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Political Economy of China 中国的政治经济分析
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0325
E. Tsang
This article explores why the younger generation of China’s emergent middle class embraces conspicuous consumption but is not interested in politics. Collectively, this behavior is motivated by the quest for social recognition and status, but there are also signs the behavior is sanctioned—if not subtly guided—by the ruling Communist party’s logic of governing. Using the Foucauldian concept of “governmentality,” this article posits that the authoritarian Chinese regime tacitly utilizes noncoercive means to direct the middle class away from activism toward conspicuous consumption. Specifically, through tactics like real name registration (RNR) and value-laden mass media ads and programs, an environment is created that encourages conspicuous consumption as a form of calculated “pastoral” control. This allows government to guide without confrontation. Consequently, the emergent middle class is confronted with the pressure to navigate their own consumption patterns to align with the government’s quasi-veiled preferences that the citizenry should engage with materialist consumption rather than politics. China uses governmentality to orient the new middle-class citizen to consume and to steer away from political engagement that poses a possible threat to the communist regime. Despite insightful arguments about both consumption and governmentality and a growing scholarly interest in the rise of the middle class in China few studies examine the relationship between the conspicuous consumption habits of the Chinese middle class and the governmentality of the ruling party, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Mass media and consumer culture reinforce each other to create a stable climate based upon market rationality and consumerism. The CCP has two roles in indoctrinating the new middle class through noncoercive ways. The mobilization of mass media in terms of real name registration and traditional media outlets such as newspapers reflect a way of life that allows middle class citizens to maintain their good life and status to pursue their dreams under Xi’s regime. This status persists through consumption for the self and others (as a practice of gift giving) alongside apolitical involvement. The CCP focuses on entrepreneurs’ success stories as the epitome of good citizenship. Participation in political activities is discouraged by removing it from even being mentioned, discussed, or even shown in any of these accounts. This indirectly positions apolitical involvement as a lifestyle that allows citizens to be cosmopolitan individuals and quality (suzhi素質) citizens in post-Reform China.
本文探讨了为什么中国新兴中产阶级的年轻一代喜欢炫耀性消费,但对政治不感兴趣。总的来说,这种行为是出于对社会认可和地位的追求,但也有迹象表明,这种行为受到了执政的共产党执政逻辑的认可——如果不是巧妙地引导的话。本文运用傅的“政府心态”概念,认为威权主义的中国政权暗中利用非商业手段引导中产阶级从激进主义转向炫耀性消费。具体而言,通过实名制注册(RNR)和充满价值的大众媒体广告和节目等策略,创造了一个鼓励炫耀性消费的环境,作为一种精心策划的“田园”控制形式。这使政府能够在没有对抗的情况下进行指导。因此,新兴的中产阶级面临着驾驭自己的消费模式的压力,以符合政府的准隐性偏好,即公民应该参与唯物主义消费,而不是政治。中国利用政府心态引导新的中产阶级公民消费,并远离可能对共产主义政权构成威胁的政治参与。尽管关于消费和政府心态的争论很有见地,学术界对中国中产阶级的崛起也越来越感兴趣,但很少有研究考察中国中产阶级明显的消费习惯与执政党中国共产党的政府心态之间的关系。大众传媒与消费文化相辅相成,创造了基于市场理性和消费主义的稳定氛围。中国共产党在通过非竞争性方式向新中产阶级灌输思想方面有两个作用。大众媒体在实名登记和报纸等传统媒体方面的动员反映了一种生活方式,即在Xi政权下,中产阶级能够保持良好的生活和地位来追求自己的梦想。这种地位通过为自己和他人消费(作为一种送礼的做法)以及非政治参与而持续存在。中国共产党把企业家的成功故事作为良好公民的缩影。参与政治活动是不鼓励的,因为它甚至没有被提及、讨论,甚至没有出现在任何这些报道中。这间接地将非政治参与定位为一种生活方式,使公民成为国际化的个人和品质(苏芝素質) 改革后中国的公民。
