显著的影响,而对谷子产量的长期影响没有统计显著。然而,在短期内,EC对水稻和小米的产量都有正的和统计显著的影响。根据目前的研究结果,奥里萨邦政府应该更加重视确保农民获得电力,以鼓励农业扩张和提高作物产量。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a gradual transition to renewable energies in Tunisia: Do foreign direct investments and information and communication technologies matter? 突尼斯逐步过渡到可再生能源:外国直接投资和信息通信技术重要吗?
Pub Date : 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.nexus.2023.100252
Haifa Saadaoui , Emna Omri

This paper scrutinizes the interrelationships among renewable energies, foreign direct investments (FDI), information and communication technologies (ICT), trade openness, and total factor productivity (TFP) in the context of Tunisia from 1984 to 2019. For that reason, we empirically use the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) with breakpoint. The results of this study reveal the prominent contribution of FDI and TFP in the sustainable energy transition. Therefore, the diffusion of renewable energies should no longer be done only by the government but the private sector should take part in this transition by encouraging FDI. However, our results reveal that trade and ICT inhibit the process of transition to renewable energies in Tunisia. This fact may be explained by the economic recession, bad governance, and political instability which have delayed the implementation of new technologies in vital sectors of the economy, specifically the energy sector. On the other hand, applying a test of causality in the frequency domain has confirmed the presence of one-way causal relations from clean energy to ICT in the long term and from clean energy to FDI in the short and medium term. In addition, there is a bi-directional causal association between TFP and sustainable energy in the long term. Finally, the occurrence of causality from trade to sustainable energies was confirmed.

本文研究了1984年至2019年突尼斯可再生能源、外国直接投资(FDI)、信息和通信技术(ICT)、贸易开放和全要素生产率(TFP)之间的相互关系。因此,我们经验地使用带有断点的自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)。研究结果揭示了FDI和TFP对可持续能源转型的突出贡献。因此,可再生能源的推广不应再仅仅由政府来完成,而私营部门应通过鼓励外国直接投资来参与这一转变。然而,我们的研究结果表明,贸易和信息通信技术抑制了突尼斯向可再生能源过渡的过程。这一事实可以用经济衰退、治理不善和政治不稳定来解释,这些因素推迟了新技术在重要经济部门,特别是能源部门的实施。另一方面,在频域应用因果关系检验证实了从清洁能源到ICT的长期单向因果关系,以及从清洁能源到FDI的中短期单向因果关系。此外,从长期来看,TFP与可持续能源之间存在双向因果关系。最后,证实了贸易与可持续能源之间存在因果关系。
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Energy nexus
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