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A Continuous-Time Model of Income Dynamics 收入动态的连续时间模型
Pub Date : 2011-04-19 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.22724
T. Heimann, M. Trede
Most models of income dynamics are set in a discrete-time framework with an arbitrarily chosen accounting period. This article introduces a continuous-time stochastic model of income flows, without the need to define an accounting period. Our model can be estimated using unbalanced panel data with arbitrarily spaced observations. Although our model describes the stochastic properties of income flows, estimation is based on observed incomes accruing during time intervals of possibly varying length. Our model of income dynamics is close in spirit to the discrete-time two-stage models prevalent in the literature. We impose a parsimoniously parameterized continuous-time stochastic process (possibly containing a unit root) to model the deviation from a traditional earnings function. We illustrate our approach by estimating a simplified model using microeconomic data from the German social security agency from 1975 to 1995.
大多数收入动态模型都是在一个任意选择的会计期间的离散时间框架中设置的。本文介绍了收入流的连续时间随机模型,而不需要定义会计期间。我们的模型可以使用任意间隔观测的不平衡面板数据进行估计。虽然我们的模型描述了收入流的随机特性,但估计是基于在可能不同长度的时间间隔内观察到的收入积累。我们的收入动态模型在精神上接近文献中流行的离散时间两阶段模型。我们施加了一个简约参数化的连续时间随机过程(可能包含一个单位根)来模拟与传统收益函数的偏差。我们通过使用1975年至1995年德国社会保障机构的微观经济数据估计一个简化模型来说明我们的方法。
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引用次数: 4
Lorenz Curve Interpolation and the Gini Coefficient 洛伦兹曲线插值与基尼系数
Pub Date : 2010-09-26 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.17724
Nicholas Rohde
This article presents a simple non-polynomial spline that may be used to construct Lorenz curves from grouped data. The spline is naturally convex and works by determining a series of piecewise segments that may be joined to give a smooth and continuous Lorenz curve. The method is illustrated with an empirical example using income decile data from the Philippines from 1991-2003 where the proposed technique is used alongside other parametric and non-parametric methods. We also use the spline to approximate some known Lorenz curves and assess the technique by comparing the estimated Gini coefficient to the known Gini. Our findings suggest that the method is an attractive addition to the body of techniques used for developing Lorenz curves from grouped data.
本文提出了一种简单的非多项式样条,可用于从分组数据中构造洛伦兹曲线。样条自然是凸的,通过确定一系列分段来工作,这些分段可以连接在一起,形成光滑连续的洛伦兹曲线。该方法通过使用菲律宾1991-2003年收入十分位数数据的经验示例进行说明,其中所提出的技术与其他参数和非参数方法一起使用。我们还使用样条来近似一些已知的洛伦兹曲线,并通过比较估计的基尼系数和已知的基尼系数来评估该技术。我们的研究结果表明,该方法是用于从分组数据中开发洛伦兹曲线的技术体的一个有吸引力的补充。
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引用次数: 2
Macro/Micro Modelling and Gini Multi-Decomposition: An Application to the Philippines 宏观/微观模型和基尼系数多重分解:在菲律宾的应用
Pub Date : 2010-09-26 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.17482
Stéphane Mussard, L. Savard
Macro/micro-economic modelling has emerged as a rigorous instrument to link policy reforms with changes in income distribution. Indeed, this approach enables one to capture directly the general equilibrium effect of policy reforms upon changes in household welfare. These endogenous distributions combined with the Gini multi-decomposition provide powerful and detailed information for policy-makers interested in the trade-off between inequality and the efficient impact of reforms. Our results show that including the general equilibrium effect can yield results that differ from those of partial equilibrium analysis.