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引用次数: 2
Narrative Analysis 叙事分析
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0324
Shaul R. Shenhav
One may plausibly assume that the current academic interest in narrative research stems from a growing awareness that human beings are by their very nature storytellers, and that the stories we make become part of who we are, be it as individuals or groups. Indeed, narrative analysis has gained wide ground in many fields of the humanities and social sciences. This bibliography article is intended primarily for students and scholars of politics, but it can be of use for readers and researchers from other disciplinary backgrounds in the social sciences. While political scholars may not be among the pioneers that embraced “the narrative turn,” the connection between politics and narratives is of very long standing. A common reference in this regard is Plato’s discussion on the education of the guardians in the third book of his Republic. For all that, scholars and students of politics who wish to get acquainted with seminal works in narrative research should venture beyond political science into literature studies, sociology, communication, linguistics, historiography, psychology, and many other fields. In fact, the leading approach to systematic study of narratives, known as “narratology,” was developed mainly by literary scholars and is yet to be adapted to questions salient to politics. Therefore it is only right that scholars who wish to engage in narrative study should be able to familiarize themselves with works outside their particular field of expertise. Even a cursory overview of the use of narratives in political science reveals a wide diversity of epistemological and ontological trajectories. The reason is that narrative analysis in political science does not emanate from a preexisting tradition or stream of research, but rather is based on an adaptation of various narrative elements to address an array of questions related to that discipline. Moreover, the variety of assumptions regarding the concept of narrative, manifested in other disciplines, is typical of political studies as well. Such a plurality of definitions and concepts makes the review of selected narrative studies a veritably daunting task. Given the rich, broad, and diverse contents, issues, and methodologies addressed and utilized by scholars who apply narrative analysis in political science, organizing the body of narrative research into clear-cut sections and avoiding overlaps is not always feasible. It is possible, however, to map main trends in the study of narrative analysis in political science. This bibliography begins with a General Overviews and Methodological Sources section. The next several sections largely proceed from studies that emphasize individual perspectives, to research targeting groups and national states, to examinations of the international arena. Several subsequent sections cite mainly investigations concerned with theoretical issues regarding the use of narrative approaches in the political domain. The concluding section comprises a list of fundam
