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Accelerating upper crustal deformation and seismicity of Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy), during the 2000–2023 unrest 2000-2023年意大利Campi Flegrei火山口的地壳加速变形和地震活动性
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01865-y
A. Bevilacqua, A. Neri, P. De Martino, F. Giudicepietro, G. Macedonio, P. Ricciolino
Campi Flegrei is the largest active caldera in Europe and it is home to more than 350,000 people. Since 2005, the caldera has shown accelerating ground inflation and an intensification of seismic activity. Here we quantify the decadal accelerating trend alongside oscillations of various frequencies and explore the relationships between deformation and seismic activity over the period 2000 to November 2023. Results highlight the major changes that have occurred in the last four years analyzed and reveal a parabolic increase in vertical uplift and a super-exponential (squared-exponential) rise in the number of earthquakes and seismic energy release. Inspection of data indicate a close temporal correlation between deformation rate and seismicity, and an exponential relationship, with an exponent increasing over time, between ground deformation and cumulative number of earthquakes. These relationships are consistent with a quasi-elastic behavior and a stress memory (Kaiser) effect of the upper crust of the caldera under an increasing stress suggesting a progressive mechanical weakening. Most importantly, they provide evidence of an accelerating sensitivity of seismic activity to caldera inflation and warn of the possibility of significant seismic events in case of continuation, with the same trends and relations, of the bradyseismic crisis in the next years. During the Campi Flegrei caldera unrest from 2000 to 2023, the upper crust had a quasi-elastic behavior and there was a parabolic increase of ground uplift and a superexponential increase in the number of earthquakes and seismic energy release.
Campi Flegrei是欧洲最大的活跃火山口,居住着35万多人。自2005年以来,火山口地表膨胀加速,地震活动加剧。在这里,我们量化了不同频率振荡的年代际加速趋势,并探讨了2000年至2023年11月期间变形与地震活动之间的关系。结果突出了过去四年所分析的主要变化,并揭示了垂直隆升的抛物线增长和地震次数和地震能量释放的超指数(平方指数)增长。对数据的检验表明,变形率与地震活动性之间存在密切的时间相关性,地面变形与地震累积次数之间存在指数关系,且指数随时间增加。这些关系与火山口上地壳在不断增加的应力作用下的准弹性行为和应力记忆(Kaiser)效应相一致,表明了一个渐进的机械弱化过程。最重要的是,它们提供了地震活动对火山口膨胀的加速敏感性的证据,并警告说,如果在未来几年以同样的趋势和关系继续发生缓慢的地震危机,可能会发生重大地震事件。2000 ~ 2023年Campi Flegrei破火山口不动期间,上地壳表现为准弹性行为,地表隆升呈抛物线型增长,地震次数和地震能量释放呈超指数增长。
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引用次数: 0
The perennially ice-covered Lake Enigma, Antarctica supports unique microbial communities 常年被冰雪覆盖的南极恩尼格玛湖支持着独特的微生物群落
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01842-5
Francesco Smedile, Violetta La Cono, Stefano Urbini, Giovanni Benedetti, Gina La Spada, Francesca Crisafi, Maurizio Azzaro, Nunziatina Porcino, Stefano Fazi, Stefano Amalfitano, Franco Tassi, Orlando Vaselli, Stefania Venturi, Michael T. Madigan, John E. Hallsworth, Michail M. Yakimov
Northern Foothills of Victoria Land, Antarctica contains numerous hydrological formations, ranging from small surface streams and ponds fed by glacial or snow meltwater to permafrost lakes containing briny pockets. Here we describe the discovery of a massive body of unfrozen stratified oligotrophic water in Lake Enigma, a permanently ice-covered lake previously thought to be frozen from top to bottom. A remarkable feature of the Lake Enigma microbial ecosystem is the presence, and sometimes even dominance, of ultrasmall bacteria belonging to the superphylum Patescibacteria, a group apparently absent from Antarctic lakes in the well-studied McMurdo Dry Valleys. Cyanobacteria are virtually absent from Lake Enigma ice and water column although they are well represented in its extensive and diverse benthic microbial mats. Collectively, these features reveal a new complexity in Antarctic lake food webs and demonstrate that in addition to phototrophic and simple chemotrophic metabolisms, both symbiotic and predatory lifestyles may exist. Unfrozen water in the perennially ice-covered Lake Enigma, Antarctica supports microbial communities distinct from those in other Antarctic lakes according to analyses of the lake’s physical structure, geochemistry, hydrological history, and microbiota.
