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Public demand for carbon capture and storage varies with information, development magnitude and prior familiarity
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01900-y
Jiwon Kim, Jacob Ladenburg
Carbon capture and storage is vital to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, albeit research on the public willingness to pay for it remains limited. Here we address this gap by considering information effects, development magnitude effects and prior familiarity relations on willingness to pay towards carbon capture and storage. Based on national-wide online survey targeting Danish public, conducted from June to August 2022, the contingent valuation method is employed. The study reveals that, irrespective of CO2 reduction goals, enhancing familiarity with carbon capture storage can influence public support. Additionally, we estimate willingness to pay elasticities related to development magnitude using a scope test, ensuring economic significance and validity of our findings. Ultimately, this study provides valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders, supporting and enabling the design of effective strategies to promote public support for carbon capture and storage, and contribute to global climate change mitigation efforts. Regardless of Denmark’s carbon dioxide emission reduction goal, knowledge and familiarity influence public support and willingness to pay for carbon capture and storage, according to an online survey and econometric model analysis.
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引用次数: 0
Frazil ice changes winter biogeochemical processes in the Lena River 弗拉齐尔冰改变了勒拿河的冬季生物地球化学过程
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-25 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01884-9
Sophie Opfergelt, François Gaspard, Catherine Hirst, Laurence Monin, Bennet Juhls, Anne Morgenstern, Michael Angelopoulos, Pier Paul Overduin
The ice-covered period of large Arctic rivers is shortening. To what extent will this affect biogeochemical processing of nutrients? Here we reveal, with silicon isotopes (δ30Si), a key winter pathway for nutrients under river ice. During colder winter phases in the Lena River catchment, conditions are met for frazil ice accumulation, which creates microzones. These are conducive to a lengthened reaction time for biogeochemical processes under ice. The heavier δ30Si values (3.5 ± 0.5 ‰) in river water reflect that 39 ± 11% of the Lena River discharge went through these microzones. Freezing-driven amorphous silica precipitation concomitant to increased ammonium concentration and changes in dissolved organic carbon aromaticity in Lena River water support microbially mediated processing of nutrients in the microzones. Upon warming, suppressing loci for winter intra-river nitrogen processing is likely to modify the balance between N2O production and consumption, a greenhouse gas with a large global warming potential. Frazil ice accumulation during winter creates micro-zones in the Lena River catchment that prolong reaction time for biogeochemical processing of nutrients under ice, according to a high resolution silicon isotope study.
北极大河的冰封期正在缩短。这会在多大程度上影响营养物质的生物地球化学处理?在这里,我们用硅同位素(δ30Si)揭示了河流冰层下营养物质的一个关键冬季途径。在勒拿河流域较冷的冬季阶段,有条件进行碎冰堆积,从而形成微区。这有利于延长冰下生物地球化学过程的反应时间。河水中较高的δ30Si 值(3.5 ± 0.5 ‰)表明,39 ± 11% 的勒拿河排水量通过了这些微区。冻结导致的无定形二氧化硅沉淀、铵浓度的增加以及勒拿河水体中溶解有机碳芳香度的变化,都支持微生物介导的微区养分处理过程。气候变暖时,抑制冬季河内氮处理的位点很可能会改变一氧化二氮的产生和消耗之间的平衡,而一氧化二氮是一种温室气体,具有很大的全球变暖潜力。根据一项高分辨率硅同位素研究,冬季Frazil冰的堆积在勒拿河流域形成了微区,延长了冰下养分生物地球化学处理的反应时间。
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引用次数: 0
Arctic plant-fungus interaction networks show major rewiring with environmental variation 北极植物-真菌相互作用网络随环境变化出现重大重构
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01902-w
Bastien Parisy, Niels M. Schmidt, Alyssa R. Cirtwill, Edith Villa-Galaviz, Mikko Tiusanen, Cornelya F. C. Klütsch, Paul E. Aspholm, Katrine Raundrup, Eero J. Vesterinen, Helena Wirta, Tomas Roslin
Global environmental change may lead to changes in community structure and in species interactions, ultimately changing ecosystem functioning. Focusing on spatial variation in fungus–plant interactions across the rapidly changing Arctic, we quantified variation in the identity of interaction partners. We then related interaction turnover to variation in the bioclimatic environment by combining network analyses with general dissimilarity modelling. Overall, we found species associations to be highly plastic, with major rewiring among interaction partners across variable environmental conditions. Of this turnover, a major part was attributed to specific environmental properties which are likely to change with progressing climate change. Our findings suggest that the current structure of plant-root associated interactions may be severely altered by rapidly advancing global warming. Nonetheless, flexibility in partner choice may contribute to the resilience of the system. Fungus-plant interactions in the Arctic are highly pliable and can alter under changing temperature and soil conditions, according to modelling of plant and fungal communities using DNA metabarcoding data.
