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Assessing Potential of Import Substitution in Industry Based on Multi-Criteria Rating of Alternatives by Integral Indicator of Efficiency 根据效率综合指标对替代品进行多标准评级,评估工业进口替代潜力
Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-4-15-24
T. A. Berkutova, G. Blagodatsky, M. Gorokhov
The article provides a mathematic model of assessing the potential of import substitution at big industrial enterprises and in branches of production. The practical use of the model is carried out in conditions of Russian highly technological enterprise passing-over to home material and technical base of components in order to ensure technological independence. Assessment of import substitution potential is based on building the optimum plan of settling the transport task and level of suppliers’ product deficit by goods nomenclature in the optimum plan of settling the open transport task of product completing. The task is studied in view of manufacturing traction electric motors used in producing military equipment as well as products of civil and dual purpose in cooperation with contracting parties (suppliers) of components. In this case concrete variants of completing electric motors can influence both quality and price of the final product. In the mathematic model all components are estimated by cost and rated by usefulness hierarchy. For electric motors the equal contribution of forces to component cost was found.
文章提供了评估大型工业企业和生产部门进口替代潜力的数学模型。该模型的实际应用是在俄罗斯高技术企业为确保技术独立性而向本国材料和技术基础零部件过渡的条件下进行的。进口替代潜力评估的基础是,在完成产品公开运输任务的最佳计划中,根据商品名称制定运输任务和供应商产品缺陷水平的最佳计划。该任务的研究对象是与零部件签约方(供应商)合作制造用于生产军用设备的牵引电机以及民用和两用产品。在这种情况下,完成电机的具体变体会影响最终产品的质量和价格。在数学模型中,所有组件都按照成本进行估算,并按照实用性等级进行评级。对于电动机而言,各种力量对组件成本的贡献是相等的。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Analysis of Tool Functionality in Descriptive Statistics of Language R 语言 R 的描述性统计工具功能比较分析
Pub Date : 2024-07-03 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-4-25-35
T. Apal'kova, K. G. Levchenko
The article provides methods and procedures of getting numerical statistical characteristics of qualitative and quantitative features by means of language R in the process of preliminary data analysis. The most expedient, in view of simplicity of use and information value of result, specification of functions of language descriptive statistics was shown. The author studied comparative advantages of tools of descriptive statistics of the language with the open software code R in comparison with similar units Python and Ms Excel. A conclusion was drawn about the convenience and appeal of using language R for estimating descriptive statistics for beginners, who have not got specific knowledge in programming. For example, it was shown that in order to get min 12 characteristics of descriptive data statistics grouped by categories only one command will be enough. As for estimating one statistical characteristic for segment of data produced by several grouping features, again only one command is necessary. Findings of the research can be useful for investigators of different fields, both beginners and experts, who work with methods of statistical data processing in academic and practical spheres.
文章提供了在初步数据分析过程中通过语言 R 获取定性和定量特征的数字统计特征的方法和程序。考虑到使用的简便性和结果的信息价值,文章介绍了最便捷的描述性统计语言功能规范。作者研究了开放式软件代码 R 语言描述性统计工具与同类单元 Python 和 Ms Excel 的比较优势。作者得出结论,使用 R 语言进行描述性统计估算对没有编程知识的初学者来说既方便又有吸引力。例如,为了获得按类别分组的描述性数据统计的最少 12 个特征,只需一个命令就足够了。至于估算由多个分组特征生成的数据片段的一个统计特征,同样只需要一条命令。研究结果对不同领域的研究人员都很有用,无论是初学者还是专家,他们都能在学术和实践领域使用统计数据处理方法。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Artificial Intellect in Today’s Banking System 人工智能在当今银行系统中的作用
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-164-172
Demba Cisse
   The article shows the use of artificial intellect (AI) in different spheres of banking, including client servicing, risk analysis, fraud combating, process automation and decision-making. AI use in banking fosters higher efficiency and accuracy of information processing. It makes automation of standard tasks easier and gives employees wider opportunities to work at complicated and analytical goals. AI helps banks assess quickly and correctly credit risks thereby decreasing possibility of default and enhancing general security of the banking system. The author pointed out that AI improves the quality of client servicing. Chat-bots based on AI can give fast and precise answers to client’s requests and assist in problem solving. Accurate treatment of requests gives banks an opportunity to develop personalized offers and services taking into account preferences and needs of clients. However, besides numerous benefits of using AI the author puts forward problems connected with challenges and difficulties of its introduction in the banking sector. Such issues of transparency, ethics of AI use, possible risks and threats need further study as well as the development of necessary control mechanisms.
