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Factors associated to poverty mobility in Greater Buenos Aries 与大布宜诺斯艾利斯地区贫困人口流动相关的因素
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23365
L. Beccaría, R. Maurizio
Argentina constitutes an interesting case to be analyzed because during the 1990s, it achieved high rates of growth jointly with significant increases in unemployment and poverty. This document studies the dynamics of Argentine poverty between 1991 and 2003, analyzing the impact of different events that are associated with entries and exits into poverty. The effect of inflation is also identified. Data of the Argentine household survey is employed, and the methodology includes a correction for attrition. Episodes related to the labor market proved to be the most important, as they were more frequent and had an important impact on incomes. Demographic events were scarcely relevant.
阿根廷是一个值得分析的有趣案例,因为在1990年代,它实现了高增长率,同时失业和贫穷也显著增加。本文研究了1991年至2003年间阿根廷的贫困动态,分析了与进入和退出贫困相关的不同事件的影响。通货膨胀的影响也被确认。采用阿根廷住户调查的数据,方法包括对减员进行修正。与劳动力市场相关的事件被证明是最重要的,因为它们更频繁,对收入有重要影响。人口统计事件几乎无关紧要。
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引用次数: 11
Determinants of Poverty Among Farming Households in Kogi State of Nigeria 尼日利亚科吉州农户贫困的决定因素
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23364
B. Omonona, F. Okunmadewa
The dearth of studies on quantitative determinants of poverty in Nigeria is a major weak point in the country’s poverty reduction policy and strategy formulation. A recent study in Kogi State of Nigeria revealed that poverty is higher among households that have male heads, are polygamous, have farming as the only occupation, have no formal education, and have no access to extension services and improved farming inputs. Poverty rises with the increase in household size and dependency ratio. On the other hand, poverty is inversely related to the extent of output commercialization, farm size, and credit. The study indicates that in Kogi State, Nigeria there is the need to reduce birth rate, provide training and education, and improve farming inputs, credit to deserving households, and marketing infrastructures, as major elements of an effective poverty reduction strategy.
缺乏对尼日利亚贫困的数量决定因素的研究是该国减贫政策和战略制定的一个主要弱点。最近在尼日利亚科吉州进行的一项研究表明,在以男性为户主、一夫多妻、以务农为唯一职业、未受过正规教育、无法获得推广服务和改良农业投入物的家庭中,贫困率更高。贫困随着家庭规模和抚养比率的增加而增加。另一方面,贫困与产出商业化程度、农场规模和信贷呈负相关。研究表明,在尼日利亚科吉州,有必要降低出生率,提供培训和教育,改善农业投入,向有需要的家庭提供信贷,以及营销基础设施,作为有效减贫战略的主要要素。
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引用次数: 15
Maximum Entropy and the Entropy of Mixing for Income Distributions 收入分配的最大熵和混合熵
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23371
G. M. Borzadaran, Zahra Behdani
Over the last 100 years, a large number of distributions has been proposed for the modeling of size phenomena, notably the size distribution of personal incomes. The most widely known of these models are the Pareto, log-normal, generalized log-normal, generalized Gamma, generalized Beta of the first and of the second kind, the Dagum, and the Singh-Madala distributions. They are discussed as a group in this note, as general forms of income distributions. Several well-known models are derived from them as sub-families with interesting applications in economics. The behaviour of their entropy is what is here under study. Maximum entropy formalism chooses certain forms of entropy and derives an exponential family of distributions under certain constraints. Finding constraints that income distributions have maximum entropy is another direction of this note. In economics and social statistics, the size distribution of income is the basis of concentration on the Lorenz curve. The difference between the tail of the Lorenz function and the Lorenz function itself determines the entropy of mixing. In the final section of this note, theoretical properties of well-known income distributions are also derived in view of the entropy of mixing.