宏观/微观经济模型已成为将政策改革与收入分配变化联系起来的一种严格工具。事实上,这种方法使人们能够直接捕捉到政策改革对家庭福利变化的一般均衡效应。这些内生分布与基尼系数多重分解相结合,为关注不平等与改革的有效影响之间的权衡的政策制定者提供了有力而详细的信息。我们的结果表明,包括一般平衡效应可以得到不同于部分平衡分析的结果。
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引用次数: 1
Convergence of Spanish Regions, 1990-2003. A New Approach Using Stochastic Dominance Techniques 西班牙地区趋同,1990-2003。随机优势技术的一种新方法
Pub Date : 2010-03-19 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.11362
Carmelo García, Ismael Ahamdanech, M. Prieto
The traditional analysis of economic convergence between countries or regions is usually performed by comparing distribution means, such as per-capita income. This kind of analysis, which is intimately related to the economic welfare of a society, presents, however, only a partial approach to measuring economic convergence, given that the disparities within regions or countries are not considered. The empirical methodology used in this article complements the traditional convergence approach, introducing efficiency and inequality aspects of income distribution. Using first and second stochastic dominance, the convergence among Spanish regions from 1990 to 2003 is studied by means of two new statistics developed here. Per-capita income data taken from the Encuesta de Presupuestos Familiares (EPF [the Spanish Household Budget Survey]) of 1990-1991 and the Spanish Survey on Income and Living Conditions (SILC) of 2003 are employed to make the comparisons. We find that a divergence process is taking place in Spain between rich and poor regions
对国家或地区间经济趋同的传统分析通常是通过比较分配手段来进行的,例如人均收入。这种与一个社会的经济福利密切相关的分析,由于没有考虑区域或国家内部的差异,只是提供了衡量经济趋同的部分方法。本文使用的实证方法补充了传统的收敛方法,引入了收入分配的效率和不平等方面。本文利用一阶和二阶随机优势,研究了1990 - 2003年西班牙地区间的收敛性。本文采用1990-1991年西班牙家庭预算调查(EPF)和2003年西班牙收入和生活条件调查(SILC)的人均收入数据进行比较。我们发现,西班牙的富裕地区和贫困地区之间正在发生分化过程
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引用次数: 2
Dynamics of Factor Income Shares in the United States 美国要素收入份额的动态
Pub Date : 2010-03-19 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.15290
Philip N. Jefferson, Frederic L. Pryor
This essay examines the cyclical behavior and stability properties of four different measures of the labor share of income in the United States from 1948 through 2006. The evidence suggests that the share exhibits instability. This instability is sensitive to the measure of labor share deployed and whether that measure has been adjusted for the changing sectoral composition of production over time. We test a number of competing hypotheses about the determinants of the behavior of cyclical labor share, showing that its movements are traceable to just two indicators of the business cycle, namely lagged gross domestic product (GDP) and lagged multifactor productivity.
本文考察了1948年至2006年美国劳动收入占比的四种不同衡量标准的周期性行为和稳定性。有证据表明,这一比例表现出不稳定性。这种不稳定性对劳动收入占比的衡量指标以及该指标是否根据生产部门构成的变化进行了调整很敏感。我们测试了一些关于周期性劳动份额行为决定因素的相互竞争的假设,表明其运动可追溯到商业周期的两个指标,即滞后的国内生产总值(GDP)和滞后的多要素生产率。
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引用次数: 1
Agricultural Policy Reform and Its Impact on Farm Households Income Inequality 农业政策改革及其对农户收入不平等的影响
Pub Date : 2010-03-01 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.16182
A. Mishra, H. El-Osta, Saleem Shaik
In the United States the 1996 agricultural policy reform ushered in market-oriented farm policies and also gave farmers a seven-year lump-sum payment that was not tied to production. Some scholars argue that farm program payments have changed the distribution of income among farm households. Our study uses a national farmlevel survey for 1996-2001 to investigate a) the distribution of income among farm households, b) the sources that contribute to income inequality, and c) the role of farm program payments in equalizing income. Results show a high but declining income inequality between 1996 and 2001. Among the income components that contributed the most to income inequality was an income component labeled Income from farming and all other sources. Findings further show that marginal increases in both off-farm labor income and farm program payments reduce income inequality. The impact of various income components on overall reduction in income inequality therefore depends on a household’s participation in off-farm work and government farm programs.
在美国,1996年的农业政策改革引入了以市场为导向的农业政策,并向农民提供了与生产无关的七年一次性付款。一些学者认为,农业项目的支付改变了农户之间的收入分配。我们的研究使用了1996-2001年的全国农场水平调查,以调查a)农户之间的收入分配,b)导致收入不平等的来源,以及c)农业项目支付在平衡收入方面的作用。结果显示,1996年至2001年间,收入不平等程度很高,但正在下降。在对收入不平等贡献最大的收入组成部分中,标有农业和所有其他来源收入的收入组成部分。研究结果进一步表明,非农劳动收入和农业项目支出的边际增长都会减少收入不平等。因此,各种收入构成对总体减少收入不平等的影响取决于家庭对非农工作和政府农业计划的参与程度。
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引用次数: 5
Assets of the Market, Assets of the Rural World: Pastoral MarketIncome Distribution in the Senegalese Sahel (Ferlo) 市场的资产,农村世界的资产:畜牧市场——塞内加尔萨赫勒地区的收入分布(Ferlo)
Pub Date : 2009-12-15 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23689
A. Wane, I. Toure, Véronique Ancey
Based on primary data obtained through investigations in Ferlo(Senegalese Sahel) during a whole year, from the rainy season of 2005to the rainy season of 2006, this article presents a thorough analysisof the market income distribution of several pastoral communitiesand sees it in its political perspectives. The global Gini index of thispastoral region, 52.8%, is explained particularly by between-sites inequalityat 79%, although within-site inequality represents only 21%.Paradoxically, there is no bigger equality in areas well served by basicinfrastructures. The efficiency of national livestock policies and areaplanning should be questioned. At the economic analysis level, theseresults show the need to maintain and secure herders’ movements andthus complete the current research with an ecological point of view.