文章介绍了人工智能(AI)在银行业不同领域的应用,包括客户服务、风险分析、反欺诈、流程自动化和决策。人工智能在银行业的应用提高了信息处理的效率和准确性。它使标准任务的自动化变得更容易,为员工实现复杂的分析目标提供了更广泛的机会。人工智能有助于银行快速、正确地评估信贷风险,从而降低违约的可能性,提高银行系统的总体安全性。作者指出,人工智能提高了客户服务的质量。基于人工智能的聊天机器人可以快速、准确地回答客户的请求,并协助解决问题。对请求的准确处理使银行有机会根据客户的偏好和需求开发个性化的报价和服务。然而,除了使用人工智能的诸多好处之外,作者还提出了与将其引入银行业所面临的挑战和困难有关的问题。透明度、人工智能使用的道德规范、可能的风险和威胁等问题需要进一步研究,并制定必要的控制机制。
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引用次数: 0
The Use of Strategic Planning Tools for Diversification of Highly-Technological Enterprises in Russian Industry 利用战略规划工具促进俄罗斯工业高技术企业的多元化发展
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-222-229
I. O. Krapivin
   In times of globalization, national economy reforming and intensification of integration processes the level of competitiveness of industrial enterprises is estimated by many factors, the key of them is innovation activity. Due to innovation the business entity has got an opportunity to strengthen its market positions, improve figures of economic efficiency and create big added value. At the same time results of innovation activity shall target at production and economic work of industrial enterprises and foster supply of new highly-technological goods and services to market, which can be provided by strategic planning. The efficiency of its implementation promotes successful introduction of innovation on market and obtaining sustainable competitive advantages. The author analyzed and studied challenges of strategic planning of innovation development and put forward methods of elaborating the system of strategic planning for diversification of highly-technological enterprises of Russian economy.
在全球化、国民经济改革和一体化进程加剧的时代,工业企业的竞争力水平取决于许多因素,其中最关键的是创新活动。由于创新,企业实体有机会巩固其市场地位,提高经济效益并创造巨大的附加值。同时,创新活动的成果应以工业企业的生产和经济工作为目标,促进向市场提供新的高技术产品和服务,这可以通过战略规划来实现。战略规划的实施效率有助于成功地将创新引入市场并获得可持续的竞争优势。作者分析和研究了创新发展战略规划面临的挑战,并提出了俄罗斯经济中高技术企业多样化战略规划体系的制定方法。
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引用次数: 0
The Evolution of the Memory of Alexei Gastev as the Founder of the National School of Management – Scientific Organization of Labor in Modern Practices of Commemoration 国家管理学院创始人阿列克谢-加斯捷夫的记忆演变--现代纪念活动中的科学劳动组织
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-
I. V. Dvoluchansky
   The Scientific Organization of Labor (NOT) became the largest school of management in the young Soviet republic, and Alexei Gastev's work as head of the Central Institute of Labor was duly appreciated by both contemporaries and followers. In this connection, during the subsequent period, the ideas of the authors of the NOT were used in management practice to solve urgent problems. In the post-Soviet period, researchers of the national history of management thought considered the developments of the ideologist of the NOT Alexei Gastev as a paradigmatic stage in the development of managerial ideas in our country. This article analyzes not the ideas of the author of the NOT themselves, but the memory of his ideas and how this memory was reflected in the process of their interpretation and application. The research is based on the methodology of Memory studies by such authors as Maurice Halbwachs, Jan and Aleida Assmann, Pierre Nora, as well as on the approaches of representatives of the Cambridge School of Intellectual History Quentin Skinner and John Pocock and the research apparatus of the concept of deterritorialization by Gilles Deleuze. In addition, the author's approach is used in the form of synthesis of the results of a meaningful and contextual analysis of memory practices. The result of the study is a description and justification of changes in the general context of A. K. Gastev's memory practices. Due to the lack of collective and cultural memory of A. K. Gastev in Soviet times, in the early years of the post-Soviet period, the practice of commemoration focuses on the building of memory through the actualization of research on the scientific organization of labor. Further, the context of actualization loses its significance and the process of attaching the memory of A. K. Gastev to nearby cultural objects, such as the culture of the avant-garde era, takes place. At the moment, the transformation of the memory of A. K. Gastev is clearly expressed in the formation of the cultural memory of "Gastevski". This new form of memory does not yet have precise boundaries, but some contours are already emerging.