全球环境变化可能导致群落结构和物种相互作用发生变化,最终改变生态系统的功能。我们以瞬息万变的北极地区真菌-植物相互作用的空间变化为重点,量化了相互作用伙伴身份的变化。然后,我们将网络分析与一般相似性建模相结合,将相互作用的更替与生物气候环境的变化联系起来。总体而言,我们发现物种之间的联系具有高度可塑性,在不同的环境条件下,相互作用伙伴之间的关系会发生重大变化。在这种变化中,很大一部分归因于特定的环境属性,而这些属性很可能会随着气候变化的加剧而发生变化。我们的研究结果表明,当前植物与根系的相互作用结构可能会因全球气候迅速变暖而发生严重改变。不过,灵活选择合作伙伴可能有助于提高系统的复原力。根据使用DNA代谢编码数据建立的植物和真菌群落模型,北极地区真菌与植物之间的相互作用非常灵活,在温度和土壤条件不断变化的情况下也会发生改变。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonality and climate modes influence the temporal clustering of unique atmospheric rivers in the Western U.S 季节性和气候模式影响美国西部独特大气河流的时间聚类
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01890-x
Zhiqi Yang, Michael J. DeFlorio, Agniv Sengupta, Jiabao Wang, Christopher M. Castellano, Alexander Gershunov, Kristen Guirguis, Emily Slinskey, Bin Guan, Luca Delle Monache, F. Martin Ralph
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are narrow corridors of intense water vapor transport, shaping precipitation, floods, and economies. Temporal clustering of ARs tripled losses compared to isolated events, yet the reasons behind this clustering remain unclear. AR orientation further modulates hydrological impacts through terrain interaction. Here we identify unique ARs over the North Pacific and Western U.S. and utilize Cox regression and composite analysis to examine how six major climate modes influence temporal clustering of unique ARs and orientation during extended boreal winter (November to March). Results show that climate modes condition temporal clustering of unique ARs. The Pacific-North American weather pattern strongly modulates the clustering over the Western U.S. from early to late winter. The quasi-biennial oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation affect late winter clustering, while the Arctic oscillation dominates early winter. Climate modes also strongly influence AR orientation, with ENSO particularly affecting the orientation of temporally clustered ARs. The Pacific-North American weather pattern significantly influences unique atmospheric river temporal clustering in the Western U.S., with quasi-biennial oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation affecting late winter clustering and Arctic oscillation dominating early winter, according to analysis of six climate modes’ influence on unique atmospheric river clustering.