在过去的100年里,人们提出了大量的分布来模拟规模现象,特别是个人收入的规模分布。这些模型中最广为人知的是第一种和第二种的帕累托分布、对数正态分布、广义对数正态分布、广义伽玛分布、广义贝塔分布、Dagum分布和Singh-Madala分布。在本说明中,它们作为一组作为收入分配的一般形式进行讨论。有几个著名的模型是从它们衍生出来的,它们是在经济学中有有趣应用的子家族。它们的熵的行为就是这里要研究的。最大熵形式主义选择了熵的某些形式,并在一定的约束条件下导出了指数分布族。寻找收入分配具有最大熵的约束是本文的另一个方向。在经济学和社会统计学中,收入的大小分布是洛伦兹曲线集中的基础。洛伦兹函数尾部与洛伦兹函数本身之间的差异决定了混合熵。在本说明的最后一节,我们还从混合熵的角度推导出了众所周知的收入分配的理论性质。
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引用次数: 4
The Estimation of Poverty and Inequality through Parametric Estimation of Lorenz Curves: An Evaluation 用洛伦兹曲线的参数估计估计贫困和不平等:一个评价
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.7916/D81R6XC9
Camelia Minoiu, S. Reddy
Poverty and inequality are often estimated from grouped data as complete household surveys are neither always available to researchers nor easy to analyze. In this study we assess the performance of functional forms proposed by Kakwani (1980a) and Villasenor and Arnold(1989) to estimate the Lorenz curve from grouped data. The methods are implemented using the computational tools POVCAL and Sim-SIP, developed and distributed by the World Bank. To identify biases associated with these methods, we use unit data from several household surveys and theoretical distributions. We find that poverty and inequality are better estimated when the true distribution is unimodal than multimodal. For unimodal distributions, biases associated with poverty measures are rarely larger than one percentage point. For data from multi-peaked or heavily skewed distributions, the biases are likely to be higher and of unknown sign.
贫困和不平等往往是根据分组数据来估计的,因为研究人员既不总是可以获得完整的家庭调查,也不容易分析。在本研究中,我们评估了Kakwani (1980a)和Villasenor和Arnold(1989)提出的功能形式从分组数据估计洛伦兹曲线的性能。这些方法是使用世界银行开发和分发的计算工具POVCAL和Sim-SIP来实现的。为了确定与这些方法相关的偏差,我们使用了来自几个家庭调查和理论分布的单位数据。我们发现,当真实分布是单峰时,贫困和不平等的估计比多峰时更好。对于单峰分布,与贫困指标相关的偏差很少大于一个百分点。对于来自多峰或严重偏斜分布的数据,偏差可能更大,且符号未知。
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引用次数: 18
The Intergenerational Transmission of Inequality for Education and Earnings 教育和收入不平等的代际传递
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23368
M. Beenstock
Inequality is transmitted intergenerationally because the outcomes of parents and their children are correlated. The correlation may be due to inherited, economic, and/or contextual factors. A structural model is proposed in which parents affect their children directly through their own schooling and earnings and indirectly through their own inherited ability. By taking account of inherited ability, the causal effect on outcome of parental schooling and earnings upon the schooling and earnings of their children is identified. A generated regressor methodology is used to estimate the ability to learn and earn of Israeli parents. It is shown that the schooling and earnings of children are affected by these generated regressors. Further, although the causal effects are small, it is shown that parents’ income and schooling matter for their children’s schooling and earnings. Both nature and nurture are reflected in the intergenerational correlation for schooling and earnings, but nature and contextual variables turn out to matter more than nurture.