劳动科学组织(NOT)成为年轻的苏维埃共和国最大的管理学院,阿列克谢-加斯捷夫作为中央劳动研究所所长所做的工作得到了同时代人和追随者的赞赏。因此,在随后的时期里,NOT 作者的思想被用于管理实践,以解决紧迫的问题。在后苏联时期,国家管理思想史研究人员认为,《国家管理思想》思想家阿列克谢-加斯捷夫的发展是我国管理思想发展的一个典范阶段。本文分析的不是《非》作者的思想本身,而是对其思想的记忆,以及这种记忆如何反映在对其思想的解释和应用过程中。研究基于莫里斯-哈尔布瓦赫斯、扬和阿莱达-阿斯曼、皮埃尔-诺拉等作者的记忆研究方法,以及剑桥思想史学派代表昆廷-斯金纳和约翰-波科克的方法和吉勒-德勒兹的去地域化概念研究工具。此外,还采用了作者的方法,对记忆实践进行了有意义的背景分析,并对分析结果进行了综合。研究结果是对 A. K. Gastev 记忆实践的总体背景变化的描述和论证。由于苏联时期缺乏对阿-卡-加斯捷夫的集体记忆和文化记忆,在后苏联时期的最初几年,纪念实践的重点是通过劳动科学组织研究的现实化来建立记忆。此外,"现实化 "的背景失去了意义,出现了将对阿-卡-加斯捷夫的记忆附着在附近的文化对象(如前卫时代的文化)上的过程。目前,对 A. K. 加斯捷夫的记忆的转变明显体现在 "加斯捷夫斯基 "文化记忆的形成上。这种新的记忆形式还没有明确的界限,但已经出现了一些轮廓。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Pricing on Re Market in Sevastopol 塞瓦斯托波尔再市场定价研究
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-142-155
M. V. Bezhan, I. S. Rakitina, I. Shevchuk
   Affordability of housing is one of the most important and topical trends, that is taken into account in pursuing state economic policy in Russia. Pricing process on RE market acts as a serious factor influencing housing affordability and appeal of certain regions for continuous residence. Construction volumes directly depend on effective demand and conditions of mortgage crediting. The article discusses acute issues of certain factor impact on pricing process on RE market. In order to identify the interconnection of these factors the research conducted econometric assessment of the impact of wage dynamics and mortgage crediting portfolio on changes in market RE cost in the city of federal importance Sevastopol. Methods used in the research: models of vector auto-regression (standard and bias). Data of official statistics were used as an information base, including data of the Bank of Russia, as well as publications by economists. The initial hypothesis of the research said that proposed variables influence seriously the actual figure of housing cost in the region. Econometric analysis of this thesis proved in general the hypothesis. Findings of the research can form a scientific base for forecasting inflation processes on RE market in the city of Sevastopol and can be used in other entities of the Russian Federation.