大气河流(ARs)是强烈水汽输送的狭窄走廊,影响着降水、洪水和经济。与孤立事件相比,AR 的时间集群使损失增加了两倍,但这种集群背后的原因仍不清楚。AR 方向通过地形相互作用进一步调节水文影响。在此,我们确定了北太平洋和美国西部的独特 AR,并利用考克斯回归和综合分析来研究六种主要气候模式如何在延长的北方冬季(11 月至次年 3 月)影响独特 AR 的时间集群和方向。结果表明,气候模式对独特 AR 的时间聚类有影响。从初冬到晚冬,太平洋-北美天气模式对美国西部的集群有强烈的调节作用。准两年涛动和太平洋十年涛动影响冬末集群,而北极涛动则主导冬初集群。气候模式也强烈影响着AR的方向,厄尔尼诺/南方涛动尤其影响着时间上聚集的AR的方向。根据六种气候模式对美国西部独特的大气河流时间聚类的影响分析,太平洋-北美气候模式对美国西部独特的大气河流时间聚类有显著影响,准双年性涛动和太平洋十年涛动影响晚冬的聚类,而北极涛动主导早冬的聚类。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of agriculture and snow dynamics on catchment water balance in the U.S. and Great Britain 美国和英国农业和积雪动态对集水区水量平衡的影响
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01891-w
Masoud Zaerpour, Shadi Hatami, André S. Ballarin, Wouter J. M. Knoben, Simon Michael Papalexiou, Alain Pietroniro, Martyn P. Clark
The Budyko water balance is a fundamental concept in hydrology that links aridity to how precipitation is divided between evapotranspiration and streamflow. While the model is powerful, its ability to explain temporal changes and the influence of human activities and climate change is limited. Here we introduce a causal discovery algorithm to explore deviations from the Budyko water balance, attributing them to human interventions such as agricultural activities and snow dynamics. Our analysis of 1342 catchments across the U.S. and Great Britain reveals distinct patterns: in the U.S., snow fraction and irrigation alter the Budyko water balance predominantly through changes in aridity-streamflow relationships, while in Great Britain, deviations are primarily driven by changes in precipitation-streamflow relationships, notable in catchments with high cropland percentage. By integrating causal analysis with the Budyko water balance, we enhance understanding of how human activities and climate dynamics affect water balance, offering insights for water management and sustainability in the Anthropocene. The U.S. Budyko water balance is influenced by snow fraction and irrigation, driving changes in aridity-streamflow dynamics, while deviations in Great Britain are driven by precipitation-streamflow dynamics, according to an analysis of 1,342 catchments.
布迪科水平衡是水文学中的一个基本概念,它将干旱与降水如何在蒸散和溪流之间分配联系起来。虽然该模型功能强大,但其解释时间变化以及人类活动和气候变化影响的能力有限。在这里,我们引入了一种因果发现算法来探索布迪科水平衡的偏差,并将其归因于农业活动和积雪动态等人类干预。我们对美国和英国的 1342 个集水区进行的分析揭示了不同的模式:在美国,积雪量和灌溉主要通过改变干旱-溪流关系来改变布迪科水量平衡,而在英国,偏差主要由降水-溪流关系的变化驱动,这在耕地比例较高的集水区尤为明显。通过将因果分析与布迪科水平衡相结合,我们加深了对人类活动和气候动态如何影响水平衡的理解,为人类世的水资源管理和可持续性提供了启示。根据对 1,342 个流域的分析,美国的布迪科水平衡受积雪量和灌溉的影响,驱动着干旱-溪流动态的变化,而英国的偏差则是由降水-溪流动态驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
National ecosystem restoration pledges are mismatched with social-ecological enabling conditions 国家生态系统恢复承诺与社会生态有利条件不匹配
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01909-3
Felipe Benra, Maria Brück, Emily Sigman, Manuel Pacheco-Romero, Girma Shumi, David J. Abson, Marina Frietsch, Joern Fischer
Ecosystem restoration is widely recognized as a key strategy to address social-ecological challenges. National governments have pledged to restore millions of hectares of land. However, the ability to accomplish these pledges remains opaque, because restoration efforts are influenced by complex social-ecological factors. We provide a global analysis of national-level enabling and hindering conditions and their relation to restoration pledges undertaken by different nations. We developed an archetype characterization of within-country conditions using biophysical, socio-economic and governance indicators. Additionally, we investigated between-country conditions by examining flows of embodied land. Our analysis suggests that the countries with the most ambitious restoration pledges also tend to have the weakest enabling conditions (and vice versa). These results highlight the need to account for social, economic and governance factors alongside biophysical factors when considering where restoration ought to take place. Countries with more ambitious pledges for the restoration of their ecosystems tend to exhibit socio-economic, governance and biophysical conditions that may hinder meeting such pledges, suggests a global analysis of the enabling or hindering conditions for ecosystem restoration.