不平等是代际传递的,因为父母和孩子的结果是相关的。这种相关性可能是由于遗传、经济和/或环境因素。本文提出了一种结构模型,在这种模型中,父母通过自己的教育和收入直接影响子女,并通过自己的遗传能力间接影响子女。通过考虑遗传能力,确定了父母受教育和收入对子女受教育和收入的因果影响。使用生成的回归方法来估计以色列父母的学习和赚钱能力。结果表明,儿童的学校教育和收入受到这些回归因子的影响。此外,尽管因果关系很小,但研究表明,父母的收入和学校教育对孩子的学校教育和收入有影响。先天和后天都反映在学校教育和收入的代际关系中,但先天和环境变量比后天更重要。
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引用次数: 1
Decision Risks and Individual Development Accounts: An Alternative View 决策风险和个人发展账户:另一种观点
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23369
Edmund Khashadourian
This article analyzes the impact of risk on decisions made by the poor within the context of the Individual Development Account (IDA) program. IDA is a matched savings program designed to help low-income households invest in appreciating assets. For these households, the risk involved with participation in IDA relates to the sacrifice they make by reducing current consumption - sometimes in a significant way - in order to be able to save. The program does not offer a match on savings per se; rather, it offers the match only when savings are invested in certain assets. Since there is no guarantee that IDA savings will be converted into assets qualified for the IDA match at the time of enrollment, participation in the program is characterized as an inherently risky decision, which is governed by different sets of behavioral factors, including the risk-taking preferences of low-income households. Consideration of risk provides an alternative explanation for issues related to program take-up, inactivity, and attrition rates. It also offers new and simple ideas on how to improve results. In addressing these problems, the article recommends using an IDA model that includes a flexible match component, to insure against the risk of unmatched savings and complement the existing IDA match structure. Simple modifications to current policy will maintain the total cost of IDA match at the existing levels. Introduction of a flexible match may mitigate the risk of decision to participate in IDA for the most vulnerable group of participants. It can also potentially reduce the percentage of inactive accounts while improving the overall retention rates in the program. Moreover, the recommended changes would not alter the nature of the IDA program, as the flexible match would only amount to a fraction of the total asset investment match.
本文分析了在个人发展账户(IDA)项目背景下风险对贫困人口决策的影响。IDA是一项配套储蓄计划,旨在帮助低收入家庭投资于增值资产。对这些家庭来说,参加国际开发协会所涉及的风险与他们为能够储蓄而减少当前消费(有时是大幅度减少)所作出的牺牲有关。该计划本身并不提供储蓄匹配;相反,只有当储蓄投资于特定资产时,它才提供匹配。由于不能保证国际开发协会的储蓄在登记时就能转化为符合国际开发协会匹配条件的资产,因此参与该计划本质上是一个有风险的决定,它受到一系列不同行为因素的制约,包括低收入家庭的冒险偏好。对风险的考虑为与项目占用、不活动和损失率相关的问题提供了另一种解释。它还提供了如何提高结果的新的和简单的想法。在解决这些问题时,本文建议使用包含灵活匹配组件的IDA模型,以确保避免未匹配节省的风险,并补充现有的IDA匹配结构。对当前政策的简单修改将使国际开发协会匹配的总成本保持在现有水平。引入灵活匹配可以减轻最脆弱的参与者群体决定参加国际开发的风险。它还可以潜在地减少不活跃账户的百分比,同时提高该计划的整体保留率。此外,建议的变更不会改变IDA计划的性质,因为灵活匹配只占总资产投资匹配的一小部分。
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引用次数: 3
How Representative are Representative Workers? An Assessment of the Hypothetical Workers Commonly Used in Social Security Studies 代表工人的代表性如何?对社会保障研究中常用的假设工人的评估
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23367
W. Pfau
An understanding of the financial and distributional consequences of Social Security reform requires knowledge about the actual life circumstances of participants, including the level and pattern of their lifetime earnings and their age at retirement. Some analyses of Social Security reform make simplifying assumptions about these characteristics by using ‘hypothetical workers’ with set career paths. We seek to develop greater understanding about actual lifetime earnings patterns to compare with hypothetical workers and find discrepancies which lead typical hypothetical workers to produce a more favorable impression for defined-contribution pension reforms. We suggest modifications to make a more suitable hypothetical worker.