有人可能会合理地认为,当前学术界对叙事研究的兴趣源于人们越来越意识到,人类天生就是讲故事的人,我们所讲的故事成为了我们的一部分,无论是作为个人还是群体。事实上,叙事分析已经在人文社会科学的许多领域获得了广泛的应用。这篇参考书目文章主要面向政治专业的学生和学者,但也可供来自社会科学其他学科背景的读者和研究人员使用。虽然政治学者可能不是接受“叙事转向”的先驱之一,但政治和叙事之间的联系由来已久。在这方面,一个常见的参考是柏拉图在《理想国》第三本书中对监护人教育的讨论。尽管如此,希望了解叙事研究开创性著作的学者和政治学学生应该超越政治学,涉足文学研究、社会学、传播学、语言学、史学、心理学和许多其他领域。事实上,被称为“叙事学”的叙事系统研究的主要方法主要是由文学学者发展起来的,尚未适应政治的突出问题。因此,希望从事叙事研究的学者应该能够熟悉他们特定专业领域之外的作品,这是唯一正确的。即使是对叙事在政治学中的使用进行粗略的概述,也会揭示出认识论和本体论轨迹的广泛多样性。原因是,政治学中的叙事分析并非源于先前存在的传统或研究流,而是基于对各种叙事元素的改编,以解决与该学科相关的一系列问题。此外,关于叙事概念的各种假设,表现在其他学科中,也是政治研究的典型。如此多的定义和概念使得对所选叙事研究的审查成为一项真正艰巨的任务。鉴于政治学中应用叙事分析的学者所处理和使用的内容、问题和方法丰富、广泛、多样,将叙事研究的主体组织成清晰的部分并避免重叠并不总是可行的。然而,绘制政治学叙事分析研究的主要趋势是可能的。本参考书目以“概述和方法论来源”部分开始。接下来的几个部分主要从强调个人观点的研究,到针对群体和国家的研究,再到对国际舞台的考察。随后的几节主要引用了与在政治领域使用叙事方法有关的理论问题的调查。结论部分包括一份与对叙事和政治感兴趣的学者相关的基本方法来源和期刊列表。
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引用次数: 0
German Politics and Government 德国政治与政府
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0321
Louise K. Davidson-Schmich
Due to Germany’s prior history of foreign aggression, its important role in the contemporary global economy, and its unique social market economy, the post–World War II German political system has been widely studied by both German- and English-speaking scholars. This article begins by outlining some general overviews of German politics and history as well as textbooks and academic journals covering the subject. It also includes links to leading German-language news sources. It then turns its attention to German political institutions and depicts treatments of the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of government followed by studies of multilevel governance at the European, state, and local levels. The subsequent section delves into the important role played by political parties in Germany; this section also explores treatments of individual parties. Then the bibliography covers the German electoral system, voting behavior, and specific national elections. It then covers scholarly treatments of the political elites. The discussion then turns away from formal political institutions and leaders toward the societal influences on them. This portion of the article begins by examining literature on political culture, immigration, and social movements in Germany. The final portion of the bibliography focuses on interest groups and policy making in a number of areas, including economic and foreign policy.
由于德国之前的对外侵略历史,其在当代全球经济中的重要作用,以及其独特的社会市场经济,二战后的德国政治制度被德语和英语学者广泛研究。本文首先概述了一些关于德国政治和历史的概述,以及涵盖这一主题的教科书和学术期刊。它还包括指向主要德语新闻来源的链接。然后,它将注意力转向德国的政治制度,描述了政府行政、立法和司法部门的待遇,随后研究了欧洲、州和地方各级的多层次治理。接下来的部分探讨了政党在德国所扮演的重要角色;本节还探讨了对个别当事人的处理。然后,参考书目涵盖了德国的选举制度、投票行为和具体的国家选举。然后涵盖了对政治精英的学术研究。然后,讨论从正式的政治机构和领导人转向对他们的社会影响。文章的这一部分首先考察了有关德国政治文化、移民和社会运动的文献。参考书目的最后一部分侧重于利益集团和一些领域的政策制定,包括经济和外交政策。
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引用次数: 0
Referendums and Direct Democracy 公民投票与直接民主
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0323
M. Qvortrup
Referendums have been defined as popular votes on bills before they become laws. However, referendums can also be held on existing laws or constitutions (as in the cases of the British referendum on membership in the European Union in 2016 or the Irish vote on abortion in 2017). In addition to these types, there are initiatives, defined as popular votes on laws proposed by the citizens, and plebiscites, which are votes by the whole population in authoritarian states. Scholars have sometimes disagreed as to the definition of referendums. Some have adopted the general umbrella term MDD (Mechanisms of Direct Democracy) to cover all these different types of institutionalized direct or semidirect democracy. But the word referendum has been used as the general signifier.