生态系统恢复被广泛认为是应对社会生态挑战的关键战略。各国政府已承诺恢复数百万公顷的土地。然而,由于恢复工作受到复杂的社会生态因素的影响,实现这些承诺的能力仍然不透明。我们对国家层面的有利和不利条件及其与不同国家所做恢复承诺的关系进行了全球分析。我们使用生物物理、社会经济和治理指标对国内条件进行了原型描述。此外,我们还通过研究内含土地的流动情况,对国家间的条件进行了调查。我们的分析表明,恢复承诺最雄心勃勃的国家往往也拥有最薄弱的有利条件(反之亦然)。这些结果突出表明,在考虑应在哪里进行恢复时,除了生物物理因素外,还需要考虑社会、经济和治理因素。对生态系统恢复的有利或不利条件的全球分析表明,对恢复生态系统作出更雄心勃勃承诺的国家往往表现出可能会阻碍实现这些承诺的社会经济、治理和生物物理条件。
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引用次数: 0
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown modulates wind-driven circulations in a warmer climate 大西洋经向翻转环流减慢调节气候变暖时的风动环流
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01907-5
Mohima Sultana Mimi, Wei Liu
Wind-driven and thermohaline circulations, two major components of global large-scale ocean circulations, are intrinsically related. As part of the thermohaline circulation, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation has been observed and is expected to decline over the twenty-first century, potentially modulating global wind-driven circulation. Here we perform coupled climate model experiments with either a slow or steady Atlantic overturning under anthropogenic warming to segregate its effect on wind-driven circulation. We find that the weakened Atlantic overturning generates anticyclonic surface wind anomalies over the subpolar North Atlantic to decelerate the gyre circulation there. Fingerprints of overturning slowdown are evident on Atlantic western boundary currents, encompassing a weaker northward Gulf Stream and Guiana Current and a stronger southward Brazil Current. Beyond the Atlantic, the weakened Atlantic overturning causes a poleward displacement of Southern Hemisphere surface westerly winds by changing meridional gradients of atmospheric temperature, leading to poleward shifts of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and Southern Ocean meridional overturning circulations. Warmer climates weaken the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, causing anticyclonic surface wind anomalies in the subpolar North Atlantic, decelerating gyre circulation and affecting Atlantic western boundary currents, according to analysis of fully coupled climate model experiments under anthropogenic warming.