要了解社会保障改革的财政和分配后果,就需要了解参与者的实际生活情况,包括他们一生收入的水平和模式,以及他们的退休年龄。一些社会保障改革的分析通过使用具有固定职业道路的“假设工人”来简化对这些特征的假设。我们试图对实际的终身收入模式有更深入的了解,以便与假设的工人进行比较,并发现导致典型的假设工人对固定缴款养老金改革产生更有利印象的差异。我们建议修改,以使一个更合适的假想工人。
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引用次数: 1
Cultural Persistence as Behavior Towards Risk: Evidence from the North Carolina Cherokees, 1850-1880 文化坚持作为对风险的行为:来自北卡罗来纳切罗基人的证据,1850-1880
Pub Date : 2009-06-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23363
Matthew T. Gregg
Can economic theory help explain the persistence of a cultural enclave among the Cherokee Indians living in North Carolina during the nineteenth century? To date, Fogelson and Kutsche (1961) and Finger (1984) have identified the continuation of a communal, labor-sharing, agricultural institution called the gadugi as an example of Cherokee agency during a period of substantial upheaval. I contribute to the historiography on ancestral labor traditions by adopting Kimball’s (1988) framework on the function of farming cooperatives to test whether this arrangement sprung up as a form of insurance against the idiosyncratic risk inherent in southern agriculture. Data collected from the 1850-1880 manuscript census returns on North Carolina Cherokee farms are used to compute the variance of household self-sufficiency, which appears substantial enough to warrant a non-market mechanism to pool risk.
经济理论能帮助解释19世纪居住在北卡罗来纳州的切罗基印第安人的文化飞地的持久性吗?迄今为止,Fogelson和Kutsche(1961)以及Finger(1984)已经确定了一种被称为gadugi的公共的、劳动共享的农业制度的延续,作为切罗基人在重大动荡时期的代理的一个例子。通过采用Kimball(1988)关于农业合作社功能的框架,我对祖先劳动传统的历史编纂做出了贡献,以测试这种安排是否作为一种保险形式出现,以对抗南方农业固有的特殊风险。从1850-1880年北卡罗莱纳切罗基农场的人口普查手稿中收集的数据被用来计算家庭自给自足的方差,这似乎足以证明一个非市场机制来分担风险。
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引用次数: 4
Just Generosity: A New Vision for Overcoming Poverty in America, by Ronald J. Sider 《公正的慷慨:美国克服贫困的新愿景》,作者罗纳德·j·西德
Pub Date : 2009-04-15 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.22711
S. Myers
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引用次数: 0
Globalisation and Wage Inequality: A Comparison of the Manufacturing Sector in Canada and the United States from 1970 to 2001 全球化与工资不平等:1970年至2001年加拿大和美国制造业比较
Pub Date : 2009-04-15 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.22705
G. Grenier, A. Tavakoli
This article compares Canada and the United States in terms ofthe evolution of the relative wages of production and non-productionworkers in the manufacturing sector. The results show that the wageratio is affected by similar economic globalisation variables in eachcountry. Other than technological changes, however, the overall effectof globalisation is more pronounced in Canada. Among economicglobalisation variables, such as technological changes and importsfrom developing countries, the latter has had a less harmful effecton low-skilled workers in the United States than those in Canada.Among the other variables, the wage gap is more affected by uniondensity in Canada. The impact of immigration is low in both countries.
本文就制造业生产工人和非生产工人相对工资的演变比较了加拿大和美国。结果表明,各国的工资比受到相似的经济全球化变量的影响。然而,除了技术变革之外,全球化的整体影响在加拿大更为明显。在经济全球化变量中,如技术变革和来自发展中国家的进口,后者对美国低技能工人的有害影响要小于加拿大。在其他变量中,工资差距更受加拿大工会密度的影响。移民对这两个国家的影响都很低。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Income Distribution®
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