公民投票被定义为在法案成为法律之前对其进行普选。然而,公民投票也可以根据现有法律或宪法进行(如2016年英国关于加入欧盟的公民投票或2017年爱尔兰关于堕胎的投票)。除了这些类型之外,还有倡议,即公民对法律提出的普选,以及公民投票,即威权国家全体人民的投票。学者们有时对公民投票的定义意见不一。一些人采用了一般的总括术语MDD(直接民主机制)来涵盖所有这些不同类型的制度化直接或半直接民主。但公民投票这个词已经被用作一般的象征。
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引用次数: 0
Public Opinion in Africa 非洲舆论
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-09-24 DOI: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0318
Jeffrey Conroy-Krutz
Projects to measure public opinion in Africa have increased considerably in the last two decades. Earlier data-collection efforts focused on health and economic development, with limited attempts to gauge public opinion before the late 1990s. Possibilities expanded as a wave of political liberalizations swept the continent after the Cold War, and as government limitations on speech freedoms and survey research loosened. Knowledge about public opinion remains uneven, however; more surveys are conducted in wealthier, more stable, and more democratic countries. Various actors are leading these efforts. Academic and research organizations have been at the forefront, with Afrobarometer, which has conducted surveys in about two-thirds of African countries since 1999, the most prominent. The majority of studies are conducted by for-profit companies, media houses, and political campaigns, and many results are never publicly released. The growth in surveys of public opinion in Africa has had important ramifications across a number of realms. Academics have developed and tested new theories on how Africans respond to and shape their political and economic systems, and some long-standing theories have been challenged with newly available empirical evidence. Candidates and parties attempt to measure public opinion as they develop mobilizational and persuasive campaign strategies. Election observers have used survey data collected before and after voting to assess whether official results comport with citizens’ preferences. And international and domestic policymakers have increasingly used public opinion data from Africa to determine economic and political development priorities, and to assess the effectiveness of various programs. However, there is evidence that the survey enterprise in Africa is becoming increasingly politicized, with some officials attempting to block the release of potentially embarrassing results, or preventing surveys from being conducted altogether, and other political actors attacking survey organizations when they do not like what the data show. As organizations conducting public opinion surveys in Africa modify their strategies in the face of new technologies and changing political contexts, the ever-increasing availability of data on what Africans think about how their countries are and should be governed continues to fundamentally change academic understanding, policymaking, and actual political competition.
在过去二十年中,衡量非洲公众舆论的项目大幅增加。早期的数据收集工作侧重于卫生和经济发展,在20世纪90年代末之前,衡量公众舆论的尝试有限。随着冷战后政治自由化浪潮席卷欧洲大陆,以及政府对言论自由和调查研究的限制放松,可能性扩大。然而,对公众舆论的了解仍然参差不齐;更多的调查是在更富裕、更稳定、更民主的国家进行的。各种行动者正在领导这些努力。学术和研究组织一直站在最前沿,自1999年以来,Afrobarometer在约三分之二的非洲国家进行了调查,是最突出的。大多数研究都是由营利性公司、媒体和政治运动进行的,许多结果从未公开发布。非洲民意调查的增长在许多领域产生了重要影响。学术界已经发展并测试了关于非洲人如何应对和塑造其政治和经济体系的新理论,一些长期存在的理论也受到了新的经验证据的挑战。候选人和政党在制定动员性和说服性的竞选策略时,试图衡量公众舆论。选举观察员使用投票前后收集的调查数据来评估官方结果是否符合公民的偏好。国际和国内政策制定者越来越多地使用非洲的民意数据来确定经济和政治发展的优先事项,并评估各种计划的有效性。然而,有证据表明,非洲的调查企业正变得越来越政治化,一些官员试图阻止公布可能令人尴尬的结果,或阻止调查完全进行,其他政治行为者在不喜欢数据显示时攻击调查组织。随着在非洲进行民意调查的组织在面对新技术和不断变化的政治环境时修改其战略,关于非洲人对其国家如何治理和应该如何治理的看法的数据不断增加,这将继续从根本上改变学术理解、决策和实际政治竞争。
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引用次数: 0
Political Roles and Activities of Former Presidents and Prime Ministers 前总统和总理的政治作用和活动
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-09-24 DOI: 10.1093/obo/9780199756223-0317
Lisa Anderson
Over the last century, thanks to the greater number of independent countries and longer human life spans, there is a larger pool of former presidents and prime ministers than at any time in history. The existence of this unusual collection of political figures—at once publicly renowned and potentially influential yet technically powerless—has triggered several lines of academic research. Scholars have asked whether the prospect of life-after-office shapes policy choices of leaders while they are in office, and if so how. This line of inquiry includes studies of both dictators and democratically elected presidents and prime ministers. In addition, scholars have examined what political leaders who retire, are term-limited, or are defeated in running for reelection—that is, democratic politicians—actually do after they are out of office. Three issues are thought to be uppermost in their minds: the mundane personal question of how to support themselves and their families; the somewhat loftier reputational issue of how to secure their standing and place in history; and the delicate political matter of how to deploy their accumulated skill and experience usefully and tactfully, without causing trouble to themselves or their political allies and enterprises. Finally, an emerging line of research examines how the increasingly large number of ex-presidents and former prime ministers in the world contribute to shaping global policy debates and institutions. In fact, however, all of this together does not constitute a large body of research and the student in this field is obliged to resort very quickly to primary sources, from self-serving memoirs and fawning mission statements to hostile investigative reporting and unfriendly partisan journalism; the compensatory reward is much livelier prose than the conventional academic treatise.