风驱动环流和温盐环流是全球大尺度海洋环流的两个主要组成部分,两者有着内在联系。作为温盐环流的一部分,大西洋经向翻转环流已被观测到,预计将在 21 世纪下降,从而可能调节全球风驱动环流。在此,我们进行了耦合气候模式实验,在人为变暖的情况下,大西洋翻转要么缓慢,要么稳定,以区分其对风驱动环流的影响。我们发现,大西洋翻腾减弱会在北大西洋副极地上空产生反气旋表面风异常,从而使那里的回旋环流减速。大西洋西部边界洋流的翻腾减速特征明显,包括较弱的北向湾流和圭亚那洋流以及较强的南向巴西洋流。在大西洋以外,大西洋倾覆减弱会改变大气温度的经向梯度,导致南半球表面西风向极地移动,从而导致南极环极流和南大洋经向倾覆环流向极地移动。根据对人为变暖条件下完全耦合气候模型实验的分析,气候变暖会削弱大西洋经向翻转环流,造成北大西洋副极地反气旋表面风异常,使回旋环流减速,并影响大西洋西部边界流。
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引用次数: 0
Provincial inequalities in life cycle carbon dioxide emissions and air pollutants from electric vehicles in China 中国电动汽车生命周期二氧化碳和空气污染物的省际不平等
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01906-6
Dingding Hu, Kaile Zhou, Rong Hu, Jingna Yang
It is still unclear whether emissions reductions from electric vehicles can be achieved across different regions from a lifecycle perspective. Here we use the life cycle assessment model and Quasi Input-Output model to evaluate the carbon dioxide emissions and air pollutants of internal combustion engine vehicles, plug-in hybrid electric vehicles, and battery electric vehicles in different provinces of China, with the provincial electricity consumption data and the sales data of electric vehicles. We find that battery electric vehicles have achieved 11.8% and 1.1% reduction in carbon dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions, respectively, compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. In contrast, the emissions of sulfur dioxide and particulate matter 2.5 increased by 10% and 20%, respectively. Due to the coal-based power generation structure and the cold weather, the emission intensity of battery electric vehicles in most northern provinces is higher than that in southern provinces. From 2020 to 2030, improving technological progress and optimizing electricity mix will greatly assist in achieving emissions reduction. The results can help policy-makers better understand the emission characteristics and reasonably plan future emission reduction strategies in transportation. The emission intensities of carbon dioxide and air pollutants from battery electric vehicles are high in northern provinces of China due to the coal-based electricity mix and cold weather, according to an analysis that uses a life cycle assessment model and data on electricity generation.
从生命周期的角度来看,电动汽车能否在不同地区实现减排,目前尚不清楚。在此,我们利用生命周期评估模型和准投入产出模型,结合各省用电量数据和电动汽车销量数据,对中国不同省份内燃机汽车、插电式混合动力电动汽车和电池电动汽车的二氧化碳排放量和大气污染物排放量进行了评估。我们发现,与内燃机汽车相比,电池电动汽车的二氧化碳和氮氧化物排放量分别减少了 11.8%和 1.1%。相比之下,二氧化硫和颗粒物 2.5 的排放量分别增加了 10%和 20%。由于以煤炭为主的发电结构和寒冷的天气,北方大部分省份的电池电动汽车排放强度高于南方省份。从 2020 年到 2030 年,提高技术进步和优化电力结构将大大有助于实现减排。研究结果有助于政策制定者更好地了解交通领域的排放特征,合理规划未来的减排策略。一项利用生命周期评估模型和发电数据进行的分析表明,由于以煤为主的电力结构和寒冷天气,中国北方省份的电池电动汽车二氧化碳和空气污染物排放强度较高。
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引用次数: 0
A conceptual model explaining spatial variation in soil nitrous oxide emissions in agricultural fields 解释农田土壤一氧化二氮排放量空间变化的概念模型
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01875-w
Ziliang Zhang, William C. Eddy III, Emily R. Stuchiner, Evan H. DeLucia, Wendy H. Yang
Soil emissions of nitrous oxide contribute substantially to global warming from agriculture. Spatiotemporal variation in nitrous oxide emissions within agricultural fields leads to uncertainty in the benefits of climate-smart agricultural practices. Here, we present a conceptual model explaining spatial variation in temporal patterns of soil nitrous oxide emissions developed from high spatial resolution measurements of soil nitrous oxide emissions, gross nitrous oxide fluxes, and soil physicochemical properties in two maize fields in Illinois, USA. In sub-field locations with consistently low nitrous oxide emissions, soil nitrate and dissolved organic carbon constrained nitrous oxide production irrespective of changes in soil moisture. In sub-field locations where high emissions occurred episodically, soil nitrate and dissolved organic carbon availability were higher, and increases in soil moisture stimulated nitrous oxide production. These findings form the ‘cannon model’ which conceptualizes how sub-field scale variation in soil nitrate and dissolved organic carbon determines where increases in soil moisture can trigger high soil nitrous oxide emissions within agricultural fields. Only in areas of agricultural fields where nitrate and dissolved organic carbon availability were high could soil moisture stimulate high nitrous oxide emissions, according to a conceptual model based on spatial measurements of emissions and soil properties.