住房负担能力是最重要和最热门的趋势之一,俄罗斯在推行国家经济政策时都会考虑到这一点。房地产市场的定价过程是影响住房负担能力和某些地区对持续居住吸引力的重要因素。建筑量直接取决于有效需求和抵押贷款条件。文章讨论了某些因素对可再生能源市场定价过程影响的尖锐问题。为了确定这些因素之间的相互联系,研究对联邦重要城市塞瓦斯托波尔的工资动态和抵押贷款组合对市场房地产成本变化的影响进行了计量经济学评估。研究中使用的方法:向量自回归模型(标准和偏差)。官方统计数据被用作信息基础,包括俄罗斯银行的数据以及经济学家的出版物。研究的最初假设是,提出的变量会严重影响该地区住房成本的实际数字。本论文的计量经济学分析从总体上证明了这一假设。研究结果可为预测塞瓦斯托波尔市房地产市场的通货膨胀过程提供科学依据,并可用于俄罗斯联邦的其他实体。
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引用次数: 0
Lean Production as Mechanism of Enterprise Management 作为企业管理机制的精益生产
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-190-196
Ju. S. Lekareva, V. F. Remizova
   Maintenance of lean production is a system that consists of tools (methods) aimed at creating and incrementing values, struggle with losses, optimization of enterprise work, cutting prime cost and raising quality of products, development of responsible attitude of personnel to changes. For any industrial enterprise it is important how to minimize losses and increase value of products. Today lean production is not only a managerial practice but also a subject of academic research. In spite of a long history lean production due to its modification capacity is considered an innovation concept. The article characterized lean production as a managerial mechanism of the enterprise, showed reasons for managerial problem arising and provided ways of their resolving. Special attention is paid to methodology of lean enterprise mechanism and principles of maintaining its work. The authors showed stages of starting-up the mechanism of lean production at the enterprise. According to the authors, problems of raising quality and cutting prime cost of products can be solved with lean production as a managerial mechanism. The present research can help elaborate the program of maintaining the work of lean production mechanism and use the algorithm at the enterprise.
精益生产的维护是一个系统,由各种工具(方法)组成,旨在创造和提高价值,与损失作斗争,优化企业工作,降低主要成本,提高产品质量,培养员工对变化负责的态度。对于任何工业企业来说,如何最大限度地减少损失和提高产品价值都是非常重要的。如今,精益生产不仅是管理实践,也是学术研究的主题。尽管精益生产有着悠久的历史,但由于其改造能力而被视为一种创新概念。文章将精益生产描述为企业的一种管理机制,指出了管理问题产生的原因,并提供了解决问题的方法。文章特别关注精益企业机制的方法和维持其工作的原则。作者介绍了企业精益生产机制的启动阶段。作者认为,精益生产作为一种管理机制,可以解决提高产品质量和降低产品成本的问题。本研究有助于制定精益生产机制的维护方案,并在企业中使用该算法。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction of the Subject ‘Principles of Russian State System’ in the Russian Plekhanov University of Economics: First Results and Prospects of Enhancement 俄罗斯普列汉诺夫经济大学开设 "俄罗斯国家制度原理 "课程:初步成果与发展前景
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-182-189
Yu. V. Kapitanets, E. V. Chekmarev
   The article analyzed the initial experience of elaboration and introduction of a new subject of higher education, i. e. ‘Principles of Russian State System’ The authors assessed the role of the subject in developing new public relations based on traditional values of Russia, which requires mobilization of intellectual, organizational and other resources, including those in the system of education. The content of the subject based on civilization approach was presented and methodological approaches used for preparing and conducting classes were demonstrated. The authors analyzed specific features of carrying out such lessons in the Russian Plekhanov University of Economics, which allow us to focus attention on traditional values and principles of Russia being a state-civilization. It was shown that peoples of Russia for more than thousand years could create and maintain independently the state system, formulate models of social behavior and principles of world order meeting contemporary challenges.
作者评估了该科目在发展基于俄罗斯传统价值观的新型公共关系中的作用,这需要调动智力、组织和其他资源,包括教育系统的资源。作者介绍了基于文明方法的课程内容,并展示了备课和上课的方法。作者分析了在俄罗斯普列汉诺夫经济大学开展此类课程的具体特点,这些特点使我们能够关注俄罗斯作为国家文明的传统价值和原则。研究表明,俄罗斯人民一千多年来能够独立创建和维护国家制度,制定社会行为模式和世界秩序原则,以应对当代挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Today’s Finance Markets in Conditions of Poly-Crisis and Crisis of Cost of Living 多重危机和生活成本危机下的当今金融市场
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-156-163
S. V. Frumina, I. Khominich
   The article provides characteristics, statistics and factual material on countries connected with the current global economic crisis of the cost of living. The notion of the current poly-crisis was defined as a sum total of old and new risks in their close interaction and their adverse impact on global and national economy and finance markets. The focus was made on tightening of monetary and credit policy of national central banks in 2022–2023 in view of combating inflation, which resulted in more expensive credits, higher profitability of state treasury bonds, bankruptcy of corporations and declining standard of living of people. On the background of the global poly-crisis the author assessed macro-prudential policy of the Bank of Russia and standing of its banking system, including market of preferential mortgage with state support. Within the frames of crisis-management risks of Russian insurance and re-insurance industries were shown, as well as non-credit life insurance as a today’s driver of insurance market growth. In view of import-substitution policy an important innovation of the Moscow exchange – the informational-analytical, financial and trade terminal ‘Trade Radar’ was put forward. The author showed economic essence, trends and tools of de-dollarization policy of Russia and friendly countries, including BRICS project aiming at development of common supranational payment unit.