这群不寻常的政治人物——既有公众声望,又有潜在影响力,但在技术上却无能为力——的存在引发了几条学术研究路线。学者们问,卸任后的生活前景是否会影响领导人在职期间的政策选择,如果会,又是如何影响的。这条调查路线既包括对独裁者的研究,也包括对民选总统和总理的研究。此外,学者们还研究了退休、任期有限或竞选连任失败的政治领导人——即民主政治家——卸任后的实际行为。在他们的脑海中,有三个问题被认为是最重要的:如何养活自己和家人的世俗个人问题;如何确保他们在历史上的地位和地位,这是一个更崇高的声誉问题;还有一个微妙的政治问题,如何有效而巧妙地运用他们积累的技能和经验,而不给他们自己或他们的政治盟友和企业带来麻烦。然而,事实上,所有这些加在一起并不能构成一个庞大的研究体系,这个领域的学生不得不很快求助于第一手资料,从自私自利的回忆录和奉承的使命声明,到充满敌意的调查报道和不友好的党派新闻;这种补偿性的奖励是比传统的学术论文生动得多的散文。
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引用次数: 0
Do election polls increase individual understanding of politics? 选举调查是否增加了个人对政治的理解?
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00323187.2021.1931373
Ching-Hsing Wang, D. Weng
ABSTRACT Election polls have been widely used to probe and understand the public’s political attitudes and behaviour. However, they might simultaneously motivate people to seek information about the questions they do not know when they are asked in the polls. Given that past studies have ignored the role of polls in motivating individual information seeking, this study aims to examine the effect of polls on individual knowledge of the electoral system. Specifically, this study addresses whether individuals’ participation in the election poll would increase their understanding of the electoral system of the legislative election in Taiwan. Using survey data from Taiwan’s Election and Democratisation Study (TEDS) 2016 presidential and legislative elections, this study finds that people who are asked questions about the legislative election in the first survey are more likely to provide correct answers in the second survey compared to their counterparts. The findings imply that election polls are not only tools for understanding public opinion on competing parties or candidates and policy issues, but also for stimulating individuals to understand politics.
摘要选举民调已被广泛用于调查和了解公众的政治态度和行为。然而,当人们在民意调查中被问及他们不知道的问题时,它们可能会同时激励人们寻求信息。鉴于过去的研究忽视了民意调查在激发个人信息寻求方面的作用,本研究旨在检验民意调查对个人对选举制度知识的影响。具体而言,本研究探讨个人参与选举投票是否会增加他们对台湾立法会选举制度的了解。利用台湾2016年总统和立法会选举与民主化研究(TEDS)的调查数据,本研究发现,与同行相比,在第一次调查中被问及立法会选举问题的人更有可能在第二次调查中提供正确答案。调查结果表明,选举民调不仅是了解公众对竞争政党或候选人和政策问题的看法的工具,也是激励个人理解政治的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Do diplomatic visits promote official development aid? Evidence from Japan 外交访问能促进官方发展援助吗?来自日本的证据
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00323187.2021.1948344
Hiroyuki Hoshiro
Do diplomatic visits by political leaders of recipient countries to donors influence the amount of bilateral Official Development Assistance (ODA) granted by donors? Some might argue that as aid allocation is already determined by a donor’s cost and benefit calculation, diplomatic visits do not affect the donor’s aid allocation behaviour. Despite the importance of answering such questions regarding the determinants of aid allocation, no research has been conducted on this topic. Focusing on the case of Japan, this study