土壤中的一氧化二氮排放大大加剧了农业造成的全球变暖。农田内一氧化二氮排放的时空变化导致气候智能型农业措施效益的不确定性。在这里,我们介绍了一个解释土壤一氧化二氮排放时空变化模式的概念模型,该模型是通过对美国伊利诺伊州两块玉米田的土壤一氧化二氮排放、一氧化二氮总通量和土壤理化性质的高空间分辨率测量而建立的。在一氧化二氮排放量持续较低的子田块,无论土壤湿度如何变化,土壤硝酸盐和溶解有机碳都限制了一氧化二氮的产生。在偶尔出现高排放量的子田中,土壤硝酸盐和溶解有机碳的可用性较高,土壤水分的增加会刺激一氧化二氮的产生。这些发现形成了 "加农炮模型",它从概念上说明了土壤硝酸盐和溶解有机碳在亚田块尺度上的变化如何决定了土壤水分的增加会在哪些地方引发农田内土壤一氧化二氮的高排放。根据基于排放和土壤特性空间测量的概念模型,只有在硝酸盐和可溶解有机碳含量较高的农田区域,土壤水分才能刺激一氧化二氮的高排放。
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引用次数: 0
Migrating subaqueous dunes capture clay flocs 移动的水下沙丘捕获粘土絮状物
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01901-x
Sjoukje I. de Lange, Anne van der Wilk, Claire Chassagne, Waqas Ali, Maximilian P. Born, Kristian Brodersen, Antonius J. F. Hoitink, Kryss Waldschläger
Recent research highlights the abundance of floccule (flocs) in rivers, formed by aggregation of clay particles with organic matter. These flocs affect the transport and the eventual fate of clay. Flocs exhibit distinct behaviour from the unflocculated sedimentary counterparts: they can deform and break, and have higher settling velocities, which may in turn cause flocs to deposit and possibly interact with the riverbed. Here, we conducted systematic experiments in a laboratory flume to identify the mechanisms by which flocs and bedforms interact. Flocs showed a saltating (bouncing) behaviour, and were incorporated in the sediment bed as single flocs, clusters, or strings, via deposition and burial in the lee of a dune. Dune geometry was negligibly impacted by the presence of flocs. In natural systems, the burial of flocculated clay particles can affect contaminant spreading, aquatic ecology, the interpretation of deposition patterns, and clay transport. Flocculated clay particles exhibit a bouncing behaviour and can be incorporated into the bed as single flocs, clusters, or strings and revealing significant implications for contaminant transport and ecological dynamics in rivers, according to laboratory flume experiment results.
最新研究表明,河流中存在大量由粘土颗粒与有机物聚集而成的絮状物。这些絮凝物会影响粘土的迁移和最终归宿。絮凝体与未絮凝的沉积物表现出截然不同的行为:絮凝体可以变形和断裂,沉降速度较快,这反过来又可能导致絮凝体沉积并可能与河床相互作用。在此,我们在实验室水槽中进行了系统实验,以确定絮凝体与河床相互作用的机制。絮凝物表现出盐化(反弹)行为,并以单个絮凝物、絮凝物群或絮凝物串的形式,通过沉积和掩埋在沙丘边缘的方式融入沉积床。絮状物的存在对沙丘几何形状的影响微乎其微。在自然系统中,絮凝粘土颗粒的埋藏会影响污染物的扩散、水生生态、沉积模式的解释以及粘土的迁移。实验室水槽实验结果表明,絮凝粘土颗粒表现出一种弹跳行为,可以以单个絮凝体、絮凝团或絮凝串的形式进入河床,并对河流中的污染物迁移和生态动力学产生重大影响。
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引用次数: 0
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