文章提供了与当前全球生活成本经济危机有关的国家的特点、统计数据和事实材料。当前多重危机的概念被定义为新旧风险密切互动的总和,及其对全球和国家经济及金融市场的不利影响。重点是 2022-2023 年各国中央银行为应对通货膨胀而收紧货币和信贷政策,这导致信贷成本上升、国家国债收益率提高、企业破产和人民生活水平下降。在全球多重危机的背景下,作者评估了俄罗斯银行的宏观审慎政策及其银行系统的地位,包括在国家支持下的优惠抵押贷款市场。在危机管理的框架内,作者介绍了俄罗斯保险业和再保险业的风险,以及作为当今保险市场增长动力的非信贷人寿保险。考虑到进口替代政策,作者提出了莫斯科交易所的一项重要创新--信息分析、金融和贸易终端 "贸易雷达"。作者介绍了俄罗斯和友好国家去美元化政策的经济本质、趋势和工具,包括旨在发展超国家共同支付单位的金砖国家项目。
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting Use of Critical Rear-Earth Metals and Lithium During Energy Transformation 预测能源转化过程中关键后土金属和锂的使用情况
Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.21686/2413-2829-2024-3-197-206
V. E. Shunkov, P. I. Sevostyanov
   Energy transition from power-engineering of fossil fuel to low-carbon power-engineering requires great amounts of minerals. The growth in global demand for real-earth metals brings serious pressure on today’s supply. Among necessary minerals rear-earth elements (REE) are key components of ecologically clean power technologies, such as windmills and electric vehicles. In spite of importance of rear-earth metals forecasting of their future use is still a complicated task. The article paid key attention to forecasts of using lithium in electric vehicles and wind power stations, as well as neodymium. The authors researched problems connected with current and future REE supplies for low-carbon technologies: monopoly of China, the absence of equivalents substitutions, low rate of processing, etc. The authors analyzed long-term trends of consuming rear-earth metals and lithium on the basis of simple models of data and more complicated ones - multinomial. In general, models can forecast consequences only in limited degree, as in many cases they make up a structure, which combines a great number of initial assumptions. We propose a new approach to appraisal future use of key resources for energy transitions, which can answer the question ‘how to satisfy the current and future demand for power’ and will help scientists and decision-makers develop sustainable power strategies in view of climatic challenges and compare non-modeled scenarios on the basis of expert analysis.
从化石燃料动力工程向低碳动力工程的能源转型需要大量矿产。全球对真实地球金属需求的增长给目前的供应带来了巨大压力。在必要的矿物质中,后土元素(REE)是风车和电动汽车等生态清洁动力技术的关键组成部分。尽管后土金属非常重要,但对其未来用途的预测仍然是一项复杂的任务。文章重点关注了电动汽车和风力发电站中使用锂以及钕的预测。作者研究了与当前和未来低碳技术所需的稀土金属供应有关的问题:中国的垄断、缺乏同等替代品、加工率低等等。作者根据简单的数据模型和更复杂的多项式模型,分析了后土金属和锂消耗的长期趋势。一般来说,模型只能在有限的程度上预测结果,因为在许多情况下,模型是由大量初始假设组成的结构。我们提出了一种评估未来能源转型关键资源使用情况的新方法,它可以回答 "如何满足当前和未来的电力需求 "这一问题,并将帮助科学家和决策者根据气候挑战制定可持续的电力战略,以及在专家分析的基础上比较非模型方案。
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引用次数: 0
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Vestnik of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
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