explores the relationship between diplomatic visits from recipients and aid allocation. Since the 1960s, Japan has been one of the top five aid-giving countries of the world; however, its motives have been criticised as self-interested and solely in pursuit of ulterior economic interests. Through an analysis of panel data measuring ODA given by Japan to 179 recipient countries between 1969 and 2015, this paper reached the following conclusions. First, diplomatic visits to Japan by political leaders from aid recipient countries resulted in said countries receiving increased bilateral ODA from Japan in cases where countries were already receiving aid from Japan. The more diplomatic visits made to Japan, the greater the increase in aid. This result can be explained by three mechanisms: (1) diplomatic visits are a costly signal of developing countries’ need for aid, (2) visits to donor countries would create domestic political pressure in donor countries when visitors openly require financial assistance, and (3) face-to-face talks are likely to provide opportunities for leaders of a donor to gain greater knowledge of recipients’ needs. This result was verified using different models and several robustness checks such as an instrumental variables approach that accounts for reverse causality and endogeneity, error-correction model (ECM), which can control for temporal dependence and the problem of co-integration. Second, diplomatic visits were shown to have no relation with the initiation of new aid agreements in cases of developing countries that have not received aid from Japan in the past. This is because, there are only few countries such as North Korea that do not receive ODA from Japan when their leaders visit Japan for the first time. This result implies that aid initiation has other causes rather than diplomatic visits. This study makes two contributions to the study of aid allocation and international relations. Although a considerable amount of quantitative research on aid allocation
受援国政治领导人对援助国的外交访问是否会影响援助国提供的双边官方发展援助数额?有些人可能会争辩说,由于援助分配已经由捐助国的成本和收益计算决定,外交访问不会影响捐助国的援助分配行为。尽管回答这些关于援助分配决定因素的问题很重要,但尚未对这一主题进行研究。本研究以日本为例,探讨受援国外交访问与援助分配之间的关系。自20世纪60年代以来,日本一直是世界五大援助国之一;然而,它的动机被批评为自私自利,仅仅是为了追求不可告人的经济利益。本文通过对1969 - 2015年间日本向179个受援国提供的官方发展援助的面板数据进行分析,得出以下结论:首先,受援国政治领导人对日本的外交访问导致受援国在已经接受日本援助的情况下从日本获得更多的双边官方发展援助。对日外交访问越多,援助增加越多。这一结果可以用三种机制来解释:(1)外交访问是一个代价高昂的信号,表明发展中国家需要援助;(2)访问捐助国,当访问者公开要求财政援助时,会给捐助国造成国内政治压力;(3)面对面会谈可能为捐助国领导人提供机会,使他们更了解受援国的需求。这一结果是通过不同的模型和几个稳健性检查来验证的,例如解释反向因果关系和内生性的工具变量方法,可以控制时间依赖性和协整问题的误差校正模型(ECM)。第二,对于过去没有得到日本援助的发展中国家来说,外交访问与启动新的援助协议没有关系。这是因为,像北韩这样在首脑首次访日时没有得到日本官方发展援助的国家很少。这一结果表明,援助启动有其他原因,而不是外交访问。本研究对援助分配和国际关系的研究有两个贡献。虽然对援助分配的定量研究相当多
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引用次数: 3
Soft power is not so soft: is a reconciliation between China’s core interests and foreign policy practices possible? 软实力并不那么软:中国的核心利益与外交政策实践之间是否有可能达成和解?