南极洲维多利亚地的北部山麓有许多水文构造,从冰川或雪融水形成的小型地表溪流和池塘到含有咸水袋的永久冻土湖泊。在这里,我们描述了在恩尼格玛湖(Lake Enigma)发现的大量未冻结的分层寡营养水,这是一个永久被冰覆盖的湖泊,以前人们认为它从头到尾都是冻结的。恩尼格玛湖微生物生态系统的一个显著特征是存在,有时甚至占主导地位,属于超门的超小细菌,在麦克默多干谷的南极湖泊中显然没有这种细菌。蓝藻几乎不存在于恩尼格玛湖的冰和水柱中,尽管它们在其广泛而多样的底栖微生物席中有很好的代表。总的来说,这些特征揭示了南极湖泊食物网的一种新的复杂性,并表明除了光养和简单的化养代谢外,共生和掠食性生活方式可能同时存在。根据对南极恩尼格玛湖的物理结构、地球化学、水文历史和微生物群的分析,终年被冰覆盖的南极恩尼格玛湖的不冻水支持着与其他南极湖泊不同的微生物群落。
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引用次数: 0
Photovoltaic installations are extensively deployed in areas at risk of extremely low production 光伏装置被广泛部署在极低产量风险的地区
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01932-4
Qianzhi Wang, Kai Liu, Wei Xie, Tariq Ali, Jinshan Wu, Ming Wang
Photovoltaic (PV) installations have rapidly and extensively been deployed worldwide as a promising alternative renewable energy source. However, weather anomalies could expose them to challenges in supply security by causing very low power production. Using reanalysis weather data from 1986 to 2021 and a high-resolution global inventory of PV installations, we assess the impact of extreme low-production (ELP) events across various regions. Our results reveal that regions between 60°N and 60°S experience an average of 27 ELP events annually, with 17% of these events being high-intensity. Regions with dense PV installations—including Southern China, Central and Northern Europe, Central and Eastern America, and Japan—are particularly affected. These areas, which collectively host approximately half of the global PV installations, see 44% of ELP events being high-intensity. Maintaining a daily backup supply equivalent to the average event intensity could recover 39% to 81% of events across different sites. This strategy helps ensure a stable energy supply despite the unpredictability of extreme weather events. Southern China, Central and N Europe, Central and Eastern America, and Japan are areas with dense photovoltaic installations, and they are particularly affected by extremely low production events, according to an analysis that uses weather data and an inventory of photovoltaic installations.