根据在费罗(塞内加尔萨赫勒地区)从2005年雨季到2006年雨季一整年的调查获得的原始数据,本文对几个牧区的市场收入分配进行了全面分析,并从政治角度进行了分析。该牧区的全球基尼指数为52.8%,特别是由站点之间的不平等解释为79%,尽管站点内部的不平等仅占21%。矛盾的是,在基础设施完备的地区,没有更大的平等。国家畜牧业政策和地区规划的效率应该受到质疑。在经济分析层面,这些结果表明需要维持和保障牧民的活动,从而从生态学的角度完成当前的研究。
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引用次数: 10
How important were social and labour market policies in reducingpoverty across different families in Argentina? A dynamic approach 社会和劳动力市场政策在减少阿根廷不同家庭的贫困方面有多重要?动态方法
Pub Date : 2009-12-15 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23686
R. Maurizio, Bárbara Perrot, Soledad Villafañe
The article analyzes the factors associated with the reduction ofpoverty between 2003 and 2006 in Argentina. In particular, it examinesthe role of the labour market, monetary transfers, and demographicfactors in poverty exits, taking into account the family compositionof households. The data used comes from the Encuestas Permanentesde Hogares (EPH) [Permanent Household Survey]. Resultsindicate that labour market events are the most important factors associatedwith these transitions because they are more frequent and alsobecause they have a more significant impact on family incomes. Inaddition, the results show that households with children and femalehousehold heads face greater difficulties to exit poverty than the rest ofthe households.
本文分析了2003年至2006年阿根廷减少贫困的相关因素。特别是,考虑到家庭的家庭组成,它研究了劳动力市场、货币转移和人口因素在摆脱贫困方面的作用。所使用的数据来自常住住户调查。结果表明,劳动力市场事件是与这些转变相关的最重要因素,因为它们更频繁,也因为它们对家庭收入的影响更大。此外,结果表明,有孩子和女性户主的家庭比其他家庭面临更大的脱贫困难。
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引用次数: 7
Equal opportunities for all children in Vietnam? Assessing thedistribution of child poverty from a monetary and multidimensionalperspective 越南所有的孩子都有平等的机会?从货币和多维角度评估儿童贫困的分布
Pub Date : 2009-12-15 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23688
K. Roelen, F. Gassmann
Despite two decades of rapid economic growth in Vietnam, childpoverty remains a sizeable problem. This article investigates the distributionof child poverty and the existence of horizontal inequalities overa variety of groups in Vietnam using a multitude of poverty measures.Findings suggest that the burden of child poverty is unequally sharedby demographic and socio-economic groups. Conclusions about thedegree of inequality and the groups that are disproportionately affecteddepend on the poverty indicator used for analysis. The set of povertyindicators provides complementary information to gain an in-depth understandingof the distribution of child poverty in Vietnam.
尽管越南经历了20年的快速经济增长,但儿童贫困仍然是一个相当大的问题。本文使用多种贫困指标调查了越南儿童贫困的分布和各种群体之间存在的横向不平等。调查结果表明,人口和社会经济群体对儿童贫困负担的分担不平等。关于不平等程度和受不成比例影响的群体的结论取决于用于分析的贫困指标。这组贫困指标为深入了解越南儿童贫困分布提供了补充信息。
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引用次数: 3
Per-capita income versus household-need adjusted income: across-country comparison 人均收入与家庭需求调整后收入:跨国比较
Pub Date : 2009-12-15 DOI: 10.25071/1874-6322.23677
Christos Koulovatianos, Polina Minkovski, Carsten Schröder
We use data from the Luxembourg Income Study in order to quantifythe economy-wide monetary gains achieved by Household-SizeEconomies, due to the within-household sharing of goods by individualsliving in multi-member households. In most of the twenty countrieswe examine, we observe a decline in monetary gains achievedby Household-Size Economies over time. This decline is the resultof a demographic trend towards smaller-sized household units, ratherthan a change in the shares of aggregate disposable income earned byhousehold types of different size.
我们使用来自卢森堡收入研究的数据,以量化家庭规模经济体所实现的经济范围内的货币收益,这是由于生活在多成员家庭中的个人在家庭内部分享商品。在我们研究的20个国家中,我们观察到家庭规模经济体的货币收益随着时间的推移而下降。这种下降是人口趋向于家庭规模变小的结果,而不是不同规模的家庭在总可支配收入中所占份额的变化。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Income Distribution®
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