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00323187.2021.1948345
Christina Lai
ABSTRACT China’s improved diplomatic relations with Asian countries have been characterised by positive engagement with regional organisations. However, cross-nation opinion surveys show that China’s approval in the region has declined significantly since2013. Why does this gap exist, and what can China do to close it? More importantly, how can Beijing effectively align its policy objectives with its soft-power tools to gain more support among its Asian neighbours?This article argues that reconciliation between China’s core interests and its soft power discourse is possible and desirable, as China’s self-restraint, assuring, and leadership practices are crucial sources of China’s policy practices. First, it claims that China’s soft power discourse matters greatly, as a rising country needs to express its good intentions to others in avoiding an anti-China alliance. Secondly, it proposes a feasible framework to reconcile China’s core interests and its soft power policy, in which Beijing could be firm in its official stances and flexible in its execution.It offers an in-depth analysis of three case studies: China’s North Korea policy, its handling in the South China Sea disputes, and its governance in Hong Kong. Finally, it concludes with substantive implications for East Asian politics.
中国与亚洲国家外交关系的改善以积极参与地区组织为特征。然而,跨国民意调查显示,自2013年以来,中国在该地区的支持率大幅下降。为什么会存在这种差距?中国可以做些什么来缩小这种差距?更重要的是,北京如何有效地将其政策目标与软实力工具结合起来,以获得亚洲邻国的更多支持?本文认为,中国的核心利益与其软实力话语之间的和解是可能的,也是可取的,因为中国的自我约束、保证和领导实践是中国政策实践的重要来源。首先,它声称中国的软实力话语非常重要,因为一个崛起的国家需要向其他国家表达良好的意愿,以避免结成反华联盟。其次,它提出了一个可行的框架来调和中国的核心利益和软实力政策,在这个框架中,北京可以在官方立场上坚定,在执行上灵活。它对三个案例研究进行了深入分析:中国的朝鲜政策、中国对南中国海争端的处理以及中国对香港的治理。最后,它总结了对东亚政治的实质性影响。
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引用次数: 0
How low can we go? Declining survey response rates to new zealand electoral roll mail surveys over three decades 我们能降到多低?三十年来新西兰选民名册邮件调查回复率下降
IF 1.3 4区 社会学 Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI: 10.1080/00323187.2021.1898995
Lara M. Greaves, Luke D. Oldfield, Martin von Randow, C. Sibley, B. Milne
ABSTRACT Quality survey research relies on the willingness of the public to participate, but survey response rates are decreasing over time. This research note explores response rate data from several national probability sample mail surveys drawn from a consistent sampling frame (the New Zealand electoral roll) over the past 30 years. The aim of this work is to document the scale of the response rate decline problem in mail survey studies, predict future response rates, and track nonresponse bias through comparing self-reported voter turnout in surveys to official turnout. We use data from the New Zealand Election Study, the International Social Survey Programme, the New Zealand edition of the World Values Survey, and the New Zealand Attitudes and Values Study. Our findings demonstrate that there has been a consistent downward trend in response rates and an increase in nonresponse bias for self-reported voter turnout. Response rates in the early 1990s were as high as 72%, before dropping to the 60% range around the year 2000, with response rates effectively halving from their early 1990s rates by 2015. We comment on the implications for future surveys, voter enrolment, local government turnout, and political polling. Ultimately, these results leave us with the question of how long traditional mail survey research will be able to continue.
摘要:质量调查研究依赖于公众的参与意愿,但调查响应率随着时间的推移而下降。本研究报告探讨了过去30年来从一致的抽样框架(新西兰选民名册)中提取的几项全国概率抽样邮件调查的回复率数据。这项工作的目的是记录邮件调查研究中回复率下降问题的规模,预测未来的回复率,并通过将调查中自我报告的选民投票率与官方投票率进行比较来跟踪无回复偏见。我们使用了新西兰选举研究、国际社会调查计划、新西兰版世界价值观调查以及新西兰态度和价值观研究的数据。我们的研究结果表明,对自我报告的选民投票率,应答率一直呈下降趋势,无应答偏见增加。20世纪90年代初的响应率高达72%,2000年左右降至60%,到2015年,响应率实际上比90年代初减半。我们评论了对未来调查、选民登记、地方政府投票率和政治民调的影响。最终,这些结果给我们留下了一个问题,即传统的邮件调查研究能够持续多久。
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引用次数: 4
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Political Science
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