光伏(PV)装置作为一种有前途的可再生能源在世界范围内迅速而广泛地部署。然而,天气异常可能会导致极低的发电量,从而使它们面临供应安全方面的挑战。利用1986年至2021年的天气数据再分析和高分辨率的全球光伏装置库存,我们评估了极端低产量(ELP)事件对不同地区的影响。我们的研究结果表明,60°N至60°S之间的区域平均每年经历27次ELP事件,其中17%为高强度事件。光伏安装密集的地区——包括中国南方、中欧和北欧、中美和东欧以及日本——受到的影响尤其严重。这些地区总共拥有全球大约一半的光伏装置,其中44%的ELP事件是高强度的。维持相当于平均事件强度的每日备份供应可以恢复不同站点间39%到81%的事件。这一策略有助于确保稳定的能源供应,尽管极端天气事件不可预测。根据一项使用天气数据和光伏装置清单的分析,中国南方、中欧和北欧、美国中部和东部以及日本是光伏装置密集的地区,它们特别受到极低产量事件的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Ophiolites in the Central Asian Orogenic Belt record Cambrian subduction initiation processes 中亚造山带蛇绿岩记录了寒武纪俯冲起始过程
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-02 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01905-7
Mingshuai Zhu, Daniel Pastor–Galán, Matthijs A. Smit, Laicheng Miao, Miao Dong, Fuqin Zhang, Dorjgochoo Sanchir, Ariuntsetseg Ganbat, Chenghao Liu, Ye Luo, Shun Li
Subduction initiation remains elusive because no present example exists. Ophiolites formed over nascent subduction zones in the past provide the key to constraining the processes of subduction initiation. Here we document three Cambrian ophiolites with supra-subduction zone affinity, which likely reflect the inception of a plate-boundary scale subduction zone within the Paleo-Asian Ocean. Our findings, together with a compilation of Cambrian ophiolites in the Central Asian Orogenic Belt, indicate diachronous subduction initiation(s) along a > 6000 kilometer zone within the Paleo-Asian Ocean between 536 and 528 million years ago. The subduction initiation of the Paleo-Asian Ocean coincides with the closure of the Mirovoi Ocean following the collision of a series of microcontinents with the Siberian craton, likely representing a typical record of collision-induced subduction jump. Our observations and numerical modeling provide a new scenario that subduction initiations would locate at oceanic weak zones rather than passive margins of accreted microcontinents during collision-induced subduction process. The initiation of a subduction zone in the Paleo-Asian Ocean approximately 530 million years ago is recorded in ophiolites formed through subduction initiation processes, according to geochemical data from ophiolites in the Mongol Altai and Trans Altai mountains belonging to the Central Asian Orogenic Belt and numerical modeling.
俯冲起作用仍然难以捉摸,因为目前还没有这样的例子。过去在新生俯冲带上形成的蛇绿岩是抑制俯冲起始过程的关键。本文记录了三个寒武纪蛇绿岩,它们具有超俯冲带亲缘关系,这可能反映了古亚洲洋板块边界规模俯冲带的开始。我们的发现,连同中亚造山带寒武纪蛇绿岩的汇编,表明在5.36亿至5.28亿年前,古亚洲海洋内沿6000公里的区域发生了跨时俯冲。古亚洲洋的俯冲开始与一系列微大陆与西伯利亚克拉通碰撞后的米罗沃伊洋的关闭相吻合,可能代表了碰撞诱发俯冲跳跃的典型记录。我们的观测和数值模拟提供了一种新的情景,即在碰撞诱导俯冲过程中,俯冲起始将位于海洋弱带,而不是增生微大陆的被动边缘。根据中亚造山带蒙古阿尔泰山脉和外阿尔泰山脉蛇绿岩的地球化学数据和数值模拟,记录了大约5.3亿年前古亚洲洋俯冲带的起始,蛇绿岩形成于俯冲起始过程中。
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引用次数: 0
Reply to: Informative analyses of radiative forcing geoengineering require proper counterfactuals 回复:辐射强迫地球工程的信息分析需要适当的反事实
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01882-x
Rhonda C. Müller, Jin-Soo Kim, Hanna Lee, Helene Muri, Jerry Tjiputra, Jin-Ho Yoon, Gabriela Schaepman-Strub
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal hotspots of beach litter in the North-East Atlantic linked to aquaculture and river runoff 东北大西洋海滩垃圾的季节性热点与水产养殖和河流径流有关
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01913-7
Niclas Rieger, Estrella Olmedo, Martin Thiel, Vanessa Sarah Salvo, Daniela Honorato-Zimmer, Nelson Vásquez, Antonio Turiel, Jaume Piera
Macroplastic pollution is a pervasive global environmental challenge, adversely affecting marine ecosystems, wildlife and human health. Understanding temporal variations is crucial for identifying pollution sources and developing effective mitigation policies. However, in-situ data from beach surveys are often irregular, both spatially and temporally, and highly variable, complicating robust statistical conclusions. Here we employ a Bayesian machine learning framework to investigate seasonal variations, identify regional hotspots and elucidate their anthropogenic drivers. Using data from 3866 surveys across 168 western European beaches, we leverage a spatial log-Gaussian Cox Process to enhance statistical inference by integrating information from nearby beaches. Distinct seasonal patterns emerge, with winter and spring exhibiting the highest pollution levels, while pronounced regional differences highlight seasonal pollution hotspots in the western Iberian Peninsula, French coastline, Irish Sea and Skagerrak region. These peaks are attributed to riverine emissions and aquaculture activities, highlighting the potential impact of these sources on beach pollution. Our findings advocate for enhanced, time-specific monitoring to effectively manage litter hotspots, emphasizing the importance of aquaculture-related plastic emissions. Seasonal variations in beach litter on North East Atlantic coastlines are driven by riverine and aquaculture inputs, and are likely to be exacerbated by adverse weather conditions in the future, according to a machine learning framework informed by beach litter survey data.
宏观塑料污染是一项普遍存在的全球环境挑战,对海洋生态系统、野生动物和人类健康产生不利影响。了解时间变化对于确定污染源和制定有效的缓解政策至关重要。然而,来自海滩调查的现场数据在空间和时间上往往是不规则的,并且高度可变,使可靠的统计结论复杂化。本文采用贝叶斯机器学习框架来研究季节变化,识别区域热点并阐明其人为驱动因素。利用来自168个西欧海滩的3866次调查的数据,我们利用空间对数高斯考克斯过程,通过整合附近海滩的信息来增强统计推断。明显的季节性模式出现,冬季和春季表现出最高的污染水平,而明显的区域差异突出了伊比利亚半岛西部、法国海岸线、爱尔兰海和斯卡格拉克地区的季节性污染热点。这些峰值归因于河流排放和水产养殖活动,突出了这些来源对海滩污染的潜在影响。我们的研究结果提倡加强特定时间的监测,以有效管理垃圾热点,强调与水产养殖相关的塑料排放的重要性。根据海滩垃圾调查数据提供的机器学习框架,东北大西洋海岸线海滩垃圾的季节性变化是由河流和水产养殖投入驱动的,未来恶劣的天气条件可能会加剧这种变化。
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引用次数: 0
Informative risk analyses of radiative forcing geoengineering require proper counterfactuals 辐射强迫地球工程的信息风险分析需要适当的反事实
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01881-y
Walker Raymond Lee, Michael Steven Diamond, Peter Irvine, Jesse L. Reynolds, Daniele Visioni
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引用次数: 0
Biofouling changes the settling dynamics of macroplastic plates 生物污染改变了大塑性板的沉降动力学
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01922-6
James Lofty, Catherine Wilson, Pablo Ouro
Plastic pollution transported in rivers remains poorly understood due to the diversity of shapes, sizes, and densities of plastics, as well as their complex interactions with biofilms. While previous studies have explored the settling velocities of plastics and their interactions with biofilms, they often overlook how biofouling alters plastic dynamics and settling behaviour. To address this, over 800 settling experiments were conducted to demonstrate that the dynamics and falling velocities of isotropic (spheres) and anisotropic (square and rectangle plates) macroplastics of different densities (1050 to 2200 kg/m3) are significantly impacted by biofouling. Three-dimensional tracking of plastic trajectories revealed that biofilm colonisation on the surface of anisotropic plastic plates triggered them to exhibit more chaotic trajectories, larger horizontal dispersion and higher oscillatory frequencies. These dynamics reduced the average vertical settling velocity of anisotropic biofouled plates by up to 12%—despite greater plastic densities and considering the multimodal distribution of a plate’s fall velocity—compared to their pristine counterparts. Results highlight the necessity of accounting for the intricate multimodal settling dynamics of plastics, including their interactions with biofilms, to provide more reliable predictions of plastic transport and fate in aquatic environments. The trajectories of plastic particles in settling experiments within a water column are more chaotic and slower by up to 12% when colonised with biofilms, relative to pristine particles, even with larger densities.
由于塑料的形状、大小和密度的多样性,以及它们与生物膜的复杂相互作用,人们对河流中的塑料污染仍然知之甚少。虽然以前的研究已经探索了塑料的沉降速度及其与生物膜的相互作用,但他们往往忽略了生物污垢如何改变塑料动力学和沉降行为。为了解决这个问题,进行了800多个沉降实验,以证明不同密度(1050至2200 kg/m3)的各向同性(球体)和各向异性(正方形和矩形板)宏观塑料的动力学和下落速度受到生物污染的显著影响。对塑料轨迹的三维跟踪表明,生物膜在各向异性塑料板表面的定殖导致其呈现出更混乱的轨迹、更大的水平色散和更高的振荡频率。这些动力学使各向异性生物污染板的平均垂直沉降速度比原始板降低了12%——尽管塑料密度更高,并且考虑到板的下落速度的多模态分布。结果强调了考虑塑料复杂的多模态沉降动力学的必要性,包括它们与生物膜的相互作用,以提供更可靠的塑料在水生环境中的运输和命运预测。在水柱内的沉降实验中,与原始颗粒相比,即使密度更大,当被生物膜覆盖时,塑料颗粒的轨迹更加混乱,速度也要慢12%。
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引用次数: 0
Host species and temperature drive beech and Scots pine phyllosphere microbiota across European forests 寄主物种和温度驱动山毛榉和苏格兰松在欧洲森林的层际微生物群
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01895-6
Daniela Sangiorgio, Joan Cáliz, Stefania Mattana, Anna Barceló, Bruno De Cinti, David Elustondo, Sofie Hellsten, Federico Magnani, Giorgio Matteucci, Päivi Merilä, Manuel Nicolas, Dario Ravaioli, Anne Thimonier, Elena Vanguelova, Arne Verstraeten, Peter Waldner, Emilio O. Casamayor, Josep Peñuelas, Maurizio Mencuccini, Rossella Guerrieri
Tree-microbe interactions are essential for forest ecosystem functioning. Most plant–microbe research has focused on the rhizosphere, while composition of microbial communities in the phyllosphere remains underexplored. Here, we use 16S rRNA gene sequencing to explore differences between beech and Scots pine phyllospheric microbiomes at the European continental scale, map their functional profiles, and elucidate the role of host trees, forest features, and environmental factors such as climate and atmospheric deposition in phyllosphere microbiota assembly. We identified tree species and the associated foliar trait (specifically carbon:nitrogen ratio) as primary drivers of the bacterial communities. We characterized taxonomical and functional composition of epiphytic bacteria in the phyllosphere of beech and Scots pine across an environmental gradient from Fennoscandia to the Mediterranean area, with major changes in temperature and nitrogen deposition. We also showed that temperature and nitrogen deposition played a crucial role in affecting their assembly for both tree species. This study contributes to advancing our understanding on factors shaping phyllosphere microbial communities in beech and Scots pine at the European continental scale, highlighting the need of broad-scale comparative studies (covering a wide range of foliar traits and environmental conditions) to elucidate how phyllosphere microbiota mediates ecosystem responses to global change. Phyllosphere microbiota of beech and Scots pine at European continental scale is influenced by the host species and associated foliar traits, as well as by temperature and nitrogen deposition, according to 16S rRNA gene sequencing analyses on leaf epiphytic microbes.
树木与微生物的相互作用对森林生态系统的功能至关重要。大多数植物微生物的研究都集中在根际,而层际微生物群落的组成仍未得到充分的探索。本研究利用16S rRNA基因测序技术,探讨了欧洲大陆尺度上山毛榉和苏格兰松叶层微生物群的差异,绘制了它们的功能图谱,并阐明了寄主树木、森林特征以及气候和大气沉积等环境因素在叶层微生物群组合中的作用。我们发现树种和相关的叶面性状(特别是碳氮比)是细菌群落的主要驱动因素。研究了从芬诺斯坎迪亚到地中海地区不同环境梯度下山毛榉和苏格兰松叶层中附生细菌的分类和功能组成,并对温度和氮沉降的主要变化进行了研究。我们还发现温度和氮沉降在影响两种树种的它们的组装中起着至关重要的作用。本研究有助于加深我们对欧洲大陆尺度山毛榉和苏特松叶层微生物群落形成因素的理解,强调需要进行大范围的比较研究(涵盖广泛的叶面性状和环境条件)来阐明叶层微生物群如何介导生态系统对全球变化的响应。根据对欧洲大陆尺度山毛榉和苏格兰松叶片附生微生物的16S rRNA基因测序分析,叶根圈微生物群受寄主物种及其相关叶面性状、温度和氮沉降的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Decoupling of redox processes from soil saturation in Arctic tundra 北极冻土带土壤饱和度与氧化还原过程的解耦
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-11-29 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01927-1
Erin C. Rooney, Erin VanderJeugdt, Sumant Avasarala, Imtiaz Miah, Matthew J. Berens, Lauren Kinsman-Costello, Michael N. Weintraub, Elizabeth M. Herndon
Permafrost thaw in warming Arctic landscapes alters hydrology and saturation-driven biogeochemical processes. Models assume that aerobic respiration occurs in drained soils while saturated soils support methanogenesis; however, saturated soils maintain redox gradients that host a range of anaerobic metabolisms. We evaluated how redox potential and redox-active solutes vary with soil moisture in the active layer of permafrost-affected acidic and non-acidic tundra hillslopes. Oxidizing conditions persisted in highly permeable organic horizons of both unsaturated tussock tundra and saturated wet sedge meadows. Redox potential decreased with depth in all soils as increasing soil bulk density restricted groundwater flow and oxygen diffusion. High concentrations of dissolved iron, phosphate, and organic carbon coincided with redox boundaries below the soil surface in acidic tundra, indicating active iron redox cycling and potential release of adsorbed phosphate during iron (oxyhydr)oxide dissolution. In non-acidic tundra, weatherable minerals affected nutrient dynamics more than redox-driven iron cycling, especially in low-lying, saturated areas where thaw reached mineral soils. The role of thaw depth and the ability of saturated soils to maintain oxidizing conditions in organic surface layers highlight the importance of soil physical properties and hydrology in predicting biogeochemical processes and greenhouse gas emissions. Redox potential and the cycling of redox-active solutes are decoupled from soil moisture in the active layer of permafrost-affected areas, according to a field study conducted in the tundra areas of Alaska’s North Slope.
在变暖的北极景观中,永久冻土融化改变了水文和饱和驱动的生物地球化学过程。模型假设有氧呼吸发生在排水土壤中,而饱和土壤支持甲烷生成;然而,饱和土壤保持氧化还原梯度,宿主一系列厌氧代谢。我们评估了受永久冻土影响的酸性和非酸性冻土带山坡的活性层中氧化还原电位和氧化还原活性溶质随土壤湿度的变化。氧化条件持续存在于高渗透性有机层中,无论是不饱和的丛毛苔原还是饱和的湿莎草草甸。所有土壤的氧化还原电位随深度的增加而降低,土壤容重的增加限制了地下水的流动和氧的扩散。在酸性冻土带中,高浓度的溶解铁、磷酸盐和有机碳与土壤表面以下的氧化还原边界一致,表明在铁(氧)氧化物溶解过程中,铁的活性氧化还原循环和吸附磷酸盐的潜在释放。在非酸性冻土带,耐候性矿物质对养分动态的影响大于氧化还原驱动的铁循环,特别是在低洼,饱和地区,融水到达矿物土壤。解冻深度的作用和饱和土壤维持有机表层氧化条件的能力突出了土壤物理性质和水文在预测生物地球化学过程和温室气体排放方面的重要性。根据在阿拉斯加北坡冻土带地区进行的一项实地研究,在受永久冻土层影响的地区,氧化还原电位和氧化还原活性溶质的循环与土壤湿度是分离的。
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引用次数: 0
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Communications Earth & Environment
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